Fortum Corporation · 2020. 3. 30. · European business environment and carbon market • European...
Transcript of Fortum Corporation · 2020. 3. 30. · European business environment and carbon market • European...
Fortum Corporation Interim report January–March 2014 29 April 2014
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Disclaimer
This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Fortum shares. Past performance is no guide to future performance, and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser.
Q1 2014 Results
Key figures (EUR) I/2014 I/2013 2013 LTM Sales, million 1,473 1,654 5,309 5,128
Comparable EBITDA, million 627 664 1,975 1,938
Operating profit, million 2,333 477 1,508 3,364
Comparable operating profit, million 477 524 1,403 1,356
Profit before taxes, million 2,341 490 1,398 3,249
Earnings per share 2.53 0.45 1.36 3.44
Items affecting comparability 2.09 -0.04 0.10
Net cash from operating activities, million 566 467 1,548 1,647
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Summary of the first quarter of 2014 • Good results despite low prices and weak rouble
• Cash flow from operations increased
• Finnish electricity distribution business sale completed EUR 1.85 billion gain booked
– Comparable Net debt/ EBITDA 2.5
– Norwegian business sale announced; expected to be completed in the second quarter
• Efficiency programme progresses as planned
• Fortum Värme treated as joint venture and consolidated with equity method
• New organization structure
– Strengthens the company’s capability to execute the company’s strategy
– Segment information restated
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Market conditions in the first quarter 2014 Nordic countries • Power consumption in the Nordic countries decreased due to exceptionally warm weather
• Water reservoir levels have normalised
• Nordic system spot prices approx. EUR 12 per MWh lower compared to 2013 European business environment and carbon market • European Commission gave its proposal for the EU’s 2020-2030 climate and energy policy
• Implementation of backloading started – EU carbon market characterised by high volatility Russia • Power consumption in Fortum’s operating areas declined marginally
• Spot price for power increased by 11% in the First price zone compared to the same period
in 2013
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Nordic water reservoirs
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Source: Nord Pool Spot
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
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tent
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h)
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2000 2003 2013 2012 reference level 2014
Wholesale price for electricity
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Source: Nord Pool Spot, NASDAQ OMX Commodities Europe
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110EUR/MWh Nord Pool Spot System Price Forwards
24 April 2014
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023
Price development in the Nordic region and Russia
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Includes capacity income
-28% +9%
-13% +0%
Q1: Russia improved despite weakened rouble
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Comparable operating profit, EUR million
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Crude oil price (ICE Brent)
2006 2007 20102008 2009 20122011 2013 2014 20150
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CO2 price (ICE ECX EUA)
2006 2007 20102008 2009 20122011 2013 2014 2015
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Coal price (ICE Rotterdam)
2006 2007 20102008 2009 20122011 2013 2014 20150
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p / t
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Gas price (ICE NBP)
2006 2007 20102008 2009 20122011 2013 2014 2015
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Source: ICE
Market prices 24 April 2014; 2014-2015 future quotations
Fuel and CO2 allowance prices
Financials
Comparable and reported operating profit
I/2014 I/2013 I/2014 I/2013
Power and Technology 251 303 262 263 Heat, Electricity Sales and Solutions 48 57 45 51
Russia 73 41 73 40
Distribution 119 137 1,968 136
Other -14 -14 -14 -14
Total 477 524 2,333 477
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Comparable operating profit
Reported operating profit MEUR
• Non-recurring items (mainly to the sale of the Finnish electricity distribution business), IFRS accounting treatment (IAS 39) of derivatives and nuclear fund adjustments had an impact on the reported operating profit EUR 1,856 (-47) million in the first quarter
Power and Technology
MEUR I/2014 I/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 586 665 2,252 2,173
Comparable operating profit 251 303 859 807
Net assets 6,276 6,421 6,355
Comparable RONA % 13.8 13.0
Gross investments 35 26 181 190
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Q1 2014
• Lower comparable operating profit • Mainly due to EUR 6 per MWh lower achieved power price – average spot price
EUR 12 lower than during the comparison period • Higher hydro production – normalised hydro inflow • Nuclear availability high in all reactors expect Oskarshamn 2
Heat, Electricity Sales and Solutions
MEUR I/2014 I/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 446 531 1,516 1,431
Comparable operating profit 48 57 109 100
Net assets 2,365 2,408 2,295
Comparable RONA % 8.7 8.2
Gross investments 13 33 134 114
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Q1 2014
• Exceptionally warm weather, and divestments made in Finland in 2013 burdened both CHP volumes (despite new capacity) and retail sales.
The former Heat division and Electricity Sales and Solutions business area are reported as one segment . In addition, Fortum Värme, which earlier was consolidated as a subsidiary under the Heat division, is now treated as a joint venture and thus consolidated with the equity method.
