FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting...

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FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2009 PRESENTATION TO INVESTORS, ANALYSTS AND MEDIA 23 AND 24 FEBRUARY 2010

Transcript of FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting...

Page 1: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

FINANCIAL RESULTS

FOR THE YEAR ENDED

31 DECEMBER 2009

PRESENTATION TO INVESTORS,

ANALYSTS AND MEDIA

23 AND 24 FEBRUARY 2010

Page 2: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Highlights

• All strategic capital projects mechanically complete

• Strong cash generation from operations

• Gearing down to 53%

• Final cash dividend of 62cps declared

• Pleasing improvement in safety performance

Page 3: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Summary

• Tough market conditions continued in H2, with rand strength

a major factor

• Revenue R10,7bn, down 16,7%

• HEPS at 346c, down 16,1%

• Profit from continuing operations down 25,9%

• Net working capital improved to 15,9%, R1,1bn cash

generated

• Good progress on land zoning and planning programme

• All major capex projects on track

• Major bad debt in Zambia has impacted results significantly

Page 4: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Business environment: volumes slide but

start to improve in Q4

Source: Stats SA

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

Jan-03

Jul-03

Jan-04

Jul-04

Jan-05

Jul-05

Jan-06

Jul-06

Jan-07

Jul-07

Jan-08

Jul-08

Jan-09

Jul-09

Jan-10

Ind

ex

Manufacturing volumesJan '03-Dec '09 seasonally adjusted

--------------------------------09/08 = -12,4%

--------------------

Page 5: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Volume improvement cont.

80

90

100

110Jan-03

Jul-03

Jan-04

Jul-04

Jan-05

Jul-05

Jan-06

Jul-06

Jan-07

Jul-07

Jan-08

Jul-08

Jan-09

Jul-09

Jan-10

Ind

ex

Mining volumesJan '03-Dec '09 seasonally adjusted

-------------------------------------------------------09/08 = -6,8%

---------------------------------------

Source: Stats SA

Page 6: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Business environment cont.

• Volumes recovered off mid-year lows, but recovery subdued

– Rand strength from Q2 put manufacturing and exports under

pressure

– SA consumer spending still depressed

– Mining volumes improved in H2 but still down

• Property cycle downturn more prolonged and severe than

expected

• Commodity prices increased off the lows of Q1

• Customers under extreme cash flow pressures –

destocking, focused working capital management the norm

Page 7: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Impact on AECI

• Strengthening of R/US$ exchange rate caused forex losses

in Q2

• Crash in commodity prices caused NRV write-offs

(mainly H1)

• Volume drop, severe decline in commodity prices and

aggressive cash management by end customer caused bad

debt write-off

• Margin pressures continue

• Lack of liquidity impacting on customers, particularly in

Heartland where some sales made in ’08 were cancelled

Page 8: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Safety and health performance

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

TR

IRTotal Recordable Incident Rate

employees and contractors

Maximum tolerable level

Page 9: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Results ’09: profit from continuing operations

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

TradingProfit

Cont Ops'08:

R1 035m

CSL: -R205m

CSL CIwrite-off: -R163m

AEL: R50m

Heartland: -R12m

STFUSA:

-R34m

Corp: R96m

TradingProfit

Cont Ops '09:

R767m

Page 10: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Results ’09: trading margin and volumes

• Trading margin remained

depressed

• Chemserve volumes -27%

– Biggest drop in sulphur sales

– Manufactured volumes down

10,1%

– Traded volumes down 41,8%

• AEL volumes up 2,7% due to

foreign expansion

• Foreign sales down 25,4% in

rand terms largely due to

reduced sulphur prices

• In general, market share

maintained or improved

Page 11: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI HEPS

• HEPS down 16%

• “Non-trading” effects

– CI write-off: 110cps

– Forex and inventory

revaluation adjustments:

84cps (77cps)

– Restructuring costs: 34cps

– PRMA liability increase:

50cps (82cps)

– PF assets: 23cps (-47cps)

• Trading profit from continuing

operations down 25,9%

Page 12: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Results ’09 cont.

• Capex R1,2bn –

incl. R963m for

expansion projects

• NWC improved to 15,9%

from 19,2%

• Borrowings down R216m

to R2 143m

• Gearing 53%

• Cash interest cover 3,5x

• All loan covenants met

• Dividend 62 cps

Page 13: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Results ’09: profit from continuing operations

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

CSL AEL STF USA Heartland

'08 '09

Corporate

Page 14: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL SERVICES

Page 15: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: environment

• Very slow start to the year - mining treatment activities

severely curtailed, and heavy manufacturing on short time

• Prices supported by weak rand in Q1, and by stronger oil

price from Q2, but put under pressure by strong rand

Page 16: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: Zambian bad debt

• CI traded large volumes of sulphur with a distributor in

Zambia in ’08 for mines in the region

• The price of sulphur declined rapidly and severely between

Aug and Dec ’08

• The large debt was assessed to be sound and collectible at

that time

• During ’09 part of the debt was recovered in cash and

inventory

• In the latter part of ’09 it became apparent that the balance

of the debt could not be recovered

• Management has provided R125m in respect of the probable

bad debt

• Further adjustments in price, foreign exchange revaluations

and NRV inventory adjustments amount to R38m

Page 17: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: price and volume analysis

