FINMA2
Transcript of FINMA2
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ECONOMIC FOUNDATIONS OF FINANCE9
ACC08/FMS01
LECTURES
Financial Management Part 1
Economic Foundation of Financial
Management
Topical ObjectivesAt the end of this section, you are expected to :
1. Review relevant microeconomic concepts;
2. Review relevant macroeconomic concepts; and
3. Identify the Green regulations affecting doing business.
Why study microeconomics?Understanding these concepts enables analysts to differentiate
among various companies on an individual level, and to
determine their attractiveness for an investor
Elasticity
-a concept related to the equilibrium between demand and
supply
-measures the dependency between demand and supply and theimpact of changes in either on the equilibrium price level.
Law of Supply and Demand
Demand curve is downward sloping to the right: the
quantity demanded is increasing as price is decreasing
Supply curve is upward sloping to the right: the
quantity supplied is increasing as price is increasing
Differentiate between movement along the curve and
shifting curve
Gems
I am notafraid of
storms, for I am
learning how to
sail my ship.-Louisa May
Alcott (1832-1888)
ECONOMICS
comes from the combinedGreek words oikos(house) and nomos(custom or law)
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Factors that increase (decrease) demand for goods
Increase the Demand for Goods Decrease the Demand for Goods
A risein the number of consumers in the
marketA risein consumer income
A risein the price or declinein availability
the substitute
Afallin the price of a complementarygood
A risein the expected future price of the
good
Changes in consumer preferences
Changes in distribution of consumer
income
Afallin the number of consumers in the
market
Afallin consumer income
Afallin the price or increase in availability
the substitute
A rise in the price of a complementarygood
Afall in the expected future price of the
good
Changes in consumer preferences
Changes in distribution of consumer
income
Factors that increase (decrease) supply of goods
Increase the Supply for Goods Decrease the Supply for Goods
A fall in the resource price used in
producing the good
A technological change allowing cheaper
production
Favorable weather, political factors, etc.
A reduction the taxes
A rise in the resource price used in
producing the good
A technological change allowing cheaper
production
Unfavorable weather, political factors, etc.
An increase in the taxes
Short- vs. long-run equilibrium
Short-run Equilibrium Long-run Equilibrium
Short run is a time period where the decision
makers could not fullyadjust to market
changes ; one can alter only the labor and
raw materials, but with existing plant and
equipment
Short-run equilibrium:
a balance between amount supplied andamount demanded
Long run is a time period of sufficient length
to enable decision makers to adjust fullyto
market changes
Long-run equilibrium:
a balance between amount supplied andamount demanded
+ opportunity cost of producing the product
must equal to the market price
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Price elasticity of demand
Total expenditures and Price Elasticity of Demand
Downward sloping demand curve means that the quantity demanded will be lower if the
price increasesTotal expenditures/revenue = Price x Quantity
? = x
? = x
Demand is Expenses change as Price
changes
Revenues change as Price
changes
Inelastic (0 -> 1) Same direction Same direction
Elastic ( > 1) Opposite Direction Opposite DirectionUnitary ( = 1) Constant Constant
Price Elasticity of Supply
Same concept as demand elasticity
Marginal Benefit vs. Marginal Cost
Definitions
Marginal BenefitBenefit that an individual gets from consuming an additional unit of
good or service. However each additional unit consumed results in smaller marginalbenefit and results in diminishing returns.
Marginal BenefitCost of producing an additional unit of output; also referred to as
opportunity cost.
Important concepts
1. Demand measures the benefit from consuming an additional good (benefit measured as the
willingness to pay for the extra good).
2. Demand measures the marginal benefit.
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3. Supply measures the cost of producing an additional good.
4. Supply measures the marginal cost.
5. We want an activity to continue to take place as long as the marginal benefit is higher than
the marginal cost.
Consumer surplus
Consumer Surplus is the difference between total value consumers place on a good produced less
the amount paid
Producer surplus
Producer Surplus is the difference between the price received for each good produced and the
opportunity cost of producing the good.
Price Takers Vs. Price Searchers
Price takers must take the market price in selling their product, because each price takers
output is small relative to total market
Price searchers have a downward sloping demand curve for their product. The amount they
are able to sell is inversely related to the price they charge
Market Structures
The market environment influences the price a firm can demand for its goods or services.
