Evidenced Based Nursing: Electronic Medical Charting and Patient Safety
Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet...
-
Upload
charles-bradshaw -
Category
Documents
-
view
215 -
download
0
Transcript of Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet...
![Page 1: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
![Page 2: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe
Course
![Page 3: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
![Page 4: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs
to Meet Future Safety Challenges
![Page 5: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to
Meet Future Safety Challenges
![Page 6: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
![Page 7: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Welcome Safety Managers & all to EASS
2003, Geneva!
![Page 8: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Welcome Safety Managers & all to EASS 2003, Geneva!
Flight Safety Foundation, European Advisory Committee
![Page 9: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Welcome Safety Managers & all to EASS
2003, Geneva!
European Regions Airline Association
![Page 10: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Charles Dodgson, Oxford math lecturer, text author,
1850’s-1880’s
![Page 11: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Lewis Carroll writer of children's books 1850’s -1880’s
Caricature by Zach Trenholm, SALON Magazine.
![Page 12: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Planning
Alice in Wonderland
![Page 13: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Alice said to the Cat, ‘Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?’
![Page 14: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
‘That depends a good deal on where you want to get to,’ said the Cheshire Cat.
![Page 15: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
‘I don’t much care where…’ said Alice.
![Page 16: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
‘Then it doesn’t matter which way you go,’ said the Cheshire Cat.
![Page 17: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
‘…so long as I get somewhere,’ Alice added as an explanation.
![Page 18: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
‘Oh, you’re sure to do that,’ said the Cheshire Cat, ‘if you only walk long enough.’
![Page 19: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Flight safety program managers need to know know
which wawhich wayy to to ggoo…
![Page 20: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
& how far to walk to become accidentaccident ppreventersreventers…
![Page 21: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
… and not become
accidentaccident investiinvestiggatorsators!
![Page 22: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Procedures & Examples of how to produce…
Safety
Forecast & Plans
![Page 23: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Annual Safety ForecastForecast &Annual Safety PlanPlan
Safety
Forecast & Plans
![Page 24: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
...to meet Future SafetFuture Safetyy Challen Challenggeses
Safety
Forecast & Plans
![Page 25: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Paul Miller
-pilots association, safety committee-association represents 2500+ pilots who fly for a global logistics company
& express package delivery service
-B767 & B757 international line captain
-Safety program manager:pilot association, 2 airports & aspecialized air logistics
organization
![Page 26: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
• Paul Miller, safety committee member
• pilots association
•Safety program manager:Safety program manager:
pilot association, 2 airports & a specialized air logistics organization
![Page 27: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
![Page 28: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
-Simple Procedures
![Page 29: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
-Simple Procedures-Estimating and Compensating
![Page 30: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
-Simple Procedures-Estimating and Compensating-Expected Flight Safety Hazards
![Page 31: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
-Simple Procedures-Estimating and Compensating-Expected Flight Safety Hazards-As yet Unresolved
![Page 32: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
-Simple Procedures-Estimating and Compensating-Expected Flight Safety Hazards-As yet Unresolved-As yet Unmanaged
![Page 33: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
-Simple Procedures-Estimating and Compensating-Expected Flight Safety Hazards-As yet Unresolved-As yet Unmanaged-May be Unreported
![Page 34: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
-Simple Procedures-Estimating and Compensating-Expected Flight Safety Hazards-As yet Unresolved-As yet Unmanaged-May be Unreported-Will affect a local organization…
![Page 35: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Safety Forecasts & Plans
-Simple Procedures-Estimating and Compensating-Expected Flight Safety Hazards-As yet Unresolved-As yet Unmanaged-May be Unreported-Will affect a local organization…
…YOURS!
![Page 36: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
…All Safety is Local
![Page 37: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Annual Safety Forecast -based on Early Detection of Hazards-using cultural listening
![Page 38: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Annual Safety Forecast -based on Early Detection of Hazards-using cultural listening-not exact science-daily working list
![Page 39: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Annual Safety Forecast -based on Early Detection of Hazards-using cultural listening-not exact science-daily working list-logical inductive reasoning
![Page 40: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Annual Safety Forecast -based on Early Detection of Hazards-using cultural listening-not exact science-daily working list-logical inductive reasoning-calculation of risk -mathematical, graphic modeling
![Page 41: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
What are Hazards?
