For personal use only - ASX · • Iftt CERRADO CROP BELT Infrastructure Land position of ~ 580,000...
Transcript of For personal use only - ASX · • Iftt CERRADO CROP BELT Infrastructure Land position of ~ 580,000...
DISCLAIMERDISCLAIMER
This document has been prepared as a summary only, and does not contain all information about the Company’s assets and liabilities, financialposition and performance, profits and losses, prospects and the rights and liabilities attaching to the Company’s securities. This document should beread in conjunction with any public announcements and reports (including financial reports and disclosure documents) released by Aquia ResourcesLimited. The securities issued by the Company are considered speculative and there is no guarantee that they will make a return on the capitalinvested, that dividends will be paid on the Shares or that there will be an increase in the value of the Shares in the future. Further details on riskfactors associated with the Company’s operations and its securities are contained in the Company’s prospectuses and other relevant announcementsto the Australian Securities Exchange.
Some of the statements contained in this release are forward-looking statements. Forward looking statements include but are not limited to, statementsconcerning estimates of tonnages, expected costs, statements relating to the continued advancement of the Company’s projects and other statementswhich are not historical facts When used in this document and on other published information of the Company the words such as “aim” “could”which are not historical facts. When used in this document, and on other published information of the Company, the words such as aim , could ,“estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “may”, “potential”, “should” and similar expressions are forward-looking statements.
Although the company believes that its expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, such statements involve risk anduncertainties and no assurance can be given that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. Various factors could causeactual results to differ from these forward-looking statements include the potential that the Company’s projects may experience technical, geological,
ll i l d h i l bl h i d i d h i k i i d b h C di l d i h C ’metallurgical and mechanical problems, changes in product prices and other risks not anticipated by the Company or disclosed in the Company’spublished material.
The Company does not purport to give financial or investment advice. No account has been taken of the objectives, financial situation or needs of anyrecipient of this document. Recipients of this document should carefully consider whether the securities issued by the Company are an appropriateinvestment for them in light of their personal circumstances, including their financial and taxation position.g p , g p
Competent Persons Statement
The information in this report that relates to Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves is based on information compiled by Dr FernandoTallarico who is a member of the Association of professional Geoscientists Ontario. Dr Tallarico is a full-time employee of Aquia Resources Limited. DrTallarico has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he isTallarico has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he isundertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, MineralResources and Ore Reserves (“JORC Code”). Dr Tallarico consents to the inclusion in this report of the matters based on his information in the formand context in which it appears.
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COMPANYCOMPANY OVERVIEWOVERVIEW
■ 100% OWNERSHIP OF POTASH AND
PHOSPHATE PROJECTS BRAZILPHOSPHATE PROJECTS, BRAZIL■ Three potentially large-scale projects located
close to primary markets and infrastructure
• Atlantic Potash Project
✔Adjacent to Brazil’s only operating potash mine
✔300 drill holes and 32 000km of 2D seismic✔300 drill holes and 32,000km of 2D seismic
✔ Experience in potash mine and development
✔Drilling to commence May 2011
• Mata da Corda Phosphate Project
✔Outstanding surface results up to 23.1% P2O5 , Excellent mineralogical results
• Lucena Phosphate ProjectLucena Phosphate Project
✔Exploration target of 40-50Mt @ grade of 10-14% P2O51 , Drilling forecast 2nd Qtr 2011
■ Strong Board, management and Highly experienced in-country technical team based in Brazil
1 The statement referring to the potential quantity and grade of the target is based on the results of historical exploration activities undertaken by CPRM during the 1960’s to 1980’s, including 47 drill holes of which 22 drill holes within the project and immediate surrounds returned mineralisation. The potential tonnage range and average grade is conceptual in nature and insufficient work has been completed to report a Mineral Resource in accordance with the JORC Code (2004). It is uncertain if further exploration work will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource.
