First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016...

19
First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement

Transcript of First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016...

Page 1: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement

Page 2: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Agenda

Financial Review

Regional Review

Outlook

Page 3: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Financial Review

Page 4: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Trading Performance

Reported (£m) Constant

2016 2015 % %

Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6%

• Gross profit growth of 3.6% in constant currencies

• Favourable foreign exchange movements in some currencies, mainly the Euro, led to higher growth in

reported rates of 4.9%

• Proposed final dividend of 7.9 pence per share, making total 2015 ordinary of 11.5p, plus special of 16p

• Financial position: c. £89m of net cash

4

Page 5: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Permanent vs Temporary – Year-on-Year Gross Profit

Reported (£m) Constant

Q1 2016 2015 % %

Permanent 107.9 105.1 +2.7% +1.6%

Temporary 34.5 30.6 +12.8% +10.6%

Ratio (Perm : Temp) 76:24 77:23

• Perm : Temp ratio now 76:24

• Slower growth in permanent reflects current economic conditions in the majority of our regions

• Michael Page (Perm : Temp of 83:17) +2%

• Page Personnel (Perm : Temp of 59:41) +9%

5

Page 6: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Discipline Overview – Year-on-Year Gross Profit

Reported (£m) Constant

Q1 % of

Group 2016 2015 % %

Finance & Accounting 40% 56.7 53.9 +5.2% +4.0%

Legal, Technology, HR, Secretarial

and Healthcare 22% 31.3 27.8 +12.6% +10.9%

Engineering, Property &

Construction, Procurement &

Supply Chain

19% 26.9 26.5 +1.2% -0.2%

Marketing, Sales and Retail 19% 27.5 27.5 +0.2% -0.8%

Group Total 100% 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6%

6

Page 7: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Headcount

Q1 2016 Q4 2015 Movement %

Fee earners 4,496 4,484 12 0.3%

Support staff 1,381 1,351 30 2.2%

Total headcount 5,877 5,835 42 0.7%

Ratio 77:23 77:23

• Fee earner headcount responds to trading conditions, +60 in EMEA, -49 in the UK

• Support staff increase temporary as we transition into our new European Shared Service Centre

7

Page 8: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Headcount and Reported Gross Profit

Total headcount increased 0.7% vs. Q4 2015 to 5,877 (Q4 2015: 5,835)

8

Page 9: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Regional Review

Page 10: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Q1 Regional Overview - Year-on-Year Gross Profit

Reported (£m) Constant

Q1 % of

Group 2016 2015 % %

EMEA 43% 61.7 54.1 +14.1% +10.3%

UK 26% 36.5 36.5 +0.0% +0.0%

Asia Pacific 18% 25.9 25.8 +0.5% -2.0%

Americas 13% 18.3 19.3 -5.3% -0.6%

Group Total 100% 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6%

10

Page 11: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

EMEA (43% of the Group) - Year-on-Year Gross Profit

Reported (£m) Constant

2016 2015 % %

Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 61.7 54.1 +14.1% +10.3%

Headcount at 31 March 2016: 2,380 (31 December 2015: 2,295)

• Michael Page (57% of EMEA) +8%, Page Personnel (43% of EMEA) +13%

• France (13% of Group) +2%

- Michael Page (37% of France) -2%

- Page Personnel (63% of France) +5%

• Germany (6% of Group) +6%

- Michael Page (66% of Germany) +2%

- Page Personnel (34% of Germany) +17%

• Strong growth in Benelux (+32%) and a record quarter for Southern Europe (+20%)

• Record performances from Belgium, Poland, Sweden and Turkey

• Middle East and Africa combined, declined 15%, Middle East (-28%), Africa (+18%)

11

Page 12: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

United Kingdom (26% of the Group) - Year-on-Year Gross Profit

• Michael Page (78% of the UK) -3%

• Page Personnel (22% of the UK) +9%

• Temporary recruitment (+6%) more robust than permanent (-3%)

• Continued excellent result in our Legal discipline (+23%)

• Private sector (87% of the UK) flat

• Public sector (13% of the UK) -2%

Reported (£m)

2016 2015 %

Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 36.5 36.5 +0.0%

Headcount at 31 March 2016: 1,472 (31 December 2015: 1,516)

12

Page 13: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Asia Pacific (18% of the Group) - Year-on-Year Gross Profit

