Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

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Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh

Transcript of Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Page 1: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Extragalactic Astronomyand Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh

Page 2: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Timetable for the day

11:00 Closed Panel session

11:30 Presentations Part-1

12:50 Lunch

13:40 Presentations Part-2

14:50 Q & A session

15:50 Closed Panel Session

17:00 End

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Schedule of Talks

11:30 Andy Lawrence Introduction11:40 Jim Dunlop Overview talk-111:50 Philip Best High-z galaxy evolution12:05 Marek Kukula Host galaxies of quasars12:20 Omar Almaini Deep X-ray surveys and AGN12:35 Will Percival Modelling AGN evolution new bid

LUNCH

13:40 John Peacock Overview talk-213:50 Alan Heavens Statistical methods for cosmology vacant14:05 Eelco van Kampen Simulating galaxy formation14:20 Avery Meiksin Simulating evolution of the IGM new bid

14:35 Arjun Berera Observational tests of inflation new bid

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Key Points

Grant supports 9 academic-equivalent staff

– main activity of 6, partial activity of 3

– Peacock, Taylor, Jimenez and Berera added as PIs

Talented and aggressive team of PDRAs

Case presented as clear projects

– science a continuum but deliverables distinct

PDRAs nurtured but do cycle through

– Hughes, Taylor, Jimenez all moved through

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Edinburgh context

Institute for Astronomy– 7 ac. staff; 4.5 senior research fellows (half of Berera)

– Temporary Lecturer being recruited

– 5 PDRAs on rolling grant support + 1 on Gemini grant

– WFAU : 6.5 research staff, 4.5 tech/admin (2.2 research FTEs)

Astronomy Technology Centre– approx 11 active astronomers; 3.5 research FTEs

Astronomy elsewhere in University– 3 academic staff in Maths/Physics (Heggie/Ruffert/Shotter)

– 0.5 senior research fellows in Physics (Berera)

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Current bid

Merges existing roller and Peacock PDRA

Focused on extragalactic and cosmology

– star formation and low mass stars excluded

– supported to some extent in ATC and WFAU

Baseline 5 PDRAs : bid for +3

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PDRA bid summary

Hi-z funded Y1-2 bid+2yr Best in place (Hughes left)

Hosts funded Y1-2 bid+2yr Kukula in place

X-AGN funded Y1 bid+3yr Almaini in place

AGN evoln new line bid+4yr Percival in place (1 yr contract)

Stat.cos. funded Y1-2 bid+2yr vacant (Taylor got AF)

Sim.cos. funded Y1 bid+3yr Van Kampen in place

IGM new line bid+4yr

Inflationnew line bid+4yr

Notes : Hughes left early + Kukula spell at STScI

unspent funds 1 year contract to Percival

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Part 1

4 named PDRAs (3 existing grant lines + 1 new one)

Linking themes:

• Major multi-frequency surveys

• Cosmological evolution of AGN, galaxies & clusters

• Physical connections history of AGN activity history of star-formation activity

black hole formation host spheroid formation

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History of black hole activity History of star-formation activity(Radio & X-ray) (Visible & Dust-enshrouded)

Key issues

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Black-hole formation Host spheroid formation

Radio Galaxies

Sub-mm evolution contrasts withradio evolution especially at z > 2.5(Archibald, Dunlop et al. 2000)

Stars

Dust

Gas

But perhaps this makes sense….

Big black holes are needed by z= 3and hence perhaps also big bulges

Friaca/Jimenez models predictgrowth of stars and decline of dustfor formation redshift z = 5

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Philip Best • z distribution of the field sub-mm population• sub-mm - optical studies of radio galaxies and high z clusters

Omar Almaini • Major X-ray surveys: - resolving the X-ray background, new hard X-ray populations, AGN to z = 8, X-ray/sub-mm link

Marek Kukula• HST/Gemini/VLT studies of the hosts of quasars, z = 0 - 5• VLA/Merlin studies probing the origin of radio loudness

Will Percival • Analytical theory - evolution of compact activity in a cosmological context• The black-hole galaxy-formation link

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Philip Best High z Galaxy Evolution

Omar Almaini Deep X-ray Surveys

Marek Kukula Quasar Host Galaxies

Will Percival Modelling Evolution

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High Redshift Galaxy Evolution

Observational and theoretical study of the evolution of massive galaxies.

