From: Claxton, Marshall Sent: Friday, October 06, 2017 1 ...From: Claxton, Marshall To: Jump,...

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From: Claxton, Marshall To: Jump, Christine Subject: Final: Revised: FFS Schedule and Cost Estimate Review TM-West Lake LF OU1 Project Date: Monday, December 18, 2017 9:25:22 PM Attachments: 2017_10_05 West Lake Landfill FS Cost-Schedule Review Summary Rv2.pdf 2017_10_05 West Lake Landfill FS Cost-Schedule Review Summary Rv2.docx Chris, Attached for the file is a final revised FFS Schedule and Cost Estimate Review TM for the West Lake LF OU1 Project. A pdf version and word version was provided. Please let us know if you have any additional comments on this information. Marshall Claxton Black Veatch Special Projects PE Kansas/Nebraska O 913 458-6508 M 913 226-1683 [email protected] From: Claxton, Marshall Sent: Friday, October 06, 2017 1:45 PM To: 'Jump, Christine' Cc: Law, Preston Subject: Revised: FFS Schedule and Cost Estimate Review TM-West Lake LF OU1 Project Chris, During our discussion this morning I noted a comment that needed to be deleted (previous comment 40 was already covered by comment 38). This has been corrected in the attached revision. Similar to previous we have attached bot a pdf and word version of this document for your use. Let us know if you have any additional questions. Marshall Claxton Black Veatch Special Projects PE Kansas/Nebraska O 913 458-6508 M 913 226-1683 [email protected]

Transcript of From: Claxton, Marshall Sent: Friday, October 06, 2017 1 ...From: Claxton, Marshall To: Jump,...

  • From: Claxton, MarshallTo: Jump, ChristineSubject: Final: Revised: FFS Schedule and Cost Estimate Review TM-West Lake LF OU1 ProjectDate: Monday, December 18, 2017 9:25:22 PMAttachments: 2017_10_05 West Lake Landfill FS Cost-Schedule Review Summary Rv2.pdf

    2017_10_05 West Lake Landfill FS Cost-Schedule Review Summary Rv2.docx

    Chris, Attached for the file is a final revised FFS Schedule and Cost Estimate Review TM for the West LakeLF OU1 Project.  A pdf version and word version was provided. Please let us know if you have any additional comments on this information.  Marshall ClaxtonBlack Veatch Special ProjectsPE Kansas/NebraskaO 913 458-6508M 913 [email protected]   

    From: Claxton, Marshall Sent: Friday, October 06, 2017 1:45 PMTo: 'Jump, Christine'Cc: Law, PrestonSubject: Revised: FFS Schedule and Cost Estimate Review TM-West Lake LF OU1 Project Chris, During our discussion this morning I noted a comment that needed to be deleted (previouscomment 40 was already covered by comment 38).  This has been corrected in the attachedrevision.  Similar to previous we have attached bot a pdf and word version of this document for youruse. Let us know if you have any additional questions. Marshall ClaxtonBlack Veatch Special ProjectsPE Kansas/NebraskaO 913 458-6508M 913 [email protected]   

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
  • www.bv.com

    MEMORANDUM

    Subject: West Lake Landfill OU1– Feasibility Study Cost and Schedule Review

    Date: October 5, 2017 To: Chris Jump (USEPA) From: Marshall Claxton (BVSPC)

    Based on USEPA request received by email on 9/21/17, this memorandum provides our preliminary thoughts regarding the review of the cost and schedule appendices in the Final Feasibility Study (FFS) for the West Lake Landfill Operable Unit 1 (OU1) Site in Bridgeton, Missouri. Our scope was to focus our review on Appendix G - Conceptual Environmental Monitoring Program, Appendix J – Estimated Project Schedules for the Remedial Alternatives, and Appendix K – Cost Estimates. The entire FFS was also provided to assist in the review of the cost and schedule information. Following are our comments from this review. Some general comments on the FFS that may have impacts on the schedule and cost are provided first, followed then by more specific comments on the Project Schedule and the Cost Estimate.

    General FS Comments

    Based on our review of the FFS, following are general comments on technical aspects of the remedial action alternatives that could result in impacts on schedule durations and costs associated with their implementation:

    1. Although increased costs are incurred, the revised UMTRCA landfill cap will provide

    increased protection from the ROD-selected remedy cap alternative as identified in the FFS.

    The additional measures that appear to provide added value include the following:

    The relocated biointrusion layer will provide increased protection to the infiltration

    barriers.

    The reduced clay permeability will substantially reduce infiltration through the cap.

    The drainage layer above the infiltration barrier will reduce infiltration through the cap.

    The inclusion of the geosynthetic clay layer (GCL) on the flatter slopes will protect the

    underlying low permeability clay and provide additional infiltration protection.

    2. The following general observations were noted which could have cost and schedule impact

    for the excavation alternatives:

    2.1 The accuracy of the identification of the extent of the targeted RIM material is critical to

    the execution of the excavation plans. Significant changes in the identified RIM extent

    will impact the sequencing of the excavations. The FFS consistently indicates the extent

    of the RIM material based on the 50% estimate is anticipated to underestimate the

    volume of RIM material. Subsection 5.5.1 states a value of 2 over the 50% estimate is

    possible. Therefore, the schedule and estimate for the cost and time of completion of

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 2

    the excavation options is subject to considerable uncertainty. This may exceed the

    +50% cost estimate accuracy.

    2.2 The FFS states there is uncertainty on the acceptability of the RIM material mixed with

    municipal solid waste (MSW) material for offsite disposal and this assumption would

    need to be verified during the Remedial Design (Subsection 6.2.4.3.2). In general,

    before determining the acceptability of any of the excavation alternatives, it is

    recommended that all transportation and disposal issues and costs be fully considered

    and clarified within the evaluations provided.

    2.3 The FFS indicates that the extent of RIM material will be verified during excavation.

    These confirmation activities will impact the progress of work and as indicated in the

    FFS, will reduce the efficiency of the excavation, thus lengthening the duration of the

    full and partial excavation alternatives. This reduction in efficiency will add to the

    schedule and cost uncertainty by further impacting the accuracy of the estimates. As

    indicated in the FFS, the excavation alternatives require significant excavation and

    relocation of municipal solid waste (MSW) materials.

    2.4 The FFS also raises the issues of bird and odor control and states mitigation measures

    will be instituted. Mitigation measures will help reduce odor and potential bird

    nuisance issues. However, the need to excavate and expose the MSW to ambient air

    and new oxygen sources and the relocation of the MSW material has a high potential for

    odor releases regardless to institution of mitigation measures, as noted in the FFS.

    These issues may not only be undervalued by current cost and schedule considerations,

    but may also be a significant public issue, particularly for the relatively long durations

    associated with the excavation schedules. The Federal Aviation Administration also

    expressed significant concerns with bird issues and issues related to long exposures to

    MSW materials during extended periods of excavation.

    2.5 The excavation plans require significant double handling of non-RIM material. The cost

    was significantly impacted by implementation of detailed excavation versus mass

    excavation. Changes in the amount and extent of intermingling of the RIM and non-RIM

    material will impact the quantities being handled, and therefore the rate of excavation

    and associated costs. Also as indicated in the FFS, there remains a high degree of

    uncertainty in regards to the means and ability to separate the RIM from the MSW that

    would not be established until the Remedial Design phase of the project which could

    also increase the time and cost of the project. In the FFS, it was suggested that a pilot

    scale type study would be conducted to further address this issue; however, no cost was

    allocated within the cost estimate for this type of study within the excavation

    alternatives.

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 3

    Schedule Specific Comments

    Following are comments that are specific to the schedule. These comments are based primarily on

    the review of Appendix J-Estimated Project Schedules of the FFS. For ease of review and reference,

    the comments that follow have been first been categorized as General and Alternative-Specific

    Comments, then within each of these comment categories, comments regarding the schedule

    format and logic are provided first, followed by content-specific schedule comments.

    General Schedule Comments

    3. The schedule methodology suggests that durations are resource and calendar driven and

    that the activities are not resource-leveled or balanced. It is understood that activities that

    are occurring in parallel have not been synchronized and that only the critical activity

    (longest calendar duration) were considered as the drivers of project duration. Therefore,

    using this approach, overall conservative (but very limited on logic dependencies) schedules

    have been developed for FFS alternatives.

