Executive Integrity, Audit Opinion, and Fraud in Chinese Listed
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Transcript of Executive Integrity, Audit Opinion, and Fraud in Chinese Listed
Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1839449
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Executive Integrity, Audit Opinion, and Fraud in Chinese Listed Firms
Jiandong Chena, Douglas Cumming
b,*, Wenxuan Hou
c, and Edward Lee
d
a School of Public Finance and Taxation, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China
b Schulich School of Business, York University, 4700 Keele Street, Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3, Canada
c Durham Business School, Durham University, United Kingdom
d Manchester Business School, University of Manchester, United Kingdom
Abstract
The literature on the determinants of fraud mainly focuses on the internal and external
governance mechanisms. Although sound mechanisms still need to be implemented or
coordinated by executives, the role of their integrity is underresearched. Following the
intuition in Jensen et al. (2004), we use earnings management to proxy the lack of integrity of
executives and identify it as the antecedent of fraudulent behavior. The former can develop
into serious malpractice in the absence of necessary intervention. We further show that
auditor opinions play important roles not only in whistleblowing fraud, but also in its
prevention. Nonstandard audit opinions are issued when auditors identify some problems in
financial statements, and their incidence is lower in firms with good governance. More
importantly, nonstandard opinions help deter executives with lower levels of integrity from
committing fraud, presumably because such opinions can alert outside investors, the board,
the regulatory commission, and even the media, putting these executives under severe
scrutiny.
JEL classification: G15; G30; K22; M41
Keywords: Auditor, earnings management, fraud, integrity, ethics, China
We thank Julian Clarke for helpful comments. *Corresponding author. Tel. 416-736-2100 ext. 77942; fax 416-736-5687l; e-mail
Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1839449
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1. Introduction
The contributors of fraudulent activities have been widely studied in the literature from the
perspectives of external and internal corporate governance mechanisms. Regarding the
external mechanism, the China Securities Regulatory Commission has been found to provide
favorable regulatory conditions to state-owned listed firms due to their mutual affiliation with
the government (Hou and Moore, 2010). Investors still take heed of its regulatory
enforcements against fraud seriously by revaluing companies downward (Chen et al., 2005).
The regulatory commission perceives that it is the auditors’ responsibility to detect and report
fraud (Dyck et al., 2010), and auditors are sanctioned for failing to do so (Firth et al., 2005);
however, the role of ex ante initiatives of auditors in deterring fraud remains
underresearched.
Regarding the internal mechanism, board independence, the existence of an audit committee,
and the presence of accounting and banking professionals on the committee have been found
to decrease the incidence of fraudulent activities (see Beasley, 1996; Dechow et al., 1996;
Beasley et al., 2000; Uzun et al., 2004; Chen et al., 2006). Denis et al. (2006) show that
option intensity in CEO remuneration encourages risk taking and induces fraud, while
Erickson et al. (2006) show that the exercise of executive options and sales of executive
stocks are not significantly higher for fraudulent firms. Although any theoretically sound
governance mechanisms still need to be implemented or coordinated by the chief executive
officer (CEO) and other executives (Nowak and McCabe, 2003), the effects of their integrity
level on fraud has yet to be investigated in the literature. The importance of integrity became
manifest during the credit crisis. The low levels of integrity of executives have been
identified as a major attributor (Jensen and Walking, 2010), and the recent campaign of
Occupy Wall Street begun in late 2011 is against the insatiable greed of top executives.
3
This paper intends to remedy these shortcomings by arguing that executive integrity matters
for governance quality and therefore the incidence of fraud and auditors play an important
role in disciplining executives with lower levels of integrity. To carry out our analysis, we
include listed firms in the Chinese stock market from 2001 to 2008. Jensen et al. (2004) argue
that managers systematically erode integrity by engaging in the earnings management game,
which amounts to lying to the investors, and this behavior is attributed to the budget-based
remuneration system. We therefore employ earnings management as the proxy for the lack of
integrity, or disintegrity, of executives. Earnings management is measured by the ratio of
non-operating income to sales, following Ding et al. (2007) and Bertrand et al. (2002) and a
dummy variable indicating whether it is above or equal to its industry-median value. This is
believed to be a superior measure to that of Chen and Yuan (2004), who argue that prevailing
related-party transactions in China make it possible for firms to use non-core operating
profits or less as a means of earnings management. Jian and Wong (2004) and Ding et al.
(2007) add that China’s traditionally tax-oriented accounting system makes firms unlikely to
adjust their earnings via non-cash accruals. We find that executive disintegrity measured by
earnings management is positively related to the incidence of fraud in the subsequent
sections. The results suggest that disintegrity is the antecedent of fraud because it induces
unethical decisions and causes fraudulent misconduct to thrive.
We then examine the role audit opinions played in the depravation process in which
executives with poor integrity become fraudsters. There are two categories of audit opinions
in China: standard unqualified opinions and nonstandard ones. Standard unqualified opinions
are issued when a financial statement is true and free from material misstatements, whereas
the nonstandard ones are issued when audit firms identify some problem therein. The
4
occurrence of nonstandard audit opinions is found to be negatively related to the integrity
level of executives and external governance quality in terms of larger analyst following and
mutual fund ownership. Executives with good integrity and those under better external
monitoring tend to give true and fair views in the financial statements that comply with
relevant regulations and requirements.
More importantly, we show that auditors help discipline executives with lower levels of
integrity and prevent them from becoming fraudsters, in that nonstandard audit opinions put
executives under closer scrutiny by altering their integrity problems to outside investors,
other board members, regulatory commissions, and even the media and leave fewer
opportunities for misconduct. This finding suggests that the auditors not only detect ex post
fraud, but also help avoid it ex ante.
