Financing green electrification

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Ana Pueyo, IDS COP-21- Scaling-up investment in clean energy in developing countries 9 th December 2015 Financing green electrification

Transcript of Financing green electrification

Page 1: Financing green electrification

Ana Pueyo, IDSCOP-21- Scaling-up investment in clean energy in developing

countries9th December 2015

Financing green electrification

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There is a momentum for change

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Who provides international finance for electrification?

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

0

15000

30000

45000

60000

75000

Aid Private

Aid and private finance for electrification (US$Billion) 1990–2010

Source: Aiddata and WB PPI

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Who provides foreign aid for electrification?Top six donors: contributions to electrification 1990–2010 (US$Billion)

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Who receives foreign finance for electrification?

Electrification aid by recipient 1990–2010 Private finance by recipient 1990–2012

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How much for renewables?

Aid per generation source (US$ Billion)

Private investment per generation source (US$b)

1990-1993 1994-1997 1998-2001 2002-2005 2006-20100

40

80

120

160

200

240

Non-renewable Renewable Both

Billions

1990-1993 1994-1997 1998-2001 2002-2005 2006-20100

4

8

12

16

20

24

28

32

Non-renewable Renewable N/A

Billion

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Profitability

Humanitarian

Governance

Governance

Humanitarian

Profitability

PRIVATE SECTOR

INTERNATIONAL AID

• Large income per capita• High energy prices• Large energy resources• Good country governance• Power sector reform: unbundling and

privatisation• Negative African bias

• Good country governance• Initial stages of power sector

reform• Fast economic growth

What has driven the allocation of aid and private investment?

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What is needed NOW to unlock finance for green electrification? :

Green Growth Diagnostics for Africa

Identification of the most

binding constraints

Political economy analysis

GCEM

Power Systems

Reliability Analysis

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What is holding back RE investment in Ghana?

High cost of finance Unattractive investments compared to alternatives

Low access to

international finance

Low access to local finance

Low domestic savings

Poor intermediation

Returns too low

Risks too high

Power sector regulatory risk

Creditworthiness of the off-

takerMacroeconomi

c risk

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Thank [email protected]

Green Growth Diagnostics for Africa

www.ids.ac.uk/project/green-growth-diagnostics-for-africa

Pro-poor access to electricity

www.ids.ac.uk/idsresearch/pro-poor-electricity-provision-programme