Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night...

41
The unheard winning bold economic agenda Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night survey November 2016

Transcript of Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night...

Page 1: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

The unheard winning bold economic agenda

Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night survey November 2016

Page 2: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

1

Methodology

National phone survey of 1,300 2016 voters. This survey took place Monday, November 7 – Wednesday November 9, 2016 among 1,300 voters or (on Monday only) those with a high stated intention of voting in 2016. In addition to a 900 voter base sample, oversamples of 200 Rising American Electorate voters (unmarried women, minorities and millennials) and 200 battleground state voters (AZ, FL, OH, IA, NC, NV, NH, PA, VA, WI) were included. Data shown in this deck is among all 2016 voters unless otherwise noted. Margin of error for the full sample is +/-3.27 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level. Of the 1,300 respondents, 65 percent were interviewed via cell phone in order to accurately sample the American electorate.

Page 3: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

48 47

3 2

47 49

4

HillaryClinton

DonaldTrump

GaryJohnson

Stein/Other

HillaryClinton

DonaldTrump

Johnson/Stein/Other

+1

Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian

Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?

Clinton wins popular vote nationally, trails in battleground states-

2

+2

PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Nationally Battleground States

Page 4: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

88

68 65 62 59 58 56 49

42 41 35

23 8

26 29 34 35 38 35

47 53 53

61

72

AfricanAmerican

Seculars Hispanic Unmarriedwomen

RisingAmericanElectorate

Collegewomen

Millenial Marriedwomen

Whiteunmarried

women

Men White non-collegewomen

White non-college

men

Hillary Clinton Donald Trump

Now let me ask you about the election for Congress. Did you vote for (ROTATE) the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?

+80 +36 +24 +20 +11 +12 +26 +49

PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

+21 +2

Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,

(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?

White working class now almost as Republican as minorities are Democratic

+28 +42

Page 5: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

4 4 3

11

6

10

21

37

ElectionDay

Last fewdays

Weekbefore

Duringdebates

Monthbefore

InSeptember

During thesummer

Before thesummer

4

When did you finally decide to vote for (INSERT CANDIDATE CHOSEN ): on Election Day, in the last few days before the election, the week before the election, during the debates, a month before the election, sometime in September, during the summer or before that?

WHEN DECIDED

Over 10 percent decided in the final week of the campaign

Convention or earlier

Last Week Fall

Page 6: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

36

50 52 43 47 45

53 45

HillaryClinton

DonaldTrump

HillaryClinton

DonaldTrump

HillaryClinton

DonaldTrump

HillaryClinton

DonaldTrump

5

When did you finally decide to vote for (INSERT CANDIDATE CHOSEN IN PRS16VT1/F): on Election Day, in the last few days before the election, the week before the election, during the debates, a month before the election, sometime in September, during the summer or before that?

PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Close broke for Trump heavily

+14 +2 +8

Convention or earlier

Last Week During Debates September

+9

Page 7: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

6

Hillary Clinton close debates with her mission: "I will stand up for families

against special interests against”

9-1 corporations."

I have made the cause of children and

families really my life's work. That's

what my mission will be in the

presidency. I will stand up for families

against powerful interests, against

corporations.

I'm reaching out to all

Americans.. We need everybody

to help.. Grow the economy to

make it fairer, to make it work for

everyone

Well I would like to say to everyone watching tonight that I'm reaching out to all Americans, Democrats, Republicans and

independents, because we need everybody to help make our country what it should be, to grow the economy, to make it

fairer, to make it work for everyone. We need your talents, your skills, your commitment, your energy, your ambition. You

know, I've been privileged to see the presidency up close, and I know the awesome responsibility of protecting our country and the

incredible opportunity of working to try to make life better for all of you. I have made the cause of children and families really my

life's work. That's what my mission will be in the presidency. I will stand up for families against powerful interests, against

corporations. I will do everything that I can to make sure that you have good jobs with rising incomes, that your kids have

good educations from preschool through college. I hope you will give me a chance to serve as your president.

