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External factors that influenced regime change in Ukraine
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Transcript of External factors that influenced regime change in Ukraine
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External factors that influenced regime change in Ukraine
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Overview
1. General presentation of Ukraine's position in the international area before Revolution
2. Relevant external actors, structures during Revolution
3. Linkage to the West
4. External constraints
5. Summary
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Ukraine's position in the international area before Revolution
Newly Independent State Considered as an extension of Russia Never a full – blown autocracy, semiautoritharism Less preferable than Russia 1994 Partnership and Cooperation Agreement with the
EU 1999 EU's Common Strategy The largest trade partner and foreign investor Black Sea region
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External actors and their influence
The EU – financial support
Kremlin – financial support
Foreign NGO's (IRI, NDI, Freedom House, CVU, the Democratic Initiatives Foundation) – financial, social support
Russian Television (ORT, RTR, NTV)
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Ties with “West” during Revolution
Western cooperation with Ukrainian organizations Znayu, Pora, KMIS – voter mobilization, exit polls
Financial support: 18 mln $ from the USA, 70 mln $ per year in 2004 – 2006 and 123 mln in 2007 – 2010 from the EU, donations from the US and Canadian citizens for Our Ukraine
Financial programms: TACIS, EDHIR, TEMPUS
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External constraints
Potential membership in the EU
Relations with Russia
Geopolitical interests of the EU
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Summary
Russia is still superior international partner for the West
Western powers didn't recognize Ukraine elites issue
Low Western linkage – weak democratizing pressure
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Bibliography
Gawrich Andrea, 2010, Neighbourhood and Europeization
McFaul Michael, 2007, Ukraine
Solonenko, 2009, Extnernal Democracy Promotion
Youngs Richard, 2009, EU and Orange Revolution
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Thank you for attention