FELICIEN - AfDB ICT Situational Analysis in Rwanda

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    UNECA

    Overview of Rwandas ICT Context

    Dr. Flicien Usengumukiza

    Senior Research Fellow

    Institute of Policy Analysis and Research (IPAR-

    Rwanda)

    [email protected]

    Kigali, July 28th, 2009

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Contents

    Introduction

    The role of ICT in Economic development

    Situational Analysis of ICT sector in Rwanda

    The place of ICT in implementation of Vision 2020 program

    SWOT Analysis of ICT sector in Rwanda

    Summary and Recommendations

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    Rwandas Economic Development is based on clear and defined

    program

    EDPRS, 2012

    MDGs, 2015

    VISION 2020

    G

    oodGovernanc

    eanda

    CapableSta

    te

    HRDandKnow

    ledge

    basedEcono

    my

    APrivatesector-led

    Economy

    Infrastructu

    re

    Development

    P

    roductiveandM

    arket

    orientedAgricu

    lture

    Reg

    ionalandInternational

    E

    conomicIntegr

    ation

    ICT is a cross-cutting area of

    Vision 2020

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    ICT is an engine of economic performance for countries

    Reduction of transaction costs

    Increase productivity

    New trade opportunities

    Access to knowledge

    Increase competition

    Better communication

    The ICT-induced changes are transforming

    the rules of competition and giving rise to

    new types of competitive strategies:

    innovation-driven competition, time-based

    competition; mass customization; lean

    manufacturing, and demand-driven, built-to-

    order products (Fine, 1998).

    ICT can also facilitate the rapid growth

    for foreign direct investment (FDI)

    allowing global business management

    along the whole supply-chain through

    effective information and

    communication networks.

    A reduction of transaction costs and

    times can help developing countries to

    take advantage of the opportunities

    resulting from trade liberalization.

    ICT has drastically cut long-standing

    obstacles to communication: time

    and distance. New communication

    technologies allow companies to

    source inputs independent of

    location.

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    ICT Competitiveness refers to a countrys capacity to exploit

    Information and communication technology in order to

    effectively participate in the global information economy.

    5

    ICT Competitiveness

    ICT Infrastructure ICT Environment

    ICT LawsHuman Resources

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    Telecom FDI,

    20

    Other FDI,

    38

    35% of total

    FDI in SSA was

    from telecom

    Telecom FDI versus Total FDI in SSA (2000-2004)

    and investments in SSA are mostly concentrated on ICT

    Source: World Bank WDI (2007)

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    All over the world, the Mobile Phone witnesses a spectacular

    penetration rate in one decade

    Global ICT Development, 1998-2008

    Source: International Telecommunication Union, 2008

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    1998

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    Per

    100

    inhabitants

    Fixed telephone lines

    Mobile cellular telephone subscriptions

    Internet users

    Fixed broadband subscriptionsMobile broaband subscriptions

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    As in many other countries, Rwanda recorded a spectacular

    increase rate of Mobile phone in one decade

    0

    200000

    400000

    600000

    800000

    1000000

    1200000

    1400000

    1600000

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Mobile subscribers

    Fixed phone subscribers

    Internet subscribersRural phones

    ICT Penetration in Rwanda (2000-2009)

    Source: RURA, 2009

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    0.34

    5.43

    0.73

    0.65

    42.11

    8.71

    0.17

    15.5

    3

    0.3

    31.37

    1.25

    0.53

    26.82

    7.84

    3.38

    38.54

    6.93

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Burundi Kenya Rwanda Tanzania Uganda Africa

    Internet use rs per 100 inha b.

    Mobil e s ubscribers per 100 inhab.

    Fixed phone per 100 inhab.