• Asia (13% of Group and 72% of Asia Pacific) -1%

• Greater China (57% of Asia) -5%

• Improved performance as the quarter progressed

• Strong performances from Indonesia and Malaysia, combined up 17%

• Australasia (5% of Group and 28% of Asia Pacific) -3%

• Sequential improvement on Q4 2015 of 5%

• Australia -4%

• Leadership and management changes starting to have a positive impact

Reported (£m) Constant

2016 2015 % %

Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 25.9 25.8 +0.5% -2.0%

Headcount at 31 March 2016: 1,200 (31 December 2015: 1,180)

13

Page 14: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Americas (13% of the Group) - Year-on-Year Gross Profit

• North America (8% of the Group and 59% of Americas) +9%

• US +12%, stock market uncertainty at the start of the year impacted New York Financial Services

business

• Strong performances from Procurement & Supply Chain, Property & Construction and Technology

• Latin America (5% of the Group and 41% of Americas) -10%

• Brazil (35% of Latin America) -31%, continues to be impacted by adverse macro-economic factors

• Latin America ex-Brazil (65% of Latin America) +11%

Reported (£m) Constant

2016 2015 % %

Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 18.3 19.3 -5.3% -0.6%

Headcount at 31 March 2016: 825 (31 December 2015: 844)

14

Page 15: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Outlook

Page 16: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Outlook

Summary

• Trading conditions anticipated to remain challenging in the short term

- Uncertainty in the UK due to EU Referendum, but job indicators remain strong

- Brazil and the Middle East expected to remain challenging

- Asia will continue to be impacted by confidence levels in Greater China

- Europe and the US look positive

• Ongoing focus is on conversion rates and productivity

- Will continue to add fee earners where growth opportunities exist

• Continue to focus on driving profitable growth, whilst remaining able to

respond quickly to any changes in market conditions

Outlook

16

Page 17: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Cautionary Statement

This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported financial results nor other historical

information. The information contained in this presentation is not audited, is for personal use and informational

purposes only and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction in any

country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation, or which would subject any member

of the Michael Page International plc group of companies to any registration requirement. No representation or

warranty, express or implied, is or will be made in relation to the accuracy, fairness or completeness of the

information or opinions made in this presentation.

Certain statements included or incorporated by reference within this presentation may constitute “forward-looking

statements” that are based on current expectations or beliefs, as well as assumptions about future events. There

are risk factors that can cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such

statements. Accordingly, no assurance can be given that any particular expectation will be met and reliance

should not be placed on any forward-looking statement.

Michael Page International plc disclaims any intention or obligation to revise or update any forward-looking

statements that may be made in this presentation, regardless of whether those statements are affected as a result

of new information, future events or otherwise. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit

forecast.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to

purchase any shares in Michael Page International plc, nor shall it or any part of it or the fact of its distribution

form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision relating

thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the shares of Michael Page International plc. Past

performance cannot be relied upon as a guide to future performance. Liability arising from anything in this

presentation shall be governed by English Law. Nothing in this presentation shall exclude any liability under

applicable laws that cannot be excluded in accordance with such laws.

Page 18: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of

Year-on-Year Gross Profit Growth Rates

2014 2015 2016

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

EMEA +5.7% +5.1% +11.2% +12.5% +12.1% +11.4% +13.0% +10.6% +10.3%

UK +8.1% +11.1% +13.7% +11.0% +11.3% +12.8% +12.5% +2.4% +0.0%

Asia Pacific +1.3% +14.2% +11.1% +10.8% +10.8% +5.6% +5.3% -1.3% -2.0%

-Asia +8.0% +25.0% +16.5% +15.0% +14.1% +8.8% +9.2% +2.4% -1.5%

- Australasia -9.5% -2.9% +1.7% +2.7% +3.9% -1.8% -2.3% -9.3% -3.0%

Americas +16.2% +8.5% +9.6% +20.2% +7.1% +11.5% +5.3% +5.7% -0.6%

- North America +30.5% +15.5% +22.3% +20.3% +10.6% +21.1% +18.0% +23.5% +9.2%

-Latin America +7.4% +4.2% +1.5% +19.9% +4.2% +3.8% -4.8% -8.9% -9.8%

Group Total +6.8% +8.9% +11.6% +12.9% +10.9% +10.6% +10.0% +5.5% +3.6%

Page 19: First Quarter 2016 Interim Management Statement · Trading Performance Reported (£m) Constant 2016 2015 % % Q1 2016 vs Q1 2015 142.4 135.7 +4.9% +3.6% • Gross profit growth of