Forex Earth Sky Trading System
-
Upload
shawal-abu-samah -
Category
Documents
-
view
26 -
download
3
description
Transcript of Forex Earth Sky Trading System
-
Earth & Sky Trading System
By Pierre Du Plessis
1
-
CopyrightForex MentorPro2011.Allrightsreserved.
Anyredistributionorreproductionofpartorallofthecontentsinanyformisprohibitedotherthanthefollowing:
Youmayprintordownloadtoalocalharddiskcopiesforyourpersonalandnoncommercialuseonly;
Youmaynot,exceptwithourexpresswrittenpermission,distributeorcommerciallyexploitthecontent.Normayyoutransmititorstoreitinanyotherwebsiteorotherformofelectronicretrievalsystem.
RiskDisclosureStatement
ThecontentsofthiseBookareforinformationalpurposesonly.Nopartofthispublicationisasolicitationoranoffertobuyorsellanyfinancialmarket.Examplesareprovidedforillustrationpurposesonlyandshouldnotbeconstruedasinvestmentadviceorstrategy.Alltradeexamplesarehypothetical.NorepresentationismadethatanyaccountortraderwillorislikelytoachieveprofitsorlosessimilartothosediscussedinthiseBook.BypurchasingthiseBook,and/orsubscribingtoourmailinglistyouwillbedeemedtohaveacceptedtheseandallothertermsfoundonourwebpageForexMentorPro.cominfull.TheinformationfoundinthiseBookisnotintendedfordistributionto,orusebyanypersonorentityinanyjurisdictionorcountrywheresuchdistributionorusewouldbecontrarytothelaworregulationorwhichwouldsubjectustoanyregistrationrequirementwithinsuchjurisdictionorcountry.
CFTCRULE4.41
HYPOTHETICALORSIMULATEDPERFORMANCERESULTSHAVECERTAINLIMITATIONS.UNLIKEANACTUALPERFORMANCERECORD,IMULATEDRESULTSDONOTREPRESENTACTUALTRADING.ALSO,SINCETHETRADESHAVENOTBEENEXECUTED,THERESULTSMAYHAVEUNDEROROVERCOMPENSATEDFORTHEIMPACT,IFANY,OFCERTAINMARKETFACTORS,SUCHASLACKOFLIQUIDITY.SIMULATEDTRADINGPROGRAMSINGENERALAREALSOSUBJECTTOTHEFACTTHATTHEYAREDESIGNEDWITHTHEBENEFITOFHINDSIGHT.NOREPRESENTATIONISBEINGMADETHATANYACCOUNTWILLORISLIKELYTOACHIEVEPROFITORLOSSESSIMILARTOTHOSESHOWN.
2
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
BroughttoYoubyForexMentorPro.com
Pierre,theauthorofthiseBook,isjustofoneofthesuccessfultraderswhohaslearnedtotradewithusatForexMentorPro.
Ifyouwouldlikea7daytrialofthis5starratedservice,pleaseclicktheimagebelow.
WeareconfidentthatyouwillfindourservicetobethebestvalueForextrainingonthemarkettoday,andwearecommittedtohelpingyoumakeitasaprofessionaltrader.
Welookforwardtoworkingwithyou!
3
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.phphttp://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Earth&SkyTradingSystem
IntroductionAboutMe
Name:PierreduPlessis
Country:SouthAfrica
Age:38years
Occupation:ProfessionalFulltimeCurrencyTrader.
BioIliveintheGardenRoute,SouthAfricaandammarriedwiththreechildren.Iamalsoknownasdaddy.daycaretomyfriends.Itradefromhomehenceveryinvolvedwiththedaytodayfamilyneeds.Schoollifts,hockey,rugby,karateyounameit,daddy.daycarewillbethere.
I`vebeenacurrencytraderforthelast4years.AlotofmyrecentsuccesscameaboutwhenIjoinedtheForexMentorProprogramandIchangedtotrading4houranddailycharts.Ihavespentyearstrading15minutechartswithsomesuccess,butthischangeofdirectionhastakenmetoadifferentlevel.Onceyouhavemasteredtradingfrombiggertimeframesyouwillneverlookback.
MytradingmethodisacombinationofMarc`sM2systemandafewtwistsofmyown.
4
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.phphttp://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Withthissystemyouwilltradewiththemaintrendandthatwilltestyourpatience.
Whatdoesthewordpatiencemean?
Patience emphasizes calmness, selfcontrol, and the willingness orabilitytotoleratedelay.
I personally like the partwhere it says ability to toleratedelay.Thats the secret of trading to tolerate delay and wait for themarkettocometoyou.
Soinshort,therewillbetimeswhereyouneedtowaitforpricetocometoyou,thebestwaytodothatwithoutgettingimpatientortriggerhappyistogetahobby.Getsomethingthatwilldistractyoufromtradinguntilthepricegetstothepreferredtradingzone.
Whatdoestheworddisciplinemean?
DISCIPLINE(noun)ThenounDISCIPLINEhas5senses:
1.abranchofknowledge2.asystemofrulesofconductormethodofpractice3.thetraitofbeingwellbehaved4.trainingtoimprovestrengthorselfcontrol5.theactofpunishing
Familiarityinformation:DISCIPLINEusedasanouniscommon.
DISCIPLINE(verb)TheverbDISCIPLINEhas2senses:
1.trainbyinstructionandpractice;especiallytoteachselfcontrol2.punishinordertogaincontrolorenforceobedience
Whydidyouneedtoknowthedefinitionofthesetwowordsbefore
5
http://www.audioenglish.net/dictionary/discipline.htm#nounhttp://www.audioenglish.net/dictionary/discipline.htm#verbhttp://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
westart?Asystemisuselessifyoudonthavepatienceanddiscipline.Icangiveyouthebestsystemsintheworldthatmakesotherpeopleplentyofmoney,butifyouasanindividualdonthavethedisciplineorthepatiencetotradeasystem,Iwillguarantyyou,asatraderyouwillnotbesuccessful.Thesetwofactorswillbethekeytoyoursuccessasatrader.Youmustrememberthatsomepointyouregoingtohavetofigureouthowitisthatyouwanttotrade.ThisrequiresdecidingonanapproachthatissuitableforYOU,andcommittingtoit.
Veryfewpeopleactuallydothis,ontheotherhandthosethatdo,generallygetverywellrewardedforit.
Thissystemwillguideyouintotherightdirection.
6
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
AnOverviewofCurrencyTradingAllofusoccasionallyneedourmindsjoggingsoitishopedthiswillhelp.
ForexWhatisit?
TheForeignExchangemarketisthefullnamebutitisknownbymanyothertitles,aselectionofwhichareFOREXorForex.AdditionallytermsuchasRetailForex:,FX,orSpotFXorindeedSpotalldescribewhatis,atpresent,theworldslargestfinancialmarket.Thismarkettradesatinexcessof$4trilliondaily.ThedailyamounttradedontheNewYorkStockMarketiscirca$25billiondaily,thusonecanobservethatthemultipleis160greaterontheForexmarket.Thisleadsustoaskthefollowingquestion.
WhatistheForeignExchangeMarketconstitutedof?
Putsimplytheanswerismoney,butthismustnotbeseenasnecessarilyhardcash.Thetradesarealmostpredominantlyelectronicandassuchrepresentthebuyingofonecurrencyandthesaleofanothereffectivelybacktobacktransactions.
Tradeisconventionallyundertakenviaabrokerordealer.ThereisanestablishedpatternofpairssuchasEUROUSDorUSDGBP,butoneshouldbeawarethatwiththeintroductionofcurrenciessuchastheroublenewpatternsarerapidlybeingestablished.
Aspreviouslystatedtradeisnotalways,indeedispredominantlynot,physicalthusasoneneedstoputonesmindaroundthatconcept.IfonecanthinkinthesomewhatabstracttermsofacquiringashareinsaytheJapaneseeconomy,andsubstitutethatforthetangiblecurrency,andthenlinkthattotheinflationaryorrecessionarytrendsintheeconomy,thepictureisdrawn.
7
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Itisfairtosaythattheexchangerateofacurrencybearsstrongrelationshiptothestateofaneconomy.However,inthecaseofacurrencylinkedtomanycountriessuchastheEuro,itisthecombinedeffectofanumberofcountrieseconomieswhichwillaffecttheexchangerateofthatcurrency.
SpotRate
Thishasneitheraphysicalorcentrallocation.ItisaspreviouslystatedlargelyelectronicthusitisakintoanOvertheCounter(OTC)orInterbankmarket,asitisrunwithinanetworkofbanksonacontinuousbasisfor24hours5daysoftheweeki.e.MondaytoFriday.
RetailTraders
Untilabout20yearsagoForexwasthesoledomainofmajorplayersinthefieldofbanking.Substantiallimitedcapitalintheregionofbetween$10$50millionwasrequired,whichprecludedanyinvolvementbytheindividual.ThegrowthoftheInternethasrevolutionisedthatposition,andnowtradingaccountsareavailabletowhatonemaytermasRetailTraders.
Alloneneedstobecomeoneofthesetradersisacomputer,goodbroadband,solidinformationonthebasicsoftradingForexandtime.Intheinitialstagesoftrading,investmentisbestundertakeninrelativelysmallamounts,accompaniedbyplentyoftimetothinkthroughyourstrategies.Toformulatetheseoneneedtounderstandthetwotypesoftrading.