This paper contributes to the literature in various ways. First, it proposes a measure for
integrity and provides direct evidence for the argument in Jensen et al. (2004), that without
integrity, corporate governance mechanisms do not work. To our best knowledge, this is the
first paper to investigate whether and how the lack of integrity leads to fraudulent behavior.
Second, it contributes to the literature of audit opinions. We show that executive integrity,
analyst following, and fund ownership help improve the quality of financial reports and
reduce the occurrence of nonstandard audit opinions. Third, and most importantly, we extend
studies of corporate fraud by showing that audit opinions refrain CEOs with poor integrity
from committing fraud. This paper also has policy implications. At the firm level, integrity
needs to be a major criterion in the appointment of CEOs and other executives. At the market
level, the regulatory commission and investors can count on auditors not only in fraud
detection, but also in its prevention.
5
This paper proceeds as follows: Section 2 reviews the literature and develops the hypotheses.
The research design and sample data are introduced in Section 3. Section 4 reports and
discusses the empirical findings and Section 5 concludes the paper.
2. Literature Review and Hypothesis Development
2.1. Executive Integrity and Fraud
Various board characteristics have been identified in the literature as the major determinants
of fraud. For example, board independence, an audit committee, and directors with
accounting and financial backgrounds help enhance the monitoring quality of the board
(Beasley, 1996, 2000; Dechow et al., 1996; Uzun et al., 2004; Chen et al., 2006; Firth et al.,
2011). The supervisory board in China reacts only passively to regulatory enforcement
against fraud by increasing the meeting frequencies rather than deterring the occurrence of
fraud ex ante (Jia et al., 2009; Ding et al., 2010). The executive compensation system also
plays a role. Denis et al. (2006) show that the intensity of executive options encourages
excessive risk taking and induces fraud. In addition, Hou and Moore (2010) show that the
prevailing state ownership in China aggregates agency problems in privatized firms, but
brings about favorable regulatory conditions by playing down the inspection severity in state-
controlled firms.
These studies fail to consider executive integrity, although any good governance mechanisms
still need to be implemented or coordinated by the executives. Management continues to be
seen as a major corporate governance actor (Cohen et al., 2000). In fact, board members
perceive impediments to information flow imposed by CEOs, and Nowak and McCabe
6
(2003) point out that management integrity is central to information flow, and therefore
central to the effectiveness of monitoring and control of the board.
Although integrity is valuable in both material and non-material terms, violation is still
detected when potential gains for violating are estimated to be greater than the costs (see
Bradford, 2007). There are serious concerns about executives’ integrity levels. For example,
the protesters of the recent Occupy Wall Street campaign begun in late 2011 are against the
insatiable greed of top executives. This pervades industrial as well as financial corporations
and goes well beyond financial corporations and the United States. Lack of integrity is also
attributed as being one of the major causes of the current financial crisis (Jensen and
Walking, 2010). As the pioneering advocates of the importance of integrity, Jensen et al.
(2004) highlight how managers erode integrity and destroy firm value by systematically
playing the earnings management game. Since earnings management is not in line with the
maximization of shareholder wealth, it amounts to lying to the investors to whom managers
have a fiduciary responsibility and signals a breakdown in integrity.
Some impediments of integrity have been identified in the literature. Jensen et al. (2004) note
that the integrity problem cannot be handled by executive remuneration and the commonly
used budget-based bonus and promotion systems instead motivate poor integrity. Executives
are rewarded in terms of compensation as well as promotion if they achieve the operating
targets set in their contracts that are mainly used for accounting performance (Tang et al.,
1999; Firth et al., 2006; Cao et al., 2011). In addition, accounting performance is crucial for
firms to raise capital and enhance stock return (see Firth et al., 2005). Therefore, executives
with poor integrity choose to manipulate financial information and engage in earnings
management. Rost (2007) argues that the increasing trend to fill CEO openings through
7
external hires in the external labor market also discourages executives from investing in
integrity and encourages them to invest in networking, since a common past between a
person and a firm downgrades their promotion prospects.
Attributes to promote integrity have also been discussed. The Sarbanes–Oxley Act has been
found to significantly expand the responsibility of auditors and management. Cohen et al.
(2010) find that the requirement for the certification by top management of financial
statements helps improve integrity because it mandates the involvement of the managers.
Kizirian et al. (2005) and Cohen et al. (2011) state that both auditors and audit committees
play an important role in ensuring integrity. Under Section 404 of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act,
auditors are required to assess management integrity and issue an adverse internal control
report noting any material weaknesses in internal control (Kizirian et al. 2005).
Although various factors encourage or discourage integrity, Fuller and Jensen (2002) argue
that human choice is also critical. Executives with low levels of integrity tend to ignore
policies and procedures to pursue self-interests at the costs of other investors, and therefore
unethical decisions and fraudulent behaviors are more likely to flourish among them.
Executives of high integrity are essential to implementing good governance systems, and
therefore integrity is essential for effective monitoring. We hereby hypothesize the following.
H1: Executive disintegrity is positively related to the incidence of fraud.
2.2. Audit Opinion and Corporate Governance
Chinese auditors are not self-regulated but government regulated, by the Chinese Institute of
Certified Public Accountants (CICPA), an agent of the Ministry of Finance. Government-
affiliated CPA firms dominate the audit market, representing 75% of auditors and servicing
8
70% of clients, and around two-thirds of listed firms are controlled by the state (see DeFond
et al., 2000; Yang et al., 2001). Audit independence in China is a concern, in that auditors
play the role of agents of the state audit bureau and bear little economic responsibility for
their improper auditing actions, such as pleasing their clients or pursuing their own interests.
State shareholders have a strong incentive to obtain favorable earnings from executives, but
little demand for independent audits. Xiao (2000) points out that some audited companies
even expect auditors to help them conceal wrongdoings and reappoint auditors if they refuse
to help in the cover-up. In addition, the shortage of qualified accountants and auditors also
holds back the development of professional auditing.