![Page 42: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
What are Hazards?-Probable Risks
![Page 43: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
What are Hazards?-Probable Risks -Serious Risks
![Page 44: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
What are Hazards?-Probable Risks -Serious Risks
People
![Page 45: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
What are Hazards?-Probable Risks -Serious Risks
People-Injury & Death
![Page 46: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
What are Hazards?-Probable Risks -Serious Risks
People-Injury & Death
Property
![Page 47: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
What are Hazards?-Probable Risks -Serious Risks
People-Injury & Death
Property-Damage &
Destruction
![Page 48: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
What are Hazards?-Probable Risks -Serious Risks
People $$Euros$$-Injury & Death
Property -Damage &
Destruction
![Page 49: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
What are Hazards?-Probable Risks -Serious Risks
People $$Euros$$-Injury & Death
Property $$Euros$$-Damage &
Destruction
![Page 50: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
What are Hazard$?-Probable Risk$ -Serious Risk$
People $$Euros$$-Injury & Death
Property $$Euros$$-Damage &
DestructionAdditional cost$?
![Page 51: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
Hazard Unresolved?
![Page 52: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
Hazard Unresolved?
-no strategy for resolution?
![Page 53: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/53.jpg)
Hazard Unresolved?
-no strategy for resolution?
-longstanding?
![Page 54: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/54.jpg)
Hazard Unresolved?
-no strategy for resolution?
-longstanding?
-culturally accepted as “irresolvable”?
![Page 55: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/55.jpg)
Hazard Unmanaged?
![Page 56: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/56.jpg)
Hazard Unmanaged?
-no manager for resolution?
![Page 57: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/57.jpg)
Hazard Unmanaged?
-no manager for resolution?
-no assigned manager?
![Page 58: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/58.jpg)
Hazard Unmanaged?
-no manager for resolution?
-no assigned manager?
-assigned manager not functioning?
![Page 59: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/59.jpg)
Hazard Unreported?
![Page 60: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/60.jpg)
Hazard Unreported?
-New or emerging hazard?
![Page 61: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/61.jpg)
Hazard Unreported?
-New or emerging hazard?
-Known but unreported?
![Page 62: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/62.jpg)
Hazard Unreported?
-New or emerging hazard?
-Known but unreported?
-Reoccurring hazard?
![Page 63: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/63.jpg)
Hazard Affect?
![Page 64: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/64.jpg)
Hazard Affect?
-people?
![Page 65: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/65.jpg)
Hazard Affect?
-people?
-your local organization?
![Page 66: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/66.jpg)
Hazard Affect?
-people?
-your local organization?
-customers, neighbors & visitors?
![Page 67: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/67.jpg)
Hazard Affect?
![Page 68: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/68.jpg)
Hazard Affect?
-property & equipment?
![Page 69: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/69.jpg)
Hazard Affect?
-property & equipment?
-your local organization?
![Page 70: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/70.jpg)
Hazard Affect?
-property & equipment?
-your local organization?
-belonging to others?
![Page 71: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/71.jpg)
Early Detection
…is the key
![Page 72: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/72.jpg)
Why Early DetectionEarly Detection?
The earlier a hazard is The earlier a hazard is detected by a forecast, detected by a forecast, the earlier a resolution the earlier a resolution plan can be created.plan can be created.
![Page 73: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/73.jpg)
Early Detection Theorem
![Page 74: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/74.jpg)
Early Detection Theorem
The longer a hazard exists,
![Page 75: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/75.jpg)
Early Detection Theorem
The longer a hazard exists, the higher the probability that it will cause a mishap
![Page 76: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/76.jpg)
Why Detection at all Detection at all?
Hazard & MishaHazard & Mishapp Theorem Theorem
![Page 77: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/77.jpg)
Why Detection Detection at all?
Hazard & MishaHazard & Mishapp Theorem Theorem
A. Mishaps Mishaps are ‘hazard-hazard-basedbased’
![Page 78: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/78.jpg)
Why DetectionDetection at all?
Hazard & MishaHazard & Mishapp Theorem Theorem
A. Mishaps Mishaps are ‘hazard-hazard-basedbased’
B. HazardsHazards are ‘people-people-actionaction’
![Page 79: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/79.jpg)
Why DetectionDetection at all?
Hazard & MishaHazard & Mishapp Theorem Theorem
A. Mishaps Mishaps are ‘hazard-hazard-basedbased’
B. HazardsHazards are ‘people-people-actionaction’ or ‘lack-of-action’lack-of-action’-basedbased
![Page 80: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/80.jpg)
Hazard & Mishap Theorem Corollary
![Page 81: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/81.jpg)
Hazard & Mishap Theorem Corollary
Elimination of ‘people-based’ hazards…
![Page 82: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/82.jpg)
Hazard & Mishap Theorem Corollary
Elimination of ‘people-based’ hazards…eliminates the basis for mishaps.
![Page 83: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/83.jpg)
Safety Riddle:
![Page 84: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/84.jpg)
Safety Riddle: Does the mishap cause the hazard to occur?