TypesofTrading
Thereexisttwotypesofanalysiswhichshouldbeexplained:TechnicalandFundamental.
TechnicalAnalysisinvolvesthedissectionandbreakdownofpricemovementsthroughthemediumofcharts.Thisallowsforthe
8
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
identificationoftrends,allowingforanunderstandingofprofitabletradingopportunities.
Fundamentalanalysisfocusesonmarketanalysisthroughthestrengthorweaknessesofitseconomy.
Acombinationofthetwotypesofanalysiswillallowforsuccess.
ChartTypes
Thetypesare:
1. Linecharts2. Barcharts3. Candlestickcharts
Lineandbarchartswillbefamiliartoalmostallpeoplesotheyneednoexplanation,whereascandlestickchartswillbenewtomostinvestors.Thesehavebeendevelopedandevolvedtopricemovementsofasecurity,derivativeorcurrencyovergivenperiodsoftime.
Theycanbestbedepictedasacombinationoflineandbarcharts,butarefrequentlyusedtoobtaintechnicalanalysisofpricingpatterns.Candlesticksareseenasmoreinformativethanbarcharts.Theydisplayabsolutepricesandrelationshipstopriorperiodprices.Toassistindelineatingthefigures,quitefrequently,candlesticksarecoloured.
9
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Candlesticks(AKACandlestickCharts)Candlesticksareformedbyusingthehigh,open,closeandlowprices.
Thelines(wicks)whichprotrudeaboveorbelowthebodyofthecandleindicatethehighandlowpricingbands.Thesearecalledshadows.
Thetopoftheuppershadowisthehigh,whilstconverselythebottomofthelowershadowisthelow.
Thelongerthewickthestrongerthebuyingorsellingintheperiodinquestion.Theshorterthewicktheindicationislessbuyingandsellinghastranspired.Inthetraditionalparlanceofthefinancialworldwehavebothbullandbearmarkets.
BasicCandlestickPatterns
N.B.:Thefollowingcandlestickexamplesareblackandwhitefordemonstrationonly.Onthechartsblackequalsdown(bear)andwhiteequalsup(bull).
SpinningTops
CandlestickswithalongupperandlowershadowandsmallredbodieshavethenameSpinningTops.Thebodycolourisnot
10
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
relevant.Thepatternindicatestheindecisionbetweenbuyersandsellers.
Thebody(holloworfilled)reflectsminimalmovementbetweenopenandclose,whilsttheshadowsareindicativethatneitherbuyernorsellercouldgaintheupperhand.
Althoughthesessionopenedandclosedwithminimalmovement,becausetherewasnoupperhandgained,therewasaneffectivestalemate.
Whenaspinningtopdevelopsinanuptrend,itwillindicatetherearefewbuyersandareversalofdirectioncouldbepending.
Shouldaspinningtopformduringadowntrend,thissignifiesfewsellersareleftandapotentialreversalindirectioncouldoccur.
Marubozu
Marubozustatesthattherearenoshadowsfromthebodies.Dependingonwhetherthecandlesticksbodyisfilledorhollow,thehighandlowarethesameasitsopenorclose.Thepicturesportraythetwotypes.
AGreenMarubozu(aJapanesecandlestickindicatingstronglytradedstockinonedirectionduringasessionandclosingatahighorlowdailyprice)normallycontainsalonggreenbodywithnoshadows.Openpriceequalsthelowpriceandtheclosepriceequalsthehighprice.Onemayrefertothisasabullishcandleasitindicatesthatbuyerscontrolledthewholesession.
11
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
ARedMarubozucontainsalongredbodywithnoshadows.Openpriceequalsthehighandclosethelow.Asopposedtothegreencandlethisisbearishandcontrolledbysellers.
Doji
ADojicandlestickrepresentstheequilibriumbetweensupplyanddemand.Thesecandlestickshavevirtuallythesameopenandcloseprice.TheDojithushasaverysmallbodythatappearsasathinline.
Dojiisanindicationofindecisionorafighttogetturfpositioningbetweenbuyersandsellers.Pricesoscillatearoundtheopenpriceduringthesession,butcloseneartotheopenprice.Neitherbuyernorsellerhasobtainedamajoritydecision.
TherearefourspecialtypesofDojilines.
12
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
LongLeggedDoji
Designatedbylongupperandlowershadows,almostsynonymousinlength,buttradersshouldbevigilantinobservingthecloseinrelationtothemidpoint.Aclosebelowthemidpointisashowofweakness.
DragonflyDoji
Formswhenopen,high,closeandlowcreatealonglowershadow.Theindicationsfromtheseeventsarethatsellersareforcingpricesdownduringthesession,butbuyersareforcingpricesbacktotheopeninglevelorbetter.
GravestoneDoji
Ithasalonguppershadowwithnolowershadow,andisformedwhentheopen,lowandcloseareequal.Thehighcreatesthelonguppershadow.TheGravestoneDojiindicatesbuyersdrivinguppricesduringthesession,andsellersbringingdownthepricesbelowtheopeninglevel.
FourPriceDoji
Open,low,highandcloseareallequal.Thisistheclearestexampleofindecisionbetweenbullsandbears.
Whenadojiformsonyourchart,payspecialattentiontotheprecedingcandlesticks.
IfaDojiiscreatedafteraseriesofcandlestickswithlonghollowbodies,thesignspointtowardsthebuyersbecomingweaker.Tomaintainarisingpositionmorebuyersarerequiredbuttheyareconspicuousbytheirabsence.Sellersareinthewingstodrivedowntheprices.
13
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
RetaininyourmindthataDojidoesnotmeanashortisalwaysexistent.Lookforfurtherclarification.Waitforabearishcandlesticktoclosebelowthelonggreencandlesticksopen.
ShouldaDojiformafteraseriesofcandlestickswithlongfilledbodies,(akintoredMarubozu),theDojiisindicatingsellersarefallingaway.Theyneedmoresellerstostrengthentheirposition.Buyersareloiteringtoforcethepricesbackup.
Whilethedeclineisfalteringasnewsellersareinadearth,furtherbuyingstrengthisrequiredtocementanyreversal.Keepalookoutforagreencandlesticktocloseabovethelongredcandlesticksopen.
14
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
ReversalPatterns
PriorTrend
Forapatterntoqualifyasareversalpatternthereshouldbeapriortrendtoreverse.Bullishreversalsaremarkedbyaprecedingdownwardtrendasopposedtotheprioruptrenddepictingabearishreversal.Thetrendistraceableviatechnicalanalysis.
Thetrendlinedeterminedthetrenddirectionbeforethereversal.
15
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
HammerandHangingMan
Thevisualappearanceofbothchartsisthesamebutbothhaveadifferentmeaningdependingonapastpriceaction.Bothhavelittlebodies,(greenorred),longlowershadowsandshortorindeedabsentuppershadows.
Thehammerformsduringadownwardtrendandindicatesabullishreversalpattern.Thenamehasbeenappliedtothistrendasthemarketishammeringoutabottom.Hammerssignalthatthebottomisimminentandpriceswillrecover.Thistrendoccurswhenpriceisfalling.Thelonglowershadowindicatesthatsellerspushedpriceslower,andthatdespitesellingpressurebuyerscouldsustainthemarkettoallowpricetocloseneartheopen.
Onedoeshoweverneedtoretainasenseofcautionwhenseeingahammerforminadownwardtrend.Itmaybeatriggertobuybutcaveatemptorisalwaysagoodpolicy.Amorebullishindicatorwouldassistinreducingyourrisk,
16
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
RecognitionCriteria
Thelongshadowisabouttwoorthreetimesthelengthoftherealbody.
Littleornouppershadow. Therealbodyisattheupperendofthetradingrange. Thecolouroftherealbodyisnoimportance.
Thesearesimilartotheabove,savethatthebodycolourisunimportant,thougharedbodyismorebearishthanagreenbody.
Thehangingmanwhichmarksastrongresistancelevelrepresentsabearishreversalpattern.Aspricesrise,theformationofahangingmanpredictssellersareinpreponderanceoverbuyers.Thelonglowershadowelicitsthatpriceswerepushedlowerbytheseller.Buyersdidforcepricesupbutonlytoapositionneartheopen.Theindicationisnobuyersareavailabletoraisetheprice.
17
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
InvertedHammerandShootingStar
Theinvertedhammerandshootingstarlookidentical.Thesingulardifferenceiswhetherthetrendisupwardordownward.Bothcandlestickshaveminutebodies,(filledandhollow)longuppershadowsandsmallorabsentlowersshadows.
TheInvertedHammerindicatesthepossibilityofareversalasthepricehasbeenonthefall.Itslonguppershadowshowsthebuyerstriedtobidthepricehigher.Nonetheless,sellersreactedtothebuyersactionsandattemptedtoreversetheiractions,butthebuyersmaintainedtheirpositionbyclosingneartheopen.Thisallowsustopresumethatthesellerspositionwasweaksothebuyersassumetheirposition.
Theshootingstarisidenticaltotheinvertedhammerinthatitisabearishreversalpattern,butoccurswhenthepricehasbeenrising.Itsshapeshowsthatthepriceopenedatitslow,recovered,butfellbacktoitsbase.Inthissituationthesellers
18
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
haveoverpoweredthebuyers.Thisisabearishindicatorduetotheabsenceofbuyers.