Page 8: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

40 36

29

43 35

55 50

64

52 61

Mar-16 Jul-16 Nov-16

Clinton Trump

26

15 22

31 23

64 69

58 57

72

Mar-16 Jul-16 Nov-16

White Non-College Women

White Non-College Men

PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

White working class men Trump base, but the women broke late

Post-RNC Pre-DNC

Final Debate

End of Primaries

Post-RNC Pre-DNC

Final Debate

End of Primaries

Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,

(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?

+15 +14 +35 +9 +26 +38 +54 +36 +26 +49

Page 9: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

35 31

39

29

35 38

47 43 53

61

Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16

Clinton Trump

+16

27 27 23 21

23

49 52 60 61

72

Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16

White Non-College Women

White Non-College Men

PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

White working class men Trump base, but the women broke late

Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump,

(ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?

+3 +4 +24 +22 +40 +25 +37

NBC/WSJ polls from August, September, October and pre-Election in November. 4-way vote presented except for in September.

+26 +49

Page 10: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

9

THE ECONOMIC CONTEXT

Page 11: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

10

Clinton closed on unity and opportunity, not economic change

I think we can all agree it’s been a long campaign but tomorrow you get to pick our next president. So here are a few things that I hope you’ll think about. First it’s not just my name and my opponent’s name on the ballot. It’s the kind of country we want for our children and grandchildren. Is America dark and divisive. Or hopeful and inclusive? Our core values are being tested in this election. But everywhere I go people are refusing to be defined by fear and division. Look we all know we have come through some hard economic times and we have seen some pretty big changes. But I believe in our people. I love this country and I’m convinced that our best days are still ahead of us if we reach for them together. I want to be a president for all Americans not just those who support me in this election for everyone because we all have role to play in building a stronger fairer America. The second thing we want you to know is this I will work my heart as president to make life better for you and your family. We won’t always get it right but you can count on this I never quit and I never will. I’ll get up every day determined to make America safe and strong and make our economy work for every not just those at the top. And finally working for children and families has been the cause of my life but it’s never been more important than it is right but it’s never been more important that it is right now. This has to be or mission to give our kids and every American the chance to live up to their god given potential. So tonight I am asking for your vote and tomorrow let’s make history together.

CLINTON CLOSING MESSAGE

Page 12: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

11

Obama's closing message: build on the progress with experience

We've seen America turn recession into recovery. Our businesses create 15.5 million new jobs. Putting more people back to work than all the other advanced economies combined. A resurgent auto industry has led the fastest manufacturing growth since another Clinton was President. Incomes are rising. Poverty is falling. Twenty million more Americans have health insurance. Those are just the facts. And with just one more day to go, we now have the chance to elect a 45th President who will build on our progress. Who will finish the job. Who already has the respect of leaders around the world and the people they serve. Who is smart and who is steady and who is tested. Someone who comes to this office as well-prepared as anyone who has ever run -- The next President of the United States, Hillary Clinton. And that's how I know she will work her heart out for you – for everybody still in need of a good job or a raise; for every child who needs a sturdier ladder out of poverty; for every student who needs relief from student debt; every immigrant who wants to contribute to this country they love; for every American who has not yet felt the progress of these past eight years. She will work. And she will deliver. She won’t just tweet.

OBAMA CLOSING MESSAGE

Page 13: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

12

18

30

39

36

26

60

51

Much more Somewhat more Much more Somewhat more

12

Please tell me which one you agree with more, even if neither is exactly right.

Voters dissatisfied with economy's progress and fairness

We need a bold and comprehensive agenda to rewrite the rules of our economy so it

works for everyone and not just the wealthy.

We can make our economy work for everyone by building on our progress with

incremental changes.

Jobs still don't pay enough to live on and it is a struggle to save anything.

The economy is starting to get to full employment and a lot of people are finding

jobs that pay more.

Page 14: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

39

33

37

28

24

39

65

55

53

51

44

62

27

31

32

33

40

26

34

43

46

47

54

36

Much more Somewhat more Much more Somewhat more

13

Please tell me which one you agree with more, even if neither is exactly right.