    4. The schedule methodology suggests the schedules were developed with some “task

    dependency logic”; furthermore, the methodology declares that logic was incorporated “as

    needed”. Using this approach, would it would be assumed that the schedule was developed

    following a Critical Path Method (CPM). However, the CPM relies on complete logic of all

    planned events, even if they are not critical drivers. Based on our review of the alternative

    project schedules, there are a summary or hammock activities that appear to contain

    completed logic ties, but those activities not logically tied to their dependencies. Using this

    approach it is difficult for an independent reviewer to objectively trace or follow the logic to

    validate the critical sequence.

    5. Typically for a CPM duration activity schedule, electronic generated and associated

    illustrated schedules would designate a better identifiable method (i.e., use of consistent

    color schemes [red color throughout]), to identify the tasks that would be on the critical

    path. By review of review of the copy and electronic files, and through reverse engineering,

    we believe there has been an attempt to do this manually (by selection of a red color

    scheme to indicate the critical path) by the selection of the longest duration activities within

    tasks, then construction of the overall critical path from longest durations from the tasks,

    while also designating other colors for the other activities (blue color) for those tasks that

    are not on the critical path. However, limited explanation is provided to support this

    observation and the schedule presentations in Appendix J are very hard to follow. It is

    suggested that for the final schedule presentations it would be better to use only one

    designated color scheme (e.g., red throughout) to show the overall critical path, then use

    another color to show longest durations activities within a task that do not have an impact

    on the critical path, and another color(s) to show those activities within Tasks that are just

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 4

    shown for information or accountability that have little or no impact on the critical path. It

    is also suggested that a legend be provided on the detailed project schedule illustrations to

    better define the importance of the color scheme used.

    6. Project schedule durations (time to reach remedial action objectives) for the alternatives in

    the Executive Summary did not match the projection schedule durations determined in

    Appendix J. The differences are shown below:

    Alternative Ex Sum Duration Appendix J

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap 2.8 year 1.8 years

    UMTCRA Cap 2.8 years 2.8 years

    Full Excavation 14.9 years 13.6 years

    Partial Excavation (5.92 pCi/g) 5.8 years 4.0 years

    Partial Excavation (1000 pCi/g) 8.6 years 7.3 years

    It is assumed that Appendix J is correct based on the backup provided for schedules.

    Clarification is requested to verify which schedule durations are correct.

    7. Although a brief explanation of the method used to determine durations was provided, an

    example to demonstrate how cost information was used to determine activity durations

    should have been provided to allow reviewers a better understanding of how activity

    durations were determined (e.g., from cost estimates: durations=quantities (project specific

    inputs)/daily construction rates (as defined by reference source RS Means)).

    8. The estimated length of construction durations listed for the ROD-selected remedy cap and

    the UMTRCA cap provided in the project schedules in Appendix J (1.8 years) are slightly

    higher than those defined and used in the Cost Estimates in Appendix K (1.7 years). It is

    suggested for consistency that the durations be clarified and that only one duration be used

    for both assessments.

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap Alternative Schedule Comments

    9. Within the detailed schedules for this alternative, the “Clean Frac Tanks” and “Clean

    Leachate Frac Tanks” activities (IDs 44, 122, and 132) are highlighted red in the Gantt Chart

    illustration, suggesting they are critical activities in the overall project sequence. In a typical

    CPM schedule, these activities would not be considered as major construction events

    (critical driver). However because in this instance they have long activity durations, they

    appears as major contributors for the schedule of this Alternative. This is example of the

    consideration defined by previous comments 3-5. An additional explanation for justification

    for this type of activities’ criticality is recommended because this type of activity would not

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 5

    normally be considered a major construction event that would normally contribute to the

    overall project duration.

    10. The logic displayed within the schedule appears to suggest that the clay layer material

    acquisition and staging cannot begin until the bio-intrusion layer construction has been

    completed. It also appears as if the acquisition of the clay layer material is weather

    constrained. Because of these factors, construction appears to be halted for 5+ months

    when clay acquisition is not possible and delayed an additional 2 months while it is

    delivered. This duration contributes to the overall scenario duration and could likely be

    mitigated by better material planning, storage, and staging. A similar condition exists within

    the schedule for the bio-intrusion layer, yet is less impactful – 1 month.

    UMTRCA Cap Alternative

    11. The same duration as the ROD-selected remedy cap is assumed. Although the ROD-selected

    cap and UMCTRA have the same overall thickness (~5.5 ft thick) the similar assumption of

    similar duration wouldn’t seem quite correct since the UMCTA cap appears to be more

    complex to build (more layers of different materials than the ROD-selected remedy cap).

    However, assuming all activities and durations were the same up to and following the final

    cover installation (which is actually the longest duration activity of the schedule), a

    verification check using the cost estimate duration calculations was conducted and the final

    cover durations for longest individual layer tasks for the two alternatives were within a few

    days of each other. Therefore, the assumption that an equal duration of these two

    alternatives occurs appears to be valid.

    12. The similarities between the UMTRCA Cap method and the ROD-selected engineered cap

    are justifiably similar; however, this is only the case in the event that the material

    acquisition constraints are addressed. These two scenarios would be very similar in

    construction duration; however, similar to the concern presented in Comment 10, the actual

    acquisition and delivery of materials could result in a very different overall duration of the

    two methods, depending on when the schedules are oriented to a calendar, and when the

    construction starts on the impacted layers.

    Full Excavation Alternative

    13. There are large periods of duration within the detailed version of the schedule where no

    activities are displayed as critical. This is the case between mid-2019 to early 2022, mid-

    2022 to mid-2025, and mid-2026 to early 2029. Driving activities occur during these times,

    but are not logically tied in a way that would ensure critical path logic is correct and can be

    traced and verified.

    14. Budgeted weather days (dewatering and lack of productivity) should be scheduled on the

    critical path as a contingency layer for the overall duration of the scenario. These activities

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 6

    should be based on NOAA weather data and should be driven by overall project duration

    more so than cubic area of disturbed land. Budgeted weather days appear to be a driving

    activity, yet logic is incomplete and the activity is not marked as critical. Also, there is no

    methodology included in the report for how this duration was calculated.

    Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g Alternative

    15. Similar to capping scenarios, there is a bio-intrusion layer material delay built into the

    critical path of the schedule that increases the project duration by a couple months. This

    should be optimized and avoided.

    16. Similar to the capping scenarios, there are tank cleaning activities on the critical path that

    typically would not be considered as major construction events or contribute to the overall

    project duration (see comment 9).

    17. Similar to the full excavation scenario, there are periods of duration within the detailed

    version of the schedule where no activities are displayed as critical. This is the case in mid-

    2019 and early 2020.

    Partial Excavation to 1000 pCi/g Alternative

    18. Similar to capping scenarios, there is a bio-intrusion layer material delay built into the

    critical path of the schedule that increases the project duration by a couple months. This

    should be optimized and avoided.

    19. Similar to the capping scenarios, there are tank cleaning activities on the critical path that

    typically would not be considered as major construction events or contribute to the overall

    project duration (see comment 9).

    20. Similar to the full excavation scenario, there are periods of duration within the detailed

    version of the schedule where no activities are displayed as critical. This is the case in early

    2019 and early 2021.

    Cost Estimate-Specific Comments

    The following are comments provided primarily based on the review of Appendix K-Estimated Costs for the Remedial Alternatives. In addition to Appendix K, Appendix G-Conceptual Environmental Monitoring Programs was also reviewed to verify the basis for monitoring costs. For ease of review, the cost estimate comments have been categorized into General Cost Estimate Comments and Alternative-Specific Cost Estimate Comments.

    General Cost Estimate Comments

    Based on the review of Appendix K-Estimated Costs for the Remedial Alternatives, following are cost-specific comments for the ROD-selected remedy alternative that generally apply to other Alternatives.

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 7

    21. The quantities of items used in the estimates were only spot checked and appeared to be

    reasonable for the cost task and activity items defined.

    22. The unit costs were primarily based on the 2017 RS Means on-line database. RS Means is a

    reliable source for FS estimates especially those related to typical construction-related

    activities such as those used for the cap and excavation related alternatives. Pertinent

    reference information was provided to verify the detail of the unit costs as well as

    information used for estimating project schedule durations as defined previously.

