For personal use only - Proactiveinvestors UK...Importantly rare earth output is “non...
Transcript of For personal use only - Proactiveinvestors UK...Importantly rare earth output is “non...
Corporate Profile• Listed on ASX since 1969, also listed on OTCQX
• Market cap $120M
• 6,100 shareholders (85% Australian)
• Multi commodity explorer, miner and developer focused on Central West of NSW
• Active in region for more than 20 years
• Developed Peak Hill Gold Mine in 1996, operated to 2005
• Tomingley Gold Mine construction underway, first gold production early 2014
• World-class Dubbo Zirconia Project (DZP) feasibility completed; environmental assessment and financing in progress
• Successful ongoing exploration
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The Dubbo Zirconia Project
• A very large* polymetallic resource of the metals zirconium (hafnium), niobium (tantalum), yttrium and rare earths
• Important and strategic metal mix, including 25% heavy rare earth
• Open pit life of at least 70 years
• Demonstrated flow sheet with pilot plant and products for market evaluation
• Robust technical and financial feasibility completed
• Strong market interest in products
• Growing and diverse markets
*resource and reserve statement appended
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Rare Metals - Rare Earths
Rare Metals – Rare Earths• China produces 90% of world
downstream zirconium chemicals
• China currently produces 95% of world REE output
• China is limiting the export of raw rare earths materials
• Brazil produces 90% of world niobium
…not so rare, but increasingly valuable
Green technology is dependent on rare metals and rare earths
Increased demand also driven by changes in legislation
China has dominant position
Yttr
ium
“po
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ed”
com
pact
fluo
ro li
ght
Heavy rare earthsLight rare earths
Rare metals
Middle
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Zirconium Industry
Fused unstabilised
zirconia72000t
Fused stabilised zirconia25000t
Chemical zirconia40000t
ZOC 50000t
Baddeleyite, 7000t
Zirconium Chemicals Output(2011 – 194,000t ZrO2 basis CAGR 10% )
• Mid 2013 consumer zircon inventories running down
• Market expected to move back into under supply 2015 - 2016
Source: Iluka, TCMS, JP Morgan © 6
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Zirconium Prices
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
3Q2010
4Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
3Q2012
4Q2012
1Q2013
US$/T
Zirconium Price Trends US$/kg
Zircon 65% ZrO2 Fused Zirconia 99.0% ZrO2
Chemical Zirconia 99.5% ZrO2 ZOC 36.0% ZrO2
• China produces 90% of world downstream zirconium chemicals
• Zircon is the primary feed for downstream industry
• Zirconium chemicals -zirconia market (estimated) • 140,000t in 2012• 240,000t by 2020
• Zircon prices, and then zirconium chemical prices will start to increase as the market stabilises in 2014
Source: TCMS © 7
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Niobium Industry/Price
• CBMM (Brazil) dominates the industry85% (80,000t) of world production in 2012
• Early 2011 a Japanese Korean consortiumacquired 15% of CBMM for US$1.95B
• September 2011 a Chinese consortiumacquired 15% of CBMM for US$1.95B
Niobium market supply
© Sources: Niobec (IAMGOLD) 9
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Niobium Industry
29%
24%
24%
10%
13%
Structural
Pipe
Auto
Stainless
Other
Current use of ferro-niobium
• 90% of Nb used in standard grade ferro-niobium for the production of highstrength low alloy (HSLA) steels
• Nb HSLA steels are primarily consumed in structural and pipe, but the autoindustry is becoming an increasing consumer
© Sources: Niobec (IAMGOLD) 10
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REE Industry
Source: IMCOA
Catalysts15%
Glass6%
Polishing15%
Metal Alloys16%
Magnets22%
Phosphors8%
Ceramics6%
Other12%
REE DEMAND 2016
• Total REE consumption 2012 115,000twith annual growth estimated at 5-10% to be 162,000t in 2016
• China produces about 90% of worldsupply and consumed about 65%,with Japan 15% and the US 14%
• The REE industry is “imbalanced” withpotential oversupply of light rareearths (Ce & La) and undersupply ofheavy rare earths
• Neodymium, europium, terbium,dysprosium and yttrium areconsidered to be in critical supplythrough to at least 2020
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REE Prices
$- $20 $40 $60 $80
$100 $120 $140 $160 $180
4Q2010
2Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
3Q2012
4Q2012
1Q2013
US$/kg
DZP LREE US$/kg
DZP LREE DZP DFS LREE Concentrate
