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Transcript of Free Movement Labour OECS Grenada July 18 No Pics Ppt
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The Likely Impact of theFree Movement of Labour in the CSME
on theOECS Labour Market
Caribbean Regional NegotiatingMachinery
ByA-Z Information Jamaica Limited
Presented byNoel Watson Ph.D
Denise Leander-Watson MBA, B.A.July 18th 2007
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Structure of Presentation
Contextualisation of Study
Data on movement of people into the OECS
a n n ngs rom surveys Focus group findings
Opinions of trade union, trade and other
officials Attractiveness of CSME member states to
labour
Conclusion
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Context as outlined in the TOR
With the implementation of the CSME, the Region isexpected to enjoy benefits such as:
combined market of over six million persons and for theworld beyond
Competitive products of better quality and prices
Improved services provided by enterprises and individuals,
including transportation and communication Greater opportunity for travel
Opportunities for nationals to study and work in CARICOMcountries of their choice
Increased employment and improved standards of living
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Context (cont.)
Concerns about impact of the CSME
Despite these proposed benefits, there are personsconcerned that the CSME will have a negative impacton their businesses and/or their country.
it is perceived that opening up of the regional marketwill, inter alia, result in: An influx of low cost labour and lower skilled service providers
from larger member states who will compete with nationals for
scarce jobs and opportunities and thereby createunemployment and other social problems amongst nationals
A brain drain of qualified persons from the OECS into thelarger member states of the Region where it is perceived thatprofessionals and more highly skilled persons are more highlyremunerated.
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Context (cont..)
Need for Empirical Research
To help alleviate these fears or to developappropriate responses to the perceived negativeimpacts, empirical investigation and analysis is
required to properly inform the decision makers inthe OECS as well as trade negotiators.
This study is intended to shed more light on thisimportant issue through empirical research.
Objective as outlined in the TOR To conduct empirical research in the OECS as well as in a
large CARICOM member state to determine the likelynature, extent and possible impact on OECS economies ofthe free movement of persons in the CSME.
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Background on Study
WhenSeptember 2006 to May 2007Eight day Field Trip Nov. 2007
WhereAntigua & Barbuda
GrenadaSt. LuciaJamaica
Why? To determine the perceptions of persons from the OECS
with respect to the CSME
Permanent SecretariesLabour CommissionersImmigration OfficialsProfessionals
Trade OfficialsRandom people on streets
HowTelephone interviewsFace-to-face interviewsFocus groups
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Research MethodologyTarget Groups
Residents of the OECS OECS nationals living in other
OECS countriesTrade and union officials Jamaicans
Data Collection InstrumentsFour instruments
1. Residents of the OECS2. OECS nationals living in
other OECS countries3. People on streets of OECS4. Jamaicans
Analysis & Reporting Data Entry Data analysis
Draft Report Final Draft Report
Data Collection ProcessTelephone interviews
Face-to-face interviewsFocus groups
Random people on streets
Sample Selection ProcessMixture of OECS residentsMixture of OECS nationals in
Other OECS countriesMixture of Jamaicans
Random people on streets
Presentation
Summary PowerPoint
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Sample Composition and Size141 persons spoken to directly
Antiguans & Barbudans,Grenadians or St. Lucians
Antiguans & Barbudans,Grenadians or St. Lucians living
Focus group attendees Grenada = 10
Antigua & Barbuda = 15
Sample size was 30
Sample size was 9
Randomly selected persons onthe streets of Antigua &Barbuda and Grenada
Sample size was 41
Jamaicans living in Jamaica
Sample size was 20
Officials interviewed St. Lucia = 6
Grenada = 7 Antigua & Barbuda = 3
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Challenges
Coordination of sample selection Had to rely heavily on people on the ground in OECS
Thanks to Labour Commissioners Offices
ocus group Getting the required turnout Data collection
Finding and interviewing OECS residents and nationals byphone from Jamaica
Data analysis Large volumes of data
Report writing Large volumes of information
Massive report
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Main Findings Work Permit Data
Data was received from five OECS MemberStates for the following periods:
nt gua ar u a: - Dominica: 2000 - 2006
Grenada: 2002 - 2006
St. Kitts & Nevis: 2002 - 2006
St. Vincent & the Grenadines: 2001-2006
St. Lucia could not present any data on WorkPermits
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Work Permit Distribution Caricom Nationals
Antigua &Barbuda
Dominica Grenada St. Kitts& Nevis
St. Vincent& the
Grenadines
OtherCaricom
nationals
12,722 1,624 1,540 613 348
OECS
nationals
3,017 192 260 252 79
TOTAL 15,739 1,816 1,800 865 427
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Work Permit Distribution Caricom Nationals
OECS
Nationals
Other Caricom
Nationals
n gua ar u a19% 81%
Dominica 11% 89%
Grenada 14% 86%
St. Kitts & Nevis 29% 71%
St. Vincent & the
Grenadines
19% 81%
Average 18% 82%
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Work Permits Issued: 2000-2006
Work Permits Issued
Antigua
&
Barbuda Dominica Grenada
St. Kitts
& Nevis
St. Vincent
& the
Grenadines TOTALDominica 1610 0 29 37 13 1689
Grenada 212 39 0 13 13 277
Guyana 6594 145 701 363 158 7961
ama ca
Trinidad and Tobago 407 40 590 33 113 1183
St. Vincent & the Grenadines 417 221 83 99 0 820
St. Lucia 359 78 139 37 28 641
St. Kitts 157 25 1 0 3 186
Antigua & Barbuda 0 0 6 71 22 99Barbados 235 46 79 25 40 425
Montserrat 262 10 2 61 0 335
Haiti 0 1142 0 0 4 1146
Belize & Bahamas 0 0 2 2 0 4
TOTAL 15,739 1,816 1,800 865 427 20,647
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Distribution of 20,000 Work PermitsIssued 2000-20006
Grenada
9%
St. Kitts & Nevis
4%
St. Vincent & the
Grenadines
2%
The graph shows that Antigua & Barbuda accounted for over three
quarters of work permits issued.
