From ITRS 2.0 to IRDS” · OCTOBER 2017 E3S P.Gargini Paolo Gargini Chairman IRDS, IEUVI Fellow...

62
E3S P.Gargini OCTOBER 2017 Paolo Gargini Chairman IRDS, IEUVI Fellow IEEE, Fellow I - JSAP “Roadmap Evolution: From NTRS to ITRS, From ITRS 2.0 to IRDS” 1

Transcript of From ITRS 2.0 to IRDS” · OCTOBER 2017 E3S P.Gargini Paolo Gargini Chairman IRDS, IEUVI Fellow...

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Paolo Gargini

Chairman IRDS, IEUVI

Fellow IEEE, Fellow I-JSAP

“Roadmap Evolution:

From NTRS to ITRS,

From ITRS 2.0 to IRDS”

1

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

The Making of an Industry

1958. Invention of planar process

1958. Invention of integrated circuit (IC)

1965. First publication of Moore’s Law

1969-71. Commercialization of MOS

1972-74. Dennard’s Scaling Laws

1975. Second publications of Moore’s Law

1975~2002. Geometrical Scaling

2003~2024. Equivalent Scaling

2025~2040. 3D Power Scaling

~25 years

~25 years

~25 years

2

~25 years

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

The Power of Trends

TIME

COST

PAST

PRESENT

FUTURE

TIME

PERFORMANCE

PAST

PRESENT

FUTURE

3

~20-25 years inflection points

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Cost and Performance Penalties

Pdynamic ≈ N * C * V2 * f * A

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Moore and Dennard1975

Yield

Miniaturization

Die Size increase

Device design

Circuit Design

Die layout

Moore

Transistor economics

1. Per die

2. Per product

Scaling

Voltage reduction

Current Increase

Capacitance reduction

Delay time decrease

Power reduction

Dennard

Transistor performance

1. Faster

2. Lower power

5

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 6

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 7

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Gate Delay Continues to Improve

7pS

3pS

2pS

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

First Age of Scaling(Self-aligned Silicon Gate)

Phase 1

9

~1975-2002

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 10

The Incredible Shrinking Silicon Technology of the 90’s

0.35 µ

Gate

Salicide

Spacer

Salicide

1995 m0.25

Salicide

Gate Spacer

Salicide

1997 0.18µ

Gate Spacer

Salicide

Salicide

1999

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

NTRS1991,1992,1994 and1997

11

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

~20-25 Years Later

1975-1997

12

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Gate Dielectric Scaling

1

2

3

To

x e

qu

iva

len

t (n

m)

4 8 12

Monolayers

4

0

1999

2001

2003

2005

1997 NTRS

You Are Here!

Silicon substrate

1.2nm SiO2

Gate

From My Files

13

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

The Power of Trends

TIME

COST

PAST

PRESENT

FUTURE

TIME

PERFORMANCE

PAST

PRESENT

FUTURE

14

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Audience Reaction to the News

15

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

ITRS 1.0

1998

16

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Second Age of Scaling:(Equivalent Scaling)

Phase 2

17

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

The Ideal MOS Transistor

From My Files

Fully Surrounding

Metal Electrode

High-K

Gate Insulator

Fully Enclosed,

Depleted

Semiconductor

Low Resistance

Source/Drain

DrainSource

Metal Gate Insulator

Band Engineered

Semiconductor

18

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 19

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Incubation Time

EarlyInvention

FocusedResearch

IntroductionManufacturing

Strained Silicon 1992 1998 2003

HKMG 1996 1998 2007

Raised S/D 1993 1998 2009

MultiGates 1988 2000 2011~11 years

DrainSource

Metal Gate Insulator

1998

20

$$$

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 21

2011

FinFET

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

~20-25 Years Later

1997-2025

22

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

5

7

10

Te

ch

no

log

y N

od

e (

nm

)

2017 2015 2013

14

2019

2013 ITRS

2021

3

1

Technology Node Scaling

Today’s Challenge

23

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

The Power of Trends

TIME

COST

PAST

PRESENT

FUTURE

TIME

PERFORMANCE

PAST

PRESENT

FUTURE

24

~20-25 years inflection points

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 25

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

3D Manhattan Solution

26

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 27Kinam Kim, IEEE Fellow, President Samsung Electronics

27

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Mask Count Reduction due to 3D architecture

