Future of Health and Future Life Expectancy - impact on pensions and fund management

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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd Fellow, Centre for Management Development, London Business School Future of Health and the truth about life expectancy

Transcript of Future of Health and Future Life Expectancy - impact on pensions and fund management

Page 1: Future of Health and Future Life Expectancy - impact on pensions and fund management

Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change LtdFellow, Centre for Management Development, London Business School

FutureofHealthandthetruthaboutlifeexpectancy

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sameasbanana

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mouse

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RANDOMCUTANDPASTE

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The future is aboutEMOTION

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85% of world population will be living in emerging

markets in 10 years

1% owns 50% of wealth

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Europe Dying 4 couples to produce single great-grand child

1 million in Italy over 90 years old by 2026

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Title Text• Body Level One

– Body Level Two

• Body Level Three

– Body Level Four

» Body Level Five

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!18

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• 125,000 stents or carotid surgery a year in US

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Read your genes in 2 hours for

£1200

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•Pigsteethgrowninsiderats•Micegrownewteethfromnervecells/gum>ssue

Grow New Teeth

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Repair Heart / Brain / Retina / Spine

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Rod photoreceptors (in green) within a "mini retina" derived from human induced Pluripotent Stem Cells in the lab. Courtesy of Johns Hopkins Medicine

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An6-Ageingwillbeaglobal

obsession-withrapidprogress

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Want to look better - $200bn pa by 2020

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may be

Want to think better......

•20%studentsinUS/UKusememorydrugstopassexams

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7mechanismsofageinginanimalandhumancells

•Celllossoratrophywithoutreplacement•Nuclearmuta>onsandepimuta>onsthatcausecancer•Mitochondrialmuta>ons•Cellsenescence(deathresistance)•Junkinsidecells•Junkoutsidecells•Cross-linksbetweencells(egelas>n)

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Worn out Mitochondria – Energy Boost

R-alpha-lipoic acidAcetyl-L-carnitine

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Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of

hardened arteries – and helps wrinkled skin. Global sales?

Low blood pressure and total body lift

Alteon

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Monkeysondietlivelonger•AGer20years-80%alivev50%onnormalcalories• Lesscancer,diabetes,heartdisease,strokes,braindecay

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Slow or no ageing is a reality

• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales

• No signs of getting old

Rougheye rockfish (Sebastes aleutianus) — 205 years Aldabra Giant Tortoise — 255 years Lobsters are believed to live 100 or more years Ocean Quahog clam — 405 years

Some animals do not “age” in normal way

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1weekevery4

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40 years old today - 82 projection

Every year adds 3% to pension deficit

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40 years old today - 82 projection82 + 5 (middle class)

Every year adds 3% to pension deficit

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40 years old today - 82 projection82 + 5 (middle class) 87 + 10 (1 year in 4: 40 years)

Every year adds 3% to pension deficit

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40 years old today - 82 projection82 + 5 (middle class) 87 + 10 (1 year in 4: 40 years)97 + 5 (therapies in 30 years)

Every year adds 3% to pension deficit

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40 years old today - 82 projection82 + 5 (middle class) 87 + 10 (1 year in 4: 40 years)97 + 5 (therapies in 30 years)102 + 5 (therapies in next 30 years)

Every year adds 3% to pension deficit

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40 years old today - 82 projection82 + 5 (middle class) 87 + 10 (1 year in 4: 40 years)97 + 5 (therapies in 30 years)102 + 5 (therapies in next 30 years)107 new average life expectancy

Every year adds 3% to pension deficit

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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd

Increasedlifeexpectancywillimpacteveryna>onandevery

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