Finning investor meeting dec 17, 2013 web
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Transcript of Finning investor meeting dec 17, 2013 web
NEW FOCUS Driving Return on Invested Capital
Investor Meeting December 17, 2013
Forward Looking Information
This report contains statements about the Company’s business outlook, objectives, plans, strategic priorities and other statements that are not historical facts. A statement Finning makes is forward-looking when it uses what the Company knows and expects today to make a statement about the future. Forward-looking statements may include words such as aim, anticipate, assumption, believe, could, expect, goal, guidance, intend, may, objective, outlook, plan, project, seek, should, strategy, strive, target, and will. Forward-looking statements in this report include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: expectations with respect to the economy and associated impact on the Company’s financial results; expected revenue and EBIT margin growth; expected results from service excellence action plans; anticipated asset utilization, inventory turns and parts service levels; and the expected target range of the Company’s net debt to total capital ratio. All such forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the ‘safe harbour’ provisions of applicable Canadian securities laws.
Unless otherwise indicated by us, forward-looking statements in this report describe Finning’s expectations at December 17, 2013. Except as may be required by Canadian securities laws, Finning does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
Forward-looking statements, by their very nature, are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties and are based on several assumptions which give rise to the possibility that actual results could differ materially from the expectations expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements and that Finning’s business outlook, objectives, plans, strategic priorities and other statements that are not historical facts may not be achieved. As a result, Finning cannot guarantee that any forward-looking statement will materialize. Factors that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these forward-looking statements include: general economic and market conditions; risks associated with the conduct of business in foreign jurisdictions; foreign exchange rates; commodity prices; the level of customer confidence and spending, and the demand for, and prices of, Finning’s products and services; Finning’s dependence on the continued market acceptance of Caterpillar’s products and Caterpillar’s timely supply of parts and equipment; Finning’s ability to continue to improve productivity and operational efficiencies while continuing to maintain customer service; Finning’s ability to manage cost pressures as growth in revenues occur; Finning’s ability to reduce costs in response to slowing activity levels; Finning’s ability to attract sufficient skilled labour resources to meet growing product support demand; Finning’s ability to negotiate and renew collective bargaining agreements with satisfactory terms for Finning’s employees and the Company; the intensity of competitive activity; Finning’s ability to realize expected benefits of acquisitions; Finning’s ability to raise the capital needed to implement its business plan; regulatory initiatives or proceedings, litigation and changes in laws or regulations; stock market volatility; changes in political and economic environments for operations; the integrity, reliability, availability and benefits from information technology and the data processed by that technology. Forward-looking statements are provided in this report for the purpose of giving information about management’s current expectations and plans and allowing investors and others to get a better understanding of Finning’s operating environment. However, readers are cautioned that it may not be appropriate to use such forward-looking statements for any other purpose.
Forward-looking statements made in this report are based on a number of assumptions that Finning believed were reasonable on the day the Company made the forward-looking statements. Refer in particular to the Outlook section of the MD&A. Some of the assumptions, risks, and other factors which could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements contained in this report are discussed in the Company’s current Annual Information Form (AIF) in Section 4.
Finning cautions readers that the risks described in the AIF are not the only ones that could impact the Company. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to the Company or that are currently deemed to be immaterial may also have a material adverse effect on Finning’s business, financial condition, or results of operations.
Except as otherwise indicated, forward-looking statements do not reflect the potential impact of any non-recurring or other unusual items or of any dispositions, mergers, acquisitions, other business combinations or other transactions that may be announced or that may occur after the date hereof. The financial impact of these transactions and non-recurring and other unusual items can be complex and depends on the facts particular to each of them. Finning therefore cannot describe the expected impact in a meaningful way or in the same way Finning presents known risks affecting its business.
