FOOT LOCKER INC - TheStreet...FOOT LOCKER INC NYSE: FL July 19, 2015 BUY HOLD SELL BUY RATING SINCE...
Transcript of FOOT LOCKER INC - TheStreet...FOOT LOCKER INC NYSE: FL July 19, 2015 BUY HOLD SELL BUY RATING SINCE...
FOOT LOCKER INCFLNYSE:
July 19, 2015
BUY HOLD SELL
BUYBUYBUYBUYBUYRATING SINCE 04/07/2010
TARGET PRICE $91.78A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
Annual Dividend Rate$1.00
Annual Dividend Yield1.43%
Beta1.11
Market Capitalization$9.7 Billion
52-Week Range$47.11-$71.00
Price as of 7/16/2015$69.93
Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Sub-Industry: Apparel Retail Source: S&P
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracyor makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved.
PAGE 1Report Date: July 19, 2015
FL BUSINESS DESCRIPTIONFoot Locker, Inc. operates as an athletic shoes and
apparel retailer. The company operates in two
segments, Athletic Stores and Direct-to-Customers.
STOCK PERFORMANCE (%)
3 Mo. 1 Yr. 3 Yr (Ann)
Price Change 15.11 45.08 28.66
GROWTH (%)
Last Qtr 12 Mo. 3 Yr CAGR
Revenues 2.56 6.88 7.78
Net Income 13.58 19.64 20.21
EPS 17.27 22.95 22.70
RETURN ON EQUITY (%)
FL Ind Avg S&P 500
Q1 2015 21.21 32.09 13.71
Q1 2014 17.47 24.35 14.43
Q1 2013 16.44 19.80 13.15
P/E COMPARISON
18.65
FL
25.80
Ind Avg
21.40
S&P 500
EPS ANALYSIS¹ ($)
2015
Q1
1.29
2014
Q4
1.01
Q3
0.82
Q2
0.63
Q1
1.10
2013
Q4
0.81
Q3
0.70
Q2
0.44
Q1
0.90
NA = not available NM = not meaningful
1 Compustat fiscal year convention is used for all fundamentaldata items.
Weekly Price: (US$) SMA (50) SMA (100) 2 Years1 Year
2013 2014 2015
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
TARGET PRICE $91.78TARGET PRICE $91.78TARGET PRICE $91.78TARGET PRICE $91.78TARGET PRICE $91.78
Rating History
BUY
0
25Volume in Millions
COMPUSTAT for Price and Volume, TheStreet Ratings, Inc. for Rating History
RECOMMENDATIONWe rate FOOT LOCKER INC (FL) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures,
which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be
seen in multiple areas, such as its solid stock price performance, impressive record of earnings per share
growth, increase in net income, revenue growth and largely solid financial position with reasonable debt
levels by most measures. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows weak operating
cash flow.
HIGHLIGHTSInvestors have apparently begun to recognize positive factors similar to those we have mentioned in this
report, including earnings growth. This has helped drive up the company's shares by a sharp 45.08% over the
past year, a rise that has exceeded that of the S&P 500 Index. Regarding the stock's future course, although
almost any stock can fall in a broad market decline, FL should continue to move higher despite the fact that it
has already enjoyed a very nice gain in the past year.
FOOT LOCKER INC has improved earnings per share by 17.3% in the most recent quarter compared to the
same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth
over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, FOOT LOCKER
INC increased its bottom line by earning $3.56 versus $2.85 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an
improvement in earnings ($4.02 versus $3.56).
The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has greatly exceeded that of the S&P 500, but is
less than that of the Specialty Retail industry average. The net income increased by 13.6% when compared to
the same quarter one year prior, going from $162.00 million to $184.00 million.
Despite its growing revenue, the company underperformed as compared with the industry average of 8.9%.
Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 2.6%. Growth in the company's revenue
appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
FL's debt-to-equity ratio is very low at 0.05 and is currently below that of the industry average, implying that
there has been very successful management of debt levels.