Antigua & Barbuda
76%
Dominica9%
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Work Permit Distribution by Nationality
Haiti
6%
Dominica
8%
Barbados
2%Other OECS
11%
Trinidad and Tobago
6%
Guyana
39%Jamaica
28%
The Graph shows that Guyanese nationals received 39% of theWork Permits issued to Caricom Nationals.
Jamaican nationals received 28% of Work Permits issued.
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Work Permit Distribution Top 3Nationalities
Country First Second ThirdAntigua &
Barbuda
Guyana - 42% Jamaica - 35% Dominica - 10%
- -.
Grenadines - 12%
Grenada Guyana - 39% Trinidad & Tobago - 33% St. Lucia - 8%
St. Kitts &Nevis
Guyana - 41% Jamaica - 14% Trinidad & Tobago 11%
St. Vincent
& the
Grenadines
Guyana - 36% Trinidad & Tobago - 26% Barbados - 9%
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Work Permit Gender Distribution
Female MaleAntigua & Barbuda 56% 44%
Grenada 18% 82%
St. Kitts & Nevis 30% 70%
St. Vincent & the
Grenadines
27% 73%
Average31% 69%
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Gender Implications
Overall, more men have been issued withWork Permits than women.
en are a e to move more ree y Women are more prone to give consideration to
family before a decision is taken to move
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Work Permit Top 5 Skillcategories
COUNTRY First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Antigua &
Barbuda
Domestic
Workers -
22%
Security
Guards -
14%
Construction
Workers -
12%
Hotel &
Restaurant
Workers -
10%
Sales
Personnel -
8%
Dominica Agriculture -48%
Community,Social &
Personal -
14%
BusinessServices -
11%
Other - 9% Construction- 8%
Grenada Construction
- 32%
Technical
Workers -18%
Singers,
Artists, DJs -14%
Other - 9% Professionals
- 8%
St. Vincent &
the
Grenadines
Other - 26% Managers -
18%
Construction
Workers -
11%
Engineers -
10%
Professionals
- 10%
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Main Findings Skill Certificates Data
Information was collected from four OECS memberstates:
Dominica
Grenada
St. Lucia
St. Vincent & the Grenadines
In the two instances where information was provided
re: age groups: 87% of the persons who were issued with Skill Certificates
were in the 20 44 year age group
On average, 85% of the persons issued with skill
certificates were graduates
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Main Findings Skill Certificates Data
Two types of Skill Certificates in terms offunctionality
cer ca e ssue y e os coun ry w c a ows or e
indefinite stay of the holder as well as the ability to work
A certificate issued by a country to its own nationals, whichacts as a passport, allowing for the entry into a host country temporary stay of 6 months
Dominica 96% Grenada 43%
St. Lucia 65%
St. Vincent & the Grenadines 70%
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Skill certificates distribution 2004-2006Skills Certificates
Issued (2004-2006)
Dominica Grenada St. Lucia St. Vincent &
the
Grenadines
TOTAL
Antigua & Barbuda 0 0 0 0 0
Barbados 0 3 5 2 10
Belize 0 0 0 0 0
Grenada 0 39 3 1 43
Guyana 1 20 20 6 47
Jamaica 0 12 8 2 22
St. Kitts & Nevis 0 2 0 0 2
St. Lucia 0 2 98 0 100
St. Vincent & the Gren. 0 4 2 31 37
Suriname 0 0 0 0 0
Trinidad & Tobago 0 4 11 2 17
Total 25 91 151 44 311
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Distribution of Skill Certificates 2004-2006
St. Vincent & the
Grenada
29%
Dominica
8%
Grenadines
14%
St. Lucia
49%
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Skill Certificate Issued byNationality
Other OECS
8%
Dominica
Trinidad &
Tobago
14%
Barbados
8%
St. Vincent & theGrenadines
5%
Guyana39%
Jamaica
18%
The Pie Chart shows Skill Certificates issued to non-nationals
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Gender Breakdown Skill Certificates
43%
58%52%
64%
57%50%
60%
70%
Dominica
Grenada
St.Lucia
St.Vin
cent&
theGre
nadines
Male
Female
42%
0%
10%
20%30%
40%
Overall Females accounted for 51% and Males 49%
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Business/Stop over Arrivals
Information was collected from five OECS
Data period 2000 to March 2007
us ness rr va s
St. Lucia (2002 2005)
Antigua and Barbuda (2003 March 2007)
Stop-over Arrivals
Dominica (2000 2005) Grenada (2000 2005)
St. Vincent & the Grenadines (2001 2006)
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Arrivals- OECS v Other CaricomNationals
Twenty nine (29%) of the business/ stop overarrivals were from the OECS.