Majority of unmarried women can't deal with a $500 bill

I would be able to handle a sudden unexpected $500 expense.

I would not be able to handle a sudden unexpected $500 expense.

Total

White non-college men

Rising American Electorate

White non-college women

Minority

Unmarried Women

Page 15: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

11

13

10

12

8

10

31

28

31

23

17

28

41

44

44

47

53

43

62

63

63

69

80

66

Things I care about strongly Somewhat more Haven't paid attention strongly Somewhat more

14

Please tell me which one you agree with more, even if neither is exactly right.

RAE & working class say people in power aren’t listening

People in power haven't paid much attention to what I worry about.

The things I care about get the attention of people in power.

Total

Rising American Electorate

Unmarried Women

Minority

White Non College Women

White Non-College Men

Page 16: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

34

11

61

29 39

21 36 43

52

25

80

46

58

35

60 65

26 45

8

32 25 36

21 18

41

67

14

48 39

58

29 33

Spoke for working class strongly Appealed to resentments strongly

+66 +11 +23

Now I am going to read some pairs of short statements some people have made about our nation. After I read each

pair, please tell me which statement comes closer to your own view even if neither statement is exactly right.

A lot RAE, including unmarried women, thought Trump expressed

legitimate frustration

15

Trump spoke for a lot of working class Americans who were rightly frustrated.

Total

+32

Donald Trump appealed to racial resentments more than working class problems.

Clinton

Voters

+42

Trump

Voters Unmarried

Women

White Non-

College

Men

White Non-

College

Women Minority

+31 +2 +19

White

Unmarried

women

Page 17: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero

meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold.

Growing opposition for new TPP trade deal over campaign

18 16

20 17

27 24

37 37

Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16

Favorable Unfavorable

Trans-Pacific Partnership

Post-RNC Pre-DNC

Final Debate

+9 +8 +17 +20

Page 18: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

14 14 12

27 11

29 17 19 16 23

56 30 28 20 34 34 34 24

62

36 38 30

48 47 46 34

Very warm (75-100) Warm (51-74) Very cool (0-25) Cool (26-49)

White working class behind Trump is done with CEO trickle-down

17

Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE

feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold.

Net: -1

Mean: 23.7

Net: -50

Mean: 48.0

Net: -30

Mean: 37.4

Net: -31

Mean: 37.7

Net: -27

Mean: 36.3

Clinton Voters

Trump Voters

White non-college

men

Net: -11

Mean: 45.1

Unfavorable

TRICKLE-DOWN ECONOMICS

Favorable Unfavorable

CEO’S of LARGE COMPANIES

Favorable

Net: -9

Mean: 43.4

Net: -28

Mean: 40.0

White non-college women

Clinton Voters

Trump Voters

White non-college

men

White non-college women

Page 19: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

18

REASONS FOR VOTING

Page 20: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

22

35

45

62

Against Trump much more

For Clinton much more+27

80

91

5

Against Clinton much more

For Trump much more+86

Trump’s vote was largely for him, not against Clinton, in end

My vote is mostly a vote AGAINST Donald Trump

19

My vote is mostly a vote FOR Hillary

Clinton

Vote AGAINST

Trump

Vote FOR

Clinton

CLINTON VOTERS

My vote is mostly a vote FOR

Donald Trump

My vote is mostly a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton

TRUMP VOTERS

Vote FOR

Trump

Vote AGAINST

Clinton

Which one of the following statements comes closer to your point of view, even if neither is exactly right.

Page 21: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

10

19

32

33

12

32

40

29

16

19

22

27

27

28

30

30

31

36

I just could not vote for Hillary Clinton

Will knock out ISIS and keep us safe

Would shake up the elite establishment and bring bigchange

Will block bad trade deals that cost jobs and will putAmerica first

His plans to build a border wall and get tough on illegalimmigration

A successful businessman who knows how to create jobs

His plans to cut taxes and regulations to grow theeconomy

He will block liberals from dominating the Supreme Court

His plans to repeal and replace Obamacare

Trump VoterConsidered Trump

Economy big part of Trump vote, shaking up elites for those who considered

20

(IF TRUMP) Now let me read you a list of reasons to support Donald Trump. Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted for Donald Trump? (IF CONSIDERED TRUMP) why you considered voting for Donald Trump?