FOOT LOCKER INCFLNYSE:
July 19, 2015
Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Apparel Retail Source: S&P
Annual Dividend Rate
$1.00Annual Dividend Yield
1.43%Beta
1.11Market Capitalization
$9.7 Billion52-Week Range
$47.11-$71.00Price as of 7/16/2015
$69.93
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracyor makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved.
PAGE 2Report Date: July 19, 2015
PEER GROUP ANALYSIS
REVENUE GROWTH AND EBITDA MARGIN*
EBITDA Margin (TTM)
Rev
enue
Gro
wth
(TTM
)
0%45
%
20%8%
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE TJXTJXTJXTJXTJXURBNURBNURBNURBNURBN
AEOAEOAEOAEOAEO
MWMWMWMWMW
DSWDSWDSWDSWDSW
LBLBLBLBLB
CHSCHSCHSCHSCHSASNAASNAASNAASNAASNA
ROSTROSTROSTROSTROST
GPSGPSGPSGPSGPSFLFLFLFLFL
Companies with higher EBITDA margins and
revenue growth rates are outperforming companies
with lower EBITDA margins and revenue growth
rates. Companies for this scatter plot have a market
capitalization between $2.3 Billion and $47.2 Billion.
Companies with NA or NM values do not appear.
*EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation andAmortization.
REVENUE GROWTH AND EARNINGS YIELD
Earnings Yield (TTM)
Rev
enue
Gro
wth
(TTM
)
0%45
%
8%-1%
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE TJXTJXTJXTJXTJXURBNURBNURBNURBNURBN
AEOAEOAEOAEOAEO
MWMWMWMWMW
DSWDSWDSWDSWDSWLBLBLBLBLB
CHSCHSCHSCHSCHSASNAASNAASNAASNAASNA
ROSTROSTROSTROSTROST
GPSGPSGPSGPSGPS
FLFLFLFLFL
Companies that exhibit both a high earnings yield
and high revenue growth are generally more
attractive than companies with low revenue growth
and low earnings yield. Companies for this scatter
plot have revenue growth rates between 0.2% and
41%. Companies with NA or NM values do not
appear.
INDUSTRY ANALYSISThe specialty retail industry includes very well-known home improvement, apparel, automotive, and other
narrow-focus stores such as Home Depot (HD), TJX Companies (TJX), Lowe’s Companies (LOW), Gap (GPS),
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Ross Stores (ROST), Limited Brands (LTD), O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY), PetSmart
(PETM), Carmax (KMX), and Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW).
The variety of product focuses targeted by specialty retail companies is very diverse. These include but are
not limited to home improvement goods, pharmaceutical & beauty, shoes, electronics, and office supplies.
Also included are stores narrowly focused on music, books, wine, games, rentals, vitamins, lumber, sporting
goods, toys, jewelry, and fashion apparel for men, women, and teddy bears.
Some of the larger specialty retail companies also profit from the extension of credit to their customers with
branded credit cards.
Companies in this industry are judged based on the metric of same-store sales, a measurement that shows if
stores open for more than one year are increasing top line revenue or shrinking.
PEER GROUP: Specialty Retail
Recent Market Price/ Net Sales Net Income
Ticker Price ($)Company Name Cap ($M) Earnings TTM ($M) TTM ($M)
FL 69.93FOOT LOCKER INC 9,741 18.65 7,199.00 542.00
TJX 69.37TJX COMPANIES INC 47,198 21.68 29,452.87 2,235.41
URBN 36.10URBAN OUTFITTERS INC 4,626 21.36 3,375.78 227.73
AEO 18.31AMERN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC 3,578 31.03 3,336.26 105.51
MW 62.35MENS WEARHOUSE INC 3,013 NM 3,507.16 -6.50
DSW 33.34DSW INC 2,699 18.52 2,552.63 162.03
LB 84.50L BRANDS INC 24,671 22.24 11,575.00 1,135.00
CHS 16.01CHICOS FAS INC 2,295 42.13 2,686.95 57.28
ASNA 13.87ASCENA RETAIL GROUP INC 2,261 22.37 4,815.50 102.30
ROST 52.96ROSS STORES INC 21,914 22.83 11,299.23 963.02
GPS 38.09GAP INC 15,897 13.32 16,318.00 1,241.00
The peer group comparison is based on Major Apparel Retail companies of comparable size.