Among the most important of these market forms are monopoly and perfect competition,
although monopolistic competition and oligopoly are also covered.
Price Taker Market Characteristics
All firms are producing an identical product
A large number of firms exist in the market
Each firm supplies only a very small portion of total amount supplied to the market
No barriers limit the entry or exit of firms in the market
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Price, Marginal Revenue, And Elasticity For AMonopolyThe profit maximizing output for a monopolist iswhere MR = MC.Monopolists want to maximize profits, not price.Monopolists areprice searchers and haveimperfect information regarding market demand.
They must experiment with different prices to findthe one that maximizes profit.
Oligopoly marketsIt is competition among the fewThere are two conflicting tendencies:Strong incentive to collude among them tomaximize the joint profit, butalso strong incentive to cheat secretly on thecollusive agreement in order to increase its share
of the joint profitCartel: an organization of sellers designed to
coordinate supply decisions so that the joint profitsof the members will be maximized (e.g.: OPEC)
Monopolies
Characterized by one seller of a specific,
well-defined product that has no good
substitutes. For a firm to maintain its
monopoly position it must be the case that
barriers to entry to the market are high.
Legal Barriers
Natural Barriers: there are large economies of
scale, it means that the average cost of production
decreases as a single firm produces greater and
greater output.
Monopoly Price-Setting Strategies
Single price
Price discrimination.
Monopolistic CompetitionA large number of independent sellers:
Each firm has a relatively small market share, so no individual firm has any significant power
over price.
Firms need only pay attention to average market price, not the price of individual
competitors.
There are too many firms in the industry for collusion (price fixing) to be possible.
Each seller produces a differentiated product.
Firms compete on price, quality, and marketing
Quality is a significant product differentiating characteristic.
Marketing is a must in order to inform the market about a product's (differentiating)characteristics.
Low barriers to entry.
Their demand curves are highly elasticbecause competing products are perceived by
consumers as close substitutes.
Oligopoly
A small number of sellers.
Interdependence among competitors
Significant barriers to entry which often
include large economies of scale.
Products may be similar or differentiated.Oligopolists are highly dependent upon the
actions of their rivals when making business
decisions.
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Monopolistic Competition
MR= MC, but due to low barriers to entry, competitors will enter the market in pursuit of
these economic profits.
After new firms have entered the market, the demand curve faced by each individual firm
down to the point where price equals average total such that economic profit is zero.
Efficiency of monopolistic competition is unclear increased information vs. increased costs
Macroeconomics Concepts
Macroeconomic concepts that have an impact on all firms in the same environment, be it a
country, a group of related countries, or a particular industry.
Topics covered concepts about the business cycle, and how to forecast changes in the business
cycle and the impact on, among other things, price levels and profitability.
The Business Cycle
In the past, ups and downs have
often characterized aggregate business
activity.
Despite these fluctuations, there has
been an upward trend in real GDP in
the United States and other industrial
nations.
What is Inflation?
The Rate of Inflation is calculated as:
Inflation = Last years price index - This years price index * 100
rate Last years price index
Inflation is an increase in the general level of prices.
High rates of inflation are almost always associated with substantial year-to-year swings in
the inflation rate, making them difficult to forecast accurately.
Aggregate Demand for Goods & Services
Aggregate demand (AD) curve:
indicates the various quantities of domestically produced goods & services that purchasers
are willing to buy at different price levels .
TheAD curve slopes downward to the right, indicating an inverse relationship between the
amount of goods & services demanded and the price level.
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Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)
SRAS indicates the various quantities of goods and services that domestic firms will
supply in response to changing demand conditions that alter the level of prices in the
goods and services market.
SRAS curve slopes upward to the right.
The upward slope reflects the fact that in the short run an unanticipated increase in the price
level will improve the profitability of firms.
Firms respond to this increase in the price level with an expansion in output.
In the short-run, firms will expand
output as the price level increases
because higher prices improve profit
margins since many components of costs
will be temporarily fixed as the result of
prior long-term commitments.
The SRAS shows the relationshipbetween the price level and the quantity
supplied of goods & services
Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
LRAS indicates the relationship between the price level and quantity of output after decision
makers have had sufficient time to adjust their prior commitments where possible.The LRAS curve is vertical.