SummaryofCandlesticks
Candlesticksuseallfourpositions,open,high,lowandclose.
Strongbuyingorsellingisindicatedbylongbodies.Thelongerthebody,themoreintensethebuyingorsellingpressure.
Converselyshortbodiesareindicativeoflittlebuyingorselling.
Uppershadowssignifythesessionhigh.
Lowershadowssignifythesessionlow.
Candlestickswithalonguppershadow,longlowershadowandsmallrealbodiesarecalledspinningtops.Thepatternallowsonetoseetheindecisionbetweensellersandbuyers.
Marubozumeanstherearenoshadowsfromthebodies.Dependantonwhetherthecandlesticksbodyisfilledorhollow,thehighandlowarethesameasitsopenorclose.
Dojicandlestickshavethesameopenandclosepriceoratleasttheirbodiesareextremelyshort.
Thehammertakesonabullishreversalwhichemanatesfromadownwardtrend.Youwillrecallthehammerissonamedbecauseitishammeringoutabottom.
Thehangingmanisabearishreversalpatternindicativeofatoporstrongresistancelevel.
Whenpriceisfalling,thepossibilityofareversalisindicatedandaninvertedhammeroccurs.
19
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Theshootingstarisabearishreversalpatternthatreflectstheinternalhammer,butoccurswhenarisingpriceispresent.
Thisisimportantinformation
Makeachartofallthesebasiccandlepatternsandreversalcandlestickpatterns,laminateitandstickitonyourdeskorwall.Itwillcomeinveryhandytoidentifyreversalpatternsoncepricegetsintoyourtradingzone.
Okafterthatmouthfulletsmoveontosomeotherfunstuff,theindicatorswewillusewiththissystem.
20
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
SupportandResistanceSupportandresistanceisoneofthemostwidelyusedconceptsintrading.Thepriceconcernpresentproducesalackofconsistencyinapplication.
Whenthereisanupwardmovement,andthenareversalinthemarket,thehighestpointbeforeitispulledbackisknownasresistance.
Whenthemarketregainsitsupwardtrend,thelowestpointreachedbeforeitstartedtorecoverisknownassupport.
Indicators
Twokindsofindicatorsoccur:leadingandlagging. Beforeanewtrendorreversaloccursaleadingindicatorwillappear.
Alaggingindicatorlagsbehindthetrend. Technicalindicatorshavetwocategories:Oscillatorsandtrendfollowingormomentumindicators.
OscillatorscanbeStochastic,RSI,andParabolicSAR. MomentumindicatorscanbeMACD,MovingAverages. Fromthetypeofmarketyouaretradinginyoucanestablishtheappropriatedirection.
21
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
ChartIndicators
Asyouaccumulateknowledgeyouareeffectivelybuildingyouowntoolbox.Someofthetoolsyoumighthaveare:
Stochastic
Indicatesovertradedconditions. Thetimetosellbecausethemarketisoverboughtwhenthemovingaveragelinesareabove80.
Thetimetobuyiswhenthemarketisoversoldandtheaveragelinesarebelow20.
RelativeStrengthIndex(RSI)
AkininprincipaltoStochasticinthatitportraysoverbuyingoroverselling.
Whentheindicatorisabove75,themarketisoverboughtandsellingisthebestpath.
WhenRSIisbelow25,themarketisoversoldandbuyingshouldkickin.
RSIisalsoeffectiveintrendformations.IfatrendisintheoffingwaitfortheRSItogoaboveorbelow50.
Indicatorsarehoweveronlyguides,thusacombinationofthem,alliedtoyourexperience,isthewisestapproach.Yourownpreferencescanbeestablished.
22
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
MACD
Agoodindicatorofspottingearlytrendmovements. Itismadeupoftwodiametricallyopposedmovingaveragesandverticallinesasinahistogram,achartwhichmeasuresthedistancebetweentwomovingaverages.
Movingaveragelinesarethoseofothermovingaverages. Theproblemisthatasitusesmanymovingaveragesitisalaggingindicator.
OnepossibleapproachtoaMACDistowaitforthefastlinetoeithercrossoverorcrossundertheslowlineandenterthetradeaccordingly,asitindicatesafreshtrend.
Thefollowingindicatorsarepositionedatthetopofthechart.
MovingAverage
Amovingaveragecanbeusedtoleveloutpriceaction. Therearenumeroustypesofmovingaverages.The2mostcommontypesare:SimpleMovingAverageandExponentialMovingAverage.
Simplemovingaveragesgivethemostadvantageousformofmovingaverages,butthespikingeffectrathernegatestheirbenefits.
Exponentialmovingaveragesstrengthentheweighttorecentpricesandthusgiveabetterpictureoftradingactivity.
23
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Thecurrentactivitiestakeprecedenceoverpastorfuturepredictedmarketactivities.
Irregularmovingaveragesrespondquickertopriceactionandreacttotrendsbetter.Thedrawbackisthatthespikingeffectagainkicksinandthatcanremoveyoufromthemarket.
Smoothmovingaverageshaveatimelagtopriceaction,butbenefitfromthedeletionofspikesandfakeouts.Nonetheless,duetotheirslowreaction,onecanmissoutontradeopportunities.Theyareratherabeltandbracesapproachtotrading.
SimplemovingaveragesaresmootherthanExponentialmovingaverages.
Longerperiodmovingaveragesaresmootherthanshorterperiodmovingaverages.
WewilluseExponentialMovingAveragesonourcharts.
BollingerBands
Ameasureofthemarketsvolatility. Seenasactinginasimilarfashiontominisupportandresistancelevels.
ThetopBollingerbandwillbeamovingresistanceareaandthebottomBollingerbandwillbeamovingsupportarea.
Weekly/MonthlyPivotPoints
Pivotpointsfallintotherealmofprofessionaltradersandmarketmakers,andareusedtoestablishentryandexitpointsbasedoncurrentdaystradinginoppositiontothatofthepriorday.Trendsneedtobefullyunderstoodbeforeusingthismethod,andprobablythisisanareaforprofessionalsandnotretailtraders.
PivotsareseenasusefulinForex,asmanycurrencypairshaveatendencytofluctuatebetweentheselevels.
24
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Rangeboundtradersentrancethemarketnearspecificsupportlevels,whilstwhenthepairsshowresistancetheywillissueasellorder.
BreakoutTradersusepivotpointstolocatekeylevelsthatneedtobedisturbedforamovetobeconsideredasbonafide.
Aspivotalpointsarenoncomplexinthemain,placetheminyourtoolbox.Theygivevisibilityofthecausaleffectsofpricemovement.Effectivelyyoucansynchroniseyourthinkingwithmarketchanges.
Supportpivotpointswithothertechnicalanalysistoolssuchascandlestickpatterns,MACDcrossover,MovingAveragesCrossovers,Stochasticoverbought/oversoldlevelsandtrendlinebreakatpivotpointareas.
Alwaysrememberthatinalltradingthereisrisk,sothegreatertheanalysisandsupportingpatternsyouemploytosupportthedecision
youtake,thechancesofasuccessfultradeareincreased.
ThiswasasuccinctapproachtoForex,butbynomeansacomprehensiveoutline.Ithasbeendrawnuptokeepyoufromtheinitialpitfallsoftrading.Oneshouldneverforgetthatthroughtradingyouwillbuildupabankofknowledgewhichwillbebasedonthesolidfoundationsgainedfromtheprecedingdefinitionsandtips.
Sonowwearereadytomoveon.Itisgoodtoreviewsomechartexamplesandindicators.
25
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Chart1:OnthischartwehaveanexampleofaBollingerbandandthreeExponentialMovingAverages
26
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Chart2:OnthischartwehaveanexampleofStochastic,RSIandMACDindicatorwithourEMAsandBollingerbands
27
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Chart3:Onthischartwehaveanexampleofweeklypivotpointsona4hourchart
28
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Chart4:Onthisexamplewehaveacompletechartwithallourindicators
Thisishowyour4hourorDailychartwilllooklikedontworryitisnotasbadasitlooks.
Nowyouarealmostreadytotrade
29
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Earth&SkyTradingSystemOverview1) MarketTraded:Currencies.2) Sessions:Thesystemissuitableforanysession.3) Pairs:Iplacemycurrencypairsinto4groupsanyoneofthe
pairscanbetradedinthisgroup.4) Charts:Dailyand4hourchartswitha30/60min.chartentry
whenpricegetstoapreferredtradingzone.5) ChartingSoftware:MetaTrader46) Accounttype:MiniaccountThemaximumamountofmoney
youcanhaveinthistypeofaccountwithsomebrokersare$50000.Whyaminiaccount?Onelotsizeequalsonedollar.ThismakesmylifeeasiertochoosethepreferredlotsizetotradewhenIplaceanorderandingeneralmakethinguncomplicated.
7) Indicators:Stochastic,MACD,RSI,Bollingerbands,EMAs,Weekly/MonthlyPivotPoints,DailyRangeCalculatorandmyverticallinesthatwillhelpyoutodrawtheFiblinesonaDailyor4hourchartyouneedfortheupcomingtradingweekormonth.(Rightclickonyourchart,gotoproperties,inpropertiesgoto`COMMON`thenclickonthe`Showperiodseparator`)
8) Thissystemwillhelpyouwithfourthingsmosttradersstrugglewith:Thepreferredtrend,areastolookforentries,areastolookforstops,areastolookforprofittake.