FOOT LOCKER INCFLNYSE:
July 19, 2015
Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Apparel Retail Source: S&P
Annual Dividend Rate
$1.00Annual Dividend Yield
1.43%Beta
1.11Market Capitalization
$9.7 Billion52-Week Range
$47.11-$71.00Price as of 7/16/2015
$69.93
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracyor makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved.
PAGE 3Report Date: July 19, 2015
COMPANY DESCRIPTIONFoot Locker, Inc. operates as an athletic shoes and
apparel retailer. The company operates in two segments,
Athletic Stores and Direct-to-Customers. The Athletic
Stores segment retails athletic footwear, apparel,
accessories, and equipment under various formats,
including Foot Locker, Lady Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker,
Champs Sports, Footaction, and SIX:02, as well as
Runners Point, and Sidestep. As of January 31, 2015, it
operated 3,423 primarily mall-based stores in the United
States, Canada, Europe, Australia, and New Zealand.
The Direct-to-Customers segment sell athletic footwear,
apparel, equipment, team licensed products, and
private-label merchandise through Internet Websites,
mobile sites, and catalogs. This segment operates sites
for eastbay.com, final-score.com, eastbayteamsales.com,
footlocker.com, ladyfootlocker.com, six02.com
kidsfootlocker.com, footaction.com, footlocker.ca,
footlocker.eu, and champssports.com, as well as for
runnerspoint.com, sidestep-shoes.com, and sp24.com.
The company also provides franchise licenses to operate
its Foot Locker stores in the Middle East and the
Republic of Korea; and Runners Point and Sidestep
stores in Germany and Switzerland. It operates 78
franchised stores. The company was founded in 1879
and is headquartered in New York, New York.
FOOT LOCKER INC
112 West 34th Street
New York, NY 10120
USA
Phone: 212-720-3700
http://www.footlocker-inc.com
STOCK-AT-A-GLANCEBelow is a summary of the major fundamental and technical factors we consider when determining our
overall recommendation of FL shares. It is provided in order to give you a deeper understanding of our rating
methodology as well as to paint a more complete picture of a stock's strengths and weaknesses. It is
important to note, however, that these factors only tell part of the story. To gain an even more comprehensive
understanding of our stance on the stock, these factors must be assessed in combination with the stock’s
valuation. Please refer to our Valuation section on page 5 for further information.
FACTOR SCORE
Growth out of 5 stars5.0Measures the growth of both the company's income statement and
cash flow. On this factor, FL has a growth score better than 90% of the
stocks we rate.
weak strong
Total Return out of 5 stars5.0Measures the historical price movement of the stock. The stock
performance of this company has beaten 90% of the companies we
cover.
weak strong
Efficiency out of 5 stars4.5Measures the strength and historic growth of a company's return on
invested capital. The company has generated more income per dollar of
capital than 80% of the companies we review.
weak strong
Price volatility out of 5 stars5.0Measures the volatility of the company's stock price historically. The
stock is less volatile than 90% of the stocks we monitor.
weak strong
Solvency out of 5 stars4.5Measures the solvency of the company based on several ratios. The
company is more solvent than 80% of the companies we analyze.
weak strong
Income out of 5 stars3.5Measures dividend yield and payouts to shareholders. The company's
dividend is higher than 60% of the companies we track.
weak strong
THESTREET RATINGS RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both
price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to
perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates. While our model is
quantitative, it utilizes both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include
expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company
earnings. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company
cash flows.
Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown
as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e.how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits; the level of
acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings
growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as
compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared
to its stock's performance. These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted,
and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of
selecting stocks.
FOOT LOCKER INCFLNYSE:
July 19, 2015
Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Apparel Retail Source: S&P
Annual Dividend Rate
$1.00Annual Dividend Yield
1.43%Beta
1.11Market Capitalization
$9.7 Billion52-Week Range
$47.11-$71.00Price as of 7/16/2015
$69.93
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracyor makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved.
PAGE 4Report Date: July 19, 2015
Consensus EPS Estimates² ($)IBES consensus estimates are provided by Thomson Financial
0.69
Q2 FY15
4.02 E
2016(E)
4.45 E
2017(E)
INCOME STATEMENT
Q1 FY15 Q1 FY14
Net Sales ($mil) 1,916.00 1,868.00
EBITDA ($mil) 325.00 292.00
EBIT ($mil) 290.00 256.00
Net Income ($mil) 184.00 162.00
BALANCE SHEET
Q1 FY15 Q1 FY14
Cash & Equiv. ($mil) 986.00 1,007.00
Total Assets ($mil) 3,631.00 3,669.00
Total Debt ($mil) 133.00 138.00
Equity ($mil) 2,555.00 2,593.00
PROFITABILITY
Q1 FY15 Q1 FY14
Gross Profit Margin 34.97% 34.58%
EBITDA Margin 16.96% 15.63%
Operating Margin 15.14% 13.70%
Sales Turnover 1.98 1.84
Return on Assets 14.92% 12.34%
Return on Equity 21.21% 17.47%
DEBT
Q1 FY15 Q1 FY14
Current Ratio 3.58 3.54
Debt/Capital 0.05 0.05
Interest Expense 3.00 3.00
Interest Coverage 96.67 85.33
SHARE DATA
Q1 FY15 Q1 FY14
Shares outstanding (mil) 140 145
Div / share 0.25 0.22
EPS 1.29 1.10
Book value / share 18.28 17.92
Institutional Own % NA NA
Avg Daily Volume 1,801,077 2,009,635
2 Sum of quarterly figures may not match annual estimates due touse of median consensus estimates.
FINANCIAL ANALYSISFOOT LOCKER INC's gross profit margin for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2015 is essentially unchanged
when compared to the same period a year ago. The company has grown sales and net income during the
past quarter when compared with the same quarter a year ago, however, it was unable to keep up with the
growth of the average competitor within its industry.
During the same period, stockholders' equity ("net worth") has remained virtually unchanged only decreasing
by 1.46% from the same quarter last year.
STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the
next 12-months. To learn more visit www.TheStreetRatings.com.
FOOT LOCKER INCFLNYSE:
July 19, 2015
Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Apparel Retail Source: S&P
Annual Dividend Rate
$1.00Annual Dividend Yield
1.43%Beta
1.11Market Capitalization
$9.7 Billion52-Week Range
$47.11-$71.00Price as of 7/16/2015
$69.93
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracyor makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved.
PAGE 5Report Date: July 19, 2015
RATINGS HISTORYOur rating for FOOT LOCKER INC has not changed
since 4/7/2010. As of 7/16/2015, the stock was
trading at a price of $69.93 which is 1.5% below its
52-week high of $71.00 and 48.4% above its 52-week
low of $47.11.
2 Year Chart
2013 2014
$40
$50
$60
$70
BU
Y: $
36.4
1
MOST RECENT RATINGS CHANGES
Date Price Action From To
7/16/13 $36.41 No Change Buy Buy
Price reflects the closing price as of the date listed, if available
RATINGS DEFINITIONS &DISTRIBUTION OF THESTREET RATINGS
(as of 7/16/2015)
45.36% Buy - We believe that this stock has the
opportunity to appreciate and produce a total return of
more than 10% over the next 12 months.
