Financing Rural Infrastructure to End Hunger · hunger, and about a quarter of all children are...

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DRAFT – not for citation Financing Rural Infrastructure to End Hunger

Transcript of Financing Rural Infrastructure to End Hunger · hunger, and about a quarter of all children are...

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FinancingRuralInfrastructuretoEndHunger

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TableofContents

Introduction...........................................................................................................................4ObjectivesandApproach.................................................................................................................5Anoteonmethodologicalchallenges...............................................................................................7Returnoninvestmentandbeyond...................................................................................................8IntermediateInfrastructure:TheMissingMiddle...........................................................................10Afocusonfinancing.......................................................................................................................11

DonorAid..........................................................................................................................................11PublicSpending.................................................................................................................................11Mobilizingprivatecapital..................................................................................................................12

InvestmentPriority#1:StorageandColdStorageInfrastructure...........................................14Pathways.......................................................................................................................................14IntegratedStorageInfrastructure..................................................................................................15

Integrationacrossthedistributionchain..........................................................................................16Integrationwithsupportinginfrastructure.......................................................................................18

IntermediateInfrastructure–LogisticsProviders...........................................................................19FinancingApproaches....................................................................................................................19

Public-PrivatePartnerships...............................................................................................................19Governmentincentives.....................................................................................................................20NecessaryConditions........................................................................................................................22

InvestmentPriority#2:DecentralizedRenewableEnergy(DRE)Infrastructure....................24Pathways.......................................................................................................................................24IntermediateInfrastructure:Training,awarenessraising,andcommunityorganization.................27Commercialandpolicychallenges..................................................................................................27FinancingApproaches....................................................................................................................27

Investmentincentives.......................................................................................................................27Policysupport...................................................................................................................................29NecessaryConditions........................................................................................................................31

InvestmentPriority#3:FeederRoads..................................................................................32Pathways.......................................................................................................................................32QualityandMaintenanceofFeederRoads.....................................................................................33NeedforAlternativeRevenueSources...........................................................................................34IntermediateInfrastructure–TransportServices...........................................................................35FinancingApproaches....................................................................................................................36

Alternativefinancingsolutions.........................................................................................................36Fundingthealternativeschemes......................................................................................................38Otherincentivesandsolutions.........................................................................................................39

InvestmentPriority#4:Irrigationinfrastructure...................................................................41Pathways.......................................................................................................................................41Whereinthewaterdistributionnetworktofocus?........................................................................42IntermediateInfrastructure–IrrigationManagementServices......................................................45FinancingApproaches....................................................................................................................45

Pricing&PublicSubsidiesforIrrigation............................................................................................46SeparatingcapitalexpenditureandO&M........................................................................................47Identifyingandtargetingfoodsecuritybeneficiaries.......................................................................47

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PublicPrivatePartnerships...............................................................................................................48

Conclusion............................................................................................................................49

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IntroductionThemomentumsurroundingthehistoricgoaltoendglobalhungerispalpable.ThesecondoftheseventeenSustainableDevelopmentGoals(SDGs),adoptedbyUNmemberstatesin2016,isnoneotherthanto“Endhunger,achievefoodsecurityandimprovednutrition,andpromotesustainableagriculture”–withspecifictargetstoachievethisby2030.1Torepeat:thegoal isnot to halve, reduce, slow the extent, but to end it, and this has acted as a rallying cry fordevelopmentorganizationsandgovernmentsaliketobecomeapartofthisstory.Importantly,theharshrealitybehindthisoptimisticstoryremainsthatcloseto800millionpeoplestillfacehunger,andaboutaquarterofallchildrenareaffectedbystuntingduetomalnutrition,mostlyinSub-SaharanAfricaandSouthAsia.Investmentinruralinfrastructureisindispensableforachievingthegoaltoendhunger;indeed,ithasbeenafocusofeconomists,developmentprofessionalsandscientistsforcenturies,andremains a critical theme today. Most of the world’s hungry live in rural areas, engaged inagriculturalactivity,andmanylackbasicservicessuchasenergyandirrigationprovisionduetoalackofinfrastructure.Thereisglobalconsensusthataproductiveandsustainableagriculturalsector will be key to achieving food security and improved nutrition for all2; this requires arobust infrastructure base for farmers and rural communities to overcome the manyconstraintsonproductivitygrowth inagriculture, agribusinessandother formaland informalsectorsinruraleconomies.In light of a global infrastructure deficit estimated to reachUSD 90 trillion by 2030,3 policymakersandgovernmentshave tended touse thesealarming figures tobolster investment intheirurbansectors,addressingtheacutechallengesposedbyincreasingurbanization,whiletheruralinfrastructureneedshavebeenlessinthespotlight.Butnotonlywilldirectinvestmentinruralinfrastructureaddressruralpovertyandhunger–itwillslowtheurbanizationtrendtoamore sustainablepace.According to the InternationalMonetary Fund (IMF), neglecting rural(bothsocialandphysical) infrastructure,hasbeenoneofthemajorcontributorstobothruralandurbanpoverty.4Rural infrastructure can lower the transactions costs of market exchange for farminghouseholds, both by improving physical connections and also by reducing informationasymmetries.Betterphysicalmarketconnections increasetheavailabilityof inputs (improvedseeds,fertilizers)andagriculturalextensionservices–inadditiontoimprovingmarketaccess–all of which are likely to increase agricultural productivity and, consequently, welfare5. Inaddition,infrastructureimprovesthespreadofknowledge,reducinginformationasymmetries.Thiscanpositivelyaffectfarmers’confidenceinnegotiatingprices,andalsoinformproductiondecisionsregarding inputsandtechniques. In theseways,andothers, rural infrastructurecan

1https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/?page=view&nr=164&type=230&menu=20592http://www.g20-insights.org/policy_briefs/key-policy-actions-sustainable-land-water-use-serve-people/3http://2015.newclimateeconomy.report/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Ensuring-infrastructure-is-climate-smart.pdf4http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/issues/issues26/5ODI2013

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facilitate the integration of farming households intomarkets – both in agricultural and non-agricultural.BoxX:InfrastructuretoEndHunger–GlobalPolicyAgendaMilestones2005:Trade-relatedinfrastructureishighlightedasoneofthefourAidforTradecategoriesofsupport,asdefinedbytheOrganizationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment(OECD)andtheWorldTradeOrganization(WTO)–alongwithtechnicalassistancefortradepolicyandregulations,productivecapacitybuilding(includingtradedevelopment)andtrade-relatedadjustment.

“AidforTradeshouldaimtohelpdevelopingcountries,particularlyLDCs,tobuildthesupply-sidecapacityandtrade-relatedinfrastructurethattheyneedtoassistthemtoimplementandbenefitfromWTOAgreementsandmorebroadlytoexpandtheirtrade.”6

2009:L’AquilaJointStatementonGlobalFoodSecurityattheG8Summit

“Wesupportpublic-privatepartnerships,withadequateemphasisonthedevelopmentofinfrastructure,aimedatincreasingresourcesforagricultureandimprovinginvestmenteffectiveness.”7

2016:Adoptionof2030AgendaforSustainableDevelopment

Goal#2,Target2.a:“Increaseinvestment,includingthroughenhancedinternationalcooperation,inruralinfrastructure,agriculturalresearchandextensionservices,technologydevelopmentandplantandlivestockgenebanksinordertoenhanceagriculturalproductivecapacityindevelopingcountries,inparticularleastdevelopedcountries”8

ObjectivesandApproachTwocentralresearchquestionsguidethethinkingbehindthisreport:

1. Whatruralinfrastructureinvestmentscanhavethemostdirectpositiveimpacttowardsendingglobalhunger?

2. Howcantheseinfrastructureassetsbesustainablyfinanced?Inaddressingbothofthesequestions,anextensiveliteraturereviewwasundertaken,includingareviewofallof themajorrecentreportsby internationalorganizations -suchastheOECD,FAO,IFADandothers-onfoodsecurityandinfrastructure,aswellasfromdonorreportsfromgovernment development assistance programs9. This ‘meta-analysis’ of existing researchwas

6https://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/minist_e/min05_e/final_text_e.htm(emphasisadded)7http://www.g8italia2009.it/static/G8_Allegato/LAquila_Joint_Statement_on_Global_Food_Security[1],0.pdf(emphasisadded)8https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/post2015/transformingourworld(emphasisadded)9AlistofthesereportscanbefoundinAnnex1

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complemented by phone call interviews with experts from agricultural development,agribusiness,infrastructurefinanceandsector-specificauthorities10.Beginningwitha“longlist”ofinfrastructureassetsthataffectruraldevelopment,poverty,andfoodsecurity(Figure1below),thegoaloftheliteraturereviewandexpertinterviewswere,inpart,toparethislistdowntoamanageablelistoffourassetcategoriesthatdemonstratethemost robust and empirically verified pathways to food security, and also ones for whichfinancingposesadistinctandpersistentchallenge.Ourfocuswastocapturethetwoprinciplemechanisms through which people experiencing, or at risk of experiencing, hunger canconsumemorefood(andwherepossible,morenutritiousfood):1)bygrowingmorefoodforown-consumption(i.e.subsistenceagriculture)or2)bygeneratingmoreincomewithwhichtobuymore food. Both pathways are legitimate and vital approaches to ending hunger, givenequalimportancethroughoutthisreport.Figure1:Longlistofruralinfrastructureassetsthataffecthunger

Fromthislonglist,ashortlistoffourassetswerechosenforananalysisontheirpathwaystofood security and how to overcome the associated financing challenges. These assets are:storage/cold storage, feeder roads, decentralized renewable energy and irrigationinfrastructure. This short list selectionwas informedby the literature reviewand theexpertinterviews, and broadly speaking, based on the following criteria: the persistence of successstories over decades of research (empirical and anecdotal), the strength in the establishedcorrelations between the infrastructure and the desired development outcome (i.e. endinghunger),andlimitedbytheavailabilityofexistingpublishedinformation.

10AcompletelistofintervieweescanbefoundinAnnex2

• railway, roads, ports, energy infra (grids, transmission and distribution) (renewable energy sources infra – biogas, biomass, wind, solar, hydro)

Backbone infrastructure

• irrigation systems (drip, pivot, or drainage), air control fans for livestock housing On-farm infrastructure

• - bulk water storage investment, reservoirs, pump systems and pipes, canals, feeder roads Off farm infrastructure

• processing and milling facilities, cold storage, wholesale markets spaces, mobile networks (towers), seed banks/storage/distribution (and same for other inputs e.g. fertilizer)

Supporting Infrastructure

• extensions of water and energy to local villages (once done for agriculture can be done for low marginal cost). Health infrastructure (sanitation infrastructure in village, and local clinics) and education infrastructure (schools and toilets).

Community Infrastructure

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It is our hope that this analysis will serve to assist those donors and investors who arededicated to ending hunger to target their financial resources to high-impact infrastructurecategories,andtohelpthemunderstandwhy.AnoteonmethodologicalchallengesThere is much descriptive literature on the positive impact of infrastructure investment ondiverseruraldevelopmentoutcomes,suchaspovertyalleviation,agriculturalproductivity,andfoodsecurity.However,apersistentchallengefacedbyresearchersinthefieldisinconfirmingtheprecisecausallinksbetweentheintervention(e.g.newroad)andtheimpact(e.g.enhancedfoodsecurity).Thiscanlargelybeattributedtotheextensivemultipliereffectsofinfrastructureinvestment, the benefits ofwhich can be difficult to capture in a simplemodel (ODI, 2013).Some studies even challenge the “direction” of this causal chain, referred to as reversecausality, suggesting that infrastructure is in response to, not causeof, economic growth, orrecognizedgrowthpotential.11 Furthermore, some studieshavehighlighted the limitationsofour ability to observe the costs and benefits farmers (and rural communities) face throughexternalanalyses12.Nevertheless,methodologieshavebeendevelopedandemployedtomakethesecorrelationsmore robust. In the literature reviewed for this report, the following variables are themostfrequentlyused(inorder)tomeasuretheimpactofinfrastructureinterventions:

• Marketaccess13• Agriculturaltrade• Agriculturalperformance/productivity14• Povertyincidence/Householdincome• FDI15• Foodsecurity16• Percapitaconsumption(notdonetoourknowledge)

Various econometric approaches confirming causality between rural infrastructure andagricultural productivity andpoverty reductionwere captured in a 2006WorldBank study17,including simultaneous equationmodels (SEMs), and quintile regressionmodels; all of thosestudiescoveredresultedinapositiveandsignificantcorrelation.Anothermethodologyusedfordealing with reverse causality is the gravity model approach, to measure and predict therelativeimportanceofdifferentvariablesonaparticularoutcome.11http://r4d.dfid.gov.uk/PDF/Outputs/IIG/Dercon-wbro1.pdf12Takeshimaetal.201013E.g.USAID201114E.g.http://www.fao.org/docrep/016/ap108e/ap108e.pdf15E.g.IADBstudy16OECD’s2011SystematicOverviewofFoodSecurityInterventions17AndersonandShimowaka,2006http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTDECABCTOK2006/Resources/Per_Pinstrup_Andersen_Rural_Infrastructure.pdf

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The most rigorous studies reviewed for this report present a counterfactual – that is, alsomonitorthechangeinfoodsecurityindicatorsorproxiesinpopulationsthatdidnotreceivetheinfrastructureintervention–forthesakeofcontrollingvariablesandcomparison.Forinstance,the OECD’s 2011 Systematic Overview of Food Security Interventions selected studies andarticles that evaluate and assess the impact of agricultural interventions (including but notlimited to infrastructure interventions) on household-level food security, and then screenedthem based on whether or not they presented a counterfactual. From the 300-plus studiesfoundafterthefirstsearch,only38studiesqualifiedforthereview18.Thisshortlistof38studieswashelpfulininformingthisreport.