71% were from the other Caricom countries
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Business/Stopover Arrivals: Top 3 byNationality
OECS Member
States First Second Third
Business Arrivals
Antigua & Barbuda Barbados - 21% Trinidad & Tobago -
18%
St. Kitts &
Nevis -13%
St. Lucia Barbados - 29% Trinidad & Tobago -
24%
Dominica - 8%
Stopover Arrivals
Dominica Antigua & Barbuda -
28%
Haiti - 21% Barbados - 13%
Grenada Trinidad & Tobago -
52%
Barbados - 18 % St. Lucia - 7%
St. Vincent & the
Grenadines
Barbados - 39% Trinidad &Tobago -
36%
St. Lucia- 11%
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Main Findings Residency Permit
Received data from 5 countries for the period2001 - 2006:
Antigua & Barbuda Temporary Residence
Dominica Temporary & Permanent Residence
Grenada Residence & Citizenship
St. Kitts & Nevis - Residence
St. Vincent & the Grenadines TemporaryResidence
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Residency Permits issued OECS:Other Caricom Nationals
Twenty one (21%) of the Residency Permitsissued were to OECS nationals
79% were from the other Caricom countries
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Residency Permits Top 3 Recipientsby Nationality
OECS Member States First Second Third
Antigua & Barbuda Guyana - 38% Jamaica - 37% Dominica -16%
Dominica Jamaica - 45% Trinidad & St. Vincent &o ago - 14% t e
Grenadines - 10%
Grenada Trinidad &Tobago - 41%Guyana - 41%
Barbados 9% Jamaica - 6%
St. Kitts & Nevis Guyana - 47% Jamaica - 22% Montserrat -12%
St. Vincent & the
Grenadines
Guyana - 46% Trinidad &
Tobago - 22%
Barbados -
11%
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Conclusion on data trends in regionalmovement of persons since 2000
Guyanese nationals are dominant in terms of labour movementwithin the Region as noted by the number of work permitsissued to them compared with those issued to other CARICOMcountries.
However, Guyanese are not dominant in tourism and otherregional movement as seen by their relatively low numberswhen business travel and stopover data are compared withother CARICOM countries.
Barbados is low in terms of regional movement of labour buthigh in terms of business travel and stopover travel.
Trinidad and Tobago is high in terms of both regional movementof labour as well as stopover travel to Grenada proximity andfamily connection
Jamaica tends to follow a similar path as the Guyanese wherethey are relatively high in terms of movement of labour but
relatively low in terms of business and tourism movement withinthe OECS.
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Main FindingsAwareness of the CSME
High level of awareness in OECS countries
All persons interviewed had heard about the CSME
87% of the OECS respondents living in the OECS hadvisited or lived in at least one other CSME memberstate
A few claimed to have visited all member states except
Belize and Suriname
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Main Findings from Surveys
OECS Residents living in OECS
OECS Residents living elsewhere in OECS
OECS Residents on the streets Jamaicans
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Awareness of categories of labourgranted free movement under the CSME
Level of awareness was relatively lowamongst OECS residents
It was also relatively low
amongst Jamaicans
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Given state of awareness what policyresponses are necessary?