30
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/forum/metatrader/http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
AStressFreeTradingPlanandSystem
Inordertobecomeaprofitablecurrencytrader,youwillneedadescenttradingplan.Atradingplanwillbeyourrulebookandcurrencybible.Withoutityouwontsecedeasatrader.Readiteverydayandsticktoit.
Youcanhaveallthetradingtoolsintheworld,butifyoudonthaveaplanonhowyouwillusethem,youwillneverbesuccessful.
Remember,youarestartingabusiness,andifyouwantyourbusinesstosucceed,youneedtohaveaPLAN!
Whatcurrencieswillyoutrade?
1)EURUSDagainsttheUSDCHF.(Moveinoppositedirection).109pipsperday
2)EURJPYagainsttheGBPUSD.(Moveinsamedirection).112pipsperday
3)AUDUSDagainsttheAUDJPY.(Movesamedirection).72pipsperday
4)EURGBPandtheUSDJPY.(Leftoverpairs).62pipsperday
Thepipsyouseenexttoeachgrouparethedailyaverageforthespecificgroup.Thisishandyformanualprofittake.Althoughitsadailyrange,italsohassignificanceontheweeklyrange.SoletssayIaminaEURUSDtradeandIam109pipsinprofit,youmightwanttostarttolookforreasonswhypricemightstarttostruggleatthisareaandmanuallyexitthetrade.
31
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Letsseewhatcorrelationmeans
Correlation:Correlationisastatisticalmeasurementoftherelationshipbetweentwovariables.Possiblecorrelationsrangefrom+1to1.
Azerocorrelationindicatesthatthereisnorelationshipbetweenthevariables.
Acorrelationof1indicatesaperfectnegativecorrelation,meaningthatasonevariablegoesup,theothergoesdown.
Acorrelationof+1indicatesaperfectpositivecorrelation,meaningthatbothvariablesmoveinthesamedirectiontogether.
IdontliketheCADpairssoIdonttradethem
AfterdumpingtheCADpairsitwillleaveyouwith8pairs.Butnowyouhavetobecareful.Why?Someofthemarecorrelatedmeaningtheygointhesamedirectionorthesomeofthemintheoppositedirection.Ihave2monitorsallocatedforchartssoIplacethefollowingpairsnexttoeachotherin4groups.
The4Groupsare
1)EURJPYagainsttheGBPUSD(Positivecorrelation).2)AUDJPYagainsttheAUDUSD(Positivecorrelation).3)EURUSDagainsttheUSDCHF(NegativeCorrelation).4)EURGBPagainsttheUSDJPY(Leftoverpairs).
Sonowyouonlyhave4possiblecurrenciestotradefortheweek.
Whyonly4currencies?Becauseofthecorrelationthatcomesintoplay.Ifyougetasignalforasetupyouwillonlytakeonepairatatime.Whenthesechartsarenexttoeachotheryouwillbeabletoseethebettertradeofthetwothatisformingorwhichonehasthebiggerprofittakepotentialwiththesmalleststop.
Placingthepairsnexttoeachothercanalsobeusedasconfirmationifyouwanttotakeatrade.Sosayyoumightwanttotakeanentry
32
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
ontheEURUSDbecauseofatrendlinebreakataweeklypivotlevelchangesaregoodyouwillseeitontheUSDCHFchartaswell.
Itcanalsoshowyouwhennottotradethisgroup.Ifitlookslikethecorrelationofthegroupisabitmessyfortheweekdonttradethat
specificgroup.
Exampleofcorrelationplacingtwochartsnexttoeachother
Thisisa4hourAUDUSDandanAUDJPYchartnexttoeachother.Thesetwopairsmoveinthesamedirection.Whenontrendsdowntheotheronewillfollow.Havealookonthechartsatthebluerectangles.NoticehowbothcurrencypairswentoutsidetheBollingerbandbeforebothstartedtotrenddown.Thisiscorrelationatwork.
33
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
TradingTimesMondaytoThursday:
YouwillmanageopentradesonFridays. YouwillhavenonewentriesonFridays. YouwillnottradeNonFarmPayrollNews(noproblemyoudonttradeFridays).
Youwillnottradeinterestrateannouncements. Youwillnottradeanyotherkindofnews. YouwillnottradeUSAorEuropeanbankholidays.
34
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
FibonacciYourFibonacci(Fib)Settings:0,50,62.5,75and100.(Yourtradingzonewillbebetweenthe50%and75%Fiblevel)Thatwillbethelightblueareaonmychartexamples.Thisistheonlyareawhereyouwillstarttolookforyourweeklyentries.Ifpricegetstothetradingzoneandyouhavethetimemovedowntothesmallertimeframeslikethe60minor30minchartandwaitforacurrenttrendlinebreak.Ifyouwaitforthetrendlinebreak,pricewillshowyouwheretoplaceyourstop.Thiswillbeabovetheprevioushighorlowbeforethetrendlinebreakhappenedoryoucanlookatthecandlestotheleftofthechartafterthetrendlinebrakethatwillgiveyousupportorresistancelevelsthatcanbeusedforstopareas.
ThisisyourTradingZoneBetweenthe50%and75%Fibpullbackarea.Onlywhenpricegetshereyouwillattempttohitahomerun.
35
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Exampleofatradingzoneona4hourchart
Gettoloveacurrenttrendline!YouwouldhavenoticeinmypreviouspoststhatIabsolutelylovecurrenttrendlines.Why?Itgivesyoutheconfirmationyouneedtotakeatrade.Youcantjusttrustareasofsupport,resistance,pivots,Fiblevelsandtherestofitforanentry!!Thiswillbetheareasofinterestforuswherewewilllookforpotentialtradesetups.InorderforustotakethetradeweneedconfirmationHow?Acurrenttrendlinebreakwillgiveyouthatconfirmation.Ifwewaitforthetrendlinebreak,wewillbeabletoseewheretoplaceourstopsandwheretolookforprofittakeareas.Hereissomethingthatissosimplethatyoualwaysmustaskyourselfbeforeyouplaceatrade.(Youcantdoitwithaforwardorder)
36
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Sayyouarelookingtogoshortatalevelbutpricegetstoyour50%Fibtradingzonelevelaskyourself`Self,didpricebreakmycurrentbulltrendline?`Iftheanswerisnowhydoyouwanttoshorthere?NowpricegetstothenextlevelofinterestaskthesamequestiondontjusttrustEMAspivotsandtherestoftheindicators.Toassumethingsintradingisdangerous..................assumestandsfor:MakinganASSOFYOUANDME!!Rememberalltheindicatorsweusecangiveusanindication,aguidelineifpriceisinanoverboughtoroversoldareabutatrendlinebreakwillgiveustheconfirmationthatthepricehasturnedandswingtheoddstoourside.
THEONLYTHINGYOUNEEDTOTRUSTISTHEQUESTION
`Didpricebreakmycurrenttrendline?`
WhatisthemeaningofConfirmation?1.a.Theactofconfirming.(Areawherepricemightreactlike,inthetradingzoneatEMAs,Fibs,pivotpointsthistypeofthing.)b.Somethingthatconfirms;verification.(Pricebrokethetrendlineattheseaeries)2.a.AChristianriteadmittingabaptizedpersontofullmembershipinachurch.(Sothatyoucanstartprayingthatyoudidtherightthing.)b.AceremonyinJudaismthatmarksthecompletionofayoungperson'sreligioustraining.(Everybodyishavingapartybecauseyoumadeitasatrader)Trendlinesareprobablythemostcommonformoftechnicalanalysesusedtoday.Theyareprobablyoneofthemostunderutilizedaswell.
37
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Ifdrawncorrectly,theycanbeasaccurateasanyothermethod.Unfortunately,mosttradersdon'tdrawthemcorrectlyortheytrytomakethelinefitthemarketinsteadoftheotherwayaround.Intheirmostbasicform,anuptrendlineisdrawnalongthebottomofeasilyidentifiablesupportareas(valleys).Inadowntrend,thetrendlineisdrawnalongthetopofeasilyidentifiableresistanceareas(peaks)Howtodrawacurrenttrendline:
1) DownTrend:Connectthelatestcyclehightothelastcyclehigh,whichmustbehigherthanthefirstonedrawingfromrighttoleft.
38
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
2) UpTrend:Connectthelatestcyclelowtothelastcyclelow,whichmustbelowerthanthefirstonedrawingfromrighttoleft.
39
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Yourtradingwindowsyouwillhaveopenonyourplatform
DailychartwithmonthlyFibssetwith......200,55,34EMA,BollingerBandssetat2002.The34/55EMAsetsthemaintradingdirection.
40
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
4HourchartwithweeklyFibs,setwith......200,55,34EMA,BollingerBandsetat2002.The34/55EMAsetsthecurrent4hourtradingdirection.
MACDwithsettings:12,26,9. Stochasticwithsettings:Kperiod12,slow6andDperiod3(8020).
RSIwithsettings:9withamiddlelineat50(7525).
41
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Setupforentry
Youwilltrytoonlytradethe4hourchartwhenthedirectionofthe4hourandtheDaily34/55EMAarepointinginthesamedirection.(Havealookatthe34and55EMAonbothchartstheyarebothtrendingdownaccordingtothe34and55EMA.)
