Floris van Diest Tim Schilders - Zanders Treasury and ... · IFRS 4 / 5 2. Case study: LifeCo -...

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IFRS 4 / 1 Knowledge sharing IFRS 4 Floris van Diest Tim Schilders

Transcript of Floris van Diest Tim Schilders - Zanders Treasury and ... · IFRS 4 / 5 2. Case study: LifeCo -...

  • IFRS 4 / 1

    Knowledge sharing – IFRS 4Floris van Diest –Tim Schilders

  • IFRS 4 / 2

    Agenda

    Opening

    1 The road to a new balance sheet

    2 Case study: LifeCo

    3 Expected impact

  • IFRS 4 / 3

    1. The road to a new balance sheet

    Where did this come from?

    • 2001: IASB initiates IFRS 4 project

    o No standard for insurance contracts in IAS

    • 2005: IASB releases IFRS 4 Phase I:

    o Interim standard: temporary exemption to IFRS principles

    o Key definitions and enhanced disclosure requirements

    o Still, IASB claims:”… current accounting practices are not true reflection of nature and extent

    of the risks embedded in insurance contracts.”

    o 2010, 2013: IASB releases first and second IFRS 4 Phase II Exposure Draft

  • IFRS 4 / 4

    1. The road to a new balance sheet

    Where is it going?

    • 2016: IASB will release final exposure draft

    o Add transitional measures for application IFRS 9 Financial Instruments

    ‘Overlay approach’

    ‘Temporary exemption’

    • 2018: Implementation IFRS 9

    o Implementation transitional measures

    • 2020: Implementation IFRS 4 Phase II (exp.)

    LA

    B/S

    2013

    Exposure draft:

    IFRS 4

    2014

    Publication:

    IFRS 9

    2017 20192015

    Draft amendments:IFRS 4 vs . IFRS 9

    2016

    Publ ication:

    IFRS 4 (exp.)

    2020

    Implementation:

    IFRS 4 (exp.)

    2018

    Implementation: IFRS 9

    End of transitional measures

  • IFRS 4 / 5IFRS 4 / 5

    2. Case study: LifeCo - 2020

    LifeCo introduction

    • Owned by Tim Schilders and Floris van Diest

    • (New) business strategy: issue life insurance contracts and invest in bonds

    LifeCo issues 2 portfolios of life insurance contracts

    • Tim and Floris issue one portfolio with 1,000 10-year contracts each on 31.12.2020

    • Insurance contract:

    o Provides death coverage (death capital = EUR 20,000)

    o Requires one premium payment due on 01.01.2021

    Tim’s contracts premium: EUR 10,000

    Floris’ contracts premium: EUR 9,000

    2020

    Total 1,000Total 1,000

    Cash 1,000 Equity 1,000

    LifeCo B/S 30.12.2020 (in thousands)

  • IFRS 4 / 6

    Definition and scope

    LifeCo has to apply IFRS 4 Phase II because…

    • IFRS 4 applies to all instruments defined as insurance contract for any company issuing them

    IFRS 4 definition

    • ‘A contract under which one party (e.g. LifeCo) accepts significant insurance risk from another party (e.g. policyholder) by agreeing to compensate the policyholder if a specified uncertain future event (e.g. death) adversely affects the policyholder’

    In scope (upon significant risk) Not in scope

    2020

    2021

  • IFRS 4 / 7

    Accounting model steps

    IFRS 4 Phase II accounting model

    LifeCo reporting steps timeline

    Step 5Provide

    disclosures

    Step 4Present in financial

    statements

    Step 3Remeasure in subsequent

    periods

    Step 2Measure at

    initial recognition

    Step 1Identify and

    recognise the contract

    Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5

    2020

    2021

    2020

    2021

  • IFRS 4 / 8

    Accounting model steps

    Step 1: Identify and recognise the contract

    • An insurance contract is recognised at minimum of:

    o Beginning of coverage period (for LifeCo portfolios: 31.12.2020)

    o Date of first payment from policyholder (for LifeCo portfolios: 01.01.2021)