??
![Page 85: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/85.jpg)
Safety Riddle: Does the mishap cause the hazard to occur? Or does the hazard cause the mishap to occur? ? ?
??
![Page 86: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/86.jpg)
Safety Riddle: Does the mishap cause the hazard to occur? Or does the hazard cause the mishap to occur?
? ???
?
![Page 87: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/87.jpg)
Quickness Corollary to Early Detection
Theorem…
![Page 88: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/88.jpg)
Quickness Corollary to Early Detection
Theorem…
The quicker a hazard is resolved,
![Page 89: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/89.jpg)
Quickness Corollary to Early Detection
Theorem…
The quicker a hazard is resolved, the lower the probability that the hazard will cause a mishap.
![Page 90: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/90.jpg)
Quickness Corollary to Early Detection
Theorem…
The quicker a hazard is resolved, the lower the probability that the hazard will cause a mishap.
The resolution time is as The resolution time is as important as the important as the resolutionresolution
![Page 91: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/91.jpg)
Rabbit
Response
![Page 92: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/92.jpg)
Annual Safety Planbased on Rabbit Response of
Resolution
![Page 93: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/93.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan-based on Rapid Response of
Resolutionfrom Hazard Report Recommendations
![Page 94: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/94.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan-based on Rapid Response of
Resolutionfrom Hazard Report Recommendations • Immediate Intervention:
affecting Procedure, Practice, Technique
![Page 95: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/95.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan-based on Rapid Response of
Resolutionfrom Hazard Report Recommendations • Immediate Intervention:
affecting Procedure, Practice, Technique
• Interim Remediation: affecting Policy, Procedure
![Page 96: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/96.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan-based on Rapid Response of
Resolutionfrom Hazard Report Recommendations • Immediate Intervention:
affecting Procedure, Practice, Technique
• Interim Remediation: affecting Policy, Procedure
• Long Term Resolution: affecting Philosophy, Policy
![Page 97: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/97.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan-based on Rapid Response of Resolution
from Hazard Report Recommendations • Immediate Intervention: affecting
Procedure, Practice, Technique• Interim Remediation: affecting
Policy, Procedure • Long Term Resolution: affecting
Philosophy, Policy
Hazard Intervention = Mishap PreventionHazard Intervention = Mishap Prevention
![Page 98: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/98.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
![Page 99: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/99.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
![Page 100: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/100.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Direct and Formal
![Page 101: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/101.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Direct and Formal Verbal & written, in-person, email, on-line, mail, phone call, suggestion box,
![Page 102: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/102.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Direct and Formal Verbal & written, in-person, email, on-line, mail, phone call, suggestion box, your boss, your peers, your employees,
![Page 103: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/103.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Direct and Formal Verbal & written, in-person, email, on-line, mail, phone call, suggestion box, your boss, your peers, your employees, training material, safety audits, on-site safety assist visits,
![Page 104: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/104.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Direct and Formal Verbal & written, in-person, email, on-line, mail, phone call, suggestion box, your boss, your peers, your employees, training material, safety audits, on-site safety assist visits, your own safety inspections, any credible source.
![Page 105: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/105.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Indirect and Informal
![Page 106: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/106.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Indirect and Informal Grapevine, water-cooler, ear-to-rail, inferred from other comments & reports,
![Page 107: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/107.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Indirect and Informal Grapevine, water-cooler, ear-to-rail, inferred from other comments & reports, meeting comments, customers, visitors, anonymous source, smoke-on-horizon,
![Page 108: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/108.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Indirect and Informal Grapevine, water-cooler, ear-to-rail, inferred from other comments & reports, meeting comments, customers, visitors, anonymous source, smoke-on-horizon, gossip, intelligence sources, your own intuition, experience, judgment,
![Page 109: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/109.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-Internal
-Indirect and Informal Grapevine, water-cooler, ear-to-rail, inferred from other comments & reports, meeting comments, customers, visitors, anonymous source, smoke-on-horizon, gossip, intelligence sources, your own intuition, experience, judgment, piece together story, from any credible source.
![Page 110: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/110.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-External
-Formal and Informal
![Page 111: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/111.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-External
-Formal and Informal Industry literature,
![Page 112: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/112.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-External
-Formal and Informal Industry literature, other industry literature, seminars, conferences,
![Page 113: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/113.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-External
-Formal and Informal Industry literature, other industry literature, seminars, conferences, workshops, trade organizations,
![Page 114: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/114.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-External
-Formal and Informal Industry literature, other industry literature, seminars, conferences, workshops, trade organizations, regulatory material, inferred from other safety organizations, press reports,
![Page 115: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/115.jpg)
Early Detection Methods
-External
-Formal and Informal Industry literature, other industry literature, seminars, conferences, workshops, trade organizations, regulatory material, inferred from other safety organizations, press reports, other industry member’s actions, any credible source.