Whilea fulldescriptionof thesemethodologies isbeyondthescopeof thispaper, thereportproceedsontheassumption,captured inmanystudiesfromthe literaturereview,confirmingcausalchains–orpathways–betweenthe4typesofinfrastructurecoveredandfoodsecurityor its proxies. To the extent possible, our research draws from studies that focus on foodsecurity outcomes specifically, but studies and surveys assessing poverty alleviation, marketaccess,andagriculturalproductivityarealsoconsideredrelevantasproxiesforendinghunger.The beginning of each infrastructure section beginswith amapping of these various impactpathways, inferring the many possible causal linkages between the intervention and theoutcome.Thischoiceisneitherprescriptivenornormative,butreflectsthepathwayssuggestedintheliteratureandfromexpertinterviews.Returnoninvestmentandbeyond Inasfaraspossible,thisreportseekstoassesstheefficacyofinfrastructureinvestmentonitsability to end hunger; that is to end chronic dietary energy deficits (which can be anywherefrom 100 to 400 kilocalories/day)19 that thwart human development and potential, mostprevalentinSubSaharanAfrica,aswellasinpartsofAsiaandthePacific.Return on investment is one way to capture and compare different types of agriculturalinvestments, where “return” can be defined in terms of agricultural performance, povertyreduction, or other proxies. A 2012 study by the International Food and Policy ResearchInstitute (IFPRI)20 illustrates how different forms of agricultural investments (research,extension, irrigation, fertilizer subsidies, and so on) perform comparatively, using return oninvestmentintermsofagriculturalperformanceandpovertyreduction(Figure1and2below).

18https://www.oecd.org/derec/49558328.pdf19http://www.fao.org/docrep/x8200e/x8200e03.htm20http://www.fao.org/docrep/016/ap108e/ap108e.pdf

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FigureX—Returnstopublicspendingintermsofagriculturalperformance(IFPRI,2012)

Source:IFPRI,2012(p.g.28)Notes: Edu. = Education; Tel. = Telecommunication; Irr. = Irrigation; Rural Devt = Rural Development; Soil & Water = Soil and WaterConservation; Electr. = Electricity; FeederR. = FeederRoads. Themagnitudes are returns to onemonetary unit of different types of publicspendingintermsof(thesame)monetaryunitofthevalueofagriculturalproductionorproductivity.Theagriculturalperformancevariableismeasured slightly differently in each country: agriculturalGDP in China, agricultural total factor productivity in India, and agricultural laborproductivityinThailandandUganda.

FigureX—Returnstopublicspendingintermsofpovertyreduction(IFPRI,2012)

Source:IFPRI,2012(pg.29)Note:Themagnitudesarethereductionsinthepopulationsizeofthepoorpermonetaryunitspentineachareaofspending.Therespectivemonetaryunitsareas follows:1millionbaht inThailand (that is,numberofpoorpopulation reducedper1millionbahts spent indifferentsectors);1millionrupeesinIndia;10,000yuaninChina;and1millionUgandanshillingsinUganda.

The IFPRI findings show that after investment intoagriculturalR&D (i.e. seed improvements,newtechnologies)–whichhasthesinglelargesteffectonlong-termagriculturalperformance–

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thatinvestmentintoinfrastructuresuchasroads,electricity,irrigationandtelecommunicationsallhavesignificant,positiveimpactonpovertyreductionandagriculturalperformance.Feederroads in particular showed the highest returns to public spending in terms of agriculturalperformance in India, Uganda, and China, and strong correlation with poverty reduction.Investment into education had the largest single impact on poverty reduction in China, andranksinthetopthreeinterventionsacrossallfourcountriescoveredinthestudy.What return on investmentmight fail to capture in termsof infrastructure, however, is thatbecauseinfrastructureisintegrativebynature,thefullextentofbenefitsisnotlikelycaptured.Considerthefollowing:

o Infrastructureisanenabling/foundationalinvestmentthathasfarreachingbenefitsovertimeonfoodsecurityandnutrition.

o InfrastructureinvestmentcanhelppreventdiminishingreturnstoR&Dovertime:whichmany agricultural investments in R&D experience. Although such diminishing returnsmay be in play, the effect of complementarities in public investments could stall thisdecline. For example, if the effect of agricultural research on farmers’ incomes isenhancedbybetterroadinfrastructure,thusloweringthetransactioncostsofaccessinginputs andmarketing outputs, then continued and simultaneous investments in bothR&Dandinfrastructuremaymeanthatthereturnstoexpendituresintheformerwouldnot see diminishing returns over time in one sector; this, in turn, would holdinvestmentsintheothersectorconstant.(IFPRI2012)

o Infrastructureplaysaroleintheredistributionofwealthintheeconomy,andcanresultinhigherlongtermreturnsintransformingtheeconomy–notlimitedtotheagriculturalsector.

Finally, measuring infrastructure investment must also, critically, capture maintenanceinvestment. Preventing infrastructure collapse and disrepair is generally cheaper than itscompletereplacementortheintroductionofnewinfrastructure,thusalsofavourablyimpactingthisreturnoninvestmentcalculationforinfrastructure.IntermediateInfrastructure:TheMissingMiddleHard infrastructure investments are not, alone, sufficient to transform food availability andruralincomes.Thesuccessofphysicalinfrastructureinterventionstoimprovefoodsecurity,asdescribed in the report, are deeply dependent on the complementary services and humancapacities,or “soft infrastructure,” tomanage it.Between thishardandsoft infrastructure istheso-called“intermediateinfrastructure”linkingthemtogether,includingtransportservices,logistics services, extension services, standards-related services as well as the policies andregulationssupportingthem.This point was established at least as early as 1994, with the The World Bank’s WorldDevelopmentReportonInfrastructureforDevelopment,whichhighlightedthatfocusingsolelyon increasing the quantity of installations was not adequate: more should be done on the

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qualityandefficiencyofrelatedservices.Sincethen,analysesofruraleconomicinfrastructurehave increasingly been referencing the systemic inefficiencies that arise without properintermediate,servicesinfrastructure.21Thisperspectiveonlyserves tohighlight the interlinkagesofeachof the infrastructureassetscovered in this report: storage facilities require roadsand transport services to get crops tocollection points as well as reliable energy services to keep perishables cold; irrigation andstoragerequireenergy infrastructureandserviceswherepumpsorcoldstorageare involved.Furthermore,thequality–notjustexistence–ofinfrastructureandservicesalongsupplychainhave profound impacts on the quality of the final product, and thereforemarket value (e.g.potholedroads=bruisedproduce,longertraveltime=reducedshelflife).In this vein, each of the following four sections contains a box highlighting the intermediateinfrastructureconsiderationsspecifictotheassetcategory.Wepresentoptions–thoughnotinanyexhaustiveway–forpromotingandfinancingrobustintermediateinfrastructureforeachofthefourassetcategories.AfocusonfinancingForeachofthefour infrastructureassetspresentedintheremainderofthereport,ourfocuswillbeonnotonlyidentifyingtheirpotentialforfoodsecurityimprovementamongstusers,butalso very specifically on how to finance these assets sustainably in the long term. We candistinguishbetweenthe threemajorsourcesof financing for infrastructure:donoraid,publicspendingandprivatecapital.DonorAidDonoraidhasplayedanimportantroleinthefinancingofinfrastructureprojectsindevelopingcountries,especiallyinruralareas.However,ensuringthatthefundsareallocatedandusedina manner that delivers the most long-term impact has always been a challenge. Aiddependence can weaken accountability and risk management22 and result in aid recipientcountries over-prioritizing new infrastructure development as opposed to spending onmaintenanceandretrofitsofbrownfieldprojects.Aidisalimitedresourceandcountriesshoulduse it ina smartandefficientway. Insteadof funding infrastructureprojectsoutright,grantsneedtobeusedtomobilizeadditionalsourcesoffunding.Manyoftheinstrumentsdiscussedlaterinthepaper,relyonsomeformofgrant-basedsolution.PublicSpendingGenerally,ruralinfrastructureisfinancedbygovernments,oftenwiththeassistanceofdevelopmentfinanceinstitutions.Asaddressingtheinfrastructuredeficitisbeyondthebudget21https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/043e/62efb6f053374d3f9e0fa772848ecfde7a76.pdf22http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/680631468249703830/pdf/360310Pacific01ture0Report01PUBLIC1.pdf

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ofmostgovernments,innovativesolutionsofhowtoleveragetheseresourcesneedtobeconsidered.Aswillbediscussedindetailinthefollowingsections,publicspendingcanbeappliedatvariousstagesofinfrastructuredevelopmentintheformofprojectpreparationfunding,riskcapital,availabilitypayments,aswellasatthepolicylevelthroughvariousfiscalincentivestoencourageinvestmentininfrastructure.Beforecommittingpublicfundstofinanceprojectsoutright,aValueforMoneyAssessmentshouldbeusedtoevaluatewhetherthissetupdeliversthemostvaluefortaxpayers.MobilizingprivatecapitalA general theme across the four assets is that private capital plays an important rolewherepublic resources are not, on their own, sufficient to bridge the infrastructure gap. However,privateinvestorsaremorehesitanttocommitcapitalinregionswheretheperceivedrisksarehigher due to remote locations, lowerpopulationdensities, limited transparency, andhigheruncertaintiesfromweather-sensitiveeconomies.Atthesametime,thereturnpotentialofruralprojects areoftennothigh enoughdue to thedifficulty of securing a stable revenue streamusingmoretraditionalfinancingstructures.Innovative financingsolutionscanaddress thesebarriersandmobilizemoreprivate financingintoruralinfrastructureprojects.However,governmentsanddevelopmentfinanceinstitutions(DFIs) still need to play an important role to de-risk these transactions. Through blendedfinance (a mix of public and private capital) the limited public resources can be betterleveraged.Underlying project risks need to be assessed carefully and allocated to the party,whichisthebestpositionedtomanageit.The government’s responsibilities also include the creation of an enabling regulatoryenvironment, encouraging competition, providing support for accurate demand forecasting,establishing project pipelines, smart use of subsidies, allowing realistic tariff setting (cost-recoveringtariffs)andensuringthattheprojectmeetsenvironmentalandsocialrequirements.Ingeneral,projectsreachingalargenumberofusers,whoarewillingtopayfortheirservicesare easier to be financed by private capital. There is an important distinction between theusers’ability andwillingness to pay,which canmaterially affect the financial viability of theproject,aswillbediscussedlaterinthepaper.AspertheWorldBank,“thepotentialforprivatesectorinterestinprovidinginfrastructureincreasesastheactivityshiftsfrompublictoprivate.A shift from smaller to more extensive coverage also tends to transcend community-basedsolutions.”23Whengovernmentsareconsideringtoengageprivateinvestorsinruralinfrastructureprojects,thefollowingareasneedtobeassessedandfinancingsolutionsappliedaccordingly:24

23WorldBankRuralDevelopmentStrategy:ReachingtheRuralPoor,Annex5,PhysicalandSocialInfrastructure,200624http://www.fao.org/3/a-i0465e.pdf

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• Source of revenue (user fees, subsidies, purchase agreements, availability payments,etc.)thatisstableandsufficienttocoverinvestmentcostsandgenerateaprofit

• Commercial scale thatwarrants the high sunk costs involved in project development,includingcompetitivebiddingandotherfixedlegal,regulatoryandtransactioncosts.Inaddition, the asset size needs to be large enough that is suitable for institutionalinvestorssuchaspensionfunds, insurancecompaniesandotherprivate infrastructurefunds.

• Growth potential for the private party e.g. project is located in a rapidly developingagricultural area, or offers potential for design innovations, operational changes orexpansiontoraiserevenuesovertime

Whilesimilaritiesexistininnovativestructuresacrossthedifferentassettypesdiscussedinthefollowingsections, thesolutionsarebespokeenoughtobecoveredseparately foreachassettype.Moreover,financingsolutionsneedtobefurthercustomizeddependingonwhethertheasset is a public or private good, depending on the scale of the asset (e.g. across differentcommunitiesandmunicipalities)andon the sophisticationof local capitalmarkets.However,providingbespokesolutionsforeachspecificscenariofallsoutsidethescopeofthispaper.Also,itcannotbeemphasizedenoughthatapplyingtherightfinancialsolutiondoesnotmakeaproject attractive to private capital in itself as often there is a lack of capacities at theprocurement level,whichwouldbeessential for awell-structured,bankabledeal. Therefore,costs of technical assistance and project preparation need to be sufficiently budgeted andfundedduringprojectplanning.

