Finnair Group
description
Transcript of Finnair Group
Finnair GroupInterim Report 1 January – 30 September 2007
Finnair meeting expectations
Strong demand in scheduled traffic continuesIn addition to Asia, European traffic is also growingFinnair’s market share growing in international traffic departing from Finland Unit revenues decreased due to new launches, price level improving towards end of yearUnit costs have fallen thanks to efficiency measuresFlyNordic sold to Norwegian Air Shuttle, 14 million euro sales profit
Improved results by efficiency programme
Q3/2007 Q3/2006 Change %
Turnover mill. € 545.2 515.4 5.8
EBITDAR excl. capital gains, fair values changes of derivatives and reorganization expenses
88.0 69.8 26.1
EBIT excl. capital gains, fair values changes of derivatives and reorganization expenses
39.2 22.5 74.2
One off items/ capital gains 17.3 0.1 -
Fair value changes of derivatives 3.4 -7.9 -
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 59.9 14.7 -
Profit after financial items 55.9 13.5 -
Scheduled Passenger Traffic and Aviation Services improved
Profitability of scheduled traffic improved clearly, even as unit revenues decreasedUnit costs have fallenFinnair Technical Services efficiency project is bearing fruitAverage prices for cargo have fallen due to tighter competition, but demand is picking up Catering profitability improvedNorthport still loss-making: Sweden ja Norway operations to be sold to Menzies Aviation
Aurinkomatkat-Suntours expands
Finland’s leading tour operator, strategy to expand in neighbouring areasAcquired Estonia’s second largest tour operator Horizon Travel at start of year…and St Petersburg area tour operator and travel agency Calypso in OctoberGrowing target group increasingly wealthy middle class in RussiaWinglets installed on Leisure Traffic fleet (seven Boeing 757-200s), decreasing fuel consumption by five per cent
Unit costs decreased more than yield Change YoY
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
% Yield (EUR/RTK) Unit costs (EUR/ATK)
2004 2005 200620032002 2007
Efficiency programme yielding results
80 million euro efficiency programme completed by end of yearEffect felt strongest in the second half of the yearProfit impact for 2007 over EUR 40 millionFull financial impact will begin in 2008Jobs cut by around 600 in 2006-07
Business growing, number of staff stable
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q3 2007
Personnel on averagePersonnel
Unit costs droppingQ3/2007 2006
Unit costs of flight operations* c/ATK -7.7% +1.8 %
Unit costs of flight operations excl. fuel* c/ATK
-9.5% -3.5 %
Personnel expenses c/ATK -7.2% -4.1 %
Fuel costs c/ATK -2.0% +24.1 %
Traffic charges c/ATK -7.3% -3.9 %
Ground handling and catering €/passenger +18.7% -1.0 %
Sales and marketing €/passenger -12.3% -7.9 %
Aircraft lease payments and depreciation c/ATK
-1.7% +1.9 %
Other costs c/ATK -15.3% -3.1 %
* excluding fair value changes of derivatives ATK = Available Tonne Kilometre
Productivity improved
Productivity (incl. Aero and FlyNordic) (ATK/ person) 12 m rolling sum
240
290
340
390
440
490
540
01
/01
04
/01
07
/01
10
/01
01
/02
04
/02
07
/02
10
/02
01
/03
04
/03
07
/03
10
/03
01
/04
04
/04
07
/04
10
/04
01
/05
04
/05
07
/05
10
/05
01
/06
04
/06
07
/06
10
/06
01
/07
ATK1000/ person
Jet fuel prices going up
Jet fuel price risk hedging (Scheduled traffic, 30.9.2007)
62%
70%
2007Q4 2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2
Fuel costs a fifth of turnover2003: 10.2% of turnover2004: 12.5% of turnover2005: 15.6% of turnover2006: 19.4% of turnover2007: ~20% of turnover (approx. 450 MEUR)
Finnair scheduled traffic has hedged 66% of its fuel purchases for the next six months, thereafter for the following 24 months with a decreasing level. Finnair leisure flights hedged 60% of summer traffic programme’s consumption.