![Page 116: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/116.jpg)
Credible Source
![Page 117: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/117.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons
![Page 118: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/118.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons-SubstanceSubstance of Communications:
![Page 119: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/119.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons-Substance of Communications: what is what is being said, what is not being said?being said, what is not being said?
![Page 120: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/120.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons-Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said?
--ResponseResponse::
![Page 121: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/121.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons-Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said?
-Response: Acknowledge, propose Acknowledge, propose remedy.remedy.
![Page 122: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/122.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons-Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said?
-Response: Acknowledge, propose remedy.
-StyleStyle of Communications:
![Page 123: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/123.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons-Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said?
-Response: Acknowledge, propose remedy.
-Style of Communications: how it is how it is being said & what else can you infer?being said & what else can you infer?
![Page 124: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/124.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons-Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said?
-Response: Acknowledge, propose remedy.
-Style of Communications: how it is being said & what else can you infer?
-Response:
![Page 125: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/125.jpg)
Cultural Listening Lessons-Substance of Communications: what is being said, what is not being said?
-Response: Acknowledge, propose remedy.
-Style of Communications: how it is being said & what else can you infer?
-Response: Give appreciation, credit, encouragement, positive reassurance that remedy is forthcoming, in cultural language of reporter (local, vernacular)
![Page 126: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/126.jpg)
Probability
![Page 127: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/127.jpg)
Probability-Probable, percentages, possible, likely, likelihood, potential, numerical advantage, mathematical model, graphs, charts, tables, historical data
![Page 128: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/128.jpg)
Probability-Probable, percentages, possible, likely, likelihood, potential, numerical advantage, mathematical model, graphs, charts, tables, historical data
-Local interpretations, verbal descriptions, artistic stories, traditional analogies, personal expressions of feelings.
![Page 129: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/129.jpg)
Probability-Probable, percentages, possible, likely, likelihood, potential, numerical advantage, mathematical model, graphs, charts, tables, historical data
-Local interpretations, verbal descriptions, artistic stories, traditional analogies, personal expressions of feelings.
-WHATEVER WORKS BESTWHATEVER WORKS BEST in cultural context of your local organization
![Page 130: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/130.jpg)
Safety Forecasting
![Page 131: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/131.jpg)
Safety Forecasting
![Page 132: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/132.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-Looking ahead
![Page 133: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/133.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-Looking ahead
-used in many businesses
![Page 134: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/134.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-Looking ahead
-used in many businesses
-based on principle of early detection
![Page 135: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/135.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-Looking ahead
-used in many businesses
-based on principle of early detection of unreported, unmanaged & unresolved
![Page 136: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/136.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-Looking ahead
-used in many businesses
-based on principle of early detection of unreported, unmanaged & unresolved hazards to people and property
![Page 137: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/137.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-Looking ahead
-used in many businesses
-based on principle of early detection of unreported, unmanaged & unresolved hazards to people and property
-based on principle of rapid response
![Page 138: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/138.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-Looking ahead
-used in many businesses
-based on principle of early detection of unreported, unmanaged & unresolved hazards to people and property
-based on principle of rapid response
-based on classifying hazard as a procedure, practice, policy, technique or philosophy
![Page 139: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/139.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-procedureprocedure is written step by step specific instructions such as Aircraft Operating Manual Instrument Landing Procedures
![Page 140: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/140.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-procedure is written step by step specific instructions
-practicepractice is common customary application of a procedure by the pilot (practitioner) such as how to execute Instrument Landing Procedures
![Page 141: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/141.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-procedure is written step by step specific instructions
-practice is common customary application
-policypolicy is written organizational goal for all to follow such as, “all pilots shall be trained in Instrument Landing Procedures for operations during instrument conditions”
![Page 142: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/142.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-procedure is written step by step specific instructions
-practice is common customary application
-policy is written organizational goal for all to follow
-techniquetechnique is an art, style or twist of how best to execute these landing practices to obtain increased airport capacity safely
![Page 143: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/143.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-procedure is written step by step specific instructions
-practice is common customary application
-policy is written organizational goal for all to follow
-technique is an art, style or twist
-philosophyphilosophy is a set of orderly rules of conduct for all to decide right from wrong such as instrument procedures improve public safety in commercial aviation.