Main themes:

• Dust enshrouded starbursts at high redshift– SCUBA surveys & follow-up

– HDF, 8mJy, cluster surveys

• Galaxy evolution in clusters

• Deep spectroscopic studies of HzRG’s

• Age dating of stellar populations

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My previous workRadio, optical, IR & spectroscopic studies of HzRG’s

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The SCUBA 850-m HDF map

Deepest SCUBA map

50 hours integration

100 arcsec radius

Beam: 14.5’’ FWHM

Noise: rms 0.45 mJy

5 strong sources

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HDF 850.1

IRAM 1.3-mm & VLA data needed to provide an accurate position.

No consistent optical id.

Downes et al. astro-ph/9907139

100SFR visible

SFRhidden

cf. such ULIRGswith optical SFgals (ratio ~ 5)

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Background structure: “normal” star-forming galaxies

Subtract 5 brightest point sources (Peacock et al. 2000)

Residual structure correlates with optical-UV selected star-forming galaxies

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8 mJy survey

Collaboration with Imperial College,

Cambridge and UCL

• Shallow wide-field survey to complement HDF

• 400 sq. arcmins to S850m= 8mJy (3-)

• 8 SCUBA shifts allocated; 24 more long-term

• z and T constraints from deep 175m ISO data

• New PhD student (Suzie Scott) working on data reduction & source extraction

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Multi-wavelength follow-up

• Deep radio imaging

(VLA time already awarded):

– identify sources with z < 2.5

– z estimate from radio vs

sub-mm spectral index

– isolates extreme z objects

Essential for reliable identifications & redshifts of SCUBA sources. Will take several years.

from Carilli & Yun, 2000

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• mm interferometry, IRAM PdB– time awarded (collaboration, Dieter Lutz)– reliable positions for radio empty fields– brightest SCUBA source in Lockman hole region has

been detected - but no optical/IR id

• Deep optical - IR imaging– UKIRT time allocated– some sources will need Gemini

• Spectroscopy– obtaining redshifts clearly requires 8m class

telescopes

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High redshift cluster studies

Why carry out deep radio / sub-mm studies of

high redshift clusters?

• SCUBA observes different population of star-forming

objects than those from optical studies

• Clusters at high z:– are young, possibly still forming– have high galaxy merger rates– are ideal testbeds of galaxy evolution

• Good complement to field surveys / low-z clusters

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2 projects:

• Deep SCUBA and VLA studies of z~1 clusters– 8 shifts start-up SCUBA time allocated– 30 hrs VLA data on MS1054 taken in April– Initially targeting clusters with much optical-IR data

• Imaging around z>3 radio galaxies– known regions of high overdensity (protoclusters?)– positive results from pilot study (4C41.17)– long-term status awarded for an extended study

Both projects will require considerable follow-up.

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CL1604+43 (z=0.9), 850m

Preliminary results

(March 2000 data)

1 shift

(2 more to come)

- 3 clear detections

- 2-3 marginal

- much richer than

blank field pointings

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MS1054-03 (z=0.8), 5GHz

30 hrs, 5 GHz, C-array

(taken April 2000)

- rms 5.7Jy

- numerous detections

- overlay with deep HST

mosaic: most detections

have secure id’s

- Keck MOS data: many

id’s at redshift of cluster.

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Galaxy evolution in clusters

In addition to studies of cluster star formation, aim to push back cluster studies to earlier epochs• very deep optical / IR imaging around z>1.5 RGs

– cross-correlation statistics

– colour-magnitude diagrams

– photometric redshifts

• follow-up multi-object spectroscopy (Gemini)– evolution of cluster environments

– age-dating of evolved elliptical galaxies (Jimenez)

Just one massive cluster at this redshift has severe consequences for LSS and cosmological models.

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Conclusions

Studies of SCUBA sources are rapidly advancing

and provide key information about SF history of

the Universe. Much follow-up work is required.

Long-term goal is to couple this work with that on• Galaxy evolution in clusters

• Deep spectroscopic studies of HzRGs

• Age dating of stellar populations

to obtain a consistent view of the evolution of

“activity” in the Universe

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Philip Best High z Galaxy Evolution

Omar Almaini Deep X-ray Surveys

Marek Kukula Quasar Host Galaxies

Will Percival Modelling Evolution

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Quasar Host Galaxies PDRA: Marek Kukula PI: James Dunlop

Ground-based & HST observationsof carefully constructed quasar samples

Line-free imaging and off-nuclearspectroscopy of host galaxies

Comprehensive study of local (z=0.2)quasar hosts now complete

Recently extended out to z=2 with NICMOS

Next phase: follow host galaxyevolution to z>4 with HST, VLT& Gemini

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Why study quasar hosts?