42
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Earth&Sky34EMABlue(Sky)55EMABrown(Earth)Ifblueisabovebrown,youwilllookforlongs,ifblueisunderbrown,youwilllookforshortsinthemarket.Remembertheblue=Skyandbrown=Earth.Thiswillgiveyouanimmediatesenseofdirectioninthemarket.IftheSkyisabovetheEarththenthemarketislong,iftheSkyisundertheEarththenthemarketisshortonthatspecifictimeframe.ThisisanexamplewheretheSkyisundertheEarth=marketisshortonthis4hourchart.Thatmeanswewillonlylookforentriestoshorttofollowthe4hourtrenddirection.
43
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Ifthe4hourEMAisdifferentfromtheDailyEMA,thenyouwillmoveawayfromthe4hourchartonthispairandlookforanentryonlyonthedailychart.RemembertheDailychartwillhavethemonthlyFibonit,nottheweeklyFib.Let`shavealookatanexamplewithFibsonaDailychart.
The34EMAisabovethe55EMA,sothedirectionisup.LastmonthsopeningpricewaslowerthantheclosingpricesowecanFibfromthebottomtothetopfrompoint1topoint2onthechart.CanyouseehowtheverticallinesontheDailychartbreaksuptheareaintomonthlypartsalsonoticeonthechartthatpricedidntgiveasthepullbackwewantedinthebeginningofthemonthandhowIfollowedpricewithmyFibuntilwedidgetthepullback(blueareaonthechartatpoint2)Youwillonlystarttradingthe4hourchartwhenthedirectionisthesameagainastheDaily.
DailychartwithmonthlyFib
44
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Ifyouwanttostayonthe4hourchartbutcantFibthepreviousweekbecausetheclosingprice(likeinthischart)washigherthantheopeningpriceoflastweekbuttheEMAsstilltellsyouthedirectionisdownyoucanplaceweeklypivotsonthe4hourcharttoidentifyotherareasofinterest.Havealookatthisexample.TheEMAstoldusthedirectionisdown.Noticepriceisatthe1steweeklypivotresistanceareawitha200EMAintheway.PriceisalsooutsidetheBollingerband.Nowyouwillmovedowntoasmallertimeframe,placeyourcurrenttrendlineandwaitforthetrendlinebreakbeforeweplaceanordertogoshort.
4HourChartwithweeklypivots:
45
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
OnaDailyChartwewillhavethemonthlytradingzonebetweenthe50%75%Fibarea.
Ona4HourChartwewillhavetheweeklytradingzonebetweenthe50%75%Fibareas.
NowyouhaveidentifiedapossibletradingzoneareawithyourFibwherepricemightreact.
4HourChartwiththeupcomingweekstradingzoneandMarcWaltonsForexMentorProAnalysisforpotentialtradeareas.
Ifpricegetsbacktoorintothetradingzone,thenyouwillpayattentiontotheMACDwhereisthehistogram?Whatisitdoing?Stochasticisitcrossinginanoverboughtoroversoldarea?IstheRSIinanoverboughtoroversoldarea?Whatcandlepatternscanyousee?Whatishappeningonthe1hour
46
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.phphttp://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
chartgoingthrutheaboveindicatorsagainaskingyourselfwhataretheydoing?
4HourChartwithweeklyFibsandthetradingzone
Afteryoumoveddowntoasmallertimeframelikea30or60minchart.Placeacurrenttrendlineandwaitforthebreakbeforeyouplaceanorder.Ifyouareabletowaitforthetrendlinebreak,thenyouwillbeabletoseewheretoplaceyourstopthatwillmeanyoucanhaveabiggerlotsizethanifyou
47
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
wereonlytotradewithforwardorderthatrequiresingeneralabiggerstop.Thisisthesamecurrencypair,sametradingzonebutona1hourchartsotheverticallinesyouseeonthechartbreakstheweekupnowintodailyintervals.PayattentiontotheMACDwhereisthehistogram?Whatisitdoing?Stochasticisitcrossinginanoverboughtoroversoldarea?IstheRSIinanoverboughtoroversoldarea?
1Hourchartwithtrendlinebreak
48
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Whatlotsizecanyoutrade?Beforeyouplaceanorderworkoutthelotsizeyoucantrade.Todothisyouneedtoknowhowmuchofyouraccountyouaregoingtoriskandwhatisthestoppipvalue.Thishandycalculatorwillhelpyou.Neverriskmorethan2/3%ofyouraccountpertrade.
MiniAccountwith
-
StopsandExits:
Stopshavetobe@the75or100%Fiblevelsifyoutradeforwardorders.YouwilllookforEMAs,Bollingerbandsandpivotlines,trendlinesthatcanbeuseasabarrierbetweenyourentryandyourstop.Soletssayyouplaceaforwardorderatthe50%Fibpullbackarea,youwillhavetoplaceyourstopatthe75%Fibpullbackarea.Thisisanexampleona4hourchartwitha200EMAthatgivesyouthebarrierbetweenyourentryandstop.
Ifyouhavethetimeandtradethecurrenttrendlinebreakinthetradingzoneareaonthesmallertimeframes,thenyoucanhaveyourstopsabovetheprevioushighorlowpricemadebeforethetrendlinebreakoryoucanlooktotheleftofthecharttoidentifysupportandresistancelevelsthatcanbeusedforstopareas.LookforEMAs,Bollingerbandsandpivotlines,anythingthatcanbeuseasabarrierbetweenyourentryandyourstop.Thisisanexampleofatrendlinebreakforthesamecurrencypair,sametime,andsametradingzoneastheabovechartbutona1hourchart.Stopscanbeplacedafterthetrend
50
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
linebreakacoupleofpipsabovethehighpricemadebeforethetrendlinebreak.
Profittake:IfyouFibtheareainbetweentheoriginal0%to50%Fibarea,itwillgiveyouyour1st,2ndand3rdprofittakeareas.(Usingthe50%asyour1stetarget,75%asyour2ndtargetandthe100%asyour3detarget).
DontworryifyoudontunderstandIwillshowyouwithan
example.
51
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
RememberyouwillFibtheareabetweentheoriginal0%and50%Fibtogetthepotential3profittakeareas.
Youneedtohavealookwherethetop/bottomoftheBollingerbandsareinrelationtothe3rdprofittakeareabecausethiscanplacearoadblockbetweenthepriceandthe3rdtarget.
SomethingIhavenoticeovertimeisifyougetanentryatthe75%Fiblevel,youwillhavetolooktomakeyour1steprofittakeareaattheoriginal50%Fiblevel.Entrysat75%Fibleveltendstobesmallermovesthanentriesat50%Fiblevelthattendstogobackto0%Fibslevel.
WAITFORPRICETOCOMETOYOU!!
(Thisisthehardestpartofthesystem!)
52
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Stuffyouwillneed
1) WeeklyPivotindicator:Download2) MonthlyPivotindicator:Download3) Dailyrangecalculator:Download4) Lotcalculator:http://currensys.com/FreeForex.php
Whentotradeandwhennottotradethatsthequestion!
Yes,itistruethattheForexisopen24hoursaday,5daysaweek,butthatdoesntmeanitsalwaysactivethewholeday.YoucanmakemoneyintheForexwhenthemarketmovesup,andyoucanevenmakemoneywhenthemarketmovesdown.However,youwillhaveaverydifficulttimetryingtomakemoneyoncertaindays.
Hereisacoupleofsuggestionswhentotradeandwhentositonyourhandsgofishingorgoshoppingwiththewife.
Whentotradeifyouwanttolosemoney!
Ifyoureallydonotwanttotradeduringthebusiertimesofthemarketwhentradevolumeandpipmovementishighestandwhereyouwillmakemoneyeasier,thenbyallmeans,feelfreetotradeonthesetimesmentionedbelow.Iguaranteeyoullhaveamoredifficulttimetrading!
Fridays:Fridaysareveryunpredictableandisagooddaytotradeifyouwanttolosetheprofitsyoumadeduringtheweek.
Sundays:Thereisverylittlemovementonthesedays.
Holidays:Banksareclosedwhichmeansverylittlevolumeforwhatevercountryishavingtheholiday.Holidaysaregreattotradewhenyouwouldratherloseyourmoneythantakeadayoffandenjoytheotherthingsinlife.
53
http://currensys.com/FreeForex.phphttp://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
NewsReports:Noonereallyknowswherethepricewillgowhenanewsreportcomesout.Youcouldloseafortunetradingduringnewsreleasesifyoudon'tknowwhatyou'redoing.
Pipranges
Afterabitofresearchlookingatthepiprangeforthe4majorpairsforeachdayoftheweek,whatdidIlearn?
Wellitlookslikethemiddleoftheweekisthetimetolookforthat4hourordailyM2entry.ThatwillbeonaTuesdayandWednesday.Fridaysareusuallybusyuntil12pmESTandthenthemarketprettymuchdropsdeaduntilitclosesat5pmEST.