    Unbundling

    • Decompose (‘unbundle’) only if contract contains components that:

    o would be within scope of other standard(s); and

    o are not highly interrelated the host contract

    • Example components:

    o Insurance component

    o Embedded derivatives

    o Investment component

    • N/A for LifeCo portfoliosUnbundling

    Insurance component

    Insurance contract

    Investment component

    Embedded derivative

    2020

    2021

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  • IFRS 4 / 9

    Accounting model steps

    Step 2: Measure at initial recognition

    • Standard model of IFRS 4: Building Blocks Approach (BBA)

    o Applicable to LifeCo portfolios

    • Alternative models:

    o Variable fee approach: insurance contracts with participation features

    o Premium allocation approach: short duration contracts or long duration contracts meeting certain criteria (for pre-claim periods)

    Ass

    etLi

    abili

    ty

    Block 1Future cash

    flows

    Block 2Time value of money

    Block 3Risk

    adjustment

    Block 4Contractual

    service margin

    Re

    po

    rtin

    g a

    mo

    un

    t0

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    2021

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  • IFRS 4 / 10

    LifeCo portfolios

    • Other than premiums, portfolios are identical

    • B1 does not take into account the time value of money (B2). Hence, B1 typically results in a net liability.

    Building Block Approach

    FloTim

    Acquisition costs

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Maturities

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    Cas

    h in

    flo

    ws

    (-)

    Cas

    h o

    utf

    low

    s (+

    )

    BBA Block 1: Future cash flows

    • Sum of (undiscounted) probability weighted cash inflows and outflows estimated at moment of reporting

    Totals Tim Floris

    Cash outflow 11,000,000 11,000,000

    Cash inflow -10,000,000 -9,000,000

    Block 1 1,000,000 2,000,000 Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Premiums

    Received on 01.01.2021

    2020

    2021

    1

    42

    3

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 11

    Building Block Approach

    Yield curve of actual or reference

    asset portfolio

    Credit risk premiums

    Discount curve IFRS 4

    Illiquidity premium

    Top down approach

    BBA Block 2: Time value of money (1/2)

    • Discounting of future cash flows with market consistent discount curve

    • Curve reflects currency and liquidity of contract and timing of cash flows

    Two approaches:

    • Top down approach: asset yield curve excluding factors irrelevant for insurance contract

    • Bottom up approach: risk-free curve including factors relevant for insurance contract(No further guidance on how to determine adjustments)

    Risk-free curve

    Timing mismatch

    Bottom up approach

    2020

    2021

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  • IFRS 4 / 12

    Block 1LifeCo portfolios

    • Given portfolios are identical, portfolios have same discount curve

    • Value block 2 equals difference between Block 1 and discounted value of Block 1

    Building Block Approach

    BBA Block 2: Time value of money (2/2)

    Totals Tim Floris

    Block 1 1,000,000 2,000,000

    Block 2 -1,550,000 -1,550,000

    Block 1 + 2 -550,000 450,000

    Block 2

    PV(Block 1)

    Block 1

    PV(Block 1)

    Block 2

    Ass

    etLi

    abili

    tyA

    sset

    Liab

    ility

    Floris’ portfolio

    Tim’s portfolio

    2020

    2021

    1

    42

    3

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    -550,000

    450,000

  • IFRS 4 / 13

    Building Block Approach

    BBA Block 3: Risk adjustment (1/3)

    • “Compensation entity requires for risk of bearing uncertainty about amount and

    timing of cash flows arising as entity fulfils the insurance contract.”

    • Incorporating risk diversification and favourable vs. unfavourable outcomes of

    uncertainty in line with entity’s risk aversion

    Range of calculation techniques

    • IFRS 4 doesn’t prescribe particular techniques

    E(BE Liability) VaRα

    RA

    Pro

    bability

    Confidence level approach (VaR)

    VaRα TVaRα

    Pro

    bability

    Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE)

    RA

    T=0 T=1 T=2 T=n…

    RA

    = capital required

    = capital charge ∙ capital required

    Cost of capital approach

    𝑃𝑉

    2020

    2021

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    42

    3

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    E(BE Liability)

  • IFRS 4 / 14

    Building Block Approach

    BBA Block 3: Risk adjustment (2/3)

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Claims: Death

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Lapses

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Costs

    Mortality shock Lapses shock Expenses shock

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    CostsLapses

    Claims: Death

    Cost of capital approach:

