From Knowledge To Understanding

From Knowledge to Understanding Domagoj Juričić

from knowledge to from knowledge to understandingunderstanding

1. navigations 1. navigations and returnsand returns

2. the 2. the futurefuture

- why are we where we are?- why are we where we are?

- where have we arrived?- where have we arrived?

- where do we go from here?- where do we go from here?

- welcome - welcome to to extremistaextremistan!n!

- top - top trends that trends that will will reshape reshape the worldthe worldTraveling through timeTraveling through time

NAVIGATIONS AND RETURNSNAVIGATIONS AND RETURNSWhy are we where we are?Why are we where we are?

Life is an unending sequence of bifurcations*. The decision I take, implies all the decisions I did not take. The route I choose, is part of all the routes I did not choose. Our life is inevitably a permanent choice of one among infinity of ontological possibilities. *Bifurcate - to divide into a two parts or branches.

Sometime during the XII century a young man named Giovanni Bernardone, while still very young and very rich, dedicated to radically change his life. As a result of his transformation, we remember him today as Francis of Assisi who spoke of brother Sun and sister Moon, of brother wolf, and of water, fire and trees, and people as brothers and sisters as well. The world he had described and felt was a world where love was not only possible but made sense and had a universal meaning.

Brilliant and astute Machiavelli warned us that: “It is much safer to be feared than to be loved”. By describing the world, in addition, he has created one. World we live today is not that of Francis. It is the world of Machiavelli. Francis was the route not navigated.

The world LAST NIGHT

Francesco Pico della Mirandola Francis Bacon Giordano Bruno

“Through my window, what I see, are hats and coats covering automatic machines”. We did not navigate the world of Giordano Bruno. Instead, we chose that of Descartes and we have witnessed the triumph of mechanism and reductionism.

FOR NEWTON, THE LANGUAGE OF NATURE IS MATHEMATICS. NOTHING IS IMPORTANT IN SCIENCE THAT CANNOT BE MEASURED. SCIENCE IS THE SUPREME MANIFESTATION OF REASON, AND REASON IS THE SUPREME ATTRIBUTE OF HUMAN BEING.

“SCIENCE IS AS MUCH AN INNER PATH OF SPIRITUAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT IS A DISCIPLINE AIMED AT ACCUMULATING KNOWLEDGE OF THE PHYSICAL WORLD. IT INVOLVES NOT ONLY A RIGOROUS TRAINING OF OUR FACULTIES OF OBSERVATION AND THINKING, BUT ALSO OF OTHER HUMAN FACULTIES WHICH CAN ATTUNE US TO THE SPIRITUAL DIMENSION THAT UNDERLINES AND INTERPENETRATES THE PHYSICAL: FACULTIES SUCH AS FEELING, IMAGINATION AND INTUITION. SCIENCE, AS GOETHE CONCEIVED AND PRACTICED IT, HAS AS ITS HIGHEST GOAL THE AROUSAL OF THE FEELING OF WONDER THROUGH CONTEMPLATIVE LOOKING (Anschauung), IN WHICH THE SCIENTIST WOULD COME TO SEE GOD IN NATURE AND NATURE IN GOD.”

Jeremy Naydler, Goethe on Science, pg. 23, Floris Books, England, 2000

NAVIGATIONS AND RETURNSNAVIGATIONS AND RETURNSWhere have we arrived?Where have we arrived?

WE HAVE ARRIVED AT A POINT IN OUR HUMAN EVOLUTION, THE CHARACTERISTIC OF WHICH IS THAT WE KNOW A LOT, BUT WE UNDERSTAND VERY LITTLE.

REASON = KNOWLEDGE

SOMETHING MISSING

?

To know To know LOVE LOVE oror

To understand To understand LOVELOVE

PORT OF UNDERSTANDINGPORT OF UNDERSTANDING

COMPLETENESSCOMPLETENESS

NAVIGATIONS AND RETURNSNAVIGATIONS AND RETURNSWhere do we go from here?Where do we go from here?

Welcome to the Sigmund Freud couch

Mmmh, what do we have here?

Which way?