Since audit independence is essential for the auditors’ attesting function (Xiang, 1998),
studies of Chinese audit issues mainly focus on this issue. DeAngelo (1981), Krishnan et al.
(1996), and Yang et al. (2001) regard nonstandard opinions as a proxy for auditor
independence. There are two categories of audit opinions in China: standard unqualified
opinions and nonstandard ones. Nonstandard (standard unqualified) opinions are issued when
audit firms identify (no) problems or potential problems with a financial statement.
Nonstandard opinions include unqualified opinions with explanations, qualified (modified)
audit opinions either with or without explanations, adverse audit opinions, and disclaimers.
A set of reforms has helped improve audit independence in China. DeFond et al. (2000) find
that new auditing standards promulgated in 1995 that prescribe detailed auditing procedures
make auditors less likely to succumb to management pressure in issuing clean opinions when
modified options are appropriate, increasing the frequency of modified opinions from 1% to
9%. Since executives prefer clean audit opinions, they tend to switch from larger audit firms
to smaller ones, which are less independent and will more easily issue clean reports. Such
9
switching is motivated by “shopping” for improved audit opinions (see Krishnan and
Stephens, 1995).
A program launched in 1997 aims to further enhance audit independence operationally by
disaffiliating CPA firms from their sponsoring body and make them financially and
operationally independent (Yang et al., 2001). In affiliated audit firms, auditors are not
exposed to personal risks when performing audits and profits are owned by the sponsoring
government body, whereas in disaffiliated firms, partners are liable for their auditing
practices and profits are retained within the firm for distribution among partners. Following
the reform, the number (percentage) of nonstandard opinions increased from four to 152
(2.20% to 18%), according to Yang et al. (2001). There is no evidence that international firms
and the Big 5 (now Big 4) accounted for the increase in nonstandard opinions. Actually, Kim
et al. (2011) shows that Big 6 auditors have incentives to be more conservative than non-Big
6 auditors in determining reported earnings.
These studies were conducted at the market level. For the determinants of audit opinion at the
firm level in China, DeFond et al. (2000) find that clients receiving qualified (modified) audit
opinions tend to be those with poor operating performance, lower current ratios, and larger
size, and the auditors that issue more qualified (modified) opinions tend to be larger auditors
and joint venture auditors. Firth et al. (2007) argue audit opinion also reflects the
informativeness of earnings and find that private firms and firms with a larger supervisory
board and a greater percentage of independent directors are more likely to receive standard
(clean) audit opinions, implying their earnings are more informative. The threshold for giving
a standard (clean) opinion and auditor reporting conservatism can also be increased by audit
risks. Firth et al. (2011a) show that auditors tend to issue qualified audit opinions for firms
10
that incur financial restatements. Firth et al. (2011b) note that the organizational form of audit
firms can affect their opinion. A partnership firm (limited liability firm) has more (less)
wealth at risk and larger (smaller) risk and liability exposure, and therefore tends to issue
qualified (clean) audit opinions. Joe (2003) shows that auditors overreact to the disclosure of
a negative event in the press that provides no new information, becoming more conservative,
and tend to issue qualified audit opinions.
These studies incorporate the internal governance features and characteristics of the auditor
and auditee, but fail to consider the roles of executive integrity and external monitoring
mechanisms. We argue that executives with higher levels of integrity and those under more
effective external monitoring (as with greater mutual fund ownership and greater analyst
following) are more likely to give a true and fair view in financial statements that complies
with relevant regulations and requirements. We thereby hypothesize the following.
H2: Executives with lower levels of integrity are associated with a higher incidence of
nonstandard audit opinions.
H3: Better external governance is associated with a lower incidence of nonstandard audit
opinions.
2.3. Audit Opinion and Fraud Prevention
Academics, practitioners, and policy makers focus on the role of auditors as fraud
whistleblowers, capable of and responsible for detecting and reporting fraudulent activities.
Dyck et al. (2010) document that auditors account for 10% of detected fraud, which is larger
than the figure from the regulatory commission (7%) and smaller than that from employees
(17%), non-financial market regulators (13%), and the media (13%). On the one hand,
11
auditors who blow the whistle are more likely to lose the accounts of the fraud-committing
firms; on the other hand, if they fail to report fraud, the regulatory commission imposes
administrative sanctions in the form of warnings, fines, and the withdrawal of auditors’
licenses. Yang et al. (2001) show that the number of administrative sanctions against auditors
increased from 100 to about 500 during 1994–1997. During the sample period 1996–2002 of
Firth et al. (2005), 72 auditors were sanctioned by the regulatory commission for failing to
identify material misstatement frauds from listed companies (e.g., revenue-related frauds).
Firth et al. (2005) also show that fewer enforcement actions are taken against auditors that are
more competent and independent in terms of qualified audit opinions (modified audit
opinions, or MAOs) and the logarithm of total clients’ assets.
The role auditors and especially their opinions play in deterring managers from committing
fraud remains underresearched. Chen et al. (2006) find no significant relation between audit
firm size and the incidence of fraud. We argue that nonstandard opinions intervene in the
process of executive disintegrity developing into serious fraudulent activities in that they can
draw the attention of investors, board members, the regulatory commission, and even the
media, putting executives under closer scrutiny and allowing fewer chances for executives
with low levels of integrity to commit fraud. On the contrary, if an executive with low levels
of integrity does not incur a nonstandard opinion as a warning from auditors, disintegrity can
further deteriorate into malpractice. We thereby hypothesize the following.
H4: Nonstandard audit opinions help deter executives with lower levels of integrity from
committing fraud.