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
4Q2010
2Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
3Q2012
4Q2012
1Q2013
US$/kg
DZP YHREE US$/kg
DZP YHREE DZP DFS YHREE Concentrate
DZP Light REE mix DZP Heavy REE mix
Source: IMCOA© 14
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DZP Process Flow Sheet
Demonstration Pilot Plant – established 2008 ANSTO – Aust. Nuclear Science & Technology Organisation Process – unique & advanced Optimization – ongoing
Simple open cut mining operation Crushing and grinding Sulphuric acid leach whole of ore Solvent extraction, separation
& refining Chemical precipitation Zirconium products Niobium products Heavy RE product Light RE product
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DZP Demonstration Pilot Plant
Operating at ANSTO since 2008
DPP Filtration, PLS, SX, Zr and Nb recovery
Zirconium refining and precipitation Reverse osmosis and water recycle
Y and HREE refining and recovery
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Zirconium (Zr) • Leading chemical company to develop applications and markets in Asia for zirconia produced by DZP
• European manufacturer/trading company to market DZP products in Europe and North America
• Ceramic colours laboratory developed in Perth produce test products for ceramic tile industry
Niobium (Nb) • European alloy manufacturer JV to produce and market ferro-niobium
• Test work for tantalum recovery
Light rare earths Heavy rare earths
• Japan’s Shin-Etsu Chemical toll treatment JV for separation and sale
DZP Pathway to Market
AZL MoU’s and Agreements to secure 100% of output
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DZP Product Output
70%
31%
9%
16%
18%
24%
4%
30%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Production RevenueZrO2 Nb metal LREO concentrate HREO concentrate
911t$149.4M
$118.7M
$81.5M
$153.9M
3,997t
1,967t
15,827t
A$503.5M22,702T
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DZP Operating Costs
Annual operation costs at 1Mtpa steady state A$214M
• Polymetallic deposit and integrated flow sheet makes it difficult to assign costs to specific products
• For total output, cost ~US$8.80/kg
• On a proportional revenue basis:Zirconium ~US$ 3.90/kgNiobium ~US$16.20/kgLREE ~US$11.45/kgHREE ~US$68.66/kg
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DZP Feasibility Study
DUBBO ZIRCONIA PROJECT
Financial Summary for 20 year life in A$
Project Capacity 1,000,000 tonnes pa
Capex – Plant $396.8M
Sulphuric Acid Plant $116.6M
Infrastructure + Owners $253.4M
SUB TOTAL $766.8M
EPCM $63.5M
Contingency (20%) $166.1M
TOTAL $996.4M
Annual Revenue $503.5M
Annual Operating Costs $213.5M
Annual EBITDA $290.0M
IRR* 19.3%
NPV* $1,235M
* 20 year life, pre-tax, 8% discount rate
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DZP Infrastructure
• 20km from Dubbo (43,000 pop)
• Access to skilled local labour
• 250 permanent workforce
• Access to State power and gas
• Land and water being secured
• Waste to be stored onsite
• EIS to be lodged June 2013
• Production expected Q1 2016
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DZP EnvironmentAlkane has a 25 year history of sustainable mine management
EIS addresses all environmental aspects
Water• 70% recycle of process water currently achievable• Limited groundwater aquifers – minimal impact• Water secured from existing water licences
Power• The sulphuric acid plant will generate (cogen) about 70% of power onsite
Fauna • Farming/industry co-habitation: Sheep/cattle farming across available farming land• Endangered species identified and potential impacts mitigated
Naturally occurring radioactive material (NORM)• Waste salts remain onsite and contains less radioactivity than ore.
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DZP Community Inclusion
Community involvement is core to our work• Regular community consultation’s and newsletters
• RTO’s invited to Alkane demonstration pilot plant to discuss job training/planning
• Community feedback and discussion encouraged
• Local aboriginal community engaged
• Local MP and Council very supportive
• Employment will be sourced locally
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DZP Financing
• $1 billion DZP finance package being arranged by:o Credit Suisse (Australia)o Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporationo Petra Capital
• Finance sources:o Possible sale of a strategic minority stake in DZPo International Government funding (ECA)o Commercial debt facilityo Public equity raising
• 12 months timeline
• Coincides with final project approvals, allowing construction to commence in Q2 2014.
