Four-Year Homeless Trends
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Transcript of Four-Year Homeless Trends
Four-Year Homeless Trends
June 2011
William Macmillan, Management Analyst
Office to Prevent and End Homelessness
Fairfax County, Virginia
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Summary of Point-in-Time Highlights• Over a four years, number of homeless persons in Fairfax-Falls
Church decreased by 15.6% from 1,835 in 2008 to 1,549 in 2011.
• Homeless families decreased by nearly 15% from 311 in 2008 to 265 in 2011.
• Number of children under 18 decreased by 20% from 673 in 2008 to 539 in 2011.
• Single individuals decreased by 10.5% from 744 in 2008 to 666 in
2011, now including 8 persons in a safe haven.
• The unduplicated total counted for all of FY 2010 was 3,076.
• HOST prevented nearly 900 persons from becoming homeless during 2010.
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Homeless Trend Since 2008
• Since 2008, decrease in single individuals and persons in families.
• 2008 was the high point.
• The overall reduction from 2008 to 2011 is 15.6%.
730 1083
744 1091
663 1067
652 892
666 883
0 500 1000 1500 2000
Number of Persons
Homeless Individuals and Persons in Families
2010
2009
2008
2007
1544
1730
1835
1813
2011 1549
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Regional Trends 2008-2011
• Metropolitan region has varied by about 2% from 11,706 in 2008 to 11,988 in 2011.
• Fairfax-Falls Church has dropped from 55% to 48% of total homeless persons in Northern Virginia – and 13% of metro region. Alexandria Arlington Fairfax-Falls
ChurchLoudoun Prince William
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000Homeless in Northern Virginia 2008-2011
2008 2009 2010 2011
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– Since 2008 hypothermia prevention programs and seasonal beds have sheltered over 200 people per night during winter months, and a 1,000 or more during the four-month season.
– Persons who were unsheltered dropped from 212 in 2008 to 135 in 2011.
– Individuals counted in Permanent Supportive Housing increased from 250 in 2008 to 336 in 2011.
– Of the 3,076 persons who were homeless in all of FY 2010, 482 moved into some type of permanent housing.
Affects of Program Changes
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Individuals in Permanent Supportive Housing (PSH)
• No longer counted as homeless.
• Increasing PSH is key goal of housing first.
• Less emphasis on transitional housing.
• Provides long-term supports based on individual need.
242
250
294
310
336
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Individuals in Permanent Supportive Housing
Permanent Supportive Housing
2009
2008
2007
2010
2011
7
Housing Shift with Families
• Less transitional, more focus on moving families to permanent housing.
• One transitional shelter now counted with emergency shelter.
• 17 of 20 former units of transitional housing converted to permanent supportive housing.
• No time limit on permanent housing, and supports can continue as needed.
154 136 793
65 198 828
22 205 840
35 187 670
55 244 584
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Where Persons in Families Were Counted
Overflow-Voucher-Other Emergency Shelter Transitional Housing
2010
2009
2008
2007
2011
892
1067
1091
1083
883
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• Among adults in families, 60% reported employment, a drop
from 62% in 2010.– Public assistance was primary source for 15% of families– Average monthly income reported = $1,227 – A drop from $1248 in 2010
• Among singles, only 19% reported employment, down from 23% in 2010.
– Disability income was the primary source for 17% of singles– Average monthly income reported = $638– A drop from $648 in 2010
Poverty - Major Factor for All
Homeless Persons
Demographics – Single Individuals
• Some increase in elderly and young adults, decrease in persons aged 35 – 54
• Race/ethnic distribution 2011 2010 2009 2008– Hispanic (any race) 19% 17% 19% 20%– White (non-Hispanic) 39% 39% 40% 38%– Black (non-Hispanic) 35% 31% 33% 35%– Asian/Multi-racial/Other 7% 13% 8% 7%
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Age 18-34
Age 35-54
Age 55 and over
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Age Groups of Single Individuals
2011
2010
2009
2008
Percentage of Individuals
Demographics – Persons in Families
• Most adults (55%) are under 35; very few over 55• Nearly half (45%) of children are under 6
– About one-third (31%) are elementary age (6-11)– About one-fourth (24%) are adolescents (12-17)
• Race/ethnicity shifting to fewer Blacks, more Hispanic & White
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Asian/Multi-racial/Other
Black (non-Hispanic)
White (non-Hispanic)
Hispanic (any race)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Race/Ethnicity in Families
2011
2010
2009
2008
Percentage of Persons
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Subpopulations for Individuals
• Mental illness, substance abuse, or both afflict 60%.
• Health problems are significant.
• 24% are refugees or language minorities, up from 15% in 2008.
• 16% became homeless from an institution, a drop from 22% in 2008.
• 39% are chronically homeless, a drop from 54% in 2008.
• 9% are veterans of U.S. military service.
No Identified subpopulation
Chronically Homeless
Veteran of U.S. Military Service
Homeless from an Institution
Language Minority
Chronic Health Problems
Dual Diagnosis (SMI & CSA)
Chronic Substance Abuse
Seriously Mentally Ill
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
85
258
52
109
162
94
103
175
121
Major subpopulations – Single Individuals 2011
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Subpopulations for Families
• Only three subpopulations have more than 10%.
• Victims of domestic violence increased from 24% in 2008 to 35% in 2011.
• Language minorities/ refugees increased from 33% in 2008 to 41% in 2011.
• Persons with no identified subpopulation are usually homeless due to poverty, not to other factors – decreased from 42% in 2008 to 31% in 2011.
No Identified Subpopulation
Language Minority
Victims of Domestic Violence
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
277
363
309
Major subpopulations – Persons in Families 2011
Number of Persons