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InvestmentPriority#1:StorageandColdStorageInfrastructure

PathwaysModernstoragefacilitiessuchascoldstorage,grainsilosandwarehouses,haveacriticalroletoplayinensuringfoodsecurityandendinghunger.TheFoodandAgricultureOrganizationoftheUnitedNations(FAO)estimatesthatabout1/3offoodproducedforhumanconsumptionislostorwastedglobally,whichamountstoabout1.3billiontonsperyear.25Lackofsufficientstorageisoneofthemaincausesbehindfoodlossesindevelopingcountries.Effective storage infrastructurewill preventmoisture condensation from ruininga croppost-harvest,whilealsokeepingoutpestssuchasrodents,insectsandbirds.Itcanenableafamilyor community to better preserve crops on-site for their own consumption, increasing foodavailabilityandaccess,ormeansthata farmercanraisehisorher incomebya)havingmoreunspoiled surplus to sell andb)waitinguntiloff-season to sell,whenpricesmightbehigher.ThemanypathwaystoimprovedfoodsecurityareoutlinedinFigureXabove.Inparticular,coldstorageinfrastructureisanimportantpieceofthefoodsecuritypuzzle.Manyfoods are actuallymore perishable thanwe think: it is known that dairy andmeat productsneedtoberefrigeratedimmediatelyandmaintainedatacooltemperatureontheirjourneytomarket,butrootsandtubers,suchasyamsandpotatoes,alsobenefitenormouslyfrompost-harvestcoldstorage.Accesstocoldstorageencouragesfarmerstoproduce,ordiversify into,moreperishablecropsthatcanfetchahighermarketpricethannon-perishables.Longershelflifetranslates intogreaterexportcompetiveness. Inaddition,foodsdeteriorateandlosetheirnutritional content faster at higher temperatures, so there are nutritional benefits that canaccruealsoiffarmersincorporatemoreperishableproductsintotheirowndiets.

25http://www.fao.org/docrep/014/mb060e/mb060e.pdf

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ADBStorageProjectinAfghanistanInAfghanistan, theAsianDevelopmentBankprojectbuilt 1,100 cold storage roomsacrossthreedifferentdistricts–increasingfarmers’annualsalesofpotatoesanywherefrom35%to60%26.Whereaspotatoeswouldpreviouslygotowasteduringthewinter,farmersnowsellandtradepotatoesthroughouttheyear.Itshouldbenotedthattherearediscrepanciesinthewaysthattermssuchas‘foodloss’and‘food waste’ are used (some studies include pre-harvest losses, and some do not) andmethodologiesformeasuringdodiffer(somebasedonphysicalquantitiesandsomeonthelossofvalueintheproductionchain).Fromavaluechainperspective,however,foodislostateachstage,andstrategiesmust thereforebe taken thatconsider thewhole journey from ‘farmtofork’.

Figurex:FoodLossesalongthevaluechain

Source:http://ebrary.ifpri.org/utils/getfile/collection/p15738coll2/id/130211/filename/130422.pdf

IntegratedStorageInfrastructureStorage infrastructure investmentmust be approached in an integratedmanner, supportingvalue chain strategies. Stand-alone cold storage or processing units will not be effective foraddressingtheproblemoffoodwasteunlesstheyarepartofanintegrated(ideallycold)valuechain27.28

26https://www.adb.org/results/agriculture-afghanistan-cold-storage-increases-food-security27http://postharvest.org/Use%20of%20cold%20chains%20PEF%20white%20paper%2013-03%20final.pdf

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Therearetwoimportantelementsto integration inthiscontext:1) integrationacrossvariouslevels of storage infrastructure (from thehousehold level to national reserves), aswell as 2)integrationwithothersupportinginfrastructures.IntegrationacrossthedistributionchainIntermsoftheformer,figureXisatheoreticaldepictionoftheinfrastructurerequiredforgraindistribution fromthehousehold level, through intermediarystorageshedorsilos, tonationaldistribution centres. Importantly, this distribution network enables the flow of food in bothdirections (in case of drought or famine, for example). Understanding a particular storageinvestmentinthecontextofthisbroaderdistributioninfrastructuresimportantforidentifyinggaps,prioritizingprojects,andmakingmeaningfulprogresstowardsfoodsecurity.

Source:http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ags/publications/silos_E_light.pdf

i. HouseholdLevelWhilemanyfarmershavesomeformofstoragecapacityonsite, thequalityof thesestoragecontainersisasimportantascapacityandmustnotbeoverlooked.Elevatedbaskets,orpitsintheground,may serve to storeaharvest–butwill notprotect the crop fromcondensation,storms, rodents and other troubles. To this end, the FAO has foundmetal silos to be a keyinfrastructure for supporting household food security.29 In terms of capacity, these silos canholdbetween100and3000kilosofgrain;1000kilosareenough fora familyof five foroneyear.Intermsofquality,itisairtight,keepsrodentsout,avoidstheneedforinsecticides,andmaintains the quality of the product. A study on the installation of these silos in four Latin

28Theflowerindustryisoneareathatiswell-establishedandfollowsbestinternationalpracticesforexporting.Kenyaisalargeexporteroffreshcutflowersandaccountsfor38percentofflowerimportsintotheEuropeanUnion.

29http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ags/publications/silos_E_light.pdf

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Americancountriesfindthatfrom2005to2009thehouseholdsthatadoptedsilosexperienceda significantly higher improvement in their food security and well-being compared to non-adopters(Bokushevaetal.2012).1000kilosofgrainareenoughforafamilyoffiveforoneyear30.Even thoughhousehold storageunits likemetal silos are relatively low-cost, farmsoperatingwithlowprofitmarginstypicallycannotfinancethemontheirown.Hencethereisarelianceongovernmentsor internationaldonors to financesuchprojectswithgrantsor loans.Strategiesforrepaymentcanincluderevolvingcreditfundsandrepaymentingrain.Furthermore,asthereisagrowing track recordofhouseholdstorageunitscontributing to the fightagainsthunger,thisishelpingtode-riskthisinvestment.31ii. Community/DistrictLevel

Farmerswhomarketandselltheircropsthroughcooperativesmighthavesomeformofsharedstorageshedorsilo.Theseunitscouldeitherbeownedorrentedbythecooperative,withco-financingfrommembers,orperhapswiththesupportofanNGOoranotherdonor.Wheretheyexist,cooperativestoragemaybeusedforstoringcrops,orforthestorageofseedandfertilizerforitsmembers.Notallcooperativesofferstorage,however,andwheretheydonot,financeisoftenthemainbarrier. InEthiopia,forinstance,IFPRIconductedastudyin2012askingcooperativeswithoutstorage facilitieswhy thatwas so, and90% said that theyhad aneed for them,but not thefunds32.Otherintermediarystoragefacilitiesarethosebuiltbyinternationalcommodityandagriculturecompanies, in the countries and regions theyoperate.However, in interviews conducted forthisreport33,itwasfoundthatthesefacilitiesareusuallyfortheexclusiveuseofthecompanycommissioning them. In somecases, storageplacesmightbe sharedwithother internationalconglomeratesalsooperating intheregion,butusuallynotwithfarmersandlocalbusinesseswhoarenotdirectlyassociatedwiththem.iii. NationalLevel

30http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ags/publications/silos_E_light.pdf

31TheFAOhasintroducedhouseholdmetalsilosinAfghanistanBolivia,BurkinaFaso,Cambodia,Chad,Ecuador,Guinea,Iraq,Madagascar,Mali,Malawi,Mozambique,Namibia,Panama,Senegal,EastTimor

32https://www.ifpri.org/publication/role-agricultural-cooperatives-and-storage-rural-ethiopia-results-two-surveys33witharepresentativeoftheLouisDreyfusCompany

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At the national level, governments generally procure storage infrastructure for one of tworeasons:

1) Tostabilizeglobalpricesandprotectthepoorfromhighmarketprices;and/or2) Foremergencyreliefstock

Oneway toassesswhether government investment in storage is justified, is to calculate thevalueoffoodlosswithoutsufficientfacilitiestostorethem.Forexample,theIFCestimatesthattherewere42millionmetrictonsofstorageavailableincoveredwarehousesinIndiain2010,while therewasaneed for61million tons forwheatand rice.As ricehasapriority in India,wheat is largely stored in makeshift facilities, which are susceptible to rotting and losses.Considering that25.4million tonsofwheat isproduced in India (2010)evena2percent losscoststhegovernmentaboutUSD110millionperyear34.Thisexampleillustrateswellthatthecommissioningofstorageinfrastructurecancertainlypayforitselfandcangeneratevalueformoneyforthegovernmentandfortaxpayers.

Since theglobal financial crisis,andsubsequent spikes in foodprices,manygovernmentsareconcerned about food security, and are striving towards some degree of national self-sufficiency.Asaresult,somenationalgovernmentshaveincreasedtheirgrainstockholdings,asstrategic reserves35.National foodaccess ismostly expressedas tonsof food in the country,which isthetotalof food imports,domesticfoodproduction, international foodaidandfoodstocks.Onemust be careful, however, not to conflate food stocks at the national levelwithfoodavailabilityatthehouseholdlevel,ashouseholdsmaynothavethepurchasingpowertoavailofthisfood.

IntegrationwithsupportinginfrastructureStorage infrastructure also requires supporting infrastructure to be in place to effective, andfinancially viable. Without reliable access to electricity, for example, the operation of coldstorage facilities cannotbeensured.Especially indevelopingcountries, farmersoften relyondieselgeneratorstoprovidethenecessaryelectricity,increasingsignificantlytheoperatingcostoftheasset.Also,lackofroadsandothertransportationinfrastructuremakeanyinvestmentinstorageunattractiveby limiting farmers’ access tomajordomestic and internationalmarketsand therefore reducing their ability to pay for storage (note the transport requiredbetweeneachlevelofdistributioninFigureX).

34https://library.pppknowledgelab.org/World%20Bank%20Group%20(WBG)/documents/1948/download35https://pppknowledgelab.org/sectors/grain-storage

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IntermediateInfrastructure–LogisticsProvidersAconsiderableshareoffoodlossalongthesupplychainisduetonon-optimalcoldchainprocessesandmanagement.36Indeed,thechallengesassociatedwithlinkingfarmersandtheircropstotheglobalmarketaremanyanddiverse,andrelatetocommunications,logistics,transport,storageandothervariables.‘Shelflife’isacommontermthatrelatestothenumberofdaysthatafoodproducthaslefttobeof‘acceptablequality’andsafetoconsume.Theshelflifeofaproductdependsonoptimaltemperatureandairflowintransportandstorageconditions.37Toaddressthesechallenges,thereisaneedforacompetitivemarketofthirdpartylogisticsproviders(“3PLs”)thatareableto,forexample,harnessthepowerofthegrowingcellphonemarkettoschedulepickupsanddeliveriesfromsmallfarmsdispersedaroundthecountry,andconnectthemtoregionalorinternationalmarkets.Governmentscanhelpcreateasupportiveenvironmentfor3PLsbytakingaholisticapproachtostorageinvestment,oneinwhich“hardinfrastructure”investmentsarecomplementedby:

• Buildingthelocalcapacity,andinvestingintechnologies,tomonitorenvironmentalparametersliketemperature,humidity,andCO2andO2concentrationsinstorageunitsandfoodcontainers.

• Buildinglocalcapacityinfoodhandlingandtransportationbestpractices.• Buildinglocalcapacityandexpertiseonfoodsafetyandqualitystandards.• Identifyingopportunitiestobuildcompetitiveadvantageintheprovisionoflogistics,

distributionandstorageservices.Withoutamarketfor3PLs,thealternativeisthatinvestorsbuildtheirownverticallyintegratedsupplychains,settingupallofthestorageanddistributionlogisticstheyrequirefortheirspecificneedsandindividualbusinessonly.Anotableexampleofthisverticalcoordinationisthecut-flowerindustryinKenya.Whilethisapproachisnotnegativeperse,intermsoffoodsecurityitmissesanimportantopportunitytobringvalueaddedactivitytotheagriculturalsectorwhilealsosupportingthegrowthof,andtransitionto,knowledge-basedandindustrialeconomies.FinancingApproachesPublic-PrivatePartnershipsLarge scale storage infrastructure, usually commissioned at the national level, can also bestructured as a Public-Private Partnership (PPP). The private partner can be responsible fordesigning,financing,operatingandmaintainingtheasset.Well-preparedPPPscanofferawiderangeofbenefitstogovernments:

36https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4006167/37https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4006167/

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§ Significant efficiency gains can be realized during the operation of the asset as theprivate partner has a financial interest inminimizing costs andmaximizing revenues.Thisalsomeansthatoftenthe latestandmostsuitabletechnology isusedto increaseefficiency.

§ Thegovernmentdoesnotneedtouseitsownlimitedresourcestofinancetheasset.§ Technicalcapacitiesandknow-howaretransferredfromtheprivatetothepublicsector.§ Thegovernmentcandecide(atthetimeofstructuring)whethertokeeptheassetatthe

endofthecommissionperiod.Forexample,iftheneedforstoragedecreasesduetoachangeofmarketconditions,thegovernmentdoesnotneedtobestuckwithanassetthatitdoesnotneedorcannotoperateprofitably.

§ Projectrisksareallocatedtothepartywhoisbestsuitedtomanageandmitigatethem.As a notable example, Government of Punjab together with the IFC of the World BankstructuredhighlyasuccessfulgrainstoragePPPinIndiain2010.IFC’srolewastodemonstratethe business case of usingmodern storage facilities and how private capital can be used torealize projects essential for the food security of the country. LT Foods, the private partner,wona30-yearconcessiontobuildandoperatetemperature-controlledsteelgrainsiloswithacapacityof50,000metrictons.38Theoutcomesoftheproject(operationalsinceMarch2012)werethefollowing:

§ Grain losseswerereducedsignificantly (weather,rotandpests),mitigatingpurchasingandstoragecosts.