    23. Using RS Means assumes following: unit cost rates for Labor are fully burdened; 100%

    productivity; total costs includes Contractor overhead and profit of 10% on materials plus

    sales tax, 15% on labor plus burden, and 10% on equipment. Bridgeton taxes of 7.4% are

    applied to all work in the cost estimates. This appears to be a duplication in costs since sales

    tax is already included on unit cost items obtained from RS Means (i.e., materials costs).

    24. Although the disposal of facilities could not ensure capacity would be available for future

    disposal activities, the use of “turn-key” unit costs from facilities that could potentially

    receive this type of waste seems to be appropriate for this FFS, although the basis of these

    estimates were primary based on the disposal of RIM soil and not RIM MSW (which is not

    typically disposed of at these facilities).

    25. The contingency (bid and scope contingencies) and professional services (Project

    Management, Engineering Design, and Construction Management) percentages were

    obtained and applied to capital costs from the EPA’s FS cost guidance A Guide to Developing

    and Documenting Cost Estimates During the Feasibility Study (EPA 540-R-00-002) appear to

    be appropriate for this FFS. Based on EPA’s FS cost guidance, the contingencies

    (percentages for scope and bid) are typically applied first to the capital costs, then the

    professional services costs percentages are applied to the combination of the capital costs

    and contingencies. Although this order method was reversed in the cost estimates shown in

    Appendix K (with professional services percentages applied first, then contingency on the

    subtotal of capital cost and professional services), the overall construction (capital) costs

    from either method results in the same values.

    26. Based upon the conceptual level of design maturity for the FFS, the percentage of 10.0% of

    scope contingency for the cap alternatives appears to be reasonable. However, it should be

    noted that based on RS Mean, the scope contingency for these types of activities would be

    3.0% at the working drawing stage.

    27. The scope contingency of 55 percent (maximum recommended percentage defined in EPA’s

    FS cost guidance) for on-site excavation activities seems fairly reasonable based on the large

    amount of uncertainties defined (e.g., estimated volumes of RIM soil/MSW requiring

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 8

    disposal, uncertainty of radiation surveying and confirmatory sampling required, double

    handling of materials, production rates, etc.), plus the indication that the cost of physical

    segregation/separation and radiological segregation/separation cannot be determined at

    this time.

    28. There appears to be some duplication of Construction Management costs because

    construction management personnel are included in the itemized Temporary Construction

    Facilities/Utilities/Personnel and then applied as a percentage to the overall Construction

    Costs.

    29. For present worth costs, not only were annual and periodic operations, maintenance, and

    monitoring (OM&M) costs discounted, but capital costs were also discounted, for proposed

    implementation durations. Although this seems to be an appropriate approach, it is

    assumed that the durations within the construction cost calculations were somehow used to

    proportion these costs out; however, no information was provided to clarify the method

    used to provide these breakdowns.

    30. The evaluation of presents worth costs using the standard EPA FS cost guidance discount

    rate of 7% is appropriate. Justification to evaluate present worth using the OMB discount

    rate of 0.7%, and evaluation of OM&M costs for 30-years (EPA FS guidance standard) as well

    as periods of 200 years and 1000 years seems reasonable, although more limited durations

    for the excavation alternatives may be more appropriate.

    No Action Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    31. Based on the application of different discount rates (7%, 0.7%, and no rate) at different time

    frames (30 years, 200 years, 1,000 years), it appears that after 200 years (if not sooner) the

    present worth at the discount rate of 7% does not significantly change, while present worth

    values for lower discount rates and longer durations would continue to increase.

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    32. All activities defined for the ROD-selected remedy alternative appear to be accounted for by

    primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through

    institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost

    estimate.

    33. In Appendix K-2, for clarification with other task-subject construction costs, suggest adding a

    note to storm water monitoring and inspection and air monitoring costs that the applicable

    number of quarters needs to be applied to these quarterly unit costs.

    34. Based on the review of monitoring costs versus the descriptions of proposed monitoring

    programs defined in Appendix G, the following observations were noted:

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 9

    Overall, the scope of monitoring activities planned for this alternative in Appendix G

    covered in detail what would be required especially at the FS level.

    Although costs were provided in the estimate for storm water monitoring during

    construction, no details were provided in the descriptions in Appendix G that define

    or discuss the need for these activities. Suggest an additional description of this

    monitoring activity be added to Appendix G.

    The number of groundwater wells (24 wells with 12 new wells and 12 existing wells)

    and landfill gas wells (31 wells) defined to be installed and monitored match in the

    text for Appendix G and the cost estimate, but do not match the number provided

    in the summary table (Table 6) in Appendix G. Suggest correcting the number of

    groundwater wells and gas wells in Table 6.

    35. The ROD-selected remedy cost discussion in Section 6.2.2.7 (page 274) of FFS refers to

    additional handling, sampling analysis, shipping and treatment cost for mixed waste. Clarify

    whether this is needed in cost estimate for this alternative or not and include as necessary.

    UMTCRA Cap Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    36. All activities defined for the UMTCRA cap alternative appear to be accounted for by primary

    capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through

    institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost

    estimate.

    37. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

    38. Comment 35 also applies to this alternative, but in citation is in Section 6.2.3.7 (page 306 of

    FFS). Also revise reference from ROD-selected remedy to UMTCRA cap if this applies.

    39. Cost differences between the UMTCRA cap versus ROD-selected remedy cap were spot

    checked and the only differences were in capital cost of final cover layers and associated

    applied contingencies and professional services allocations (percentages of the capital

    costs). The differing final cover layer costs were checked and verified.

    Full Excavation Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    40. All activities defined for the Full Excavation alternative appear to be accounted for by

    primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through

    institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost

    estimate.

    41. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 10

    42. The description of Post-Construction landfill gas monitoring provided in Appendix G, defines

    that only landfill gas monitoring for radon would be provided for this alternative. However,

    the cost estimate for this alternative also includes costs for radon flux monitoring ($27,000).

    Suggest that the radon flux monitoring be removed from the cost estimate because full

    excavation and removal of RIM is provided by this alternative.

    43. The monitoring cost estimate and the text provided in Appendix G indicate that a 5-year

    review would be included as part of this alternative. However, the alternative description in

    Section 5.5.6 of the FFS (page 206) indicates that a 5-year review would not be necessary.

    Clarification needs to be provided to which assumption is correct.

    Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g, but no greater than 16 ft, Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    44. All activities defined for the Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g, but no greater than 16 ft,

    alternative appear to be accounted for by primary capital construction costs, ancillary

    construction costs (radiological surveys through institutional controls), and both annual and

    periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost estimate.

    45. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

    Partial Excavation to 1000 pCi/g Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    46. All activities defined for the Partial Excavation to 1,000 pCi/g alternative appear to be

    accounted for by primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological

    surveys through institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided

    in the cost estimate.

    47. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

    West Lake Landfill OU1– Feasibility Study Cost and Schedule - PAGE 2

    MEMORANDUM

    Subject:West Lake Landfill OU1– Feasibility Study Cost and Schedule Review

    Date:October 5, 2017

    To: Chris Jump (USEPA)

    From: Marshall Claxton (BVSPC)

    Based on USEPA request received by email on 9/21/17, this memorandum provides our preliminary thoughts regarding the review of the cost and schedule appendices in the Final Feasibility Study (FFS) for the West Lake Landfill Operable Unit 1 (OU1) Site in Bridgeton, Missouri. Our scope was to focus our review on Appendix G - Conceptual Environmental Monitoring Program, Appendix J – Estimated Project Schedules for the Remedial Alternatives, and Appendix K – Cost Estimates. The entire FFS was also provided to assist in the review of the cost and schedule information. Following are our comments from this review. Some general comments on the FFS that may have impacts on the schedule and cost are provided first, followed then by more specific comments on the Project Schedule and the Cost Estimate.

    General FS Comments

    Based on our review of the FFS, following are general comments on technical aspects of the remedial action alternatives that could result in impacts on schedule durations and costs associated with their implementation:

    1. Although increased costs are incurred, the revised UMTRCA landfill cap will provide increased protection from the ROD-selected remedy cap alternative as identified in the FFS. The additional measures that appear to provide added value include the following:

    · The relocated biointrusion layer will provide increased protection to the infiltration barriers.