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DZP Major Milestones
Major Milestones 2013 2014 2015 2016
Environmental Impact Statement
Project Approval Process
Project Financing Program
EPC / EPCM tender award
Detailed design / Long lead orders
CONSTRUCTION
PRODUCTION
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Financial
Shares – 372,539,000 Market Capitalisation – A$120M (21 June 2013) Cash & Investments – A$120M (31 May 2013) 2012 Financials
Revenue A$96.7M Profit A$66.5M Earnings per share A$0.19 Net Assets A$236.4M
Debt – nil Share turnover – ~0.5M / day current 12 Month Low/High – A$0.28/$1.14 Top 20 – 58% Codes – ALK (ASX)
– ANLKY (OTCQX )
Equity
Major Shareholder: Abbotsleigh (Gandel Metals) – 25%Fidelity Investments – 5%
Financial and Equity
As at 30 April 2013
Source: ASX ALK v LYC
Domestic Institutions 20%
Foreign Institutions 14%
Directors and management
26%
Retail and others 34%
Hedge Funds 6%
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• Cash flow from Tomingley Gold Project early 2014 - $20-25Mpa at current spot gold
• This cash flow supports all Alkane’s activities and provides DZP funding options
• Dubbo Zirconia Project – strategically important zirconia and heavy rare earth production
• Large & diverse resource (80+ years life) – zirconium, niobium and rare earths. Importantly rare earth output is “non-impacting” accommodated by current demand
• Proven flowsheet (5 years demonstration plant)
• Strategic partners for financing and product off-take
• DZP Operational in 2016
• Substantial cashflows - $250Mpa (based on 20 year DFS) 2017
The Bottom Line
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Dubbo Zirconia Project
www.alkane.com.au
View a video summarizing the DZP at: http://www.alkane.com.au/index.php/media-centre/videos
The DZP is a world class project providing a strategic and alternate supply of zirconium, niobium and rare earths for rapidly developing international
“Future Metal” markets for many years.
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Disclaimer
DisclaimerThis presentation contains certain forward looking statements and forecasts, including possible or assumed reserves and resources, production levels and rates, costs, prices, future performance or potential growth of Alkane Resources Ltd, industry growth or other trend projections. Such statements are not a guarantee of future performance and involve unknown risks and uncertainties, as well as other factors which are beyond the control of Alkane Resources Ltd. Actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed of implied by these forward looking statements depending on a variety of factors. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities.
This document has been prepared in accordance with the requirements of Australian securities laws, which may differ from the requirements of United States and other country securities laws. Unless otherwise indicated, all ore reserve and mineral resource estimates included or incorporated by reference in this document have been, and will be, prepared in accordance with the JORC classification system of the Australasian Institute of Mining, and Metallurgy and Australian Institute of Geosciences.
Competent PersonThe information in this presentation that relates to mineral exploration, mineral resources and ore reserves is based on information compiled by Mr D I Chalmers, FAusIMM, FAIG, (director of the Company) has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. Ian Chalmers consents to the inclusion in the presentation of the matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears.
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DZP Resource & Reserves
These Mineral Resources are based upon information compiled by Mr Terry Ransted MAusIMM (Alkane Chief Geologist) who is a competent person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. Terry Ransted consents to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears. The full details of methodology were given in the 2004 Annual Report.
Toongi Tonnage ZrO2 HfO2 Nb2O5 Ta2O5 Y2O3 REO
Deposit (Mt) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)Measured 35.70 1.96 0.04 0.46 0.03 0.14 0.75
Inferred 37.50 1.96 0.04 0.46 0.03 0.14 0.75
Total 73.20 1.96 0.04 0.46 0.03 0.14 0.75
Dubbo Zirconia Project – Mineral Resources
Dubbo Zirconia Project – Ore Reserves
Toongi Tonnage ZrO2 HfO2 Nb2O5 Ta2O5 Y2O3 REODeposit (Mt) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)Proved 8.07 1.91 0.04 0.46 0.03 0.14 0.75
Probable 27.86 1.93 0.04 0.46 0.03 0.14 0.74
Total 35.93 1.93 0.04 0.46 0.03 0.14 0.74
These Ore Reserves are based upon information compiled by Mr Terry Ransted MAusIMM (Alkane Chief Geologist) who is a competent person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the Australasian Code for Reporting ofExploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. The reserves were calculated at a1.5% combined ZrO2+Nb2O5+Y2O3+REO cut off using costs and revenues defined in the notes in ASX Announcementof16 November 2011. Terry Ransted consents to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears.
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