Forsyth PROPEL Summit September 10, 2010

Forsyth PROPEL Summit

September 10, 2010

1 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

2 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates

3 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

4 What Can We Do?

Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

Academic Achievement Milestones

School Readiness

Literacy by 3rd Grade

Numeracy by 8th Grade

High School Graduation

Workforce and/or College Ready

NAEP 2009 4th Grade Reading At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

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Georgia63%

UnitedStates65%

NAEP 2009 8th Grade Math At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

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Georgia67%

Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08.

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UnitedStates74.9% Georgia

65.4%

High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings

Georgia High School Graduation Rates

Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. *2010 data is preliminary.

YearHigh School

Graduation RateNumber of High

School Non-Grads

2007 72% 28,883

2008 75% 27,248

2009 79% 23,567

2010* 80% 22,498

Total 102,196

Economic Impact ofGeorgia Non-Graduates

Education Pays

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted. Data given are 1st quarter 2010 averages.

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT

Unemployment Rate April 2010 Median Wkly Earnings (& approx. annual)

15% 10% 5% 0% 0 200 600 1000

4.4 Bachelor’s Degree & Higher

$1,140 ($59,280)

8.1 Some college/ Associate Degree

$738 ($38,376)

10.5 HS Graduates, No College

$624 ($32,448)

14.5 Less than a High School Diploma

$448 ($23,296)

Unemployment Rates by Education Level

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.

Unemployment Rates by County, Feb. 2010

Source: Georgia Department of Labor

State Service Delivery Regions

Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion

How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone?

Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding.

Region 1 $2.2 billion












TOTAL $18 billion*

Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion

Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.

INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY

Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth

Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity

Higher health care & criminal justice costs

Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood

Higher public services costs

Less voting; Less volunteeringLow rate of community involvement

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline


KEY ISSUE

#1Early Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age of child in months

Voc

abu

lary

Siz

eDisparities in Early Vocabulary Growth

Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.”

Professional Families 1,116 words

Working Class Families 749 words

Welfare Families 525 words

Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study

Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

41%

36%

66%

20%

13%

45%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Never onwelfare as

adult

Own home

Graduatedfrom high

school on time

Program group No-Program group


KEY ISSUE


KEY ISSUE


KEY ISSUE


6th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School

Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions.

Flag in Sixth Grade

Percent with this flag who…

Attended ≤ 80%

Failed Math

Course

Failed English Course

Suspended Out of School

Un-satisfactory

Behavior

Graduated on time 13 13 12 16 24

Did not graduate 83 81 82 80 71

Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States

Higher Standards

Rigorous Curriculum

Clear Accountability System

Statewide Student Information System

Leadership Training

3rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

70%

80%

90%

100%

2006 2007 2008 2009

All Students Black Hispanic White

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2006 2007 2008 2009

All Students Black Hispanic White

8th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps


% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2006 2007 2008 2009All Students Black Hispanic White

High School Graduation Rates in Georgia:Closing the Gaps



KEY ISSUE


KEY ISSUE


KEY ISSUE


Are They College Ready?

Source: Nat’l Center for Education Statistics. “The Condition of Education: Student Effort & Educational Progress.” 2004

Educational Attainment of Remedial Coursetakers

Source: College Board, “The 6th Annual A.P. Report to the Nation: Georgia Supplement,” 2010.

Participation & Performance in AP Courses

Source: U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009.

The Demands of America’s New Economy

The number of jobs for workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher will increase from 38 million in 2006 to 43 million by 2016 – a growth rate of nearly 15 percent.

12 of the 20 fastest growing occupations require an associate degree or higher.

What Can We Do?

Look at the Data for your Community

KIDS COUNT Data

Georgia Family Connection Partnership

www.gafcp.org

School and System Comparisons

Georgia School Council Institute

www.georgiaeducation.org

2009 CRCT Comparisons: 3rd Grade ReadingForsyth County Schools

Source: Georgia School Council Institute

2009 CRCT Comparisons: 8th Grade MathForsyth County Schools


2009 SAT Comparisons: Average Total ScoreForsyth County Schools


Improving the Pipeline:Low Birth Weight in 2008

GOAL: Reduce the number of low birth weight babies by 10 percent in Forsyth County.

Forsyth County Georgia

Total # of births 2,405 146,464

# of low weight births 148 14,014

low birth weight rate 6.2% 9.6%

RESULT: 15 healthier babies!Source: Georgia Department of Community Health

133

5.5%

Improving the Pipeline:High School Graduation in 2009

GOAL: Improve the number of graduates by 10 percent in Forsyth County.

Forsyth County Georgia

Total # of Graduates 1,555 88,003

Graduation Rate 87.5% 78.9%

RESULT: 156 more high school graduates!

Source: Georgia Department of Education

1,711

96.2%

Aligning Educational Strategies

Aligned Acts of Improvement

Random Acts of Improvement

GOALS

GOALS

Insulating the Birth to Work Pipeline

LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS

Childcare Providers

Afterschool Programs

Academic Supports

Job Training

Civic Opportunities

Early Childhood

K – 12 SystemPost Secondary

Work & Career

ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES

Transportation Health Housing Financial

Source: The Forum for Youth Investment

Forsyth PROPEL Summit September 10, 2010

Documents

Transcript of Forsyth PROPEL Summit September 10, 2010