Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - · PDF fileMap 6: 1st Dekad (1-10) Gulf of Aden...
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Monthly Rainfall and NDVI, Issued November 21 st , 2012 October 2012: Dekadal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Map 7: 2nd Dekad (11-20) Map 8: 3rd Dekad (21-30) Map 6: 1st Dekad (1-10) Bari October 2012: Dekadal Rainfall Estimates (RFE) Map 4: 2nd Dekad (11-20) Map 5: 3rd Dekad (21-30) Map 3: 1st Dekad (1-10) Map 2: October 2012 Monthly Rainfall Estimates Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia Map 1: October 2012 Monthly Rain Gauge Data (mm) ETHIOPIA This report is a compilation of climate data and field reports on Somalia that FSNAU and FEWS NET regularly review for analysis. For more information on data sources, please refer to page 2. Source: NOAA BARI SANAG SOOL NUGAL GALGADUD MUDUG M.SHABELLE Indian Ocean TOGDHEER Gulf of Aden W. GALBEED HIRAN L.SHABELLE DJIBOUTI GEDO L.JUBA M. JUBA ETHIOPIA AWDAL BAY BAKOOL Source: NOAA Gulf of Aden Bari Sanag W. Galbeed Togdheer Sool Nugal ETHIOPIA L. Juba M. Juba Bay L. Shabelle Galgadud Mudug Bakool Hiran Gedo DJIBOUTI Awdal Indian Ocean Gulf of Aden Bari Sanag W. Galbeed Togdheer Sool Nugal ETHIOPIA L. Juba M. Juba Bay L. Shabelle Galgadud Mudug Bakool Hiran Gedo DJIBOUTI Awdal Indian Ocean Gulf of Aden Bari Sanag W. Galbeed Togdheer Sool Nugal ETHIOPIA L. Juba M. Juba Bay L. Shabelle Galgadud Mudug Bakool Hiran Gedo DJIBOUTI Awdal Indian Ocean Map 6: 1st Dekad (1-10) Gulf of Aden Bari Sanag W. Galbeed Togdheer Sool Nugal ETHIOPIA L. Juba M. Juba Bay L. Shabelle Galgadud Mudug Bakool M. Shabelle Hiran Gedo DJIBOUTI Awdal Gulf of Aden Bari Sanag W. Galbeed Togdheer Sool Nugal ETHIOPIA L. Juba M. Juba Bay L. Shabelle Galgadud Mudug Bakool M. Shabelle Hiran Gedo DJIBOUTI Awdal Bari M. Shabelle M. Shabelle M. Shabelle Gulf of Aden Sanag W. Galbeed Togdheer Sool Nugal ETHIOPIA L. Juba M. Juba Bay L. Shabelle Galgadud Mudug Bakool M. Shabelle Hiran Gedo DJIBOUTI Awdal Highlights Milimeters Source: SWALIM 45 Indian Ocean Indian Ocean Indian Ocean October The month of October is marked by a general close to average to above average rains in most of the regions in the country with the exception of Awdal, W. Galbeed and parts of Togdheer regions in Northwest where the rains were insignificant. Some of the rain gauge stations in the northern and central areas which recorded above average rainfall include: Buadodle (109mm), Taleex (61mm), Burtnile (110mm), Eyl (184mm), Galdogob (273mm), Iskushuban, (72mm), Galkayo (163mm). In the South, above average rains were observed in Beletweyn, Buloburti and Jowhar with 185mm, 210mm and 200mm of rains, respectively (Table 1). River flooding was reported in the upper steams of Beletweyn (Hiran) region, while flash floods occurred in some villages of Bay as well as in Beletweyn town in October. In both cases, floods caused loss of property, including livestock, housing and crops. Observed river levels in the month of October indicated a moderate risk of flooding in lower reaches of Shabelle River. Nevertheless, the Juba River was at stable levels with no risk of flooding. Satellite derived rainfall estimates (RFE) are comparable with the observed rainfall as presented in Maps 2-5. According to RFE, rainfall deficit areas expressed as a percentage of long term mean (LTM) include Sool, Sanaag, Sool-Sanaag Plateau livelihood zones in Bari, Nugal, Coastal Deeh livelihood zone in Central and Middle Shabelle regions, Bakool and northern part of Bay (Map 9). Field reports indicate normal rainfall performance during the month though with poor spatial distribution, especially in the Northeast and Central. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (SPOTVEGETATION-1Km resolution) shows a significant improvement in vegetation, which is attributed to a well established crop conditions in the southern and central cropping areas (Maps 6-8). Small to large increase of vegetation prevails in all rainfed and irrigated livelihood zones across Somalia (Map 10). However, depressed vegetation is visible in small pockets in Bay, Bakool, Gedo, Lower Shabelle and Jubas. Optimal development of cowpea and sorghum crops is reported in the Cowpea Belt of Central. Weeding of crops (maize and sorghum) is widely taking place in central and southern cropping areas while in Northwest districts of Borama and Gebiley harvesting of sorghum is on-going. Pasture for both grass and browse terms have profoundly improved in most of the key pastoral areas in the country. The Deyr rains have continued to improve the rangeland conditions and replenished most of the water catchments. Livestock body conditions are generally normal in most areas however in drought stricken areas of Guban livelihood in the Northwest, and the Coastal Deeh of Northeast the livestock body conditions are still below average to poor.