§ ThetransactionmobilizedUSD7millionofprivateinvestment.§ SavingswereestimatedtobeUSD6millionduringtheconcessionperiod.39

Duetothesuccessofthisproject, the Indiangovernmentplanstoextend itsPPPprogramtocreateanadditional2.5millionmetrictonsofstoragecapacityinthecountry.GovernmentincentivesPublic-PrivatePartnershipswouldnotbea feasible solution for small scaleprojects,which isneededinsomeruralcommunities,astheassociatedtransactioncostswouldbetoohighandprojectsizeswouldbebelowtheinvestmentthresholdofinstitutionalinvestorsactiveinPPPs.Foraddressingthefinancingneedsofsmallscalestorageprojects,solutionsneedtofocusonhowtoencouragefinancingbythefarmersthemselvesand/orbytheirfarmingcooperatives.Thesesolutionscouldbeintheformofvariousgovernmentincentives,infrastructureschemes,enablingpolicyenvironmentandaccesstoaffordablefinancing.

i. DedicatedFunds

38https://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/33e1a87d-f2dd-49cb-9d82-4e316e98d970/PPPStories_India_PunjabSilos.pdf?MOD=AJPERES39https://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/news_ext_content/ifc_external_corporate_site/news+and+events/news/ifc+ppp

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Adedicatedinfrastructurefundcanbesetupwiththespecificmandatetoprovidefinancingforstorage infrastructure projects. The fund should also be required to allocate a certainpercentageof the loans toprojectsbelowa certain size andbothprivate andpublic entitiesshould be eligible beneficiaries. The storage infrastructure fund can be part of a largerinfrastructure scheme, but in order to be an effective policy tool and achieve the expectedoutcomes,itshouldexclusivelyfinancestorageprojects.Forexample,aspartoftheWarehousingSchemeoftheNationalBankforAgricultureandRuralDevelopment (NABARD) in India, a Warehouse Infrastructure Fund was setup in 2013. Thepurposeofthefundistoprovideloanstopublicandprivatesectorplayersfortheconstructionof warehouses, silos, cold storages and other cold chain infrastructure for agriculturalcommodities.When selecting projects to finance, stateswith food grain deficit (Eastern andNorth Eastern states in India) enjoy a priority. Eligible entities include government agencies,cooperatives,farmers’organizations,farmers’collectives,privatecompaniesandindividuals40.ii. PreferentialLoans

Loanswithpreferentialtermscanbeprovidedtofarmersand/orcooperativesforinvestmentinagriculturalstorage.Theimprovedconditionscanincludelowerinterestrates, longertenorand graceperiod. The loans canbeprovided through adedicated infrastructure scheme (forexampleastheonediscussedabove)orthroughapartnerbank,inwhichcasethegovernmentwouldtopupthedifferencebetweenthemarketandpreferentialinterestrates.Forexample, theU.S.DepartmentofAgriculture’sFarmServiceAgencyprovides low-interestloans for farmers to build storage units, upgrade and expand existing storage, or purchasemobile storage facilities. Tenors are between 7 – 12 years for a maximum amount of USD500,000witharateinlinewithUSgovernmentbonds(sobelowthecommercialinterestratescharged)41.iii. Grants

Grantscanbeaparticularlyeffectivetooltoencourageinfrastructuredevelopment.However,theirroleisnottofinanceprojectsoutright,butinsteadtomobilizeothersourcesoffinancing.Lenders are often hesitant to finance projects in the agricultural sector due to the highperceived risks. This often results in insufficient access to finance in rural areas and / orprohibitively high risk premiums charged. For economically and socially important projects,suchasstorageingraindeficitareas,grantscanbeusedtoprovidethenecessaryriskcapitaltomake banks and investors more comfortable to provide financing. Grants can use domesticfundschanneledthroughaschemeorfundstructure,suchasaViabilityGapFunddiscussedintheearliersections.Alternatively,grantscanbesourcedinternationally(especiallyinthecase

40https://www.nabard.org/english/NABARD_WAREHOUSING_SCHEME_NWS_2013_14.aspx41http://sustainableagriculture.net/publications/grassrootsguide/credit-crop-insurance/farm-storage-facility-loans/

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ofdevelopingcountries),however, these fundsmighthave less flexibility inhowtheycanbedeployedandhavelimitedlongtermavailability.As a recent example, the government of India commissioned a study on the “Assessment ofQuantitativeHarvestandPost-HarvestLossesofMajorCropsandCommoditiesinIndia”,whichconcluded that the annual value of harvest and post-harvest losses of major agriculturalproducts at the national level is about USD 13.6 billion. This prompted the government tointroduce a series ofmeasures to address the shortage in storage infrastructure.Oneof theinitiativeswastomakemodernstorageprojectseligiblefortheviabilitygapfundingschemeoftheMinistryofFinance,providinggrantstopriorityinfrastructureprojects.42iv. Fiscalinstruments

Farmers and cooperatives face a wide range of challenges when financing modern storagefacilities, includingrisingcostofland,difficultieswithlandacquisition,fluctuatingdemandforstorage,highinterestratesandstringentassetbasedlendingrequirements.Governmentscanuse various fiscal incentives to encourage investment in these projects. These include taxexemptionsthroughoutthelifecycleoftheasset,accelerateddepreciation,taxdeductibilityofcertain expenses beyond 100%, preferential import tariffs for technologies and productsneededduringconstruction.Incentivescanvaryfordifferentregionsdependingontheneedforstorage facilities and the state of existing assets. Based on prevailing policy objectives,incentives can also be differentiated for greenfield vs. brownfield projects and / or favourparticularprojectsizes.India has implemented a wide range of fiscal instruments specifically aimed at stimulatinginvestment intostorage infrastructure.Asper the2015-2016budget, the following itemsareexempted from service tax: services of pre-conditioning, pre-cooling, ripening, waxing, retailpacking,labelingoffruitsandvegetablesaswellastheconstructionofgreenfieldpost-harveststorage projects for agricultural products.The government has also extended project importbenefits to cold storage, cold room, industrial projects for preservation, storage as well asprocessingofagricultural,horticultural,dairy,poultry,aquaticandmarineproduceandmeat.43NecessaryConditionsStorageinfrastructurehasaninherentbusinesscase;ifthenecessaryconditionsareinplaceitcanbefinancedsolelyrelyingonitsowncashflows.Inordertoachievethislevelofbankabilityhowever, there is a need for an enabling policy and regulatory environment, supportinginfrastructure network (as discussed) and sufficient scale to optimize costs. In rural areas indeveloping countries, especially at the household and community level, these componentsmightbemissing,triggeringtheneedforgovernmentsupportsuchaspolicyand/orfinancialincentivestomakeprojectsfinanciallyviableinthelongtermandattractivetoprivatecapital.

42http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=13692243http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=136922

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InvestmentPriority#2:DecentralizedRenewableEnergy(DRE)Infrastructure

Toaddtographic:benefitsofrefrigerationonnutritionandpositiveeffectofimprovingworkingconditionsforwomenwhichhastrickledowneffectonfoodandnutritionPathways

Energy is a game-changer in agriculture – needed for diverse activities such as: operatingirrigation pumps, powering and lighting facilities such as slaughterhouses, refrigeration, coldstorageof produceand vaccines, postharvestprocessing, sterilizing fruit and vegetables, andforchargingportabletelephonesandotherelectronics.Thepriceofenergyalsohasaveryrealimpactonfoodsecurity;anincreaseinglobalenergyprices,forexample,wasoneofthemaindrivers behind the sharp rise in food prices in 2008, which reduced households’ access toaffordablefoodandworsenedfoodinsecurityintheyearsthatfollowed.44

Decentralized renewable energy (DRE) is particularly appropriate for targeting food securityimprovements,andthemajorcausalpathwaysare indicatedabove inFigureX.Asmuchasaquarteroftheworld’spopulation–or1.3billionpeople–lackaccesstoelectricity,andalmost85%ofthesepeopleliveinrural,dispersedcommunitiesacrosssubSaharanAfricaandSouthAsia.45Given these characteristics, the extension of national energy grids is often technicallydifficult,costlyandinefficient.Thereisagrowingconsensusintheinternationaldevelopment

44(IFPRI,2016GlobalReport)45 UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (2014) Improving Sustainable Energy Access for Rural Areas AND https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/blog/new-report-says-off-grid-systems-can/

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communitythatoff-gridrenewableenergymightbethebestwaytosupport inclusiveenergyaccess46.Someoftheadvantagesarethat:

• Theinfrastructureismoreflexiblethantraditional infrastructure,andcanbedeployedfasterinremoteareasthanacentralizedgrid;

• The infrastructure’s capacity can be upgraded (easy to use, modular conception) tomeetacommunity’sincreasedenergydemandsandcaninterfacewiththenationalgridwhenandifitreachesthearea;

• Technologiescanbeusedsingular–e.g.onlybiomass,hydropower,solarandwind–orcombined(hybrid).

• Ifenergystoragesystemsareinvolved,electricitycanbeguaranteed24/747;• DRE mitigates the efficiency losses in the transmission and distribution of the grid

energy;and• DREmitigatestheuseofexpensiveandcarbon-intensivedieselgeneratorsduringblack-

outs.Thisisnottosaythattheexpansionthenationalelectricitygridisnotimportant–bothoff-gridandon-gridenergyproductionanddistributionsystemshavearoletoplay in foodsecurity–and of course it depends on the local context. Vietnam, for example, provides an excellentexampleoftheexpansionthenationalgridusinginvestmentfromrevenueinriceproduction.Inthe1980s,thepost-wargovernmentinvestedinhydropowerinfrastructureandhighvoltagetransmissionanddistributionlines–andtheimpactsonagricultureandotherindustriesalongthetransmissionrouteshavebeenimpressive.48 Mostofthepopulationwithoutaccesstomodernenergysourcesliveinruralareasofdevelopingcountries(84%),withoutconnectionstoelectricgrids.49Yetdevelopingandmaintaininganationwidegridisoftenbeyonddevelopingcountrybudgets.Existing grids are concentrated in cities, leaving areaswith lower population density to seekothersolutions.Indeed,thecostofruralgridextensionissubstantial:forexample,inAfricaaswellasinAsiaitcancostuptoUSD22,000/km.50Furthermore,connectionchargesandtariffsmayprohibitthepoorestfromconnectingtothegrid.It is in this context that off-grid renewable energy is an alternative worth exploring. TheInternational EnergyAgency (IEA) estimates that 70%of those in rural areaswould bemoreaffordablyreachedbydecentralizedenergysolutions.51

46 https://www.devex.com/news/rural-energy-access-the-case-for-renewable-energy-mini-grids-82580 47AllianceforRuralRenewableEnergy48http://beta.adb.org/sites/default/files/rural-electrification-vie.pdf49InternationalEnergyAgency(2011)EnergyforAll:FinancingAccessforthePoor50https://static1.squarespace.com/static/532f79fae4b07e365baf1c64/t/57e9f524440243231bbf08f8/1474950436696/FactSheet_MakingEnergyAccessAffordable_Sept_16.pdf51InternationalEnergyAgency(2011)EnergyforAll:FinancingAccessforthePoor

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Tablex:TypesofDREinfrastructureandhowtheyworkTypeofRenewableEnergy

DREInfrastructureRequired

Howitworks

SolarPower

Photovoltaics or “solar cells”Solarwaterpumps

Solar radiation absorbed by solar panels (mounted onrooftopsoron theground) is converted intoelectricity. Thesolarpanelsareconnectedtoaninverterwhichconvertsthedirectcurrent('DC')generatedbythepanelsintoalternatingcurrent('AC')electricity.ThisACelectricitycanthenbeusedbythehome/businessand/orexportedtotheelectricitygrid.

Smallwind Windturbines Thewindturnstheblades,whichspinashaft,whichconnectstoageneratorandmakeselectricity.

Smallhydro TurbineHydroelectricgeneratorIntakestructureonriver/streamtoscreenoutfloatingdebrisandfishPipelinetoturbine

The turbine converts the flow and pressure of thewater tomechanical energy; The turbine turns a generator, which isthen connected to electrical loads; this might be directlyconnected to the power system of a single building in verysmall installations, or may be connected to a communitydistributionsystemforseveralhomesorbuildings

Biogas52 Biogas digester –brick/concrete structure withversions using fiberglass-reinforced plastic dome coversforimprovedefficiency

humanandanimalwastesareusedas feedstock toproducebiogas for cooking. Then the biogas slurry and residues canbe used as fertilizer in orchard or field around farmer’shouse,whiletheanaerobicdigestioneffluentscanbeusedtofeedpigsmixingwithfodders

Many governments have already recognized the potential of off-grid renewable energysolutions and have set ambitious targets: 1) Rwanda - 22% of population with access todecentralizedgridsby2018;2)Tanzania-10%ofpopulationwithsolarinstallationsby2017;3)Ghana–100,000householdswithsolarinstallations;4)SierraLeone–250,000householdswithsolar installations by 2017.53 Africa as a continent has been promoted internationally for itsabundant renewable resource potential such as hydropower, solar, wind and geothermal.Similarly,India’srenewableenergypotentialissignificant,andbeingrapidlydevelopedthroughPrime Minister Modi’s ambitious India Solar Mission targets to generate 100,000 MW by2022.54

52Althoughnottakenupinthisreport,itisimportanttonotethepotentialcompetitionbetweenlandforfoodproductionandlandforbiofuelproduction.Foracomprehensivereadonthisissue,pleasefollow:xxxxxxx53http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/06/policy-not-finance-biggest-obstacle-to-scaling-decentralized-renewable-energy-energy-access-summit.html54https://www.iisd.org/sites/default/files/publications/investment-sustainable-energy-commentary.pdf

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Intermediate Infrastructure: Training, awareness raising, and community organization The deployment of DRE infrastructure requires both hardware and software elements. Local usersneedtobeadequatelytrainedonthe installation,operationandmaintenanceofthe infrastructure,and awareness-raising activities need to take place to develop the local knowledge required foreffectiveand sustainableuse.The local capacityof technology suppliersandusers isof theutmostimportancetothesuccessofDREinfrastructure.