Improved cash flow used for investments
Cash flow statement (EUR mill.) Q1-Q3/2007 Q1-Q3/2006
Cash flow from operations 169 23
Investments and sale of assets -226 -149Investments -264 -195Change of advances and others +38 +46
Cash flow from financing 32 73
Change in liquid funds -25 -53
Liquid funds at the beginning 273 339
Liquid funds at the end 248 286
Cash flow January-September
Strengthening of capital structure by share offering Equity ratio and adjusted gearing
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q3 2007
Equity ratio Adjusted Gearing%
Asia growth continues on good level
Demand grew during January-September by 30.9%, passenger numbers 25.8%, cargo 18.9%Passenger load factor 78.5%Business Class selling well59 flights a week to AsiaNon-stop flights to 10 destinations, daily to sixGrowth in different markets in Asia diversifies riskEnd of year capacity will grow by over 30%Seoul new destination in 2008
Capacity in Asia has grown rapidly
China 2001:3 flights/week2007:25 flights/week
Japan2001:2 flights/week2007:15 flights/week
India2006:3 flights/week2007:12 flights/week
Long-haul network 2007
7 New York
Tokyo 4Nagoya 4
Osaka 7Beijing 7Shanghai 7Guangzhou 4Hong Kong 7Bangkok 7
Delhi 7Mumbai 5
Helsinki
Over third of revenue from Asia
46 %
38 %
4 %12 %
Asia USDomestic Europe
Scheduled traffic passenger and cargo revenue January-September
Asia-Europegateway
50%
In 2007-14• A330/A340 fleet of maximum 15 planes in
total
In 2014-16• A350 fleet of maximum 15 planes in total
New planes enable future growth
Most modern European fleet
Average age of European fleet four years29 Airbus A320 family aircraftA total of ten smaller Embraer 170s and five larger Embraer 190s in fleet, five larger aircraft arriving laterNew aircraft increase flexibility and improve load factors, decrease costs and are eco-efficient
Planned share offering part of investment financing
Renewal and expansion of long-haul fleet part of Finnair strategyAircraft acquisitions in 2007-2016 amount to almost two billion eurosExtraordinary General Meeting 21.11.2007Size of offering up to 250 million euros, existing shareholders would have a pre-emptive right to subscribe
Finnair’s vision 2017
Take further advantage of Helsinki’s geographical positionVia Helsinki a travel conceptThe airline of choice for quality and environmentally conscious air travellers in intercontinental traffic in the Northern HemisphereA reliable and safe option in an uncertain worldAs large European airports become increasingly congested, Helsinki-Vantaa Airport has plenty of room for construction and possibilities for developmentSustainable, profitable growth, an attractive investment
Finnair 2017 – ”On top of the World”
India opens up new opportunities
Indian traffic makes it possible to open the fastest connections between North America and IndiaFinland is situated along the shortest routeDemand expected to grow significantlyRussia’s air traffic markets expected to open up in the future, offering opportunities to complement network
Success factors
Safe• Expert, professional people doing quality work• Modern fleet• Sound finances• Trust• Caring for customers and personnel
Finnish• Reliable, responsible, punctual, professional
Creative• Modern, developing, innovative
Fresh• Clean, stylish, refreshing, uncomplicated
Future outlook
Asian demand remains strongAverage price fall leveling out even though average route length increasingUnit costs still decreasingCooperation with Norwegian continuesExpensive fuel will not increase costs significantly at the end of year because of hedgingFive collective agreements renewedThe operational result for the full year is expected to exceed 70 million euros, last quarter profitable
Appendices
Profitability development
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
MEUR
2003 2004 20052002 2006 2007
Change in EBIT per quarter (Excluding capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and reorganization expenses)
Average yield and costs EUR c/RTK & EUR c/ATK
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Yield (EUR/RTK) Unit costs (EUR/ATK)
2004 2005 200620032002 2007
Segment results
2007 2006Q3 Q3
MEUR Scheduled Passenger Traffic 28.8 20.3Leisure Traffic 7.8 8.2Aviation Services 2.7 -4.6Travel Services 1.3 0.9Unallocated items -1.4 -2.3Total 39.2 22.5
Excluding capital gains, fair value changes of Derivatives and reorganization expenses
Investments and cash flowfrom operations
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q3 2007
Operational net cash flow InvestmentsMEUR
Aircraft operating lease liabilities
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q3 2007
MEUR Flexibility, costs, risk management
On 30 September all leases were operating leases. If capitalised using the common method of multiplying annual aircraft lease payments byseven, the adjusted gearing on 30 September 2007 would have been103,3%
ROE and ROCE Rolling 12 months
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Q1 200
2
Q2 200
2
Q3 200
2
Q4 200
2
Q1 200
3
Q2 200
3
Q3 200
3
Q4 200
3
Q1 200
4
Q2 200
4
Q3 200
4
Q4 200
4
Q1 200
5
Q2 200
5
Q3 200
5
Q4 200
5
Q1 200
6
Q2 200
6
Q3 200
6
Q4 200
6
Q1 200
7
Q2 200
7
Q3 200
7
% ROE ROCE
Emissions trading for air traffic
EU air traffic accounts for only 0.5% of all CO2 emissions in the worldFinnair in favour of emissions trading principlesShould be globalCompetitively neutralInvestments already made in new technology should be taken into accountOpen emissions trading
Customers can make environmental choices when flying
Choose an airline with a modern fleetFly in the right direction all the way, without unnecessary stopovers• shorter flight routes result in less emissions
Avoid large, congested airports
By making these choices, fuel consumption and emissions can drop by at best 30%!
Finnair Financial Targets
”Sustainable value creation”
Operating profit (EBIT)
EBIT margin at least 6% => over 120 mill. € in the coming few years
EBITDAREBITDAR margin at least 17% => over 350 mill. € in the coming few years
Economic profit
Pay out ratio Minimum one third of the EPS
Adjusted Gearing Gearing adjusted for aircraft lease liabilities not to exceed 140 %
To create positive value over pretax WACC of 9,5%
Finnair’s Financial Targets
Description of targets
Operating profit (EBIT)
EBITDAR
Economic profit
Pay out ratio
Adjusted Gearing
Turnover + other operating revenues – operating costs
Result before depreciation, aircraft lease payments and capital gains
Operating profit EBIT – Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Interest bearing debt + 7*Aircraft lease payments – liquid funds) / (Equity + minority interests)
Dividend per share / Earnings per share
www.finnair.comFinnair Group Investor Relationsemail: [email protected]
tel: +358-9-818 4951fax: +358-9-818 4092