54
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
MyWorkStationThebestwillbetohave2monitorssothatyoucanruntwocorrelationpairsnexttoeachotherlikesaythe4hourEURUSDchartagainsta4hourUSDCHFchart.Incurrencytradingyouneedtoseethingsclearly.Thisisdifficultonalaptop.Ifyouarenotabletoseeclearly,itmightcostyoumoneyoryoumightloseoutonagoodtrade.Ihavethreemonitors,oneasmymainworkstationandmysecondandthirdamallocatedformycharts.OnmydeskIhavealaminatedcopyofmystressfreetradingplan.ThishelpsmetokeepfocusedonwhatIwantpricetodobeforeatakeanentry.OnmywallIhaveablackboardwithaweeklytradingrecord.ThishelpsmetoseewhereIamfortheweek/monthandwhatneedtobedonetoreachmymonthlytarget.Thelastbutnottheleastisareliablycalculator.Youwillusethiseverydayworkingoutstops,pips,profittakeareasandlotsmore.
55
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Nowthatyouhaveseenthesystemhowdoesitwork?
Tradingformeisallaboutlevels.Youhavenoticetraderstalkaboutsellingtheralliesinadowntrendorbuyingthedipsinanuptrend.Thissystemwillhelpyouwithfourthingsmosttradersstrugglewith:
1) Thepreferredtrend.2) Areastolookforentries.3) Areastolookforprofittake.4) Areastolookforstops.
Thissystemwillshowyouwherethereisapotentialrallyorpotentialdipforaspecificcurrencypairinthemarket.Theseralliesordipswillusuallybeinthepreferredtradingzone.
Armedwiththisinformation,youwillbeabletoidentifythebetterlevelsinthemarketforyourpotentialentry.
FirstyouneedtoknowhowtoFibit
Thisisthebackboneofthissystem.FirstyouneedtochangeyourvaluesonyourFibtomysettings.Youonlyneedthe0%,50%,62.5%andthe100%settings.
SometimesyouneedtobealittlecreativewiththewayyoudrawyourFibs.
Remember,wearelookingforatradingzonewherewewilllookforpossibleentriesnotaspecificvalue.
Thiswillcomewithpracticeandlateryouwillfinditsecondnatureanddoitwithoutanyheadaches.
Tomakemytradingzonemoreobvious,Iwillhighlightitwitharectangle.Doitonyourchartsaswellitmakesitsomuchessayerifyougothruthechartstoseewhichcurrencypairisinthetradingzone.
56
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
SomethingoneofourmemberspostedregardinghowtodrawFibs:
TheonlytroublewithaFibbeingsubjectiveissometimesitfeelslikeI'mtryingtomaketheFibfitandareaI'minterestedin.Butvery
oftenitiscorrect.
MaybethisisthecorrectapproachforFibbingaswearelookingforconfluencewhenlookingforareasofinterest.
Intheenditneedstobelikeapuzzlewhereallthepiecesfittogethertogiveyouthatconfluenceweneedtoidentifythemoreappropriate/bettertradingzone.
Letshavealookatsomeexamples.
1) Normalmarket:4hourchartforweeklyFibs.
Weareinadowntrend;The34EMAisunderthe55EMA.Lastweek`sclosingpricewaslowerthantheopeningprice.SonowyouneedtoFibfromlastweekshightolastweekslowtogetthisweekstradingzone.Youdonthavetochangecharts.Alltheinformationyouneedisonthe4hourchart.
RememberFibfromlastweekshightolastweekslow.
57
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
AUDJPY4HourChart
2) FallingMarket:4hourchartforweeklyFibs.
Weareinadowntrend;The34EMAisunderthe55EMA.Lastweek`sclosingpricewaslowerthantheopeningprice.SonowyouneedtoFibfromlastweekshightolastweekslowtogetthisweekstradingzonebutpricewasfallingpastlastweekslowwithoutapullbackonMondayandTuesday.
NoproblemfollowpricewithyourFibuntilyoucanseepriceismakingthepullbackweneed.YouwillFibfromlastweekshightothisweekscurrentlowtogetthisweekstradingzone.Youdont
58
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
havetochangecharts.Alltheinformationyouneedisonthe4hourchart.
RememberFibfromlastweekshighfollowingpriceinthecurrentweektillyouseethepullback.
EURO/$4HourChart
3) DrawingFibsonaDailychartformonthlyFibs.
SometimestheneedarisestodrawmonthlyFibsonadailychart.Thiswillbewhenthe4hourEMAsaregoingintheoppositedirectionfromtheDaily34/55EMAs.
Remembertheverticallines.Onadailychartitwillgiveyoumonthlyintervals.So,noneedtostress.Youdoexactlythesameasyouwouldhavedoneona4hourchartnowyouwillhavethemonthlytradingzoneonadailychart.NoticehowIfollowedpriceinthebeginningofthemonthwiththeFibuntilthepullback.
59
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Weareinanuptrendonthischart34EMAisabovethe55EMAtrendingup.Remember:SkyisaboveEarth.
SowewillhavetoFibfromlastmonthslowtolastmonthshighbutwehadtofollowpriceuntilpriceturnedforthepullbackweneedtogetthecurrentmonthstradingzone.
GBPUSDDailyChart:
60
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Letshavealookatsomeexamplesusingthissystem:
1) Exampleofasell:USDCHF4hourchart15Augustto22August2010
Whattolookforandwhattodo:
Mondaymorningyouopenyourchartsandstartdoingyouranalysesfortheweek.
DailyChart:The34EMAisunderthe55EMA=Maindirectiondown.
Moveto4hourchart:The34EMAisunderthe55EMA=Directiondown(SameastheDailychart)
NowweneedtoFib.Lastweektogetthisweekstradingzone.Firsthavealookatwhatpricehaddonelastweek.Alltheinformationyouneedisonthe4hourchart,youdonthavetochangetoaweeklychart.Byusingtheverticallinesonthechart,youwillbeabletoseelastweekspriceactionwithinlastweeksblockandusethattoinformationtoFibtogetthecurrentweekstradingzone.
Theopeningpriceoflastweekwashigherthantheclosingpricefromlastweek,soitwastrendingdownthatmeanswewillhavetoFibfromlastweekshightolastweekslowtogetourtradingzoneforthiscurrentweek.
Afterdoingthatwehaveour
1)0%Fibat1.02560
2)50%Fibat1.03941
3)75%Fibat1.04632
4)100%Fibat1.05322
61
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Youhaveidentifiedthepreferredareatolookforyourweeklyentry;thetradingzonewillbebetween1.03941and1.04632.
Nowyouwaitbutstaywiththe4hourchartforpricetocometoyou.
Pricecameintoourtradingzonewhatnow?
Askyourself:
1) WhatistheBollingerbanddoingispriceoutsideitisitaoneinamillionyearsBollingerband?Isittrendingdown?
2) Isthe34/55EMAstillopenandstilltrendingdown?3) Whereisthe200EMAinrelationtoprice?4) WhatismyStochasticdoingisitcrossingisitinthe
overboughtarea?5) WhatistheRSIdoingisitintheoverboughtarea?IstheRSIline
crossingthe50middleline?6) WhatistheMACDdoingisthehistogramcrossingoraboutto
cross?Whatarethe2movingaveragelinesdoing?Isitopenorabouttocross?
7) IsMarc`spotentialentrypointnearthisarea?8) Isthereawholenumberinthetradingzone?
62
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
4HourUSDCHFchartwithweeklyFibs
Afteryouhadalookatalltheabovequestionsmovedowntoa30ora1hourchart.
Placeyourcurrenttrendlineandwaitforthetrendlinebreak.Thistrendlinewillalwaysbeintheoppositedirectionofthepreferredtrendinthiscaseitwillbeabulltrendlinethatneedstobebroken.Whileyouarewaitingforthebreak,gothruallthequestionsagainasyoudidonthe4hourchartbutthistimeusingthe1houror30minchart`sindicators.
63
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Whileyouarewaitingforthetrendlinebreak,identifyareaswhereyouwillplaceyourstoplookforprevioushighstotheleftofyourchart,pivotpoints,Bollingerbands,EMAs.Lookforsomethingyoucanplacebetweenyourentrypriceandyourstopthatwillreactasabarrier.
Okpricebrokethetrendlinewaitforthatcandletocloseunderthetrendlinebeforeyouplaceyourtrade.
Beforeyouplaceyourtradequicklygototheriskcalculatorandworkoutthelotsizeyoucantrade.Remembernotmorethan2/3%ofyouraccountpertradeandknowthestopinpipvaluebeforethecalculatorcanbeused.
Youplacethetradeyouidentifiedanareatoplaceyourstopnow(inthiscaseabovethehighpointpricemadebeforethetrendlinebreak)weneedtoidentifyareasforprofittake.
Fibtheareabetweenyourprimary0%and50%areafromthebottomtothetop.
Yourpotentialprofittakeareaswillbe
1) 50%Fibat1.032622) 75%Fibat1.029213) 100%Fibat1.02560
(This100%Fibareawillalsobetheoriginal0%ontheprimaryFib)
Pricecamedownpastourfirstprofittakeare.WedecidetotakeprofitatoursecondprofittakeareabecausewehadaBollingerbandthewayonthe4hourchartthatcouldactasabarrierbeforepricewillgettothe3deprofittakearea.(Havealookatthe4hourchartandseeifyoucannoticethebottomBollingerband.)
64
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
USDCHF30Minchartwithtrendlinebreak
Fibtheoriginal0%to50%Fibareatogettheprofittakeareas.