LRAS is related to the economy's production possibilities constraint. A higher price level does
not loosen the constraints imposed by the economy's resource base, level of technology, and the
efficiency of its institutional arrangements.
In the long-run, a higher price level
will not expand an
economys rate of output. Once
people have time to adjust their
long-term commitments, resourcemarkets (and costs) will adjust
to the higher levels of prices and
thereby remove the incentive
of firms to continue to supply a
larger output.
An increase in theprice level will increase
the quantity suppliedin the short run.
Change in price level
does not affect quantitysupplied in the long run.
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An economysfull employment rate of output (YF), the
maximum output rate that is sustainable, is determined by the
supply of resources, level of technology, and the structure of the
institutions, factors that are insensitive to changes in the price
level. Hence the vertical LRAS curve.
Aggregate Demand Curve
Other things constant, a lower price level
will increase the wealth of people holding
the fixed quantity of money, lead to lower
interest rates, and make domestically
produced goods cheaper relative to foreign
goods.
Monetary sector of an
economy
It examines the functions of money and how it is created, highlighting the special role of the
central bank within an economy. Supply and demand for resources, such as labor and capital,
and goods are strongly interrelated.
Describes circumstances when this may lead to inflation and the transmission mechanisms
between the monetary sector and the real part of the economy.
Four Main Economic Functions of Depository Institutions
Create liquidity - using the funds from (short-term) deposits to make (longer-term) loans.
Be a financial intermediary - lower the cost of funds for borrowers.
Monitor the risk of loans.
Pool the default risks of individual loans.
Money Creation And The Multiplier Effect
A bank is only required to hold a fraction of its deposits in reserve. Deposits in excess of
the required reserve (excess reserves) may be loaned. The required reserve ratio is usedto measure the, reserve requirement.
Multiplier effect - process of re-lending, re-spending, and depositing.
Goals of Reserve
Inflation targeting - Keep inflation low by managing the money supply.
A reduction in the price level willincrease the quantity of goods &services demanded.
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Promote economic growth and full employment.
The 3 Tools the Monetary Board Uses to Control the Money Supply
1. Reserve requirements: a percent of a specified liability category (for example transaction
accounts) that banking institutions are required to hold as reserves against that type of
liability.
When the Fed lowers the required reserve ratio, it creates excess reserves for commercial banks
allowing them to extend additional loans, expanding the money supply.
Raising the reserve requirements has the opposite effect.
2. Open Market Operations: the buying and selling of securities (national debt in the form of bonds)
by the BSP.
This is the primary tool used by the BSP.
BSP buys bonds the money supply expands:
bond buyers acquire money
bank reserves increase, placing banks in a position to expand the money supply through theextension of additional loans.
BSP sells bonds the money supply contracts:
bond buyers give up money for securities
bank reserves decline, causing them to extend fewer loans.
3. Discount Rate: the interest rate the Fed charges banking institutions for borrowed funds.
An increase in the discount rate decreases the money supply (restrictive)because it discourages
banks from borrowing from the Reserve to extend new loans.
A reduction in the discount rate increases the money supply (expansionary)because it makes
borrowing from the Reserve less costly.Households either consume (spend) or save their incomes.
Demand for money is largely determined by interest rates.
The opportunity cost of holding money (cash balances) is the interest rate.
Supply of money - determined by the central bank
Is independent of the interest rate. This accounts for the vertical (perfectly inelastic) supply
curve.
Real money supply - the money supply in terms of constant purchasing power.
Interest Rate Determination
To decrease (increase) short-term interest rates the Central Bank can do so by buying
(selling) securities in the open market.
The cash paid (received) for the securities increases (decreases) the real money supply and
bank reserves, which leads to a further increase (decrease) in the real money supply as banks
make loans based on the increase (decrease) in excess reserves. This shifts the real money
supply curve to the right (left).
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There is now excess (less) supply of money balances. To reduce (increase) their money
holdings, firms and households buy (sell) securities, increasing (decreasing) securities prices
and decreasing (increasing) interest rates until the new equilibrium interest rate is
achieved.
Inflation And Prices
Inflation is a persistent increase in the price level over time.
Erodes the purchasing power of a currency.
Unchecked, inflation ultimately can destroy a country's monetary system, forcing individuals
and businesses to adopt foreign money or revert to bartering physical goods.