2
Agenda
9:00 AM Registration and Breakfast
9:30 AM Welcome Mauk Breukels, VP, Investor Relations 9:35 AM Value Proposition Scott Thomson, President & CEO
10:05 AM Operational Priorities Juan Carlos Villegas, President, Finning Canada & COO 10:35 AM Financial Objectives Dave Smith, EVP & CFO 10:50 AM Summary Scott Thomson, President & CEO
11:00 AM Break
11:15 AM Q&A
12:15 PM Lunch
3
Compelling Value Proposition
! Passionate and committed employees ! Right people in the right places to execute on the plan
! Best products, best territories ! Aligned with Caterpillar, world’s best heavy equipment company ! Resource-rich territories with significant organic growth opportunities
! Compelling business model ! Machine population provides embedded product support growth ! Opportunity to generate positive free cash flow throughout the cycle
! Significant opportunity to improve operating performance ! Going forward, profit can grow faster than revenue and working capital
management will improve markedly
! Opportunity to optimize and capitalize on historic investments ! More disciplined approach to capital investment
4
Revitalized Management Team
5
New leadership, new focus
Scott ThomsonPresident & CEO
Andy FraserEVP,
Customer & External Relations
Neil DickinsonManaging Director,
Finning UK & Ireland; EVP, Global Power
Systems
Marcello MarchesePresident,
Finning South America
Juan Carlos Villegas
President, Finning
Canada & COO, Finning International
Dave SmithEVP & CFO
Dave CummingsSVP & CIO
Chief Human Resources
Officer
0.00
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1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
Sep
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Dec
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Mar
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Jun-
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Sep
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Dec
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Mar
-11
Jun-
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Sep
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Dec
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Mar
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Jun-
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Sep
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Dec
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Mar
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Jun-
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Sep
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Freq
uenc
y pe
r 20
0,00
0 hr
s
Month
TRI Frequency 2009 - 2013
Consolidated
Engaged Culture & Strong Safety Record
6
Total Recordable Injury Frequency (per 200,000 hours)
2013 Employee Opinion Survey Highlights
Scores above increased from 2012 to 2013
74%Engagement 75%Finning CAT Dealer
Average
84%89%Safety
77%78%Accountabilityfor Results
Top Decile
Top Quartile
Broadest Range of Quality Products
7
Over 300 equipment product lines
OFF-HIGHWAY TRUCKS UNDERGROUND TRUCKS
FOREST MACHINES
POWER SYSTEMSPIPE LAYERS
GRADERS
DOZERS
COMPACTORS
Power Systems
Construction
Forestry
Mining
Petroleum
WHEEL LOADERS BACKHOE LOADERS SKID STEER LOADERS
HYDRAULIC SHOVEL ELECTRIC ROPE SHOVEL
SKIDDERS FELLER BUNCHERS
DOZERS EXCAVATORS
ELECTRICAL POWER GEN. INDUSTRIAL OEM MARINE POWER
FORBES Top 100 Most Valuable
Brands
Record 2012 R&D Investment
$2.5B
Market Leader in Most Desirable Regions
8
Revenue by region (nine months ended Sept 30, 2013)
UK &Ireland
13%
SouthAmerica
37%
Canada50%
2013nine months ended
September 30
Other*9%
Forestry3%
Petroleum5%
PowerSystems
17%
Construction32%
Mining34%
Other*7%
Forestry2%
Petroleum 3%
PowerSystems
18%
Construction27%
Mining43%
New Equipment Deliveries by Industry
2008
Non-mining equipment deliveries increased from 57% to 66% over last 5 years
Diverse & Growing Customer Base
9
66% of new equipment deliveries from non-mining
* Other: agriculture, industrial and government segments
Rental6%Used
4%
NewEquipment
42%
ProductSupport48%
Revenue by Line of Business
Large Installed
Base
Product Support
Product Support10-Year CAGR ~11%
(2003-LTM)
~100,0002012 Mobile
Machine Population
New Equipment
Sales2013
nine months ended September 30
Powerful, Sustainable Business Model