![Page 144: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/144.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-what are the people and property for which you have:
![Page 145: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/145.jpg)
Safety Forecasting-what are the people and property for which you have:
“responsibility, ownership, oversight, liability, duty of care, awareness or other local connection.”
Missing Doppler radar story 1996. After 1978 microburst mishap and 1985 mishap major hub airport still did not Doppler radar. While it was the responsibility of the weather service, CAA and city airport, it was the airline which suffered the loss in life and money.
![Page 146: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/146.jpg)
Sir, does your dog bite? No, my dog does not bite… Ouch! The dog bit me! You said your dog does not bite! Yes, but that is not my dog!
![Page 147: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/147.jpg)
Safety Forecasting
-awareness from early detection
-logical inductive reasoning
Deductive reasoning vs Inductive ?
![Page 148: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/148.jpg)
Safety ForecastingWill the hazard affect them?
![Page 149: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/149.jpg)
Safety ForecastingWill the hazard affect them?
A. Deduction:
![Page 150: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/150.jpg)
Safety ForecastingWill the hazard affect them?
A. Deduction:-Yes, because it has affected them
in the past
![Page 151: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/151.jpg)
Safety ForecastingWill the hazard affect them?
A. Deduction:-Yes, because it has affected them
in the past, or
-No, because it has not affected them in the past.
![Page 152: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/152.jpg)
Safety ForecastingWill the hazard affect them?
B. Induction:
![Page 153: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/153.jpg)
Safety ForecastingWill the hazard affect them?
B. Induction:-Yes, because it poses a probable, serious risk
![Page 154: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/154.jpg)
Safety ForecastingWill the hazard affect them?
B. Induction:-Yes, because it poses a probable, serious risk, or
-No, because my assets are probably not at serious risk.
![Page 155: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/155.jpg)
Inductive reasoning-outside the data set
-projecting outward
-educated guess
-estimate
-based on experience and judgment
-financial, crop, business, sports, weather, housing, marketing, production, political, election, education forecasts.
![Page 156: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/156.jpg)
Pothole in the Road
![Page 157: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/157.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-gradually appears and gets worse
![Page 158: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/158.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-gradually appears and gets worse
-every car doesn’t hit it
![Page 159: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/159.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-gradually appears and gets worse
-every car doesn’t hit it
-obvious for all to see
![Page 160: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/160.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-gradually appears and gets worse
-every car doesn’t hit it
-obvious for all to see
-some cars hit it anyway
![Page 161: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/161.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-gradually appears and gets worse
-every car doesn’t hit it
-obvious for all to see
-some cars hit it anyway
-some of those cars blow a tire
![Page 162: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/162.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-gradually appears and gets worse
-every car doesn’t hit it
-obvious for all to see
-some cars hit it anyway
-some of those cars blow a tire
-some of those lose control
![Page 163: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/163.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-gradually appears and gets worse
-every car doesn’t hit it
-obvious for all to see
-some cars hit it anyway
-some of those cars blow a tire
-some of those lose control
-some of those collide with a car or tree
![Page 164: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/164.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-gradually appears and gets worse
-every car doesn’t hit it
-obvious for all to see
-some cars hit it anyway
-some of those cars blow a tire
-some of those lose control
-some of those collide with a car or tree
-some of those will be injured
![Page 165: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/165.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-some of those will die
![Page 166: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/166.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-some of those will die
-all because of a pothole in the road
![Page 167: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/167.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-some of those will die
-all because of a pothole in the road
-the pothole could have been fixed as soon as it appeared
![Page 168: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/168.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-some of those will die
-all because of a pothole in the road
-the pothole could have been fixed as soon as it appeared
-Deduction says no one would get hurt because no one has been hurt yet.
![Page 169: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/169.jpg)
Pothole in the Road-some of those will die
-all because of a pothole in the road
-the pothole could have been fixed as soon as it appeared
-Deduction says no one would get hurt because no one has been hurt yet.
-Induction says if we fix the pothole no one will get hurt.
![Page 170: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/170.jpg)
Inductive Logic Safety managers must perfect Safety managers must perfect
inductive logic to prevent accidentsinductive logic to prevent accidents
![Page 171: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/171.jpg)
Inductive Logic Safety managers must perfect
inductive logic to prevent accidents or they will spend a lot of time using they will spend a lot of time using deductive reasoningdeductive reasoning trying to explain trying to explain why some disaster occurred.why some disaster occurred.