30.64% Hold - We do not believe this stock offers
conclusive evidence to warrant the purchase or sale of
shares at this time and that its likelihood of positive total
return is roughly in balance with the risk of loss.
24.00% Sell - We believe that this stock is likely to
decline by more than 10% over the next 12 months, with
the risk involved too great to compensate for any
possible returns.
TheStreet Ratings14 Wall Street, 15th FloorNew York, NY 10005www.thestreet.comResearch Contact: 212-321-5381
Sales Contact: 866-321-8726
VALUATIONBUY. This stock's P/E ratio indicates a discount compared to an average of 25.80 for the Specialty Retail
industry and a discount compared to the S&P 500 average of 21.40. Conducting a second comparison, its
price-to-book ratio of 3.82 indicates a premium versus the S&P 500 average of 2.85 and a significant discount
versus the industry average of 8.78. The price-to-sales ratio is below both the S&P 500 average and the
industry average, indicating a discount. Upon assessment of these and other key valuation criteria, FOOT
LOCKER INC proves to trade at a discount to investment alternatives within the industry.
1 2 3 4 5Price/Earningspremium discount
FL 18.65 Peers 25.80
• Discount. A lower P/E ratio than its peers can
signify a less expensive stock or lower growth
expectations.
• FL is trading at a significant discount to its peers.
1 2 3 4 5Price/CashFlowpremium discount
FL 14.88 Peers 15.86
• Average. The P/CF ratio, a stock’s price divided by
the company's cash flow from operations, is useful
for comparing companies with different capital
requirements or financing structures.
• FL is trading at a valuation on par to its peers.
1 2 3 4 5Price/Projected Earningspremium discount
FL 15.71 Peers 21.06
• Discount. A lower price-to-projected earnings ratio
than its peers can signify a less expensive stock or
lower future growth expectations.
• FL is trading at a discount to its peers.
1 2 3 4 5Price to Earnings/Growthpremium discount
FL 1.46 Peers 2.04
• Discount. The PEG ratio is the stock’s P/E divided
by the consensus estimate of long-term earnings
growth. Faster growth can justify higher price
multiples.
• FL trades at a significant discount to its peers.
1 2 3 4 5Price/Bookpremium discount
FL 3.82 Peers 8.78
• Discount. A lower price-to-book ratio makes a
stock more attractive to investors seeking stocks
with lower market values per dollar of equity on the
balance sheet.
• FL is trading at a significant discount to its peers.
1 2 3 4 5Earnings Growthlower higher
FL 22.95 Peers 24.49
• Average. Elevated earnings growth rates can lead
to capital appreciation and justify higher
price-to-earnings ratios.
• FL is expected to keep pace with its peers on the
basis of earnings growth.
1 2 3 4 5Price/Salespremium discount
FL 1.36 Peers 1.52
• Discount. In the absence of P/E and P/B multiples,
the price-to-sales ratio can display the value
investors are placing on each dollar of sales.
• FL is trading at a discount to its industry on this
measurement.
1 2 3 4 5Sales Growthlower higher
FL 6.88 Peers 8.96
• Lower. A sales growth rate that trails the industry
implies that a company is losing market share.
• FL trails its peers on the basis of sales growth
DISCLAIMER:
The opinions and information contained herein have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but
TheStreet Ratings cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness, and that of the opinions based thereon. Data is provided
via the COMPUSTAT® Xpressfeed product from Standard &Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., as well as
other third-party data providers.
TheStreet Ratings is a division of TheStreet, Inc., which is a publisher. This research report contains opinions and is provided
for informational purposes only. You should not rely solely upon the research herein for purposes of transacting securities or
other investments, and you are encouraged to conduct your own research and due diligence, and to seek the advice of a
qualified securities professional, before you make any investment. None of the information contained in this report constitutes,
or is intended to constitute a recommendation by TheStreet Ratings of any particular security or trading strategy or a
determination by TheStreet Ratings that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of
the information contained herein may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the
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http://www.thestreet.com/static/about/terms-of-use.html.