10
ROIC
ROA
EPS
ROE
Revenue
0 0.15 0.30 0.45 0.60
0.10
0.23
0.39
0.44
0.51
Average Three-Year ∆
Correlation of Key Metrics to Total Returns
Total Returns vs. Three-year Δ ROIC by Quartile
-4%
0%
4%
8%
12%
Fourth Third Second First0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
-2.9
0.1
2.5
9.1
13.3
41.8
57.9
76.9
Average Three-year Δ ROICAverage Total Return
Quartile
Return on Invested Capital
11
Drives Shareholder Value
Source: RBC Capital Markets
FTT – Flat ROIC over last three years – 3rd quartile
Return on Invested Capital Defined
12
Last twelve months ended September 30, 2013
ROIC
EBITMargin
Invested Capital
Turnover
×
÷
EBIT
Revenue
÷
Revenue
Average Invested Capital
2.0x
7.8%
15.8%
$523M
$6,706M
$3,308M
Ferreycorp
Finning
Wajax
Barloworld
Strongco
H&E Equipment
Toromont
Seven Group*
-10 0 10 20 30
Wajax
Barloworld
Toromont
Finning
Ferreycorp
Strongco
Seven Group
H&E Equipment
0 1 2 3 4
Toromont
H&E Equipment
Seven Group
Finning
Ferreycorp
Barloworld
Wajax
Strongco
0 3 6 9 12
Revenue Growth %(’06 – ’12 CAGR)
EBIT Margin %(LTM)
Invested Capital Turnover(LTM)
FinningFinning
Finning
Performance Gap
13
Source: RBC Capital Markets See Appendix for description of Finning peers * Not meaningful
Finning
Canada
UK & Ireland
South America9.8
4.5
7.0
6.9
9.6
5.1
8.1
7.8
EBIT MarginInvested CapitalTurnover ROIC
Finning
Canada
UK & Ireland
South America21.2
12.2
16.9
18.2
17.9
16.8
15.9
15.8Finning
Canada
UK & Ireland
South America2.2
2.7
2.4
2.6
1.9
3.3
2.0
2.0
LTM Seven-Year Average
ROIC Performance
14
Results have been adjusted to exclude discontinued operations LTM – last twelve months ended September 30, 2013 Seven-year average – 2006 to 2012
Priorities Will Drive Improved ROIC
15
All priorities are linked directly to EBIT or Invested Capital
ROIC
EBIT
Invested Capital
Market Leadership
Supply Chain
Asset Utilization
Service ExcellenceSafety & Talent Management(Foundation)
Priorities
ROIC
EBIT
Invested Capital
Market Leadership
Supply Chain
Asset Utilization
Service ExcellenceSafety &Talent Management(Foundation)
Priorities
Priorities Linked to Incentives
16
Realignment of incentives • From management to
branch level • Metrics linked to what
employees control
! Safety ! Employee development ! Market share ! Customer loyalty ! Parts growth ! Supply chain ! Service profitability ! SG&A
KPI Categories
Defined key performance indicators (KPIs) to consistently measure performance against priorities across the organizations
IncentivePlan
Short Term
LongTerm
SafetyEBIT MarginFree Cash FlowCustomer LoyaltyInvested Capital Turnover
Return on Invested CapitalTotal Shareholder Return
50%
Safety & Talent Management
17
Foundation for all priorities
! Recent vice president appointments ! Canada:
! Supply chain ! Power systems ! Customer solutions ! Service
! South America: ! Human resources ! Supply chain
Safety excellence
Right people in right roles
! Rigorous, company-wide focus on safety
! New role – Andy Fraser, EVP, customer & external relations – reflects fundamental importance of safety: ! strategic oversight ! greater consistency
across operations
People development
! Continued investment in learning and development
! Ongoing focus on employee engagement to drive high performance
! Structured succession planning for key roles
EXECUTING ON OUR PRIORITIES
Priorities
Foundational ! Safety & Talent Management
Operational ! Supply Chain ! Service Excellence ! Asset Utilization ! Customer & Market Leadership
19
2011 LTM
2.4X3.0X
Inventory Turns
LTMCOGS $4,656M
LTM AverageInventory* $1,931M
Supply Chain
Benefits ! Competitive advantage as
a world-class distributor ! Efficient supply chain
drives customer loyalty ! Reduces invested capital ! Reduces costs ! Improves cash generation
Primary opportunities ! Canada ! FINSA – Drills and Shovels
20
Supply Chain Target ∆ in 3 Years Working Capital Reduction
Inventory Turns Consolidated 0.5 – 0.9x " 0.1 turn = $50M inventory #
* 4 quarters average LTM - last twelve months ended September 30, 2013
Canada
Network ! Implement direct ship from Caterpillar’s Spokane Distribution Centre ! Implement direct ship from Regional Distribution Centres to local customers ! Optimize existing warehouse and distribution network resulting in reduction of delivery