You can access knowledge today from almost every place in the world. The whole knowledge literally at the palm of your hand. Technology offers us that, making us equal in assessing to the knowledge...

Leonardo Da Vinci was creative, but alone

Have you noticed how the cleverest people at school are not those who make it in life?

Fundamentally, nothing has changed except that business is changing much faster than educational system.

All children are born artists!

Sir Ken Robinson - internationally recognized leader in the development of creativity

CHANGECHANGE

YES, WE CAN!

THE FUTURETHE FUTUREWelcome to Extremistan!Welcome to Extremistan!

FREEDOM RULES?

Postcard from the future?

Competition is closer than it

appears

SPEEDSPEED - the rate of change will be blinding, comprehensive in scope, and will - the rate of change will be blinding, comprehensive in scope, and will touch every aspect of your life.touch every aspect of your life.

COMPLEXITYCOMPLEXITY - a quantum leap in the number of seemingly unrelated forces - a quantum leap in the number of seemingly unrelated forces that will have a direct bearing on everything from lifestyles to work to personal that will have a direct bearing on everything from lifestyles to work to personal and national security.and national security.

RISKRISK - new risks, higher risks, and more threats from terror to crime to global - new risks, higher risks, and more threats from terror to crime to global economic upheaval will alter every aspect of your life.economic upheaval will alter every aspect of your life.

CHANGECHANGE - drastic adjustments in your work, community, and relationships will - drastic adjustments in your work, community, and relationships will force you to adopt quickly to radical changes.force you to adopt quickly to radical changes.

SURPRISESURPRISE - sometimes good, sometimes difficult to imagine, surprise will - sometimes good, sometimes difficult to imagine, surprise will become a daily feature of your life, often challenging sensibility and logic.become a daily feature of your life, often challenging sensibility and logic.

5 Factors that will define The Extreme 5 Factors that will define The Extreme FutureFuture

Source: Institute for Global FuturesSource: Institute for Global Futures

Some past forecastsSome past forecastsInformation technology, especially Internet and wireless will become a strategic Information technology, especially Internet and wireless will become a strategic competitive weapon in business.competitive weapon in business.

Energy terrorism will emerge.Energy terrorism will emerge.

DNA will be used for predictive health care, longevity, and security.DNA will be used for predictive health care, longevity, and security.

There will be a decline in petro-reserves, leading to energy innovations and global conflict.There will be a decline in petro-reserves, leading to energy innovations and global conflict.

There will be a revolution in molecular manufacturing - known as Nanotech.There will be a revolution in molecular manufacturing - known as Nanotech.

Products that think will emerge.Products that think will emerge.

There will be an explosive growth of the personal security market.There will be an explosive growth of the personal security market.

The Clean Tech market will emerge, promoting social responsibility and profit.The Clean Tech market will emerge, promoting social responsibility and profit.

Knowledge talent must compete in a global innovation-based economy free from borders.Knowledge talent must compete in a global innovation-based economy free from borders.

Innovation will be a key future driver of prosperity, democracy, and wealt creation.Innovation will be a key future driver of prosperity, democracy, and wealt creation.Source: Institute for Global FuturesSource: Institute for Global Futures

Mapping the FutureMapping the Future

Future mapFuture mapAn

ticipa

te

Antic

ipate

EvolveEvolve

Innov

ate

Innov

ate

AdaptAdapt

Mapping the Future: Mapping the Future: exampleexample

Fueling Fueling the Futurethe FutureOptionsOptions IssuesIssues

End of OilEnd of Oil

NuclearNuclear

GeopoliticsGeopolitics

SecuritySecurity

TerrorismTerrorism

SolarSolar

HydrogenHydrogen

BioFuelsBioFuels

WindWind

Nano TechNano Tech

10 extreme innovations that 10 extreme innovations that will will rock your world in rock your world in 20252025Teleportation of objects around the planet.Teleportation of objects around the planet.

Specialized DNA for sale online.Specialized DNA for sale online.

Space tourism to the Moon and Mars.Space tourism to the Moon and Mars.

4 billion people doing e-commerce.4 billion people doing e-commerce.

Hydrogen engines for transportation.Hydrogen engines for transportation.