    ICT Penetration in the EAC Countries, 2008

    In comparison with its counterparties of the EAC, Rwanda is not

    yet attractive in terms of ICT penetration

    Source: ITU, ICT indicators, 2009

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    Fixed phone penetration is growing slowly even in many cases

    decreasing. Rwanda remains on the bottom of the list of EAC

    Countries

    10

    Rwanda

    Africa

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    4

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Fixed phones penetration in EAC Countries, 2000-2008

    Burundi

    Kenya

    Rwanda

    Tanzania

    Uganda

    Africa

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    . and Mobile phone penetration is growing rapidly in all

    countries and Kenya is above the African average.

    11

    Mobile phone penetration in EAC Countries, 2000-2008

    Kenya

    Rwanda

    Tanzania

    Burundi

    Uganda

    Africa

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

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    Internet is also growing significantly particularly in Uganda.

    12

    Burundi

    Kenya

    Rwanda

    Tanzania

    Uganda

    Africa

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Internet penetration rate in EAC Countries, 2000-20008

    Source: ITU, 2008

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    Mobile phone and internet penetration rate reached more than

    1000% in EAC countries in one decade

    13

    % of Mobile phones penetration in 2000-2008 % of Internet penetration in 2000-2008

    2172

    10026

    2695

    9803

    5157

    2025

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    Burundi Kenya Rwanda Tanzania Uganda Africa

    912

    2639

    5000

    1041

    4900

    1260

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    Burundi Kenya Rwanda Tanzania Uganda Africa

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    As ICT network infrastructure is currently concentrated in Kigali

    City, ICT penetration rate is also higher in Kigali in comparison with

    Provinces

    14

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

    Kigali City

    Southern Prov.

    Western Prov.

    Northern Prov.

    Eastern Prov.

    Total Total HH with phones

    Fixed & Mobile PhonesMobile Phones

    Fixed Phones

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    Due to ICT market liberalization, the monopoly spirit is broken

    with participation of different companies to the market.

    Number of telecom network operators and their respective number of subscribers

    Source : RURA, December 2008

    Service Licensed Operators Number of Subscribers Market share (%)Fixed Telephony Rwandatel

    MTN Rwandacell

    Artel International*16,770

    82

    099.5%

    0.5%

    0%Mobile Telephony MTN Rwandacell

    Rwandatel 1,158,674163,963 87.6%12.4%Internet ServiceProvision

    RwandatelISPA

    MTN Rwandacell

    New Artel

    Altech Stream Rwanda

    Value Data Rwanda*

    Star Africa Media*

    Greenmax*Augere Rwanda*

    Comium*

    4,18767

    4,021

    151

    19

    0

    0

    00

    0

    49.5%0.79%

    47.6%

    1.78%

    0.22%

    0%

    0%

    0%0%

    0%Pay-TV GTV

    Star Africa Media

    Tele 10617

    5,105

    1,5438.49%

    70.26%

    21.23%

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    Basic service per minute local call 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 proj.

    Fixed line usage tarrifs 14 14 33 33 33 33

    Fixed line installation charges 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000

    Mobile contract usage tarrifs - MTN 104 114 114 114 81 81

    Mobile contract usage tarrifs - Rwandatel 50 50 70 70

    Mobile prepaid usage tariffs - MTN 133 147 147 147 100 100

    Mobile prepaid usage tariffs -Rwandatel 55 55 80 80Mobile phone handset cost 90,000 12,000 12,000

    Internet

    Fixed line internet usage tariffs - MTN 45,000 45,000

    Fixed line internet usage tariffs - Rwandatel 45,000 45,000

    Mobile phone internet usage tariffs - MTN 20,000 20,000

    Mobile phone internet usage tariffs -

    Rwandatel 35,000 35,000

    Broadband Internet

    Fixed line internet usage tariffs - MTN 190,000 190,000

    Fixed line internet usage tariffs - Rwandatel 200,000 200,000

    Mobile internet usage tariffs - MTN 20,000 20,000

    Mobile internet usage tariffs - Rwandatel 35,000 35,000

    RURA, 2009

    ICT Basic services and tariffs

    The more ICT Market enters into open competition, the more

    consumers are getting better services.