touches
Transportation ! Consolidate transportation services, driving cost improvement ! Optimize delivery frequencies and routes
Inventory ! Centralized inventory management function ! Dedicated focus on critical customer parts ! Rationalize slow moving parts ! Standardize parts warehouse processes ! Implement new inventory management replenishment rules
21
Supply Chain Action Plans
Morton, IL
Edmonton, AB
Kamloops, BCVernon, BC
7d
Spokane, WA
12h
CustomerVernon,BC
Spokane, WA(Caterpillar)
Planned Logistics Model: Direct Stock Routes
Legacy Network Model
12h
7dMorton, IL(Caterpillar)
Edmonton,AB
CustomerVernon, BC
Kamloops, BC
Dramatically Reduced Lead Times and Transfer Points
22
Canada
23
Supply Chain Progress to Date
0
25
50
75
100
June2011 2012
Sept2013
29
54
19
0
25
50
75
100
June2011 2012
Sept2013
9388
92
8076
82
24 Hours 72 Hours
95%
85%
2013 TARGET
Emergency Parts Purchases (% of items) Parts Service Level (%)
PartsInventory
Turns
2012YTD2013
∆ +0.3x
Service Excellence
Benefits ! Drives lowest equipment owning and
operating costs for customers ! Maximum uptime for customers ! Improves customer loyalty ! Increases service profitability ! Attracts and retains technical talent Primary opportunities ! All regions
24
Service Excellence Target ∆ in 3 Years
Consolidated EBIT $ $40 – 60M"
Canada
Improve labour recovery ! Enhance leadership, competencies & technical skills ! Improve parts availability by leveraging supply
chain efficiencies ! Standard processes & planning ! Improved quoting process to reduce bid variances
Implement consistent service delivery model in all branches ! Governance, roles & responsibilities - clear accountability ! Standard service rates and definitions ! 5 branches roll-out - January 2014; all branches - by end of 2014
Enhance profitability visibility at branch level ! Align compensation with customer loyalty and profitability
25
Service Excellence Action Plans
Canada70%
FINSA, UK & Ireland
30%
Service Opportunity ∆ Over 3 Years$40-60 Million
Labour recovery drives 80% of service opportunity
in Canada
2008 2013
68%75%
2013
80%
Labour Recovery
Canada FINSA
Asset Utilization
Benefits ! Optimizes footprint & distribution of activities ! Maximizes return on investments made ! Improves service delivery ! Reduces costs and invested capital
Primary opportunities ! Canada ! FINSA
26
2008 – COE, Red Deer, AB $110M
2011/12 – Fort McKay oil sands service
facility
Major InfrastructureInvestments in
Last 5 Years
$110M2008/09 – Truck Shop & PDC, La
Negra, Chile
$20M
$22M2011/13 – Dump
Bodies Mfg. Facility, Chile
Average2011-2013 2014F
$100M
$150M
Gross Capital Expenditures
Under~ /year
Canada
Optimize allocation of work across facilities
Current mining facilities underutilized
Ensure more disciplined capital allocation going forward
Decisions-to-date ! Move oil sands new equipment preparation
from COE to Fort McKay ! Move oil sands overhauls to Fort McKay ! Move 797 rebuilds from Mildred Lake to Fort McKay ! Move Drills & Shovels from Fort McMurray to Mildred Lake ! Move Power Systems in Fort McMurray to local branch
27
Asset Utilization Action Plans
Customer & Market Leadership
Benefits ! Builds machine population and drives future product support ! Aligns with Caterpillar’s focus on market share growth ! Expands focus to entire product line
Primary opportunities ! Core equipment in Canada ! Core equipment and large mining trucks in FINSA ! Parts market share in all regions ! Power systems in Canada
28
Customer & Market Leadership Target ∆ in 3 Years Revenue Opportunity
Core Equipment Market Share – Consolidated 2-4% " 1% share = $35M
Parts Market Share – Consolidated 2-4% " 1% share = $45M
Power Systems Revenue – Canada 10-15% " 5% growth = $20M
Opportunity to increase revenues in a no-growth industry scenario
2008 2012
Oct2012
Oct2013
∆ -5%
∆ +2%
Core EquipmentMarket Share
Canada – Core Equipment
Improve sales coverage ! Industry segmentation ! Strengthening sales team
Adjust sales force compensation
Drive improved participation rates
Right equipment, right time, right place
! Forecasting accuracy improved dramatically
! Supply chain improving equipment availability
New products to maximize customer uptime
! Cat E-series excavator range – impressive fuel economy