ARGUMENTS FOR TRUMP

His plans to repeal and replace Obamacare

He will block liberals from dominating the Supreme Court

His plans to cut taxes and regulations to grow the economy

A successful businessman who knows how to create jobs

His plans to build a border wall and get tough on illegal immigration

Would shake up the elite establishment and bring big change

Will block bad trade deals that cost jobs and will put America first

Will knock out ISIS and keep us safe

I just could not vote for Hillary Clinton

Page 22: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

Clinton vote rooted in experience & temperament to be commander in chief &

governing for all backgrounds, but not economic plans

21

(IF CLINTON) Now let me read you a list of reasons to support Hillary Clinton. Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted for Hillary Clinton? (IF CONSIDERED CLINTON) considered voting for Hillary Clinton?

10

20

25

10

9

36

33

32

42

10

15

21

30

31

35

39

44

44

Relentlessly battles for change

Would be the first woman president

You just could not vote for Trump

Will continue Obama's progress

Her plans to grow the economy by raising taxes on the rich andinvesting in the middle class

Supports equal pay for women, a woman's right to choose andPlanned Parenthood

Understands foreign affairs and would be a better Commander inChief

Has the right temperament and experience to be president

Would govern for all Americans no matter their race, religion,gender, or background

Clinton voter

Considered Clinton

Has the right temperament and experience to be president

Would govern for all Americans no matter their race, religion, gender, or background

Understands foreign affairs and would be a better Commander in Chief

Supports equal pay for women, a woman's right to choose and Planned Parenthood

Her plans to grow the economy by raising taxes on the rich & investing in the middle class

Will continue Obama's progress

You just could not vote for Trump

Would be the first woman president

Relentlessly battles for change

ARGUMENTS FOR CLINTON

Page 23: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

Clinton prosecuted on treatment of minorities & trust with nukes, but not his

tax cuts & tax returns

22

(SKIP IF TRUMP AND DIDN'T CONSIDER CLINTON) Let me read you a list of doubts about Donald Trump. Regardless of your vote, which TWO describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Donald Trump?

DOUBTS ABOUT TRUMP

4

7

12

25

12

14

28

51

2

7

12

15

19

26

26

47

Because he's a Republican

Defends Vladimir Putin, Russian aggression overseas andinterference in our election

Only cares about himself

Thinks women should be punished for seeking an abortion andwould overturn Roe v. Wade

Wants big tax cuts for the wealthiest and his own family, whilerefusing to release his tax returns

Is too thin-skinned to have control of nuclear weapons

Said disrespectful and sexually aggressive things about women

Said hateful things about minorities, immigrants, Muslims, andpeople with disabilities

Clinton Voter

Considered Clinton

Said hateful things about minorities, immigrants, Muslims, and people with disabilities

Said disrespectful and sexually aggressive things about women

Is too thin-skinned to have control of nuclear weapons

Thinks women should be punished for seeking an abortion and would overturn Roe v. Wade

Only cares about himself

Wants big tax cuts for the wealthiest and his own family, while refusing to release his tax returns

Defends Vladimir Putin, Russian aggression overseas and interference in our election

Because he's a Republican

Page 24: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

1

13

15

38

12

15

11

43

15

8

11

13

21

26

32

45

Because she is a Democrat

Just another DC elite insider who won't get anything done

Will raise taxes

Beholden to too many wealthy donors and Wall Street

Will pack the Supreme Court with liberal Justices

Would be four more years of President Obama's policies

Showed bad judgement as Secretary of State and madethe world less safe

Lied about her private email server and mishandledclassified information

Trump VoterConsidered Trump

Emails dominate doubt about HRC, her wealthy donors opened them to Trump

23

(SKIP IF CLINTON IN PRS16VT1/F AND DIDN'T CONSIDER TRUMP IN CHNCDT) Let me read you a list of doubts about Hillary Clinton. Regardless of your vote, which TWO describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Hillary Clinton?