12
3. Research Design
3.1. Model Specifications
To empirically test the predictions in H1, we apply the logistic regression model
k
k kk ControltyDisintegriFraud1 110
(1)
where Fraud is a one-year lead dummy variable that is equal to one if the firm is subject to
regulatory enforcement against fraud, and zero otherwise. Following the intuition of Jensen et
al. (2004), Disintegrity is proxied by two earning management measures. The variable EM is
the ratio of non-operating income relative to sales. Chen and Yuan (2004), Jian and Wong
(2004), and Ding et al. (2007) argue that this variable is superior to accruals for measuring
earnings management in China for two reasons. First, related-party transactions are
commonly observed in China, making it easy for firms to use non-core operating income to
manipulate earnings. Second, the traditionally tax-oriented Chinese accounting system makes
it difficult for firms to adjust their earnings via non-cash accruals. Ding et al. (2007) further
show that the correlation between the ratio of non-operating income to sales and discretionary
accruals is nearly 0.5 and significant. To account for industry traits, we propose another
measure, DEM, a dummy variable equal to 1 if EM is equal to or above the industry median
value of yearly observations, and 0 otherwise.
A set of control variables is incorporated to control for the effects of firm characteristics,
performance, and corporate governance, including the natural logarithm of market
capitalization (Size), the price-to-book ratio (PB), a dummy variable of consecutive losses
(STPT is equal to one if a listed firm experiences at least two consecutive year losses, and
zero otherwise), analyst following (Analysts is obtained as the natural logarithm of the sum of
13
the number of analysts following and one), fund ownership (Fund is the number of shares
held by open- and closed-end funds relative to the total number of shares), the number of
restricted shares relative to the total number of shares (RTT), the Herfindahl index of the 10
largest firm blockholders (OwnCon), a dummy variable of duality (Duality is equal to one if
the CEO also holds the position of board chair, and zero otherwise), a dummy variable for
board meeting frequency (Dmeet is equal to one if the number of board meetings is above the
median value of yearly observations, and zero otherwise), a dummy variable of board size
(Dbsize is equal to one if the number of board members is above the median value of yearly
observations, and zero otherwise), a dummy variable of board independence (Drind is equal
to one if the ratio of independent directors is above the median value of yearly observations,
and zero otherwise), and a dummy variable for supervisory board size (Dssize is equal to one
if the number of supervisory board members is above the median value of yearly
observations, and zero otherwise). Regional and industry effects are also controlled for.
Following Firth et al. (2006), firms are grouped into four regions based on levels of economic
development to construct the regional dummy variables: (1) firms located in Shanghai and
Shenzhen, (2) firms located in more developed areas, including the open cities and provinces
along the coast, (3) firms located in the inland provinces, and (4) firms located in the least
developed area, in the northwestern part of the country. The industry dummy variables are
constructed based on the first two digits of the Global Industry Classification Standard
(GICS) codes. If α1 > 0 and is significant, then the lack of integrity is associated with a higher
incidence of fraudulent activities, supporting our prediction in H1.
To test H2 and H3, we apply the following logistic model by regressing the dummy variable
of nonstandard auditor opinions (ANS is equal to one if a nonstandard opinion report is issued
14
by the auditor, and zero otherwise), which indicates (potential) problems with financial
statements, against executive disintegrity and a set of corporate governance measures:
j
j jjk
k
k kk ControlCGMtyDisintegriANS1 11 110
(2)
where the corporate governance measures contain such external features as analyst following
(Analyst), fund ownership (Fund), and internal features such as the ratio of restricted to total
shares (RTT), ownership concentration (OwnCon), CEO duality, (Duality), board meeting
frequency (Dmeet), board size (Dbsize), board independence (Drind), and supervisory board
size (Dssize). Executive integrity is proxied by EM and DEM, as defined earlier. Firm
characteristics and regional and industry effects are controlled for. To support our hypotheses
H2 and H3, we need to observe positive coefficients for executive disintegrity and negative
coefficients for analyst following and fund ownership.
Finally, H4 can be tested by using the regression model
k
k kk ControlAUDtyDisintegriANStyDisintegriFraud3 13210 .
(3)
where the one-year lead dependent dummy variable Fraud is equal to one if the firm is
subject to regulatory enforcement against disclosed fraud, and zero otherwise; Disintegrity is
proxied by EM and DEM; and ANS is equal to one if a nonstandard opinion report is issued
by the auditor, indicating problems with a financial statement, and zero otherwise. The
variable ANS is also interacted with EM and DEM, respectively, and the same set of control
variables is incorporated. To support H4, the coefficient of the interaction term α3 needs to be
significantly negative, showing that when executives with lower levels of integrity are
warned by nonstandard audit opinions, they are less likely to become fraudsters.
15
3.2. Sample Description
The data used in this paper are from two sources. Corporate fraud, industry codes, the
performance measure (STPT), the ratio of restricted to total shares (RTT), and ownership
concentration (OwnCon) data are from the China Center for Economic Research (CCER),
and the rest of the variables are constructed based on data from China Securities Market &
Accounting Research (GTA/CSMAR). Both databases are commonly used in studies of the
Chinese capital market. The sample covers the period from 2001 to 2008, because most of the
corporate governance variables used in this paper are only available since 2001.
Figure 1 shows that the number (ratio) of nonstandard audit opinions in the beginning of the
sample period, from 2001 to 2002, is around 140 (12%). Both the number and ratio are
slightly smaller than the figures in 1998 reported by Yang et al. (2001). One year later, the
number (ratio) drops to around 80 (7%) in 2003, recovers in 2005, and falls back to the level
of 2003 at the end of the sample period, in 2008. Different from the upward trends
documented by Yang et al. (2001), the trends in this paper are downward. Given the fact that
corporate governance, audit independence, and regulatory supervision have all improved in
the past decade, the downward diagram could imply that the quality of financial statements
has improved at the market level, consistent with the finding of Hou et al. (2011), that the
informativeness of Chinese listed firms has improved.
