Factorial ANOVA

39
Factorial ANOVA 2 or More IVs

description

Factorial ANOVA. 2 or More IVs. Questions (1). What are main effects in ANOVA? What are interactions in ANOVA? How do you know you have an interaction? What does it mean for a design to be completely crossed? Balanced? Orthogonal? Describe each term in a linear model like this one:. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Factorial ANOVA

Page 1: Factorial ANOVA

Factorial ANOVA

2 or More IVs

Page 2: Factorial ANOVA

Questions (1) What are main effects in ANOVA? What are interactions in ANOVA? How do

you know you have an interaction? What does it mean for a design to be

completely crossed? Balanced? Orthogonal?

Describe each term in a linear model like this one:  

ijkjkkjijk ey )(

Page 3: Factorial ANOVA

Questions (2) Correctly interpret ANOVA summary

tables. Identify mistakes in such tables. What’s the matter with this one?

Source SS Df MS FA 512 2 (J-1) 128 128

B 108 1 (K-1) 108 54

AxB 96 2 (J-1)(K-1) 48 24

Error 12 5 N-JK 2

Page 4: Factorial ANOVA

Questions (3) Find correct critical values of F from a table

for a given design. How does post hoc testing for factorial

ANOVA differ from post hoc testing in one-way ANOVA?

Describe a concrete example of a two-factor experiment. Why is it interesting and/or important to consider both factors in one experiment?

Page 5: Factorial ANOVA

2-way ANOVA• So far, 1-Way ANOVA, but can have 2

or more IVs. IVs aka Factors.• Example: Study aids for exam

– IV 1: workbook or not– IV 2: 1 cup of coffee or not

Workbook (Factor A)

Caffeine (Factor B)

No Yes

Yes Caffeine only Both

No Neither (Control)

Workbook only

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Main Effects (R & C means)N=30 per cell

Workbook (Factor A) Row Means

Caffeine(Factor B)

No Yes

Yes Caff =80SD=5

Both =85SD=5

82.5

No Control =75SD=5

Book =80SD=5

77.5

Col Means 77.5 82.5 80

X X

X X

Page 7: Factorial ANOVA

Main Effects and Interactions• Main effects seen

by row and column means; Slopes and breaks.

• Interactions seen by lack of parallel lines.

• Interactions are a main reason to use multiple IVs

Workbook (Factor A)

86

84

82

80

78

76

74

Mea

n R

M T

est S

core

No Yes

Without Caffeine

With Caffeine

Factor B

Page 8: Factorial ANOVA

Single Main Effect for B

2.0 1.0

Factor A

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20

15

10

5

0

Mea

n R

espo

nseSingle Main Effect

B=1

B=2

A1 2

B1

2

10 10

20 20

(Coffee only)

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Single Main Effect for A

2.0 1.0

Factor A

20

16

12

8

4

0

Mea

n R

espo

nse

Single Main Effect

B=1

B=2

A1 2

B12

10 2010 20

(Workbook only)

Page 10: Factorial ANOVA

Two Main Effects; Both A & B

2.0 1.0Factor A

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

Mea

n R

espo

nse

Two Main Effects

B=1

B=2

A1 2

B12

10 2020 30

Both workbook and coffee

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Interaction (1)

2.0 1.0Factor A

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30

25

20

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5

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Mea

n R

espo

nse

Interaction 1

B=1

B=2

A1 2

B12

10 2010 30

Interactions take many forms; all show lack of parallel lines.

Coffee has no effect without the workbook.

Page 12: Factorial ANOVA

Interaction (2)

2.0 1.0Factor A

25

20

15

10

5

0

Mea

n R

espo

nse

Interaction 2

B=1

B=2

A1 2

B12

10 2020 10

People with workbook do better without coffee; people without workbook do better with coffee.

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Interaction (3)

2.0 1.0

Factor A

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

Mea

n R

espo

nse

Interaction 3

B = 1

B = 2

Coffee always helps, but it helps more if you use workbook.

Page 14: Factorial ANOVA

Labeling Factorial Designs• Levels – each IV is referred to by its number

of levels, e.g., 2X2, 3X2, 4X3 designs. Two by two factorial ANOVA.

• Cell – treatment combination.• Completely Crossed designs –each level of

each factor appears at all levels of other factors (vs. nested designs or confounded designs).

• Balanced – each cell has same n. • Orthogonal design – random sampling and

assignment to balanced cells in completely crossed design.

Page 15: Factorial ANOVA

ReviewWhat are main effects in ANOVA? What are interactions in ANOVA?

How do you know you have an interaction?

What does it mean for a design to be completely crossed? Balanced? Orthogonal?