![Page 172: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/172.jpg)
Calculation of the Risk of the Hazard
![Page 173: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/173.jpg)
Calculation of the Risk of the Hazard
![Page 174: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/174.jpg)
Calculation of the Risk of the Hazard
![Page 175: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/175.jpg)
![Page 176: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/176.jpg)
![Page 177: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/177.jpg)
0
+Y
+X
+Z
100%
![Page 178: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/178.jpg)
Risk may vary by time of day, time of season, time of year
![Page 179: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/179.jpg)
Times of high activity, low activity, combined activity & coincidence
![Page 180: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/180.jpg)
-Risk equals probability times seriousness
Z = X Y
Z=XY-Three dimensional curve, depicting the full range of risks. It is a graphic display of the safety challenge
![Page 181: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/181.jpg)
Mathematical expression of
Hazard Risk of Cost of Loss or “Z”
Z = sine |X| N (Y)Where:
X = Hazard Probability from 0 to ‘here-it-comes’
Y = Hazard Seriousness from minor to major
Sine = regular time fluctuations
N = variable factors
![Page 182: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/182.jpg)
N = n1+n2+n3+n4+n5+n6, where:
n1 = Assigned legal punitive costs
n2 = Loss of public relations image & market share
n3 = Loss of managerial talent to resolving disaster
n4 = Loss of company growth & productivity
n5 = Employee morale destruction
n6 = Eventual discovery that disaster was preventable causing loss of confidence
![Page 183: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/183.jpg)
A graph of the mathematical equation ‘Z= sine|X|(NY)’ gives a
visual clue to the magnitude of the safety hazard resolution
challenge!
.
![Page 184: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/184.jpg)
Hazard Risk of Cost of Loss is product of two other factors & is somewhat geometric
![Page 185: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/185.jpg)
Risk (costs) = probability x severityZ = X Y where Z, X,Y>0
![Page 186: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/186.jpg)
Severity and probability grow together the costs begin a rise in risk cost.
![Page 187: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/187.jpg)
Safety Forecast may involve you becoming aware of hazards such as these:
-Flightcrew observing language-based misunderstood ATC instructions, which have led to close encounters with terrain, heard about on a crew bus
-Increased employee auto mishap injuries, heard about from health benefit director
-unreported ?
-unmanaged ?
-unresolved ?
![Page 188: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/188.jpg)
Planning
![Page 189: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/189.jpg)
…from local safety forecast
![Page 190: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/190.jpg)
Planning involves very specific procedures, which
are clear for your local local organizationorganization to follow.
![Page 191: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/191.jpg)
-Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training
![Page 192: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/192.jpg)
-Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training
-All-employee drive-safe activities
![Page 193: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/193.jpg)
-Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training
-All-employee drive-safe activities
-Examples of local flight safety programs
![Page 194: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/194.jpg)
-Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training
-All-employee drive-safe activities
-Examples of local flight safety programs
-Responding to forecasts of unresolved hazards
![Page 195: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/195.jpg)
-Innovative flight crew terrain hazard awareness training
-All-employee drive-safe activities
-Examples of local flight safety programs
-Responding to forecasts of unresolved hazards,
-Preventing accidents rather than Preventing accidents rather than investigating aviation disastersinvestigating aviation disasters
![Page 196: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/196.jpg)
Planning involves very specific recommended procedures for
external external organizations
![Page 197: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/197.jpg)
-Coordinated Interagency Premishap Preparation
![Page 198: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/198.jpg)
-Coordinated Interagency Premishap Preparation
-Letters of Safety Concern
![Page 199: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/199.jpg)
-Coordinated Interagency Premishap Preparation
-Letters of Safety Concern
-Examples of specific recommendations
![Page 200: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/200.jpg)
-Coordinated Interagency Premishap Preparation
-Letters of Safety Concern
-Examples of specific recommendations for organizations external to your local operation
![Page 201: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/201.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast
![Page 202: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/202.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.
![Page 203: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/203.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.
-Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast
![Page 204: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/204.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.
-Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections,
![Page 205: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/205.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.
-Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars,
![Page 206: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/206.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.
-Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars, expressions of probability and severity determinations.
![Page 207: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/207.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.
-Airport operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars, expressions of probability and severity determinations.
-From the Forecast
![Page 208: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/208.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.
-Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars, expressions of probability and severity determinations.
-From the Forecast an Annual Safety Plan
![Page 209: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/209.jpg)
Example of annual safety forecast & annual safety plan based on forecast.
-Airport Operations safety department produced an Annual Safety Forecast based on culturally interpreted hazard report data, logical projections, industry literature and seminars, expressions of probability and severity determinations.
-From the Forecast an Annual Safety Plan was developed to address the hazards.