    The increase in

    mobile phone

    services has been

    accompanied bydecrease of costs of

    connections and

    handsets

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    ICT remains the most attractive area for Foreign Direct

    Investment

    17Source: RDB/RIEPA, 2007

    Rwandas Investment by sub-sector, 2006

    Energy, 22%

    Agribusiness, 5%

    Education, 4%Agroprocessing, 2%

    Petrolium, 9%

    Telecom., 23%Property, 5%Banking, 3%

    Service, 1%

    Hotel, 14%

    Food Processing, 5%

    Manufacturing, 2%

    Other, 1%

    Transport, 0.60%

    Tourism, 7%

    Mining, 4%

    Construction, 2%

    Health, 1%

    Finance, 0.40%

    ICT seems to

    be the most

    lucrative

    sector for

    investment

    hi d h i ifi i i i

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    To this end, ICT has a significant impact to Socio Economic

    Performance to the country. This trend has also a positive impact

    to the economic growth

    Socio Economic Indicators 2003 2004 2005 2006

    1. Total Investment 3,723,085,000 2,306,143,000 5,665,153,000 5,026,461,000

    2. Investment revenue 15,663,469,000 20,056,201,000 18,812,518,000 33,144,313,0003. Taxes 3,735,804,213 6,512,211,986 6,607,008,574 9,121,399,468

    4. Direct job creation 128 131 145 152

    5. Indirect job creation 1,450 2,600 3,560 5,820

    6. Universal Access Fund 171,774,695 166,202,866 295,344,085

    Source: Nsengiyumva Albert et al., Pro-Poor ICT Project Report Rwanda: A Community-driven Network , July, 2007

    1.6%

    2.7%

    3.4%

    4.1%4.3%

    4.8%

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    Ethiopia Rwanda Uganda Tanzania Sudan Kenya

    ICT Sector Contribution to GDP, 2005

    Source: TMG, Inc., 2008

    ICT Expenditure, 2005-2012

    Source: MINECOFIN, 2009

    0.39% 0.32% 0.64%

    1.95%

    2.96%

    1.53% 1.53%

    0.00%

    0.50%

    1.00%

    1.50%

    2.00%

    2.50%

    3.00%

    3.50%

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

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    In the framework of Vision 2020, GoR is committed to use ICT in most of its

    activities in order to facilitate the rapid socio-economic development

    1.Education

    2. Human Resource Development

    3. Infrastructure, Equipment and Content

    4. Economic Development

    5. Social Development

    6. E-Government and E-Governance

    7. Private Sector Development

    8. Rural and Community Access

    9. Legal, Regulatory and Institutional provisions and standards

    10 . National Security Law and order

    Agricultural

    Based

    Economy

    Knowledge

    BasedEconomy

    By 2020

    KigaliMetropolitan

    Network

    Kalisimbi

    Project

    E-GovernmentNational

    Data Center

    NICIIIINICI I NICI II NICI IV

    EASSY

    Project

    Rwanda

    NationalBackbone

    Project

    Regional

    Communication

    Infrastructure

    Project Kigali ICTPark

    h j hi h d i i d ill ib

    http://www.rwandagateway.org/article.php3?id_article=8459&lang=
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    The EASSY Project to which Rwanda is integrated will contribute

    significantly to Rwandas integration to the world economy.

    20

    The implementation ofthis project will allow

    Rwanda to become in

    ICT hub in the region

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    21

    11%

    65%

    24%

    Implemented

    Under implementation

    Have not started

    Source: RITA, Mid-term Evaluation of the NICI 2010 Implementation for RITA, December, 2008

    Although the NICI II is mostly on Infrastructure phase, GoR

    recorded a good number of achievements.