4. Empirical Findings
4.1. Descriptive Statistics
Table 1 presents the summary statistics of the variables used in this study. The ratio of
nonstandard audit opinions is 9.31%, on average, and the ratio of fraud is smaller, at about
4%. The ratio of non-operating profits to sales is around 2%. Table 1 also reports the
16
summary statistics for the split sample, namely, firms with standard opinions and these with
nonstandard audit opinions. Firms with nonstandard opinions have been found to be
associated with a substantially higher incidence of fraud in the subsequent period (21.12%
versus 2.16%); lower levels of executive integrity, as reflected by higher levels of earnings
management (5.86% versus 1.53%); smaller firms; larger price-to-book ratios; a higher
incidence of consecutive losses (40.27% versus 4.70%); smaller numbers of following
analysts; lower fund ownership (0.33% versus 3.00%); lower ownership concentration; a
higher incidence of CEO duality; lower board meeting frequencies; and lower board
independence. These findings support our hypotheses H2 and H3, that the incidence of
nonstandard audit opinions is associated with lower levels of integrity and governance
quality.
Table 2 presents the correlation matrix for the variables used in this study. Fraud and earnings
management are positively related to each other, providing supporting evidence for our
hypothesis H1, that poor integrity tends to induce subsequent fraud. In addition, fraud,
earnings management, and nonstandard audit opinions are negatively related to past operating
performance, corporate quality, and firm size.
4.2. Test of H1
Table 3 presents the results of the test of H1. We examine whether executives with lower
levels of integrity tend to become fraudsters in the subsequent period. Lack of integrity is
measured by the ratio of non-operating profits to sales. Its coefficients are significant and as
high as 2.2355, 0.9538, and 1.0015, respectively in regression I, II, and III. Regression I
controls for firm characteristics only, regression II also incorporates firm performance, and
regression III accounts for industry and regional effects. Supporting our hypothesis H1, the
17
results across the three regressions show that lower levels of integrity serve as an antecedent
of fraud, signal governance malfunction, and lead to a higher incidence of fraud in the
subsequent period.
For an increase of one standard deviation (0.0655) in the ratio of non-operating profits to
sales, the incidence of fraud is increased by 6.56%. This shows the economic significance of
the finding. In addition, firms with consecutive losses and therefore delisting risks (STPT = 1)
are 56.29% more likely to commit fraud. Analyst following, ownership concentration, firm
size, and board meeting frequency are found to help deter fraudulent activities. This is
consistent with the findings of Chung et al. (2002), Hou and Moore (2010), Cumming et al.
(2011), and Hou et al. (2011). As robustness checks, we also use the dummy variable DEM as
an alternative proxy for lack of integrity, assigning it a value of one if the ratio of non-
operating income to sales is above or equal to the industry median value of yearly
observations, and zero otherwise. The results remain consistent, and both the model’s
significance level and explanatory power are increased.
4.3. Tests of H2 and H3
Table 4 presents the results of the determinants of audit opinions and, in particular, the
impact of corporate governance. We regress a dummy variable of audit opinion (ANS is equal
to one if a nonstandard opinion report is issued by the auditor, and zero otherwise) against a
set of proxies for corporate governance. The dependent variable for regressions I and III (II
and IV) is ANS at time t + 1 (time t). The disintegrity measure in regressions I and II (III and
IV) is EM (DEM). The coefficients for DM and DEM across the four regressions are
positively significant, which supports our hypothesis H2, that executives with lower levels of
integrity are more likely to be caught by auditors for material misstatements. With an
18
increase of one standard deviation (0.0655) in the ratio of non-operating profits to sales, the
incidence of nonstandard opinions increases by 10.57%, and executives whose integrity level
is below the industry median level (i.e., DEM = 0) are 31.84% more likely to incur
nonstandard audit opinions.
Various corporate governance variables are also significant. In particular, analyst following
and fund ownership are found to promote the quality of governance and therefore of financial
statements. This supports our hypothesis H3. With an increase of one standard deviation in
analyst following (0.9133) and fund ownership (0.0626), the incidence of nonstandard audit
opinion is decreased by 64.48% and 66.41%, respectively, as suggested by regression I. This
provides direct evidence that external governance features help enhance the quality of
financial statements. The results are robust to the control of other internal governance
attributes, firm characteristics, and regional and industry effects. Consistent results are also
documented by Firth et al. (2007). Ownership concentration, board meeting frequency, and
board independence are found to reduce the incidence of nonstandard opinions. In addition,
large firms and firms free of consecutive losses tend to receive clean opinions from auditors.
4.4. Test of H4
The results for the test of H4 are reported in Table 5. By investigating whether auditors can
intervene in the process of executives with poor integrity becoming fraudsters, we regress the
one-year lead dependent dummy variable Fraud against CEO disintegrity, nonstandard
auditor opinion (ANS), and their interaction term. Panel A measures CEO disintegrity as the
ratio of non-operating profits to revenue (EM), and panel B measures the industry median-
adjusted dummy variable DEM. The coefficient of EM indicates whether executives with
poor integrity tend to commit fraud under the condition that they are not detected by auditors.
19
These coefficients are significantly positive, at 3.2992, 2.8999, and 3.2097, respectively,
from regressions I, II, and III. These findings again reinforce H1. An increase of one standard
deviation (0.0655) in earnings management can lead to a 21.02% increase in the incidence of
fraud, as suggested by regression III. This shows that poor integrity is an antecedent of fraud
and, without necessary intervention, is likely to develop into fraud.