Transcript of Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - · PDF fileMap 6: 1st Dekad (1-10) Gulf of Aden...
Monthly Rainfall and NDVI, Issued November 21st, 2012
October 2012: Dekadal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)
Map 7: 2nd Dekad (11-20) Map 8: 3rd Dekad (21-30)Map 6: 1st Dekad (1-10)Bari
October 2012: Dekadal Rainfall Estimates (RFE)
Map 4: 2nd Dekad (11-20) Map 5: 3rd Dekad (21-30)Map 3: 1st Dekad (1-10)
Map 2: October 2012 Monthly Rainfall Estimates
Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia
Map 1: October 2012 Monthly Rain Gauge Data (mm)
ETHIOPIA
This report is a compilation of climate data and field reports on Somalia that FSNAU and FEWS NET regularly review for analysis. For more information on data sources, please refer to page 2.
Source: NOAA
BARISANAG
SOOL
NUGAL
GALGADUD
MUDUG
M.SHABELLE
Indian Ocean
TOGDHEER
Gulf of Aden
W. GALBEED
HIRAN
L.SHABELLE
DJIBOUTI
GEDO
L.JUBA
M. JUBA
ETHIOPIA
AWDAL
BAY
BAKOOL
Source: NOAA
Gulf of Aden
BariSanagW. Galbeed
Togdheer SoolNugal
ETHIOPIA
L. Juba
M. Juba
BayL. Shabelle
Galgadud
Mudug
Bakool Hiran
Gedo
DJIBOUTI
Awdal
Indian Ocean
Gulf of Aden
BariSanagW. Galbeed
Togdheer SoolNugal
ETHIOPIA
L. Juba
M. Juba
Bay
L. Shabelle
Galgadud
Mudug
Bakool HiranGedo
DJIBOUTI
Awdal
Indian Ocean
Gulf of AdenBari
SanagW. Galbeed
Togdheer SoolNugal
ETHIOPIA
L. Juba
M. Juba
Bay
L. Shabelle
Galgadud
Mudug
Bakool Hiran
Gedo
DJIBOUTI
Awdal
Indian Ocean
Map 6: 1st Dekad (1-10)Gulf of Aden
BariSanag
W. Galbeed
Togdheer Sool
NugalETHIOPIA
L. Juba
M. Juba
Bay
L. Shabelle
Galgadud
Mudug
Bakool
M. Shabelle
Hiran
Gedo
DJIBOUTI
Awdal
Gulf of Aden
BariSanag
W. GalbeedTogdheer Sool
NugalETHIOPIA
L. Juba
M. Juba
Bay
L. Shabelle
Galgadud
Mudug
Bakool
M. Shabelle
Hiran
Gedo
DJIBOUTI
Awdal
Bari
M. Shabelle M. ShabelleM. Shabelle
Gulf of Aden
SanagW. Galbeed
Togdheer SoolNugal
ETHIOPIA
L. Juba
M. Juba
BayL. Shabelle
Galgadud
Mudug
Bakool
M. Shabelle
Hiran
Gedo
DJIBOUTI
Awdal
Highlights
Milimeters
Source: SWALIM
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Indian Ocean
Indian OceanIndian
Ocean
October
The month of October is marked by a general close to average to above average rains in most of the regions in the country with the exception of Awdal, W. Galbeed and parts of Togdheer regions in Northwest where the rains were insignificant. Some of the rain gauge stations in the northern and central areas which recorded above average rainfall include: Buadodle (109mm), Taleex (61mm), Burtnile (110mm), Eyl (184mm), Galdogob (273mm), Iskushuban, (72mm), Galkayo (163mm). In the South, above average rains were observed in Beletweyn, Buloburti and Jowhar with 185mm, 210mm and 200mm of rains, respectively (Table 1). River flooding was reported in the upper steams of Beletweyn (Hiran) region, while flash floods occurred in some villages of Bay as well as in Beletweyn town in October. In both cases, floods caused loss of property, including livestock, housing and crops. Observed river levels in the month of October indicated a moderate risk of flooding in lower reaches of Shabelle River. Nevertheless, the Juba River was at stable levels with no risk of flooding.