HST studies of local (z < 0.3) quasars show that their hoststend to be dominated by a massive spheroidal component.

At z = 2.5 a significant fraction of all massive black holes were active.

Very likely all large elliptical galaxies contain massive black holesand are potential quasar hosts.

Quasar evolution and the starformation history of the universeshare similar properties growth & fuelling of blackholes is closely linked to the evolution of large-scale structure.

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Low-redshift quasar hosts

R-band imaging with HST/WFPC20.1 < z < 0.25

Awarded 34 orbits in Cycle 6 (completed 1999)

Image Model

Galaxy Residual

2-D modelling

Surface brightnessprofile

Carefully matched samples: Radio-Quiet Quasars,Radio-Loud Quasars & Radio GalaxiesR-band filter avoids contamination by quasaremission lines

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Analysis of HST images

The hosts of all but the least luminous RQQs are massive elliptical galaxies

2-D modelling of HST data:

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Black Hole MassesFor local inactive galaxies: (Magorrian et al. 1998)M (bh) = 0.006 M (bulge)

Can now do the same for our quasar samples:

Black hole mass

RLQ

RQQ

M (bh) ~ 10 - 109 10 M0

Can estimate Eddington luminosities:quasars are radiating at ~10% Eddington

100%

10%1%

Bulge luminosity

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Off-nuclear spectroscopyOptical spectroscopy with the WHT

Spectrophotometric modelling

Galaxy spectrum

Hosts dominated by an old (~12 Gyr) stellar population.Little on-going starformation (< 0.5 % by mass).

Main result : at z = 0.2 all luminous quasars are in massive elllipticalgalaxies - regardless of radio luminosity of the quasar

Use image to selectoptimum slit position5 arcsec off-nucleus

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Out to z=2 with NICMOS Define 3 new quasar samples at z = 0.4, 1 & 2

Choose quasars of the same intrinsic luminosity at each z

60 orbits with WFPC2 & NICMOS in Cycle 7 (to complete Nov. 2000)

Redshift/filter combinationalways samples the sameregion of the restframe spectrum

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Results from NICMOSA first look at host galaxy evolution out to z=2

2-D modelling

z=0.2 : massiveelliptical galaxies

z=1 : large, luminous elliptical galaxiesz=2 : no large, luminous galaxies present

large galaxies are still assembling?

smaller galaxies, quasar fuellingmore efficient?

same as hosts at z=0.2

hosts fully-assembled by z=1

Image Surface brightnessprofile

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Next phase: 2000 - 2004

Work to date

HST Cycle 9(commencing 2000)

VLT near-infrared imaging(commencing 2000)

Follow host galaxy evolution out to z > 4

Same highly successful strategy:

carefully controlled samples

line-free imaging

Initial observations underway:

Starting point for major study withnew-generation instruments

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New observationsNew instruments will make detailed studies of high-z quasar hosts possible

Gemini : NIR imaging(proposal submitted)

HST Advanced Camera for Surveys :multi-colour optical imaging

Ground-based 8-m spectroscopy

Edinburgh team extremely well-placed to exploit these new capabilities :

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Philip Best High z Galaxy Evolution

Omar Almaini Deep X-ray Surveys

Marek Kukula Quasar Host Galaxies

Will Percival Modelling Evolution

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Deep X-ray SurveysDeep X-ray Surveys

XMM XMM

Omar AlmainiAndy Lawrence, Jim Dunlop

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Progress 1998-2000Progress 1998-2000

• ROSAT/ASCA Surveys ROSAT/ASCA Surveys

• X-ray/sub-mm linkX-ray/sub-mm link

• QSO X-ray VariabilityQSO X-ray Variability

• Studies of dwarf AGNStudies of dwarf AGN

Boyle et al 1998

Georgantopoulos et al 1998

Fabian et al 1998

Almaini et al 1998

Blair et al 1999

Almaini, Gunn & Shanks 2000

Almaini, Lawrence & Boyle 1999Almaini et al. 2000

• ROSAT/ASCA Surveys ROSAT/ASCA Surveys • Studies of dwarf AGNStudies of dwarf AGN• X-ray/sub-mm linkX-ray/sub-mm link• X-rays from starburstsX-rays from starbursts• X-rays from starburstsX-rays from starbursts• QSO X-ray VariabilityQSO X-ray Variability

Manners et al. (in preparation)

Natarajan & Almaini 2000

Lira et al. (1999)Iwasawa et al. (2000)

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The ELAIS/SCUBA X-ray The ELAIS/SCUBA X-ray SurveySurvey

• UK 8mJy SCUBA surveyUK 8mJy SCUBA survey

• ELAIS 7.5, 15, 90, 175µmELAIS 7.5, 15, 90, 175µm

• VLA radio (0.1mJy)VLA radio (0.1mJy)

ChandraChandra (150ks (150ks))XMMXMM (150ks) (150ks)

• Imaging to R=26, K=22Imaging to R=26, K=22

PI: AlmainiPI: Almaini

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The Puzzle Of The X-ray Background

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Deep ROSAT SurveysDeep ROSAT Surveys

12 day exposure!12 day exposure!