DOUBTS ABOUT CLINTON

Lied about private email server & mishandled classified information

Showed bad judgement as Secretary of State & made world less safe

Will pack the Supreme Court with liberal Justices

Would be four more years of President Obama's policies

Just another DC elite insider who won't get anything done

Beholden to too many wealthy donors and Wall Street

Will raise taxes

Because she is a Democrat

Page 25: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

24

GOP trusted on economy and safety, Democrats on uniting country

Uniting the country

Reviving the middle class

Bringing the right kind of change

The economy

Keeping America safe

+15

+5

+1

+6

+12

Now, I am going to read you a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think (ROTATE) the Democrats or the Republicans would do a better job with each issue.

33

29

28

25

24

48

48

42

41

32

25

27

33

33

33

38

42

45

49

48

Much more Somewhat more Much more Somewhat more

Page 26: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

11

16

19

26

31

36

37

38

For change

First woman president

Never Trump

Obama progress

Economic plan to tax rich

Protects women

Temperament

Better Commander in Chief

Clinton never prosecuted the economic attack in battleground

25

(IF CLINTON, CONSIDERERED) Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted /considered voting for Hillary Clinton?

Arguments for Clinton Doubts about Trump

1

7

14

19

19

23

30

43

Republican

Defends Russia

Selfish

Pro-life

Tax cuts for rich

Nuclear threat

Disrespects women

Racist, xenophic, ableist

(SKIP IF TRUMP DIDN'T CONSIDER CLINTON) Regardless of your vote, which TWO describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Donald Trump?

BATTLEGROUND STATES

Page 27: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

10

11

16

22

25

40

44

46

47

Obama progress

For change

First woman president

Economic plan to tax rich

Never Trump

Protects women

Better Commander in Chief

Governs for all

Temperament

White working class women heard attacks on Trump as leader and governing

for all, but not economic plans or change

26

(CLINTON, CONSIDERERED) Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted /considered voting for Hillary Clinton?

2

13

12

14

17

21

29

41

Republican

Defends Russia

Selfish

Pro-life

Nuclear threat

Tax cuts for rich

Disrespects women

Racist, xenophic, ableist

(SKIP IF TRUMP DIDN'T CONSIDER CLINTON) Which TWO describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Donald Trump?

WHITE NON-COLLEGE WOMEN

Arguments for Clinton Doubts about Trump

Page 28: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

85

9 1 3

HillaryClinton

DonaldTrump

GaryJohnson

Jill Stein

27

Sanders Primary Voters

Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- (ROTATE CLINTON/TRUMP) Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican

Donald Trump, (ROTATE JOHNSON/STEIN) Libertarian Gary Johnson, or Green Party Candidate Jill Stein?

Both parties incompletely united

82

10 4 0

DonaldTrump

HillaryClinton

GaryJohnson

Jill Stein

Non-Trump Primary Voters

PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

13% HELD BACK 14% HELD BACK

Page 29: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

28

THE ECONOMIC DEBATE &

AGENDA GOING FORWARD

Page 30: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

COLLEGE: America will only have a middle class if we make college debt-free so more young people can afford their education, and we should be helping generations of Americans refinance their debt from college to a lower rate . We must lift this heavy burden of debt.

FINANCIAL REFORM: We need to pass tough new rules that make our financial system work for families and small businesses. That means down-sizing "Too

Big to Fail" banks, regulating shadow banking and risky financial activities that caused our financial crisis, and increasing enforcement of Wall Street crimes.

RAISE INCOMES: Creating enough good-paying jobs with rising incomes is the defining challenge of our time. We must raise the minimum wage, defend overtime pay and protect workers' rights. Provide tax credits to companies that share profits with their workers, end tax breaks for corporations outsourcing jobs, and invest in infrastructure to create millions of good paying jobs.