One approach to effective long term sustainability of theDRE infrastructure is to build communitybasedapproachesforownership,operationsandmaintenance(Nepal,UNDP2011).Thiscanbedoneby creating inclusive local participation in planning and execution to enable direct control of localplayers in monitoring and management of resources. This approach leverages the benefits ofdecentralization,whichcanincreasespaceforlocalactors.

CommercialandpolicychallengesOff-grid renewable energy has some notable challenges on both the policy and commercialside,whichneedtobeaddressed,especiallywhenrelyingonprivatesourcesoffinancing.Oneofthemainbarriers–ifnotthemainbarrier–totheuptakeofmoreDREinfrastructureisthefinancialone.Theunitcostofoff-gridenergyissignificantlyhigherthanthepriceofelectricityon the grid,making itmoreexpensive to the individual user than grid energy.DRE solutionsthereforerequiregooddesignandinnovativebusinessmodelstobefinanciallyfeasible55.Thefinancingchallengeencompassesnotonlyupfrontinstallationcost,butalsocostsofoperationandmanagementoftheprojectsovertime.56Studies show thatDRE investment is oftendiscriminated against by the capitalmarkets, andthat the technology development has been constrained by limited length and amount offunding.57Thesebarriersmake roleofgovernmentandotherexternalactors indispensable–butatthesametime,givenscarceresources,competingdemandsfromothereconomicsectors(e.g.education,roads,health),andlimitedlocalfinancialcapacities,governmentbudgetsalonemaynotbeabletofinancetheenergyinfrastructure.Thefollowingpresentssomewaysthesebarriershavebeensuccessfullyaddressed.

FinancingApproachesInvestmentincentivesWhile user fees can be charged for DRE, they are often not high enough to fully cover thecapital and operating expenditures, but more importantly, to compensate investors for theproject risks they take on. In the past, various investment incentives have been successfullyusedtoupscalerenewableenergyinbothdevelopedanddevelopingcountries.55 WB Report 56 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2642791 57 Terrapon-Pfaff et al. 2014

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i. TaxIncentives

Whiletheireffectivenessislimitedonastandalonebasis,taxexemptionsatthedifferentstagesoftheDREtransactioncanencourageDREdeploymentbothonthesupplyanddemandside.Analternative form of tax incentive is the accelerated green depreciation. It is an accountingmethod,whichallowseligible greenassets todepreciate fasterduring theearly yearsof theproject, effectively providing a tax break for the sponsor (i.e. the owner of the asset). Inpractice,thisdecreasesthecostoftheassetby“borrowing”fromthegovernmentintheformofupfronttaxdeductions.ii. InvestmentGrants

Investmentgrantscanrangefromfinancialaidtoprovidinglandusagerightsfreeofchargeforalimitedtimeperiod.Onlycertainassettypesandprojectswithahigheconomicand/orsocialmultipliershouldbeeligibleforthesegrants.Similarlytoviabilitygapfundingdiscussedearlier,this“bridgingcapital”wouldenableDREprojectstobecomebankableinruralareas,wheretheperceivedrisksofinvestmentarethehighest.Forexample,outoftheUSD82millionofcapitalavailableforruralDREdeploymentinIndia,USD71millionisgrantcapital58.iii. ConcessionalLoans

Loanswith preferential interest rates provided either by the government or an internationaldevelopmentagencyenableDREprojectstohaveaccesstofinanceatalowercost,withbetterterms,and/or longergraceperiods.Concessional financingdoesnotneedtocovertheentireprojectcosts,butinsteadserveasatriggertoattractadditionalprivatefinancing.Forexample,the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) signed a loan agreement with the IndianRenewableEnergyDevelopmentAgency (IREDA) toprovideup to60billionyenODA (officialdevelopmentassistance)loanforrenewableenergyprojects59.iv. Blendedcapital

Thesustainableenergysectorinruralareasarestillconsideredtobeunprofitableandhighriskby most institutional investors such as commercial banks, pension funds and insurancecompanies.60However,DREprojectswithoutanattractive risk-returnprofilecanalsoexplorealternative sources of private financing. As these projects usually have a high developmentimpact, theycanbepotential investmentopportunities for impact investors,whosemandateallowsthemtomake investmentswithsubparreturns if theenvironmentalandsocial impact

58http://www.ckinetics.com/DRE-Financing/59https://www.jica.go.jp/english/news/press/2014/140901_01.html60https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Dominique_Diouf/publication/266740971_Exploring_the_Barriers_to_Impact_Investing_in_the_Sustainable_Energy_Area_in_West_Africa/links/543b170d0cf2d6698be2f51b.pdf

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are high enough. Impact investors can provide both equity and debt financing and they areoftenmorewillingtoinvestinsmallscaleprojectsthantraditionalinstitutionalinvestors.Impact investors interviewed by IISD emphasized that their interest in sustainableinfrastructure projects is often subject to the participation of the local government or amultilateraldevelopmentbank(MDB)asinvestors.Theseentitiescaneitherprovideriskcapital(intheformofanequityinvestmentforexample)de-riskingtheprojectforotherinvestorsorjust simply signal their confidence in the viability of the project by committing any form ofdirectcapital(equity,subordinateddebt,seniorsecureddebt,etc).MDBscanalsoencouragethedevelopmentofDREprojectsbyproviding“enablingcapital”.Asopposed to becoming an investor (direct capital), development banks can use their balancesheettocreatefinancialinstruments,de-riskingsociallyimportantprojects.Theseinstrumentsincludeexternalcreditenhancementsuchasguarantees,wheretheMDBtakesonspecificrisksoftheprojecte.g.creditrisk(partialcreditguarantee)constructionrisk,politicalrisk,etc.Oftenthis is amoreefficientway to leverage their limited resources. Similarly to impact investors,MDBs have a development mandate, allowing them to take higher risks if the social andeconomicimpactoftheprojectjustifiesit.Forexample,Argentinaisintheprocessofdoingatenderfortheinstallationof7,500rooftopsolararrays in ruralareasofeightprovinces.70%of theUSD58Mioproject costswill comefrom theWorld Bank and the rest from the government. TheWorld Bank’s loan features avariablemargin,with a 35-yearmaturityperiod anda 4.5-year graceperiod. “Through theseprojectsweintendtoclosetheserviceaccessgapbetweenruralandurbaninhabitants,”saidJesko Hentschel, World Bank director for Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. The project isexpected tobring solar andwindenergy to roughly725,000people via small-scalewindandsolarprojectstotaling200MW61.PolicysupportThe bankability of renewable energy solutions has improved considerably during the lastdecade. Technological improvements allowed construction costs to decrease and thusdecreasing the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) ofDREs.While their reliance on incentivesand subsidies have decreased somewhat over the years, business models are still heavilyexposedtopolicyandregulatorychanges,whichcanmateriallyaffectthefinancialviabilityofthese projects. These include uncertainties surrounding various financial incentives forrenewable energy, feed in tariffs, fossil fuel subsidies, air pollution laws andplans for futuregridintegration.Indeed,investinginDREshasbecomemoretoomuchofabetonthechangesofthelocal(andin some cases international) policy and regulatory environment than simply optimizing thevaluedriversoftheproject.“Decentralizedrenewablecompaniesstillhavetoworkovertimeto

61http://www.pfie.com/rooftop-build-out-sees-new-tender/21268620.article

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findcapitalbecauseofperceivedpolicyrisk.Thisriskgivesinvestorscoldfeet"saidCathyZoi,CEOofmini-griddeveloperAxessEnergy62.NicolePoindexter,CEOatEnergicity,alsopointedout that "policy framework to de-risk financing is the top need to achieve universal energyaccess”63.

i. GridExtensionWhen it comes todecentralizedenergy,oneof themostpressingquestions iswhathappenswhenthegridisextendedtotheruralareacoveredbytheDREproject.Thecostofenergyfromthenationalgridmightbecheaperduetoitsscaleandtodifferentsourcesofenergyused.Thiscanpotentially result in theDREasset tobecome financialunviableandeventually stranded.DRE investors need toprice in this risk unless there is a clear roadmapof howDREprojectswouldintragrateintothegrid.Forexample, intheEU,theRenewableEnergyDirective64clearlyoutlinesthatmemberstatesneedtoensurethatrenewableenergysouceshaveaguaranteedandpriorityaccesstonationalgrids,soDREproducerscansellandtransmitelectricityinaccordancewithconnectionrulesatall times. Ifgrid integration isnot technicallypossible,anappropriate financial compensationshouldbegiventotheproducers.Furthermore,thedirectiveemphasizestheimportantroleofrenweable energy in promoting technological development, innovation, providingopportunitiesforemploymentandregionaldevelopmentinruralandisolatedareas.ii. Feed-inTariffs(forprojectswithgridaccess)

Once renewable energyproducers have access to theelectricity grid, feed-in tariffs (FiT) canalsobeusedtosupportfurtherthedevelopmentofrenewableenergyintheregion.FiTssetthesellingpriceoftheelectricityatapremiumtothemarketprice:Theadditionalcostsaresharedeither by the customers of the utility or funded through a government scheme. FiTs aredeterminedbasedonthecostofproductionfortherenewabletechnologyused,supportingthedeploymentofrenewableenergysolutions.On the other hand, similarly to power purchase agreements, they lock in the sale price ofenergyforthelongterm,thusdecreasingtheoutputpricevolatilityfortheproject.AspertheEuropeanCommission,FiTsarethemostefficientandeffectivesupportschemeforpromotingrenewableenergy65.ForlongertermFiTs,itisimportantthatthetariffisdecreasedovertimetoadjusttothechangingcostsandrisksasthetechnologymatures.

62http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/06/policy-not-finance-biggest-obstacle-to-scaling-decentralized-renewable-energy-energy-access-summit.html63http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/06/policy-not-finance-biggest-obstacle-to-scaling-decentralized-renewable-energy-energy-access-summit.html64http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32009L0028&from=EN65http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:52008SC0057&from=EN

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For example, Kenya first implemented FiTs in 2008 (with revisions in 2010 and 2012). Theycoverwind,biomass,hydro,geothermal,biogas,solarandmunicipalwasteenergy.Utilitiesarerequiredtoconnectrenewableenergyproducerstothegridandguaranteeprioritypurchaseoftheelectricitygenerated.Utilitiesareallowedtorecover2.6cents/kWhfromtheircustomers.The scheme offers price certainty for investors by guaranteeing the sale price for 20 years(subject to inflation). In order to accommodate smaller installations, a standardized powerpurchaseagreement(PPA)wascreatedforrenewableenergyprojectswithacapacityupto10MW66,whichisespeciallyimportantforinstallationsinruralareas.NecessaryConditionsDecentralized renewable energy, being a revenue generating asset, is easier to finance inprinciplethanassetswherechargingausagefeeisneithereconomically,norsociallypossible.While there are some inherent challenges that need to be addressed, there is a functioningbusiness model here for private investors. This also implies that in the case of DRE, thegovernment’s role will be different than the one discussed earlier for roads. Its main focusshould be on how tomitigate themajor project risks on the policy and regulation side andidentify incentive schemes, which are themost efficient in the country or regional context.Incentives are needed to improve the bankability of these projects, bringing their levelizedcostsmoreinlinewith(thedirectly/indirectlysubsidized)fossilfuelsolutions.

66http://www.renewableenergy.go.ke/asset_uplds/files/Feed_in_Tariff_Policy_2012.pdf

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InvestmentPriority#3:FeederRoads

PathwaysIt isintuitivethatroadsareimportantforruraldevelopment.Withoutaccessroutestoobtaininputsandreachmarkets,otherfoodsecurityinvestments–whetheritbetechnicalassistance,improvedstorage,access tocapitalorother investments–cannotperform.Thispoint iswellestablished, and remains an important consideration in the context of food security andnutrition.67AssummarizedbytheWorldBank,“Withouteffectiverural transportsystems,allrural development and poverty initiatives, agriculture and growth are substantiallyconstrained.”68Figure X above summarizes themany links that have beenmade between newor improvedfeeder roads and food security. These pathways include, but are not limited to: linking ruralareas and producers to markets thereby supporting market integration (getting prices anddemandright);bringingimprovedinputsandextensionservicestothefarmtherebyimprovingagricultural productivity, and increasing nonfarm employment opportunities and ruralwagestherebysupportingthegrowthofthenon-farmeconomy.Sinceroadsareafoundationalinfrastructurethatenableotherinterventions(e.g.storageanddistribution) to be successful, the linkages to food security are no doubt much greater innumberandnuancethanpresentedabove.Annex1tothisreportpresentsasampleofstudiesassessing impact of roads on food security proxies, and provides details to thosewishing toexploretheempiricallinkagesinmoredepth.

67Juma,C.(2015).Thenewharvest:agriculturalinnovationinAfrica.OxfordUniversityPress.68http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/susdevtopics/sdt_pdfs/meetings2010/ss0410-transport/presentation_oneill.pdf

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Within the broad category of roads, feeder roads are emerging as a particularly importantinvestment for foodsecurity.Feeder roadsare those that serveasa traffic feeder toamoreimportant road, and are thus themore remote, often lower quality, roads connecting farmplotstothewidertransportnetwork.Feederroadsdemonstratearobustcorrelationtopovertyalleviation and agricultural productivity, performing above major tarmac roads acomprehensive IFPRI study covering China, Uganda, Thailand and India.69 In another morerecentstudyinChina,thecostbenefitratiooflowqualityfeederroadswasfourtimesgreaterthanforhighqualityroadsintermsofnationalGDP.70Moreover,intermsofwelfare,foreveryYuaninvested,lower-qualityroadsraisedsignificantlymoreruralandurbanpoorpeopleabovethepovertylinethandidhigh-qualityroads–andthisistrueforothercountriesaswell(ibid).Feederroadscanbeawin-winstrategyforgrowth,povertyalleviationandfoodsecurity.