Suggestions from participants
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Appropriate Messages are required
Go and get your SkillsCertificate
From the Ministry of Labour
Might have to use thevernacular where necessary
in the CSME
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Policy Implications based on findingsconcerning awareness
High levelof basic
awareness
Low level
of in depthawareness
Need for
Public EducationPublic Education
To deepen understandingand change attitudes
Social MarketingSocial MarketingTo influence behaviour
A di M di
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Audiences Media
Children Posters, Teachers & pastors, Flyers to take home, Community radio,
Skits, dance, songs (competition)
Adolescents Posters, Teachers & pastors, Flyers to take home, Town criers, Massmeetings, Community radio, Skits, dance, songs
Young Adults Posters, Pastors, Flyers to take home, Town criers, Focus groups,
Mass meetings, Community radio, Skits, dance, songs (bashment)
Adults/Heads of
Households
Posters, Pastors, Flyers to take home, Town criers, Focus groups,
Mass meetings, Community radio, Skits, dance, songs
, , , , ,
Mass meetings, Community radio, Skits, dance, songsTeachers Face-to face discussions, Flyers, Posters, Skits, dance, songs, essays
(school competition)
Police Face-to face discussions, Flyers, Posters
Business people
Face-to face discussions, Flyers, Posters, Focus GroupsCBOs, NGOs Face-to face discussions, Flyers, Posters, Focus Groups
Comm. leaders Face-to face discussions, Flyers, Posters, Focus Groups
PoliticiansMPs and Councillors
Face-to face discussions, Flyers, Posters
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Examples of Media Use forPublic Education
Community communication specialists could be usedto get the messages across
Schools could use essay or poetry competitions as c an r mary sc oo c ren cou carry yers
home in their bags Community competitions Dee Jay, dancing,
community cleanliness Churches could be asked to provide information during
their announcements segment PTA meetings
Community notice boards
Hi-tech media text messages
T t di Pl t h th
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Target audiences Places to reach them
Children Basic Schools, Primary Schools, Churches,
Homes, Scouts, Boys Brigade, Girls Guides
Adolescents Secondary Schools, Youth Clubs, CommunityCentres, Sporting Clubs, courts, complexes or
fields, Churches, Homes
Young Adults Youth Clubs, Sporting Clubs, courts, complexesor fields, Community Centres, Churches, Homes,
At work in community, On Corner
Adults/Heads of Households Community Centres, Churches, Homes, At workin community
Seniors Community Centres, Churches, Homes
Teachers Schools
Police Police stations
Business people Businesses
CBOs, NGOs Monthly meetings
Community leaders/persons of
influence
Homes, Corners, Work place
Politicians (MPs and Councillors) Offices
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Perceptions of the likely effects of theCSME on OECS economies
Persons from the OECSliving in their own countrywere generally quite positive
When rating how they thought the
CSME would affect their economy50% of respondents gave positiveratin s 33% were neutral and onl
Sentiments shared bypersons from OECS living inother countries, as well as bypersons interviewed on thestreets and participants in
focus groupsPositive
50%
Neutral
33%
Pessimistic
17%
Jamaicans interviewed were alsogenerally positive about the likelyeffects on their economy
17% were pessimistic
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Possible policy responses to favourableimpressions of free movement?
Focus on the possible negatives
Do not prepare citizens
-
o not n orm c t zens o pos t ves
Do nothing
Prepare citizens
To compete locally To compete in other states
Give information on opportunities
Give training and certification opportunities
0
+
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Perceived relative earningpotential of labour in OECS countries
Persons from Antigua & Barbuda perceivedHigh
Relative Earnings
the highest in the CSME
Grenadians perceived that their wageswere relatively low
Perceptions were varied amongst St. Lucians
Jamaicans interviewed generally perceivedthat salaries were higher in other CSME
countries than in Jamaica.
Med
Low
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Willingness to move to work or live inanother CSME member state
60% of respondents claimed they would be prepared to moveon a temporary basis to live or work in another CSME country
Only 17% were definitive about being prepared to move
With respect to temporarymovement, there is seemingly aninverse correlation between thedomestic wage level and willingnessto move
a higher percentage of Grenadiansfollowed by St. Lucians and then
Antiguans were prepared to move
Grenadians
St. Lucians
Antiguans
DomesticW
ageLevel
Temporary willingness to move
65% of Jamaicans interviewedclaimed they would be prepared tomove on a temporary basis.
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Willingness to move to work or live inanother CSME member state(cont)
The analysis also revealed aninverse relationship betweenage and willingness to move
There is a high level ofinertia with respect topermanent movement as
on a emporary as s - o er
persons were less prepared tomove.
The analysis showed that menare more willing to move on a
temporary basis than females. Married women, regardless of
dependents, were leastfavourably disposed tomoving.
degree of love & loyalty totheir country.
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Implications of findings
The profile of the person that will be mostre ared to move is
Younger Unmarried
Male
Higher income
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Implications of findings (cont)
In the Re ion Mode 4
trade in servicescould be activebecause of the highpropensity to move
temporarily
Mode 2: Movement of consumer
Mode 3: Commercial Presence
Mode 4: Temporary Movement
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Ranking of CSME member states asdesirable destinations to work or live
Residents of the OECS ranked Barbados as the most desirableCSME member state to live or work in
Safe
Good standard of living (despite the high cost of living) Good opportunities
Good infrastructure
Many attributes of a developed country.
Close geographical proximity to the OECS
Trinidad & Tobago and Jamaica were joint second in terms ofthe number of times they were ranked in the top four
Perception of crime reduced the desirability of both Jamaica andTrinidad & Tobago even though numerous attractive featuresabout both countries were identified.
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Ranking of CSME member states asdesirable destinations to work or live(cont)
If all the OECS countries were aggregated, the OECS as a sub-region was far more popular than Barbados or any other singlecountry mainly because persons felt a sense of familiarity andbelonging.