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Broad-line Broad-line QSOsQSOs

‘‘NELGs’NELGs’

Emission-line galaxies?Emission-line galaxies?

Almaini et al. (1996)Almaini et al. (1996)

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July 23, July 23, 19991999

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The ELAIS/SCUBA X-ray The ELAIS/SCUBA X-ray SurveySurvey

• UK 8mJy SCUBA surveyUK 8mJy SCUBA survey

• ELAIS 7.5, 15, 90, 175µmELAIS 7.5, 15, 90, 175µm

• VLA radio (0.1mJy)VLA radio (0.1mJy)

ChandraChandra (150ks (150ks))XMMXMM (150ks) (150ks)

• Imaging to R=26, K=22Imaging to R=26, K=22

PI: AlmainiPI: Almaini

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Chandra Soft X-ray Source CountsChandra Soft X-ray Source Counts

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Chandra Hard X-ray Source CountsChandra Hard X-ray Source Counts

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XMM

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The XMM Mirror Assembly The XMM Mirror Assembly

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Scientific ObjectivesScientific Objectives

•Resolve X-ray backgroundResolve X-ray background•Study new, hard X-ray populationsStudy new, hard X-ray populations•Detect very high redshift AGN (z~8)Detect very high redshift AGN (z~8)

AGN/galaxy connection AGN/galaxy connection

Variability of high z QSOs Variability of high z QSOs

Multi-wavelength studies Multi-wavelength studies

Detailed AstrophysicsDetailed Astrophysics

•Measure AGN fraction in submm surveysMeasure AGN fraction in submm surveysRedshift

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The X-ray Survey The X-ray Survey

•Analysis of X-ray dataAnalysis of X-ray data

• Source IdentificationSource Identification

• AstrophysicsAstrophysics- reveal ‘new’ hard X-ray populations - reveal ‘new’ hard X-ray populations

- QSO X-ray at high z - QSO X-ray at high z

- multi-wavelength studies - multi-wavelength studies

- source detection, X-ray spectra, variability

- deep imaging (R=26, K=22)- spectroscopy (Gemini, Keck, CGS4)- iron lines? (XMM)

- evolution of high z AGN (z>3) - evolution of high z AGN (z>3)

- AGN fraction in sub-mm surveys- AGN fraction in sub-mm surveys

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ChandraChandraXMMXMMSCUBASCUBA

UFTI K=22UFTI K=22

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Scientific ObjectivesScientific Objectives

• Resolve X-ray backgroundResolve X-ray background• Study new, hard X-ray populationsStudy new, hard X-ray populations• Detect very high redshift AGN (z~8)Detect very high redshift AGN (z~8)

Astrophysics of source populationsAstrophysics of source populations

• Determine AGN fraction in sub-mm surveysDetermine AGN fraction in sub-mm surveys

X-ray spectra X-ray spectra X-ray variability of high z QSOs X-ray variability of high z QSOs

Multi-wavelength studies Multi-wavelength studies

AGN/galaxy connection AGN/galaxy connection

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Philip Best High z Galaxy Evolution

Omar Almaini Deep X-ray Surveys

Marek Kukula Quasar Host Galaxies

Will Percival Modelling Evolution

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Modelling cosmologicalAGN evolution

PDRA: Will Percival

Investigators: J.A.Peacock, J.S. Dunlop,

A.Lawrence & A.F. Heavens

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The problem: Understanding AGN evolution

The ROSAT soft X-ray quasar luminosity function of Miyaji et al. 2000

A compilation of the measured co-moving number density of luminous quasars selected in X-ray, optical and radio wavebands

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The link with the star formation rate

Qualitative evolution of SFR and luminous AGN emission similar

However, 0<z<2 factor ~10 decrease for SFR, compared to factor ~100 for number density of luminous QSOs

Both phenomena thought to be linked with the build-up of structure with mergers between galaxies implicated in both

Merger-induced starbursts alone can explain the observed evolution in the SFR

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Why do we need analytic models?