Satellite derived rainfall estimates (RFE) are comparable with the observed rainfall as presented in Maps 2-5. According to RFE, rainfall deficit areas expressed as a percentage of long term mean (LTM) include Sool, Sanaag, Sool-Sanaag Plateau livelihood zones in Bari, Nugal, Coastal Deeh livelihood zone in Central and Middle Shabelle regions, Bakool and northern part of Bay (Map 9). Field reports indicate normal rainfall performance during the month though with poor spatial distribution, especially in the Northeast and Central.
The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (SPOTVEGETATION-1Km resolution) shows a significant improvement in vegetation, which is attributed to a well established crop conditions in the southern and central cropping areas (Maps 6-8). Small to large increase of vegetation prevails in all rainfed and irrigated livelihood zones across Somalia (Map 10). However, depressed vegetation is visible in small pockets in Bay, Bakool, Gedo, Lower Shabelle and Jubas.
Optimal development of cowpea and sorghum crops is reported in the Cowpea Belt of Central. Weeding of crops (maize and sorghum) is widely taking place in central and southern cropping areas while in Northwest districts of Borama and Gebiley harvesting of sorghum is on-going. Pasture for both grass and browse terms have profoundly improved in most of the key pastoral areas in the country. The Deyr rains have continued to improve the rangeland conditions and replenished most of the water catchments. Livestock body conditions are generally normal in most areas however in drought stricken areas of Guban livelihood in the Northwest, and the Coastal Deeh of Northeast the livestock body conditions are still below average to poor.
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Table 1: October 2012: Observed rain gauge data compared to long term monthly averages
Map 9: October 2012 Rainfall as % of long term mean
Map 10: October 2012 NDVI absolute difference from long term mean
Monthly rainfall and NDVI perfomance
Northern Somalia stations Southern Somalia stations
Primary data sources are NOAA/USGS, European Centre for Medium- range Weather Forecast (ECMWF), MARS-JRC, FSNAU and SWALIM. Maps and graphs on this bulletin are produced from four sources.
• Current Rainfall Estimates and NDVI data are derived from NOAA/CPC and DEVCOCAST (www.devcocast.eu) respectively, while the rain gauge data is collected by FAO-SWALIM and FEWSNET.
• The seasonal profiles on page 3 and 4 are produced in collaboration with JRC-MARS. For more information visit http://mars.jrc.europa.eu/mars/About-us/FOODSEC
For more information on NDVI, visit http://earlywarning.usgs.gov/adds and http://fsausomali.org/fileadmin/uploads/1308.pdf
For information on FOODSEC Action of JRC, please refer to http://mars.jrc.ec.europa.eu/mars/About-us/FOODSEC
Monthly rainfall and NDVI perfomance maps
The Mapped NDVI and RFE above represent the differences from Long Term Mean. SPOT-NDVI is presented as absolute difference from Long Term Mean for the same period (current - long term mean), while NOAA-RFE is presented as the relative difference from Long Term Mean (Current*100)/LTM.
Seasonal trend graphs
The maps and graphs on the following pages (3 & 4) are produced in collaboration with the FOODSEC Action of the Joint Research Centre of the European Commision. The graphs present seasonal trends of crop specific NDVI (Normalised Difference Vegetation Index) as lines and rainfall values (RFE) as bars for each of the delineated land cover and administrative units (regions and districts).
For more information or request on available data, please send an email to [email protected].