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EXECUTIVES AND MANAGEMENTEXECUTIVES AND MANAGEMENT
Executives ManagementC Paulo Souza - General Manager - PotashTony Wonnacott - Non-Executive Chairman
– Securities Lawyer and M&A Consultant– Over 15 years experience as a consultant or officer of several
resource companies. Has been involved with a number of successful IPOs and M&A transactions as well as over
Paulo Souza General Manager Potash– Key engineer involved in the design and development of
Vale’s Carnallite Project and Pilot Plant
– Experienced Mining Engineer with 26 years in mine planning and operation, with Vale, Rio Tinto and otherssuccessful IPOs and M&A transactions, as well as over
CAD$3 billion in capital raises
Simon Taylor - Managing Director– Founding Director of Aguia and geologist with 18 years
exploration development and operational experience in the
and operation, with Vale, Rio Tinto and others
– Conducted diverse projects for potash, copper, nickel and iron ore as a Certified Project Management Professional
Allan Pickett - Fertilizer Professionalexploration, development and operational experience in the resources sector.
– Corporate experience as a resource analyst with a major focus on the phosphate sector.
Dr Fernando Tallarico Technical Director
– 15 years with British Sulphur Consultants, the fertilizer and chemical division of CRU International Ltd
– Direct experience with fertiliser producers, blenders and end-user globally.
Dr. Fernando Tallarico - Technical Director – 19 years experience in exploration. Exploration Manager for
BHP Diamond South America. – Project generation in Brazil for Noranda, Falconbridge, and
part of the exploration crew that discovered the Araguaia Ni-
John Sinden - Phosphate Processing Engineer– Renowned consultant engineer with more than 45 years in
the field of phosphate processing– Considered a leading phosphate rock to acid specialistp p g
Laterite deposit.
Graham Ascough - Non-Executive Director – Over 21 years exploration experience evaluating resource
projects globally.
– Previous work in the fertilizer manufacturing industry
Thiago Bastos Bonás - Resource Geologist – 6 years as Mine & Exploration Geologist working for BUNGE
Fertilizantes (now Vale) for the phosphate deposits of Cajati-p j g y– Includes Australian Manager for major Canadian resources
house, Falconbridge Ltd (acquired by Xstrata in 2006) and on-ground experience in Brazil.
( ) p p p jSP, Araxá-MG and Anitápolis-SC.
– 3 years as Service Manager for Gemcom of Brazil and as Resource Geologist for SRK Consulting.
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE & CORPORATECAPITAL STRUCTURE & CORPORATE
March 2011 Post-TransactionMarch 2011 Post Transaction
Ordinary Shares (ASX: AGR) 60.7M 60.7M
Potash Vendor Shares (12 month escrow) 20 0MPotash Vendor Shares (12 month escrow) 20.0M
Capital Raising (???$) 25.0M
Total Shares 60.7M 105.7M
Market cap (undiluted @ $1.09) $66.2M $115.2M
Cash (@ Completion) $5.0M $30.0M
Enterprise Value $85.2M
Unlisted Options 11.0M 12.5M
Total Performance Shares Phosphate(conversion milestones: 30Mt, 70Mt @10% P2O5 JORC) 40.0M 40.0M@ 2 5 )Total Performance Shares Potash (conversion milestones: 100Mt, 200Mt @10% KCl JORC) 80.0M
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THE OPPORTUNITY THE OPPORTUNITY ––WHY BRAZIL WHY BRAZIL
■ 4th largest cons mer of fertili er b t acco nts for onl
An agricultural power house■ 4th largest consumer of fertilizer but accounts for only
4% of global fertilizer production. In 2008 country accounted for 8.5% (3.2Mt) of world’s P2O5 and 12.9% (6.5Mt) of world’s KCL consumption and growing. ( ) p g g
■ Brazil is an advanced economy, 11th largest exchange globally (by market capitalisation) (Australia 10th) andglobally (by market capitalisation) (Australia 10 ) and attracts substantial investment from North America and Europe.
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THE OPPORTUNITY THE OPPORTUNITY ––CUSTOMERS, MARKETSCUSTOMERS, MARKETS,,
LUCENA PHOSPHATE
ATLANTIC POTASH PHOSPHATE
■ All projects are in mining friendly jurisdictions and are
POTASH
located close to:
• Potential domestic primary customers
• Major fertiliser blenders
• I f t tCERRADO CROP BELT
• Infrastructure
■ Land position of ~ 580,000 hectares.