OECS citizens living outside of their home country selected St.Kitts & Nevis as the most popular country in terms of desirabilityfollowed by St. Lucia and Barbados.
Suriname is the only CSME member state that did not feature at all
as a desirable place, this could be a reflection of a languagebarrier and lack of familiarity.
Jamaicans also selected Barbados followed by Trinidad &
Tobago as their most desirable CSME countries to work or live.
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Policy Implications from findings
Other CSME member states should considerbenchmarking Barbados in terms of economic andsocial development
that Suriname is part of the CSME and there may beopportunities Crime is a major inhibitor of the free movement and
trade in services
OECS member states should introduce crime preventionstrategies Community policing Youth clubs for youth Mentoring programmes for young men
Parenting training for young mothers
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Possible threats from free movementof labour identified by interviewees
Increase in crime and the number of criminals
Increase in fraudulent business activities
-
Development of slums as unskilled persons enter andaccept low paying jobs or are unable to find jobs
Lower wage structure and standard of living as the influx
of foreigners pushes wage rates down Loss of jobs as
more skilled foreigners from countries with universities enter themarket
unskilled foreigners are prepared to accept lower wages.
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Threats from free movement of labour(cont)
Loss of capital as wages and profits are remitted out ofthe country
Reduction in the availabilit of land as forei nerscompete for land given that the Alien LandholdingRestrictions have been recommended for removal forCSME residents
Increase in property prices as more persons compete
for land. In some countries the brain drain may exceed the
brain gain thus leaving the country relatively short ofthe skills necessarily to facilitate optimal growth and
development.
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Threats from free movement of labour(cont)
Some saw it as an opportunity as the influx of skillswould benefit the economy.
movement is not a threat and has been happening foryears, especially in Antigua & Barbuda.
JamaicansJamaicansThe main threats to Jamaica were in terms of wagerates being driven down and the culture being diluted.
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Policy Implications from Threats Identifiedby Residents, Nationals & Officials
Government should pay careful attention and considersetting up a monitoring agency/team to assessdevelo ments CSME Unit . Perha s Re ional
support (RDF) could be sought to deal with suchmatters
Social
Crime, anti-social behaviour, etc
Economic Wage rates, capital flight, land and property issues, brain drain,
etcEstablish or utilize existing public, private and civil society agenciesand groups to figure out how to obviate or deal with emerging
problems
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Readiness of the OECS for the FreeMovement and CSME
The OECS was not perceived to be fully readyfor free movement and CSME
o not ave t e tert ary eve tra n ng nst tut ons
to provide the level of certification required to make tradespeople and other workers competitive in a regional marketwhere labour movement is free
There has been insufficient public education
Many residents of the OECS are not fully aware of theopportunities and threats and the preparations they need tomake to operate optimally within the CSME
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Policy Implications
Government of OECS countries shouldconsider
ett ng up tra n ng nst tut ons, suc as
H.E.A.R.T in Jamaica to certify tradespeople Funded by a special 2% payroll tax
Cold initially start with one or two in the sub-
Region Collaborating with organisations such as
H.E.A.R.T to set up certification programmes
Include on-the-job certification
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Attitudes towards free movement for allcategories of labour(Favourable)
More than 63% of respondents feltthat all categories of labour shouldbe able to move freel All categoriesAll categories
Not in favour of discriminationbetween categories
Region needs a mixture of both skilledand unskilled labour to develop andunite
imbalances and disunity are beingcreated by restricting the movement ofcertain categories.
should moveshould move
freelyfreely
>63%>63%
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Attitudes towards free movement forall categories of labour(Unfavourable)
Region needs more skilled not unskilled people
Onus should be on the unskilled to get skills so they
development of the Region. Some fear that if unskilled persons move freely,
they may end up unemployed
Anti-social behaviour may result which may adverselyaffect the development and growth potential
such as crime
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Jamaican attitudes towards freemovement for all categories of labour
85% of Jamaicansinterviewed felt that all All categoriesAll categories
categories of labour shouldbe granted free movement
Not in favour of discrimination
However, there was some
skepticism
of labourof labour
should moveshould movefreelyfreely
85%85%
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Impact of increased competition for jobs
Nearly all respondents feltthere would be anincreased level of
Some felt that therewill not be any greatre ional movement
competition for jobs Not necessarily a threat
because it should result ingreater efficiency andhigher standards
Increased competitionwould be offset by theincreased opportunities
of persons becausemany factors apartfrom jobs determinewhether peoplemove.