28

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

ITRS 2.0

http://www.itrs2.net

29

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

NAND Flash

Year of Production 2015 2016 2020 2022 2024 2028 20302D NAND Flash uncontacted poly 1/2 pitch – F (nm) 15 14 12 12 12 12 12

3D NAND minimum array 1/2 pitch - F(nm) 80nm 80nm 80nm 80nm 80nm 80nm 80nm

Number of word lines in one 3D NAND string 32 32-48 64-96 96-128 128-192 256-384 384-512

Dominant Cell type (FG, CT, 3D, etc.) FG/CT/3D FG/CT/3D FG/CT/3D FG/CT/3D FG/CT/3D FG/CT/3D FG/CT/3D

Product highest density (2D or 3D) 256G 384G 768G 1T 1.5T 3T 4T

3D NAND number of memory layers 32 32-48 64-96 96-128 128-192 256-384 384-512

Maximum number of bits per cell for 2D NAND 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

Maximum number of bits per cell for 3D NAND 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

30

ITRS 2.0

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 31

From NTRS to ITRS to ITRS 2.0 to IRDS

The IRDS is the ONLY roadmap that represents the

continuation, enhancement and evolution of ITRS.

http://irds.ieee.org/

2016

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Monolithic Heterogeneous Computing Architecture

32

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Multigate FET Offers a Simple Way

for Scaling and Improving Performance

5 4 3

Semicon Japan, December 6, 2013

33

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 34

Mark Bohr, August 11, 2014

Fin FET Scaling

70%

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Mark Bohr, August 11, 2014

35

Accelerated Fin FET Scaling

35%

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Mark Bohr, August 11, 2014

36

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

March 2017

Fin Height= 34nm Fin Height= 42nm Fin Height= 53nm

37

FIN Height Growing at ~25%/generation

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 38

LOGIC AREA SCALING

March 2017

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 39

LOGIC AREA SCALING

March 2017

~0.37

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 40

March 2017

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

~0.59

41

March 2017

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Layout Comparison: Logic vs. SRAM

42

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 43

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 44

SRAM Memory Cell

C1C2

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

P

H

MG

2016 IEDM

45

T1

T2

T6

T5

T3 T4

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 46

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 47

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

“7 nm”

108nm

110nm

P

H

MG

48

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 49

T1

T2

T6

T5

T3 T4

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 50

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017 51

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

The Power of Trends

TIME

COST

PAST

PRESENT

FUTURE

TIME

PERFORMANCE

PAST

PRESENT

FUTURE

52

~20-25 years inflection points

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

2D-> (0.59)n1 = 0.12 n1=4

3D(2)-> (0.59) n2=0.044

3D(4)-> (0.59) n3=0.0028

Compounded area reduction vs.

number of generations

n2=6

n3=11

53

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

2D-> (0.50)n1 = 0.12 N1=3

3D(2)-> (0.50) n2=0.044

3D(4)-> (0.50) n3=0.0028

Compounded area reduction vs.

number of generations

N2=5

N3=9

54

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Layout Comparison: Logic vs. SRAM

55

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

3nm Universal Logic LayoutL/C=10nm L/C, S= 10-15nm

56

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

~20-25 Years Later

2025-2040

57

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

Third Age of Scaling(3D Power Scaling)

Phase 3

58

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

3D

59

ITRS 2.0->IRDS

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

The Different Ages of Scaling(Different methods for different times)

① Geometrical Scaling (1975-2002)① Reduction of horizontal and vertical physical dimensions in

conjunction with improved performance of planar transistors

② Equivalent Scaling (2003~2024)① Reduction of only horizontal dimensions in conjunction with

introduction of new materials and new physical effects. New vertical structures replace the planar transistor

③ 3D Power Scaling (2025~2040)① Transition to complete vertical device structures.

Heterogeneous integration in conjunction with reduced power consumption become the technology drivers

60

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

The Ideal MOS Transistor (2025~2040)

From My Files

Fully Surrounding

Metal Electrode

High-K

Gate Insulator

Fully Enclosed,

Depleted

Semiconductor

Low Resistance

Source/DrainBand Engineered

Semiconductor

DrainSource

Metal Gate Insulator

61

E3S P.GarginiOCTOBER 2017

“How Long will the Industry

Delay the Conversion to

3D Monolithic Integration ?”

62

Thank you!