A2002studyofruralChinafoundthatroaddensitywasoneofthesignificantdeterminantsof household-level prospects of escaping poverty: for every 1% increase in the number ofkilometresofroadspercapitainpoorregionsinChina,householdconsumptionincreasedby0.08%.71QualityandMaintenanceofFeederRoads

Inthespecificcontextofimprovingfoodsecurityoutcomes,specialattentionneedstobepaidtonotonlytheexistenceoffeederroads,butalsotheirquality.Theconditionoffeederroadsiscritical tomaintaining the quality of fruit and vegetables on the way tomarket; rutted andpotholed feeder roads will damage produce during transport and reduce their sales.Furthermore,wherepoorroadqualitysignificantlyaddstravel time, itcan lowerthevalueoftheproducttoretailersorother‘nucleusfarms’whowillrejecttheproduceintheirscreeningprocessfornotmeetingqualitystandards.Especially intheabsenceofcoldtransport,the lagtimetorefrigerationwilldecreasetheshelflifeofmanyproducts.

Gravel roads deteriorate quickly, especially in countries that experiencemonsoons or a wetseason. Therefore, it is important for infrastructure providers to think about and plan formaintenance from the beginning. All weather access should be ensured through regularmaintenance and rehabilitation of the road surface. Financing this maintenance can comethroughRoadsBoardswithdedicatedfundingformaintenancederivedfromroaduserchargesandfuellevies72,thoughthechallengeofuserchargeswillbediscussedinthenextsection.

While theupfront costs of sealed roads are greater than for gravel roads, they can certainlymorethanpayforthemselvesinthelifetimecostoftheasset–throughnotonlythemitigated

69IFPRI2012studyROIfrominfra70Juma201571Jalan,J.andRavallion,M.(2002)‘Geographicpovertytraps?AmicromodelofconsumptiongrowthinruralChina’,JournalofAppliedEconometrics17(4):329-346.72http://blogs.worldbank.org/transport/the-problem-with-rural-transport-is-that-it-is-rural-the-solution-is-in-branding

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costsofmaintenance,andthesocialandeconomicbenefitsof24/7roadaccess.Furthermore,localcommunitymemberscan,andshould,beinvolvedintheconstructionandmaintenanceofrural feeder roads where possible. Box X below presents an example of the use of localcommunitymembers,andlocalmaterials,intheconstructionandmaintenanceofpavedruralroads.

GreenRoadProcurementinAssam,India

The Public Works Road Development Agency, of the Government of Assam, India took a multi-prongedapproachtoimplementingsustainableroadinfrastructureinruralareas.

• Firstly, a greenpolicy for roadside vegetationwasput inplace,whereby local vetiver grass(withadeeprootsystem)wasusedtostabilizesoilsandprotectslopesalongsideroads–asopposed tomoreenergy intensive crushingof stones for the roadside.A communitybasedcultivationprogramwasputinplacetopreventtheft,destructionandanykindofpilferageofthegrassandotherplants.

• Secondly,agreenroadsurfacingtechnologywasusedtolowerCO2emissions,inwhichcoldmix technologies for bitumen is used instead of the traditional hotmix systems. The roadsurfacing was undertaken in collaboration with local communities and createdmany workdays.

• Finally,someinnovativefundingavenueswereleveragedforgreenroadsinAssam:setasidesfrom the central government for States that adopt green technologies, as well as fundingthroughcarboncreditswiththe“CleanDevelopmentMechanism”carboncreditmechanism.

NeedforAlternativeRevenueSourcesThemainchallengeinfinancingfeederroadsisthatitisimpossibletochargetollsonthemduetostructural limitationsandtheusers’unwillingness(andofteninability)topay.Constructionandmaintenanceof roadsarecostlyactivities,and typicallypoor ruralareaswouldnothaveenougheconomicactivitynorprojectedtrafficcountstoattractmuchprivateinvestment.WhileunderaPublicPrivatePartnership(PPPs)model,tollroadsareawaytogeneraterevenuefromuserstofinance,operateandmaintainmajorroads,suchashighways,thisisusuallynotfeasibleforremotefeederroads.Forthese,thesourceofrevenuethatwouldcoverthecostsandgenerateprofitforinvestorshastobecoveredinanalternativeway.Thatwillbethefocusofthenextsection.

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Intermediate Infrastructure – Transport Services Theneedforlogisticsinfrastructureandcompetitioninservicesisperhapsmostpronounced(certainly most studied) in the case of road infrastructure. An analytic review of roads indeveloping countries by theOverseasDevelopment Institute (ODI), gives a comprehensiveoverview of the compelling research conducted in this area.73 Their findings show thatcompetition in transport services seems a critical precondition for development andaccessibilitytothepoorest.Wherethereisalackofcompetitionintheprovisionoftransportservices,rent-seekingcanbepersistentandendupaccountingforasignificantportionofend-marketprices–puttingparticularly remote farmers at a disadvantage. One study cited by ODI is a 2011 USAIDanalysis,showingthatthetransportandlogisticscostsofmovingmaizeandlivestockalongkeytradingcorridorsbetweenBurkinaFaso,GhanaandBeninaccountforapproximately59%and 18% of the respective end-market prices. Of these, transport costs – i.e. fees paid totransport-serviceoperatorsandlossesintransit–werefoundtoweighmostheavilyontheend-marketpricealongthecorridorsstudied.74Furthermore,astudyconductedbytheIADBconfirmedapositiveandstatisticallysignificantassociation between transport-logistics infrastructure and foreign direct investment (FDI).This is because corporations look to operate in locations with adequate transport andlogisticsinfrastructuretoreducedelaysanddisruptionsinthesupplychain,inventoryholdingcosts,depreciationcostsaswellashandlingcosts.75While“distance”isafrequentmeasureused by corporations to inform their investment decisions, this report showed that thequalityofthelogisticssysteminplaceisalsoimportantfactorinthelocationdecisions.In as far as improved transport services enhance farmer’s income and purchasing power,there isaneed for this“pathway” to foodsecurity tobesupported.Governmentsneed topreemptthesechallengeswhentheyinvestinnewroadinfrastructurebya)simultaneouslycreating supportive competition policies for transport services, to reduce the costs oftransport b) improving and harmonizing regional transport programs and policies to buildinvestorconfidenceandc) includingclear specificationson thequalityandmaintenanceofroad infrastructure in their tenderingprocess, toensure its longevityand reliability for themostvulnerablepopulations.Similarly,donorsneedtobeawareofthepoliticaleconomyoffreightlogisticswheninvestinginroads,andhaveconstructivedialogueswithgovernmentsandotherfundersonhowbesttodeploytheirfundsinawaythatcantargetfoodsecurity.73https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/043e/62efb6f053374d3f9e0fa772848ecfde7a76.pdf74USAgencyforInternationalDevelopment(USAID).(2011)Regionalagriculturaltransportandtradepolicystudy.WestAfricaTradeHubTechnicalReport41.Washington,DC:USAID.75https://usitc.gov/research_and_analysis/documents/LogisticsInfrastructureandtheInternationalLocation.pdf

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FinancingApproachesAlternativefinancingsolutionsThe inability tochargeusersdirectly for theusageof theassetdoesnot imply thataprojectcould not be bankable and an attractive investment opportunity for investors. Differentfinancing schemes exist where the government, or a government related entity, fills thisrevenuegap.

i. AvailabilityPaymentUnder an availability payment scheme the public party pays a predetermined amount on aregularbasis(annualorsemi-annual)totheprivatepartyfortheoperationandmaintenanceofthe asset as long as itmeets the pre-agreed performance requirements. As the governmenttransferstheperformancerisktotheconcessionaire,itlimitsitsownliabilitiesandthroughthefixedpaymentsitcapsthereturnoftheprivateparty.Underthissetup,thepublicentityretainsthedemandrisk,soirrespectiveoftheusageoftheassetitwillhavetopaythesameamount,potentiallyoverpayingfortheserviceprovided.TheOstregionMotorwayinAustriahadasimilarsetup.The52kmroadproject,completedin2010, had a concession period of 33 yearswith 70% availability payments and 30% shadowtolls. It was awarded the “Best European Project to Sign” award in 200776. Another, morerecent example of availability payments was the 4G highway in Colombia (financial close in2015). USD 1.2 billion of the USD 1.68 billion project cost was financed through debt. Tollsbackedbyacontingentguarantee fromAgenciaNacionalde Infraestructura (thegovernmentagency) and annual availability payments from budgetary allocations from the governmentcoveredthedebt77.ii. ShadowToll

Ifthegovernmentisunwillingtoassumethedemandriskoftheroadproject,itcanenterintoashadow toll agreement with the private party. In this setup the government pays apredetermined amount per user (depending on vehicle type and distance travelled) on anannualbasis, for theconstruction,operationandmaintenanceof theasset.This schemewasfirst implemented intheUKbyMargaretThatcher.Astheconcessionaireonlygetspaidoncetheassetisoperational,ithasastrongincentivetoexpediteconstruction.Thelimitationofthisapproachisthattrafficcanbedifficulttomeasureaccuratelyanddependingonthetechnologyused it can notably increase project costs. Also, as additional risk is allocated to the privateparty,theriskpremiumdemandedwillbehigher,raisingthecostoffinancefortheproject.

76http://ec.europa.eu/enlargement/taiex/dyn/create_speech.jsp?speechID=21216&key=1343c4d2c3f47360913bcd145c32c74277http://www.pfie.com/colombia-on-the-road-again/21228511.article

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TheBinaIstrasemi-motorwayinCroatiausedshadowtolls(andforsomepartsrealtolls).The145 km road project had a concession period of 32 years and a project cost of EUR 500million78.AnotherexampleforshadowtollingistheRioVerde-CiudadValleshighwayinMexico,builtin2008.ThecostoftheprojectwasUSD201millionforthe112kilometrelonghighway.Mexico'sMinistryofTransportandCommunication (SCT)providedtherevenuestreamintheformofashadowtollwithoutguaranteeingacertainlevelofrevenue(whichwouldbethecaseforanavailabilitypaymentforexample).Therewasnominimumequitycontributionsetfortheprivatepartner79.While shadow tolls have been mainly used for highways, Australia and the USA have beenexperimenting with them for rural road projects as well. The Florida Department ofTransportation recognized that toll roads inmoredesolated rural areaswouldnot yieldhighenough revenues for private capital participation, but shadow tolling could be a possiblesolution.ItsdiscussionswithSantanderandotherfinancialinstitutionsconfirmedthatwiththe“appropriatefinancingandrisk-sharingstructures,anycorridorcanbedevelopedwithprivateparticipation”80.A 2001 study in Indonesia showed that a 1% increase in road investmentswas associatedwitha0.3%decreaseintheincidenceofpoverty.81iii. StakeholderFinance

Feeder roads in rural areas can also be financed through the financial contribution of localcommunities and/or the main users of the road. This type of structure was successfullyimplemented inUganda,whereanot forprofit ruraldevelopment fundwassetupto financeandmaintain a feeder road network that connected sugar cane farmerswith the processingfacility.Theinitialcapitalforthefundwasprovidedbygrantsfromdonorsaswellasfromtheprocessing facility and a levy was put on each unit of sugar cane sold by farmers to theprocessingfacility,supportingthecontinuedoperationofthefund.Theresponsibilitiesofthefundincludedthemaintenance,upgradingofexistingroadsandthefinancingtheconstructionofnewroadstofacilitatethetransportationofsugarcane82.Community participation in financing and operation, does not onlymake rural PPP solutionsmorebankable,butitalsohasotherimportantbenefitssuchasimprovedsocialacceptanceoftheproject,increasedlocalemploymentandpotentiallyslowerdeteriorationoftheasset.