The scale of AGN engines lies far below any feasible numerical resolution

Output from numerical simulation has to occur sequentially at fixed times

Analytic models are usually more versatile than numerical techniques

Analytic models often provide more insight into the physics behind modelled phenomena

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Percival & Miller 1999 MNRAS 309 823

Used Press-Schechter (PS) theory to predict the distribution of times at which halos form

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Percival, Miller & Peacock 2000 MNRAS accepted, astro-ph/0002328

Provided a (Bayesian) framework from which any mass function can be converted to give the distribution of halo formation times

We can now use this model to predict the formation of structure within more general cosmological scenarios including non-Gaussian models

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The build-up of halos (in detail)

The mass function and halo creation rate do not uniquely specify the build-up of individual halos

PS theory provides more information: it ascribes a merger tree for every halo

This is important in order to follow the growth of halos as well as their global properties

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Mergers vs Slow accretion

Only violent mergers are thought to give rise to starbursts and quasar activation

Red circle - merger

Blue circle - slow accretion

PS theory predicts that the relative frequency of these events is independent of time

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Future directions of analytic work

Analysis of the detailed way in which halos are predicted to form within PS theory

new algorithm for predicting halo merger trees

determine relative importance of mergers vs slow accretion

Importance of PS parameters: particularly filter

Comparison with numerical simulations

Use previous results to link non-Gaussian contributions to the density field with the epoch of structure formation

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The tie-in with AGN models

Can activation caused by galaxy mergers explain observed AGN number density evolution?

If the lifetime is short (~108 Gyr), we need extra evolution to explain the factor ~100 decrease 1>z>0 (dashed line)

However, if the lifetime over which quasars are active is longer (~109 Gyr), then a decreasing birth rate and the time-redshift relation provide the correct evolution (solid line)

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The tie-in with host galaxy studies

Correlations between host galaxy and quasar emission set important constraints on AGN models

Relations between black hole mass and spheroidal luminosity suggest we should see a correlation between host and nuclear luminosity

However, recent studies find that the hosts of all quasars have similar luminosities (Percival et al 2000)

Kauffmann & Haehnelt 2000 predict a nuclear/host limit using relations between black hole and spheroid mass. The new data suggest a different explanation is required for luminous AGN emission

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Summary Over the next four years, studies of AGN based in

Edinburgh will provide important clues for understanding the evolution of AGN

Our current understanding of the build-up of structure is insufficient to fully exploit the results of these observational studies

The aims of this line of the grant are therefore:

1. To provide the required theoretical background in structure formation leading to galaxy and AGN formation

2. To combine this theoretical work with the results of observational studies to produce and constrain plausible models of AGN

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Structure formation overview

Aims:• Understanding the sequence of structure formation

• Connecting ab initio theories to observations

V

0)(3 VH

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Major programmes: observation

• 2dFGRS (Peacock, Sutherland)

• SDSS (Meiksin)

• Planck (Heavens)

- Plus high-z galaxy work

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The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey

May 2000: 100,000 redshifts to B=19.45 (target 250k by 2002)

First precision data on spatial distribution of different classes of galaxy - analysis is manpower limited

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Major programmes: theory• Galaxy stellar content

(Jimenez, Brand, Dunlop, Heavens)

• LSS statistics

(Heavens, Taylor)

• N-body studies

(Peacock, Meiksin)

• Numerical galaxy formation

(van Kampen, Jimenez, Peacock)

• Warm inflation

(Berera, Taylor)

V

0)(3 VH

KL

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Galaxy stellar population models

Jimenez dust models (astro-ph/9910279):

All star formation is ‘hidden’: ‘visible’ fraction depends on lifetime of high-mass stars and dust burnoff time. Predicts 6:1 for Salpeter IMF - matches SCUBA / HDF

Jimenez stellar models:

•Improved stellar evolution

•New Cray atmospheres

•Star formation / Chemical evolution

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Major programmes: theory• Galaxy stellar content

(Jimenez, Brand, Dunlop, Heavens)

• LSS statistics

(Heavens, Taylor)

• N-body studies

(Peacock, Meiksin)

• Numerical galaxy formation

(van Kampen, Jimenez, Peacock)

• Warm inflation

(Berera, Taylor)

V

0)(3 VH

KL

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Haloes, occupation numbers, and bias

High-mass haloes

Galaxies from empirical occupation numbers

Realisticpowerspectrum

2563 VIRGO simulation

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Major programmes: theory• Galaxy stellar content

(Jimenez, Brand, Dunlop, Heavens)