Page 16: Factorial ANOVA

Population Effects for 2-wayPopulation main effect associated with the treatment Aj (first factor): jj

Population main effect associated with treatment Bk (second factor): kk

The interaction is defined as , so the linear model is:

ijkjkkjijk ey )(jk)(

The interaction is a residual:

kjjkjk )(

kjjkjk ..)(

Each person’s score is a deviation from a cell mean (error). The cell means vary for 3 reasons.

Page 17: Factorial ANOVA

Expected Mean Squares

E(MS error) = 2e

(Factor A has J levels; factor B has K levels; there are n people per cell.)

E(MS A) = 1

2

2

J

Knj

j

e

E(MS B) = 1

2

2

K

Jnk

k

e

E(MS Interaction) = )1)(1(

)( 2

2

KJ

nj k

jk

e

Note how all terms estimate error.

Page 18: Factorial ANOVA

F TestsFor orthogonal designs, F tests for the main effects and the interaction are simple. For each, find the F ratio by dividing the MS for the effect of interest by MS error.

Effect F df

A J-1,N-JK

B K-1,N-JK

AxBInteraction

(J-1)(K-1), N-JK

errorMSAMS

errorMSBMS

errorMSABMS

Page 19: Factorial ANOVA

Example Factorial Design (1)• Effects of fatigue and alcohol consumption on

driving performance.• Fatigue

– Rested (8 hrs sleep then awake 4 hrs)– Fatigued (24 hrs no sleep)

• Alcohol consumption– None (control)– 2 beers– Blood alcohol .08 %

• DV - performance errors on closed driving course rated by driving instructor.

Page 20: Factorial ANOVA

Cells of the Design

Alcohol (Factor A)Orthogonal design; n=2

Fatigue (Factor B)

None(J=1)

2 beers(J=2)

.08 %(J=3)

Tired(K=1)

Cell 12, 4 M=3

Cell 216, 18M=17

Cell 318, 20M=19

Rested(K=2)

Cell 40, 2M=1

Cell 52, 4M=3

Cell 616, 18M=17

M=2 M=10 M=18

M=13

M=7

M=10

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Factorial Example Results

Intox2 beersnoneAlcohol Consumption

25

20

15

10

5

0

Driv

ing

Err

ors

Factorial Design

Rested

Fatigued

Main Effects?Interactions? Both main effects and the interaction

appear significant. Let’s look.

Page 22: Factorial ANOVA

Data Person DV Cell A alc B rest1 2 1 1 12 4 1 1 13 16 2 2 14 18 2 2 15 18 3 3 16 20 3 3 17 0 4 1 28 2 4 1 29 2 5 2 210 4 5 2 211 16 6 3 212 18 6 3 2Mean 10

Page 23: Factorial ANOVA

Total Sum of SquaresPerson DV Mean D D*D1 2 10 -8 642 4 10 -6 363 16 10 6 364 18 10 8 645 18 10 8 646 20 10 10 1007 0 10 -10 1008 2 10 -8 649 2 10 -8 6410 4 10 -6 3611 16 10 6 3612 18 10 8 64Total 728

Page 24: Factorial ANOVA

SS Within CellsPerson DV Cell Mean D*D1 2 1 3 12 4 1 3 13 16 2 17 14 18 2 17 15 18 3 19 16 20 3 19 17 0 4 1 18 2 4 1 19 2 5 3 110 4 5 3 111 16 6 17 112 18 6 17 1Total 12

Page 25: Factorial ANOVA

SS A – Effects of AlcoholPerson M Level

(A)Mean (A)

D*D

1 10 1 2 642 10 1 2 643 10 2 10 04 10 2 10 05 10 3 18 646 10 3 18 647 10 1 2 648 10 1 2 649 10 2 10 010 10 2 10 011 10 3 18 6412 10 3 18 64Total 512

Page 26: Factorial ANOVA

SS B – Effects of FatiguePerson M Level

(B)Mean (B)

D*D

1 10 1 13 92 10 1 13 93 10 1 13 94 10 1 13 95 10 1 13 96 10 1 13 97 10 2 7 98 10 2 7 99 10 2 7 910 10 2 7 911 10 2 7 912 10 2 7 9Total 108

Page 27: Factorial ANOVA

SS Cells – Total BetweenPerson M Cell Mean

(Cell)D*D

1 10 1 3 492 10 1 3 493 10 2 17 494 10 2 17 495 10 3 19 816 10 3 19 817 10 4 1 818 10 4 1 819 10 5 3 4910 10 5 3 4911 10 6 17 4912 10 6 17 49Total 716

Page 28: Factorial ANOVA

Summary Table Source SSTotal 728Between 716A 512B 108Within 12

Check: Total=Within+Between728 = 716+12

Interaction = Between – (A+B).Interaction = 716-(512+108) = 96.

Source SS df MS FA 512 2 (J-1) 256 128B 108 1(K-1) 108 54AxB 96 2 (J-1)(K-1) 48 24Error 12 6 (N-JK) 2

98.5)6,1,05.( F14.5)6,2,05.( F

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Interactions

Choose the factor with more levels for X, the horizontal axis. Plot the means. Join the means by lines representing the other factor. The size of the interaction SS is proportional to the lack of parallel lines.

