EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · Race 6 #3 Idonowidont -- $450K buy finally debuts; pays off?...

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JOE KRISTUFEK Racing Analyst @JoeyDaKRacing EXPERT SELECTIONS Joe Kristufek returns for his third season as Churchill Downs’ paddock host. He has an extensive background in horse racing and wagering and has been instrumental in the creation of and hosting fan education programs at the premier racing events at racetracks coast to coast. A native of Chicago, Kristufek is the morning-line odds maker for several racetracks, including his hometown Arlington Park. He is also the racing writer and handicapper for the Daily Herald newspaper in Arlington Heights, IL. Joe is well recognized for his diversified handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with all racing fans - from beginner to expert. ©2017 Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. All rights reserved. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate, but occasionally errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention. Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Tune in to the twinspires.com pre-race paddock show for the most up to the minute information. Check program numbers for accuracy. Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through June 30 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 372 114 63 46 30.6% 59.9% Learn more about horse racing and wagering with Joe Kristufek and Brandon Stauble by visiting Racing 101 in the Plaza adjacent to the Paddock from 4:30 to 8:30 p.m. Thursday, September 21, 2017 Race 1 #4 Crack Your Whip – Excuses for last two; CD spring tally. #5 Delusional K K – As game as the day is long; must respect. #1 Dancing Dove – On top of her game; tactical advantage. #2 Northern Connect – Fits like a glove; finishes with punch. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-5-1-2-3-6 Race 2 #3 Whateverybodywants – Forgive turf; big dirt 2 nd two back. #6 Handy Candy – $16K claim takes logical step up; reliable. #1 Purgenality – Fires on occasion at a big price; gimmicks. #4 Whole Lotta Luck – Deep closer; enough pace to chase? Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-6-1-4-7 Race 3 #10 The Babyson – Drops off even debut; well-intended. #2 Schliffy – Surprising drop of even Saratoga debut? #4 Grandpa Frank – Adds blinks & drops off even efforts. #11 Mosca – Drops in, turf to dirt; distance not an issue. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 10-2-4-11-5/7-2-9 Race 4 #9 Bootsy’s Hadenough – Sneaky sprint pedigree; lured Corey. #2 Queen Mum – ½ $600K dasher Constellation; bet down? #8 Ghosted -- $105K buy must be a looker based on pedigree. #12 Dagney’s Warrior – Sharp work for this; flies under radar. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 9-2/8-12-3-7-10-16-4 Race 5 #6 Twilight Appeal – Drops off needed run; handles dirt? #2 Timido – Solid 3 rd on Ellis turf; proven on main track. #3 Arcelor – Drops in for tough team; tough to gauge. #9 Golden Fire Fly – Improved in last couple; hangs around. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 6-2/3/9-8-1

Transcript of EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · Race 6 #3 Idonowidont -- $450K buy finally debuts; pays off?...

Page 1: EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · Race 6 #3 Idonowidont -- $450K buy finally debuts; pays off? #7 Lifefullofreinbows – Has lit the tote behind sharp winners. #1 Focused/#1a

JOE KRISTUFEKRacing Analyst @JoeyDaKRacing

EXPERT SELECTIONS

Joe Kristufek returns for his third season as Churchill Downs’ paddock host. He has an extensive background in horse racing and wagering and has been instrumental in the creation of and hosting fan education programs at the premier racing events at racetracks coast to coast. A native of Chicago, Kristufek is the morning-line odds maker for several racetracks, including his hometown Arlington Park. He is also the racing writer and handicapper for the Daily Herald newspaper in Arlington Heights, IL. Joe is well recognized for his diversified handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with all racing fans - from beginner to expert.

©2017 Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. All rights reserved. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate, but occasionally errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention.

Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Tune in to the twinspires.com pre-race paddock show for the most up to the minute information. Check program numbers for accuracy.

Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through June 30 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 372 114 63 46 30.6% 59.9% LearnmoreabouthorseracingandwageringwithJoeKristufekandBrandonStaublebyvisitingRacing101inthePlazaadjacenttothePaddockfrom4:30to8:30p.m.Thursday,September21,2017Race1#4CrackYourWhip–Excusesforlasttwo;CDspringtally.#5DelusionalKK–Asgameasthedayislong;mustrespect.#1DancingDove–Ontopofhergame;tacticaladvantage.#2NorthernConnect–Fitslikeaglove;finisheswithpunch.Joe’sSELECTIONS–4-5-1-2-3-6Race2#3Whateverybodywants–Forgiveturf;bigdirt2ndtwoback.#6HandyCandy–$16Kclaimtakeslogicalstepup;reliable.#1Purgenality–Firesonoccasionatabigprice;gimmicks.#4WholeLottaLuck–Deepcloser;enoughpacetochase?Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-6-1-4-7

Race3#10TheBabyson–Dropsoffevendebut;well-intended.#2Schliffy–SurprisingdropofevenSaratogadebut?#4GrandpaFrank–Addsblinks&dropsoffevenefforts.#11Mosca–Dropsin,turftodirt;distancenotanissue.Joe’sSELECTIONS–10-2-4-11-5/7-2-9Race4#9Bootsy’sHadenough–Sneakysprintpedigree;luredCorey.#2QueenMum–½$600KdasherConstellation;betdown?#8Ghosted--$105Kbuymustbealookerbasedonpedigree.#12Dagney’sWarrior–Sharpworkforthis;fliesunderradar.Joe’sSELECTIONS–9-2/8-12-3-7-10-16-4Race5#6TwilightAppeal–Dropsoffneededrun;handlesdirt?#2Timido–Solid3rdonEllisturf;provenonmaintrack.#3Arcelor–Dropsinfortoughteam;toughtogauge.#9GoldenFireFly–Improvedinlastcouple;hangsaround.Joe’sSELECTIONS–6-2/3/9-8-1

Page 2: EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · Race 6 #3 Idonowidont -- $450K buy finally debuts; pays off? #7 Lifefullofreinbows – Has lit the tote behind sharp winners. #1 Focused/#1a

Race6#3Idonowidont--$450Kbuyfinallydebuts;paysoff?#7Lifefullofreinbows–Haslitthetotebehindsharpwinners.#1Focused/#1aPocketofAces–Bothhalvescanimprove.#9TrueBoots–ReturnsfreshwithaneyeonKeeneland?Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-7-1-9/6-4Race7#3D’Cat–Airedwhendroppedontofasttrack;getsedge.#5MrsRocco–RangamelyinbothoutingsforMr.Brad.#6Lullingstone–Passedtiredfoesinstake;fitswellhere.#4MyPeeps–Hasdonenothingwrong;toughtodismiss.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-5-6-4/2-1Race8#6How’sMyBud–Big4thhereinJune;maintainedform.#1BeatGoesOn–Sharpworksoffextendedvacation.#5LouisianaBrown–Outofaction3years;watchtote.#12MissileBomb–Newgeldingtakesbigdropfor’17bow.Joe’sSELECTIONS–6-1-5-12/2-4/7-9

Race7:#4MyPeepswasadecisivewinnerinherdebutbymorethanfourlengths.InherlaststartatIndianaGrandtryingwinners,shewaswell-backedbutracedaneventhird.This2-year-olddaughterofConcordPointfitsverywellwiththisfieldandhaseveryrighttoimprovefromherlaststart.SuggestedPlay:#4MyPeeps

KK’sPlayoftheDayBy:KevinKerstein

@HorseRacingKK

WorkoftheDayBy:BrandonStauble

@bstaubs22

Race 2: 9/10 -- #3 Whateverybodywants carried great flesh with strong final 1/4 to the wire, liked how he was moving.Forvaluableinformationonmorningworkoutsandracedayanalysis,followBrandononTwitter@bstaubs22.