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Water from the mountains, The Fourth Paradigm, and the color of snow
(photo T. H. Painter)
2
Most runoff & recharge come from snowmelt
Sierra Nevada: 67%
Colorado: 63%
Utah: 60%
Arizona/New Mexico:
39%
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Month
Avera
ge M
on
thly
Flo
w (
100
0A
F)
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Avera
ge M
on
thly
SW
E(i
n)
SWEFlow
Snow contributions to annual precipitation
(Serreze, WRR, 1999)
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Snow-pillow data for Leavitt Lake, 2929 m, Walker R drainage, near Tuolumne &
Stanislaus basins
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Measurement of snow water equivalent with snow pillow
𝑆𝑊𝐸=𝜌 𝑠𝑛𝑜𝑤× h𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑡 (kgm−2 )
or
𝑆𝑊𝐸=𝜌 𝑠𝑛𝑜𝑤× h𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑡
𝜌𝑤𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑟
(mm )
(Calif DWR)
5
[Bales et al., WRR, 2006]
6February March April May0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Apri
l-Ju
ly f
ore
cast
, km
3
historical max
upper bound
historical min
historical avg
Forecast
lower bound
actual
April-July 2011 forecast, Tuolumne River
*
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Snow sensors don’t cover the highest elevations
8(K. Rittger)
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Snow redistribution
(D. Marks)
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Differential ablation
(E. H. Bair)
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Sierra Nevada, trends in 220 long-term snow courses (> 50 years, continuing to present)
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SWE 2007, 3 methods
(K. Rittger)
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SWE 2011, 3 methods
(K. Rittger)
Reconstruction of heterogeneous snow in a grid cell
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Daily potential melt
z
fSCA
xy
Reconstructed SWE
(A. KahlHoman et al., Hyd Proc 2011)
Fractional snow-covered area, Sierra Nevada (MODIS images available daily)
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Snow is one of nature’s most colorful materials (e.g., Landsat snow & cloud)
Bands 3 2 1 (red, green, blue) Bands 5 4 2 (swir, nir, green)
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Spectra with 7 MODIS “land” bands (500m resolution, global daily coverage)
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Pure endmembers, 01 Apr 2005
100% Snow
100% Vegetation
100% Rock/Soil
MODIS image
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Validation of fSCA w Landsat ETM+
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Example of satellite data management issue: blurring caused by off-nadir view
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Net shortwave radiation:Tuolumne-Merced River basins
March 1, 2006 12:00
Painter et al., 2009;Dozier et al., 2008
Link and Marks, 1999; Garren and Marks, 2005
Dozier and Frew, 1990Erbs et al., 1982;Olyphant et al., 1984
Dubayah and Loechel., 1997
Cosgrove et al., 2003;Pinker et al., 2003;Mitchell et al., 2004
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http://fourthparadigm.org
1. Thousand years ago —experimental science
Description of natural phenomena
2. Last few hundred years —theoretical science
Newton’s Laws, Maxwell’s Equations . . .
3. Last few decades — computational science
Simulation of complex phenomena
4. Today — data-intensive science
Model/data integrationData miningHigher-order products,
sharing
Data Acquisitio
n & Modeling
Analysis & Data
Mining
Colla
bora
tion
&
V
isu
aliz
atio
nDis
sem
inate
&
Sh
are Archiving
& Preservatio
n
Jim Gray, 1944-2007
(J. Frew, T. Hey)
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Information about water is more useful as we climb the value ladder
Monitoring
Collation
Quality assurance
Aggregation
Analysis
Reporting
Forecasting
Distribution
Done poorly,but a few notablecounter-examples
Done poorly to moderately,not easy to find
Sometimes done well,generally discoverable and available,
but could be improved
>>> Incr
easing v
alue >
>>Integration
Data >
>> Info
rmatio
n >>> In
sight
(I. Zaslavsky & CSIRO, BOM, WMO)
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Example from medical literature
Immunology Literature
Cardiac DiseaseLiterature
Shared Function
(Phil Bourne)
Co-author path Tague
Co-author graph
Citation graph
Co-author path Kolstad
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Alternative forms of scholarship
(Phil Bourne)
The Right Thing To Do Reward
DisseminationSupportAccessible dataReviewsProvenanceOpen accessMetadata/curationTools
PapersGrants
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Stuff to do
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SWE model comparison, 2006April 1May 1June 1July 1
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Modeled vs observed SWE, April 1, 2006
(K. Rittger)
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Net longwave radiation:Tuolumne-Merced River basins
March 1, 2006 12:00
Dozier and Frew, 1990
Link and Marks, 1999; Garren and Marks, 2005
Dubayah and Loechel, 1997
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fSCA corrected for vegetation (not validated)
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Hindu Kush
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Better graphics!
1
60
130
190
250
450
SWE, cm
04/10/05
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Finis“the author of all books”
– James Joyce, Finnegan’s Wake
http://www.slideshare.net/JeffDozier
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Backup slides
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Orographic effect varies (Tuolumne-Merced River basins example)
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PRISM
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[D. Marks]
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Alternative forms of scholarship
Research[Grants]
JournalArticle
ConferencePaper
PosterSession
Reviews
BlogsData
Curation
(Phil Bourne)
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SWE 2005, 3 methods