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    FDI In Retail In IndiaBy

    Mr. Sandip Kadam

    RIMSR2010-12

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    What is Retail?

    In 2004, The High Court of Delhi defined the term

    retail

    sale for final consumption in contrast to a sale for

    further sale or processing (i.e. wholesale).A sale to

    the ultimate consumer

    Retailing is the last link that connects the individual

    consumer with

    th

    e manufacturing and distributionchain

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    WHAT IS FDI?

    Movement of capital

    across national frontiers in

    a manner that grants the

    investor controlover theacquired asset.

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    Retail Sector poised for phenomenal growth

    Source: India Shopping Trends, 2011- Technopak

    ORGANISED RETAIL EXPECTED TO GROW 35-40% CAGR

    The Indian Retail

    Sector, currently the

    Fifth largest in theworld, is poised for

    phenomenal growth

    in the coming years

    Size & Positioninthecurrent Scenario

    Current Size & Future growth of OrganizedRetailin India

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    The IndianRetail Landscape

    Organized retail has grown from USD 2 Bn in 2002 to USD 37 Bntoday in a total ofUSD350 Bn

    Impact on the consumer; low price and assured quality through supply chain efficiency

    Impact on producers, farmers; direct sourcing from SMEs and farmers; providing

    critical connect to market place

    Investments in the range of USD 30+ Billion expected by 2011 in Retail and Supply

    Chain

    Scale: Size of organized retail likely to touch USD 70 billion by 2011

    Employment: Over 850K direct jobs to be created in Retail in the next 5 years.

    Source: India retail report 2009 by Images Retail, CII BCG report on Indias demographic dilemma Dec08

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    FDI Policywith RegardtoRetailing in

    India (Past)

    FDI up to 100% for cash and carry wholesaletrading and export trading allowed under theautomatic route.

    FDI up to 51 % with prior Governmentapproval (i.e. FIPB) for retail trade of SingleBrand products, subject to Press Note 3 (2006Series).

    FDI not permitted in Multi Brand Retailing inIndia.

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    Entry Options For Foreign Players Prior

    To FDI In Retail

    Franchise Agreements

    Cash Carry wholesale Trading

    Strategic Licensing Agreements

    Manufacturing & wholly owned subsidiaries

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    FDI in Retail Sector FDI in single-brand retailing was permitted in

    2006, up to 51 per cent of ownership.

    57 proposals out of 94 were approved.

    FDI inflow of US$196.46 million under the

    category of single brand retailing was received.

    Retail stocks rose by as much as 5%.

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    Whatdoes 51% FDI inmulti-brand

    retailmean?

    Minimum investment of $100 million.

    50% of the investment is to be in backend infrastructuredevelopment.

    30% of all raw material has be procured from India's small

    and medium industries. Permission to set up malls only in cities with a minimum

    population of 10 lakh.

    Government has the first right to procure material from thefarmers.

    Products should be sold under the same brandinternationally.

    Foreign investor should be the owner of the brand.

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    What does 100% FDI in Single Brand

    Retailing means? Products to be sold should be of a single brand only.

    Products should be sold under the same brandinternationally (i.e. products should be sold under thesame brand in one or more countries other than India).

    Single brand product-retail trading would cover onlyproducts which are branded during manufacturing.

    The foreign investor should be the owner of the brand.

    In respect of proposals involving FDI beyond 51

    percent, mandatory sourcing of at least 30 percent ofthe value of products sold would have to be done fromIndian small industries/village and cottage industries,artisans and craftsmen.

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    Clause On 30% Sourcing From Indian

    SMEs

    luxury goods retailers will not be able tosource from India because they have tomaintain global standards for their brands

    Mandatory sourcing will be in violation ofprovisions of GATT, the bilateral investmentprotection agreement (BIPA) India has signedwith 71 countries as well as theWorld TradeOrganization's Trade Related InvestmentMeasures (TRIMS)

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    Benefits To The Aam Adami Development of markets will lead to better choices

    Reduced prices

    More EmploymentOpportunities

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    Benefits to the government

    Greater Per

    Capita Income

    Greater Consumer

    Spending due to

    economic boom

    Increasing

    Tax Paying

    Population

    Greater

    Sourcing

    From India

    Reduced Tax

    Evasion

    GDP Growth

    Increased Tax

    Revenues

    Greater

    Exports

    Employ

    mentBenefits

    to Govt.

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    Present Condition Of Farmers

    Farmers get only 10 to 15% of the price we

    pay.

    3-4 middlemen in between farmers andcustomers.

    Huge post produce losses for farmers due to

    inadequate facilities.

    A poorly managed food supply infrastructure.

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    Improvements by FDI in Retail Supply

    Chain

    FDI in retail will boost investment in infrastructurefrom the retail players, 3rd party supply chaincompanies as well as the Government

    FDI in retail will make way for inflow of knowledgefrom international experts which can give boost to theoverall growth of the industry

    It will reduce pre-harvest wastage/losses and thus helpcontrol food inflation

    It will remove the middleman from the equation. It willreduce costs which in turn will reduce prices

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    Key Issues

    Modern retail would displace a large number ofjobs

    Global retail chains would adopt predatory

    pricing tactics to wipe out domestic competition(small retailers)

    Once global retail chains are established, theywould be in a position to dictate prices for both

    buying wholesale, and selling retail products Retailing itself cannot boost GDP. The growth in

    manufacturing sector needs to be increased

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    Penetration of top 20 International

    Retailers

    Norway 99%

    Sweden 94%

    Switzerland 88%

    France 81%

    UK 64%

    Portugal 57%

    If foreignretailerscouldcapture 20 % ofindian RetailMarket,something about 8 Million jobswill belost. Their

    levelofefficiencymeantheyneedlessandlessof people

    foreach 1000 croresof Turnover - Business Line April

    2005

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    FDI in Retail Inflation

    ??Inflation = fn (...) of

    Crude Price

    Excess Liquidity (Stimulus Package)

    No unload (hoarding by Govt. )

    Fragmented and lengthy value chain

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    Wal-Mart in US

    Every farmer has access to Computer

    High levels of Commodity Trading

    Condition of US farmers should be much

    prosperous.Isnt it.. ??????

    US -- Direct Support to Farmers

    Why is US year after year giving indirect subsidies

    to farmers ? Acc to a UNCTAD Report if the green box subsidy

    is removed, the US Agriculture will collapse !!

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    Supply Chain Improvement: Penny

    Wise, Pound foolish

    We are talking about reducing the Intermediariesin the System

    Whowill betheintermediariesinnewsystem..

    ??

    Big Corporates

    Brand Ambassador

    Large Power CNBC ReportsaysRetailwantstoincrease

    advertisementexpense

    closeto 1BN $,oncethenewnormsareapproved

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    Results

    High Real Estate Prices

    Land Acquisition : Displacement of people

    Cannot provide employment to semi-literatepeople

    Form majority of population

    Push

    ing families below th

    e poverty line The main purpose defeated if focus is on front

    line instead of back end

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    Conclusion

    We should accept the FDI in retail, Because

    1. Its wholesome package handled by the best

    economic brains in the country

    2. Society will take care of itself if malls areharmful they can not do business here they

    will be thrown out.

    3. We should not miss the bus like we have missed

    the bus of industrial revolution due to infightingof small kingdoms , zamindhars and Nawabs all

    over the India

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    Th

    ank you!!!