• LSS statistics

(Heavens, Taylor)

• N-body studies

(Peacock, Meiksin)

• Numerical galaxy formation

(van Kampen, Jimenez, Peacock)

• Warm inflation

(Berera, Taylor)

V

0)(3 VH

KL

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Summary of PDRA bids• LSS statistics

(Taylor replacement; P.I. Heavens)

• IGM simulations

(New position; P.I. Meiksin)

• Semi-numerical galaxy formation

(van Kampen; P.I. Peacock)

• Warm inflation

(New position: P.I. Berera)

V

0)(3 VH

KL

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Statistical Methods for Cosmology

Previous PDRA: Andy Taylor (now PPARC AF - gravitational lensing)

Post funded for 2 years

Request: 4 year funding

PSCz (Branchini)

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Goals

Scientific goals: cosmological parameter estimation, understanding galaxy formation, star formation history…

Rationale: complement large observational investment

To develop and apply new theoretical tools for analysis of cosmological data sets

2dfPlanck

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Past workGalaxy Redshift Surveys: First power spectrum analysis in spherical coordinates (including mask, selection function, redshift distortions) Heavens & Taylor 1995

‘Heavens-Taylor pixelization’ (Padmanabhan et al. 2000;

CfA2/SSRS) now standard analysis method (also planned for 2dF, Sloan)

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Data Compression

Datasets are large, noisy and correlated. Data compression is necessary for analysis.

Why? Can’t compare theory with 106 galaxy positions

e.g. correlation function, power spectrum

Aim: To perform data compression whilst preserving as much information as possible about what we want to know Tegmark, Taylor & Heavens 1997

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PSCz survey

PSCz: Spherical Harmonic analysis (4600 modes) + optimised data compression ( 2300 modes), with 1% loss of information Hierarchical data compression, parameter eigenvector methods (Ballinger, Taylor, Heavens & Tadros 2000)

Without data compression With data compression

Tadros et al 1999 Taylor et

al. 2000

Power spectrum = 0.4 0.1

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Galaxy Spectra

Physical parameters (e.g. age, metallicity, star formation history….)

Find b1 which captures most information about age.

Find b2 (orthogonal to b1) which captures most information about stellar mass… etc. Solve generalised eigenvalue problem; Gram-Schmidt orthogonalisation in 1000-dimensional (curved!) space.

Data x

y=b.x

(Heavens, Jimenez, Lahav 2000)

Page 84: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

MASSIVE (99%), LOSSLESS data compression.

• Two numbers y1 and y2 tell you as much about age and number of stars as the entire spectrum

• Spectral classification based on physical parameters

From 352 pixels From 2 numbers

Very large data compression possible:

Likelihood of age, number of stars:

Page 85: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Theory Developments (with applications):-

Future Programme

• Optimal mode construction for non-gaussian likelihood functions

Applications (with some theory development):-

• CMB power spectrum estimation

• non-gaussian signatures to estimate foreground contamination

• physical parameters from galaxy spectra

Page 86: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

New: CMB parameter estimation

Power Spectrum

Multipole

Data compression reduces 2000 correlated numbers to ~17 uncorrelated numbers.

CMB data compression: Clcosmological parameters (0, , b…)

Unsolved problem: Full parameter estimation is not practical (max. likelihood in ~17 dimensions)

Can speed up parameter estimation by up to 108 (almost losslessly)

Page 87: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Theory Developments (with applications):-

• Optimal mode construction for non-gaussian likelihood functions

Applications (with some theory development):-

• CMB power spectrum estimation

• non-gaussian signatures to estimate foreground contamination

• physical parameters from galaxy spectra

• Cl parameters

Page 88: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

SimulatingGalaxy Formation

and Evolution

PPARC rolling grant review, May 2000

Eelco van Kampen

Page 89: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Semi-numerical models of galaxy formation

Cosmological model Halo formation and

merger history Gas dynamics and

radiative cooling Star formation and

feedback Stellar population

synthesis

Ingredients:

sCDM model of van Kampen, Jimenez & Peacock (1999)

Page 90: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Research goals 2000-2004

Understanding all ingredients for a model of galaxy formation and evolution

Assessing the robustness and uniqueness of such a model

Applying the model to solve specific problems:

– galaxy occupation number

– the abundance of dwarf satellites

– structures of local galaxies

– interpreting high-redshift galaxy data

Page 91: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

The modelling so far Differences with previous, semi-analytical models:

– Inclusion of a bursting star formation mode

– Chemical evolution in stellar populations and gas

– Halo merger history from a special N-body technique to treat halo substructure

Retaining substructure in semi-numerical models (using N-body simulations)

Erasure of all substructure in semi-analytical models

van Kampen (2000)

Page 92: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Results of the existing code

Simultaneous match of the luminosity function and the Tully-Fisher relation, with a realistic mass-to-light ratio

van Kampen, Jimenez & Peacock (1999)

Page 93: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Halo substructureThe abundance of subhaloes in N-body simulations

A problem for N-body simulation codes or for cosmology ?