More importantly, the coefficients of the interaction term (EM.ANS) capture the effects of
intervention from auditors. As shown earlier, some executives with low levels of integrity
incur nonstandard opinions from auditors, which serve as a warning to them and as an alert to
outside investors, the board, the regulatory commission, and even the media. Supporting our
hypothesis H4, the coefficients are significantly negative (-4.0126, -3.4746, and -3.9042)
across the three regressions (I, II, and III). Holding the level of earnings management
constant, a nonstandard audit opinion helps reduce the likelihood of fraud by as much as
41.62%. In other words, it is substantially less likely for executives with lower levels of
integrity to become fraudsters if their integrity problem is detected and reported by auditors.
A nonstandard audit report can put such executives under closer scrutiny, leaving them fewer
chances for malpractice. The results are of both statistical and economic significance and
suggest the critical role played by auditors in deterring fraud by disciplining executives with
lower levels of integrity.
The results are robust to controlling firm characteristics (in regression I), firm operating
performance, corporate governance (in regression II), and regional and industry effects (in
regression III). In addition, the coefficients for nonstandard audit opinion are significantly
positive, showing that nonstandard audit opinions can signal poor governance quality and
predict fraud. Larger firms and those with better corporate governance are found to be
20
negatively related to the incidence of fraud. As further robustness checks, we replicate the
tests in panel B of Table 5 by replacing EM with DEM, a dummy variable equal to one if EM
is above or equal to the industry median value of yearly observations, and zero otherwise.
The results remain consistent and, again, support our hypothesis H4.
5. Conclusion
Various governance features are identified as the determinants of fraud in the literature. This
paper, however, focuses on the role played by the integrity of executives. The impact of
integrity cannot be empirically tested unless a proper proxy is available. We therefore employ
earnings management to measure the integrity level of executives by following the intuition
of Jensen et al. (2004), and hypothesize that executives with lower levels of integrity are
inclined to pursue self-interests at the expense of other shareholders. The results confirm our
prediction that lack of integrity is indeed an antecedent of fraud because it induces unethical
decisions, leading to fraudulent behaviors.
We also show the important role auditors play in the deterioration process from poor integrity
to serious malpractice. Auditors are found to be capable of disciplining executives with lower
levels of integrity by using nonstandard audit opinions, which are issued when problems are
detected in financial statements. We show that the occurrence of nonstandard audit opinions
is negatively related to integrity level and indicators of good external governance, such as a
larger analyst following and mutual fund ownership. More importantly, nonstandard opinions
are able to draw attention from investors, the board, the regulatory commission, and the
media to integrity problems, keeping them vigilant and also sending a warning to the
executives. Therefore, when executives of low levels of integrity incur nonstandard audit
opinions, they are less likely to be become fraudsters in the subsequent period.
21
The results have important practical implications. First, they show that executives with good
integrity are essential to implementing governance systems and suggest that integrity needs to
become one of the critical considerations in executive appointments. Executives with lower
levels of integrity tend to divert their abilities and efforts by pursing self-interests and
destroying firm value. Second, in the assessment of executive performance and executive
remuneration decisions, the measurements need to be adjusted for integrity. For example, a
threshold may be imposed on earnings management. Finally, the detection and reporting of
fraud has long been regarded as the ex post responsibility of auditors. However, we provide
evidence that auditors are also able to deter fraud by taking ex ante initiatives. Auditors are
able to spot an integrity problem before it develops into fraudulent activities, and their
opinion can effectively discipline executives, preventing serious misconduct.
22
Appendix. Variable Definitions
Fraud
A dummy variable equal to one if the firm is subject to regulatory enforcement against
disclosed fraud, and zero otherwise.
EM
Earnings management is the ratio of non-operating income relative to revenue. It is used to
proxy for the lack of integrity of executives.
DEM
A dummy of earnings management. It is equal to one if the ratio of non-operating income
relative to revenue is above the median value of yearly observations, and zero otherwise.
ANS
A dummy variable equal to one if a nonstandard opinion report is issued by the auditor,
which indicates (potential) problems with a financial statement, and zero otherwise.
The following control variables are lagged for one year to resolve the causality problem:
Size The natural logarithm of market capitalization.
PB Price-to-book ratio.
STPT
A dummy variable equal to one if a listed firm experiences two or more consecutive years
of loss, and zero otherwise.
Analyst The natural logarithm of one plus the number of analysts following the firm.
Fund The number of shares held by mutual funds relative to the total number of shares.
RTT The number of restricted shares relative to the total number of shares.
OwnCon The Herfindahl index of the top 10 largest firm blockholders.
Duality
A dummy variable equal to one if the CEO holds the position of board chair, and zero
otherwise.
Dmeet
A dummy variable equal to one if the number of board meetings is above the median value
of yearly observations, and zero otherwise.
Dbsize
A dummy variable equal to one if the number of board members is above the median value
of yearly observations, and zero otherwise.
Drind
A dummy variable equal to one if the ratio of independent directors is above the median
value of yearly observations, and zero otherwise.
Dssize
A dummy variable equal to one if the number of supervisory board members is above the
median value of yearly observations, and zero otherwise.
The following industry and regional dummies are also incorporated in our empirical analyses.
The industry dummies are constructed based on the first two digits of the GICS codes.
The regional dummies are constructed according to Firth et al. (2006), who group firms into four
different regions by level of economic development: (1) Shanghai and Shenzhen, (2) the more
developed areas, including the open cities and provinces along the coast, (3) the inland provinces, and
(4) the least developed area, in the northwestern part of the country.
23
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Figure 1
This figure shows the number and ratio of nonstandard opinion of auditors from 2001 to 2008 in the
Chinese stock market. Nonstandard opinions indicate (potential) problems with financial statements.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Nonstandard auditor opinions
No. of Non-standard Opinion Ratio of Non-standard Opinion
30
Table 1 This table presents the descriptive statistics for the total sample and firm subsamples with and without nonstandard auditor opinions. The variable ANS equals
one if a nonstandard opinion report is issued by the auditor, which indicates (potential) problems with a financial statement, and zero otherwise; Fraud is
equal to one if the firm is subject to regulatory enforcement against disclosed fraud, and zero otherwise; EM is the ratio of non-operating income relative to
revenue; and DEM is a dummy variable equal to one if EM is above the median value of yearly observations, and zero otherwise. Other variables are defined
in the Appendix. The sample period covers 2001 to 2008.