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Job opportunities as a result of thefree movement of labour and the CSME
73% of OECS respondents claimed that freemovement of labour should increase job opportunities Greater effective market size
of greater need
As long as a regional vision and planning are put in place,investment will increase to take advantage of resourcesavailable all across the Region
Concerns
Businesses may move from one member state to another totake advantage of lower cost labour thereby creatingunemployment in the country that they leave
75% of Jamaicans interviewed also felt more job opportunities
would become available as a result of the CSME
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Policy ImplicationsEmphasis on Continuous Training
Government, unions and private sector shouldencourage all citizens to view continuous training asone of the best wa s to deal with com etition
To deal with persons from elsewhere CSME To capitalize on opportunities elsewhere in the CSME and in
the world
Putting in place the necessary training facilities and PublicEducation would certainly help
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Important factors that make OECS peoplewant to remain in their homeland
In terms of attributes that wouldinduce respondents to remain intheir homeland the six most
important in order of rank were:1. The desire to contribute to their
country
2. Close family ties
3. Low crime rate4. Job prospects
5. Earning potential
6. Education system.
A nationalistic factor followed
by two sociological factors andthen two economic factorsemerged as most important formaking OECS residents wantto remain in their homeland
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Important factors that would inducemovement to another member state
In terms of attributes of anotherCSME country that would induceres ondents from the OECS to
move, the six most important inorder of rank were:
1. Low crime rate
2. Earning potential
3. Education system4. Job prospects
5. Social services
6. Governance
After the social factor of lowcrime, labour market (economic)factors emerged as veryimportant as did the educationand governance systems.
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Factors that determine movement forJamaicans
For Jamaicans, thetop six factors thatmade them want to
For Jamaicans, thetop six factors thatwould induce them to
1. Closeness to family2. Culture3. Entertainment and
recreation4. Job prospects
5. Desire to contribute tocountry6. Earning potential
country were:
1. Earning potential2. Job prospects3. Low crime rate4. Education system
5. Social services6. Friends
Overall for Jamaicans, social factors are the most important inkeeping them at home, whereas economic factors are the mostimportant in terms of inducing them to leave.
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Policy Implications
To prevent a brain drain develop policies that focus on The importance of contributing to the development of the
country
Strengthening families
Minimizing crime
To foster a brain gain develop policies that focus on
Minimizing crime
Increasing productivity and earning potential Enhancing the education system
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Implications for OECS of free movement
OECS or other member states should not be overlyconcerned about being overrun with persons from otherCSME member states
Many pull factorsact to preventpersons fromleaving theirhomeland
Several important
factors would haveto be in place inanother memberstate before personsfrom the OECS
would be induced tomove
In general, a high
degree of nationallove and loyalty wasdetected amongstrespondents,especially in
Grenada and St.Lucia.
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Main opportunities for the individual inthe CSME
Jobs and business prospects were ranked highest interms of being the most important opportunities forindividuals in the CSME
However, other factors were identified as importantopportunities Opportunities for collaboration
Meeting new people
Entertainment options
Improvements in social services
Cultural improvements
Learning new methods of doing things
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Is the CSME good for the Region?
90% of the OECS residents interviewed from the threeselected countries think the CSME is good for theRegion
.
Many reasons were given for these impressions Benefits of being unified in international negotiations Economies of scale Possible gains from specialization Gains from niche production and marketing A strong regional currency Development of the culture-based industries.
85% of Jamaicans feel the CSME is good for the Region and
gave similar reasons
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Is the CSME good for the Region?(cont..)
On the whole, persons from the OECS arefavorably disposed to the free movement of
The greatest fear of residents of the OECS isthe possible infiltration or stimulation of crimethrough the free movement
A low crime rate was identified as one of the mostimportant factors in the lives of people in the OECS
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Policy Implications
Promote heavily the opportunities in the CSME
Make a lot of noise about the fact that measures
repercussions Such as crime
Put measures in place and announce them on acontinuous basis
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Similarities between OECS andJamaican Perspectives and Opinions
On the whole the analysis shows very littledifference in the perceptions of persons from
.
This finding augurs well from the perspectiveof integration Persons from different parts of the Region are at
similar levels of awareness
There is harmony with respect to perceptions ofthe opportunities and threats presented by theCSME.
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Gender related findings
An extensive gender analysis was carried out based on a sampleof 47 males and 24 females The OECS telephone interviews were combined with the OECS street
interviews to obtain a representative sample for this analysis.
Main Gender Related FindingsMain Gender Related Findings Awareness
Both males and females were found to be highly aware of the CSME
Perceptions about benefits A high percentage of both males and females think the CSME is good
for the Region and the Region will benefit as a result. More males are optimistic about the effects of the CSME than females
Perceptions about earning potential The difference in the perceptions of males and females in terms of
earning potential outside of their home country is not significant.
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Gender related findings (cont)
Preparedness to move
Preparedness to move on a temporary basis Males seem more prepared to move on a temporary basis than their
female counterparts.
Married women re ardless of whether the had de endents were
the least likely to be prepared to move temporarily.
Want to be with husbands
Preparedness to move on a permanent basis
Overall, males are significantly more willing than females to move toanother CSME member state on a permanent basis
30% males expressing a willingness to move permanently comparedto 8% of females.
Married women, especially those with dependents, were the mostuncertain category of all in terms of willingness to move permanently
However, the significant majority of both genders are not prepared to
move permanently.