Issues:

• numerical limitations

• nature of dark matter

• galaxies vs. clusters

• mass-to-light ratios

Virgo Consortium simulation

Page 94: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

UndermergingDynamical friction is not properly modelled in N-body simulations

- possibly allowing too many subhaloes to survive

van Kampen (2000)

Page 95: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Exploiting the existing code

Extend van Kampen, Jimenez & Peacock (1999) to aCDM Universe and a WDM Universe

Interpreting data from the 2dF survey: surface brightness function and limit, angular and redshift space correlation functions

Statistics of the galaxy ‘occupation number’, the number of galaxies within a dark matter halo

Page 96: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Structures of local galaxies

Needed: modelling disks and bulges galaxy cluster physics: ram-pressure stripping

and tidal processes transforms galaxies

Specific goals: morphological fractions surface brightness function and limits morphology-density relation

Prediction of morphology and surface brightness

Page 97: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Modelling disks A new way of modelling galactic disks and disk

star formation, using the Schmidt law and a form of the Kennicutt surface-density threshold

Rimes & van Kampen (in preparation)

Page 98: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

High-redshift galaxies

Needed: dust model (Jimenez et al. 1999) higher numerical resolution

Specific goals: sub-mm maps galaxy clustering at high redshift high redshift starburst activity

Constraints on galaxy formation models and uniqueness tests for models that work for local galaxies.

Page 99: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

The SCUBA HDF map

50 hours integration

100 arcsec radius

Beam: 14.5’’ FWHM

Noise: 8’’ FWHM

Issues :

• optical counterparts

• starburst emission

• clustering properties

Hughes et al. (1998) 5 brightest point sources subtracted

Page 100: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Emission at extreme zNICMOS GTO data found eight z > 5 candidates (with 4-473.0 at z=5.6):

2 close pairs match well with 1-mJy level peaks:

Starburst activity triggered by interaction?

Combine numerical SFR with Jimenez dust models

Page 101: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Simulating galaxy formation and evolution:

research goals 2000-2004 Understanding all model

ingredients

Assessing the robustness and uniqueness of the model

Applications:

– galaxy occupation number

– dwarf satellite abundance

– structures of local galaxies

– high-redshift galaxies

Page 102: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Hydrodynamical simulations of the intergalactic medium

Avery Meiksin (bid for new position)

Page 103: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Purpose: to simulate the formation and evolution of the intergalactic medium

Cold Dark Matter models

(sCDM, CDM, OCDM, CDM, CHDM)

Key questions:• What is the origin of structure in the IGM?• What is the physical nature of the Lyman-alpha forest?• What is the metal content of the IGM, and how has it evolved?

PM (gravity) + Eulerian finite difference (hydro)

In collaboration with M. Norman (NCSA)

Page 104: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

The cosmic web

in the

intergalactic

medium

Page 105: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Projects

(1) Tests of cosmological models

(2) Multiple line-of-sight statistics

(3) Metal ions in the Lyman-alpha forest

Page 106: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

SYNTHETIC SPECTRUM

Page 107: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

wavelet transform

flux distribution

Page 108: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Wavelet

coefficients

Comparisonbetween Keckspectrum and6 cosmologicalmodels

Page 109: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Absorptionline parameterdistributions:

NHI, b

Page 110: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

(1) Tests of cosmological models

Goal: Testing cosmologies by comparing real and synthetic quasar spectra.

