Faith in European Project Reviving
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Transcript of Faith in European Project Reviving
June 2, 2015 2 www.pewresearch.org
Methodology
• Surveys conducted across six EU countries from April 7, 2015 to May
13, 2015 totaling 6,028 respondents
• Based on nationally representative telephone interviews in France,
Germany, Spain & the United Kingdom and face-to-face interviews in
Italy & Poland conducted under the direction of Princeton Survey
Research Associates International
• The margin of sampling error for the complete set of weighted data is
±3.4% - ±4.1%
17
12
21
28
60
52 53
61
41
32
40
46
0
70
2012 2013 2014 2015
Favorable views of EU
Economy is good
%
Economy has been
strengthened by
economic integration
June 2, 2015 3 www.pewresearch.org
View of EU Tied to Sentiment about the Economy
Note: Median for 6 European Union countries.
June 2, 2015 4 www.pewresearch.org
Strong Support for Eurosceptic Parties Across EU
54%
34
10
Good thing
Bad thing
Don't know/Refused
*Asked about UK Independence Party in UK, National Front in France, Alternative for Germany in Germany, Five Star Movement in Italy, Podemos in Spain
and Congress of the New Right in Poland.
Note: Median for 6 European Union countries.
Do you think that the rise of non-traditional political parties such as (country specific party) is
a good thing because these parties raise important issues that are ignored by the traditional
parties OR a bad thing because these parties are too extreme?
June 2, 2015 6 www.pewresearch.org
Economic Mood Recovering, Still Not Back to Pre-Crisis Levels Current economic situation is very/somewhat good
2007 2013 2014 2015 07-15
Change 14-15
Change % % % %
Germany 63 75 85 75 +12 -10
France 30 9 12 14 -16 +2
Poland 36 27 29 38 +2 +9
Italy 25 3 3 12 -13 +9
UK 69 15 43 52 -17 +9
Spain 65 4 8 18 -47 +10
MEDIAN 50 12 21 28
June 2, 2015 7 www.pewresearch.org
No One Expects the Economy to Improve Over the Next Year
42%
30
20
18
15
12
38%
46
54
62
36
44
20%
23
25
16
38
42
France
Italy
Germany
Poland
UK
Spain
Worsen Remain the same Improve
Over the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation to …
June 2, 2015 8 www.pewresearch.org
Everyone Expects the Next Generation to be Worse Off
Children will be __ financially than their parents
85%
68
66
61
58
53
14%
25
15
31
34
34
France
UK
Italy
Spain
Germany
Poland
Better off Worse off
Note: Data for volunteer response “same” not shown.
June 2, 2015 10 www.pewresearch.org
Sentiment toward the EU Rebounding in Italy and Spain
2012 2013 2014 2015
14-15
Change
% % % %
Italy 59 58 46 64 +18
Spain 60 46 50 63 +13
France 60 41 54 55 +1
Poland 69 68 72 72 0
UK 45 43 52 51 -1
Germany 68 60 66 58 -8
MEDIAN 60 52 53 61
Very/somewhat favorable views of EU
June 2, 2015 11 www.pewresearch.org
2012 2013 2014 2015
14-15
Change
% % % %
Italy 22 11 9 11 +2
Spain 46 37 38 43 +5
France 36 22 26 31 +5
Poland 48 41 53 53 0
UK 30 26 41 49 +8
Germany 59 54 63 59 -4
MEDIAN 41 32 40 46
As Are Some Views of European Economic Integration
Economic integration strengthened economy
June 2, 2015 12 www.pewresearch.org
Fall
2009 2013 2014 2015
14-15
Change % % % %
Italy 29 15 14 12 -2
France 52 30 27 48 +21
Spain 59 34 37 30 -7
Poland 66 49 56 62 +6
Germany 61 59 67 61 -6
UK 43 30 44 59 +15
MEDIAN 56 32 41 54
Young French & British: Faith in European Project Picking Up
18-29 year olds saying economic integration strengthened economy
June 2, 2015 13 www.pewresearch.org
Majorities Who Use the Euro Want to Keep It
Our country should …
26%
28
25
37
72%
72
71
56
Germany
France
Spain
Italy
Keep euro Return to currency*
*Asked about mark in Germany, franc in France, peseta in Spain and lira in Italy.
June 2, 2015 14 www.pewresearch.org
British Increasingly Want to Remain Part of the EU
If a vote were held today on membership in the EU, would vote to …
46 50
55
46 41
36
0
70
2013 2014 2015
Remain in EU
Leave EU
%
June 2, 2015 16 www.pewresearch.org
Europeans Have a Favorable Opinion of Jews, Muslims, But
Mixed Views of Roma Views of …
78%
61
47
13%
33
43
Jews
Muslims
Roma*
Favorable Unfavorable
*In UK, asked as “Gypsies or Roma.”
Note: Median of 6 European Union countries.
June 2, 2015 17 www.pewresearch.org
Anti-Roma, Anti-Muslim Sentiments Common in Several Nations
Roma* Muslims Jews
% % %
Italy 86 61 21
France 60 24 7
Poland 48 56 28
UK 37 19 7
Spain 35 42 17
Germany 34 24 9
MEDIAN 43 33 13
Very/somewhat unfavorable opinion of …
*In UK, asked as “Gypsies or Roma.”
70%
66
58
50
36
36
25%
24
28
41
39
63
Spain
UK
Italy
Germany
Poland
France
Good thing Bad thing
Podemos
UK Independence Party
Five Star Movement
Alternative for Germany
New Right
National Front
June 2, 2015 19 www.pewresearch.org
Most View Eurosceptic Parties as Good Thing for the Country
The rise of nation-specific non-traditional political parties is a …
June 2, 2015 20 www.pewresearch.org
Men More Likely than Women to View Non-Traditional
Parties as Good in Most Countries
Spain Podemos
UK UK Independence
Party Italy
Five Star
Germany Alternative for
Germany France
National Front Poland New Right
% % % % % %
TOTAL 70 66 58 50 36 36
Men 74 71 59 59 43 43
Women 66 62 58 42 31 31
18-29 71 52 65 51 38 52
30-49 73 68 65 57 40 40
50+ 68 72 51 46 33 27
Left 82 56 73 45 20 50
Moderate 75 71 63 51 33 37
Right 56 74 53 56 49 43
Podemos
Spanish
Socialist
Workers’ Party
(PSOE) Ciudadanos
People’s
Party
(PP)
% % % %
Current economic situation is bad 95 87 82 55
Children will be worse off financially than their parents 69 58 64 47
Economy will improve over next 12 months 34 39 54 57
Keep the euro 57 73 77 73
Favorable view of the EU 42 68 70 76
Economic integration strengthened economy of Europe 30 43 55 55
June 2, 2015 21 www.pewresearch.org
Spain: Podemos Backers Particularly Grim
Among those who feel closest to ___, those who say …