! Hybrid excavator – potential game-changer in performance & operator costs
29
Customer & Market Leadership Action Plans
2008 2012
∆ +3%
Core EquipmentMarket Share
Sept2012
Sept2013
∆ -7%
FINSA – Equipment
Improved sales coverage ! Increased dedicated core equipment sales force ! Detailed competitive analysis by territory and product ! Leads from remote sales force and internet passed to dedicated
sales representatives ! Full integration with sales and operations planning process
Implementing significant changes to commission structure
Improving customer service experience – impacts loyalty and repurchase ! Achieved 3 point increase in customer loyalty YTD
Strengthened product line-up ! Introduce new excavators and wheel loaders to utility sector
30
Customer & Market Leadership Action Plans
2011YTD2013
Canada FINSA
∆ -1.0%
Parts Market Share
Parts Market Share
~20% Gap
Canada – Parts
31
Customer & Market Leadership Action Plans
Improve customer loyalty through enhanced parts availability and mix ! Leverage supply chain for improved service delivery,
focus on fast-moving parts ! Develop high velocity and easy-to-use channels
(i.e. e-business, inside sales) ! Achieved 5 point increase in customer loyalty year-to-date 2013
Pursue more customer service agreements to secure parts business ! Offer broader range of support contract options
Introduce new component options for mid-range equipment ! Leveraging both Finning and Caterpillar remanufacturing
capabilities
Introduce market-based pricing
Monitor customer asset performance to increase predictability of future parts needs ! Utilize UK & Ireland capabilities to monitor equipment in
Canada
Drills and Shovels – Parts
Progress to date ! Canada exceeding expectations - solid performance on
parts and service ! FINSA exceeding service expectations Opportunity – South America ! Addressing supply chain challenges ! Pursuing large parts opportunity Action Plan – South America ! Managing business separately from mining organization ! Improving parts inventory performance ! Reducing cost structure ! Improving asset utilization Excellent acquisition in long-term ! Broadest range of mining product ! Expect continued product support growth ! Migrating to larger percentage of Caterpillar parts ! Successfully bundling shovels and trucks & support equipment
32
Customer & Market Leadership Action Plans
FINSADrills & Shovels
Parts Opportunity
FINSA’sCurrent Drills & Shovels Parts Share ~60%
Canada Power Systems Revenue
CAGR
Caterpillar Power Systems Revenue
CAGR
4%(2008 - LTM)
0%(2008 - LTM)
Canada – Power Systems
Seizing growing global power systems opportunity
Introduced new organizational structure to drive participation
! Segmented approach – by industry versus regional
! Key appointments: new Senior Vice President, industry leaders, additional sales force
Improving inventory management
Providing integrated product offering
Leveraging global collaboration
! Example: regions working together on global opportunities
33
Customer & Market Leadership Action Plans
Collaborative Projects Completed (~$40 Million) 3250 Series Engines
Santa Marta Landfill, Chile 8
Cliba Landfill, Argentina 6
Bonnybrook Water Treatment, Canada 3
FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES Focus On Metrics We Control
6.3% 7.8%
2011 LTM
Improving ROIC
! Operational cost efficiencies ! Supply chain ! Service excellence
! Discretionary cost control
35
EBIT Margin and Invested Capital Turnover
EBIT Margin
! Improved working capital driven by higher equipment and parts turns
! Optimized asset utilization, including supply chain network
! Capital discipline
2.5x
2.0x
2011 LTM
IC Turnover
ROIC
36
Historical Performance
Results have been adjusted to exclude discontinued operations LTM – last twelve months ended September 30, 2013
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM
ROIC 27.6% 26.8% 15.0% 10.2% 15.3% 16.0% 16.5% 15.8%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM
EBIT Margin 7.8% 8.3% 6.8% 5.5% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% Inv. Cap. T/O 3.6x 3.2x 2.2x 1.8x 2.4x 2.5x 2.2x 2.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
Economic downturn
! Significant Investments: - Drills & Shovels - Fort MacKay
! Underperforming working capital
! ERP implementation
