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FLEXPOWER BUNDLE UPDATE - CPS Energy...Nov 18, 2019 · Solar 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000...
Transcript of FLEXPOWER BUNDLE UPDATE - CPS Energy...Nov 18, 2019 · Solar 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000...
FLEXPOWER BUNDLE UPDATE
November 18, 2019
I n f o r m a t i o n a l U p d a t e
P R E S E N T E D B Y :John BonninVice President
Energy Supply & Market Operations
• PROVIDE OUTLOOK OF OUR CAPACITY NEEDS OVER THE NEXT DECADE
• PROVIDE OVERVIEW OF OUR PROCESS TO EVALUATE THE ADDITION OF MORE RENEWABLES TO OUR PORTFOLIO
• PROVIDE LOOK AHEAD & NEXT STEPS
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OBJECTIVES & TAKEAWAYS
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AGENDA
• OVERVIEW OF GENERATION ASSETS: CAPACITY & AGE
• COMPARE OUR TOTAL CAPACITY WITH LOAD FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS, WITH & WITHOUT FLEXPOWER BUNDLE
• OPTIMIZING OUR RESOURCES TO MEET PEAK DEMAND
• PROCESS FOR EXPLORING OUR OPTIONS
• LOOK AHEAD & NEXT STEPS
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OUR PLANTS ARE AGING
5715
976
1454
560
1036
1242
447
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0 - 9 10- 19 20 - 29 30 - 39 40 - 49 50+ All Years (Total
Capacity)
Almost 30% of our capacity comes from plants that are
40+ years old
MLB 5-8Spruce 2
MLB 1-4Rio NogalesAvR
Spruce 1 STP 1STP 2
Sommers 1Sommers 2Braunig 3
Braunig 1 Braunig 2
Our team does a great job keeping our plants running. Reliability of our plants continues to be a top priority.
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LOAD FORECAST VS AGING CAPACITY
Aging units comprise our entire reserve margin & are needed to meet our load requirements
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
MW
Calendar Year
Rest of Fleet Aging Capacity Peak Demand
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LOAD FORECAST VS AGING CAPACITYWITH FLEXPOWER BUNDLE
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
MW
Calendar Year
Rest of Fleet FlexPower BundleGas
FlexPower BundleSolar + Storage
Aging Capacity Peak Demand
FLEXIBLE PATH IN ACTIONFLEXPOWER BUNDLE
Up to 900 MEGAWATTS (MW)
Up to 500 MEGAWATTS (MW)
Up to 50 MEGAWATTS (MW)
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We are going through a process to evaluate adding more renewables
Our approach will:
• Align with our Flexible Path Strategy
• Consider options available to ensure
reliability, resiliency & affordability
• Include firming capacity like storage &
gas-fired generation
• Strengthen reliability for aging assets
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FLEXPOWER BUNDLE OPTIMIZING RESOURCES
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
San
An
ton
io E
ner
gy U
se (
MW
)
Hour of the Day
Summer Day
Wind
CustomerDemand
DemandResponse
Gas Toll & Rest of Fleet
Storage
Solar
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
San
An
ton
io E
ner
gy U
se (
MW
)
Hour of the Day
Winter Day
Wind
CustomerDemand
Gas Toll & Rest of Fleet
Storage
Solar
Intermittent solar & wind need to be firmed up with conventional
power sources to provide around-the-clock reliability
100%
58%
15%
33%
100%
43%
20%
1%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Conventional Coastal Wind West TX Wind Solar Conventional Coastal Wind West TX Wind Solar
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RESOURCE PEAK AVAILABILITY
Summer Peak: August 6- 7 p.m. Winter Peak: February 7- 8 a.m.
Only a portion of renewable capacity is available to meet summer & winter peak
Using a Request For Proposal (RFP) process we will:
•Explore current pricing for solar & storage
• Identify market availability & timeline
•Evaluate & recommend viable candidates
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ADDING SOLAR & STORAGEOUR APPROCH TO THE PROCESS
The team expects hundreds of submissions for this offer.
Explore options with qualified companies that currently provide reliable & efficient power in the ERCOT market
• We will consider:
• Our seasonal & hourly needs to firm our existing & any new renewable resources
• Pricing available for power purchased
• Asset performance history
• Location of resource to mitigate exposure to congestion
• Availability & timing
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ADDING FIRMING CAPACITYOUR APPROACH TO THE PROCESS
Options for firming up renewables & enhancing reliability of the fleet are being explored
NEXT STEPS & LOOK AHEAD
We will continue to provide updates along the way
Complete Initial Customer
Feedback & Engagement
Release Solar + Battery Request
for Proposals
Explore Gas Firming Capacity Options
2019 2020
Receive Solar + Battery Proposals,Evaluate & recommend
Execute FlexPower
Bundle
We are here
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WE HAVE A BALANCED APPROACHTHESE CONSIDERATIONS ARE IMPORTANT
As we work through the FlexPower Bundle, we will ensure that we keep our value pillars at the forefront
SECURITY
CUSTOMERAFFORDABILITY
RELIABILITY ENVIRONMENTALLY RESPONSIBLE
RESILIENCY SAFETY
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Thank You
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Appendix
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BUNDLED APPROACHTO ADD FUTURE PEAK CAPACITY
SOURCES OF GENERATION
SOLAR STORAGE GAS
BENEFITS
• Aligns with our load• Costs continue to decrease• Zero emission source• Low maintenance• Improving technologies
• Great back-up source of power
• Reduces need for increased peak generation capacity
• Zero emission source
• Abundant supply• Consistently dependable
source of energy• Affordable• Mature technology
CHALLENGES
• Weather & time dependentresource
• Requires back-up generation
• Uses a lot of real estate• Unknown environmental
impacts
• Expensive• Shorter lifespan than other
sources• Unknown environmental
impacts• Immature technology
• Carbon-emitting• Higher maintenance costs• Forced outage risk• Useful life may extend
beyond market value
While there is no perfect solution, each technology has its benefits. More value is created through bundling.
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