Flip Columbia 2015
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Transcript of Flip Columbia 2015
Flip is the best way to pass on
leases with landlord satisfaction
signup at hiflip.com
5 interview with brokerage firms
3 interviews with property managers
11 interviews with residential landlords
3 interviews with commercial landlords
54 interviews with residential renters
12 interviews with commercial renters
4 interviews with interior designers
Susannah Vila (MBA)Parthiban Loganathan (CS)
Lakshna Jha (EMBA)ZeLun Gu (Financial Engineering)
24 interviews from before
68 interviews this week
13 interviews yesterday
92 interviews total
What is Flip?
www?A lease is an asset. When you move, you should get some value from it.
Flip is a marketplace for property rental leases. It connects people leaving
their leases with people who want to get on a new lease. We’re
resegmenting the market.
Why are we different?
Flip goes farther upstream to get inventory than anything else out there now. Renters browse apartments before the leases are terminated, see how they’re connected socially to each and can get their name on a new lease with the press of a button and a flat fee. Landlords can ensure equally qualified tenants using our renter profile data.
Flip’s core premise remains the same - we make breaking leases easy
But we had to:● narrow our customer segments● discover value proposition for each (especially landlords)● what we had to do to facilitate onboarding of all customers● understand the fee structure they would be willing to pay
Landlords?
Key Partners
Property
Management
Companies
Landlords
Editorials/Blogs
ISPs/television/home
utilities providers
Key Activities
Develop relationships
with landlords, property
managers and lease
agents
Post new inventory on
Flip in addition to
regular channels
Value Proposition
Lookers:
Early access to housing before
it’s available on the market
Leavers & Landlords:
Free service to find replacement
tenants
Leavers:
Ability to move to better
apartments by passing on
existing lease and to earn money
from their lease
Landlords:
Free service to find tenants
No need for brokerages
Lower vacancy rates
Customer Segments
Multi-sided market:
People looking to rent apartments
and looking to pass on leases.
Millennials age 20-35
Landlords
Revenue Streams
Flat fees for lookers moving in
Rush fees for leavers/landlords
Styling fees for leavers/landlords (discounts with
partnerships)
Small % fees from transaction between lookers and
leavers?
Cost Structure
Cost driven
Variable Costs:
Getting listings, acquisition costs via online advertising,
admin services, credit check
Initial Fixed Costs: MVP development
Channels
Scrape existing listings on craigslist, StreetEasy
Reach out via partnerships with property management companies
Content Marketing via Influencers, lifestyle & design blogs
Social Networks
Promotional Partnerships
Paid Marketing
Key Resources
Flip app on iOS,
Android and Web
Partnerships to
onboard
landlords/leavers
ASAP
Eventual network
effect
Customer Relationships
Personal Assistance:
Flipmates
Followups for customers on
lease expiration (lowers acq.
costs)
Self-Service
Communities: Social
Networks
Day 1
Started with broad
customer base and vague
idea of value and pricing
Progress this week
Day 1 Days 2-4 Day 5
Started with general
idea of 2 customer
segments: lease
breakers and renters
Unsure of value to
landlords, best
distribution channel,
pricing, etc.
Discovered value we could
add for landlords through
renter profiles and data-
packages
Discovered the potential of
the commercial market
Finalized feature set for MVP
(beyond we’ve already built)
Identified all customer segments
and value proposition for each
Validated that customers would
pay for our premium services
Some short term goals we set
1. Understand the business better - the lease
breaking process, the workflow, the pain points
2. Explore the viability of the commercial market
3. Figure out what data landlords use to determine
how good a tenant is
Day 1 - We started learning about what
matters to landlords
Discovery Insight for product-market fit
Landlords who would use Flip have millennial tenants in
urban areas that move frequently due to career changes
or for better value apartments
Initially focus on growing Flip in cities with large under 30
population, especially ones with lots of universities,
because its hard to move units in school year.