ROIC 18.2%Average Values
(2006 -2012)
EBIT% 6.9%Invested
Capital T/O 2.6x
Revenue 5.8%CAGR
(2006 - 2012)
EPS 7.8%
Measuring Progress
37
EBIT – Annual
EBIT Margin (%) – consolidated & regions
Canadian Service Labour Recovery (∆%)
Market Share: • Core Equipment (∆%) • Parts (∆%) • Canadian Power Systems Revenue (∆%)
ROIC (%) consolidated & regions
See Appendix for definition of terms
Invested Capital – Quarterly
Inventory ($) – consolidated
Inventory Turns (x) – consolidated
Working Capital to Sales Ratio (%) – consolidated
Invested Capital ($) – consolidated & regions
Invested Capital Turnover (x) – consolidated & regions
Free Cash Flow ($) – consolidated
Net Debt to Total Capital Ratio (%) – consolidated
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM
1.86
-0.22
-1.29
1.53
2.89
0.13
-0.62
0.31
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4E Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
42
47
5352
5051 51
48
45
2012 2013 20142011
45%
35%
TARGETRANGE
Strengthening Balance Sheet
Positive free cash flow through the cycle ! Strong cash flow from
operations ! Improving working
capital primarily through higher inventory turnover
! Capital expenditures to remain significantly below 3-year average
De-levering balance sheet ! Net debt to total capital
expected to be at lower end of 35-45% target range by end of 2014
! Strong operating cash flow comfortably supports debt levels and investment grade ratings
38
Target Range
Net debt to total capital ratio (%) FCF per Share (dollars)
0.5
1.1
1.8
2.4
3.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM
2.52.4
1.5
1.8
2.2 2.2
Net debt / EBITDA
Continued Commitment to Dividends
! Important component of total shareholder return
! Committed to growing dividend, consistent with sustainable earnings growth
! Target payout ratio: 25-35% ! 10 year CAGR ~13% ! 5 year CAGR ~7% ! Current quarterly dividend =
$0.1525 ! Current dividend yield ~2.4%
assuming $25.00 share price
39
0.18 0.20 0.22
0.28
0.36
0.43 0.44 0.47
0.51 0.55
0.5975
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Annual Dividends
CAPITALIZING ON ATTRACTIVE MARKET OPPORTUNITIES
Oil Sands
41
Benefitting from ongoing projected growth
Source: CAPP (Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers)
Track-TypeTractors 8-95-6Motor
Graders
Typical Oil Sands Start-up Fleet (for 100,000 bblpd operation)
Off-highway Trucks 20-25
Open Pit Oil Sands Production (Thousands of Barrels per Day)
0"
1,000"
2,000"
2012" 2013" 2014" 2015" 2016" 2017" 2018" 2019" 2020" 2021" 2022" 2023" 2024" 2025" 2026" 2027" 2028" 2029" 2030"
Oil$Sands$Raw$Bitumen$(Mbbl/d)$
Mining"
HydraulicShovel 1Rope
Shovel 2
Oil Sands
Projections From Current Customers* • 2013-2017
• ~40% increase in overburden moved • ~60% increase in tons of ore moved
Expansions • Horizon (CNRL)
• 2013: 119,000 bbls/day • 2017: 250,000 bbls/day
• Kearl (Imperial) • 2013: 100,000 bbls/day • 2015: 220,000 bbls/day • 2020: 345,000 bbls/day
• Jackpine (Shell) • 100,000 bbls/day
New Project • Fort Hills (Suncor) - $13.5 billion
• Production starts Q4, 2017 • ~180,000 bbls/day
Potential New Projects • Joslyn (Total)
• Production starts 2018 • ~100,000 bbls/day
• Frontier (Teck) • Production starts 2021 • ~80,000 bbls/day to grow to
227,000 bbls/day by 2031
42
Benefitting from ongoing projected growth
* Finning estimates
Codelco
Teck
Barrick
BHP
Goldcorp
Antofagasta
Capstone
Glencore Xstrata
KGHM
0 7.5 15 22.5 30
Chile
China
Peru
USA
Australia
Russia
Zambia
Congo
Canada
Mexico
0 5 10 15 20
Mining Companies Investing in Chile 2014-2018(in Billions)
Largest Copper Producing Regions
0
5
10
15
20
’13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 ‘18
12.613.1
12.613.4
12.913.9
Mining Investmentin Chile(in Billions)
Mine Production (millions)Proven Reserves (10 millions)
Copper in Chile
43
Participating in long-term growth
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Construction Opportunities
44
Non-Mining Order Intake – Consolidated ($M) UK Real GDP (% Change)
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit
Replace chart, attached (Anson)
Western Canada Infrastructure Project Region Investment($Billions) Timing
Roberts Bank BC Lower Mainland 11.5 Completion 2020
Anthony Henday Drive North East Edmonton 1.8 Completion 2016
