Frost & Sullivan's New Mega Trends
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Transcript of Frost & Sullivan's New Mega Trends
New Mega Trends Macro to Micro Opportunities on Future Business, Cultures and Personal Lives
Sarwant Singh
Cities, and Not Countries,Will Drive Wealth Creation In the FutureCities like Seoul account for 50% of the country’s GDP; Budapest (Hungary) and Brussels (Belgium) each for roughly 45%.What are the Micro Implications?High Economic PowerHub and Spoke Business ModelTransit oriented developmentNew Mobility SolutionsCity as a Customer
Siemens Focuses on “City as the Customer”
Rail Systems
Mobility & Logistics
Low & Medium Voltage
Smart Grid
Building Technologies
OSRAM
Integrated Competencies into One DivisionPre- October 2011Independent Silos
Infrastructure & Cities
Post-October 2011“City as the Customer”
Convergence of Technology Will Lead to Convergence of Competition
Telecom Players
IT Players
Energy/InfrastructurePlayers
Automation/Building Control PlayersNote: This is an illustration and does not show all market players
VerizonO2Deutsche Telekom
Cisco IBMSchneider Electric
Alcatel-Lucent SenergyEatonSiemensGeneral ElectricABBEmerson
HoneywellRockwell AutomationJohnson Controls
SAPHP ST ElectronicsOracle GoogleMicrosoft
The Next Game Changers in 2025
$2,827 Billion
$5,437 Billion
$1,098 Billion
$811 Billion
$1,167 Billion $2,441
Billion
$653 Billion $6,235
Billion
$38,526 Billion
$6,189 Billion
$772 Billion $323
Billion
$483 Billion
MexicoBrazil
Argentina
Egypt
South Africa
Turkey
Poland
India
China
Russia
Indonesia
Thailand
Vietnam
PhilippinesBRIC Nations
Next Game Changers
Note : The figure denotes GDP at market prices. Forecasts to 2025 have been extrapolated based on Nominal GDP growth rate projections . Source: International Monetary Fund. Oxford Economics, Frost & Sullivan, 2012
$4,816 Billion
10 Connected Devices for Every Household by 2020
5 billion internet users by 2020
5 connected devices for every user by 2020
500 devices with unique digital IDs (Internet of things) per square kilometre by 2020
80 Billion Connected Devices By 2020
Technology ConvergenceIndustry ConvergenceProduct Convergence
Connectivity will Lead to Convergence of Products, Technologies and IndustriesUAV Unmanned Aerial VehicleV2V Vehicle to vehicle
Vehicle to Infrastructure
Vehicle to HomeV2H
V2I
Snapshot of a “Zero Concept” World in 2020
Zero Emissions from Cars
Zero Accidents
Zero Breaches of
Security
Zero Crime Rates
Zero Waste/ Emissions
Complete Recyclability from
Households (Cradle to Cradle Concept)
Zero Defects and Zero
Faults
Carbon Neutral Factories and Retail Stores
Carbon Neutral Cities
Zero Corporate
Debts
Zero Emails
New Business Models
Personalization and Customization
Personalization & CustomizationNike
Quirky .comCo-Creation
One-off ExperiencePay as you FlyUnmanned Aerial Vehicles(Thales)(red letter Days)
Will Replace“Value for Many”
“Value for Money”
Free Premium
Freemium
+
=
MoodStress levelsMental healthSense of optimismAttitudeSecuritySafety
Personal valuesPersonal fulfilment
Self image / self actualisation
Sight / visionTouch & feelSmell / breathingSoundTemperatureWellness
The 3 Cornerstones - The Body, Mind and Soul - Contribute To Humans Definition of Health, Wellness and Well Being
In Future, HS Rail will not only Connect Cities and Countries but will also Connect Continents• China : 25,000 kms by 2025 (7,431 kms in 2010)• 2020 Trans Siberian Link: New Route 66• Biggest Project: $68 billion California HSR• UK project: £33 billion (by 2026)What are the Opportunities?•Copper-silver and copper-magnesium wires•Steel Companies•Construction tooling, spare parts•Condition monitoring, security, surveillance, •Data handling, Passenger information systems•High Speed Logistics•Mergers and Acquisitions
Macro Micro
From Macro to Micro: Taking Mega Trends from Information to Strategy ImplementationMega TrendSelected trends that impact your business and markets
Sub TrendA sub-layer of trends that has a wide ranging impact Impact to Your IndustryVisualising the roadmap of these critical forces through scenario-building and macro economic forecasts
Impact on Future Product/ Technology
Analysis of Opportunities and Unmet Needs
To