    · The reduced clay permeability will substantially reduce infiltration through the cap.

    · The drainage layer above the infiltration barrier will reduce infiltration through the cap.

    · The inclusion of the geosynthetic clay layer (GCL) on the flatter slopes will protect the underlying low permeability clay and provide additional infiltration protection.

    2. The following general observations were noted which could have cost and schedule impact for the excavation alternatives:

    2.1 The accuracy of the identification of the extent of the targeted RIM material is critical to the execution of the excavation plans. Significant changes in the identified RIM extent will impact the sequencing of the excavations. The FFS consistently indicates the extent of the RIM material based on the 50% estimate is anticipated to underestimate the volume of RIM material. Subsection 5.5.1 states a value of 2 over the 50% estimate is possible. Therefore, the schedule and estimate for the cost and time of completion of the excavation options is subject to considerable uncertainty. This may exceed the +50% cost estimate accuracy.

    2.2 The FFS states there is uncertainty on the acceptability of the RIM material mixed with municipal solid waste (MSW) material for offsite disposal and this assumption would need to be verified during the Remedial Design (Subsection 6.2.4.3.2). In general, before determining the acceptability of any of the excavation alternatives, it is recommended that all transportation and disposal issues and costs be fully considered and clarified within the evaluations provided.

    2.3 The FFS indicates that the extent of RIM material will be verified during excavation. These confirmation activities will impact the progress of work and as indicated in the FFS, will reduce the efficiency of the excavation, thus lengthening the duration of the full and partial excavation alternatives. This reduction in efficiency will add to the schedule and cost uncertainty by further impacting the accuracy of the estimates. As indicated in the FFS, the excavation alternatives require significant excavation and relocation of municipal solid waste (MSW) materials.

    2.4 The FFS also raises the issues of bird and odor control and states mitigation measures will be instituted. Mitigation measures will help reduce odor and potential bird nuisance issues. However, the need to excavate and expose the MSW to ambient air and new oxygen sources and the relocation of the MSW material has a high potential for odor releases regardless to institution of mitigation measures, as noted in the FFS. These issues may not only be undervalued by current cost and schedule considerations, but may also be a significant public issue, particularly for the relatively long durations associated with the excavation schedules. The Federal Aviation Administration also expressed significant concerns with bird issues and issues related to long exposures to MSW materials during extended periods of excavation.

    2.5 The excavation plans require significant double handling of non-RIM material. The cost was significantly impacted by implementation of detailed excavation versus mass excavation. Changes in the amount and extent of intermingling of the RIM and non-RIM material will impact the quantities being handled, and therefore the rate of excavation and associated costs. Also as indicated in the FFS, there remains a high degree of uncertainty in regards to the means and ability to separate the RIM from the MSW that would not be established until the Remedial Design phase of the project which could also increase the time and cost of the project. In the FFS, it was suggested that a pilot scale type study would be conducted to further address this issue; however, no cost was allocated within the cost estimate for this type of study within the excavation alternatives.

    Schedule Specific Comments

    Following are comments that are specific to the schedule. These comments are based primarily on the review of Appendix J-Estimated Project Schedules of the FFS. For ease of review and reference, the comments that follow have been first been categorized as General and Alternative-Specific Comments, then within each of these comment categories, comments regarding the schedule format and logic are provided first, followed by content-specific schedule comments.

    General Schedule Comments

    3. The schedule methodology suggests that durations are resource and calendar driven and that the activities are not resource-leveled or balanced. It is understood that activities that are occurring in parallel have not been synchronized and that only the critical activity (longest calendar duration) were considered as the drivers of project duration. Therefore, using this approach, overall conservative (but very limited on logic dependencies) schedules have been developed for FFS alternatives.

    4. The schedule methodology suggests the schedules were developed with some “task dependency logic”; furthermore, the methodology declares that logic was incorporated “as needed”. Using this approach, would it would be assumed that the schedule was developed following a Critical Path Method (CPM). However, the CPM relies on complete logic of all planned events, even if they are not critical drivers. Based on our review of the alternative project schedules, there are a summary or hammock activities that appear to contain completed logic ties, but those activities not logically tied to their dependencies. Using this approach it is difficult for an independent reviewer to objectively trace or follow the logic to validate the critical sequence.

    5. Typically for a CPM duration activity schedule, electronic generated and associated illustrated schedules would designate a better identifiable method (i.e., use of consistent color schemes [red color throughout]), to identify the tasks that would be on the critical path. By review of review of the copy and electronic files, and through reverse engineering, we believe there has been an attempt to do this manually (by selection of a red color scheme to indicate the critical path) by the selection of the longest duration activities within tasks, then construction of the overall critical path from longest durations from the tasks, while also designating other colors for the other activities (blue color) for those tasks that are not on the critical path. However, limited explanation is provided to support this observation and the schedule presentations in Appendix J are very hard to follow. It is suggested that for the final schedule presentations it would be better to use only one designated color scheme (e.g., red throughout) to show the overall critical path, then use another color to show longest durations activities within a task that do not have an impact on the critical path, and another color(s) to show those activities within Tasks that are just shown for information or accountability that have little or no impact on the critical path. It is also suggested that a legend be provided on the detailed project schedule illustrations to better define the importance of the color scheme used.

    6. Project schedule durations (time to reach remedial action objectives) for the alternatives in the Executive Summary did not match the projection schedule durations determined in Appendix J. The differences are shown below:

    Alternative

    Ex Sum Duration

    Appendix J

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap

    2.8 year

    1.8 years

    UMTCRA Cap

    2.8 years

    2.8 years

    Full Excavation

    14.9 years

    13.6 years

    Partial Excavation (5.92 pCi/g)

    5.8 years

    4.0 years

    Partial Excavation (1000 pCi/g)

    8.6 years

    7.3 years

    It is assumed that Appendix J is correct based on the backup provided for schedules. Clarification is requested to verify which schedule durations are correct.

    7. Although a brief explanation of the method used to determine durations was provided, an example to demonstrate how cost information was used to determine activity durations should have been provided to allow reviewers a better understanding of how activity durations were determined (e.g., from cost estimates: durations=quantities (project specific inputs)/daily construction rates (as defined by reference source RS Means)).

    8. The estimated length of construction durations listed for the ROD-selected remedy cap and the UMTRCA cap provided in the project schedules in Appendix J (1.8 years) are slightly higher than those defined and used in the Cost Estimates in Appendix K (1.7 years). It is suggested for consistency that the durations be clarified and that only one duration be used for both assessments.

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap Alternative Schedule Comments

    9. Within the detailed schedules for this alternative, the “Clean Frac Tanks” and “Clean Leachate Frac Tanks” activities (IDs 44, 122, and 132) are highlighted red in the Gantt Chart illustration, suggesting they are critical activities in the overall project sequence. In a typical CPM schedule, these activities would not be considered as major construction events (critical driver). However because in this instance they have long activity durations, they appears as major contributors for the schedule of this Alternative. This is example of the consideration defined by previous comments 3-5. An additional explanation for justification for this type of activities’ criticality is recommended because this type of activity would not normally be considered a major construction event that would normally contribute to the overall project duration.

    10. The logic displayed within the schedule appears to suggest that the clay layer material acquisition and staging cannot begin until the bio-intrusion layer construction has been completed. It also appears as if the acquisition of the clay layer material is weather constrained. Because of these factors, construction appears to be halted for 5+ months when clay acquisition is not possible and delayed an additional 2 months while it is delivered. This duration contributes to the overall scenario duration and could likely be mitigated by better material planning, storage, and staging. A similar condition exists within the schedule for the bio-intrusion layer, yet is less impactful – 1 month.

    UMTRCA Cap Alternative

    11. The same duration as the ROD-selected remedy cap is assumed. Although the ROD-selected cap and UMCTRA have the same overall thickness (~5.5 ft thick) the similar assumption of similar duration wouldn’t seem quite correct since the UMCTA cap appears to be more complex to build (more layers of different materials than the ROD-selected remedy cap). However, assuming all activities and durations were the same up to and following the final cover installation (which is actually the longest duration activity of the schedule), a verification check using the cost estimate duration calculations was conducted and the final cover durations for longest individual layer tasks for the two alternatives were within a few days of each other. Therefore, the assumption that an equal duration of these two alternatives occurs appears to be valid.