Russia
MEUR I/2014 I/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 333 344 1,119 1,108
Comparable operating profit 73 41 156 188
Net assets 3,619 3,998 3,846
Comparable RONA % 5.2 6.0
Gross investments 59 71 435 423
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Q1 2014
• Comparable operating profit EUR 32 million euro higher • CSA capacity • Better heat spreads mainly due to increased tariffs • Improved bad debt collections • Increased efficiency had a positive effect on the result
• Overall, weakened rouble affected negatively approximately EUR 14 million
Distribution
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MEUR I/2014 I/2013 2013 LTM Sales 300 339 1,064 1,025
Comparable operating profit 119 137 332 314
Net assets 2,872 3,941 3,745
Comparable RONA % 8.8 8.8
Gross investments 25 49 255 231
Q1 2014 • Finnish electricity networks sale finalised • Norwegian sale announced, expected to be completed in the second quarter
2014 • Fortum continues evaluating the possible future divestment opportunity of the
Swedish electricity distribution business • First quarter result affected negatively by the warmer weather
Income statement MEUR I/2014 I/2013 2013 LTM
Sales 1,473 1,654 5,309 5,128
Other income and expenses 996 1,129 3,906 3,773
Comparable operating profit 477 524 1,403 1,356
Items affecting comparability 1,856 -47 106 2,009
Operating profit 2,333 477 1,508 3,364
Share of profit of associates and jv’s 72 78 178 172
Financial expenses, net -64 -65 -289 -288
Profit before taxes 2,341 490 1,398 3,249
Income tax expense -86 -86 -186 -186
Net profit for the period 2,255 404 1,212 3,063
Non-controlling interests 4 3 8 9
EPS, basic (EUR) 2.53 0.45 1.36 3.44
EPS, diluted (EUR) 2.53 0.45 1.36 3.44
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Cash flow statement MEUR I/2014 I/2013 2013 LTM
Operating profit before depreciations 2,483 617 2,129 3,995
Non-cash flow items and divesting activities -1,864 26 -262 -2,152
Financial items and fx gains/losses -24 -210 -188 -2
Taxes -29 -31 -210 -208
Funds from operations (FFO) 567 402 1,469 1,634
Change in working capital 0 65 79 14
Total net cash from operating activities 566 467 1,548 1,647
Paid capital expenditures -162 -210 -1,004 -956
Acquisition of shares -1 -1 -15 -15
Other investing activities 2,551 144 76 2,483
Cash flow before financing activities 2,953 400 604 3,157
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Key ratios
MEUR LTM 2013 EBITDA 3,995 2,129 Comparable EBITDA 1,938 1,975 Interest-bearing net debt 4,838 7,793 Comparable net debt/EBITDA 2.5 3.9
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Return on capital employed, ROCE (%) 17.9 9.0 Return on shareholders’ equity, ROE (%) 26.8 12.0
Good liquidity – committed credit lines total EUR 2.2 billion
Debt Maturity Profile
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+
Bonds Financial institutions Other long-term debt CPs Other short-term debt
MEUR
2014 922
2015 1,038
2016 864
2017 556
2018 642
2019 822
2020 77
2021 541
2022 1,001
2023 115
2024+
TOTAL
1,249
7,827
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per 31 Mar, 2014 per 31 Dec, 2013 Average Interest Rate (incl. swaps and forwards) 3.7% 3.6% Portion of floating / fixed debt 41/59% 51/49%
• Efficiency programme proceeding according to plan • Total annual cost savings visible in all divisions • Improved working capital efficiency • Divestments of non-core assets totalling approximately EUR 300 million
Fortum's efficiency programme 2013-2014
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SPEED - Cash flow improved by EUR 1 billion – FLEXIBILITY
CAPEX EUR 250-350 million
DIVESTMENTS EUR 500 million
WORKING CAPITAL Reduction
FIXED COSTS Reduce EUR 150 million compared to 2012
WHY WHAT WHEN 2013-2014
Outlook
Outlook
• Nordic markets ‒ Fortum continues to expect that the annual electricity demand growth will average 0.5%
in the coming years ‒ Electricity is expected to continue to gain share of total energy consumption
• Russia
‒ Fortum’s goal is to achieve an operating profit level (EBIT) of about EUR 500 million run-rate in its Russia Segment during 2015
‒ Fortum is evaluating its targets on a continuing basis, and will do so also once the political and economic situation stabilises. The company will then estimate if there still are possibilities to achieve the current target or if a new target level should be set
• Key drivers and risks
‒ Wholesale price of electricity and volumes • demand and supply • fuels • hydrological situation • power plant availability • CO2 emissions allowance prices
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Outlook • Annual capex estimate excluding potential acquisitions
– 2014 EUR 0.9 to 1.1 billion (incl. Finnish distribution Q1/2014, excluding Fortum Värme)
• Hedging – Rest of the year 2014 approx. 55% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 44/MWh – 2015 approx. 25% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 42/MWh
• Target for efficiency programme is to improve cash flow by EUR 1 billion during 2013-2014
• Taxation – Effective tax rate for the Group 19-21% – In Finland, a power plant tax has been adopted from the beginning of 2014. It will be
implemented provided that the EU Commission approves it. Fortum has filed a complaint. If implemented, the estimated impact on Fortum would be approximately EUR 25 million annually
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