Fueling the Engines of Liberation with Cleaner Cooking Fuel

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Fueling the Engines of Liberation with Cleaner Cooking Fuel Tushar Bharati 1 , Yiwei Qian 2 , Jeonghwan Yun 2 1 University of Western Australia, 2 University of Southern California Objectives We examine the causal impact of the "Conversion to Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) program", an LPG subsidy program in Indonesia, on the: household’s adoption LPG as the primary cooking fuel; labor force participation of women; other outcomes, like health conditions, general well-being, household expenditure and intra-household decision-making power of women. Introduction Women held back from participating in productive market activities is human capital wasted. Engines of liberation (Greenwood et al. 2005): Adoption of cheap, time-saving technology increased female labor force participation in developed countries. The channel has not received enough attention in the context of developing countries. We study the "Conversion to LPG program" in Indonesia to examine the potential role of a household cooking technology in determining female labor force participation in developing countries. Conversion to LPG program Before the "Conversion to LPG Program" was introduced, 48 out of 52 million Indonesian households depended on kerosene, which was highly subsidized at the time. In 2007, to reduce the subsidy burden, the Indonesian government launched the “Conversion to LPG Program” to promote the use of LPG in Indonesian households. Depending on the readiness of the LPG procurement, storage, and distributional infrastructure in the region, the program was rolled out at different times in different regions (Budya and Arofat, 2011). Data 1 The program roll-out information at province level; 2 Census data; Indonesian censuses (2000, 2010) and Intercensus Population Surveys (1995, 2005); Repeated cross section balanced at the district level. 3 Detailed representative panel household survey; The Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) waves 3-5 (2000, 2007, 2014). Empirical Strategy The identification relies on two sources of variations: 1 The staggered program roll-out at the province level over time Difference-in-Difference strategy using census data Figure 1: Staggered roll-out of the LPG subsidy program across provinces Converted in 2008 Converted in 2009 Converted in 2011 Converted in 2013 Not covered 2 Variation in pre-program kerosene usage rates across communities/sub-districts The distribution of LPG depended on the existing kerosene distribution infrastructure. Kerosene subsidy was removed when the LPG program was introduced. Difference-in-Difference strategy using in census and IFLS data Figure 2: LPG adoption correlates with pre-program Kerosene distribution infrastructure 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1 Change in LPG Adoption Rate in Community 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1 Pre-program Kerosene Adpotion Rate in Community Change LPG Adoption Fitted Value Figure 2: Higher Pre-program Kerosene Adoption Indicates Higher LPG Adoption Specification Y icpt = α + β 1 P ost t × H Pre c,2000 + τ t × H Pre c,2000 +γ pt + δ c + icpt where Y icpt is the outcome interest of individual/household i in the community c in the province p at year t; H pre c,2000 is the pre-program kerosene adoption level at 2000; P ost t takes value ‘1’ for years after year; τ t × H Pre c,2000 controls for possible differences in trends across community that are spuriously correlated with the community treatment effect;γ pt controls for province-specific trend; δ c controls for time-invariant differences across communities; We add T reat p to the interaction terms in the specification for the census data; Results The program led to Increased use of LPG as the primary fuel. Figure 3: Primary cooking method over time (source: IFLS) 0 20 40 60 80 % Households cooking with 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year of survey Electric stoves LPG stoves Kerosene stoves Firewood Charcoal Others Figure 3: Cooking Methods Over Time Increase in the female labor force participation. Table 1: The Impact on employment status (source: IFLS) Primary activity Ever worked work for pay housekeeping the past year Post × pre-program kerosene 0.03 0.03 * 0.04 * (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) Post × pre-program kerosene 0.07 * -0.07 ** 0.05 * × female (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) Estimated effect 0.09 *** -0.04 * 0.09 *** for females (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) Mean of DV 0.59 0.24 0.72 Pre-program kerosene usage rate 0.53 0.53 0.53 Observations 63633 63633 63633 No significant health improvements. Increased in household expenditure on food and education. Improved decision-making power of women. Table 2: The Impact on decision-making power (source: IFLS) Complete say in all decisions financial decisions (score out of 18) (score out of 8) Post × pre-program kerosene 0.25 0.05 (0.23) (0.12) Post × pre-program kerosene 0.39 0.35 ** × female (0.28) (0.15) Estimated effect 0.64 ** 0.40 *** for females (0.29) (0.15) Mean of DV 3.52 1.3 Pre-program kerosene usage rate 0.53 0.53 Observations 44456 44456 Conclusion The program introduced a significant increase in LPG adoption and female labor force participation probably through the time-saving nature of the cooking technology. The program improved the decision-making power of women within households that could promote sustained use of LPG even after the subsidy is withdrawn. In this way, the program served as an engine of liberation for women in Indonesia. Contact Information Email: [email protected]

Transcript of Fueling the Engines of Liberation with Cleaner Cooking Fuel

Fueling the Engines of Liberation with Cleaner Cooking FuelTushar Bharati1, Yiwei Qian2, Jeonghwan Yun2

1University of Western Australia, 2University of Southern California

Objectives

We examine the causal impact of the "Conversionto Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) program", anLPG subsidy program in Indonesia, on the:•household’s adoption LPG as the primarycooking fuel;

• labor force participation of women;• other outcomes, like health conditions, generalwell-being, household expenditure andintra-household decision-making power ofwomen.