    • Mortality rates, lapses rates and expenses are shocked by predefined percentages

    • For all future cash outflows

    Cost of capital approach:

    • Capital at Risk (CaR) = aggregated delta change in shock scenarios

    • Discounted by a discount curve

    Capital at risk Capital at risk Capital at risk

    CostsLapses

    Claims: Death

    CostsLapses

    Claims: Death

    2020

    2021

    1

    42

    3

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 15

    LifeCo portfolios

    • Given portfolios are identical, portfolios have same risk adjustment

    • Cost of capital approach (6% charge) assuming mortality, lapse and expense shocks and diversification

    • Block 1-3 defined as fulfilment cash flows

    Building Block Approach

    BBA Block 3: Risk adjustment (3/3)

    Totals Tim Floris

    Block 1 + 2 -550,000 450,000

    Block 3 50,000 50,000

    Block 1 - 3 -500,000 500,000

    FloTim

    Premiums

    2020 2021 2022 ... 2030

    Cas

    h in

    flo

    ws

    (-)

    Cas

    h o

    utf

    low

    s (+

    )

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Maturities

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Risk adjustment Risk adjustment

    Risk adjustment

    Acquisition costs

    2020

    2021

    1

    42

    3

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 16

    Building Block Approach

    BBA Block 4: Contractual Service Margin (CSM)

    • “A component of measurement of the insurance contract representing the unearned

    profit that the entity recognises as it provides services under the insurance contract.”

    • Recognised on portfolio level for contracts with ‘similar’ date of inception

    • Periodically ‘released’ (revenue in P/L) in accordance with insurance coverage provided

    Recognition

    • If [Block 1 + Block 2 + Block 3] < 0 then CSM = - [Block 1 + Block 2 + Block 3]

    o CSM eliminates ‘Day One Gain’

    • Else CSM = 0

    o Portfolio is onerous – Report ‘Day One Loss’ in P/L equal to [Block 1 + Block 2 + Block 3]

    LifeCoA

    sset

    Lia

    bil

    ity

    Block 2

    Block 3

    Block 4

    Block 1

    Re

    po

    rtin

    g a

    mo

    un

    t

    0

    Ass

    etLi

    abil

    ity

    Block 2

    Block 3

    Block 1

    Rep

    ort

    ing

    amo

    un

    t

    0

    Totals Tim Floris

    Block 1 - 3 -500,000 500,000

    Block 4 500,000 0

    Block 1 - 4 0 500,000Tim’s portfolio Floris’ portfolio

    2020

    2021

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    42

    3

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 17

    Total 1,000Total 1,000

    Accounting model steps

    Step 4: Present results in financial statements

    • Reporting (re)measured carrying amounts on B/S

    • Reporting of P/L and OCI

    LifeCo: 2020 Financial statements

    • P/L & OCI: Recognition of onerous portfolio

    o ‘Day One Loss’ reported as expense in underwriting result

    • B/S: ‘Day One Loss’ eats capital via retained earnings

    2020

    Total comprehensive income -500

    Change to OCI 0

    Floris portfolio 500Cash 1,000

    Equity 500

    LifeCo B/S 31.12.2020 (in thousands)

    LifeCo P/L and OCI For 12 Months Ended 31.12.2020 (in thousands)

    Underwriting result -500Insurance contract revenue 0Insurance contract expense -500

    Investment result 0

    Profit or Loss -500

    2020

    2021

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  • IFRS 4 / 18

    Accounting model steps

    Step 5: Provide disclosures

    • “Disclose qualitative and quantitative information that should enable the users of the financial statements to interpret the nature, amount, timing and uncertainty of the future cash flows of the issued insurance contracts”