78http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTTRANSPORT/Resources/336291-1122908670104/1504838-1151587673078/PPPStructureExamples.pdf79http://www.pfie.com/country-tenders-toll-road/390972.article80ThomsonReutersPFIIssue347–October18,2006-http://www.pfie.com/lenders-look-at-florida-tolls/392150.article81Kwon,E.(2001)‘Infrastructure,growth,andpovertyreductioninIndonesia:across-sectionalanalysis’.Mimeo.Manila:AsianDevelopmentBank82http://www.fao.org/3/a-i0465e.pdf

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Anotherexamplewherebeneficiariesparticipated inthePPPstructureofruralroadswastheMorogoroVillageTravelandTransportationProgramme(VTTP)inTanzania.Communitieswereinvolved in the design of the projects and contributed rawmaterials, labour and some cashpayments.Thelocalgovernmentmainlyprovidedspecializedexpertiseandotherresourcesnotavailablelocally.Funding,intheformofgrants,camefromthecentralgovernmentandotherdonors, who also provided technical assistance. The private sector was responsible for therehabilitationandmaintenanceoftheprojectsusingperformancebasedcontracts83.FundingthealternativeschemesAllalternative financeschemesdiscussedearlier relyonsomeformofgovernment financing.Thisfundingcancomefromthefollowingsourcesincaseofruralroadinfrastructure:

i. TaxesIn order to ensure sufficient resources for the construction and maintenance of roadinfrastructure,thereshouldbetaxesspeciallyearmarkedforroaddevelopment.Thesecanbeintheformoflocaltaxes,propertytax,fueltax(arguablythemostefficientwaytoraisefunds)and levy on agriculture production. As road infrastructure supports economic activity, anincreaseintaxreceiptscouldbeexpectedovertime.TheConferenceBoardestimatesthatevenif only the construction phase is considered, governments can recover 30-35% of publicinfrastructurespendingthroughhigherpersonal,corporateandotherindirecttaxes.84ii. Roadfund

Innovativefinancingsolutionsareoftenasgoodastheinstitutionssupportingthem.Anationalroad fund, or infrastructure development fund, can provide the necessary credibility andstabilitytoassure investorsthattheir long-termagreementswillbemetandtheprojectrisksallocated to the public entity credibly mitigated. Indeed, these funds often have aninternationally recognized credit rating, allowing them to attract a wider range of privateinvestorstotheprojectstheysupport.At the same time, infrastructure funds have the financial capacity to provide funding toeconomically and socially important projects. The mandate of these funds can set specifictargetsforfundingruralroads(asapercentageofallprojects),encouraginginvestmentinroadprojectswithstronglinkstofoodsecurity.Roadfundscangettheirownfundingfromatwo-tiertariffsystem:accessfeessuchasvehicleregistrationfeesandusagefees includingfueltaxes,international transit fees85. The involvement of these funds goes beyond the financing of

83http://www.fao.org/3/a-i0465e.pdf84http://canada2020.ca/crisis-opportunity-time-national-infrastructure-plan-canada/85http://www.worldbank.org/transport/roads/rd_fnds.htm

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greenfield or brownfield projects, and also includes the maintenance of the existing roadsystem.OtherincentivesandsolutionsSecuringastablerevenuestream,asdiscussedearlier,isoftennotsufficienttoattractinvestorstoprojectsinamorechallengingeconomic,socialandpoliticalenvironment.Otherincentivesareneededtomakethedealmoreappealing, findingwaysto improvetheoverall risk-returnprofileoftheproject.

i. Co-financingWhenmunicipalities,nationalgovernmentsorMDBsco-invest intheproject, itgivesastrongsignalforinvestorsabouttheproject’slegitimacyandviability.Inaddition,itshowsapoliticalcommitment that is essential both during the construction and operation phases. In fact,constructionrisk,oneofthemajorbarriersofinvestingintoinfrastructureformanyinvestors,canoriginatefromalackofpoliticalsupport.Forexample,constructiondelaysareoftenduetodifficultiesinissuingalltherelevantpermits,whichcanhaveasignificantimpactontheoverallbankabilityoftheproject.Co-financing can take the form of equity, subordinated / mezzanine debt or senior secureddebt. Equity or other subordinated capital contribution gives a stronger signal of theMDB’scommitment to the project as this type of capital serves as a first loss provision in the dealstructure. Indeed, having a sufficient amount of equity buffer, and thus lower debt / equityratio,isoftenarequirementfordebtinvestorstobeengagedintheprojectandforsponsorstohavealowercostoffinancing.ii. Viabilitygapfunding

Viabilitygapfunding(VGF)isaone-timegrantawardedtoprojects,whichotherwisewouldnotbecommerciallyviable.VGFshouldbeusedselectively,onlyprojectswithhigheconomicand/orsocialmultipliersshouldbeeligible.Furthermore,inordertobestleveragethelimitedpublicresources, it should be used to unlock additional capital as opposed to funding the wholeproject. VGF can be applied during the construction and / or operation phase and is usuallyincluded in thebidding process, ranging up to 20%of project costs. For example, the IndianInstituteofTechnologyestimates,thatINR400millioncanbemobilizedbythegovernmentbyprovidingINR50millionasadirectVGFgrantintoaproject,withanotherINR50millionequityinvestmentasariskreductionandanotherINR50millionasaguaranteeforuserfeesduringtheinitialyearsofoperation86.DauGiay–Phan Thiet Expressway project in Vietnam is being financed through amix of VGFprovided by the government of Vietnam,World Bank-linked debt and private equity. A PPP86http://www.iitk.ac.in/3inetwork/html/reports/IIR2007/03-Financing.pdf

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DBFO(Design,Build,Finance,Operate)structurewassetup for thedevelopmentof the98.7kilometrehighwaywithaconcessionperiodof30years.Aspartofthetendering,biddershadtosubmittheamountofVGFtheywouldrequiretomaketheprojectbankable87.iii. Projectbundling

Projectbundlingisanotherwaytoovercomethebarriersoffinancingprojectswithhigherriskand/orlimitedrevenuepotential.Inthiscasealesscommerciallyattractiveprojectisbundledand tendered togetherwith a project (or projects)with amuchmore favourable risk-returnprofile.Inotherwords,theinvestorcanonlyinvestinthe“good”projectifitalsofinancesthe“bad”one.Bundlingalsooffers a solution for two important challengesof rural infrastructure financing:scale and revenue uncertainty. Below a certain project size institutional investors might behesitant to invest due to thehigh fixed transaction costs involved. Indeed, scale is often thesingle biggest barrier when it comes to impact infrastructure (i.e. projects with highenvironmentalandsocialimpact)evenwhentheeconomicsoftheprojectareotherwisesolid.Projectbundlingcouldalsoserveasawaytodiversifyotherprojectrelatedrisks(dependingonhow much the assets are correlated), notably the revenue risk. Project sponsors receivingrevenues froma toll road and froma feeder road in the formof an availability payment forexample, can rely on the latterwhen demand for the toll road falls below forecast at somepointoftheassetlifecycle.The State of Pennsylvania in theUSA, is also exploring bundling as away to repair its 4,700structurally-deficient bridges. In one of the proposals being considered, the private entitywouldfundtheworkinexchangefortherighttotollthebridge88.

87http://www.pfie.com/govt-offers-first-road-ppp/21099460.article88http://www.pfie.com/StorySubs.aspx?rtnurl=/story.aspx?storycode=21070377

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InvestmentPriority#4:Irrigationinfrastructure

PathwaysAsdepictedinFigureXabove,greateragriculturalproductivityresultingfromirrigationcanleadto increased food availability either for own consumption or for marketing and incomegeneration. Irrigatedproductionismorethantwiceasproductiveonaperhectarebasisthanrainfedproduction89.Inaddition,thechangesassociatedwithareliablewatersourcecanleadto better sanitation, women’s empowerment, new local jobs – all of which can also havepositive food security impacts. It is also observed that the number and type of crops thatfarmersgrowalsochangeswithirrigation–oftentowardsmorenutritiousvegetables(e.g.iron-rich leafy greens) and fruits throughout the year, having important nutritional benefits forhouseholds. Irrigationusedforsupporting livestock-rearingactivitiescan leadtoan increasedpresenceofanimal-derived(proteinrich)foodatthehouseholdlevel.90

Asforotherruralinfrastructureassetclasses,itisalsotrueofirrigationthatitisdifficult–ifnotimpossible – todirectly trace the causality of improved irrigation to food security outcomes.Most studiesdonot specifywhether the improvement indietarises frommorehome-grownfood availability or from an increase of marketable surplus leading to more food beingpurchased by the household.91 A 2015 study by the International Food and Policy ResearchInstitute(IFPRI)nonethelessidentifiesfivebroadimpactpathwayslinkingirrigationtonutritionandhealthoutcomesforAfricasouthoftheSahara92:

89“Feedingourselvesthirsty:Howthefoodsectorismanagingglobalwaterrisks”,Ceres,2015.90IFPRI2015http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll2/id/12909091http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll2/id/12909092http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll2/id/129090

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i. irrigation as a source ofmore andmore diverse foods (through increased agricultural productivity andcropdiversification);

ii. irrigationasasourceofincome(frommarketsalesandemploymentgeneration);iii. irrigationasasourceofwatersupply,sanitation,andhygiene(throughmultiplewateruse);iv. irrigationasnewvector-breedinghabitat93andasourceofwaterpollution(fromagrochemicals);andv. irrigationasanentrypointforwomen’sempowerment(through increasedassetownershipandcontrol

overresources)AninfrastructureprogrammeinEthiopia,whichinvolvedtheconstructionofirrigationandroadsandtheorganisationofbeneficiaries,improvedfoodaccessby30%,anincreaseofabout700kcal/adult/day.94Whereinthewaterdistributionnetworktofocus?

Inadditiontoirrigationinfrastructurehavingmultipleimpactpathways,therearealsomultipletypesofirrigationinfrastructureandmultiplemodelsformanagingit.Irrigationinfrastructureisa broad category, encompassing the entire system of extracting water from its source andmoving it to be applied on agricultural crops. This infrastructure includes: dams, canals,pipelines,aqueducts,pumpingplants,drainageandflowregulatingstructures.

TableX:Typicaltypesofirrigationinfrastructureandassociatedcosts

Source:Ward(2010)

93Thiscanalsodisproportionatelyaffectwomen,astheyaremorelikelytotaketimetotendtothesick.94(Abebawet al., 2010) in https://www.oecd.org/derec/49558328.pdf

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One of the major challenges the development community has faced – and other investorsseekingtosupportfoodsecurity–ispreciselydecidingwhattypeofirrigationinfrastructure(asdepictedincolumn1ofTableXabove)toinvest in.Therightinvestmentwilldependinlargepart on the proximity of the recipient farm(s) to a reliable water source, the organizationalstructureofthelocalcommunityoffarmers,andtheaccesstootherinfrastructureforenergy,transport and storage. Irrigated “units” can range from an individual farm up to massiveintegrated schemes covering thousands of hectares, and the management can be public,private,user-run,communitybased,oracombination.Typicalmanagementmodelsare95:

⇒ Large-scalepublic systems (e.g.paddy fields for riceproduction inhumidareasor forstaplesandcashcropsindryareas);

⇒ Small-andmedium-scalecommunity-managedsystems;⇒ Commercialprivatesystemsforcashcrops(oftenlargescale);and⇒ Farm-scaleindividuallymanagedsystems.

Whiletheinfrastructureneededtosecureanddistributeareliablewatersupply(e.g.reservoirs,dams) is primordial, the politics of such ‘communal’ water infrastructure is often a majorbarrier.Unlikeelectricity,waterisaveryheavysubstance,andisexpensivetomoveoverlongdistances.Furthermore,growingurbanareaswilloftenpay twoto five timesmore forwaterthanitseconomicvalueinagriculture,furthercomplicatingtheissue96.Hydropowerisanothermajorstakeholder,asistheenvironmentalcommunity.Takentogether,thismeansthatwaterforagriculturerequiressignificant funding,politicalwill,andcross-sectorcoordination. Italsomeans that it isharder to link large-scale storage infrastructurewith food securityoutcomesthanitisforfarm-levelirrigationinfrastructureimprovements–eventhoughtheneedforsuchwatermobilizationinfrastructureisgreatinmanyimpoverishedareas.

In this context, agricultural development donors, namely the FAO and IFAD, have tended tofocusonsupportingsmallholders thatalreadyhave,orcouldhaverelativelyeasily, theirownaccesstoalocalwatersource.Theirexperienceshowsthatthishouseholdorcommunitylevelmodelhasbeenarelativelyimpactfulandsustainableapproach;farmerswilltendtoinvestinthe maintenance of their own infrastructure for their own water source, provided they arereapingthebenefitsofimprovedagriculturalproductivity.

This focuson the smallholderdoesnot imply irrigation for subsistenceagricultureonly–butalso supportsmarket-oriented agriculture of cash crops or industrial crops. Even though theexpansionofirrigationforcashcropssuchassugar,cotton,andcoffeedoesnotleadtomorenutritiousfoodproductionforitsfarmersperse,theseproducersmaymakemoremoneyfromsuchcashcropsthanfromothermorenutritiouscrops,thusalsocreatingastrongfoodsecuritypathway.

95http://www.fao.org/docrep/017/i1688e/i1688e03.pdf96Ward2015

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InaparticularlypositiveexamplefromZambia,thefarmersoftheKafuedistrictsimultaneouslysecuredirrigationinfrastructurefortheirsmallholderstogrowfoodfortheirownconsumption(pumping water from the local river) while also renting out surrounding land to large scalecommercialagriculture.ThismodelisnowbeingrolledoutinmanycommunitiesacrossAfricabyInfraCoandtheWorldBank97.

BoxX:Contemporary IrrigationNarrativesontheAfricanContinent (maynotberelevantenoughtoinclude)IrrigationinfrastructurehasbeenaparticularlyimportanttopicontheAfricancontinentoverrecentdecades for itspotential toboostagriculturalandeconomicgrowthand to improvesecurityonacontinentwherecurrentlyonly6%ofthetotalcultivatedareaisirrigated.Thisisin comparison to approximately 37% in Asia and 14% in Latin America.98 And of Africa’sirrigated land, over two-thirds is concentrated in only five countries, namely Egypt,Madagascar,Morocco,SouthAfricaandSudan.Oneofthefirstmajorappealsforinvestmentwaswiththe2005CommissionforAfricareportcalled for a doubling of irrigation in Africa by 2015, with an emphasis on small scaleirrigation.99 In the years since this report, there have been numerous other studies toevaluateirrigationneedsforfoodsecurityandcallsforaction–notablytheAfricanUnion’s2014 Malabo Declaration that committed to doubling agricultural productivity throughirrigation,inputsandmechanization.Irrigation is also seen as an “adaptive response” to climate change on a continent that isalready experiencing changing precipitation patterns and increased extreme hydrologicaleventssuchasfloodinganddroughts.Ontheotherhand,therehavebeenconcernsthattheexpansionofirrigationontheAfricancontinentwill deprive other, downstreamusers ofwater – including fish andwildlife. Andwiththeenormoussalesof landtoforeign investorsoverrecentyears (i.e.“landgrabbing)there are concerns thatwater demandwouldoutstripwater supply resources if all of thislandweretobeputunderirrigatedproduction.100In reality it is likely that irrigation will be neither a panacea for African development norresult in hydrological suicide for the continent, but certainly improved agriculturalproductivityinthecontinentisexpected,andanimportantelementofthisimprovementwillbefromirrigationexpansion.