If inflation is present, the prices of almost all goods and services are increasing.
Demand-pull vs. Cost-push InflationDemand-pull inflation - results from an increase in aggregate demand; can result from an
increase in the money supply, increased government spending, or any other cause thatincreases aggregate demand.
Cost-push inflation - results from a decrease in aggregate supply; can also result from an initial
decrease in aggregate supply caused by an increase in the real price of an important factor of
production, such as wages or energy.
If the decline in GDP brings a policy response that stimulates aggregate demand so output
returns to its long-run potential, the result would be a further increase in the price level.
Fiscal Policy, Budget Deficits, And Budget Surpluses
Fiscal policy - refers to the federal government's use of spending and taxation to meet
macroeconomic goals.
The federal budget is said to be balanced when tax revenues equal federal government
expenditures. A budget surplus occurs when government tax revenues exceed expenditures,
and a budget deficit occurs when government expenditures exceed tax revenues.
Taxes are increased and/or government spending reduced during inflationary periods, and
taxes are decreased and/or government spending increased during recessionary periods.
Multiplier Effect
Changes in government spending, taxation, or both have magnified effects on aggregate
demand.The multiplier effect applies equally to increases and decreases in government spending and
increases and decreases in taxes.
The government purchases multiplier is greater than the tax multiplier making the balanced
budget multiplier positive.
An increase (decrease) in government spending coupled with an equal increase (decrease) in
taxes will tend to increase (decrease) aggregate demand.
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Environmental (green) policies and their implications for the
management of the economy and the firm
The Materials Balances Model
Using the materials balance model adapted from Kneese, Ayresand DArge (1970) (Thomas,
2010) (Figure 1.0), the relationship between the natural environment and the economic decision
making activities of the firm can be seen1:
Natural resources drawn from
Nature Residuals from Production
Residuals from
Consumption
Recovery, recycling, reuse
Figure 1.0 Nature and the Market
Production and consumption produce residuals that can damage the environment from which
resources are drawn. It appears that not only desirable goods are provided
in the free market. But the existence of environmental pollution (residualsproduction) causes market failures such as externalities and public goods.
The externality theory
suggests that
environmental problems
cause market failure since
they are caused outsidethe market process. Recall
that one of the barriers
cited for the investor is the
failure to internalize
environmental costs andbenefits into the market
model.
On the other hand,
1The figures in bold typesetting are the components in the market where the main activities are production and consumption.The
relationships among them were no longer included in the diagram.
Households Firms
Nature
Outputmarket
Factor
market
Market Failure by Externalities
-Civil /class action
-Making it punishable by law
-Education
-Taxes or Subsidies
Tragedy of Commons-limitation of amount of common good
available for use (use of P _ _ _ _ _S)
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environmental quality is considered a public good because of its non-rivalness and non-
excludability characteristics. The failure rests on the difficulty of identifying the market demand
which is represented by the willingness to pay of consumers. This difficulty is caused by the fact
that consumers preferences for environmental quality provision are unrevealed.
The Philippine ExperienceLegal Basis1. P.D. 1151 Philippine Environmental Policy (1977)
2. Renewable Energy Act (2008)
In December of 2008, then President Gloria M. Arroyo signed into law the Republic Act 9513 Renewable Energy(RE) Act of 2008-an act promoting the development, utilization, and commercialization of renewable energyresources and for other purposes.
Its targets were, for the Philippines, (Perez, 2009):
to be the No.1 geothermal producer in the world
to be the No.1 wind power producer in the Southeast Asia to double its hydro capacity by 2013
to expand contribution of biomass, solar, and ocean energy by 250 MW
The Philippines has an abounding potential for generating energy from renewable resources (Perez, 2009):
Geothermal resource: 1,200 MW
Wind: 700 MW
Solar: no potential estimate which depends on solar panels put up (but currently the largest solarmanufacturing hub in Southeast Asia producing 400 MW)
Hydro: 1,784 MW from 888 sites
Biomass (bagasse): 235 MMBFOE
Amidst the so-called abundance of this Philippine potential for renewable energy, about 50% of its powergeneration still comes from non-renewable sources (i.e. coal (26%) and oil (23%)) (Department of Trade andIndustry, 2009). DTI has forecasted that with growing industrial demand, the country will still require 4,000 to4,350 MW for sustainability (Department of Trade and Industry, 2009).