    12. The similarities between the UMTRCA Cap method and the ROD-selected engineered cap are justifiably similar; however, this is only the case in the event that the material acquisition constraints are addressed. These two scenarios would be very similar in construction duration; however, similar to the concern presented in Comment 10, the actual acquisition and delivery of materials could result in a very different overall duration of the two methods, depending on when the schedules are oriented to a calendar, and when the construction starts on the impacted layers.

    Full Excavation Alternative

    13. There are large periods of duration within the detailed version of the schedule where no activities are displayed as critical. This is the case between mid-2019 to early 2022, mid-2022 to mid-2025, and mid-2026 to early 2029. Driving activities occur during these times, but are not logically tied in a way that would ensure critical path logic is correct and can be traced and verified.

    14. Budgeted weather days (dewatering and lack of productivity) should be scheduled on the critical path as a contingency layer for the overall duration of the scenario. These activities should be based on NOAA weather data and should be driven by overall project duration more so than cubic area of disturbed land. Budgeted weather days appear to be a driving activity, yet logic is incomplete and the activity is not marked as critical. Also, there is no methodology included in the report for how this duration was calculated.

    Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g Alternative

    15. Similar to capping scenarios, there is a bio-intrusion layer material delay built into the critical path of the schedule that increases the project duration by a couple months. This should be optimized and avoided.

    16. Similar to the capping scenarios, there are tank cleaning activities on the critical path that typically would not be considered as major construction events or contribute to the overall project duration (see comment 9).

    17. Similar to the full excavation scenario, there are periods of duration within the detailed version of the schedule where no activities are displayed as critical. This is the case in mid-2019 and early 2020.

    Partial Excavation to 1000 pCi/g Alternative

    18. Similar to capping scenarios, there is a bio-intrusion layer material delay built into the critical path of the schedule that increases the project duration by a couple months. This should be optimized and avoided.

    19. Similar to the capping scenarios, there are tank cleaning activities on the critical path that typically would not be considered as major construction events or contribute to the overall project duration (see comment 9).

    20. Similar to the full excavation scenario, there are periods of duration within the detailed version of the schedule where no activities are displayed as critical. This is the case in early 2019 and early 2021.

    Cost Estimate-Specific Comments

    The following are comments provided primarily based on the review of Appendix K-Estimated Costs for the Remedial Alternatives. In addition to Appendix K, Appendix G-Conceptual Environmental Monitoring Programs was also reviewed to verify the basis for monitoring costs. For ease of review, the cost estimate comments have been categorized into General Cost Estimate Comments and Alternative-Specific Cost Estimate Comments.

    General Cost Estimate Comments

    Based on the review of Appendix K-Estimated Costs for the Remedial Alternatives, following are cost-specific comments for the ROD-selected remedy alternative that generally apply to other Alternatives.

    21. The quantities of items used in the estimates were only spot checked and appeared to be reasonable for the cost task and activity items defined.

    22. The unit costs were primarily based on the 2017 RS Means on-line database. RS Means is a reliable source for FS estimates especially those related to typical construction-related activities such as those used for the cap and excavation related alternatives. Pertinent reference information was provided to verify the detail of the unit costs as well as information used for estimating project schedule durations as defined previously.

    23. Using RS Means assumes following: unit cost rates for Labor are fully burdened; 100% productivity; total costs includes Contractor overhead and profit of 10% on materials plus sales tax, 15% on labor plus burden, and 10% on equipment. Bridgeton taxes of 7.4% are applied to all work in the cost estimates. This appears to be a duplication in costs since sales tax is already included on unit cost items obtained from RS Means (i.e., materials costs).

    24. Although the disposal of facilities could not ensure capacity would be available for future disposal activities, the use of “turn-key” unit costs from facilities that could potentially receive this type of waste seems to be appropriate for this FFS, although the basis of these estimates were primary based on the disposal of RIM soil and not RIM MSW (which is not typically disposed of at these facilities).

    25. The contingency (bid and scope contingencies) and professional services (Project Management, Engineering Design, and Construction Management) percentages were obtained and applied to capital costs from the EPA’s FS cost guidance A Guide to Developing and Documenting Cost Estimates During the Feasibility Study (EPA 540-R-00-002) appear to be appropriate for this FFS. Based on EPA’s FS cost guidance, the contingencies (percentages for scope and bid) are typically applied first to the capital costs, then the professional services costs percentages are applied to the combination of the capital costs and contingencies. Although this order method was reversed in the cost estimates shown in Appendix K (with professional services percentages applied first, then contingency on the subtotal of capital cost and professional services), the overall construction (capital) costs from either method results in the same values.

    26. Based upon the conceptual level of design maturity for the FFS, the percentage of 10.0% of scope contingency for the cap alternatives appears to be reasonable. However, it should be noted that based on RS Mean, the scope contingency for these types of activities would be 3.0% at the working drawing stage.

    27. The scope contingency of 55 percent (maximum recommended percentage defined in EPA’s FS cost guidance) for on-site excavation activities seems fairly reasonable based on the large amount of uncertainties defined (e.g., estimated volumes of RIM soil/MSW requiring disposal, uncertainty of radiation surveying and confirmatory sampling required, double handling of materials, production rates, etc.), plus the indication that the cost of physical segregation/separation and radiological segregation/separation cannot be determined at this time.

    28. There appears to be some duplication of Construction Management costs because construction management personnel are included in the itemized Temporary Construction Facilities/Utilities/Personnel and then applied as a percentage to the overall Construction Costs.

    29. For present worth costs, not only were annual and periodic operations, maintenance, and monitoring (OM&M) costs discounted, but capital costs were also discounted, for proposed implementation durations. Although this seems to be an appropriate approach, it is assumed that the durations within the construction cost calculations were somehow used to proportion these costs out; however, no information was provided to clarify the method used to provide these breakdowns.

    30. The evaluation of presents worth costs using the standard EPA FS cost guidance discount rate of 7% is appropriate. Justification to evaluate present worth using the OMB discount rate of 0.7%, and evaluation of OM&M costs for 30-years (EPA FS guidance standard) as well as periods of 200 years and 1000 years seems reasonable, although more limited durations for the excavation alternatives may be more appropriate.

    No Action Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    31. Based on the application of different discount rates (7%, 0.7%, and no rate) at different time frames (30 years, 200 years, 1,000 years), it appears that after 200 years (if not sooner) the present worth at the discount rate of 7% does not significantly change, while present worth values for lower discount rates and longer durations would continue to increase.

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    32. All activities defined for the ROD-selected remedy alternative appear to be accounted for by primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost estimate.

    33. In Appendix K-2, for clarification with other task-subject construction costs, suggest adding a note to storm water monitoring and inspection and air monitoring costs that the applicable number of quarters needs to be applied to these quarterly unit costs.

    34. Based on the review of monitoring costs versus the descriptions of proposed monitoring programs defined in Appendix G, the following observations were noted:

    · Overall, the scope of monitoring activities planned for this alternative in Appendix G covered in detail what would be required especially at the FS level.

    · Although costs were provided in the estimate for storm water monitoring during construction, no details were provided in the descriptions in Appendix G that define or discuss the need for these activities. Suggest an additional description of this monitoring activity be added to Appendix G.

    · The number of groundwater wells (24 wells with 12 new wells and 12 existing wells) and landfill gas wells (31 wells) defined to be installed and monitored match in the text for Appendix G and the cost estimate, but do not match the number provided in the summary table (Table 6) in Appendix G. Suggest correcting the number of groundwater wells and gas wells in Table 6.

    35. The ROD-selected remedy cost discussion in Section 6.2.2.7 (page 274) of FFS refers to additional handling, sampling analysis, shipping and treatment cost for mixed waste. Clarify whether this is needed in cost estimate for this alternative or not and include as necessary.

    UMTCRA Cap Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    36. All activities defined for the UMTCRA cap alternative appear to be accounted for by primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost estimate.

    37. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

    38. Comment 35 also applies to this alternative, but in citation is in Section 6.2.3.7 (page 306 of FFS). Also revise reference from ROD-selected remedy to UMTCRA cap if this applies.

    39. Cost differences between the UMTCRA cap versus ROD-selected remedy cap were spot checked and the only differences were in capital cost of final cover layers and associated applied contingencies and professional services allocations (percentages of the capital costs). The differing final cover layer costs were checked and verified.