INFRASTRUCURE INVESTMENT: In my first 100 days, we will work with both parties to pass the biggest investment in new, good-paying jobs since World War II. We can put Americans to work rebuilding out crumbling bridges and roads and investing in clean energy and technology to power a new century of economic growth.

TAX RICH TO INVEST IN MIDDLE: I want to build an economy that works for everyone, not more trickle down economics for those at the top. The wealthiest need to pay their fair share in taxes and the middle class needs relief. I want to raise taxes on the wealthy and corporations who have seen all the income gains in recent years so we can make investments to help the middle class.

CORPORATE TAXES: Corporations need to make a greater contribution to our country. The tax code rewards corporations for outsourcing jobs, and their profits overseas, instead of investing here in the United States, and we need to empower companies willing to take the high road. So we are going to crack down on the worst corporate abuses, close loopholes, and place an exit tax on corporations who try to outsource jobs or avoid their fair share of taxes.

29

EDUCATION: Every child deserves a high-quality education, regardless of their zip code. We must expand access to early childhood education, empower our teachers and invest in our schools at all levels. That means modernizing our schools, updating our curriculums for the 21st century and expanding broadband internet access.

WOMEN ECON AGENDA: It's time our policies reflect how families live and work in the 21st century so women can get and keep better paying jobs. Let's ensure equal pay for women, guarantee 12 weeks of paid family leave, expand the child tax credit and make quality affordable childcare a reality.

SPECIAL INTERESTS: Our democracy should work for everyone, not just the wealthy and well-connected. I will appoint Supreme Court Justices who will protect the right to vote, require outside groups to disclose their political spending so we get dark unaccountable money out of politics, and empower small donors.

CLIMATE: We can tackle the urgent threat of climate change by becoming the world's clean energy superpower, creating millions of good-paying jobs in the process. I want to invest in renewable energy, install half a billion solar panels by the end of my first term, and generate enough clean energy to power every home by 2020.

CLINTON ECONOMIC AGENDA

Page 31: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

Debt-free college, refinance student debt.

Protect financial reforms and go further

Raise incomes and create good paying jobs

Tax the rich, invest in the middle class

30

Reform money in politics

Climate change, clean energy investment

Women’s economic agenda

Improve education at all levels

Majorities say these things belong at top of list of priorities And where does this go on the list of priorities for the next President and Congress – the first priority, near the top of the list, the

middle of the list, the bottom of the list, or no priority at all?

Infrastructure jobs program in first 100 days

Change corporate taxes to encourage good behavior

11

9

4

6

5

2

5

7

6

4

6

6

5

7

7

9

8

10

9

12

34

35

38

40

44

50

52

53

53

58

Not a priority 1st Priority Top priorityCLINTON ECONOMIC AGENDA

Page 32: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

Make college debt-free and refinance student debt

Let me read you some things the presidential candidates were saying during their campaign. Did you hear any of the presidential

candidates say this during the campaign, yes or no? Did that statement make you more or less likely to support them?

But many did not hear them during the campaign

CLINTON ECONOMIC AGENDA

Protect financial reforms and go further

Raise incomes and create good paying jobs

Infrastructure jobs program in first 100 days

Tax the rich, invest in the middle class

Change corporate taxes to encourage good behavior

31

14

15

8

10

13

8

24

23

21

29

31

33

31

36

36

48

52

54

49

53

Much less likely to support

Much more likely to supportDid NOT

Hear

45%

15%

25%

18%

26%

32%

Page 33: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

REFORM CORPORATE GOVERNANCE: It's time for corporations and CEOs to prioritize long term investments in

workers and their companies over short-term gains and speculation. Let's end the practice of tying CEO pay to stock

prices so corporations make decisions that encourage long-term growth over short-term personal gain. And let's

limit the right of executives to use profits to buy back stock, which only benefits wealthy shareholders.