Cybernetic health enhancement of humans.Cybernetic health enhancement of humans.

Downloading memories and drugs.Downloading memories and drugs.

Domestic robots.Domestic robots.


The World of 2040The World of 204090% of nations are democratic and enjoy free trade and open markets.90% of nations are democratic and enjoy free trade and open markets.

Innovation is the key driver of global GDP growth, which tops 7% annually.Innovation is the key driver of global GDP growth, which tops 7% annually.

Hunger and poverty are virtually eliminated, and innovation has raised the global Hunger and poverty are virtually eliminated, and innovation has raised the global standard of living through increased trade, better health care, and social services.standard of living through increased trade, better health care, and social services.

Innovation industries are supported by online quality education that is free to all.Innovation industries are supported by online quality education that is free to all.

Innovation has been a key force in establishing global peace and security.Innovation has been a key force in establishing global peace and security.

Innovations in media have enabled more cross-cultural understanding, reducing Innovations in media have enabled more cross-cultural understanding, reducing global tensions and conflict.global tensions and conflict.

Vibrant global trade enables billions of entrepreneurs to achieve wealth and self-Vibrant global trade enables billions of entrepreneurs to achieve wealth and self-reliance, and to invest in democratic reforms in their nations.reliance, and to invest in democratic reforms in their nations.

Longer life and a marked increase in personal wealth and quality of life are Longer life and a marked increase in personal wealth and quality of life are available to all.available to all.

Communications and the Internet are available to all nations and peoples.Communications and the Internet are available to all nations and peoples.Source: Institute for Global FuturesSource: Institute for Global Futures

Signs of the Innovation Signs of the Innovation EconomyEconomyOne third of US GDP is already based on innovation industries. By 2015, more One third of US GDP is already based on innovation industries. By 2015, more

than two-thirds of US GDP and more than one-third of the world GDP will be than two-thirds of US GDP and more than one-third of the world GDP will be based on innovation industries.based on innovation industries.

IT drives more than two-thirds of labor productivity today. By 2015, innovation IT drives more than two-thirds of labor productivity today. By 2015, innovation industries will dominate labor productivity worldwide.industries will dominate labor productivity worldwide.

More than billion people are connected to the Internet today. By 2015, 3 More than billion people are connected to the Internet today. By 2015, 3 billion people will be online.billion people will be online.

The nano-tech industry generates more than $10 billion today. By 2015, nano-The nano-tech industry generates more than $10 billion today. By 2015, nano-tech will generate more than $1 trillion and employ one million workers.tech will generate more than $1 trillion and employ one million workers.

Total ICT spending worldwide is about $2 trillion today. By 2015, it will exceed Total ICT spending worldwide is about $2 trillion today. By 2015, it will exceed $5 trillion.$5 trillion.

Where there is a high-tech penetration of computers, wireless, and Internet Where there is a high-tech penetration of computers, wireless, and Internet access, democratic societies thrive and economic productivity is robust.access, democratic societies thrive and economic productivity is robust.


The formula of the InnovationThe formula of the Innovation EconomyEconomyI + C + D = P2I + C + D = P2

(Innovation + Capitalism + Democracy = Prosperity and Peace)(Innovation + Capitalism + Democracy = Prosperity and Peace)

Top 10 Industries of the IETop 10 Industries of the IEPharma/HealthPharma/HealthEnergyEnergyManufacturingManufacturingCommunicationsCommunicationsTransportationTransportationSecuritySecurityEntertainment MediaEntertainment MediaEducation and LearningEducation and LearningKnowledge EngineeringKnowledge EngineeringSmart MaterialsSmart Materials


How to kill the future of your How to kill the future of your economy?economy?

Don’t invest in innovation, science or technology.Don’t invest in innovation, science or technology.

Don’t develop, acquire, or protect intellectual property.Don’t develop, acquire, or protect intellectual property.

Don’t fix the education system.Don’t fix the education system.

Hold back on immigration.Hold back on immigration.

Stop training workers to invent innovation.Stop training workers to invent innovation.

Limit personal privacy.Limit personal privacy.

Allow terrorism and crime to persist.Allow terrorism and crime to persist.