In economic theory, when there is potential demand, entrants will soon be attracted to the market to providesupply.
3. Other Environmental Laws in the Philippines
Republic Act No. 7394
The Consumer Act of the Philippines
Republic Act No. 6713
Code of Conduct and Ethical Standards for
Public Officials and Employees.
Republic Act No. 387
Petroleum Act of 1949
Presidential Decree No. 972
Coal Development Act of 1976
Republic Act No. 5207
Atomic Energy Regulatory and Liability Act of
1968
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Republic Act No. 7638
Department of Energy Act of 1992
Republic Act No. 7611
Strategic Environmental Plan (SEP) for PalawanAct
Republic Act No. 3195
Grants a franchise for an electricity system for
the Municipality of Tumauini, Isabela.
Republic Act No. 8749
Philippine Clean Air Act of 1999
Republic Act 8550
The Philippine Fisheries Code of 1998
Republic Act No. 8041
An Act to Address the National Water Crisis
Presidential Decree No. 825
Provides penalties for improper disposal of
garbage and other forms of uncleanliness.
Presidential Decree No. 601
The Revised Coast Guard Law of 1974
Presidential Decree No. 2001
Established a program phasing-out tetraethyllead (TEL) in gasoline.
Presidential Decree No. 1899
Establishes small-scale mining as a new
dimension in mineral development
Presidential Decree No. 1775
Amends section eighty of the Revised Philippine
Forestry Code (PD 705)
Presidential Decree No. 1160Gives authority to Barangay Captains to enforce
Pollution and Environmental Control Laws
DENR Memorandum Circular No. 06, June 4, 1992
Covers the implementation of Project CARE
Activities After Species Adoption by Each
Barangay, Municipality, City and Province
Executive Order No. 15
Created the Philippine Council for Sustainable
Development
DENR Administrative Order No. 91-24
Shift in Logging from the Old Growth (Virgin)Forests to the Second Growth (Residual) Forests.
Presidential Decree No. 1219
Provides for the exploration, exploitation,
utilization and conservation of coral resources.
REPUBLIC ACT NO. 9147
Wildlife Resources Conservation and Protection
Act.
Republic Act No. 9003
The Ecological Solid Waste Management Act
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The Philippine Experiencethe sad truth legally speakingRead: An excerpt from LEGAL MARKETING OF ENVIRONMENTAL LAW: THE PHILIPPINES EXPERIENCE by OPOSA,ANTONIO A. JR delivered in the FOURTH INTERNATIONALCONFERENCE ON ENVIRONMENTAL COMPLIANCE AND ENFORCEMENT
2 PRINCIPLES OF EFFECTIVE ENVIRONMENTAL LAW IMPLEMENTATION
If one carefully examines the innumerable provisions of formal and informal laws (i.e. statutory and traditional or customary laws), the potential fcreativity to make sustainable development work effectively is contained in or in-between the very lines of the Law. Voluntary compliance is morsocially desirable than coerced compliance. Put a little differently, the best form of law enforcement is that where the law does not need to beenforced. In the course of years of environmental law practice, both in the public interest and private sectors, the author has identified severalprinciples of effective environmental law implementation.
First, recall that a law is an agreement of minds, a social contract. As an agreement, the participants must fully understand and appreciate thereason behind . and the need for . the law. In legal language, this is the Ratio Legis, the reason for the law. In sociological terms, this is the .socproduct. and the .common good. which the law seeks to promote. And voluntary compliance is possible only when those whose conduct is sougto be regulated or modified fully understand the reason for the law and appreciate its value. If their understanding is secured that the socialproduct and policy are desirable, then their mental and emotional .agreement. is reached. In addition, the body politic must also participate in thmaking of the law. When the social policy is generally agreed upon, there is consensus, a characteristic mode of reaching an agreement in Asiansocieties. Then, the law is nothing more than the informal agreement formally crystallized into words.
Second, legal marketing, or selling the law, may be used to promote voluntary compliance. The legitimacy and effectiveness of a law is in largepart dependent on publicizing the law. As ordinary marketing sells a product; law sells a mode of conduct. Thus, in like manner that activemarketing, advertising and promotions are techniques used to sell a consumer product, so must creative marketing use proactive methods to .sthe social good and the mode of conduct desired.
