Fort McMurray-Conklin - April 21

3
JEAN LEADS FORT MCMURRAY-CONKLIN April 23rd, 2015. A new poll by Mainstreet Technologies in the electoral district of Fort McMurray-Conklin shows Wildrose leader Brian Jean ahead over PC candidate Don Scott. With 343 respondents the poll carries a margin of error of +/- 5.21, 19 times out of 20. Mainstreet is taking a close look at 6 key electoral districts as determined by the Calgary Herald and Edmonton Journal. Today also saw results released for Fort McMurray Conklin. “This was a close race in 2012 decided by just over 400 votes,” said David Valentin, Vice-President of Mainstreet Technologies. “If Fort McMurray-Conklin has the same turnout as 2012 that is essentially the lead we are looking at. 8% is roughly 426 votes”. "This is a riding that had low turnout in 2012, but the dynamics of the race are strong for Brian Jean though Don Scott is holding on. Right now, Scott is surprisingly competitive. All that being said, Brian Jean will continue to headline provincial media, this is really coming down to a race of two strong local personalities,” he finished. Highlights: - Brian Jean, leader of the Wildrose Party, leads 33% to 25% among all voters - Among decided voters it is 43% to 32% over PC Candidate Don Scott -30- For more information or phone interview: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected] Methodology The poll surveyed a random sample 343 Fort McMurray-Conklin residents by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on April 21st, 2015. All Mainstreet polls include cell phone samples unless otherwise stated. About Mainstreet Technologies Mainstreet Technologies is an emerging national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs. Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority PC government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election and February’s by-election in Sudbury.

description

New Mainstreet poll of Fort McMurray-Conklin finds Brian Jean in the lead.

Transcript of Fort McMurray-Conklin - April 21

  • JEAN LEADS FORT MCMURRAY-CONKLIN

    April 23rd, 2015. A new poll by Mainstreet Technologies in the electoral district of Fort McMurray-Conklin shows Wildrose leader Brian Jean ahead over PC candidate Don Scott. With 343 respondents the poll carries a margin of error of +/- 5.21, 19 times out of 20.

    Mainstreet is taking a close look at 6 key electoral districts as determined by the Calgary Herald and Edmonton Journal. Today also saw results released for Fort McMurray Conklin.

    This was a close race in 2012 decided by just over 400 votes, said David Valentin, Vice-President of Mainstreet Technologies. If Fort McMurray-Conklin has the same turnout as 2012 that is essentially the lead we are looking at. 8% is roughly 426 votes.

    "This is a riding that had low turnout in 2012, but the dynamics of the race are strong for Brian Jean though Don Scott is holding on. Right now, Scott is surprisingly competitive. All that being said, Brian Jean will continue to headline provincial media, this is really coming down to a race of two strong local personalities, he finished.

    Highlights:- Brian Jean, leader of the Wildrose Party, leads 33% to 25% among all voters- Among decided voters it is 43% to 32% over PC Candidate Don Scott

    -30-

    For more information or phone interview:David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected]

    MethodologyThe poll surveyed a random sample 343 Fort McMurray-Conklin residents by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on April 21st, 2015. All Mainstreet polls include cell phone samples unless otherwise stated.

    About Mainstreet TechnologiesMainstreet Technologies is an emerging national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.

    Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority PC government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election and Februarys by-election in Sudbury.

  • If the provincial election were held tomorrow, who would you vote for in your local constituency?

    MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL)BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)

    ARIANA MANCINI (NDP)DON SCOTT (PC)

    UNDECIDED

    5%33%14%25%24%

    BREAKDOWNS18-34

    2%26%10%32%30%39

    35-4910%38%13%21%18%80

    50-646%

    36%17%22%19%115

    65+1%

    42%7%

    33%16%109

    Female6%

    30%16%28%19%175

    Male5%

    35%12%21%28%168

    MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL)BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)ARIANA MANCINI (NDP)DON SCOTT (PC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

    CERTAIN5%

    34%14%27%21%

    LIKELY2%

    33%5%

    35%25%

    MIGHT1%

    34%16%23%27%

    UNLIKELY8%25%31%21%15%

    MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL)BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)ARIANA MANCINI (NDP)DON SCOTT (PC)UNDECIDED

  • If the provincial election were held tomorrow, who would you vote for in your local constituency?

    MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL)BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)

    ARIANA MANCINI (NDP)DON SCOTT (PC)

    7%43%18%32%

    MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL) BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)ARIANA MANCINI (NDP) DON SCOTT (PC) UNDECIDED

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0All Voters Decided Only

    5% 33%

    14%

    25%

    24%

    7% 43%

    18%

    32%