Don’t protect individual freedoms; no free press, no free trade.Don’t protect individual freedoms; no free press, no free trade.

Create barriers to free enterprise.Create barriers to free enterprise.

Why education must change to prepare the future Why education must change to prepare the future workforceworkforce

The current education system has failed to complete its most vital and The current education system has failed to complete its most vital and strategic mandate: preparing the workforce for the future.strategic mandate: preparing the workforce for the future.

Education does not have the leadership, guts, or vision to reinvent itself.Education does not have the leadership, guts, or vision to reinvent itself.

Most schools, kindergarten through college, are not in sync with changes in the Most schools, kindergarten through college, are not in sync with changes in the marketplace - more competitive, more complex, more global, more innovation-marketplace - more competitive, more complex, more global, more innovation-driven.driven.

Teachers are not the problem. Pay teachers double and retain them for the Teachers are not the problem. Pay teachers double and retain them for the Innovation Economy. Measure this performance, hire the best, and fire the Innovation Economy. Measure this performance, hire the best, and fire the slackers.slackers.

Political leaders have lacked the courage to create Future-Ready national Political leaders have lacked the courage to create Future-Ready national innovation curriculum: more science, more soul, more innovation, more high-innovation curriculum: more science, more soul, more innovation, more high-tech, a more global outlook, more entrepreneurial skills.tech, a more global outlook, more entrepreneurial skills.

We are teaching kids about the past. We need to teach kids about the future. We are teaching kids about the past. We need to teach kids about the future. How to survive in the Extreme Future.How to survive in the Extreme Future.

Headlines from the past: 1876 - Headlines from the past: 1876 - 19431943

““The telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered The telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.”us.”Western Union internal memo, 1876Western Union internal memo, 1876

““Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible”Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible”Lord Kelvin, Royal Society president, 1895Lord Kelvin, Royal Society president, 1895

““Everything that can be invented has been invented.”Everything that can be invented has been invented.”Charles H. Duell, US Office of Patents, 1899Charles H. Duell, US Office of Patents, 1899

““Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?”Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?”Harry M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927Harry M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927

““I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943

Global Disruptive Global Disruptive OpportunitiesOpportunities

20052005 20102010 20152015 20202020 20252025

Low

Low

Med

iuM

ediu

mmHi

ghHi

gh PostPostGenomicGenomicSocietySociety

On-DemandOn-Demand

Wireless Wireless BroadbandBroadband

TerrorismTerrorism

HumanHumanEnhancementEnhancement

PervasivePervasiveIntelligenceIntelligence

Peer to PeerPeer to Peer

Real-TimeReal-TimeKnowledgeKnowledge

Cyber-HumanCyber-Human

Smart SpacesSmart Spaces

GridGridI-MarketplaceI-Marketplace

WorkforceWorkforceShortageShortage

DroidsDroids

HydrogenHydrogenColonizeColonizeSpaceSpace

DesignedDesignedEvolutionEvolution

Nano EconomyNano Economy

QuantumQuantum

Extreme competition. Complex technology. Dynamic Extreme competition. Complex technology. Dynamic global trade. Increased population. Disruptive act of global trade. Increased population. Disruptive act of terrorism. Sophisticated crime. Climate risks. terrorism. Sophisticated crime. Climate risks. Expensive energy. This is the world of 2015. Expensive energy. This is the world of 2015.

The world in 2015 will be an extreme future in which The world in 2015 will be an extreme future in which the overlapping of the above scenarios will demand the overlapping of the above scenarios will demand insight, skills, collaboration, and leadership. The level insight, skills, collaboration, and leadership. The level of accelerated change and the complexity of of accelerated change and the complexity of challenges will be like snowboarding an avalanche challenges will be like snowboarding an avalanche from the top of Mt. Everest - intense, demanding, and from the top of Mt. Everest - intense, demanding, and fast. Maybe even lethal. fast. Maybe even lethal.

And that’s the good news.And that’s the good news.

The EndThe EndDomagoj JuričićDomagoj Juričić

From Knowledge To Understanding

Spiritual

Transcript of From Knowledge To Understanding