Third, the manner of implementing the law must be socio-culturally sensitive. It must take into account the social and cultural characteristics of thpeople who are the target market of the law. This is particularly true in situations and countries and regions that may have some commonalties intheir socio-cultural traits such as Asia.
Fourth, the law must contain an aspect of punishment in order to modify behavior and serve as a deterrent. That is, people must be aware thatdeviating from the conduct which promotes social good carries a penalty. Penal law must, however, be reserved only for the hard-headed.
And it is effective as a deterrent if, and only if, its application is swift, painful and public. Human conduct is such that it responds to the stimuli ofpleasure and pain. To promote behavior, therefore, it must promise a pleasure, and to discourage it, it must present the possibility of extremepain.
Technically, the term used is .incentives-and-disincentives.. It is also called the .carrot and- stick. market-based incentives (MBIs). For thisdiscussion, however, a more graphic term shall be used: .candies-and-needles.. Candies are so irresistible that unless one has severe dietaryrestrictions, it is generally accepted, taken and ingested. On the other hand, the prospect of a sharp and long needle being pierced into onesflesh is so squirmingly painful by its mere appearance that one would generally not want to tangle with it. The following will illustrate someapproaches and examples by which the candies-and needles technique may be applied to address environmental law non-compliance.
3 CANDIES AND NEEDLES APPLIEDIn the application of this approach, care must be taken to consider the socio-cultural characteristics of the target market. Among Filipinos, asamong many Asians, the following cultural attributes are significant:
Highly personal.Filipinos are a highly personal people. They would rather .talk things over. than issue or receive written orders. When peoplehave problems with one another, they are more inclined to approach the person concerned.
Debt-of-gratitude. One value the people hold dear is the debt-of-gratitude. When a favor is owed, it is the source of great shame when one willrefuse to requite it.
Face value sanction. .Loss of face. is a sanction of the highest order, higher than ordinary legal sanction. A man can pay a big fine quietly and
be done with it. But even a small fine if well-publicized will inflict much greater pain. And the pain extends not only to one.s self but also to his
family. Thus, the sanction is imposed also on the strongest social tie and ultimate psychological crutch of the wrongdoer. It is so painful, one
would not even want to think of it.
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Economic Foundation of Financial Management2
Samples of Environmental Policy Statement
http://www.environcorp.com/img/media/ISOpreview.pdf
http://www.environmentalpolicy.org.uk/statement.html
http://www.adb.org/documents/policies/environment/default.asp?p=policies
The Board of Directors' approved the Environment Policy R-Paper on 8 November 2002. The Environment Policy representsthe culmination of two years of extensive consultations with internal and external stakeholders, including a Board seminar,country workshops, and several rounds of inter-departmental review. It also incorporates comments and suggestions made byBoard members during the Board discussion of the Environment Policy working paper in April 2002.
The Environment Policy has been prepared to address five main challenges:1. the need for environmental interventions to reduce poverty2. the need to mainstream environmental considerations into economic growth and development planning
3. the need to maintain regional and global life support systems4. the need to work in partnership with others5. the need to further strengthen the processes and procedures for addressing environmental concerns in ADB's own
operations
The Policy highlights a number of areas that require attention in ADB's environmental assessment process. It addresses theneed for more upstream environmental assessment at the level of country programming, the need for more structuredconsultation in the conduct of environmental assessments, the need for greater emphasis on monitoring and compliance withenvironmental requirements during project implementation, and finally the need to view environmental assessment as anongoing process rather than a one-time event.
References
Varian, Hal, Intermediate Microeconomics, 3rd ed., 1993, W.W. Norton and Company, Inc.
Dornbusch, Rudiger and Fisher, Stanley, Macroeconomics, 7th ed., 1998, Mcgraw-Hill
Publishing Company (earlier editions are also acceptable)
CFA institute materials
http://www.environcorp.com/img/media/ISOpreview.pdfhttp://www.environmentalpolicy.org.uk/statement.htmlhttp://www.adb.org/documents/policies/environment/default.asp?p=policieshttp://www.adb.org/documents/policies/environment/default.asp?p=policieshttp://www.environmentalpolicy.org.uk/statement.htmlhttp://www.environcorp.com/img/media/ISOpreview.pdf