MATA DA CORDA
■ 3 year and 5 year exclusivity periods on further phosphate and
MATA DA CORDA PHOSPHATE
potash acquisitions in Brazil
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PROJECT HIGHLIGHTSPROJECT HIGHLIGHTS
The Potash Atlantico Project Located in the attractive Sergipe potash basing p p Adjacent to Brazil’s only operating potash mine Project supported by 300 drill holes and 32,000 km of
existing 2D seismic data Initial target resource potential of 0.7-1.5 billion tonnesg p
of carnallite at ~12% KCl grade1
The Project Is Substantially De-Risked It will use proven technology (solution mining) supported
b E lby Ercosplan Close to infrastructure – power, gas, road, port facilities
AND FERTILISER CUSTOMERS Vale is developing a 1.2Mtpa carnallite solution mining project adjacent to the Potash Atlantico project
d h tl i d li i i t l liand has recently received preliminary environmental license. Management designed and developed Vale’s Carnallite Project and Pilot Plant nearby
Work Underway Drilling of first 5 holes to commence in May 2011Drilling of first 5 holes to commence in May 2011 Drilling target locations selected based on large seismic database and historical drilling Drilling Environmental Licensing process in progress Gas contract and off-take agreements are being developed Targeting a N43-101/JORC Resource by end 2011Targeting a N43 101/JORC Resource by end 2011.
1.This is a conceptual resource estimate and will need exploration drilling to confirm potential size, the estimate is based on suitable size to enable commercial project economics and historical data obtained from the CPRM including over 300 drill holes and 32,000 km of 2D seismic data. The potential tonnage range and average grade is conceptual in nature and insufficient work has been completed to report a Mineral Resource in accordance with the JORC Code (2004). It is uncertain if further exploration work will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource.
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INFRASTRUCTURE INFRASTRUCTURE IN PLACEIN PLACE
Aracaju Aerial View
Taquari-Vassouras Mine-Vale
Carnallite Pilot Plant-Vale
Carnallite Pilot Plant - Vale
Power Sub StationPower Station Jardim - CHESF
Aracaju Port
PROJECTS
Power Sub-Station
Off Take Partners in Region
Power Station Jardim CHESF
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EXCEPTIONAL DISCOVERYEXCEPTIONAL DISCOVERY POTENTIALPOTENTIAL
ALAGOASALAGOAS
Sergipe Potash Basin Potash associated with Low Gravity Regions
PAC t l 44 it 68 700 h PAC controls 44 permits ~68,700 ha
VALE IS DEVELOPING A SOLUTION MINING OPERATION ON ADJACENT PROPERTY
Alagoas Potash Basin Unexplored Basin Low Gravity Region Similar to Taquari Mine
SERGIPESERGIPE
q Atlantic controls 63 permits ~110,500 ha
VALE
PAC
100 km
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REGIONAL GRAVITY REGIONAL GRAVITY AND DRILLING DATAAND DRILLING DATA
Taquari Vassouras Mine Vale Historical exploration dataTaquari-Vassouras Mine - ValeUnderground / Room and Pillar
700,000t KCl paAssociated to Bull’s-eyes Gravity Low
■ Historical exploration data obtained from Brazilian Geological Survey
■ Petroleum exploration and production data – more than 300 wells analyzed
■ Seismic data – basin is well covered with public 2D
PAC Claims
covered with public 2D seismic data (2D lines-32,000 km)
Cover Similar Gravity LowsWith Oil Exploration Wells That
Intercepted PotashVale Mining Permit
Oil Exploration Wells
PAC Claims
Potash Claims Generally(Talon, MBAC, MMX)F
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SERGIPE BASIN SERGIPE BASIN ––WELL HOLE ANALYSISWELL HOLE ANALYSIS
Taquari-Vassouras Mine - Vale
PAC Potash ProjectsF
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AREA 1 AREA 1 –– EVALUATED WELLSEVALUATED WELLS
CARNALLITE
WELL: 1CSM 0001 SE
CARNALLITE
HALITEDEPTHDEPTH
ANHYDRITE
SAND
SHALE
SAND
LIMESTONE
TACHYDRITETACHYDRITE
25 m * Well: 1CSM 0001 SE
and 1RPX 0001D SE within project area,
SONIC
CALIPER
SONIC
GAMMA RAY
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SEISMIC AND NEW WELLS LOCATIONSEISMIC AND NEW WELLS LOCATION
S i i Li 0027 1800Seismic Line 0027-1800
POTASH TARGET ZONE
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TECHNICAL REVIEWTECHNICAL REVIEWSOLUTION MINING PROCESSSOLUTION MINING PROCESS
Two wells drilled 70m apart are drilled to salt layer
Solution Mining Process for Carnallite KClPlant
Two wells drilled ~70m apart are drilled to salt layer. Hot water (85°c) pumped into salt layer, to dissolve salt into brine. Brine extracted, and two caverns develop. Caverns merge into one large cavern. Water then pumped down through one well, and brine extracted
Overburden
CavernWater then pumped down through one well, and brine extracted from the second well.