Landlords want incoming tenants to be at least as good
as the outgoing one and care about this more than
lowering vacancy rates
Build renter profiles using machine learning to
provide them with data-driven packages on renters that
they’re not getting elsewhere and market to smaller,
more time-strapped landlords
Retail lease breakers are potentially a huge market Explore this through interviews, but probably market time
and money saving to younger, early adopter and
smaller-scale retail tenants
Key Partners
Companies who provide
SaaS to landlords and
property mgmt
companies (Pitch that
we’d be providing a
complementary service)
ISPs/television/home
utilities/interior
design/moving/ other
service providers for
renters (Lead gen)
Value Proposition
Landlords:
-Social recs and recs from good
current tenants
- Service to manage new tenant
sign-ons and spend less time on
admin tasks
- Richer data on tenants to
determine trustworthiness
- Data on demand across
different apartments
Leavers:
Find replacement tenant and
earn money when breaking a
lease
Lookers
- Early access to housing before
it’s available on the market
- Social - Ability to see if friends
have leases ending soon
- Service that a broker provides
at cheaper flat rate
Customer Segments
Landlords:
Small (less than 1000) residential
landlords with millennial demographic
Retail and commercial landlords with
less than 500 units
Leavers:
Renters under age 30 who are
moving out suddenly (due to
job/school/personal preferences)
looking to pass on their lease
Commercial Renters looking to pass
on leases
Younger, early adopter retail
renters/small businesses looking to
pass on leases
Lookers:
Time-strapped, price insensitive
millennial urban residential renters
who want to get on a new lease
Revenue Streams
Flat fees for lookers moving in
Rush fees for leavers/landlords
Styling fees for leavers/landlords (discounts
with partnerships)
Cost Structure
Flipmates for admin services: $15/hr
Acquisition costs: $6/looker, $20/leaver
Credit check costs: $12/renter
Software Engineers for app and data platform
Channels
-Scrape and filter existing
listings on craigslist,
StreetEasy
-Content Marketing via
Influencers, lifestyle &
design blogs
-Social Networks
-Promotional Partnerships
-Paid Marketing
Customer Relationships
Meet landlords/prop mgrs
through tenants who want
to Flip
Personal Assistance:
Flipmates or Self-Service
Key Resources
- Flip app on iOS,
Android and Web
- Partnerships to
onboard
landlords/leavers
- Tenant profile and
analytics platform for
landlords
- Eventual network
effect
Key Activities
Develop relationships
with landlords, property
managers and lease
agents
Content partnerships
and designer
partnerships; consumer
marketing
Days 2-4
Getting there...
Customer Segment Value Proposition
Residential Landlords
● small number of units
● residential local landlords in urban centers like
SF, NY, LA, etc.
● renting to under 30 market
● willing to pay for admin work
● especially if they pay brokers
● allow lease breaks if given a replacement
● Renter activity generates useful data for landlords about i) renters’ profiles (Credit and income plus proprietary data) to help them choose the best tenants and ii) differential demand to help them choose the best price
● Administrative tasks through Flipmates and escrow payments - save time and money
Residential Leavers
● under 30
● move frequently (under 2 yrs) for new
jobs/college/better fit apartments
● looking to replace their lease
● find a better apartment that fits their new lifestyle● spend minutes instead of days finding someone to replace them
and can earn money for their lease
Lookers
● looking for apartments to move into both
passively (5+ months in advance) and actively
● want to avoid brokers
● willing to pay low fees for paperwork
● access apartments before they’re on the market
● avoid broker fees (in NYC)
● get the place you want with the press of a button (on-demand
services from Flipmates) for flat fee
● social: see where friends and friends of friends live
Who are our customers and how do we help?
Customer Segment Value Proposition
Commercial Landlords● commercial local landlords in urban centers like
SF, NY, LA, etc.
● renting to younger business owners who run
retail stores that want better location or small
businesses that care less about location and
more about lower rent
● allow lease breaks if given a high quality
replacement
● make it easy to find high quality tenants
● provide them with business profiles with data on
owner credit history, revenue, assets,
operational history and specified use for the
space (eg - lease must go to a video game
store)
Commercial Leavers● retail stores which want to move to a location
that offers a competitive advantage for their
business
● small businesses who care more about rent
than location
● looking to replace their lease
● find a better location that fits their business
● make it easy to find replacement tenants that
their landlord likes
We Found New Customers!
Unresolved issue: commercial landlords love brokers
Customer Profiles
Ambitious Annie Hardworking Harry Busy Becky
Annie has lived in 3 cities since finishing
college 4 years ago. She’s been in New
York working for the a digital agency, but
just got her dream job working on digital for
the White House. She loves her one bed in
Prospect Heights and hates to leave the
landlord, who only owns three buildings, in a
lurch.
Harry owns 3 buildings in Greenpoint, a
neighborhood with strong historical/cultural
roots but a lot of new, younger inhabitants.
He wants to spend as little time as possible
finding tenants so he work on his life-calling
- a novel - but also needs to people with
good credit scores who won’t trash the
place or upset any neighbors. He thinks that
referrals from current, good tenants is the
easiest and best way to fill vacancies
Becky is getting kicked out of her place in
the Mission in 3 months when the building
gets turned to condos. She needs to find
somewhere new in that time. She wants lots
of space and can afford it. She has no time
to find a new place, though, and brokers
said they didn’t have any early access to
offer her.
Currently pays: 0-50 to post the vacancy
herself; 0-20 hours of time working her
social networks and managing craigslist
responses to find a replacement
Currently pays: One month rent of a broker
fee in slow-moving micro-markets or 0 in
fast-moving markets. ~20 hours of time
posting and culling tenants himself if he
doesn’t use a broker.