If interactions exist, the main effects must be qualified for the interactions. Here, effect of alcohol depends on the amount of rest of the participant.

Intox2 beersnoneAlcohol Consumption

25

20

15

10

5

0

Driv

ing

Err

ors

Factorial Design

Rested

Fatigued

Page 30: Factorial ANOVA

ReviewCorrectly interpret ANOVA summary

tables. Identify mistakes in such tables. What’s the matter with this one?

Source SS Df MS FA 512 2 (J-1) 128 128

B 108 1 (K-1) 108 54

AxB 96 2 (J-1)(K-1) 48 24

Error 12 5 N-JK 2

Page 31: Factorial ANOVA

Proportions of VarianceWe can compute R-squared for magnitude of effect, but it’s biased, so the convention is to use omega-squared.

70.7282

)2(2512)1(. 2.

totalSSerrorMSerrorMSJASSest Ay

15.7282

)2(1108)1(. 2.

totalSSerrorMSerrorMSKBSSest By

13.7282

)2)(1)(2(96)1)(1(. 2.

totalSSerrorMSerrorMSKJAxBSSest AxBy

Page 32: Factorial ANOVA

Planned ComparisonsCell Mean C1 C21 A1B1 3 -1/3 1/22 A2B1 17 -1/3 -1/43 A3B1 19 -1/3 -1/44 A1B2 1 1/3 1/25 A2B2 3 1/3 -1/46 A3B2 17 1/3 -1/4

-6 -12B1 v B2 No alc v

others

Page 33: Factorial ANOVA

Planned Comparisons (2)The first comparison (B1 v B2) has a value of –6. For any comparison,

6666.2/962)()ˆ(.

2

j j

jerror n

cMSVarest

348.76666.

6)ˆvar(.

ˆ

estt

j j

jgg

g

gg n

cw

wSS

22

)ˆ(

3333.2

9/62

)3/1()3/1()3/1()3/1()3/1()3/1( 222222

gw

1083333.

6ˆ)ˆ(

22

g

gg w

SS

Note this is the same as SS for B in the ANOVA.

Note 7.348 squared is 54, which is our value of F from the ANOVA.(critical t has dfe)

Page 34: Factorial ANOVA

Planned Comparisons (3)We can substitute planned comparisons for tests of main effects; they are equivalent (if you choose the relevant means). We can also do the same for interactions. In general, there are a total of (Cells-1) independent comparisons we can make (6-1 or 5 in our example). Our second test compared no alcohol to all other conditions.

12ˆ

375.216/12

2)4/1()4/1()2/1()4/1()4/1()2/1( 222222

gw

75.)375(.2)()ˆ(. gerror wMSVarest

86.1375.12

)ˆvar(.ˆ

est

tThis looks to be the largest comparison with these data.

Page 35: Factorial ANOVA

Post Hoc TestsFor post hoc tests about levels of a factor, we pool cells. The only real difference for Tukey HSD and Newman –Keuls is accounting for this difference. For interactions, we are back to comparing cells. Don’t test unless F for the effect is significant.

nKerrorMSqHSD JKNJaA ,,

nJerrorMSqHSD JKNKaB ,,

For comparing cells in the presence of an interaction:

nerrorMSqHSD JKNJKaAB ,,

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Post Hoc (2)In our example A has 3 levels, B has 2. Both were significant. No post hoc for B (2 levels). For A, the column means were 2, 10, and 18. Are they different?

07.32/134.4)2(2

26,3,05. qHSDA

nKerrorMSqHSD JKNJaA ,,

A: Yes, all are different because the differences are larger than 3.07. But because of the interaction, the interpretation of differences in A or B are tricky.

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Post Hoc (3)

For the rested folks, is the difference between no alcohol and 2 beers significant for driving errors? The means are 1 and 3.

nerrorMSqHSD JKNJKaAB ,,

63.5163.522

6,6,05. qHSDAB

A: They are not significantly different because 2 is less than 5.63. Note: data are fictitious. Do not drink and drive.

Page 38: Factorial ANOVA

Review• Describe each term in a linear model like this

one:

How does post hoc testing for factorial ANOVA differ from post hoc testing in one-way ANOVA?

Describe a concrete example of a two-factor experiment. Why is it interesting and/or important to consider both factors in one experiment?

ijkjkkjijk ey )(

Page 39: Factorial ANOVA

Higher Order Factorials• If you can do ANOVA with 2 factors, you

can do it with as many as you like.• For 3 factors, you have one 3-way interaction

and three 2-way interactions. • Computations are simple but tedious.• For orthogonal, between-subject designs, all

F tests have same denominator.• We generally don’t do designs with more

than 3 factors. Complex & expensive.