Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based...
Transcript of Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based...
![Page 1: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Simulator
bighornriver.org
Doug HaackeSpring 2009
![Page 2: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Simulator
Why do this?
![Page 3: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Simulator
Why do this?
![Page 4: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Simulator
Why do this?
1. Get a better understanding of the process.
![Page 5: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Simulator
Why do this?
1. Get a better understanding of the process.
2. Use any knowledge gained to become an assetto the process rather than a bystander.
![Page 6: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Simulator
Why do this?
1. Get a better understanding of the process.
3. With luck, create something useful.
2. Use any knowledge gained to become an assetto the process rather than a bystander.
![Page 7: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Getting started
![Page 8: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Getting started
Start with rock solid documentation
![Page 9: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Getting started
![Page 10: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
What parameters are required to model foreither lake elevation or river discharge?
![Page 11: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
What parameters are required to model foreither lake elevation or river discharge?
What data is readily available to use?
![Page 12: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
IN
IN = Inflows as cubic feet per second (CFS).Bighorn, Shoshone, tribs, precipitation, runoff, etc.
![Page 14: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
IN
AF = Storage as acre feet (af).Calculated from a capacity table where acre feet of storage equates to a specific elevation.
AF
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
IN
QD = Total Discharge as cfsThe total releases from Yellowtail Dam.
AFQD
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
IN
CHSTOR = Daily mean change in storage in af.Afterbay daily mean change in storage.
AFQD
CHSTOR
![Page 17: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
IN
QRD = River releases in cfs.
AFQD
CHSTORQRD
![Page 18: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
IN
QJ = Canal releases in cfs.
AFQD
CHSTORQRD
QJ
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
With river and canal releases being known:Calculate the QD (Total Discharge)QD = (QRD + QJ) + (CHSTOR / 1.983471074)
Note: 1 cfs for 1 day = 1.983471074 acre feet
IN AFQD
CHSTORQRD
QJ
Solving for Lake Elevation
![Page 20: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
Now, with QD being known, calc the lake elevation:AF = AF + ((IN - QD) * 1.983471074)
IN AFQD
CHSTORQRD
QJ
Solving for Lake Elevation
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Error:130af / day
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Dramatization
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Dramatization
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
IN AFQD
CHSTORQRD
QJ
ACC
ACC = Accretions (springs)130af into the Afterbay!
Solving for Lake Elevation
![Page 26: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Reservoir Parameters
IN AFQD
CHSTORQRD
QJ
ACC
Now, with QD being known, calc the lake elevation:AF = AF + ((IN - QD) * 1.983471074) + ACC
Solving for Lake Elevation
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
Criteria
![Page 30: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
Criteria
Use a simple, familiar user interface
![Page 31: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
Criteria
Use a simple, familiar user interface
Use a dynamic database
![Page 32: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
Criteria
Use a simple, familiar user interface
Use a dynamic database
Use real time and historical data
![Page 33: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
Criteria
Use a simple, familiar user interface
Use a dynamic database
Use real time and historical data
Allow the user to input custom criteria
![Page 34: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
Web interface. Works with any browser that supports Javascript
Implementation
![Page 35: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
Web interface. Works with any browser that supports Javascript
SQL Server Database
Implementation
![Page 36: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Coding the Simulator
Implementation
Web interface. Works with any browser that supports Javascript
SQL Server Database
BOR Hydromet data
![Page 37: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Step One
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Step Two
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Step Three
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Step Four
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
![Page 43: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
![Page 44: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
![Page 45: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
What was learned / gained
![Page 47: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
What was learned / gained
Modeling is complicated, but not overly so
![Page 48: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
What was learned / gained
Modeling is complicated, but not overly so
Similar to (but less boring than) accounting
![Page 49: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
What was learned / gained
Modeling is complicated, but not overly so
Similar to (but less boring than) accounting
Inflows drive everything!
![Page 50: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
What was learned / gained
Modeling is complicated, but not overly so
Similar to (but less boring than) Accounting
Inflows drive everything!
70% of inflows come from Boysen/Buffalo Bill
![Page 51: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
What was learned / gained
Modeling is complicated, but not overly so
Similar to (but less boring than) Accounting
Inflows drive everything!
70% of inflows come from Boysen/Buffalo Bill Good coordination/cooperation absolutely essential
![Page 52: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
What was learned / gained
Modeling is complicated, but not overly so
Similar to (but less boring than) Accounting
Inflows drive everything!
70% of inflows come from Boysen/Buffalo Bill Good coordination/cooperation absolutely essential
Better understanding of how to develop and implementrule curves
![Page 53: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/53.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
What was learned / gained
Modeling is complicated, but not overly so
Similar to (but less boring than) Accounting
Inflows drive everything!
70% of inflows come from Boysen/Buffalo Bill Good coordination/cooperation absolutely essential
Better understanding of how to develop and implementrule curves
Appreciation for the efforts of MTAO
![Page 54: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/54.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Next Steps
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Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Next Steps
Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data
![Page 56: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/56.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Next Steps
Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data
Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data availableonline with other HydroMet data
![Page 57: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/57.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Next Steps
Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data
Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data availableonline with other HydroMet data
Develop rule curves for VARQ modeling
![Page 58: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/58.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Next Steps
Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data
Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data availableonline with other HydroMet data
Develop rule curves for VARQ modeling
Fully test the VARQ strategy online and live
![Page 59: Friends of the Bighorn River...Friends of the Bighorn River. Next Steps Develop inflow deciles based on historical inflow data Work with BOR to make inflow forecast data available](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070913/5fb4a1d071ecd224815743ec/html5/thumbnails/59.jpg)
Friends of the Bighorn RiverFriends of the Bighorn River
Special thanks!
Brian Marotz, FWPKen Frazer, FWPJim Darling, FWP
Tim Felchle, BORGordon Aycock, BOR
http://bighornriver.org