Currently pays:
opportunity cost - she could be spending the
weekend working on her side projects
Key Partners
Companies who provide
SaaS to landlords and
property mgmt
companies (Pitch that
we’d be providing a
complementary service)
Landlords/mgrs send us
leasebreakers
ISPs/television/home
utilities/interior
design/moving/ other
service providers
sweeten deal for
leaseholders
Interior Design Blogs
build awareness about
Flip
Value Proposition
Landlords:
-Social recs and recs from good
current tenants
- Service to manage new tenant
sign-ons and spend less time on
admin tasks
- Richer data on tenants to
determine trustworthiness
- Data on demand across
different apartments
Leavers:
Find replacement tenant and
earn money when breaking a
lease
Lookers
- Early access to housing before
it’s available on the market
- Social - Ability to see if friends
have leases ending soon
- Service that a broker provides
at cheaper flat rate
Customer Segments
Landlords:
Small (less than 1000) residential
landlords with millennial demographic
Retail and commercial landlords with
less than 500 units
Leavers:
Renters under age 30 who are
moving out suddenly (due to
job/school/personal preferences)
looking to pass on their lease
Younger, early adopter retail
renters/small businesses looking to
pass on leases
Lookers:
Time-strapped, price insensitive
millennial urban residential renters
who want to get on a new lease
Revenue Streams
Flat fees for lookers moving who request
service
Rush fees for leavers/landlords
Styling fees for leavers/landlords (discounts
with partnerships)
Referral fees for moving companies, etc.
Cost Structure
Flipmates for admin services: $15/hr
Acquisition costs: $6/looker, $20/leaver
Credit check costs: $12/renter
Software Engineers for app and data platform
Channels
-Content Marketing via
Influencers, lifestyle &
design blogs
-Social Networks
-Promotional Partnerships
-Paid Marketing
Customer Relationships
Meet landlords/prop mgrs
through tenants who want
to Flip
Personal Assistance:
Flipmates or Self-Service
Key Resources
- Flip app on iOS,
Android
- Partnerships to
onboard customers
- “Flipmates”
- Tenant profiles w/
data
-Relationships with
landlords, mgrs
- Eventual network
effect
Key Activities
Build app and platform
Get lease breakers to
share their leases
Get searchers browsing
Build relationships with
partners
Day 5
We ended up here
Millennials like Annie and Becky want experiences that are social, mobile-
first and convenient.
● For Millennials, the definition of expert isn't a professional, its a peer or a close friend with first
hand experience. Recommendations about the best neighborhoods and buildings to live are
more valuable if they are social than if they come from a real estate brokerage.
● Millennials overwhelmingly agree (47 percent versus 28 percent) that their lives feel richer
when they’re connected to people through social media. However there's still no way let your
friends "like" where you live, and vice versa.
● Millennials will pay a premium for speed, ease, efficiency and convenience in all their
transactions and prefer to discover new products on their mobile device. They have an app on
their phone to get anything on demand, and real estate should be no different.
Source: "The Millennial Consumer, Debunking Stereotypes," Boston Consulting Group, 2014
We verified how our customers want to be
reached
Focus on bringing demand side into the top of the funnel at a profitable cost.
Simultaneously, create supply with a combination of low competition, long tail SEM keywords, promotions and biz dev.
Channels and Get Strategy
Results this week
Over 40 signups on website in the past week (organic growth)
Our first 2 true conversions yesterday(even though we have no inventory):● 1 lease breaker gave us till June to find a replacement ● 1 lease breaker asked us to find her replacement
immediately
Moving forward
1. Acquire initial inventory through targeted ads, SEO, partnerships with property managers and possibly with listing aggregators (coopetition?)
2. Get better estimate of residential and (especially) commercial market size and see how much Flip can facilitate the growth of the market for lease breakers
3. Build out the product for other platforms: web, Android, data tools for tenant profiles
4. Figure out how to reach out to retail landlords or if its necessary (maybe we can just market to retail renters
MVP iOS app is built and ready. Currently supports:● Apartment search, browse & listing● Requests for on demand service● Social
Demos have been received favorably
Android and web platform to be developed
Data analytics and tenant profiling platform will be built out in the future after building up data from Flip users
Our product and its future
Thank you!
Sign up at at hiflip.com
for updates on our official release
Things that Flip makes
happen that don’t happen now
Broker blast
Owner/Mgr.
Listing
aggregatorand/or
Renter C.
Flip
Renter B.
Renter A.
at t = 0
Renter A.
at t = 1
Renter A.
at t = 2
necessary
possible
$119
2-10% 1 month rent
Reflects lifecycle of
lease
Appendix A: How it Works
10% 1 month rent
Appendix B: Market
Opportunity
43M renters
Source: National Multifamily Housing Council
43.4M households rent
11.2M under 30
5.6M
moving
this
year
$560,791,000 TAM
assuming single $100 fee
Initial pilot
segment 1.5
M in NY,
LA, Boston
SF
$150M TAM
3.65M
impressions
Another measure: Search
trends
Assumes .5%
CTR
TAM: 365M
SAM: 2.1M
18K
Residential real estate
Listing
aggregators
Data
Possible Acquirer
Partner
SaaS
Appendix C: Competitive
Landscape
Goods sold: 30$ (Average of AC through paid marketing and biz dev)
AC for a renter (demand): max $10, CLV is 20
Margins are significantly higher for leasebreakers with urgency
Cost of services provided: Flipmates: 15$ an hour, credit checks ~12$
Appendix D: Financial Projections