Financing your start-up
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Transcript of Financing your start-up
A FOUNDERS GUIDE TO AUSTRALIAN VENTURE CAPITAL
Craig Blair and Dominic Reardon
@craigRblair
@dominicreardon
I have been a founder of several successfulstartups and a VC investor for almost 20 years
• Cofounder & partner of two VC funds:• Netus (2005 - 2012)• AirTree (2014 – present)
• Founder of:• Pet Circle• Beamly (zeebox)• Travelselect/Lastminute.com
I was originally an engineer ‘building things’. I have also been a management consultant.
A reformed investment banker and chartered accountant, I studied economics at university before starting my career at PwC, then on to Macquarie Capital.
About us..
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
4.1Xcash on cash returns
in 2 funds
20+years experience
(AU)
Our Track Record
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
https://
JOHN HENDERSON
General Partner Investment Manager
CRAIG BLAIR
Managing Partner/Co-‐Founder
DANIEL PETRE
General Partner/Co-‐Founder
CATH ROGERS
We all have deep operational experience
Investment AssociateELICIA MCDONALD
Investment AssociateDOMINIC REARDON
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
TOTALINVESTED
COMPANIES BACKED
TOTALEXIT VALUE
EXITS
36 17 $203m $525m
AirTreeby Numbers
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Stage of investment
Average size of investment
Investments made in the past 12 months
1235% 45% 20% $2.0m
$15m$200kSmallest
Largest
How we invest
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
The AirTree Family
AUSTRALIAN VENTURE CAPITAL ECOSYSTEM
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
The history of Australian venture capital isn’t pretty
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
But some green shoots are appearing..
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
£5m
$1.5m
$20K
1998My first start-up
2005-2011Businesses built in the Netus vintage
2016 START OWN COMPANY
Then Now
$685m Value of Atlassian ESOP and RSUs at IPO
World-class product expertise either built here or coming home from leading o/s businesses
A new generation of Angels from tech successes
Inspired by role models, a shifting paradigm in young talent employer preferences
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Low barriers to entry and cultural shift
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
$250m+
$100m -‐ $250m
$20 – $100m
<$20m
$FUM
• A number of announced funds are likely to close short of their targets
Australian VC Ecosystem
US MARKET
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016Source: CB Insights, 2015
The Unicorn fetish
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
These companies will come back to market in a subdued funding environment
Source: CB Insights, 2015
When will unicorns likely raise next?
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Companies are taking longer to raise and valuations have come back
The market has seen a number of flat rounds in 2016 (with more yet to come) after frothy rounds in 2015
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Product market fit
Sound unit economics
Delivery of growth exp
Control of cash burn
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ = Will Thrive
✓ ✓ ✗ ? =Need to create cash runway. Ideally 18months
✓ ✗ ✗ ? =Existential Crisis Down rounds don’t happen.
Australian Founder Checklist
Investors are focused on unit economics and valuation/growth metrics
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Product Market Fit
What do we look for?
A few customers in love with the product
Low churn and MMR expansion (for SaaS)
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High repeat (for Marketplace place)
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High engagement4
Viral coffiecient –the k factor
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1
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Key focus points for seed to series A
Unit Economics are critical...
Revenue/unit Fully loaded cost/unit Contribution/unit
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)
Life Time Value(LTV)
Unit economics
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
What does growth mean?
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Monthly revenue (re
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AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Outstanding teamWe invest in quality teams with product expertise.
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Path to sustainable revenueWe invest in businesses with a clear revenue strategy.
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Controlled cash burnWe invest where cash burn is under control.
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Evidence of product-market fitWe look for metrics that demonstrate market traction.
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Clear differentiationWe invest in companies that have an unfair advantage in their chosen market.
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Likely exit optionsWe invest where we see a prospect of a quality exit.
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Our investment criteria
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Criteria Portfolio example
Solving a real problem in a materially better/faster/cheaper way
Prospa – banks cannot service $20k loans economically
Founding team Paxata – excellent enterprise software track record
Product market fit Canva – High engagement: high designs per designer, high repeat rates
Unit economics GlamCorner – first-purchase CAC payback, repeat customers, accelerating growth
Market timing 90 Seconds – democratization of video
Cash burn Brosa – great cost discipline
Great businesses attacking large markets: these can be either global or local
Our investment criteria
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
95% of VCs rate themselves as top Quartile founder friendly
• When surveyed about their ability to get on well with others, 85% of US students put themselves above the median and 25% rated themselves in the top 1%1
1. Mark D. Alicke; Olesya Govorun (2005). "The Better-Than-Average Effect”2. Svenson, Ola (February 1981). "Are We All Less Risky and More Skillful Than Our Fellow Drivers?"
• When surveyed about their driving skills, 93% of US respondents put themselves in the top 50%2
Illusory superiority - the above-average effect
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
• Actively coaching and supporting our founders
• Recruitment support
• Data and finance
• Leveraging the AirTree network of over 100 founders
• Global VC network
What Founder Friendly means to us
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016 Kim Scott is the author of Radical Candor, to be published by St. Martin's Press in March 2017.
The importance of radical candor
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Approaching a VC
Do homework on the
VC/Partner
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Use advisor sparingly
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2
Know your metrics
4
Use contacts to get an introduction
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
✔
Can they add REAL value over capital?
Are you aligned on how to scale the business?
How you solve problems together in the early discussions?
Can they support the business through future rounds?
Does their brand help hire talent and raise future rounds?
VCs are the employees you can’t fire
Do at least 3-5x reference checks
IT‘S NEVER BEEN A BETTER TIME TO LAUNCH A START-UP
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016 30
We are seeing 10x the number of start-ups we saw 10 years ago
Start-u
ps p
er y
ear
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
100
1,000
10,000
$40m
$60m
$250m
Size of fund
netus
AirTree I
AirTree II
The future
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Great companies are started in all markets
Source: CB Insights, 2015
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
START-UPSIconic
Companies
FOUNDERSSuccessful exits
VC FUNDSReturn on Investment
ANGELSReturn on Investment
For the Australian ecosystem to thrive, ALL parts have to demonstrate success
THANK YOU
@craigRblair
@dominicreardon
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
VC funding flows have been declining since a peak in Q3 2015
• Investment count and value is down• Late-stage VC count materially lower
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016Source: Yahoo Finance April 2015
Avoid the temptation of a subscale ASX listingThe sugar hit does not last long...
AirTree Ventures ● November 2016
Tech exit valuations for 2015
Source: Global Tech Exits Report 2015, CB Insights