FDI in Retail2

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    FDI inRetail

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    INDIAN RETAIL

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    Modern Retail

    Supermarkets, ExclusiveShowrooms

    Sophisticated operations

    Shelves are accessible tocustomers

    Multiple brands under a single roof

    Discounts on MRP are common

    Big Bazaar, Croma etc

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    Urban Retail

    Neighborhood Kirana Shops

    90% products are Branded

    Extremely good Inventory turnover Low margins

    Average Size of shops is small

    Gives credit Home delivery

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    Rural retail

    Hand cart and pavement vendors

    Unbranded items are higher in number

    Two consumers may pay different pricesfor the same product on the same day

    Mandis and village Haats

    Small average size of establishment

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    Some Pics

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    Indian Retail

    Contributes 15% to GDP

    Estimated to be $450 Billion

    Employs 40 Million (8% of employed Indians)

    Over 14 million outlets operate in the country

    Only 4% of the outlets are more than 500Sqft

    Food consists of 70% of the retail sales

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    Indian retail chains

    Bata, Nike

    Titan

    Zara Catmoss

    Food Bazaar

    Reliance Fresh

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    What is FDI?

    FDI is a measure of the ownership ofproductive assets, such as factories,

    mines and land and water

    To acquire a lasting managementinterest (10 percent or more of votingstock) in an enterprise

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    FDI Types

    By incorporating a wholly ownedsubsidiary or company

    By acquiring shares in an associatedenterprise through a merger

    An acquisition of an unrelated enterprise

    Participating in an equity joint venturewith another investor or enterprise

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    Current FDI Limits

    Sector FDI Limit

    Hotel & Tourism 100%

    Pharmaceuticals 100%

    Power 100%

    Roads & Ports 100%

    Single Brand Retail 100%

    Telecom 74%

    Wholesale Cash and Carry Stores 100%

    Insurance 26%

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    Current Operations (Foreign)

    Already present in single brand retail

    Franchisee Retailers (ZARA,Mango)

    Sourcing is local Adidas, Nike etc manufacture too

    Pepsi was forced to invest in India in

    factories for potato products Cash and Carry Wholesale (Metro)

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    Views of Affected

    Parties

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    Why is the Govt interested?

    WTO agreement

    Most retailers interested in food

    Procurement on large scale Upgradation in agriculture

    Investment in food processing and cold

    storage

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    Continued

    Farmers will get more from same piece ofland

    Consumers will benefit SMEs will be able to access foreign

    markets

    No chain has monopoly in the world

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    Cold storage Infrastructure

    Cold Storage facilities very poor

    5386 stand-alone cold storages, having atotal capacity of 23.6 million

    80 % capacity used for potatoes Rest 20% capacity < 1% of the annual farm

    output of India

    100% FDI allowed in Cold Storage

    Not much interest in establishing coldstorage facility

    20-40% wastage in case of perishables

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    Some numbers

    Increased taxes from organized retail through VAT(from 30,000 Crore to 250,000 Crore)

    Low inflation will ensure low interest rates

    Long term growth of over 9% can be achieved

    % of unorganizedTraders *

    60% 30% 10%

    VAT paid on goods * NIL 1% 4-12.5%

    * PWC Report

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    Small retailers

    Concerned about losing their livelihood

    Razor thin margins

    Advantage of low inventory turnover(bestin world) and credit to customers

    If someone undercuts them then they will

    have to shut shop Credit Card is a competitor

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    Continued

    Compare Wal-Mart to East IndiaCompany

    Kirana stores have closed down in largecities with advent of large chains (365)

    Worried about planned householdpurchases

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    Farmers

    Small Indian farmers realize only 1/3rd ofthe total price paid by the final Indian

    consumer (Fruits and vegetables) Internationally farmers receive 2/3 times

    At mercy of middlemen

    in 2010 tomatoes sold at 50 Rs werebought at 5 Rs from farmers

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    Continued

    Govt provides MSP

    Mandis ensure better prices in case of

    Grains, pulses and oilseeds Low-productivity

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    Middlemen

    Excellent Procuremnt skills

    Modern indian retailers have not been

    able to match them Farmers have not been able to break the

    nexus of middlemen

    All business happens early morning (4a.m.)

    All is cash

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    Who is worried?

    Modern retail: They are ok as they cansell their existing brands

    Rural retail: No Wal-Mart will go tovillages

    Urban Retail: Worried

    Middlemen:W

    orried as betterprocurement capacity will run them down

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    Some Interesting

    Facts

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    Country OrganizedRetail %*

    UnorganizedRetail% *

    India 3 97

    China 20 80

    South Korea 15 85

    Indonesia 25 75

    Philippines 35 65

    Thailand 40 60

    Malaysia 50 50

    *Source: CRISIL

    Retail Trade in S E Asia

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    Share of retailing in employment

    across different countries

    Country Employment in %

    India 8% (4 Crore)

    USA 11% (1.5 Crore)Poland 12%

    Brazil 15%

    China 7%

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    Facts

    Even a small shop costs over a crore

    Falling prices will help Aam Admi so why theparties favor the Crorepati Bania against the

    aam admi?

    50 Million retailers launched a bandh againstFDI which is larger than the entire organizedsector (30 Mil)

    Strong trader lobby, fund elections

    Previously RPM was in place in US and UK

    Abolished in 1964

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    Pros and cons of FDI in retail

    Wal-Mart has highest number of law suitsagainst it by employees

    Retail requires low skilled people soemployment will be similar

    Unemployment of Kiranas

    W

    al-Mart Big Box model needs acres ofparking

    US pays the highest subsidy inagricultural products

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    Kirana Vs Online retail

    In thanksgiving season 39% bought goods fromonline shopping Vs 44% from Hypermarkets

    4000 megastores closed in Britain alone in lastyear

    Small Bookshops Vs Borders and Barnes &Nobles Vs Amazon

    Educated children does not want to stay inKirana

    GST will not allow Kiranas to evade tax

    Expensive labor will make cheap home deliverydifficult

    Credit Card usage expanding

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    Summary

    FDI in retail helps farmers

    Good for government

    Good for consumers Worrisome for Kiranas and Middlemen

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    Thank You!