Introduction

•Women held back from participating in productivemarket activities is human capital wasted.

•Engines of liberation (Greenwood et al. 2005):Adoption of cheap, time-saving technologyincreased female labor force participation indeveloped countries.

•The channel has not received enough attention inthe context of developing countries.

•We study the "Conversion to LPG program" inIndonesia to examine the potential role of ahousehold cooking technology in determiningfemale labor force participation in developingcountries.

Conversion to LPG program

•Before the "Conversion to LPG Program" wasintroduced, 48 out of 52 million Indonesianhouseholds depended on kerosene, which washighly subsidized at the time.

• In 2007, to reduce the subsidy burden, theIndonesian government launched the “Conversionto LPG Program” to promote the use of LPG inIndonesian households.

•Depending on the readiness of the LPGprocurement, storage, and distributionalinfrastructure in the region, the program wasrolled out at different times in different regions(Budya and Arofat, 2011).

Data

1 The program roll-out information at province level;2 Census data;

• Indonesian censuses (2000, 2010) and IntercensusPopulation Surveys (1995, 2005);

•Repeated cross section balanced at the district level.3 Detailed representative panel household survey;

•The Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) waves 3-5 (2000,2007, 2014).

Empirical Strategy

The identification relies on two sources of variations:

1 The staggered program roll-out at theprovince level over time•Difference-in-Difference strategy using census data

Figure 1: Staggered roll-out of the LPG subsidy programacross provinces

Convertedin2008Convertedin2009Convertedin2011Convertedin2013Notcovered

2 Variation in pre-program kerosene usagerates across communities/sub-districts•The distribution of LPG depended on the existing kerosenedistribution infrastructure.

•Kerosene subsidy was removed when the LPG program wasintroduced.

•Difference-in-Difference strategy using in census and IFLSdata

Figure 2: LPG adoption correlates with pre-program Kerosenedistribution infrastructure

0.2

.4.6

.81

Cha

nge

in L

PG A

dopt

ion

Rat

e in

Com

mun

ity

0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1Pre-program Kerosene Adpotion Rate in Community

Change LPG Adoption Fitted Value

Figure 2: Higher Pre-program Kerosene Adoption Indicates Higher LPG Adoption

Specification

Yicpt = α + β1Postt ×HPrec,2000 + τt ×HPre

c,2000+γpt + δc + εicpt

•where Yicpt is the outcome interest ofindividual/household i in the community c in theprovince p at year t; Hpre

c,2000 is the pre-programkerosene adoption level at 2000; Postt takes value‘1’ for years after year; τt ×HPre

c,2000 controls forpossible differences in trends across communitythat are spuriously correlated with the communitytreatment effect;γpt controls for province-specifictrend; δc controls for time-invariant differencesacross communities;

•We add Treatp to the interaction terms in thespecification for the census data;

Results

The program led to• Increased use of LPG as the primary fuel.

Figure 3: Primary cooking method over time (source: IFLS)

020

4060

80 %

Hou

seho

lds

cook

ing

with

2000 2005 2010 2015Year of survey

Electric stoves LPG stovesKerosene stoves FirewoodCharcoal Others

Figure 3: Cooking Methods Over Time• Increase in the female labor forceparticipation.

Table 1: The Impact on employment status (source: IFLS)Primary activity Ever worked

work for pay housekeeping the past yearPost × pre-program kerosene 0.03 0.03∗ 0.04∗

(0.03) (0.01) (0.02)Post × pre-program kerosene 0.07∗ -0.07∗∗ 0.05∗

× female (0.04) (0.03) (0.03)Estimated effect 0.09∗∗∗ -0.04∗ 0.09∗∗∗

for females (0.04) (0.03) (0.03)Mean of DV 0.59 0.24 0.72Pre-program kerosene usage rate 0.53 0.53 0.53Observations 63633 63633 63633

•No significant health improvements.• Increased in household expenditure on food andeducation.

• Improved decision-making power ofwomen.Table 2: The Impact on decision-making power (source: IFLS)

Complete say inall decisions financial decisions

(score out of 18) (score out of 8)Post × pre-program kerosene 0.25 0.05

(0.23) (0.12)Post × pre-program kerosene 0.39 0.35∗∗

× female (0.28) (0.15)Estimated effect 0.64∗∗ 0.40∗∗∗

for females (0.29) (0.15)Mean of DV 3.52 1.3Pre-program kerosene usage rate 0.53 0.53Observations 44456 44456

Conclusion

•The program introduced a significant increase inLPG adoption and female labor force participationprobably through the time-saving nature of thecooking technology.

•The program improved the decision-making powerof women within households that could promotesustained use of LPG even after the subsidy iswithdrawn.

• In this way, the program served as an engine ofliberation for women in Indonesia.

Contact Information

•Email: [email protected]