Gender related findings (cont )
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Gender related findings (cont)
Visits to andDesirability of other CSMEMember States
CSME States visited Relatively few OECS females seemed to have lived or worked
in other CSME member states compared to their malecounterparts.
The most visited CSME member state was Trinidad andTobago for both males and females.
Desirability of other CARICOM countries to live or work
In the ranking of countries in terms of desirability to live orwork, Barbados was most popular for both men and women
While Trinidad & Tobago was equally popular as Barbados formales, it was far less popular amongst women.
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Gender related issues (cont..)
Greatest threats from the CSME
Greatest threats from the CSME identified by asignificant number of both males and females
Drugs Murders
Other felonies
Locals losing jobs to workers from other CSME
member states Better qualified
More educated
More professional
More efficient
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Gender related findings (cont)Personal job prospects, competition and jobthreats from the Free Movement
Job Prospects In terms of job prospects due to the CSME, males were more
optimistic than their female counterparts
Competition for jobs
87% of males and 100% of females expected increasedcompetition for jobs as a result of the CSME.
However, a high percentage of both males and females felt nopersonal threat for their own jobs and felt they could hold theirown.
The relatively few that felt threatened claimed it was mainly
because of their lack of qualifications.
Gender related findings (cont)
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g ( )
Opportunities and losses from theFree Movement
Opportunities from movement of labour A significant percentage of both males and females felt that
the greatest opportunity for their country from the inwardmovemen o s e a our was n erms o cross er za on
of skills, professionalism, methodology, technology as localsand nationals learn from each other.
Job opportunities, opportunities for collaboration, andmeeting new people were rated highly by both males andfemales as personal opportunities from the CSME.
Loss of skills More females than males seemed concerned about the
potential loss of skills to other CSME member states due tothe free outward movement of labour.
Gender related issues (cont)
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( )
Factors critical to the decision to remainin homeland or move
Factors critical to the decision to remain in homeland The desire to contribute to the home economy and low crime
rate were in the top three for both males and females.
Malesplaced a higher ranking on closeness to family,
entertainment and recreation, earning potential and friends. Femalesplaced greater emphasis on job prospects, the
education system and church association.
Factors critical to the decision to move to another
CSME state Low crime rate, earning potential, job prospects were top threefor both males and females
However, men rated the importance of the education systemhigher than females who rated governance higher than males.
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Focus Groups
Conducted four Focus Group Sessions:
Two in Grenada
wo n n gua an ar u a
Met with the following officials in St. Lucia, Grenadaand Antigua and Barbuda:
Trade Union
Immigration
Labour
Trade/Commerce
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Focus Group Sessions MainIssues
Generally felt that there is already a fairlyhigh degree of movement amongst labour
population in both countries Opportunities
Accessibility to a larger pool of skilled persons
Diversity and creativity in terms of ideas etc
Learn from the persons with the skills
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Main Issues contd
Threats Tradespersons are not certified because there is
certified persons from other countries
Insufficient trained persons because they are notcampus territory like the bigger member states
Importation of foreign cultures
Increase in certain communicable diseases, e.g.HIV AIDS
CSME was not communicated properly, hencelack of understanding amongst the population
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Focus Groups - Recommendations
Increase the education budget from nursery to tertiary Invest in Training of the workforce e.g. give more
scholarships
oc a mar e ng o n uence a u es o wor an o ra n ng
Develop and implement a three -year plan based on thebenefits to be accrued from the CSME
Ensure the competency of persons who disseminateinformation about the CSME
Alien Land holding Act as it relates to land should be upheld
Small businesses should be protected
More training and certification support from the bigger countries
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Perspectives - Immigration
Three issues emerged: Crime need for vigilance and suggestion that
Health - Trafficking of Persons
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Perspectives from the TradeUnions
Perceived impacts of the CSME: Widen the Job Market
not e mass m grat on n ux o uyanese
workers May depress wages when workers come from
lower waged economies
Public not sufficiently educated
Unions not sufficiently involved in public
education
P i f h T d
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Perspectives from the TradeUnions
Groups most threatened by the CSME: Uncertified Construction Workers (at all skill
Vendors
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Perspectives from the Trade Officials
No mass migration in either direction
Main beneficiaries will be service providers(Mode 3 commercial presence)
Job Creation
Wages not a pull factor in the case ofGrenada but may be for St. Lucia andAntigua & Barbuda
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Perspectives from the Trade Officials
Fears of the Impacts of the CSME: Lack of certification amongst tradespersons
ncrease n cr me
Issues with land Perception that the CSME is for persons with
tertiary education
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Perspectives from Labour Officials
Always been an influx of Caribbean migrantlabour over the years most evident in
Jamaica, Guyana, Barbados and Trinidad &Tobago have campus universities - percapita they can turn out more graduates
Lacking in the Technical VocationalInstitutions which the big four have had foryears - lacking in the critical areas of skilledtraining persons.