    NICI 2010 Implementation progress

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    Through NICI program, most of activities are now based on

    E-Sector

    E-Education

    - One Laptop per Child project: 100,000

    computers distributed to different primary

    schools

    - E-Schools in secondary school

    - Regional ICT Training and Research Center

    (RITC)

    - E-Learning

    - Distance Learning

    - Rwanda Education and Research Network

    - GIS, Rwanda Development Gateway

    E-Health:

    - An open-source Medical Records System that tracks

    patient-level data

    - TracPlus and TRACnet Monthly monitoring of

    infectious diseases including HIV/AIDS, TB, and

    Malaria

    - Telemedicine Information and communication

    technology (ICT) used to deliver health and healthcare

    services

    - Mobile e-Health- use of mobile technology in

    improving health delivery in Rwanda

    - Health Management Information Systems (HMIS)

    systems that integrate data collection processing,

    reporting, and use of the information for

    programmatic decision-making.

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    E-Government

    - Fiber optic Installation, connectivity of

    a good number of schools, hospitals andother public institutions

    - Public Access Channels (12 Tele

    centers- Desks are already operational)

    - Kigali ICT Center

    - Smart National Cards, ID, E-business

    E-Agriculture

    - Agricultural Management Information

    System (AMIS) is an exchange platform forall stakeholders of the agricultural and

    livestock sector

    - E-soko project seeks to empower farmers

    to enable them make more informed

    market pricing decisions and ultimately

    more successful farming

    Through NICI program, most of activities are now based on

    E- Sector (Contd)

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    Ministry in Charge of Science,

    Technology and Research

    RDB/RITA RURA

    Ministry of Infrastructure

    Institutional arrangement

    The development ofICT sector needscooperation of theseinstitutions.

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    Although the country witnesses a good number of challenges, the

    opportunities are also considerable and the future is promising

    25

    STRENGTH

    Strong political will in support of ICT

    Existing of National ICT Policy, NICI

    ICT sector budget is on par with OECD countries at

    1.6 percent, far above the African average

    Smallness of the countries would facilitate ICT

    Network infrastructure

    Strong Institutional organization (RDB/RITA, MINISTR,

    RURA, etc.

    ICT is the most attractive in terms of Investment

    E-Government and E-Governance

    THREAT

    Existing of strong competition in the region. Each EAC

    member is aiming to become in ICT hub in the region.

    Potential ICT crime and difficult to control it

    Loss of job due to ICT application

    OPPORTUNITIES

    Regional Communication Infrastructure Project (RCIP) Kalisimbi Project

    Kigali Metropolitan Network and Wibro Mobile Wimax

    Technology

    Rwanda National Backbone Project

    Rwanda is integrated to the EASSY Project

    National Data Center

    Regional interconnectivity (MTN Rwanda, MTN

    Uganda, Safaricom, Vodacom, Com Burundi

    WEAKNESSES Lack of necessary technical and professional level of

    human resources

    Insufficient of electricity which is a prerequisite to the

    ICT accessibility

    Inadequate financial resources

    High cost of communication in comparison with

    neighboring countries

    Lack of awareness about ICT and the benefits of e-

    government in both urban and rural areas

    Weak private sector

    Existing of high rate of illiteracy

    ICT SWOT Analysis

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    The implementation of the program requests a particular attention

    of certain measures.

    Capacity building andtraining: ICT Skills, Trainingand Awareness

    Basic infrastructure needs a

    rapid improvement as a

    prerequisite to ICT

    development

    Development of Network

    infrastructure technologies

    especially in rural area

    Investment in terms of

    softwares production and

    their commercialisation

    More Cooperation withstakeholders including Public-

    private Partnerships in ICT

    development

    Retention policy for

    trained staff with high

    skills in ICT

    Dissemination of information

    and research related to ICT in

    order to share experiences

    and to avoid duplication and

    waste of time.

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    It is expensive to built a road, but not to built it is

    more expensive

    Italian Proverb

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    Thank you for your Attention