    Full Excavation Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    40. All activities defined for the Full Excavation alternative appear to be accounted for by primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost estimate.

    41. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

    42. The description of Post-Construction landfill gas monitoring provided in Appendix G, defines that only landfill gas monitoring for radon would be provided for this alternative. However, the cost estimate for this alternative also includes costs for radon flux monitoring ($27,000). Suggest that the radon flux monitoring be removed from the cost estimate because full excavation and removal of RIM is provided by this alternative.

    43. The monitoring cost estimate and the text provided in Appendix G indicate that a 5-year review would be included as part of this alternative. However, the alternative description in Section 5.5.6 of the FFS (page 206) indicates that a 5-year review would not be necessary. Clarification needs to be provided to which assumption is correct.

    Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g, but no greater than 16 ft, Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    44. All activities defined for the Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g, but no greater than 16 ft, alternative appear to be accounted for by primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost estimate.

    45. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

    Partial Excavation to 1000 pCi/g Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    46. All activities defined for the Partial Excavation to 1,000 pCi/g alternative appear to be accounted for by primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost estimate.

    47. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

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    6

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  •  

    From: Claxton, Marshall Sent: Thursday, October 05, 2017 10:25 AMTo: Jump, ChristineCc: Law, PrestonSubject: RE: FFS Schedule and Cost Estimate Review TM-West Lake LF OU1 Project Chris, Sorry try again this time with the attachments.  Marshall ClaxtonBlack Veatch Special ProjectsPE Kansas/NebraskaO 913 458-6508M 913 [email protected]    

    From: Claxton, Marshall Sent: Thursday, October 05, 2017 10:19 AMTo: 'Jump, Christine'Cc: Law, PrestonSubject: FFS Schedule and Cost Estimate Review TM-West Lake LF OU1 Project Chris, Attached is the Technical Memorandum for our review of the West Lake LF OU1 FFS Schedule andCost Estimate. We have attached both a pdf version and the Word version of this memo just in caseyou would like to use word version to edit and/or provide with any other comments that you aregenerating. Overall we would say that that the information was very thorough and did not find a lot of majorissues with those two Appendices.  In the process of our review, we also reviewed portions of theFFS and Appendix G (Monitoring Programs). We have incorporated our comments regardingschedule and cost on the FFS (where we noted them) and on Appendix G within this TM.  Please let us know if you have any questions or comments on this information.  Marshall ClaxtonBlack Veatch Special ProjectsPE Kansas/NebraskaO 913 458-6508

    mailto:[email protected]

  • M 913 [email protected]    

    From: Jump, Christine [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Thursday, September 21, 2017 12:28 PMTo: Claxton, MarshallCc: Law, Preston; Juett, Lynn; Fritz, KoniSubject: West Lake project, Contract No. EP-S7-05-06 Marshall- Attached are electronic copies of Appendices G and J of the August 25,2017 revised draft Final Feasibility Study, West Lake Landfill OperableUnit-1 (revised FFS). A copy of the revised FFS text and tables, andAppendix K will follow in separate emails. A full copy of the revised FFSwill be provided to you in a CD. Please review and provide comments on revised FFS appendices G, J, andK associated with costs and scheduling. EPA is not requesting that youreview the full revised FFS document at this time, but please use thedocument as necessary to assist your review of the cost and scheduleinformation. Please provide a Technical Review Memorandum forAppendices G, J and K within 14 days of receiving the Task Order andinitiating your review. I have also included a link to the public EPA West Lake website that has adocument library which contains draft versions of the RemedialInvestigation Addendum and other site related documents.https://semspub.epa.gov/src/collection/07/SC31560 Please do not initiate work on this project until you receive the final TaskOrder. Let me know if you have any questions Chris Jump, L.G.SUPR/MOKSUS EPA, Region [email protected](913) 551-7141 Mailing address: 11201 Renner Boulevard, Lenexa, KS 66219

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://na01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsemspub.epa.gov%2Fsrc%2Fcollection%2F07%2FSC31560&data=02%7C01%7CClaxtonM%40bv.com%7C7a9d3bffbef34af15e2108d501162c44%7C7a53b4fce87d4c4699720570ac271b27%7C0%7C0%7C636416117837742702&sdata=bSoqK7%2BNcJCJdcSJIT7FgP2ykP3Lp88woIr3tNOGfSY%3D&reserved=0mailto:[email protected]

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    MEMORANDUM

    Subject: West Lake Landfill OU1– Feasibility Study Cost and Schedule Review

    Date: October 5, 2017 To: Chris Jump (USEPA) From: Marshall Claxton (BVSPC)

    Based on USEPA request received by email on 9/21/17, this memorandum provides our preliminary thoughts regarding the review of the cost and schedule appendices in the Final Feasibility Study (FFS) for the West Lake Landfill Operable Unit 1 (OU1) Site in Bridgeton, Missouri. Our scope was to focus our review on Appendix G - Conceptual Environmental Monitoring Program, Appendix J – Estimated Project Schedules for the Remedial Alternatives, and Appendix K – Cost Estimates. The entire FFS was also provided to assist in the review of the cost and schedule information. Following are our comments from this review. Some general comments on the FFS that may have impacts on the schedule and cost are provided first, followed then by more specific comments on the Project Schedule and the Cost Estimate.

    General FS Comments

    Based on our review of the FFS, following are general comments on technical aspects of the remedial action alternatives that could result in impacts on schedule durations and costs associated with their implementation:

    1. Although increased costs are incurred, the revised UMTRCA landfill cap will provide

    increased protection from the ROD-selected remedy cap alternative as identified in the FFS.

    The additional measures that appear to provide added value include the following:

    The relocated biointrusion layer will provide increased protection to the infiltration

    barriers.

    The reduced clay permeability will substantially reduce infiltration through the cap.

    The drainage layer above the infiltration barrier will reduce infiltration through the cap.

    The inclusion of the geosynthetic clay layer (GCL) on the flatter slopes will protect the

    underlying low permeability clay and provide additional infiltration protection.

    2. The following general observations were noted which could have cost and schedule impact

    for the excavation alternatives:

    2.1 The accuracy of the identification of the extent of the targeted RIM material is critical to

    the execution of the excavation plans. Significant changes in the identified RIM extent

    will impact the sequencing of the excavations. The FFS consistently indicates the extent

    of the RIM material based on the 50% estimate is anticipated to underestimate the

    volume of RIM material. Subsection 5.5.1 states a value of 2 over the 50% estimate is

    possible. Therefore, the schedule and estimate for the cost and time of completion of

  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 2

    the excavation options is subject to considerable uncertainty. This may exceed the

    +50% cost estimate accuracy.

    2.2 The FFS states there is uncertainty on the acceptability of the RIM material mixed with

    municipal solid waste (MSW) material for offsite disposal and this assumption would

    need to be verified during the Remedial Design (Subsection 6.2.4.3.2). In general,

    before determining the acceptability of any of the excavation alternatives, it is

    recommended that all transportation and disposal issues and costs be fully considered

    and clarified within the evaluations provided.

    2.3 The FFS indicates that the extent of RIM material will be verified during excavation.

    These confirmation activities will impact the progress of work and as indicated in the

    FFS, will reduce the efficiency of the excavation, thus lengthening the duration of the

    full and partial excavation alternatives. This reduction in efficiency will add to the

    schedule and cost uncertainty by further impacting the accuracy of the estimates. As

    indicated in the FFS, the excavation alternatives require significant excavation and

    relocation of municipal solid waste (MSW) materials.

    2.4 The FFS also raises the issues of bird and odor control and states mitigation measures

    will be instituted. Mitigation measures will help reduce odor and potential bird

    nuisance issues. However, the need to excavate and expose the MSW to ambient air

    and new oxygen sources and the relocation of the MSW material has a high potential for

    odor releases regardless to institution of mitigation measures, as noted in the FFS.

    These issues may not only be undervalued by current cost and schedule considerations,

    but may also be a significant public issue, particularly for the relatively long durations

    associated with the excavation schedules. The Federal Aviation Administration also

    expressed significant concerns with bird issues and issues related to long exposures to

    MSW materials during extended periods of excavation.