97http://eleqtra.com/projects/chiansi-irrigation/98“WhatistheirrigationpotentialinAfrica?”,InternationalFoodPolicyResearchInstitute,2010.99http://www.commissionforafrica.info/2005-report100http://www.iisd.org/sites/default/files/publications/investing-land-water-converging-legal-regimes.pdf

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Intermediate Infrastructure – Irrigation Management Services There is a broad acceptance in the development community that effective irrigationinvestmentmust include not just the physical assets, but equally the supporting services.Logisticsandservicesrelatedto irrigation infrastructure include:managingandmaintainingtertiary levels of infrastructure (e.g. canal maintenance), drainage services, coordinatingtimingandflowsacrossusersandusergroups,themonitoringofwateruseandothers.Generally speaking, these services are deliveredmost effectivelywhen devolved from theauthority and responsibility of government agencies to either: a) user groups (water userassociations) or b) third party service providers. The latter is the approach currentlypromoted by the World Bank. In their view, “the multiple functions of an irrigation anddrainage systems require high standards of management and professional skill. In somecases,andforsomefunctions,theneededmanagementcapacityandlevelofskillsmaybestbeprovidedbyprivatesectorserviceproviders,andPPParrangementsmaybethebestwayofimprovingstandards.”101For the user group approach, the idea is that “increased ownership, decision-makingauthority, and active participation in the operation and maintenance (O&M) of irrigationsystemswouldcreateorforceabindingcommitmentfromwateruserstobemoreeffectiveandresponsibletowardstheirobligations.”102Either model can work, but either requires a a strong institutional structure is in place,governingdecisionsregardingwaterfees,allocationofwaterwithinthecommunity,andthemaintenance of systems aremanaged in this collectively. Thismay require government tocreate an enabling environment through land tenure reform (to incentivize long-terminvestments and enable the land to be used for collateral), clearing titles towater rights,adequateandaccessibleinputsandmarkets,andaccesstoaffordablecredit.103FinancingApproachesWhenitcomestofunding irrigation infrastructure,adifferentiatedapproachto investment isneeded.Individualsmallholderswhoaredevelopingirrigationsystemsusingwaterfromalocalsource,andusingtheirownland,mightrequireaccesstocreditfortheirinitialinvestment,andaccess to training to learn effective techniques for cropping and for maintenance of theinfrastructure.Groupsorcommunitiesoffarmerswhoorganizethemselvestogainaccesstoawater resource will have larger scale infrastructure needs, and there the upfront capitalrequirementswillofcoursebegreater–usuallynecessitatingapublicsubsidyofsomesort.In

101 http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTWSS/Resources/WS10_txt.pdf (2007)102 http://www.fao.org/3/a-a1520e.pdf 103 FAO 2009 - market oriented agricultural infrastructure

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addition,inthissituationthereisaneedtoinvestinbuildinginstitutionsoffarmerswhowillbesharingtheresourceandtheinfrastructure(SeeSectiononServiceProviders).Anothermodelisoneinwhichprivatecommercialinterestsdevelopirrigationinfrastructureonboughtor rented land, andemploy local labour. In this situation, theexpectation is that theprivateenterpriseisbearingmostofthecostofirrigation.Broadly speaking, however, irrigation projects are almost always of a highly social nature –using a publicmoney to deliverwater infrastructure (andwater itself) to farmers at steeplysubsidizedrates.Thereisalonghistoryofirrigationsubsidiesinmostcountries,eitherdirectlyor through cross subsidies paid from hydroelectric power revenues. This is often a politicalstrategytoencourageruralsettlement, increase foodproduction,andpromotenational foodself-sufficiency.Thus, there is a certain irony in any development discourse through which industrializedcountries beleaguer developing nations to achieve full cost recovery in their irrigationinfrastructure construction and operations. Indeed, in the United States, irrigationinfrastructure – in theWest in particular – has involved large public expenditures since the1930sthatthegovernmentshaveneverfullyrecoveredfromprojectbeneficiariesovertime104.Only in more recent years have these subsidies gained critical attention from citizens andlegislators.Pricing&PublicSubsidiesforIrrigationAny discussion on financing irrigation infrastructure quickly comes down to the pricing ofirrigation water, and the extent to which the capital costs, O&M, and future investment –importantelementsofthe longer-termsustainabilityofthesystem–canbecoveredthroughwater tariffs. While most agree that irrigation has played, and will play, a major role inprovidingsufficientfoodfortheworld’s increasingpopulation,thereisdebateaboutwhetherornotsubsidizationfromthepublicsectorisjustified.Ontheonehand, if the full costof irrigation is reflected in farm-level irrigationwaterprices,thiscanpromoteirrigationefficiencywithinagricultureandincreasethelikelihoodofachievingeconomic efficiency across the sectors that compete for limited water resources.105 On theotherhand,otherexpertsarguethatirrigationinfrastructureandservicesprovidebothpublicandprivategoods,justifyingadegreeofpublicsubsidy.106Forexample,itisoftenthecasethatirrigation water serves multiple users (e.g. domestic, agricultural and industrial waterconsumers)andhasdiversebeneficiaries(e.g.floodcontrol).Ultimately, while subsidizing irrigation infrastructure and/or water can significantly improvefarmincomes,andfoodsecurity, intheshortterm,thelonger-termproblemsassociatedwith104https://www.oecd.org/unitedstates/45016437.pdf105https://www.oecd.org/unitedstates/45016437.pdf106https://www.oecd.org/unitedstates/45016437.pdf

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financingthemaintenanceandmanagementoftheinfrastructuremustbeaddressedfor longtermsustainabilityofthesystemanditsbenefits107.SeparatingcapitalexpenditureandO&MFor the reasons described above, there is a strong case for financing capital expenditure(CAPEX)andO&M(OPEX)separately,i.e.structuringthedealsuchthatthegovernment(oranexternaldonor)coverstheformerandusersincrementallypayforthelatter,usingtheincomegains they receive from reliable irrigation. Eventually, ideally once the benefits of improvedirrigation are felt by farmers, policy makers can begin the political process of increasingirrigation tariffs to include a part of the CAPEX (even 1-2%), thereby gradually reducing thepublicsubsidytoirrigation.Notably,thisapproachrequiresrobustfeasibilityassessmentsthatoutline(strictly)whatcoststhegovernment(national,state,local)canincur,whattheexpectationsoftheusergroupswillbe,andiftheprojectionsforlonger-termcostrecoveryarefeasiblebasedonwillingnesstopayassessments.Inanycase,aprocessshouldbeputinplacetorevisitwaterratesevery5years.Asaruleofthumb,theIndiangovernmentstipulatesthatirrigationratesshouldliewithintherangeof5to12percentofthegrossrevenueoffarmersinthecanalcommandarea.108Itisworthrepeatingthatwaterchargesmust,ataminimum,besufficienttocoverO&Mcosts.Withoutthisminimumrevenuebase,serviceprovidersareunlikelytobeabletoaffordO&Mexpendituresrequiredtoprovidereliableservices.Thisresultsina“viciouscircle”wherebythewaterdeliverybecomes lessreliableasqualitydeclines,andfarmersbecomemoreandmorereluctanttopayforirrigation,furthererodingtherevenuebase.IdentifyingandtargetingfoodsecuritybeneficiariesIrrigation subsidiesmustbedesignedand targeted to support thepoorest, least food securefarmers; this will not just happen on its own. For example, a major finding of a study ofirrigation subsidies in India by the World Bank, was that the vast majority of poor ruralhouseholds in India did not directly benefit from the state’s irrigation subsidies.109 In thisinstance, the subsidy was specifically for canal irrigation, which only 13% of agriculturalhouseholds in used at the time, and little to none of these householdswere the poorest ormostmarginalized(ScheduledCasteandSchedulesTribe)households.Tofocusonfoodsecurityoutcomes,however,whatwewouldneedtoknowfromthisstudyiswhetherornotthesemediumandlargefarmswereprovidingemploymenttothepoorestrural

107Forthoseinterestedincalculatingsubsidiesinirrigation,IISDdevelopedarigorous,transparent,andreplicablemethodologytoprovidethemostcomprehensiveestimateofsubsidiestoirrigationthatcanbefoundhere:https://www.iisd.org/GSI/irrigation-subsidies/irrigation-resources108http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/25853/1/cp03su05.pdf109http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/25853/1/cp03su05.pdf

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households – thus providing another legitimate pathway to addressing food security. In thissense,thelessonisnotanormativeone(i.e.allirrigationsubsidiesshouldbedesignedtotargetonlythepoorest)butacallforpolicymakerstoundertakeacomprehensivestudyofthetargetpopulation’soptionsandpreferencesinseekingouttheirownfoodsecuritypathway.PublicPrivatePartnershipsThechallengeforPPPsinirrigation,notunlikeforotherassetsdescribedinthisreport,isthattheprivate-sectorpartnersneedadegreeof certainty that theywill beable to recover theirinvestments.Meanwhilethe irrigationsectoroffers limitedscopeforrevenuegenerationduetolowwaterchargesandpoorrecoveryrates.PPPs have been increasingly rolled out in irrigation infrastructure construction andmaintenance,however,soitisimportanttounderstandhowtobeststructurethesedeals.Broadly speaking, the most likely financing scenario for PPPs in the irrigation sector is onewhereby the concessionaire obtains part of its remuneration through fees charged to users,and another portion through availability payments (paid by the government based on the“availability” of the asset and service). Due to the inherent difficulties in fee collection, theavailability payment reduces the risks of service demand and supply, price fluctuation, tarifflevelandnoncompliancebyusers,andisamechanismforguaranteeingthesustainabilityoftheservice.A benefit of this approach is that availability payments can (and should) be based onperformance; that is, theprivatepartnerwill only be entitled to the availability payments if,during each reporting period (monthly, quarterly or another frequency), the service (e.g.properly maintaining and operating infrastructure) is delivered to farmers in a timely andadequate manner. The remuneration should be at least partially variable, according to therating achieved by the private partner in terms of the various quality and performancerequirements stated in the PPP contract. This can also be linked to energy- or water-savingtargets.Inthisway,thePPPmodelcanstillprovideforamoretargeteduseofpublicsectorfundstospur agricultural productivity. It can also be useful to establish the principle of financialautonomy, to raiseprofessional standardsby introducing improvedmanagement, to improvemaintenance of the system, to promote water and energy efficiency, and to relieve thegovernmentofsomefiscalandadministrativeburdens.

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ConclusionBasedonanextensivemeta-analysisof the literatureonrural infrastructureand itsability toendhunger, complementedby interviewswithexperts,our report focusedon fourparticularruralassetcategories:storage/coldstorage,feederroads,decentralizedrenewableenergy,andirrigationinfrastructure.Theaimoftheanalysisofeachoftheseassetswastoassistdonorsandinvestorswhoarededicatedtoendinghungertotargettheirfinancialresourcestothesehigh-impactinfrastructurecategories,andtohelpthemunderstandwhy.Whilewecannotprovidebroadgeneralizationsonwhetherornotspecificprojectsrepresentagood investment or not, themany lessons provided in this report should help investors andpolicymakers alike to tailor infrastructure financing solutions to address their food securityneeds.Despite the hopeful SDG Goal to end hunger by 2030, the challenges remain acute. Bothdeveloped and developing countries are facing large infrastructure deficits: USD 90 trillioninfrastructure investment is neededby2030,which ismore than theentire current stock110.The lackof investment is particularly bad in rural areas,which areoftenneglectedbypolicymakersandinvestorsalike.Intheseregions,thefinancingofinfrastructurefacesawiderangeofchallengesduetothelimitedresourcesoflocalgovernments,theuncertaintiessurroundingrevenuestreamsandthehighperceivedrisksoftheseprojects.Inspiteofthesebarriers,withtherightuseofdonorfundingandpublicresources,itispossibleto attract private capital to the four infrastructure asset types (storage, decentralizedrenewableenergy,feederroadsandirrigation)coveredinthispaper.Thereareawiderangeoffinancial instruments available (some of which have not been deployed to date in a ruralcontext),whichenablegovernmentsto leveragetheir limitedfundsavailable,tode-risktheseprojects and to mobilize private capital. Governments also need to assess carefully whatprojects have the highest economic and social multipliers and establish project pipelinesaccordingly. By identifying thesemultipliers, international donor funding canalsobe securedmoreeasily.Asneeded,theinternationalcommunityshouldprovideassistancewithmeasuringtheseimpactsandprovidethenecessarycapacitiesforamorerobustprojectdevelopment.Furthermore, donors as well as governments should only commit funds to financiallysustainable infrastructure. Projects notmeeting this requirementwill drain disproportionallythepublicresourcesavailable,notdeliveringvalueformoneyforstakeholders,andpotentiallyhaving a shorter operating life. “Financially viable” does not imply that the asset has to berevenue generating in its strictest sense (i.e. charging user fees), but instead it has to havesome form of revenue stream (also including availability based solutions) to cover debtservicing,operationandmaintenancecostsduringthewholelifecycleoftheasset.Developingbankableprojectsalsoopensupthepossibilitytoengageprivatecapitalinthefinancing,whichisakeyingredientinaddressingtheruralinfrastructuredeficitandendinghunger.110http://newclimateeconomy.report/2016/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2014/08/NCE_2016Report.pdf