*indicates missing data
Source: NOAA
Galgadud
Bay
Mudug
Hiran
Nugal
Bakool
M. Shabelle
M. Juba
ETHIOPIA
Gulf of AdenDJIBOUTI
Awdal
Togdheer
Bari
SoolW. albeed
Gedo
L. Juba
L. Shabelle
Indian Ocean
Sanag
Source: NOAA Source: SPOT
Galgadud
Bay
Mudug
Hiran
Nugal
Bakool
M. Shabelle
M. Juba
ETHIOPIA
Gulf of AdenDJIBOUTI
Awdal
Togdheer
Sanag Bari
Sool
W. Galbeed
Gedo
L. Juba
L. Shabelle
Indian Ocean
Source: SPOT
Northern RegionsRegion Station_Name dek 1 dek 2 dek 3 Oct-12 LTMAwdal Borama 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0Awdal Qulenjeed 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *Bari Bossasso 0.0 0.0 54.0 54.0 2.0Bari Qardo 0.0 0.0 35.0 35.0 26.0Bari Iskushuban 5.0 0.0 67.0 72.0 8.0Bari Dangoroyo 20.0 0.0 74.0 94.0 24.0Bari Ballidhin 0.0 0.0 57.0 57.0 9.0Mudug Jarriban 0.0 30.0 17.0 47.0 32.0Mudug Galdogob 47.0 68.0 158.0 273.0 49.0Nugaal Garowe 0.5 7.5 22.5 30.5 29.0Nugaal Eyl 17.0 103.0 64.0 184.0 41.0Nugaal Burtnile 42.0 43.0 25.0 110.0 36.0Sanaag Eeerigavo 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 4.0Sanaag Elafweyn 0.0 0.0 27.0 27.0 *Sool Caynabo 0.0 0.0 37.0 37.0 *Sool Las Aanod 9.5 0.0 36.0 45.5 30.0Sool Xudun 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 26.0Sool Taleex 10.0 8.0 43.0 61.0 25.0Togdheer Burao 0.0 0.0 29.0 29.0 34.0Togdheer Odweyne 0.0 0.0 8.0 8.0 36.0Togdheer Wajaale 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0Togdheer Buadodle 9.9 30.1 68.5 108.5 40.0Wogooyi Galbeed Hargeisa 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 29.0Wogooyi Galbeed Dilla 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *Wogooyi Galbeed Gebilley 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 17.0Wogooyi Galbeed Aburin 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *Wogooyi Galbeed Berbera 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0Wogooyi Galbeed Malawle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.0Wogooyi Galbeed Daraweyne 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.0Wogooyi Galbeed Cadaadley 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.0Wogooyi Galbeed Dhubato 0.0 0.0 5.5 5.5 33.0Wogooyi Galbeed Baligubable 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 36.0
Southern Regions
Region Station_Name dek 1 dek 2 dek 3 Oct-12 LTMGedo Bardheere 3.0 46.0 7.0 56.0 82.0Gedo Luuq 0.0 0.0 23.0 23.0 48.0Hiraan Beletweyne 21.0 95.5 68.5 185.0 86.0Hiraan Bulo Burti 13.0 71.0 126.4 210.4 90.0
Middle Shabelle Jowhar 48.0 121.0 31.0 200.0 99.0
Mudug Galkayo 41.0 108.0 14.0 163.0 48.0Middle Juba Bualle 0.0 90.5 48.0 138.5 *
Lower Juba Jamame 0.0 64.0 0.0 64.0 27.0
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Gedo Pastoral (Open Shrubs)
Hiran Agropastoral (Rainfed)
Lower Shabelle Agropastoral (Rainfed)
Nugal Pastoral (Savannah)
Togdheer Pastoral (Savannah)
Lower Shabelle Riverine (Irrigated)
Bakool Agropastoral (Rainfed)
Saanag Pastoral (Savannah)
Middle Shabelle Agropastoral (Rainfed)
Galgadud Pastoral (Herbaceous)
Bay Agropastoral (Rainfed)
Map 12: Pastoral Areas
Source: FAO-AFrICOvEr
Map 11: Agricultural Areas
Source: SWALIM
Seasonal rainfall and NDVI trends by region
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Beletweyn Riverine (Irrigated)
Sakow Agropastoral (Rainfed) Adale Agropastoral (Rainfed)Jamame Riverine (Irrigated)
Hargeisa Agropastoral (Rainfed)Map 14: Pastoral Areas
Source: FAO-AFRICOVER
Map 13: Agricultural Areas
Source: SWALIM
Eyl Open Shrubs
Galkayo Open Shrubs
Afmadow Pastoral (Herbaceous) Abudwak Pastoral (Herbaceous)
Lasanod Pastoral (Herbaceous)Alula Pastoral (Open Shrubs)
Seasonal rainfall and NDVI trends for selected districts
Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC
Funding AgenciesTechnical and
Managerial Support
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