LRT Downtown – Mill Woods Edmonton 1.8 2015-2018
Airport Expansion Calgary 1.4 Completion 2015
Evergreen Rapid Transit Metro Vancouver 1.4 Completion 2015
Twinning Highway 63 Alberta 0.9 Completion 2015
-6.0
-4.5
-3.0
-1.5
0
1.5
3.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F
1.82.5
1.5
0.1
1.11.7
-5.2
UK#Real#GDP#(%#change)
%
Projected Opportunity 7.25
Engines per bcfpd
645>$1BEquipment
bcfpd
89Total engine
requirement
Projects proposed to transport gas from Western Canada to Asia1 Investment
LNG Canada (Shell, Korea Gas, Mitsubishi, PetroChina) +$28B
Malaysia (Petronas) +$20B
Kitimat LNG (Chevron & Apache) +$10.6B
Compression & Prime Power
Parts & Service
Western Canada LNG
45
Seizing new business opportunities
1 Source: Finning estimates
Historical Revenue
46
Correlation to Economic Growth
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit; Company estimates Finning 2013 revenues - LTM ended September 30, 2013 Western Canada includes BC and Alberta
Chile GDP (USD) 11%
Western Canada GDP (CAD)
CAGR 8-Years(2005-2013)
FINSA Revenue
(USD)
Finning Canada Revenue (CAD)
15%
4%6%
Chile Real GDP Forecast
Western CanadaReal GDP Forecast
2014 2015
5.2%4.7%
2014 2015
3.2%3.3%
CAGR 8-Years(2005-2013)
Key Takeaways
! Focus on what we can control: costs, working capital and capital investment
! Significant increase in invested capital has offset profitability improvements over last three years ! Bucyrus ! Oil sands investments ! ERP ! Increase in working capital to sales
! Opportunity to materially increase Return on Invested Capital over time ! Improved profitability, primarily in Canada
! Working capital management
! Improved capital discipline
! Operational priorities linked to improving Return on Invested Capital; team aligned and executing
! Finning has a great business model with resource rich territories – general economic trends support continued growth
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APPENDIX
ROIC 16.9%Average Values
(2006 - 2012)
EBIT% 7.0%Invested
Capital T/O 2.4x
ROIC – Historical Performance
49
Canada
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM ROIC 25.0% 24.9% 16.7% 7.3% 14.4% 14.4% 15.7% 15.9%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM EBIT Margin 8.9% 9.8% 7.3% 4.1% 6.1% 5.7% 7.1% 8.1% Inv. Cap. T/O 2.8x 2.6x 2.3x 1.8x 2.4x 2.5x 2.2x 2.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
ROIC 21.2%Average Values
(2006 - 2012)
EBIT% 9.8%Invested
Capital T/O 2.2x
ROIC – Historical Performance
50
South America
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM ROIC 22.9% 23.4% 22.0% 21.6% 18.8% 20.0% 19.7% 17.9%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM EBIT Margin 10.8% 9.6% 9.9% 10.3% 9.0% 9.2% 9.9% 9.6% Inv. Cap. T/O 2.1x 2.4x 2.2x 2.1x 2.1x 2.2x 2.0x 1.9x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
12.5%
ROIC 12.2%Average Values
(2006 - 2012)
EBIT% 4.5%Invested
Capital T/O 2.7x
ROIC – Historical Performance
51
UK & Ireland
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM ROIC 11.6% 13.0% 11.6% 5.9% 7.9% 18.3% 16.3% 16.8%
0.0%
4.0%
8.0%
12.0%
16.0%
20.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM EBIT Margin 4.4% 5.3% 5.5% 3.2% 2.3% 5.6% 5.0% 5.1% Inv. Cap. T/O 2.8x 2.4x 2.1x 1.8x 3.4x 3.3x 3.2x 3.3x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
Market Outlook
Canada ! Continued stable oil sands activity ! Solid infrastructure activity and market share gains to drive growth in Core and BCP ! Growing power systems opportunities (LNG) ! Product support remains solid
South America ! Slower pace of growth - copper producers are focused on productivity and efficiencies ! Expect reduction in new equipment sales to be offset by continued growth in product
support, driven by large equipment population and solid utilization levels ! Construction and power systems activity impacted by mining slowdown ! Argentina’s business continues to be impacted by import restrictions
UK and Ireland ! Signs of macro-economic improvement ! Coal mining stabilizing; increased confidence in infrastructure spend; active quarrying
and aggregates; improving plant-hire market ! Power Systems: EPG projects, industrial, pleasure craft remain active
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Finning 101
