Expectations and Realities of Health-Tech Market in Japan · Social Security Cost Projectionin...
Transcript of Expectations and Realities of Health-Tech Market in Japan · Social Security Cost Projectionin...
Expectations and Realities of Health-Tech Market in Japan
HIDEKAZU TAOKAEXECUTIVE DIRECTOR,
CORPORATE DEPARTMENTDOCOMO HEALTHCARE, INC.
NOVEMBER 6, 2019
CEWIT 2019
Introduction
Hidekazu Taoka
2018- Executive Director, DOCOMO Healthcare, Inc. (Tokyo, Japan)2017-2018 MIT Sloan School of Management (Boston, MA)2013-2017 President & CEO’s Office, NTT DOCOMO (Tokyo, Japan)2010-2013 5G Wireless R&D, DOCOMO Euro-labs (Munich, Germany)2000-2010 4G/LTE Wireless R&D, NTT DOCOMO (Yokosuka, Japan)
DOCOMO Healthcare, Inc.
Company Name DOCOMO Healthcare, Inc. Date of Foundation July 2, 2012Location Shibuya, Tokyo, Japan President & CEO Shinichiro MURAKAMICapital 1.3 billion JPYShareholder Distribution NTT DOCOMO, INC. & OMRON HEALTHCARE Co., Ltd. #of Employees 53 (as of March 31, 2019)
Contents of Business Healthcare Platform & App/Web Business for enterprise customers and mass consumers
Japan Entered a Super-Aging Society
What percentage of the Japanese population will be over 65 years old in 2050?
Hint: Aging rate in 2019 is 28.4% in Japan
Question 1:
Aging Rate Prospect
37%
Resource: United NationsWorld Population Prospect 2019
(%)
How many Japanese will be over 65 years old in 2050?
Hint: 35 million is over 65 years old in Japan
Question 2:
Elderly Population Prospect
35 million
0
100
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800
1950
1955
1960
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1975
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1995
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2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
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2045
2050
Aged Population
India China Japan US Resource: United NationsWorld Population Prospect 2019
Why?Elderly populationAging ratio
Total population127 millions 97 millions
(million)
How will be the Social Security Cost of Japan in 2040?
(Relative ratio to GDP)
Question 3:
Social Security Cost Projection in Japan
Will increase by 2.4 pt21.5%
21.7%
23.9%
Why?Elderly populationSocial security cost
(trillion JPY)
Source: Social security cost projection,Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan
Social Security Cost Projection in Japan
41% 45%
49%
(trillion JPY)
Publicpension
Medical service
Long-termCare service
OthersLate-stage elderly
population
Medical and care service expenditures
Source: Social security cost projection,Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan
Insight
It is essential in a super-aging society to manage the increase in social security costs in a sustainable wayMinimizing the difference between average life expectancy
and healthy life expectancy can reduce medical and nursing expenditures.
Preventive healthcare services become more important. Health-tech innovations by individuals, society and industry
are highly expected in a super-aging society with less labor population.
Insight (cont.)
The elderly market should not be categorized into a “single” segment.Various elderly markets
1) Active elderly who can do the same activities as young generations2) The elderly who can do basic activities in the daily life3) The elderly who need support and care in the daily life
Many services for the elderly failed without segmenting the elderly market.
Health-Tech Market in Japan
How much does the medical IT/ICT market increase in Japan?
Hint: 15.9% annual increases in the world
Question 4:
Medical IT Market Projection in Japan
Medical IT market (World)2016 134 billion USD
Medical IT market (Japan)2017 471 billion JPY
2025 Projection510 billion USD(3.8 times)
Rapid growth15.9pt/year
2025 Projection530 billion JPY (1.13 times)
Slow growth1.5pt/year
Source: From International Strategy Working Group for ICT Global Strategy in the Age of Digital Transformation, Ministry of International Affairs and Communications
Growth of Preventive Healthcare IT Market
Medical insurance system in Japan1. National health insurance program2. Medical Fee Point System3. Free access to medical institution
Preventive health-tech market also grows less in Japan.
It is often the case that individuals pay less for medical expenses after getting sick rather than spending money on maintaining health.
Signs Possibly Breaking Through Health-Tech Market Stagnation
Japanese labor market・Public criticism for the harsh working environment・Many enterprises (especially medium- and small-size enterprises) suffer from severe labor shortage・Transportation companies are mandated to check health conditions of drivers every working day
Signs Possibly Breaking Through Health-Tech Market Stagnation (cont.)
Increasing demand for employees’ health management Productivity improvementRecruiting and turnover reductionCompliance with regulationsReduction of insurance premium burden
Preventive health-tech services targeting ordinary people might grow through BtoBtoC solutions.
Insight for Successful Health-Tech Services
No healthcare services succeed if “health” is the final goal. The effect of investment is hard to be observed for many
(preventive) healthcare services.
It often gets better if the objective of a service is not related to health and health is a by-product.
Success: Actively used by ordinary people with less/no activities for health maintenance
Summary
Introduced Japanese health-tech market. Health-tech solutions are highly expected to manage
the increase in social securities expenditure. The majority have less motivation to invest in health
maintenance and improvement due to national health insurance program in Japan.
BtoBtoC could have potentials to permeate the health-tech services to the ordinary people.