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

Revenue '08 Volume -27% Price +5.6% Revenue '09 -20%

R m

illio

ns

Page 18: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: performance

• Volumes -27% on ’08 (excl. CI volumes: -8,4%)

• Prices up 5,6%, manufactured down 5,1%, traded up 18,5%

• Working capital reduced by R1 022m over the year in line

with demand

• Excellent performances from Crest, IOP, Lake and Perlite

• Good performance from Senmin in a difficult environment

• Gross margin percentage up

• Considerable costs taken out

– Restructuring of companies

– Production costs fell by R31m

Page 19: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: performance

• Revenue R6 524m -23%

• TP R483m -43%

• Trading margin 7,4% (’08: 10,1%)

• Majority of inventory and foreign debtors revalued in H1

• Inventory write-down in ’09 on NRV R88m

• Exchange losses and fair value adj. R14m

• Zambian distributor bad debt written off R125m

Page 20: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: ’09 sales by industry

Mining

19%

Agriculture

12%

Paper and Packaging

8%

Toiletries, Cosmetics and

Pharmaceuticals

8%

Food & Beverage

7%

Oil and Refining

6%

Automotive

5%Coatings Ink & Adhesives

5%

Chemical Industry

5%

Plastics & Rubber

4%

Explosives

3%

Appliances and Furniture

2%

Engineering and Foundry

2%

Construction

2%

Steel & Metals

2%

Textiles and Leather

1%

Various Other

4%

Other

25%

Detergents

4%

Up: paper and packaging, food and beverage, personal care, oil and refining, coatings and adhesives

Down: automotive, appliances, detergents, agriculture and mining

Page 21: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: growth strategies

• CS2 plant commissioned and run at nameplate capacity

• Xanthate plants technology proved, rates limited by dryer

operation, project underway to remove bottleneck

• Capital programme in final stage:

• AM and PAM

– Under commissioning

– Currently the fermentation sterility guarantee and tank farm

commissioning underway

– Product verification trials start in April

Page 22: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: growth strategies CS2

Page 23: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: growth strategies PAM

Page 24: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: growth strategies cont.

• Resitec fractionation column running

– Certain products not yet at required quality

– JV partners collaborating to fix

– Market exists for products

• Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg

site underway

• Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of

completed plants

• ’09 acquisitions of Cobito and CH Chemicals satisfactorily

merged into Lake and Crest

• Cautious re-entry to acquisitions market

Page 25: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICESChemical Services: growth strategies sulphonation

Page 26: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

CHEMICAL

SERVICES Chemical Services: outlook

• Lessons learnt from the bad debt implemented

• Underlying Chemserve model remains appropriate

• Strategy reviewed and confirmed

• Businesses restructured

• Cost base improved

• Mining and manufacturing sectors improving

• Capital spent and contribution from those investments

expected in ’10

• Contribution and gross margin up in ’09

• At September ’09 presentation

– Trading margin to improve to above long-term levels

– Management target set back by 12 to 18 months

Page 27: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AEL

MINING SERVICES

Page 28: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AEL

MINING

SERVICESAEL Mining Services: environment

• Selective recovery evident in H2

• Ammonia price declined off November ’08 peak

• Rand strength diluted Africa and International earnings

• Price pressures prevailed as demand softened

• Foreign demand for AEL products remained firm

• Surface gold, coal and copper held up

• Platinum, diamonds, quarrying and industrial nitrate sales

down

• SA narrow reef volumes continued to soften

Page 29: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AEL

MINING

SERVICESAEL Mining Services: sales by industry

Gold 26%

Coal 18%

Platinum 17%

Quarry, construction & Civil 12%

Cu, Co, Cr, Ni11%

Diamonds 4%

Other 12%

Page 30: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AEL

MINING

SERVICESAEL Mining Services: ’09 performance

• Reacted fast to market changes – grew foreign operations

• Revenue R4 091m flat

• TP R298m +20%

• Trading margin 7,3% (’08: 6,1%)