    2.5 The excavation plans require significant double handling of non-RIM material. The cost

    was significantly impacted by implementation of detailed excavation versus mass

    excavation. Changes in the amount and extent of intermingling of the RIM and non-RIM

    material will impact the quantities being handled, and therefore the rate of excavation

    and associated costs. Also as indicated in the FFS, there remains a high degree of

    uncertainty in regards to the means and ability to separate the RIM from the MSW that

    would not be established until the Remedial Design phase of the project which could

    also increase the time and cost of the project. In the FFS, it was suggested that a pilot

    scale type study would be conducted to further address this issue; however, no cost was

    allocated within the cost estimate for this type of study within the excavation

    alternatives.

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  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 3

    Schedule Specific Comments

    Following are comments that are specific to the schedule. These comments are based primarily on

    the review of Appendix J-Estimated Project Schedules of the FFS. For ease of review and reference,

    the comments that follow have been first been categorized as General and Alternative-Specific

    Comments, then within each of these comment categories, comments regarding the schedule

    format and logic are provided first, followed by content-specific schedule comments.

    General Schedule Comments

    3. The schedule methodology suggests that durations are resource and calendar driven and

    that the activities are not resource-leveled or balanced. It is understood that activities that

    are occurring in parallel have not been synchronized and that only the critical activity

    (longest calendar duration) were considered as the drivers of project duration. Therefore,

    using this approach, overall conservative (but very limited on logic dependencies) schedules

    have been developed for FFS alternatives.

    4. The schedule methodology suggests the schedules were developed with some “task

    dependency logic”; furthermore, the methodology declares that logic was incorporated “as

    needed”. Using this approach, would it would be assumed that the schedule was developed

    following a Critical Path Method (CPM). However, the CPM relies on complete logic of all

    planned events, even if they are not critical drivers. Based on our review of the alternative

    project schedules, there are a summary or hammock activities that appear to contain

    completed logic ties, but those activities not logically tied to their dependencies. Using this

    approach it is difficult for an independent reviewer to objectively trace or follow the logic to

    validate the critical sequence.

    5. Typically for a CPM duration activity schedule, electronic generated and associated

    illustrated schedules would designate a better identifiable method (i.e., use of consistent

    color schemes [red color throughout]), to identify the tasks that would be on the critical

    path. By review of review of the copy and electronic files, and through reverse engineering,

    we believe there has been an attempt to do this manually (by selection of a red color

    scheme to indicate the critical path) by the selection of the longest duration activities within

    tasks, then construction of the overall critical path from longest durations from the tasks,

    while also designating other colors for the other activities (blue color) for those tasks that

    are not on the critical path. However, limited explanation is provided to support this

    observation and the schedule presentations in Appendix J are very hard to follow. It is

    suggested that for the final schedule presentations it would be better to use only one

    designated color scheme (e.g., red throughout) to show the overall critical path, then use

    another color to show longest durations activities within a task that do not have an impact

    on the critical path, and another color(s) to show those activities within Tasks that are just

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  • WEST LAKE LANDFILL OU1– FEASIBILITY STUDY COST AND SCHEDULE - PAGE 4

    shown for information or accountability that have little or no impact on the critical path. It

    is also suggested that a legend be provided on the detailed project schedule illustrations to

    better define the importance of the color scheme used.

    6. Project schedule durations (time to reach remedial action objectives) for the alternatives in

    the Executive Summary did not match the projection schedule durations determined in

    Appendix J. The differences are shown below:

    Alternative Ex Sum Duration Appendix J

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap 2.8 year 1.8 years

    UMTCRA Cap 2.8 years 2.8 years

    Full Excavation 14.9 years 13.6 years

    Partial Excavation (5.92 pCi/g) 5.8 years 4.0 years

    Partial Excavation (1000 pCi/g) 8.6 years 7.3 years

    It is assumed that Appendix J is correct based on the backup provided for schedules.

    Clarification is requested to verify which schedule durations are correct.

    7. Although a brief explanation of the method used to determine durations was provided, an

    example to demonstrate how cost information was used to determine activity durations

    should have been provided to allow reviewers a better understanding of how activity

    durations were determined (e.g., from cost estimates: durations=quantities (project specific

    inputs)/daily construction rates (as defined by reference source RS Means)).

    8. The estimated length of construction durations listed for the ROD-selected remedy cap and

    the UMTRCA cap provided in the project schedules in Appendix J (1.8 years) are slightly

    higher than those defined and used in the Cost Estimates in Appendix K (1.7 years). It is

    suggested for consistency that the durations be clarified and that only one duration be used

    for both assessments.

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap Alternative Schedule Comments

    9. Within the detailed schedules for this alternative, the “Clean Frac Tanks” and “Clean

    Leachate Frac Tanks” activities (IDs 44, 122, and 132) are highlighted red in the Gantt Chart

    illustration, suggesting they are critical activities in the overall project sequence. In a typical

    CPM schedule, these activities would not be considered as major construction events

    (critical driver). However because in this instance they have long activity durations, they

    appears as major contributors for the schedule of this Alternative. This is example of the

    consideration defined by previous comments 3-5. An additional explanation for justification

    for this type of activities’ criticality is recommended because this type of activity would not

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    normally be considered a major construction event that would normally contribute to the

    overall project duration.

    10. The logic displayed within the schedule appears to suggest that the clay layer material

    acquisition and staging cannot begin until the bio-intrusion layer construction has been

    completed. It also appears as if the acquisition of the clay layer material is weather

    constrained. Because of these factors, construction appears to be halted for 5+ months

    when clay acquisition is not possible and delayed an additional 2 months while it is

    delivered. This duration contributes to the overall scenario duration and could likely be

    mitigated by better material planning, storage, and staging. A similar condition exists within

    the schedule for the bio-intrusion layer, yet is less impactful – 1 month.

    UMTRCA Cap Alternative

    11. The same duration as the ROD-selected remedy cap is assumed. Although the ROD-selected

    cap and UMCTRA have the same overall thickness (~5.5 ft thick) the similar assumption of

    similar duration wouldn’t seem quite correct since the UMCTA cap appears to be more

    complex to build (more layers of different materials than the ROD-selected remedy cap).

    However, assuming all activities and durations were the same up to and following the final

    cover installation (which is actually the longest duration activity of the schedule), a

    verification check using the cost estimate duration calculations was conducted and the final

    cover durations for longest individual layer tasks for the two alternatives were within a few

    days of each other. Therefore, the assumption that an equal duration of these two

    alternatives occurs appears to be valid.

    12. The similarities between the UMTRCA Cap method and the ROD-selected engineered cap

    are justifiably similar; however, this is only the case in the event that the material

    acquisition constraints are addressed. These two scenarios would be very similar in

    construction duration; however, similar to the concern presented in Comment 10, the actual

    acquisition and delivery of materials could result in a very different overall duration of the

    two methods, depending on when the schedules are oriented to a calendar, and when the

    construction starts on the impacted layers.

    Full Excavation Alternative

    13. There are large periods of duration within the detailed version of the schedule where no

    activities are displayed as critical. This is the case between mid-2019 to early 2022, mid-

    2022 to mid-2025, and mid-2026 to early 2029. Driving activities occur during these times,

    but are not logically tied in a way that would ensure critical path logic is correct and can be

    traced and verified.

    14. Budgeted weather days (dewatering and lack of productivity) should be scheduled on the

    critical path as a contingency layer for the overall duration of the scenario. These activities

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    should be based on NOAA weather data and should be driven by overall project duration

    more so than cubic area of disturbed land. Budgeted weather days appear to be a driving

    activity, yet logic is incomplete and the activity is not marked as critical. Also, there is no

    methodology included in the report for how this duration was calculated.

    Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g Alternative

    15. Similar to capping scenarios, there is a bio-intrusion layer material delay built into the

    critical path of the schedule that increases the project duration by a couple months. This

    should be optimized and avoided.

    16. Similar to the capping scenarios, there are tank cleaning activities on the critical path that

    typically would not be considered as major construction events or contribute to the overall

    project duration (see comment 9).

    17. Similar to the full excavation scenario, there are periods of duration within the detailed

    version of the schedule where no activities are displayed as critical. This is the case in mid-

    2019 and early 2020.

    Partial Excavation to 1000 pCi/g Alternative

    18. Similar to capping scenarios, there is a bio-intrusion layer material delay built into the

    critical path of the schedule that increases the project duration by a couple months. This

    should be optimized and avoided.

