First Results on the Quantitative Data Analysis in Madagascar
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Transcript of First Results on the Quantitative Data Analysis in Madagascar
First Results on theQuantitative Data Analysis
in Madagascar
Vakinankaratra
To FianarantsoaRN 7
To Antananarivo
To MorondavaWest Coast
Fianarantsoa
To Antsirabe
To Toliara
Village Strata VAKINA
Paved Road Large Small
PANEL Close Mandriankeni Iandratsay
Ambohiambo
Far Manarintsoa Ambohijafy
Antampondra
Tsaramody
NEW Close Ambatomainty Tsaratanana
Far Zanakambony Andranokely
Village Strata FIANAR
Paved Road Large Small
FIANAR Close Miandrifekona Ambohimaha
Far Sahavanana
Sangasanga
Tsararivotra
Ampampana
Samples
N 1992 N 1997 N 2000 N 2002
Panel 135 135 135 135
New 80
VAKINA 135 135 135 215
FIANAR 0 95 122 122
Attrition Rate
Sample size Between
97 – 00
Between
00 – 02
VAKINA 135 32 (23.7%) 7 (5.1%)
FIANAR 122 29 (23.8%) 16 (13.1%)
A.R. Vakinankaratra
To FianarantsoaRN 7
To Antananarivo
To Morondava
27/0
13/0 53/20
12/8
20/8
27/0
40/0
A.R Fianarantsoa
To Antsirabe
To Toliara
21/16
45/15
31/25
7/0
45/1520/819/5
Reason of Non-Retrieval
- Temporary absent from the village (may be re-surveyed)- Temporary migration for Ag. salary worker- Temporary migration to mining area- Refuse to be interviewed (sickness, too old)- Definitive migration
Survey Facts
- Time consuming: 5 to 10 hours per HH- F(# of plots, # Ag. Activities)- Split interview in 2 stages- No time to visit all plots
- 40% Vakinankaratra- 60% Fianarantsoa
- Have to pay farmers
Income Computation
- AGRICULTURAL INCOME- Sales- Consumption: Food, Feed, Seed
- LIVESTOCK INCOME- Sales- Consumption- Farm product (Valued at 25% village price of adult)
- NONFARM INCOME (NET)- Wage (including Ag. Wage)- Transfer - Non agricultural Activities
Income Computation (cont'd)
- Official Minimum Wage = US$ 30 = US$ 1 per day per capita- Family of 2 Extreme-poor- Family of 4 Ultra-poor
-Average household size in Madagascar: Between 4 and 6
-Average Agricultural wage for hired labor = US$1- 50 to 70% Cash- 30 – 70% Food
Transition Matrix Vakinankaratra
Poverty line US$ 0.50 Poverty line US$ 0.25
Poor in 2002
Non Poor in 2002
Poor in 2002
Non Poor in 2002
Poor in 1997
61.7% 8.5% 30.9% 6.4%
Non Poor in 1997
27.7% 8.5% 27.7% 35.1%
Transition Matrix Fianarantsoa
Poverty line US$ 0.50 Poverty line US$ 0.25
Poor in 2002
Non Poor in 2002
Poor in 2002
Non Poor in 2002
Poor in 1997
91.4% 5.2% 48.3% 5.2%
Non Poor in 1997
3.4% 0.0% 34.5% 12.1%
Vakinankaratra 1997 – 2002Per capita INCOME
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
1997 US$/day per capita
2002
US
$/d
ay p
er c
apit
a
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
1997 US$/day per capita
2002
US
$/d
ay p
ar c
apit
a
Fianarantsoa 1997 – 2002Per capita INCOME
Stat : Demographic Char. V
VAKINA
(US$ .25)
Household Size Age of HHH Education level of HHH
P1/P2 7.1 48.3 2.2
P1/NP2 3.0 51.5 2.3
NP1/P2 6.6 51.3 2.1
NP1/NP2 6.1 49.5 2.5
Stat : Demographic Char. F
FIANAR
(US$ .25)
Household Size Age of HHH Education level of HHH
P1/P2 8.1 49.3 2.3
P1/NP2 5.3 45.3 2.0
NP1/P2 8.1 52.9 2.6
NP1/NP2 7.6 43.4 3.1
Stat : Food Security V
Number of Months where food consumption is low
Average kg of rice purchased during the year
P1/P2 5.5 505
P1/NP2 5.8 233
NP1/P2 5.5 367
NP1/NP2 2.8 376
VAKINANKARATRA 4.6 405
Stat : Food Security F
Number of Months where food consumption is low
Average kg of rice purchased during the year
P1/P2 6.1 328
P1/NP2 4.7 150
NP1/P2 4.9 262
NP1/NP2 5.1 310
FIANARANTSOA 5.5 293
Stat : Agricultural Land V
HH Rice field in are
HH upland in are
Per capita Rice field in are
Per capita upland in are
P1/P2 31.8 83.1 4.5 11.7
P1/NP2 14.3 42.1 4.8 14.0
NP1/P2 31.3 103.0 4.7 15.6
NP1/NP2 85.6 171.8 14.0 28.2
VAKINA 49.4 117.2 7.8 18.6
Stat : Agricultural Land F
HH Rice field in are
HH upland in are
Per capita Rice field in are
Per capita upland in are
P1/P2 51.3 65.4 6.3 8.1
P1/NP2 32.5 45.8 6.1 8.6
NP1/P2 69.1 62.5 8.5 7.7
NP1/NP2 126.7 163.4 16.7 21.5
FIANAR 65.5 75.2 8.3 9.5
Stat : Income Composition V
Per capita income 2002
per year
Wage Non Agricultural
Livestock Agricultural
P1/P2 58164
53724
24.7
36.3
8.2
13.2
9.5
5.7
56.3
44.9
P1/NP2 151756
63796
13.6
35.6
3.3
22.3
11.4
1.5
71.6
40.6
NP1/P2 75050
212115
13.1
13.5
3.7
28.3
17.1
19.4
65.7
38.9
NP1/NP2 305365
225319
9.2
11.5
6.5
22.3
42.9
19.8
41.1
46.3
VAKINA 148941
155188
12.0
15.6
6.2
23.3
33.6
17.6
47.7
43.5
Stat : Income Composition F
Per capita income 2002 per year
Wage Non Agricultural
Livestock Agricultural
P1/P2 50177
52685
4.2
16.6
10.0
7.5
20.2
7.4
64.3
68.6
P1/NP2 167059
52810
0.0
11.8
0.0
19.0
45.8
2.1
42.9
67.1
NP1/P2 58117
122251
3.1
14.3
6.7
15.0
24.4
9.1
65.5
64.6
NP1/NP2 203126
115747
7.8
4.7
23.1
8.4
13.7
25.2
55.1
61.8
FIANAR 74775
81961
4.7
13.7
12.4
11.7
21.3
10.4
60.1
64.2
Recommendation for Qualitative work
Village with PNP- 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 for Vakinankaratra- 22, 23 for Fianarantsoa
Village with NPP- 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 for Vakinankaratra- 19, 21 for Fianarantsoa
Village with NPNP- 2, 3, 4, 5, 6- None at US$ 0.50