FUPOL Workpackage 4 - Policy Simulation Software

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FUTURE POLICY MODELLING (FUPOL)

WP4 – Policy Simulation Software


FUPOL – WP4 - Objectives

To design and implement simulator modules for the priority domains uses cases models elaborated in WP2

To design and implement simulator modules for the pilots

To create interfaces for data import from core platform and export to analytical and visualisation facilities

To assess FUPOL simulator quality and functionality on pilot applications demonstrator bases


FUPOL – WP4 - DOW

Through analysis of different policy modelling cases and policy models specification (from WP2) it is necessary to define the set of requirements to software packages useable for designing of FUPOL simulator software. The simulator software must ensure data import/export from the Open core platform (WP3) to ensure initial data input for predefined simulation case and have export facilities to analytic and visualisation subsystem (WP5).

The software must be verified and validated, but finally FUPOL vision must be checked on the specific case defined by the industrial partners. The demonstrator which will be designed will serve for quality assessment of the FUPOL simulator software solutions.


FUPOL – WP4 – Task 4.1

Task 4.1: The Simulator Requirements Analysis The aim of the task is to review and select most applicable set of

simulation software useable for different cases of policy modelling. To achieve the aim different policy decision making modelling and simulation cases must be analysed to define the set of appropriate requirements to the set of simulation software platforms useable for policy modelling and influence forecasting. The selection must be agreed with policy models specification forms defined in WP2.



Task 4.2: Development of Interfaces The aim of this task is to prepare a requirement set for a modern

and flexible data import/export interface that would be compatible with simulation software tools (see Figure 4.1).



Task 4.3: Integrated FUPOL Simulator Software Environment Design

The aim of this task is to develop recommendations for translation

processes, as a result of which the policy model, which has been described in industry terms using natural language, possibly even graphical notation, and/or Systems Specifications (A-translation, WP2), will be transformed to the specific Simulation Tools notation.



Task 4.4: Validation and Verification (V&V)

• The aim of this task is to verify and validate the developed FUPOL simulator software in accordance with typical practice.

• Test examples• Face validation• Statistical validation (Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Anderson-

Darling test etc.)



Task 4.5: The FUPOL Simulation Assessment

The aim of this task is to test the FUPOL simulator software using specific pilot application – demonstrator, the content (cases) of which is provided by the industrial partners.


FUPOL – WP4 – Deliverables-1

D4.1: FUPOL Simulator Software Requirements Report (PM17-M12)Elaboration the requirements list for simulation software tools selection; Policy modelling cases review and classification to consider the most important demands to the simulation software tools.

D4.2: FUPOL Simulator Software Interfaces Specification (PM23-M16)The requirements for input and output interfaces of FUPOL Simulator software to insure data import for core platform and export to analytic and visualisation subsystem.

D4.3: FUPOL Simulator Software Prototype (PM1-M24)First version, which includes a first set of policy models translated into a simulator software package.


FUPOL – WP4 – Deliverables-2

D4.4: FUPOL Simulator Software Environment First Prototype (PM52-M28)The recommendations for policy model notation translation to the model on simulation software language in conformity of the complexity, homogeneity and integrity of the policy model; Designing of simulator software pilot package.

D4.5: FUPOL Simulator Software Demonstrator I (PM22-M36)FUPOL Simulator software, including a all policy models foreseen in the demonstrator translated into a simulator software package.

D4.6: FUPOL Simulator Software Demonstrator II (PM6-M44)Statistical and face validation of Simulator. FUPOL Simulator software including a all policy models foreseen in the demonstrator translated into a simulator software package with all documentation. Verification and validation during piloting have been done.


FUPOL – WP4 – Role of Partners

CELENT AG (PM12) – interface with WP3Fraunhofer (PM6) – interface with WP5ZAGREB (PM5) – initial data and models preparation for simulation

cases on demonstrator; verification and validation the simulatorYANTAI-CHINA (PM5) - initial data and models preparation for

simulation cases on demonstrator; verification and validation the simulator

SOCSIM (PM58) – WP4 management; simulator design and maintenance

UAB (PM8) – interface with WP2CDP (PM5) - initial data and models preparation for simulation cases

on demonstrator; verification and validation the simulatorBMBC (PM5) - initial data and models preparation for simulation

cases on demonstrator; verification and validation the simulatorPEGEIA (PM3) - initial data and models preparation for simulation

cases on demonstrator; verification and validation the simulatorRAU (PM14) – simulator assessment (statistical validation);

demonstrators running and users manual design; interface with WP2


THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

FUPOL Workpackage 4 - Policy Simulation Software

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