All firms Firms with ANS = 0
Firms with ANS = 1 Diff. in Mean Test
Median Mean Std.Dev. Median Mean Std.Dev. Median Mean Std.Dev. Difference t-Value
ANS 0.0000 0.0931 0.2907 N/A N/A Fraud 0.0000 0.0393 0.1942 0.0000 0.0216 0.1453 0.0000 0.2112 0.4084 -0.1896 -30.06***
EM 0.0032 0.0193 0.0655 0.0030 0.0153 0.0501 0.0054 0.0586 0.1415 -0.0433 -19.87***
DEM 0.0000 0.4998 0.5000 0.0000 0.4834 0.4998 1.0000 0.6587 0.4744 -0.1753 -10.40***
Size 20.4613 20.5797 0.9999 20.5170 20.6397 0.9931 19.9633 19.9955 0.8694 0.6443 19.36***
PB 2.6209 3.7035 3.9615 2.6144 3.6124 3.3787 2.7808 4.5902 7.5187 -0.9778 -7.31***
STPT 0.0000 0.0802 0.2716 0.0000 0.0470 0.2117 0.0000 0.4027 0.4907 -0.3557 -41.81***
Analyst 0.0000 0.6386 0.9133 0.0000 0.6908 0.9355 0.0000 0.1310 0.3887 0.5597 18.38***
Fund 0.0009 0.0275 0.0626 0.0016 0.0300 0.0650 0.0000 0.0033 0.0187 0.0267 12.68***
RTT 0.5702 0.5397 0.1651 0.5706 0.5395 0.1661 0.5692 0.5420 0.1550 -0.0025 -0.46
Owncon 0.1708 0.2062 0.1367 0.1773 0.2104 0.1374 0.1251 0.1659 0.1221 0.0445 9.66***
Duality 0.0000 0.0098 0.0985 0.0000 0.0091 0.0949 0.0000 0.0166 0.1280 -0.0076 -2.27**
Dmeet 1.0000 0.5776 0.4940 1.0000 0.5838 0.4930 1.0000 0.5172 0.5000 0.0666 3.98***
Dbsize 0.0000 0.3726 0.4835 0.0000 0.3751 0.4842 0.0000 0.3486 0.4768 0.0265 1.62
Drind 1.0000 0.7754 0.4173 1.0000 0.7830 0.4122 1.0000 0.7014 0.4579 0.0817 5.79***
Dssize 1.0000 0.8991 0.3012 1.0000 0.8997 0.3004 1.0000 0.8928 0.3095 0.0069 0.68
Obs. 10,317 9,356 961
31
Table 2
This table presents the correlation matrix of the variables. The variable Fraud is equal to one if the firm is subject to regulatory enforcement against disclosed
fraud, and zero otherwise; EM is the ratio of non-operating income relative to revenue; DEM is a dummy variable equal to one if EM is above the median
value of yearly observations, and zero otherwise; and ANS equals one if a nonstandard opinion report is issued by the auditor, which indicates (potential)
problems with a financial statement, and zero otherwise. The variable ANS is also interacted with EM and DEM, respectively. The other variables are defined
in the Appendix. The sample period covers 2001 to 2008. The superscript * denote the 1% level of significance.
Fraud EM DEM ANS Size PB STPT Analyst Fund RTT OwnCon Duality Dmeet Dbsize
Fraud 1
EM 0.0687*
DEM 0.0535* 0.2752* 1
ANS 0.2838* 0.1920* 0.1019* 1
Size -0.0990* -0.0603* -0.0821* -0.1873* 1
PB 0.0266* 0.1136* 0.0442* 0.0717* 0.1636* 1
STPT 0.1131* 0.3329* 0.1183* 0.3807* -0.2203* 0.1845* 1
Analyst -0.1048* -0.0840* -0.0850* -0.1781* 0.5078* -0.004 -0.1696* 1
Fund -0.0700* -0.0619* -0.0808* -0.1238* 0.4860* 0.1036* -0.1215* 0.6094* 1
RTT -0.0022 -0.0474* -0.0257* 0.0045 -0.3319* 0.0223 -0.0094 -0.1297* -0.1840* 1
OwnCon -0.0692* -0.0788* -0.0817* -0.0947* 0.0244 -0.0484* -0.1016* 0.0490* -0.0443* 0.5724* 1
Duality 0.0002 0.0336* 0.0109 0.0223 -0.0012 0.0148 0.0105 -0.0208 -0.0026 -0.0316* -0.0351* 1
Dmeet -0.0515* -0.0402* -0.0620* -0.0392* -0.0482* -0.0334* -0.0525* -0.0246 -0.0222 0.0459* 0.0391* -0.0126 1
Dbsize -0.0082 -0.0512* -0.0165 -0.0159 0.0367* -0.0400* -0.0555* 0.0648* 0.0052 0.1020* 0.0239 0.0048 0.0510* 1
Drind -0.0252 0.0143 0.0004 -0.0569* 0.0445* -0.0596* -0.0019 0.2142* 0.1199* -0.1517* -0.0882* 0.004 -0.0445* -0.1272*
Dssize -0.0135 -0.0437* -0.0243 -0.0067 0.0380* -0.0124 -0.0410* -0.0429* -0.0047 -0.0241 0.0351* -0.0223 -0.0194 -0.0067
32
Table 3
The two panels of this table present the empirical results of the regression model
k
k kk ControltyDisintegriFraud1 110
where the one-year lead dependent dummy variable Fraud is equal to one if the firm is subject to
regulatory enforcement against disclosed fraud, and zero otherwise; Disintegrity is proxied by
following two earning management measures; EM is the ratio of non-operating income relative to
revenue; and DEM is a dummy variable equal to one if EM is above the median value of yearly
observations, and zero otherwise. The other control variables are defined in the Appendix. The sample
period covers 2001 to 2008. All t-statistics are reported and adjusted for heteroskedasticity. The