S t d S l ti t
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Suggested Solutions toChallenges
Strategies: A Regional Strategy to protect workers and the
disenfranchised
A streamlined Public Education Strategy involving the
Unions, NGOs etc. Harmonisation of Labour Laws and Social Security Systems
(NIS, Health benefits, leave benefits and Pensions etc)
A regional policy on HIV/AIDS
Regional certification and licensing authority for constructionworkers
Adoption of the HEART model from Jamaica skillcertification programme
Rating of CSME Countries in Terms of
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Rating of CSME Countries in Terms ofDeterminants of Labour Movement
Objective Develop and index measuring the attractiveness of each
CSME member state to labour
Variables that determine attractiveness
Wage rates
Level of development
Absorptive capacity of local labour market
Perceived level of safety Perceived openness/welcoming of outsiders
Each variable scored from low to high and then given a valuebetween 1-5 for each member state
Rating of CSME Countries in
Terms of Determinants of Labour Movement
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Terms of Determinants of Labour MovementCountry Wage Rates Level of
Development
Size or
Absorptive
Capacity of
Labour Market
Perceived
Safety Level
Perceived
Openness
Antigua & Barbuda High High Low/Medium High High
Dominica Low/medium Low Low High Medium
Grenada Medium Low Low Hi h Medium
St. Kitts & Nevis High High Low High Medium/Low
St. Lucia High Medium Low/Medium High Medium
St. Vincent &
Grenadines
Medium Low Low High Medium
Barbados High High High/Medium High Low/medium
Belize Medium/low Low/medium Medium Low/medium Medium
Guyana Low Low/medium Medium Medium High
Jamaica Medium High High Low High
Suriname Low Low Medium High Medium
Trinidad & Tobago High/Medium High High Medium High
Scoring of CSME Countries in Terms of Determinants ofLabour Movement
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Country Wage
Rates
Development Size or
Absorptive
Capacity of
Labour Market
Perceived
Safety Level
Perceived
Openness
Antigua & Barbuda 5 3 2 4 5
Dominica 2 1 1 5 3
Grenada 3 1 1 5 3
St. Kitts & Nevis 4 3 1 5 3
St. Lucia 4 3.5 2 5 3.5
St. Vincent &Grenadines
3 1 1 5 3
Barbados 5 5 3.5 5 1.5
Belize 2 2 2 3 3
Guyana 1 2 3 3 5
Jamaica 2 5 5 1 5
Suriname 1 1 3 4 3
Trinidad & Tobago 4 5 5 2 4
Average 3.0 2.7 2.5 3.9 3.5
A-Z Index of Country Attractiveness to Labour
(ICAL)
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(ICAL)Country Overall Score ICAL
Antigua & Barbuda (3)Antigua & Barbuda (3) 19 0.76
Dominica (10) 12 0.48Grenada (8) 13 0.52
St. Kitts & Nevis (6)St. Kitts & Nevis (6) 16 0.64
St. Lucia (4)St. Lucia (4) 18 0.72
St. Vincent & Grenadines (8) 13 0.52
Barbados (1)Barbados (1) 20 0.80
Belize (10) 12 0.48
Guyana (7) 14 0.56
Jamaica (4)Jamaica (4) 18 0.72
Suriname (10) 12 0.48
Trinidad & Tobago (1)Trinidad & Tobago (1) 20 0.80
Average 15.7 0.62
Net Attractors versus Net Losers of
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Net Attractors versus Net Losers ofLabour
Six countries withabove average ICAL
Six countries with belowaverage (ICAL)
ar a os
Trinidad &Tobago Antigua & Barbuda
St. Lucia
Jamaica
St. Kitts & Nevis
uyana
Grenada St. Vincent & Grenadines
Dominica
Belize
Suriname
Net Attractors of Labour Net Losers of Labour
Migratory Trends of People fromCARICOM
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Migratory Trends of People fromCARICOM
North America UK/Europe
People have shown a preference to migrate to North America andUK/Europe and this trend is likely to continue for economic(earning potential)and social (family)reasons
Intra-Regional migration should not be a cause for great fear but anopportunity to develop (like North America and UK/Europe)
Within CARICOM
Importance of Labour
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Importance of LabourMathematics of Growth and DevelopmentMathematics of Growth and Development
We ought not to be afraid of our own labour
We must use our labour to develop We ought to follow the example of the
countries to which our people have migrated
Look regionally at Antigua & Barbuda
Labour + Capitalrow an
Development
CheckNorth America
and
UK/EU
+ Technology/Governance
=
Opportunities in other CSME membert t
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Opportunities in other CSME memberstates
Guyana land and lower cost labour Jamaica high rates of return on capital
,
Belize tourism development opportunities
Trinidad & Tobago natural resources, econ. growth
Suriname land and lower cost labour
Dominica eco-tourism
Conclusion
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Conclusion
Let us correct our weaknesses and developour strengths so we can deal effectively with
along. Our people/labour are our greatest asset