Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna [email protected]...

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Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna [email protected] Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography continued … Florian Twaroch Annual Scientific Meeting – GeoGERAS 2005 Pernegg, Austria Institute for Geoinformation & Cartography 27 th – 28 th June 2005

Transcript of Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna [email protected]...

Page 1: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Simulation as a tool in GI ScienceSandbox Geography continued …

Florian Twaroch

Annual Scientific Meeting – GeoGERAS 2005Pernegg, Austria

Institute for Geoinformation & Cartography27th – 28th June 2005

Page 2: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

MotivationMotivation BackgroundBackground HypothesisHypothesis MethodMethod ConclusionConclusion

Overview

● Motivation● Background - Literature● Hypothesis● Methodology

– How to organize knowledge of the world– How to change the knowledge

● Conclusions

Page 3: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation BackgroundBackgroundBackgroundBackground Hypothesis Method Conclusion

Example for experiment

● Hidden object experiments [Baillargeon 2003]

– Confront child with real and „magic“ event

– Independent observer records

● Reaction time

● Reaction behavior

● Preferential looking studies

● Predictive action studies

http://www.psych.uiuc.edu/~rbaillar/ICL/welcome.html

Page 4: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation BackgroundBackgroundBackgroundBackground Hypothesis Method Conclusion

Developmental Psychology & AI

(Mareschal 2001)

Nativism Empiricism

symbolic

sub-symbolic

Page 5: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation BackgroundBackgroundBackgroundBackground Hypothesis Method Conclusion

Theory Theory

● Theory theory: “Infants learn about the world by forming and revising theories. Their conceptual development is theory formation and change, their semantic development is theory dependent.”

● Development is driven by three forces

– Innate knowledge– Powerful learning abilities– Unconcious tuition from adults

(Meltzoff & Gopnik 2002)

Page 6: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background HypothesisHypothesisHypothesisHypothesis Method Conclusion

Hypothesis

Theories of space can be described by a set of axioms. It is possible to revise such a theory by adding, deleting or exchanging axioms.

Page 7: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis MethodMethodMethodMethod Conclusion

Page 8: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis MethodMethodMethodMethod Conclusion

Graphical Models

● Graphical models are graphs in which nodes represent random variables.

● A Bayesian Network is kind of directed graphical model , which takes into account the directionality of the arcs. (arrows between nodes)

● Advantage of a directed graphical model is that one can regard an arc from A to B as indicating that A ``causes'' B..

● Models how beliefs change in the light of new evidence

A B

Page 9: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis MethodMethodMethodMethod Conclusion

Stochastic Modelling

● P1(sunrise) = 0.5 P1(no sunrise) = 0.5● P2(sunrise) = 0.66 P2(no sunrise) = 0.33● P100(sunrise) = 0.98 P100(no sunrise) = 0.02

Page 10: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis MethodMethodMethodMethod Conclusion

Page 11: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis MethodMethodMethodMethod Conclusion

Page 12: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis MethodMethodMethodMethod Conclusion

Page 13: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis Method ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion

Conclusion

● The big question is how to connect the simple parts of object ontologies.

● Stochastic methods are a step towards linking them.

● Agent based simulations help to get sound theories in developmental psychology.

● Psychology serves as an input for new computational models in other disciplinces.

Page 14: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis Method ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion

To be continued …To be continued …

Page 15: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis Method ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion

Page 16: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis Method ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion

Agent Based Approach

● Modular: A modular agent that observes a simple toy world.

● Hierarchical: The agents knowledge is structured hierarchically.

● Dynamic: Exchange of Axioms leads to new knowledge.

● Action driven: The acting of the agent in the world elicits changes in the model.

Page 17: Florian Twaroch Department of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna twaroch@geoinfo.tuwien.ac.at Simulation as a tool in GI Science Sandbox Geography.

Florian TwarochDepartment of Geoinformation and Cartography, TU Vienna

[email protected]

Motivation Background Hypothesis Method ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion

Concepts of the world