FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea...

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Assessing the Risk and Vulnerability of NH Coastal Communities to Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST Seabrook - Hampton Falls – Hampton - North Hampton – Rye - New Castle - Portsmouth This project is funded by New Hampshire Homeland Security and Emergency Management (HSEM) through a Pre-Disaster Mitigation Grant from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). Julie LaBranche Senior Planner NH Office of Energy and Planning Spring 2016 Planning and Zoning Conference June 4, 2016

Transcript of FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea...

Page 1: FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea level Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level

Assessing the Risk and Vulnerability of NH Coastal Communities to Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge

FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

Seabrook - Hampton Falls – Hampton - North Hampton – Rye - New Castle - Portsmouth

This project is funded by New Hampshire Homeland

Security and Emergency Management (HSEM)

through a Pre-Disaster Mitigation Grant from the

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).

Julie LaBranche Senior Planner

NH Office of Energy and Planning Spring 2016 Planning and Zoning Conference

June 4, 2016

Page 2: FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea level Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level

FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

Portsmouth

New Castle

Rye

North Hampton

Hampton

Hampton Falls

Seabrook

Project Deliverables

• Maps and Data

• Regional and Municipal Vulnerability Assessment reports

Project Overview

• Evaluate impacts from sea-level rise and storm surge flooding

• Roadways, Critical Infrastructure, Natural Resources

Page 3: FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea level Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level

FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

Best-available science

Maps and Data

Municipal Coordination

Implementation Guidance

Vehicles for Informed Planning

Applicability

Tools and Applications

Page 4: FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea level Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level

FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

+6.3 feet sea level

+4.0 feet sea level

+1.7 feet sea level

Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level Rise, Storm Surges, and Extreme Precipitation in Coastal New Hampshire: Analysis of Past and Projected Future Trends.

Best Available Science- SLR Scenarios/Projections

Page 5: FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea level Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level

FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

Sea-level rise Sea-level rise + Storm surge

High-Resolution Mapping Flood Extents Impacts to assets and resources

Page 6: FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea level Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level

FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

High-Resolution Mapping Flood Extents Impacts to assets and resources

Example: Rye Harbor

Page 7: FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea level Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level

FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

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MHHW+ 1.7feet SLR

MHHW+ 4.0feet SLR

MHHW+ 6.3feet SLR

storm surge +1.7 feet SLR

storm surge +4.0 feet SLR

storm surge +6.3 feet SLR

State and Local Roadways (miles)

Local State

Impacts by Asset type

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FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

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Hampton HamptonFalls

NewCastle

NorthHampton Portsmouth

Rye Seabrook

Miles of Roadway by Municipality

SLR + 1.7 feet SLR + 4.0 feet SLR +6.3 feet

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FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

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Upland - acres above mean higher high water

SLR + 1.7 feet SLR + 4.0 feet SLR +6.3 feet

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Municipal Zoning Districts (acres)

SLR + 1.7 feet SLR + 4.0 feet SLR +6.3 feet

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FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

Implementation Guidance

• Designing for resiliency in the current 100-year floodplain will protect against long term sea-level rise

• Adaptation strategies need to be customized to address variable conditions

• Iterative actions, not a one-size-fits-all problem

• No-regrets policies and investments

• Periodic review and evaluation of climate science findings, adjust strategies accordingly

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FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

Municipal Coordination

Administration

Public Works

Planning

Building/Code Enforcement

Conservation

Public Outreach & Participation

Community Support For Actions

Regional & State Coordination

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• Critical Infrastructure

• State and Local Roads

• Utilities and Infrastructure

• Natural Resources - Environment

• Policy and Planning Recommendations

• Regulatory Strategies

• Non-Regulatory Approaches

Local Hazard Mitigation

Plans

State Agency Plans

Regional

Master Plan

Natural Resource Conservation

Vulnerability Assessment

Regional Planning Recommendations

FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

Vehicles for Informed Planning

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FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST

How can the project results be useful?

o Inform recommendations in the CRHC Final Report

o Assist regional practitioners with technical assistance and outreach to municipalities

o Guide policy changes by state agencies

o Provide a solid rationale for grant proposals to fund infrastructure improvements, planning and community outreach

Project Applicability