Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International...

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ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: [email protected] Department of Economics Delhi School of Economics Working Paper No. 295 http://www.cdedse.org/pdf/work295.pdf CENTRE FOR DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DELHI SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS DELHI 110007

Transcript of Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International...

Page 1: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

ISSN No. 2454 - 1427

CDE December 2018

FDI and International Collusion

Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: [email protected]

Department of Economics Delhi School of Economics

Working Paper No. 295 http://www.cdedse.org/pdf/work295.pdf

CENTRE FOR DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DELHI SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS

DELHI 110007

Page 2: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School
Page 3: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

spheres of influence

Page 4: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School
Page 5: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School
Page 6: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

c

t

c* c+t t

t

j

Page 7: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

Pm c

t

c+t < Pm c

Page 8: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

P = c*

c*

j =

Page 9: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

t =

nj

j ( j=A, B) . The firms are identical and have the same marginal

costs c.

Page 10: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

is an increasing function of number of firms . Also for any given ,

is a decreasing function with respect to the trade cost t which starts from

at and falls to at .

nj

t =

t =

c

Page 11: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

max

F

j

nj

Page 12: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

F,

Page 13: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

c* = c + t

c*

F

p = c* + t

Page 14: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

t c*

t .

t

j

Page 15: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

Under certain parametric configuration, starting from one home firm in each

country, the cross-hauling of FDI by increasing the market participants from one to two in

each market can facilitate the collusion with SOI.

Page 16: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School
Page 17: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School
Page 18: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School
Page 19: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

With identical market size and symmetric number of home firms in each

country, an endogenous occurrence of FDI in anticipation of international collusion either by

all firms (with small F) or by a subset of firms (with relatively large F) would raise the critical

discount factor making the collusion with SOI under FDI more difficult to sustain. Therefore,

FDI will not occur under the international collusion.

Page 20: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

.

.

With asymmetric number of home firms , collusion becomes easier

to sustain for smaller trade costs when all firms undertake FDI in the foreign country. The

opposite happens when the trade costs are larger and as a result FDI will not take place. Thus,

whenever FDI occurs, it must be pro-collusive.

Page 21: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

c*

.

,

Page 22: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

As the size of the two markets becomes more unequal, then without FDI the

critical discount factor goes up and this reduces the scope for collusion. However, FDI by all

firms facilitates collusion for lower values of trade cost and hence FDI would occur in collusive

equilibrium.

Page 23: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School
Page 24: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

International Journal of Industrial Organization,

Review of International Economics

, Journal of International Economics

Economics

Letters,

Rand

Journal of Economics,

International Journal of Industrial Organization

Page 25: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

Indian Economic Review,

RAND Journal

of Economics

Journal of International

Economics

Journal

of International Economics,

International Journal of

Industrial Organization,

International Economic Review,

Economics Letters,

Review of International Economics,

Review of International Economics,

Review of World Economics

Journal of International Economics

International

Journal of Industrial Organization

Journal of Law and Economics

Review of

International Economics,

Journal of International Economics,

International Review of

Economics and Finance,

Page 26: Final Revised FDI and Collusion · ISSN No. 2454 - 1427 CDE December 2018 FDI and International Collusion Uday Bhanu Sinha Email: uday@econdse.org Department of Economics Delhi School

Journal of

International Economics,

Economic Journal

Canadian Journal of Economics

European

Economic Review,