February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1....

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February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks

Transcript of February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1....

Page 1: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

February 25, 2015Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks

Page 2: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

February 25, 2015Agenda

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1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken

2. Tonight’s Agenda (John Milliken)

3. Presentations and Q&A: Terry Clower, Deputy Director, GMU Center for Regional Analysis Massoud Ahmadi, Senior Vice President, Strategic Impact

Advisors Alex Iams, Deputy Director (Acting), Arlington Economic

Development Victor Hoskins, Director, Arlington Economic Development

4. Table Discussion with Resident Forum

5. Closing Remarks (John Milliken)

Page 3: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

County Board and School Board Adopted Charge

Build a consensus framework regarding future revenue and facility needs that will inform County and School Board decision-making related to meeting the community's requirements for additional school, fire station, vehicle storage sites and other facility needs in the context of Arlington's and the region's projected 5, 10 and 20 year economic and demographic growth.

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Page 4: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Overall Schedule*

Jan2015

Feb March April May June

July August September October November

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*Schedule subject to refinement

Page 5: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Housekeeping Items

Study Committee: As a rule the Group will operate as a whole will split into sub-committees to discuss challenges: Financials/Economic Development Demographics/Projections Siting Principles

Resident Forum – A group intended to broaden the range of those participating and also intended to serve as the communications link to their own and neighborhoods. A number of formats, including tonight’s table discussion & Saturday workshops, are planned to engage meaningfully with this group.

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Page 6: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Follow the Process

• WiFi password for APS buildings:

• Knowledge

• Project website:http://bit.ly/ACGFacStudy

andwww.arlingtonva.us search “Community Facilities Study”

• Email us:[email protected]

• Check your SPAM folder: make [email protected] a safe-sender

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Page 7: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Meeting #2Tonight

Role of the Resident Forum • Two-way communication • Resource and sounding board

Plan for tonight – two parts • Presentations on economic issues• Questions on County economic model• Break Out table discussions

What happens after tonight? • Subcommittee on economic issues and challenges• Review of subcommittee report

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Page 8: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Meeting #1Recap from February 11, 2015

1. Where are the County revenue funds coming from?

2. Role of the commercial sector?

3. What the future may hold?

Note – responses to several revenue questions are provided in the handouts; Additional responses will be posted online soon.

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Page 9: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

General Fund Revenue By Source

Federal, 3%

Misc., 9%

State, 9%

Charges for

Services, 4%

License, Permits & Fees, 1%

Local Taxes,

74%

FY 1995: $418.3 million

Federal, 1%

Misc., 5%

State, 6%

Charges for Services, 5%

License, Permits & Fees, 1%

Local Taxes, 82%

FY 2015: $1.15 billion

Federal, 4%

Misc., 8%

State, 12%

Charges for Services,

5%

License, Permits & Fees, 1%

Local Taxes,

70%

FY 1985: $205.2 million

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Page 10: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Local Tax Revenue by Source (General Fund)

Real Estate: Commercial, 21%

Real Estate: Apartments, 13%

Meals Tax, 4%

Utility Tax, 1%Transient Occupancy

Tax, 2%

Local Sales Tax, 4%Communication Tax, 1%

Other, 2%

BPOL, 6%

Personal Property: Vehicles, 8%

Personal Property: Bus. Tangible, 4%

Real Estate: Condominium, 9%

Real Estate: Residential, 25%

FY 2015

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Page 11: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Real Estate Impact on Homeowner Regionally

55%54%

56%

54%51% 51% 51%

57% 56%57%

56%55% 55%

57%

75%

73%

76% 76%

74% 74%75%

72%

68%69%

70% 70% 70% 70%

79%

75%

78% 78% 78% 78% 78%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014

Residential assessments as a percentage of total tax base

Prince William

Loudoun County

City of Alexandria

Arlington County

Fairfax County

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Page 12: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Table DiscussionsQuestions for review & comment

Instructions• What future challenges do you see to Arlington’s basic economic model of reliance on the commercial sector (office, multi-family rental residential and retail) for 50 percent of its real estate taxes?

• If challenges exist, what steps or solutions should Arlington consider to address those challenges?

• What constraints or barriers exist to taking those steps or solutions?

• Discuss presentation material and questions at your table; Record responses

• Give your documentation to staff

• Staff will compile it and share it with the Financial/Economic Development Subcommittee

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Page 13: February 25, 2015 Study Committee Meeting – Opening Remarks · February 25, 2015. Agenda. 2. 1. Review of Charge, Schedule and Organizational Matters (John Milliken 2. Tonight’s

Upcoming Dates

ALL ARE INVITED & ENCOURAGED TO ATTEND THE FOLLOWING MEETINGS:

• March 11, 2015 – Location TBD• Demographics & Forecasting Forum

• March 25, 2015 – Location TBD• Forecasting Assessment

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