World’s largest Caterpillar dealer: ! New equipment and engines sales ! Used equipment sales ! Products support / parts and service ! Equipment rental Main industries: ! Mining (oil sands, copper, coal) ! Construction ! Other: petroleum, forestry, pipeline Key statistics: ! Nine months ended Sep 30, 2013
! Revenue = $4.96 billion ! EPS = $1.41
! Quarterly dividend = $0.1525/share ! ~15,000 employees ! Market cap ~ $4.4 billion*
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Vancouver (head office)
Edmonton
Fort McMurray
Santiago
Antofagasta
Cannock
British Columbia
Yukon
Alberta
The Northwest Territories
Bolivia
Argentina Chile
Uruguay
United Kingdom Ireland
* At December 13, 2013
Glossary
54
! BCP Building construction product ! COE Centre of Excellence – Finning’s service facility in Red Deer, AB ! COGS Cost of goods sold ! CRC Component rebuild centre ! CRM Customer relationship management ! EBIT Earnings before finance costs and income taxes ! EBITDA Earnings before finance costs, income taxes, depreciation and amortization ! EPG Electric power generation ! EPS Earnings per share ! ERP Enterprise Resource Planning System ! FCF Free cash flow ! FINSA Finning South America ! CAGR Compound annual growth rate ! GDP Gross domestic product ! IC Invested capital ! KPI Key performance indicator ! LNG Liquefied natural gas ! LTM Last twelve months ! OEM Finning’s component remanufacturing facility in Edmonton, AB ! PDC Parts distribution centre ! ROA Return on assets ! ROE Return on equity ! ROIC Return on invested capital ! TRIF Total Recordable Injury Frequency ! TSR Total shareholder return ! W/C Working capital ! YTD Year to date
Definition of Terms
! EBIT margin: earnings before finance costs and income taxes ÷ total revenue
! Free cash flow: cash provided by (used in) operating activities less net additions to property, plant, and equipment and intangible assets
! Invested capital: book equity + net debt (total debt less cash held) OR total assets – total liabilities, excluding net debt
! Net debt to total capital: net debt (short term debt + long term debt, net of cash and cash equivalents) ÷ total capitalization (net debt + all components of equity)
! Net debt to EBITDA: net debt (defined above) ÷ EBITDA (adjusted for significant one-time items)
! Return on invested capital: EBIT (adjusted for significant one-time items) ÷ invested capital (4 point average)
! Working capital: total current assets (excluding cash) – total current liabilities (excluding short term debt and current portion long term debt)
! Working capital to sales: working capital (4 point average) ÷ total revenues
! Total recordable injury frequency: (total recordable injuries x 200,000)/exposure hours
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Finning Peers
56
Barloworld Multinational distributor of leading equipment brands and provider of integrated rental, fleet management, product support and logistics solutions; headquartered in South Africa; operates in 26 countries.
Ferreycorp Peruvian conglomerate engaged in the distribution and maintenance of construction, mining, agricultural and transport equipment, manufactured by Caterpillar and many others brands.
H&E Equipment Integrated equipment services company, which rents, sells, and provides parts and service support for earthmoving and other equipment; headquartered in Louisiana and operates across 22 states in the US.
Seven Group Australian diversified operating and investment firm which owns WesTrac Group, the Caterpillar dealer in Western Australia and North Eastern China.
Strongco Canadian multi-line mobile equipment dealer, which also operates in the North East United States, and represents multiple equipment manufacturers, including Volvo and Case.
Toromont Caterpillar dealer in Ontario, Manitoba, Newfoundland, and most of Labrador and Nunavut.
Wajax Canadian multi-line mobile equipment distributor representing over 30 manufacturers, including Hitachi, JCB, Tigercat.
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Finning International Inc.Suite 1000, Park Place666 Burrard StreetVancouver, BC V6C 2X8
finning.com
Mauk BreukelsVice President, Investor Relations & Corporate [email protected]
Ilona RojkovaManager, Investor [email protected]