    3 broad categories

    • Explanation of recognised amounts

    o To enable user to make reconciliations

    • Significant judgements applied

    o (Changes in) Judgements in measurements and estimations

    • Nature and extent of risk arising from insurance contracts

    o Exposures, how risks arise and how risks are managed

    2020

    2021

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  • IFRS 4 / 19IFRS 4 / 19

    2. Case study: LifeCo - 2021

    Bond acquisition

    • Part of premiums received (minus acquisition costs) invested in 2 bonds:

    o Floris’ bond (10Y, 7 mln., 4.3%, p.a.) measured at amortised cost

    o Tim’s bond (10Y, 8 mln., 3.8%, p.a.) measured at FVTOCI

    2021

    Claims underestimated

    • Incurred claims higher than expected

    o Change in estimates of future cash flows

    o Change in risk adjustment

    Lower interest rate environment

    • Discount curves of assets and insurance liabilities lower

  • IFRS 4 / 20

    2.2 Accounting model steps

    Step 3: Re-measure in subsequent periods

    • Re-measurement of insurance contracts given all newly available information

    • Changes in estimates respective blocks reported in P/L, OCI, or against CSM

    BBA Block 1: Future cash flows

    • Future cash flows increase:

    o Premiums (-) have been received

    o Expected future claims increased

    FloTim

    Premiums

    Acquisition costs

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    Cas

    h in

    flo

    ws

    (-)

    Cas

    h o

    utf

    low

    s (+

    )

    Costs

    Lapses

    Maturities

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    2020

    2021

    Claims: Death

    Totals Tim Floris

    Block 1 - 2020 1,000,000 2,000,000

    Realised CFs +9,400,000 +8,400,000

    Est. change +90,000 +90,000

    Block 1 10,490,000 10,490,000

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    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 21

    2.2 Accounting model steps

    BBA Block 2: Time value of money

    • Time value of money decreases

    o Unwind of time value based on 2020 discount curve

    o Lower 2021 discount curve

    BBA Block 3: Risk adjustment

    • Risk adjustment is periodically released in accordance with services provided

    • Due to inaccurate estimations, chosen to be more conservative by raising the shocks

    2020

    2021

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Maturities

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    Totals Tim Floris

    Block 2 – 2020 -1,550,000 -1,550,000

    Unwind +250,000 +250,000

    Lower curve +100,000 +100,000

    Block 2 -1,200,000 -1,200,000

    Totals Tim Floris

    Block 3 – 2020 50,000 50,000

    Release -5,000 -5,000

    Change +10,000 +10,000

    Block 3 55,000 55,000

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    3

    54321

    1

    42

    3

  • IFRS 4 / 22

    2.2 Accounting model steps

    BBA Block 4: Contractual Service Margin

    • CSM is periodically released in accordance with services provided

    • CSM accretes interest to reflect time value against lock-in discount curve

    ‘Unlocking’ the CSM

    • Changes in estimates of the B1 and B3 are recognised

    against the CSM (if available):

    o If changes are favourable then

    CSMt+1 = CSMt + PV(Change B1 + B3)

    o If changes are unfavourable then

    CSMt+1 = max{CSMt - PV(Change B1 + B3), 0}

    • Hence:

    o If CSM is not exhausted, changes in future cash flows are not recognised in P/L

    o If CSM is exhausted, PV(Change) – CSMt recognised as loss in P/L as insurance contract becomes onerous

    2020

    2021

    CSM Tim Floris

    Block 4 - 2020 500,000 0

    Periodic release -50,000 0

    Interest accretion +5,000 0

    PV(Change B1+B3) -90,000 0

    Block 4 - 2021 365,000 0

    BBA Tim Floris

    Block 1 10,490,000 10,490,000

    Block 2 -1,200,000 -1,200,000

    Block 3 55,000 55,000

    Block 4 365,000 0

    Total 9,710,000 9,345,000

    Tim Floris

    Block 1 1,000,000 2,000,000

    Block 2 -1,550,000 -1,550,000

    Block 3 50,000 50,000

    Block 4 500,000 0

    Total 0 500,000

    2020

    1

    42

    3

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 23

    2.2 Accounting model steps

    Step 4: Present results in financial statements

    LifeCo: 2021 P/L and OCI

    • Underwriting result: Earned Premium Approach

    FloTim

    Premiums

    Acquisition costs

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Maturities

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Risk adjustment Risk adjustmentLifeCo P/L and OCI For 12 Months Ended 31.12.2021 (in thousands)

    Underwriting result -70

    Insurance contract revenue 720Amortisation of acquisition costs 60Release in RA +10Release of CSM 50Expected claims and expenses 600