65
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
2) Exampleofabuy:
Whattolookforandwhattodo:
Mondaymorningyouopenyourchartsandstartdoingyouranalysesfortheweek.
DailyChart:The34EMAisabovethe55EMA=Maindirectionup.
Moveto4hourchart:The34EMAisabovethe55EMA=Directionup.(SameastheDailychart)
NowweneedtoFib.Lastweektogetthisweekstradingzone.Firsthavealookatwhatpricehaddonelastweek.Alltheinformationyouneedisonthe4hourchart,youdonthavetochangetoaweeklychart.Byusingtheverticallinesonthechart,youwillbeabletoseelastweekspriceactionwithinlastweeksblockandusethattoinformationtoFibtogetthecurrentweekstradingzone.
Theopeningpriceoflastweekwaslowerthantheclosingpriceoflastweek,soitwastrendingupthatmeanswewillhavetoFib.fromlastweekslowtolastweekshightogetourtradingzoneforthiscurrentweek.ThemarketopenedonMondaywithagapsowefollowedpricewithourFib.WewillFibfrompoint1topoint2.
Afterdoingthatwehaveour
1)0%Fibat0.9386
2)50%Fibat0.9275
3)75%Fibat0.9220
4)100%Fibat0.9160
Youhaveidentifiedthepreferredareatolookforyourweeklyentry;thetradingzonewillbebetween.9275and.9220
66
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Nowyouwaitbutstaywiththe4hourchartforpricetocometoyou.
Pricecameintoourtradingzonewhatnow?
Askyourself:
1) WhatistheBollingerbanddoingispriceoutsideitisitaoneinamillionyearsBollingerband?Isittrendingup?
2) Isthe34/55EMAstillopenandstilltrendingup?3) Whereisthe200EMAinrelationtoprice?4) Whatismystochasticdoingisitcrossingisitintheoversold
area?5) WhatistheRSIdoingisitintheoversoldarea?IstheRSIline
crossingthe50middleline?6) WhatistheMACDdoingisthehistogramcrossingoraboutto
cross?Whatarethe2movingaveragelinesdoing?Isitopenorabouttocross.
7) IsMarc`spotentialentrynearthisarea?8) Isthereawholenumberinthetradingzone?
67
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
4HourAUDUSDchartwithaweeklyFib
68
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Afteryouhadalookatalltheabovequestionsmovedowntoa30ora1hourchart.
Placeyourcurrenttrendlineandwaitforthetrendlinebreak.Thistrendlinewillalwaysbeintheoppositedirectionofthepreferredtrendinhiscaseitwillbeabeartrendlinethatneedstobebroken.Whileyouarewaitingforthebreak,gothruallthequestionsagainasyoudidonthe4hourchartbutthistimeusingthe1houror30minchart`sindicators.
Whileyouarewaitingforthetrendlinebreak,identifyareaswhereyouwillplaceyourstoplookforprevioushighstotheleftofyourchart,pivotpoints,Bollingerbands,EMAs.Lookforsomethingyoucanplacebetweenyourentrypriceandyourstopthatwillreactasabarrier.
Okpricebrokethetrendlinewaitforthatcandletocloseunderthetrendlinebeforeyouplaceyourtrade.
Beforeyouplaceyourtradequicklygototheriskcalculatorandworkoutthelotsizeyoucantrade.Remembernotmorethan2/3%ofyouraccountpertradeandknowthestopinpipvaluebeforethecalculatorcanbeused.
Youplacethetradeyouidentifiedanareatoplaceyourstopnowweneedtoidentifyareasforprofittake.
Fibtheareabetweenyourprimary0%and50%areafromthebottomtothetop.
69
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Yourpotentialprofittakeareaswillbe
1) 50%Fibat0.9331
2) 75%Fibat0.9358
3) 100%Fibat0.9386
(The100%Fibwillalsobetheoriginaltop0%ontheprimaryFib)
Pricecameuppastourfirstprofittakeare.WedecidetotakeprofitatoursecondprofittakeareabecausewehadaBollingerbandinthewayonthe4hourchartthatcouldactasabarrierbeforepricewillgettothe3rdprofittakearea.Havealookatthe1hourchartandseeifyoucannoticethetopBollingerbandactingasresistanceplusthedoubletoppriceformedatourprofittakeareabeforepricestartedtotrenddown.
70
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
AUDUSD1hourchartwithtrendlinebreak
Fibthe0%to50%Fibareatogettheprofittakeareas.
71
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
3) ExampleofaforwardorderyoufollowedpricewithyourFibintothenewweek:
AUDUSD4Hourchart
YouwentawayfortheweekendandonlymanagetolookatyourchartsonTuesday/Wednesdaymorningtodoyouranalysesfortherestoftheweek.
DailyChart:The34EMAisunderthe55EMA=Maindirectiondown.
Moveto4hourchart:The34EMAisunderthe55EMA=Directiondown.(SameastheDailychart)
NowweneedtoFiblastweektogetthisweekstradingzone.Firsthavealookatwhatpricehaddonelastweek.Alltheinformationyou
72
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
needisonthe4hourchart,youdonthavetochangetoaweeklychart.Byusingtheverticallinesonthechart,youwillbeabletoseelastweekspriceactionwithinlastweeksblockandusethattoinformationtoFibtogetthecurrentweekstradingzone.
Theopeningpriceoflastweekwashigherthantheclosingpricefromlastweek,soitwastrendingdownthatmeanswewillhavetoFib.Fromlastweekshightolastweekslowtogetourtradingzoneforthiscurrentweek,butyouwentawayandnoticepricealreadymadeanewlowthisweekbutisstartingtotrendbackup.Sowhatnow?
YouFibfromlastweekshightothiscurrentweekslowtogetapotentialtradingzone.
Afterdoingthatwehaveour
1)0%Fibat1.02560
2)50%Fibat1.03941
3)75%Fibat1.04632
4)100%Fibat1.05322
Youhaveidentifiedthepreferredareatolookforyourweeklyentry;thetradingzonewillbebetween1.03941and1.04632.
Younoticepriceistrendinguptoyourtradingzone;justunderthetradingzonewehavethe200EMAandthe55EMAonthe4hourchart.Youneedtogooutandcantwaitforthetrendlinebreakonthesmallertimeframes.
Youplaceyourforwardorderatthe50%Fiblevel1.03941
Youplaceyourstopatthe75%Fiblevelwiththe200and55EMAsandtheBollingerbandasresistancebetweenyourentrypriceandstop.Rememberforwardordersrequirebiggerstopsthanwhereyou
73
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
havewaitedforatrendlinebreakthatmeansyourlotsizeforthistradewillhavetobesmaller.
YouFibtheoriginal50/75%FibareatogetyourprofittakeareasandnoticethattherewillbeaBollingerbandbeforepricewillgettothe3deprofittakearea.
Yousetyourprofittakeatthe75%Fib2ndeprofittakeareaandwalkaway.
Acoupleofhourslateryoucamebacknoticeyouareinprofitandmanageyourtradefromtheretillthepreferredprofittakeareaisreached.
Remembercurrencytradingisaddictive.
Mykidsalwaystellmewhentheyareupsetwithme`Youarenotthebossofme!`
Thisisthewayhowyouneedtofeelaboutcurrencytrading.Tradingisnotyourbossbutifyouarenotcarefulwithitveryaddictive.WhenIstarttofeellikeitistakingovermylifethenIknowitstimetotakeabreakfromit.Themarketwillstillbetherenextweek.
Whatismyadvicetoyouasanewtrader?
Sticktoatradingplan.Thatisyourcurrencybible.Itwillgiveyoutheguidelinestobecomeaprofitablecurrencytrader.Withoutityouwillbelost.Withityoustandabetterchangeatthebattlefield.Withit,tradingdoesnthavetobestressful.Youwillhavearoadmapfortheweeksoyoucanbefocusedonwhatneedstohappenbeforeyoutakeatrade.
74
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
AttachedyouwillfindashorterStressfreetradingplanandaprobabilitystudyInorderforyoutokeeptradingthesystem,makeacopy,laminateitandkeepitonyourdeskfordailyreference.Usethechecklisttoassistyoubeforeyouplaceatrade.
Remembertoliveasimplelifeandgivebacktothecommunity.
Dontbebigmouthaboutyoutradesyouareonlyasgoodasyourlasttradeinthisbusiness.
Regards
Pierre.
PierreDuPlessis
Manissomadethatwheneveranythingfireshissoul,impossibilitiesvanish.
JeandelaFontaine.
75
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
TradingCheatSheetCurrency
1)Euro/DollaragainsttheDollar/CHF.(Moveinoppositedirection).109pips
2)Euro/JPYagainsttheGBP/Dollar.(Moveinsamedirection).112pips
3)Aussie/DollaragainsttheAussie/JPY.(Movesamedirection).72pips
4)Euro/GBPandtheDollar/JPY.(Leftover.)62pips
Iwillonlytake1groupentryatatimeIdonttradetheCADpairs.
(IfyoutradetheCADPairsincludedithere.)
Whythesepairs?ThesearethepairsMarctradessoIwillgethisweekly/dailyupdatesandIwillgetbackupfromMarcandtheblogmembersifIneedit.
TradingTimes:MondaytoThursday
ManageopentradesonFridays. NonewentriesonFridays. DonttradeNFP.(NoproblemIdonttradeFridays) Donttradeinterestrateannouncements.