![Page 210: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/210.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 211: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/211.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 212: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/212.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 213: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/213.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 214: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/214.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 215: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/215.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 216: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/216.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 217: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/217.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 218: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/218.jpg)
Annual Hazard ForecastForecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikesBird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reported by on-site ornithology safety visit last year
2. FODFOD from construction observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problemscoordination problems experienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposurehazmat employee exposure read about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increaseminor injury increase reported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damagedriving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned by airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without without sufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk pathspaths
![Page 219: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/219.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Airport Ops
1. Bird strikes, bird activity & habitat growth reportedreported by on-site ornithology safety visitsafety visit last year
2. FOD from construction observed observed migrating to airport ramp, airlines reporting more FOD damage in industry seminarseminar
3. Air Disaster local coordination problems experiencedexperienced in communications, transportation, tasking
4. Increased hazmat employee exposure read aboutread about in trade magazine and some episodes experienced locallyexperienced locally
5. Passenger & employee minor injury increase reportedreported due to slippery floors and tripping hazards
6. Employee driving losses & vehicular damage increase mentioned mentioned byby airport medical staff
7. Airport highway construction activities due to increase without sufficient studysufficient study of alternate traffic lanes and pedestrian walk paths
![Page 220: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/220.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport Ops
![Page 221: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/221.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
![Page 222: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/222.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
![Page 223: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/223.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
![Page 224: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/224.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
![Page 225: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/225.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
![Page 226: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/226.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
June-All Employee First-aid Training
![Page 227: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/227.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
June-All Employee First-aid Training
July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication
![Page 228: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/228.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
June-All Employee First-aid Training
July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication
August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning
![Page 229: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/229.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
June-All Employee First-aid Training
July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication
August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning
September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review
![Page 230: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/230.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
June-All Employee First-aid Training
July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication
August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning
September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review
October-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Transportation
![Page 231: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/231.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
June-All Employee First-aid Training
July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication
August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning
September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review
October-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Transportation
November-All Employee Hazmat Awareness Training
![Page 232: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/232.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
June-All Employee First-aid Training
July-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication
August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning
September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review
October-Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Transportation
November-All Employee Hazmat Awareness Training
December-Access Highway Traffic & Pedestrian Safety Review
![Page 233: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/233.jpg)
Annual Safety PlanPlan for Airport OpsJanuaryJanuary- Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Alert Notification
FebruaryFebruary- All Ramp FOD Deep Cleaning
MarchMarch- All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe Training
AprilApril- Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Interagency Tasking
MayMay- Passenger Terminal Safety Inspection & Ramp Vehicle Review
JuneJune- All Employee First-aid Training
JulyJuly- Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Radio Communication
AugustAugust- All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep Cleaning
SeptemberSeptember- Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology Review
OctoberOctober- Quarterly Premishap Exercise-Transportation
NovemberNovember- All Employee Hazmat Awareness Training
DecemberDecember- Access Highway Traffic & Pedestrian Safety Review
![Page 234: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/234.jpg)
Annual Safety PlanPlan for Airport OpsJanuary-Quarterly Premishap ExerciseExercise-Alert Notification
February-All Ramp FOD Deep CleaningFOD Deep Cleaning
March-All Employee Seatbelt Drive Safe TrainingTraining
April-Quarterly Premishap Exercise Exercise-Interagency Tasking
May-Passenger Terminal Safety InspectionInspection & Ramp Vehicle ReviewReview
June-All Employee First-aid TrainingTraining
July-Quarterly Premishap ExerciseExercise-Radio Communication
August-All Airfield Grassy Area FOD Deep CleaningFOD Deep Cleaning
September-Bird Activity & Habitat Ornithology ReviewReview
October-Quarterly Premishap Exercise Exercise-Transportation
November-All Employee Hazmat Awareness TrainingTraining
December-Access Highway Traffic & Pedestrian Safety ReviewReview
![Page 235: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/235.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops
![Page 236: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/236.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops
1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system.
![Page 237: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/237.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops
1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system.
2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance.
![Page 238: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/238.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops
1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system.
2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance.
3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest.
![Page 239: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/239.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops
1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system.
2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance.
3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest.
4. Insufficient aircraft rescue and firefighting (ARFF) capability at smaller airfields, during ‘off-peak’ traffic hours, when you operate.
![Page 240: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/240.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops
1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system.
2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance.
3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest.
4. Insufficient aircraft rescue and firefighting (ARFF) capability at smaller airfields, during ‘off-peak’ traffic hours, when you operate.
5. Varying levels of regulatory safety concerning the required equipment for proposed DRVSM operations.
![Page 241: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/241.jpg)
Annual Hazard Forecast for Flight Ops
1. Lack of effective flight crew hazard reporting system.
2. Insufficient meteorological support & ATC procedures for convective weather flight ops avoidance.
3. Regulatory shortfall concerning flight duty and rest.
4. Insufficient aircraft rescue and firefighting (ARFF) capability at smaller airfields, during ‘off-peak’ traffic hours, when you operate.