Each cavern lasts between 2 and 3 years. Multiple wells connected on the surface to the processing plant. Carnallite brine separated into KCl and MgCl using established
t h l
Rock Salt
Carnallite
Production Wells
technology.
Target steady state production of 1 000 000 tpa KCl
SERGIPE Key Project Metrics
Rock Salt
Rock Salt
Target steady state production of ~1,000,000 tpa KCl Proven technology for brine production and processing
• Engineering studies supplied by Ercosplan Main consumables locally available – natural gas and electric power Reduced time to production < 6 years including exploration
Carnallite
Dual WellSolution Mining
Technique
Reduced time to production – < 6 years including exploration• Project substantially de-risked by Vale’s Carnalitta Project
Allows extraction of deeper potash deposits• KCl horizons in Sergipe are between 1,500
and 1,800mand 1,800m Well positioned to dispose of residual brine off-shore
• Vale already permitted
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PROJECT ECONOMICSPROJECT ECONOMICSILLUSTRATIVE ANALYSIS ILLUSTRATIVE ANALYSIS
Assumptions – For illustrative purposes only, not based on actual project studies2 based on 1 25 Bt resource = 25 year mine lifestudies2, based on 1.25 Bt resource = 25 year mine life
Investment (US$ million) 850
Brine Field OPEX (US$ / t) 35.0
Beneficiation Plant OPEX (US$ / t) 93.0
Annual Production (t) 1,000,000
Commodity Price Assumption
Sales Price (US$ / t) 5001
Illustrative NPV Calculation
Notes:1 A k f t f thi j t i th t i dditi t th i i f i ht d t h dli t d t id
Illustrative NPV Calculation
NPV @10.0% discount rate (US$ million) 895
1. A key feature of this project is that, in addition to the savings in freight and port handling costs versus producers outsideBrazil, consumers are currently prepared to pay a premium for the convenience of having the service associated with alocal supplier. Any future prices are speculative, however PAC believes a long-term real price of $500 to be realistic basedon current and forecast market conditions.
2 Due to the highly prospective nature of the Brazilian exploration opportunity and the absence of any detailed technical2. Due to the highly prospective nature of the Brazilian exploration opportunity and the absence of any detailed technicalstudies, assessments of the value of the Brazilian opportunity are highly speculative and unreliable. The analysis aboverelies on assumptions that are not based on any detailed technical or economic evaluations of the project and are providedfor illustrative purposes only.
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MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT WORK PLAN TIMELINEWORK PLAN TIMELINE
Management has prepared the timeline below for purposes of planning work around the Brazilian explorationopportunity. This timeline is not based on a detailed assessment of the project requirements and is subjectto material revision when technical reports and/or feasibility studies, if any, are completed for the project.