    Insurance contract expense -790Incurred claims and expenses -620Incurred acquisition costs -60Losses onerous contracts -90Unexpected changes to IL -20

    2020

    2021

    Risk adjustment

    Experienceadjustment

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 24

    2.2 Accounting model steps

    Step 4: Present results in financial statements

    LifeCo: 2021 P/L and OCI

    • Investment result

    LifeCo P/L and OCI For 12 Months Ended 31.12.2021 (in thousands)

    Investment result 95

    Interest income 600On bonds 600

    Interest expense -505On insurance liability -500On CSM -5

    Underwriting result -70

    Profit or Loss 25

    FloTim

    Premiums

    Acquisition costs

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Maturities

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    Unwind of timevalue based on 2020discount curve

    2020

    2021

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 25

    2.2 Accounting model steps

    Step 4: Present results in financial statements

    LifeCo: 2021 P/L and OCI

    • Change to OCI

    LifeCo P/L and OCI For 12 Months Ended 31.12.2021 (in thousands)

    Investment result 95

    Underwriting result -70

    Total comprehensive income -5

    Change to OCI -30

    Profit or Loss 25

    Discount curve changes on insurance liability -200

    Fair value change of FVTOCI bond 170

    Coupon

    Notional

    Coupon

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    Coupon

    Premiums

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Maturities

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Risk adjustment

    Risk adjustment

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    2020

    2021

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 26

    Tim’s bond 8,170(FVTOCI)

    Floris’ bond 7,000(AC)

    Tim portfolio 9,720

    2.2 Accounting model steps

    Step 4: Present results in financial statements

    LifeCo: Balance sheet

    Floris’ portfolio 9,345

    Cash 4,380Equity 495

    LifeCo B/S 31.12.2021 (in thousands)

    Total 19,550Total 19,550

    2021

    2020

    2020

    2021

    54321

  • IFRS 4 / 27IFRS 4 / 27

    3. Expected impact

    4.1 Solvency II vs. IFRS 4

    4.2 IFRS 4 Phase I vs. IFRS 4 Phase II

    4.3 Conclusion

  • IFRS 4 / 28

    4.1 Solvency II vs. IFRS 4

    MV Assets

    Best estimateliabilities

    Risk Margin

    MCR

    SCR

    Mark

    et-c

    onsis

    tent v

    alu

    atio

    nof

    liabilitie

    s

    Excesscapital

    Best estimateliabilities

    Risk Adjustment

    PV o

    f best e

    stim

    ate

    cash flo

    ws

    CSM

    Equity

    Solvency IIIFRS 4 –phase II

    Premiums

    Acquisition costs

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Maturities

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Costs

    Lapses

    Claims: Death

    Risk adjustment Risk adjustment

    Risk adjustment

    2021 2022 ... 2030

    VA

    CSM

    MA

    B4

    Comparison on balance sheet level Comparison on cashflow level

  • IFRS 4 / 29

    4.2 IFRS 4 Phase I vs. Phase II: Dutch insurer case

    Dutch insurer case

    • Comparison of IFRS 4 Phase I vs. Phase II based on Dutch insurer’s annual report (notes)

    Step 5Provide

    disclosures

    Step 4Present in financial

    statements

    Step 3Remeasure in subsequent

    periods

    Step 2Measure at

    initial recognition

    Step 1Identify and

    recognise the contract

    B1

    B2

    B3

    B4

    B1

    B2

    B3

    B4

  • IFRS 4 / 30

    4.3 Conclusion

    An operational challenge

    • Maintain a break-down of building blocks over lifetime

    • Reporting of changes to blocks in P/L or OCI or via ‘unlocking’ of CSM

    A conceptual relief

    • Certain elements of IFRS 4 (e.g. risk adjustment, discount curves) are new from an accounting perspective…

    • … but may be reused from Solvency II and the Liability Adequacy Test

    A reassessment of the ALM strategy

    • P/L and OCI reporting might be shaken by new elements (e.g. changes to blocks, EPA) and entries

    • Additionally, reclassification of assets under IFRS 9 can strongly impact results

    • An ex-ante reassessment of the ALM strategy might be required.