FOSTER BETTER MARKETS: Large corporations have too much power which means less competition, higher prices, lower quality services, lower wages and less innovation. We need regulators who enforce antitrust law and address corporate abuses, lets revise merger guidelines to ensure competition and protect consumers and families, and create a new antitrust law so corporate mergers work for all Americans and consumers.

LARGE SCALE PUBLIC INVESTMENT: It's time to make transformational public investments in our nation's infrastructure to fuel economic growth, put Americans to work, and meet the challenges of a 21st century economy. Let's not stop with updating our roads and bridges. Investing in high-speed rail, universal broadband, and a carbon-reducing power grid will level the economic playing field while growing our economy in the long term.

32

INVEST IN UNDER-SERVEDCOMMUNITIES: Every community needs investments in infrastructure to fuel growth and shared prosperity, but we should prioritize and target investments in communities that need it the most. Targeted investments in communities of color and rural communities that have historically been excluded can help create jobs and the vibrant communities that every American deserves.

REFORM TRADE: I will not support TPP or any trade deal that prioritizes corporate interests over American families. I will appoint a commission to reform our trade policies to serve the common good and will ramp up enforcement of trade rules by appointing a new chief trade prosecutor and tripling the number of enforcement officers.

ROOSEVELT POLICIES

Page 34: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

Now, let me read you some statements that the president elect might say now. Does that statement make you feel much more

positive, somewhat more positive, a little more positive or not at all positive about the president elect?

President-elect can get huge support if proposed RTR’s most impactful policies

ROOSEVELT POLICIES

REFORM TRADE: I will not support TPP or any trade deal that prioritizes corporate interests over American families. I will appoint a commission to reform our trade policies to serve the common good and will ramp up enforcement of trade rules by appointing a new chief trade prosecutor and tripling the number of enforcement officers.

INVEST IN UNDER-SERVED COMMUNITIES: Every community needs investments in infrastructure to fuel growth and shared prosperity, but we should prioritize and target investments in communities that need it the most. Targeted investments in communities of color and rural communities that have historically been excluded can help create jobs and the vibrant communities that every American deserves.

LARGE SCALE PUBLIC INVESTMENT: It's time to make transformational public investments in our nation's infrastructure to fuel economic growth, put Americans to work, and meet the challenges of a 21st century economy. Let's not stop with updating our roads and bridges. Investing in high-speed rail, universal broadband, and a carbon-reducing power grid will level the economic playing field while growing our economy in the long term.

FOSTER BETTER MARKETS: Large corporations have too much power which means less competition, higher prices, lower quality services, lower wages and less innovation. We need regulators who enforce antitrust law and address corporate abuses, lets revise merger guidelines to ensure competition and protect consumers and families, and create a new antitrust law so corporate mergers work for all Americans and consumers.

REFORM CORPORATE GOVERNANCE: It's time for corporations and CEOs to prioritize long term investments in workers and their companies over short-term gains and speculation. Let's end the practice of tying CEO pay to stock prices so corporations make decisions that encourage long-term growth over short-term personal gain. And let's limit the right of executives to use profits to buy back stock, which only benefits wealthy shareholders.

33

29

30

32

34

42

56

59

64

69

70

Much more positive

Somewhat more positive

Page 35: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

42 51

32 46

36

70 80

59

73 65

All voters Clinton voters Trump voters College educated White non-collegeeducated

Much more positive Somewhat more positive

Now, let me read you some statements that the president elect might say now. Does that statement make you feel much more

positive, somewhat more positive, a little more positive or not at all positive about the president elect?

Large-scale public investment in infrastructure and more is most

supported policy for a next President across divides

34

INFRASTRUCUTRE: It's time to make transformational public investments in our nation's infrastructure to fuel economic growth, put Americans to work, and meet the challenges of a 21st century economy. Let's not stop with updating our roads and bridges. Investing in high-speed rail, universal broadband, and a carbon-reducing power grid will level the economic playing field while growing our economy in the long term.