• Year-on-year weighted volumes up 2,7%

• Working capital down from ’08 peak of 21,9% to 15,7%

• Cash flows improved despite capital and growth programme

Page 31: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AEL

MINING

SERVICESAEL Mining Services: ’09 performance

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

R 248m: Actual trading margin -

2008

R 354m: Business

Contribution growth

(R 82m): Fixed cost inflation

(R 136m): Manufacturing and support

costs

(R 55m): Exchange

differences

(R 30m): Depreciation /

Retrenchment / Other

R 298m: Actual trading margin -

2009

Page 32: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AEL

MINING

SERVICESAEL Mining Services: projects

• Capital investment programme – R439m

• ISAP automated shocktube plant – R170m

– All operating plants installed – peripherals during ramp-up

– Extruded shocktubing plant running at 95% efficiencies

+280m metres sold

– Detonator plants ramping up

+60m detonators produced

– All auto assembly lines ramping up

+1,8m final products sold

• Converted 18m more narrow reef holes to shocktube

– Ahead of target; product well received

– Customer conversion 85% complete – balance in ’10

– Focus on ramp-up in ’10

Page 33: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AEL

MINING

SERVICESAEL Mining Solutions: International

• Pleasing progress

• SE Asia focus:

Indonesian coal

• 4 contracts: largest is

50% of Kaltim Prima Coal

• KPC (Oct ’09):

– World’s largest thermal coal exporter

– Successfully deployed plant and set up full service offering

– Fastest deployment of an operation of its kind

– All start-up targets met

– More than US$15m invested – over 80 000tpa

Page 34: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AEL

MINING

SERVICESAEL Mining Services: strategy and focus

• Value and growth strategy: balanced, healthy portfolio;

increased foreign focus

• AEL Southern Africa

– Continually improved value propositions

– Progressive hi-tech mining optimisation solutions

– Product and service innovation - performance contracting

• AEL Africa

– Established quality positions; deliver value; selective expansion

– Central Africa growth evident

• AEL International

– SE Asian hub expansion; consolidation in ’10

– South American and European channel partnerships

– Innovative hi-tech products for wholesale

Page 35: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

HEARTLAND

Page 36: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

HEARTLAND Heartland: business environment

• Financial institutions re-evaluating exposure to property

• Loan conditions for property subject to more stringent terms

• Downward pressure on rentals and increases in vacancies

• Increasing levels of bad debts

Page 37: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

HEARTLAND Heartland: performance in context

• Disappointing performance

• Property lags economy and recovery is slow

• Cancelled/defaulted sales R104 m

• Negotiations ongoing with a reputable developer and a

national group

• Shopping centre transaction cancelled in favour of

redevelopment and later review

• Portfolio performed well – 9,8% growth in net rental

• Bulk of environmental management work completed

Page 38: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

HEARTLAND Heartland: ’09 performance cont.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Revenue 2008: R432m Property sales: -R259m

Leasing revenue: R16m

Services: R22m

Revenue 2009: R211m

Revenue

Page 39: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

HEARTLAND Heartland: land development

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

'09 '10 '11 '12 '13

Hecta

res

Year

Filling the pipeline

Residential Industrial Commercial

57

83

152

191

504

Page 40: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

HEARTLAND Gautrain

Page 41: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

HEARTLAND Heartland: property portfolio

• B and C grade properties – R480m

• Average net rental

− Offices R37/m²

− Industrial R29/m²

– Land R5/m² (not in statistics)

• Ops costs recovered R6–8/m²

112 000

230 000

575 000

Gross lettable areas (GLA) m²

Offices GLA

Industrial GLA

Land GLA

Page 42: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

HEARTLAND Heartland: property portfolio income potential

• Vacancy: 21,40% R2,6m

• Capex required to lease, so only done to tenant requirements

• Create strategic industrial park

• Excellent property management

R6.5m

R2.4m

R0.8m

Net rental income from occupied GLA

Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Western Cape

%

42

13

21

7

15

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Net rental income expiry

'10

Net rental income expiry

'11

Net rental income expiry

'12

Net rental income expiry

'13

Net rental income expiry

'14

5 year lease expiry

Page 43: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

SANS

TECHNICAL

FIBERSSANS Technical Fibers: review

• Revenue US$27m -25%

• TP US$1,1m -77%

• Volumes down 12%

• Business turnaround from loss position in H1

• Strong cash generation: US$5,2m

• Order book full for Q1 ’10

• Successful export market developed in Europe and Asia

• Capex spend of US$1,4m and forecast capex of $2,7m in

’10, largely for installation of Bellville spinning plant

• Completion in Q4

• Output expected to increase by 30%

Page 44: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Positioning, drivers of growth and outlook

’09 revenue split ’09 mining sector sales

Page 45: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Positioning, growth drivers and outlook

• Mining volumes appear to have bottomed

• Manufacturing volumes fragile at current R/US$ rates but

also appear to have bottomed

• Property unlikely to recover significantly in next 12 months

• Cost base of all businesses now in line with current levels of

throughput

• Market share and margins have been (at least) maintained

• Businesses well positioned to take advantage of market

growth

• Ramp-up of new plants will have positive impact on margins

and revenue

Page 46: FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ...•Sulphonation plant complete, final stage of exiting Wynberg site underway •Focus is now on commercialisation and optimisation of completed

AECI Calendar

• 24 May: AGM

• 30 June: financial half-year end

• 28 July: ’10 interim results released

presentation, Johannesburg

• 29 July: presentation, Cape Town

• September: presentation and site visit

AEL Mining Services