POTASH ATLANTICO PROJECT 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
RESOURCES INVESTIGATION
to ate a e s o e tec ca epo ts a d/o eas b ty stud es, a y, a e co p eted o t e p oject
Analysis of available information
Drilling / Analysis / Modeling
ENVIRONMENTAL PERMITTING
6 months (Dec 2010)
8 months (Dec 2011)
Drilling License
EIA-RIMA for Industrial Project
Apr 2011
12 months (Jun 2012)
Preliminary / Installation Licenses
ENGINEERING STUDIES
NI 43-101 Final Report
LI-Dec 2013LP-Dec 2012
18 months (Jun 2013)
Conceptual Studies
Feasibility Studies
D t il d E i i
6 months (Feb 2012)
12 months (Dec 2012)
15 months (Jan 2014)Detailed Engineering
Construction/Commissioning/Start-up 30 months Start-upJun 2016
15 months (Jan 2014)
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PEER COMPARISON PEER COMPARISON -- POTASHPOTASH
Company Code Location EV Diluted ($M) Status
Global Resource Grade KCl
(%)($M) (mt) (%)
South Boulder Mines STB:ASX Eritrea $501 Expl/Devel 548 18.58
Potash One KCL:TSX Saskatchewan $417 Developer 3,961 27.10
Elemental ELM:ASX ROC $356 Exploration 235 23 30Elemental ELM:ASX ROC $356 Exploration 235 23.30
Allana Potash AAA:TSX Ethiopia $269 Exploration 105 20.80
Mag Minerals MAA:TSX ROC $113 Developer 1402 17.22
Aguia Resources AGR:ASX Brazil $73 Exploration N/A N/A
1,000
1,200
$500
$600EV Diluted (A$m) LHS
MI & I Contained KCl (Mt) RHS
400
600
800
$200
$300
$400
ned K
CL (M
t)
lute
d (A$
m)
STB: ASX
KCL: TSX
ELM: ASX
AAA: TSX
AMZ: TSX
MAA: TSX
AGR: ASX
0
200
$0
$100
$
Cont
ain
EV D
i
Source- Figures and Graph -Taylor Collison
EV Diluted (A$m) LHS $501 $417 $356 $269 $209 $113 $73MI & I Contained KCl (Mt) RHS 102 Mt 1073 Mt 55 Mt 22 Mt 0 Mt 241 Mt 0 Mt
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MATA DA CORDA INFRASTRUCTUREMATA DA CORDA INFRASTRUCTURE
■ Located within 100km of the three largest gphosphate mines in Brazil and near 32 major bulk blenders
■ Excellent infrastructure, roads, power, water
■ 250km west of Belo■ 250km west of Belo Horizonte, State capital and Aguia office
■On main transportation■On main transportation route for expanding agricultural districts of Mato Grasso Brazil
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MATA DA CORDA MATA DA CORDA –– BLOCK 5 BLOCK 5
BLOCK 5
Favourable mineralogy.
Easy access and cost effective drill testing.
Potential to host a near surface large tonnage phosphate deposit.
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LUCENA PROJECTLUCENA PROJECT
■ Aguia has ~ 75,000 ha along the northern sector of the Paraiba basin within the same geological setting where the Brazilian Geological Survey (CPRM ) has discovered
l h h t d itseveral phosphate deposits
■ Limited work since the historical government program
■ Cabedelo port facilities can be accessed via 65 km of paved roads
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LUCENA SOUTH TARGETSLUCENA SOUTH TARGETS
■ CPRM discovered shallow phosphate■ CPRM discovered shallow phosphate mineralisation up to 22% P205 in several deposits to the west
■ Phosphate mineralisation is hosted by a limestone unit (Gramame Formation) that extends through project towards the east.
■ Desktop modelling outlines large areas for shallow drill testing. DRILLING
TARGETS ■ Drilling scheduled for 2nd Qtr 2011.
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APPENDIX 1APPENDIX 1COMMERCIAL COMMERCIAL TERMS OF TERMS OF ACQUISITIONACQUISITION
Acquisition of projects will occur by Aguia acquiring 100% of Potassio do Atlantico Ltda. Potassio is a 100% owned subsidiary of Potash Atlantico Corp (PAC), a private company associated within the Forbes & Manhattan Group.
Commercial terms of the acquisition which is subject to approval by Aguia shareholders Commercial terms of the acquisition, which is subject to approval by Aguia shareholders, include the issue of:
• 20 million ordinary shares at settlement• 20 million ordinary shares upon achieving proof of concept drill intersections, grade KCLy p g p p , g• 30 million ordinary shares upon achieving 100Mt mineral resource• 30 million ordinary shares upon achieving 200Mt mineral resource
Subject to shareholder approval, Aguia will undertake a placement of at least $15 million to fund initial working capital on the projects.
Forbes & Manhattan Inc. is a private merchant bank based in Toronto, Canada with offices and operations internationally. Extremely successful track record of identifying high quality assets in the resource sector and advancing them from discovery through to production. Currently over 25 companies in the group, with a combined market capitalisation of approximately $2 billion. p g p, p pp y $
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