5. Varying levels of regulatory safety concerning the required equipment for proposed DRVSM operations.
6. Human factors problems view as labor-management issue with cultural overtones.
![Page 242: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/242.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops
![Page 243: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/243.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops
1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system,
![Page 244: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/244.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops
1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures,
![Page 245: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/245.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops
1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures
![Page 246: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/246.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops
1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved.
![Page 247: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/247.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product,
![Page 248: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/248.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere.
![Page 249: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/249.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display
![Page 250: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/250.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures.
![Page 251: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/251.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures.
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA
![Page 252: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/252.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest.
![Page 253: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/253.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
![Page 254: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/254.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators
![Page 255: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/255.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF).
![Page 256: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/256.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall.
![Page 257: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/257.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations of your organization.
![Page 258: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/258.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations
5. Attend CAA hearings to call for “One Level Of Safety” for all DRVSM operations communication.
![Page 259: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/259.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations
5. Attend CAA hearings to call for “One Level Of Safety” for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter.
![Page 260: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/260.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations
5. Attend CAA hearings to call for “One Level Of Safety” for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter.
6. Establish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research,
![Page 261: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/261.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations
5. Attend CAA hearings to call for “One Level Of Safety” for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter.
6. Establish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research, to influence company culture
![Page 262: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/262.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations
5. Attend CAA hearings to call for “One Level Of Safety” for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletter.
6. Establish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research, to influence company culture, deemphasize human factors as management-labor issue.
![Page 263: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/263.jpg)
Annual Safety PlanPlan for Flight Ops
1. DevelopDevelop on-line hazard reporting system, with built-in response procedures, feed-back procedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. ObtainObtain on-line vendor meteorology product, accessible by flight crew anywhere Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance procedures
3. PublishPublish position paper and submit legal abstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual concerning flight duty and rest procedures.
4. Begin campaign to ChangeChange philosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot education program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service for particular scheduled operations
5. AttendAttend CAA hearings to call for “One Level Of Safety” for all DRVSM
operations communication. PublishPublish proceedings in company newsletter.
6.EstablishEstablish Human Factors Workshop based on latest human factors research, to influence company culture, deemphasize labor issue.
![Page 264: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/264.jpg)
Annual Safety Plan for Flight Ops1. Develop on-line hazard reporting systemsystem, with built-in response procedures, feed-back proceduresprocedures & live person management of hazards until resolved
2. Obtain on-line vendor meteorology productproduct, accessible by flight crew anywhere. Contact CAA ATC quality assurance manager to discuss better
convective weather ATC display & weather avoidance proceduresprocedures
3. Publish position paper and submit legal abstractsabstracts to CAA about regulations affecting flight duty and rest. Review company manual
concerning flight duty and rest proceduresprocedures.
4. Begin campaign to change philosophyphilosophy of government administrators concerning funding rescue & firefighting (ARFF). Begin pilot educationeducation program to explain ARFF shortfall. Contact local ARFF managers to improve service service for particular scheduled operations
5. Attend CAA hearings to call for “One Level Of SafetyOne Level Of Safety” for all DRVSM operations communication. Publish proceedings in company newsletternewsletter.
6. Establish Human Factors WorkshopWorkshop based on latest human factors research, to influence company culture culture, deemphasize human factors as management-labor issue.
![Page 265: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/265.jpg)
Conclusion
Charting a safe courseCharting a safe course
![Page 266: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/266.jpg)
Safety Forecast-based on hazards which are:
1. Unreported
2. Unmanaged
3. Unresolved
4. Local Affect
![Page 267: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/267.jpg)
Safety Plan
-based on Local Safety Forecast:
1. To report hazard
2. To manage hazard
3. To resolve hazard
4. To protect local assets
![Page 268: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/268.jpg)
Successful Flight Safety Program
Procedures…
![Page 269: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/269.jpg)
…
to keep one step ahead of the next big accident
![Page 270: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/270.jpg)
…lower your local accident rate to zero!
!!
!
!!
![Page 271: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/271.jpg)
Forecasting Hazards & Planning Change to meet Future Safety Challenges!
![Page 272: Forecasting Hazards & Charting a Safe Course How to Plan Changes in Flight Safety Programs to Meet Future Safety Challenges.](https://reader037.fdocuments.in/reader037/viewer/2022103015/5513d91955034674748b5099/html5/thumbnails/272.jpg)
Thank you!