    19. Similar to the capping scenarios, there are tank cleaning activities on the critical path that

    typically would not be considered as major construction events or contribute to the overall

    project duration (see comment 9).

    20. Similar to the full excavation scenario, there are periods of duration within the detailed

    version of the schedule where no activities are displayed as critical. This is the case in early

    2019 and early 2021.

    Cost Estimate-Specific Comments

    The following are comments provided primarily based on the review of Appendix K-Estimated Costs for the Remedial Alternatives. In addition to Appendix K, Appendix G-Conceptual Environmental Monitoring Programs was also reviewed to verify the basis for monitoring costs. For ease of review, the cost estimate comments have been categorized into General Cost Estimate Comments and Alternative-Specific Cost Estimate Comments.

    General Cost Estimate Comments

    Based on the review of Appendix K-Estimated Costs for the Remedial Alternatives, following are cost-specific comments for the ROD-selected remedy alternative that generally apply to other Alternatives.

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    21. The quantities of items used in the estimates were only spot checked and appeared to be

    reasonable for the cost task and activity items defined.

    22. The unit costs were primarily based on the 2017 RS Means on-line database. RS Means is a

    reliable source for FS estimates especially those related to typical construction-related

    activities such as those used for the cap and excavation related alternatives. Pertinent

    reference information was provided to verify the detail of the unit costs as well as

    information used for estimating project schedule durations as defined previously.

    23. Using RS Means assumes following: unit cost rates for Labor are fully burdened; 100%

    productivity; total costs includes Contractor overhead and profit of 10% on materials plus

    sales tax, 15% on labor plus burden, and 10% on equipment. Bridgeton taxes of 7.4% are

    applied to all work in the cost estimates. This appears to be a duplication in costs since sales

    tax is already included on unit cost items obtained from RS Means (i.e., materials costs).

    24. Although the disposal of facilities could not ensure capacity would be available for future

    disposal activities, the use of “turn-key” unit costs from facilities that could potentially

    receive this type of waste seems to be appropriate for this FFS, although the basis of these

    estimates were primary based on the disposal of RIM soil and not RIM MSW (which is not

    typically disposed of at these facilities).

    25. The contingency (bid and scope contingencies) and professional services (Project

    Management, Engineering Design, and Construction Management) percentages were

    obtained and applied to capital costs from the EPA’s FS cost guidance A Guide to Developing

    and Documenting Cost Estimates During the Feasibility Study (EPA 540-R-00-002) appear to

    be appropriate for this FFS. Based on EPA’s FS cost guidance, the contingencies

    (percentages for scope and bid) are typically applied first to the capital costs, then the

    professional services costs percentages are applied to the combination of the capital costs

    and contingencies. Although this order method was reversed in the cost estimates shown in

    Appendix K (with professional services percentages applied first, then contingency on the

    subtotal of capital cost and professional services), the overall construction (capital) costs

    from either method results in the same values.

    26. Based upon the conceptual level of design maturity for the FFS, the percentage of 10.0% of

    scope contingency for the cap alternatives appears to be reasonable. However, it should be

    noted that based on RS Mean, the scope contingency for these types of activities would be

    3.0% at the working drawing stage.

    27. The scope contingency of 55 percent (maximum recommended percentage defined in EPA’s

    FS cost guidance) for on-site excavation activities seems fairly reasonable based on the large

    amount of uncertainties defined (e.g., estimated volumes of RIM soil/MSW requiring

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    disposal, uncertainty of radiation surveying and confirmatory sampling required, double

    handling of materials, production rates, etc.), plus the indication that the cost of physical

    segregation/separation and radiological segregation/separation cannot be determined at

    this time.

    28. There appears to be some duplication of Construction Management costs because

    construction management personnel are included in the itemized Temporary Construction

    Facilities/Utilities/Personnel and then applied as a percentage to the overall Construction

    Costs.

    29. For present worth costs, not only were annual and periodic operations, maintenance, and

    monitoring (OM&M) costs discounted, but capital costs were also discounted, for proposed

    implementation durations. Although this seems to be an appropriate approach, it is

    assumed that the durations within the construction cost calculations were somehow used to

    proportion these costs out; however, no information was provided to clarify the method

    used to provide these breakdowns.

    30. The evaluation of presents worth costs using the standard EPA FS cost guidance discount

    rate of 7% is appropriate. Justification to evaluate present worth using the OMB discount

    rate of 0.7%, and evaluation of OM&M costs for 30-years (EPA FS guidance standard) as well

    as periods of 200 years and 1000 years seems reasonable, although more limited durations

    for the excavation alternatives may be more appropriate.

    No Action Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    31. Based on the application of different discount rates (7%, 0.7%, and no rate) at different time

    frames (30 years, 200 years, 1,000 years), it appears that after 200 years (if not sooner) the

    present worth at the discount rate of 7% does not significantly change, while present worth

    values for lower discount rates and longer durations would continue to increase.

    ROD-Selected Remedy Cap Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    32. All activities defined for the ROD-selected remedy alternative appear to be accounted for by

    primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through

    institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost

    estimate.

    33. In Appendix K-2, for clarification with other task-subject construction costs, suggest adding a

    note to storm water monitoring and inspection and air monitoring costs that the applicable

    number of quarters needs to be applied to these quarterly unit costs.

    34. Based on the review of monitoring costs versus the descriptions of proposed monitoring

    programs defined in Appendix G, the following observations were noted:

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    Overall, the scope of monitoring activities planned for this alternative in Appendix G

    covered in detail what would be required especially at the FS level.

    Although costs were provided in the estimate for storm water monitoring during

    construction, no details were provided in the descriptions in Appendix G that define

    or discuss the need for these activities. Suggest an additional description of this

    monitoring activity be added to Appendix G.

    The number of groundwater wells (24 wells with 12 new wells and 12 existing wells)

    and landfill gas wells (31 wells) defined to be installed and monitored match in the

    text for Appendix G and the cost estimate, but do not match the number provided

    in the summary table (Table 6) in Appendix G. Suggest correcting the number of

    groundwater wells and gas wells in Table 6.

    35. The ROD-selected remedy cost discussion in Section 6.2.2.7 (page 274) of FFS refers to

    additional handling, sampling analysis, shipping and treatment cost for mixed waste. Clarify

    whether this is needed in cost estimate for this alternative or not and include as necessary.

    UMTCRA Cap Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    36. All activities defined for the UMTCRA cap alternative appear to be accounted for by primary

    capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through

    institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost

    estimate.

    37. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

    38. Comment 35 also applies to this alternative, but in citation is in Section 6.2.3.7 (page 306 of

    FFS). Also revise reference from ROD-selected remedy to UMTCRA cap if this applies.

    39. Cost differences between the UMTCRA cap versus ROD-selected remedy cap were spot

    checked and the only differences were in capital cost of final cover layers and associated

    applied contingencies and professional services allocations (percentages of the capital

    costs). The differing final cover layer costs were checked and verified.

    Full Excavation Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    40. All activities defined for the Full Excavation alternative appear to be accounted for by

    primary capital construction costs, ancillary construction costs (radiological surveys through

    institutional controls), and both annual and periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost

    estimate.

    41. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

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    42. The description of Post-Construction landfill gas monitoring provided in Appendix G, defines

    that only landfill gas monitoring for radon would be provided for this alternative. However,

    the cost estimate for this alternative also includes costs for radon flux monitoring ($27,000).

    Suggest that the radon flux monitoring be removed from the cost estimate because full

    excavation and removal of RIM is provided by this alternative.

    43. The monitoring cost estimate and the text provided in Appendix G indicate that a 5-year

    review would be included as part of this alternative. However, the alternative description in

    Section 5.5.6 of the FFS (page 206) indicates that a 5-year review would not be necessary.

    Clarification needs to be provided to which assumption is correct.

    Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g, but no greater than 16 ft, Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    44. All activities defined for the Partial Excavation to 52.9 pCi/g, but no greater than 16 ft,

    alternative appear to be accounted for by primary capital construction costs, ancillary

    construction costs (radiological surveys through institutional controls), and both annual and

    periodic OM&M costs provided in the cost estimate.

    45. Comments 33 and 34 also apply to this alternative.

    Partial Excavation to 1000 pCi/g Alternative Cost Estimate Comments

    46. All activities defined for the Partial E