FIBSetting:0,50,62.5,75,100.(Mytradingzonewillbebetweenthe50%and75%Fiblevel).ThisistheonlyareawhereIwillstartlookingformyweeklyentries.Ifpricegetstomyzone,Iwilllookatmyindicatorstogivememoreconfirmationregardingoverbought/oversoldareas.IfIhavethetime,Iwillmovedowntothesmallertimeframeslikethe60minor30minchartandwaitforacurrenttrendlinebreak.IfIwaitforthetrendlinebreak,pricewillshowmewheretoplacemystop.This
76
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
willbeabovetheprevioushighorlowbeforethetrendlinebreakhappenedorIcanlookatthecandlestotheleftofthechartafterthetrendlinebreakthatwillgiveyousupportorresistancelevelsthatcanbeusedforstops.Opentradingwindows
DailychartwithmonthlyFibssetwith......200,55,and34EMAs,BollingerBandssetat20.The34/55EMAsetsthemaintradingdirection.
4HourchartwithweeklyFibs,setwith......200,55,34EMAs,BollingerBandsetat20.
MACDwithsettings:12,26,9. Stochasticwithsettings:Kperiod12,slow6andDperiod3(8020).
RSIwithsettings:9withamiddlelineat50(7525).Setupforentry
Calculatelotsizeusinglotcalculatorsetat2/3%pertrade.
Iwillonlytradethe4hourchartwhenthedirectionofthe4hourandtheDaily34/55EMAsarepointinginthesamedirection.
Ifthedirectiononthe4hourchartEMAsaredifferentfromtheDailychartEMAs,thenIwillmoveawayfromthe4hourchartandlookforentriesonaDailychartwiththemonthlytradingzone.Onlyoncethedirectionofthe4hourEMAsisthesameastheDailyEMAswillImovebacktoa4hourchartasmymaintradingchart.
34EMABlue(Sky)55EMABrown(Earth)Ifblueisabovebrown,Iwilllookforlongs,ifblueisunderbrown,Iwilllookforshortsinthemarket.
OnaDailyChart:betweenthe50%75%=tradingzonearea=monthlyFibs.
77
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
Ona4HourChart:betweenthe50%75%=tradingzonearea=weeklyFibs.
NowIhaveidentifiedapossibletradingzoneareawithmyFibwherepricemightreact.
Ifpricegetstoorintothetradingzone,thenIwillpayattentiontotheMACDwhereisthehistogram?Whatisitdoing?Stochasticisitcrossinginanoverboughtoroversoldarea?IstheRSIinanoverboughtoroversoldarea?
NowIwillmovedowntoasmallertimeframelikea30or60minchart.IwillplaceacurrenttrendlineandwaitforthebreakbeforeIplaceanorder.IfIamabletowaitforthetrendlinebreak,thenIwillbeabletoseewheretoplacemystopthatwillmeanIcanhaveabiggerlotsizethanifIonlytradewithaforwardorder.
StopsandExits
Stopshavetobe@the75/100%FiblevelsifItradeforwardorders.IwilllookforsomethinglikeaBollingerband,pivotpoint,EMA......thatIcanusebetweenmyentryandmystop.
IfIhavethetimeandtradethecurrenttrendlinebreakinthetradingzoneareaonthesmallertimeframes,thenIcanhavemystopsabovetheprevioushighorlowpricemadebeforethetrendlinebreakorIcanlooktotheleftofthecharttoidentifysupportandresistancelevelsthatcanbeusedforstopareas.
IfIFibtheareainbetweentheoriginal0%to50%Fibarea,Iwillgetmy1ste,2ndeand3deprofittakeareas.Iwillhavealookwherethetop/bottomoftheBollingerbandsareinrelationtomy3deprofittakeareabecausethiscanbearoadblockbetweenthepriceandthe3detarget.
IfIgetanentryatthe75%Fib,thenIwilltakemy1steprofitatthe50%Fiblevel.Entrysat75%Fibareatendstobesmallermovesthanentriesat50%thattendstogobackto0%Fibsarea.
WAITFORPRICETOCOMETOYOU!!
78
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
ProbabilityStudyOnMondays
1) Whatisthedirectionofthedaily34/55EMA?UP/DOWN
2) Isthe4hour34/55EMAthesameastheDaily?YES/NO
3) IftheanswerisnotradefromtheDailychart.
4) DrawtheFibonyourpreferredtimeframe.
Questionsyouneedtoaskwhenpricegetsintothetradingzone
Lookingonthechart:
1) Whereisthe200EMAinrelationtoprice?Answer:..........................................................................................
2) Isthe34/55EMAstillopenandstilltrendinginthepreferred
direction?Answer:..........................................................................................
3) DoIhaveanyweekly/monthlypivotpointsinthetradingzone?
Answer:..........................................................................................
4) DoIhaveanywholenumbersinthetradingzone?Answer:..........................................................................................
5) DoIhaveanyreversalcandlepatternsformingattheselevelsin
thetradingzone?Answer:...........................................................................................
6) DoIhaveanytrendlinescomingfromolderareasinthetrading
zonethatcangiveresistanceorsupport? Answer:.........................................................................................
79
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
7) IsMarc`spotentialentrypointneartheseareas?
Answer:............................................................................................
8) WhatistheBollingerbanddoingispriceoutsideitisitaoneinamillionyearsBollingerband?Isittrendingdownorup?Isitcurlingupordown?Answer:............................................................................................
9) WhatistheMACDdoingisthehistogramcrossingoraboutto
cross?Whatarethe2movingaveragelinesdoing?Isitopenorabouttocross?Answer:..............................................................................................
10) WhatismyStochasticdoingisitcrossingisitintheoverboughtoversoldarea?Answer:.............................................................................................
11) WhatismyRSIdoingisitcrossingthe50middlelineisitin
theoverbought/oversoldarea?Answer:............................................................................................
Iftheprobabilitystudyshowsmethatpricewillmostlikelyreactin
thetradingzonewaitforconfirmationbyaskingmyself...
Didpricebreakthecurrenttrendline?
80
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
ExampleofaProbabilitystudy
ProbabilitystudyfortheAUDUSDonthe4hourchart:
Direction:
1) Ispriceisabove/underthe200EMA:UNDER2) Whatisthedirectionofthe34/55EMAsonthe4hourchart:
SHORT
PotentialTradingzone:
3) HowdoweFib:Lastweek`shightothecurrentlow4) TradingZone:1.5821to1.5952(5075%Fib)5) SweetSpot:1.5886(62.5%Fib)
Whatishappeninginthetradingzone?
6) DowehaveanyEMAsinthetradingzone:200,55EMAONTHE4hourchartplusthe34/55EMAonDailychart.
7) Dowehaveaweeklypivotinthetradingzone:Yes,butitisontheothersideofthe200EMAonthe4hourchart.
8) DowehaveaBollingerbandinthetradingzone:No9) Dowehaveapsychologicallevel`sinthetradingzone:Yes,15900
atthecurrent200EMAonthe4hourchart.10) Dowehaveatrendlineinthetradingzone:Yes,beartrend
linefrom4week`sback.11) Rule:ThetrendisyourfriendSelltheralliesinadowntrend
Whatwillmytradingplanbeusingtheprobabilitystudy?
Priceisunderthe4hour200EMA.Wehavegoodseparationbetweenthe34/55EMAanditisstilltrendingdown.
IfIFibfromlastweekshightothecurrentweekslowtogetthisweekstradingzone.Wehavethe55and200EMAonthe4hour
81
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
-
82
chartplusthe34/55EMAontheDailychartinthepreferredtradingzone.
WehaveaweeklyR1pivotontheothersideofthe200EMAbutitstillfallsinmytradingzoneat1.5924.
Wehavetheweeklymainpivotandthe38.3Fibareainthesameareaat1.5759.
Wehaveatrendlineonthe4hourchartthatisinthezone,itsontheothersideofthe200EMA.Ihaveloadsofreasonstobelievethatoncepricepastthe1.5759areathatIwillstarttoseesomeresistanceandthatpricewillturn.
Mytradingplanforthispairistowaitforpricetocometome.Isetanalarmtogooffoncepricecloseabovethe1.5759area.OnlythenwillIstarttolookforreasonstoshortthispair.Thecloserpricecangettomypreferredtradingzonestartingat1.5821areathebetter.
AboutForexMentorProAsImentionedintheintroduction,IamamemberofForexMentorPro,the5StarratedtrainingandmentoringservicebyMarcWaltonandDeanSaunders.IuseMarcsanalysisasavitalconfirmationformysystem,asIhavementionedinthiseBook.
IalsoruntheForexMentorProMembersForum,andamonhandeverytradingdaytoprovidesupport,tipsandadvicetoallMembers.
Ifyouwouldliketogeta7daytrialofForexMentorProforjust$4.95,pleaseclicktheimagebelow:
http://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.phphttp://www.forex-fxtrader.com/fmptrial.php
Earth and Sky Trading System - Version for DeanEarth and Sky Trading System - Version for DeanForex What is it?Spinning TopsMarubozuPrior TrendHammer and Hanging Man IndicatorsStochasticRelative Strength Index (RSI)MACDBollinger BandsHenri, Portland ORTom Lee, usaBob S, Massachusetts, US
Earth and Sky Trading System - ending