Page 111: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

(2) Multiple line-of-sight statistics

Goal: Shape and amplitude of P(k)

HI column density correlates with gas morphology

Expect different line-of-sight statistics for different morphological structures, corresponding to different HI column densities

Page 112: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

1016 cm-2 < NHI : spheroidal (minihaloes) (3D)

1014.5 cm-2 < NHI < 1016 cm-2 : filamentary

(cosmic web) (1D)

1013.5 cm-2 < NHI < 1014.5 cm-2 : sheet-like (2D)

NHI < 1013.5 cm-2 : fluctuations in minivoids

Column density correlateswith morphology

Page 113: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

(3) Metal ion predictionsGoals: B

Sources of photoionization Evolution of IGM metallicity (star formation) Tests of cosmological models [, , P(k)]

HI fixes: NHI = nHIL = RnB2L / HI or B

2 h3/2 / HI

HeII fixes: HeII / HI

Metals (e.g. CII:CIV, SiIV:CIV) fix: n / nB or HI / B

Hence separate constraints on B, HI, HeI

X-ray absorption lines (e.g. OVIII:Ly) to be included by incorporating time-dependent metal ionization in simulations

Page 114: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Observational tests of inflation

A. Berera, A. Taylor, J. Peacock, A. Heavens

Page 115: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Warm Inflation

The puzzle of cosmological initial conditions:

T/T < 10-5 in CMB without causal contact

The inflation solution (1981 + ):

CausallyDisconnected

COBE

R(t)

t

Accelerated expansion

implies + 3p < 0

How to get this from high-energy physics?

Acceleratedexpansion

Inflation

standard big bang

Page 116: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Scalar field (‘inflaton’) dynamics

22.2 2/)()(2/ RV

22.2 6/)()(2/ RVp

V

0)(3 VH Supercooled inflation: Just choose V()

Potential energy dominated (‘slow roll’):

H3

But what about particle creation? 0)(3 VH

Warm inflation: dominates

Slow-roll now means thermal overdamping: ,3H

Page 117: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

The warm inflation differenceWarm inflationSupercooled inflation

V()

t t

v

r

r

v

Inflation Reheating

V()

Page 118: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Developing Warm Inflation

Observations Theory

– Thermal perturbations, amplitude & slope

– Tensor modes– Super-Hubble

suppression– Isothermal perturbations– Primary & secondary

acoustic peaks.– Non-Gaussian signatures.

– Dissipative QFT at low temp, and out of equilibrium.

– Particle physics models.– Implications for magnetic

fields / baryogensis.– Robustness of solutions.

MAP, Planck polarization will supply vast data in coming years.

General physics developed from this study:- first principles Landau-Ginzburg dynamics.- New tests of CMBR.

Page 119: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Supercooled inflation: inflaton field is isolated

- But interactions are more plausible: Warm Inflation

Implies we need to calculate:

Relevant quantum mechanical processes (dissipation)Already studied in Condensed Matter Physics:Caldeira-Leggett model, Fermi-Ulam-Pasta model.

In Quantum Field Theory (QFT) generic couplingsof fields yield dissipation.

In restricted cases, QFT wam inflation solutions have been obtained - confirms that warm inflation works!

Considerable exploration remains.

Page 120: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.
Page 121: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Signatures of Warm Inflation

(Taylor & Berera, 2000, Phys Rev D)

- Standard inflation has no interactions - so universe is supercooled.

-Warm inflation includes interactions.

- Warm inflation predicts different tensor/scalar ratio.- No Consistency Relation in warm inflation.- Mechanism for isocurvature modes - may be detectable by Planck.

- Predicted amplitude of perturbations for warm and supercooled inflation.

Page 122: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Detection Limits for Super-Hubble SuppressionA. Berera & A.F. Heavens Submitted PRD, 2000

Inflation/Defect models Largest (Causal) Fluctuation Scale. Potentially useful constraint.

Detectable in CMB, even if larger than visible horizon

COBE data prefers small LCFS (Berera, Fang, Hinshaw, 1996, PRD)

MAP/Planck will improve detection (through better foreground subtraction/parameter determination)

Detectability for sub-visible Horizon LCFS

Page 123: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

Future Work: Basic Theory

Derive Linearized General Relativistic Perturbation Equationsfor Warm Inflation Conditions:

- Effects of homogeneous radiation component

- change in background evolution- themally induced density fluctuations

- Isocurvature fluctuations

- suppression scale- comprehensive identification of mechanisms

- General evolution of adiabatic and isocurvature fluctuations

- feedback effects of entropic pressure.

Page 124: Extragalactic Astronomy and Cosmology at IfA Edinburgh.

The Goal: Tests to Distinguish Between Warm and Supercooled Inflation

Cosmic Microwave Background:

- Generalise CMBFast for Warm Inflation:- remove conditions specific to supercooled inflation (T/S, account for dissipation term, etc).- account for super-Hubble suppression scale.

- Include isocurvature modes.

- NonGaussian signatures.

- Simulate MAP & Planck maps.

Optimal tests for temperature and polarization data:

- Primary: tensor-scalar ratio,

- Secondary: include isocurvature.