Page 36: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

29 36 20

31 24

56 63

48

58 52

All voters Clinton voters Trump voters College educated White non-collegeeducated

Much more positive Somewhat more positive

Now, let me read you some statements that the president elect might say now. Does that statement make you feel much more

positive, somewhat more positive, a little more positive or not at all positive about the president elect?

Majorities across divides support next president taking on

corporate governance

35

REFORM CORPORATE GOVERNANCE: It's time for corporations and CEOs to prioritize long term investments in workers and their companies over short-term gains and speculation. Let's end the practice of tying CEO pay to stock prices so corporations make decisions that encourage long-term growth over short-term personal gain. And let's limit the right of executives to use profits to buy back stock, which only benefits wealthy shareholders.

Page 37: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

32 36 30 32 38

64 71

60 67 70

All voters Clinton voters Trump voters College educated White non-college educated

Much more positive Somewhat more positive

Now, let me read you some statements that the president elect might say now. Does that statement make you feel much more

positive, somewhat more positive, a little more positive or not at all positive about the president elect?

Incredible support across divides for President-elect pushing

reforms to create more competitive markets

36

CREATE BETTER MARKETS: Large corporations have too much power which means less competition, higher prices, lower quality services, lower wages and less innovation. We need regulators who enforce antitrust law and address corporate abuses, lets revise merger guidelines to ensure competition and protect consumers and families, and create a new antitrust law so corporate mergers work for all Americans and consumers.

Page 38: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

34 43

26 41

29

69 78

62

75 68

All voters Clinton voters Trump voters College educated White non-college educated

Much more positive Somewhat more positive

Now, let me read you some statements that the president elect might say now. Does that statement make you feel much more

positive, somewhat more positive, a little more positive or not at all positive about the president elect?

Strong support for investing in under-served communities

37

INVEST IN UNDER-SERVED COMMUNITIES: Every community needs investments in infrastructure to fuel growth and shared prosperity, but we should prioritize and target investments in communities that need it the most. Targeted investments in communities of color and rural communities that have historically been excluded can help create jobs and the vibrant communities that every American deserves.

Page 39: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

30 21

39 28 30

59

48

70

56

66

All voters Clinton voters Trump voters College educated White non-collegeeducated

Much more positive Somewhat more positive

Now, let me read you some statements that the president elect might say now. Does that statement make you feel much more

positive, somewhat more positive, a little more positive or not at all positive about the president elect?

Strong support for limiting corporate influence & new trade

prosecutor

38

TRADE: I will not support TPP or any trade deal that prioritizes corporate interests over American families. I will appoint a commission to reform our trade policies to serve the common good and will ramp up enforcement of trade rules by appointing a new chief trade prosecutor and tripling the number of enforcement officers.

Page 40: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

18

9

39

18

26

53

51

75

Much more Somewhat more Much more Somewhat more

39

Please tell me which one you agree with more, even if neither is exactly right.

Voters want bold changes, starting with appointments

The type of people the next President appoints

to key positions can have a major impact on how the rules are applied and the economy works.

Presidential appointments do not have much of an impact on how the rules are applied and the

economy works.

It is more important that the next President's economic team does not have ties to Wall Street and the financial institutions they will regulate.

It is more important that the next President's economic team have experience working at

financial institutions they will regulate.

Page 41: Findings from Roosevelt Institute's Election night surveyrooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Dcorps... · 2016-11-15 · Clinton Trump +16 27 2327 23 21 49 52 60 61

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 10 G Street, NE Suite 500 Washington, DC 20002 Phone: +1 202 478 8300 Fax: +1 202 478 8301

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 3 Waterhouse Square 138 Holborn London, UK EC1N 2SW T: +44 (0)20 3740 9029

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 350-1 First Canadian Place Toronto Board of Trade Tower Toronto, ON M5K 1C1 Phone: +1 647 526 6754

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 25 Broadway 9th Floor New York, NY 10004 T: (212) 231 0050

NEW YORK

HEADQUARTERS

WORLD

HEADQUARTERS

EUROPEAN

HEADQUARTERS

CANADIAN

HEADQUARTERS