superscripts *,
**, and
*** denote the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels of significance, respectively.
Panel A
Regression I Regression II Regression III
EM 2.2355 4.83 *** 0.9538 1.8 * 1.0015 1.86 *
Size -0.6031 -9.12 *** -0.3341 -3.93 *** -0.3300 -3.8 ***
PB 0.0294 2.91 *** 0.0096 0.97 0.0114 1.14
STPT 0.5380 3.43 *** 0.5184 3.25 ***
Analyst -0.7180 -5.89 *** -0.7370 -6.04 ***
Fund -4.2348 -1.37 -4.1038 -1.34
RTT 0.0360 0.09 -0.0102 -0.02
OwnCon -2.7719 -5.26 *** -2.7673 -4.99 ***
Duality -0.3086 -0.6 -0.1903 -0.37
Dmeet -0.5113 -4.91 *** -0.5407 -5.17 ***
Dbsize 0.0328 0.3 -0.0051 -0.05
Drind -0.1765 -1.47 -0.1588 -1.31
Dssize -0.1907 -1.2 -0.1643 -1.01
Constant 8.8909 6.64 *** 4.7972 2.6 *** 5.3383 2.76 ***
Industry N N Y
Region N N Y
Pseudo-R2 0.0424 0.0914 0.1039
Obs. 10,317 10,317 10,317
33
Panel B
Regression I Regression II Regression III
DEM 0.4566 4.25 *** 0.3050 2.81 *** 0.3012 2.72 ***
Size -0.6027 -9 *** -0.3241 -3.83 *** -0.3188 -3.69 ***
PB 0.0341 3.4 *** 0.0098 0.99
0.0117 1.16 STPT 0.5785 3.97 *** 0.5629 3.8 ***
Analyst -0.7156 -5.89 *** -0.7330 -6.03 ***
Fund -4.1589 -1.35
-4.0782 -1.34 RTT 0.0533 0.13
0.0042 0.01
OwnCon -2.7610 -5.23 *** -2.7405 -4.93 ***
Duality -0.3039 -0.59
-0.1858 -0.36 Dmeet -0.4966 -4.77 *** -0.5241 -5.01 ***
Dbsize 0.0277 0.25
-0.0110 -0.1 Drind -0.1751 -1.46
-0.1556 -1.29
Dssize -0.1969 -1.24
-0.1688 -1.04 Constant 8.6666 6.34 *** 4.4279 2.39 ** 4.9240 2.54 **
Industry
N
N
Y Region
N
N
Y
Pseudo-R2
0.0427
0.0929
0.1051 Obs.
10,317
10,317
10,317
34
Table 4 This table presents the empirical results of the determinants of auditors’ nonstandard opinions, which indicate problems with financial statements.
The dependent dummy variable ANS equals one if a nonstandard opinion report is issued by the auditor, which indicates (potential) problems with
a financial statement, and zero otherwise; EM is the ratio of non-operating income relative to revenue; and DEM is a dummy variable equal to one
if EM is above the median value of yearly observations, and zero otherwise. The other control variables are defined in the Appendix. The sample
period covers 2001 to 2008. All t-statistics are reported and adjusted for heteroskedasticity. The superscripts *,
**, and
*** denote the 10%, 5%, and
1% levels of significance, respectively.
Regression I Regression II Regression III Regression IV
ANSt+1 ANSt ANSt+1 ANSt
EM 1.6234 4.2 *** 1.6135 4.16 ***
DEM 0.3805 4.82 *** 0.3184 4.18 ***
Size -0.3650 -6.11 *** -0.3927 -6.57 *** -0.3514 -5.91 *** -0.3800 -6.38 ***
PB 0.0042 0.5
0.0011 0.13
0.0048 0.57
0.0019 0.22 STPT 1.8762 18.72 *** 1.4023 14 *** 1.9492 20.27 *** 1.4862 15.51 ***
Analyst -0.7060 -7.36 *** -0.7639 -8.24 *** -0.7105 -7.41 *** -0.7662 -8.28 ***
Fund -10.6084 -2.5 ** -7.3983 -2.32 ** -10.5342 -2.48 ** -7.3721 -2.31 **
RTT -0.1496 -0.47
-0.5695 -1.88 * -0.1507 -0.48
-0.5768 -1.89 *
OwnCon -1.8636 -4.75 *** -2.1902 -5.43 *** -1.8382 -4.68 *** -2.1696 -5.35 ***
Duality 0.3241 0.94
-0.3155 -0.84
0.3476 1.01
-0.2822 -0.76 Dmeet -0.1854 -2.43 ** -0.1807 -2.43 ** -0.1655 -2.17 ** -0.1635 -2.2 **
Dbsize 0.0430 0.53
0.1908 2.45 ** 0.0364 0.45
0.1827 2.36 **
Drind -0.3931 -4.54 *** -0.3716 -4.4 *** -0.3889 -4.49 ** -0.3664 -4.34 ***
Dssize 0.1182 0.98
0.0791 0.65
0.1105 0.92
0.0687 0.57 Constant 6.0982 4.59 *** 9.6059 6.99 *** 5.5973 4.23 *** 9.2265 6.73 ***
Industry
Y
Y
Y
Y
Region
Y
Y
Y
Y
Pseudo-R2
0.2165
0.1756
0.2174
0.1755
Obs.
10,317
10,303
10,317
10,303
35
Table 5
The two panels of this table present the empirical results of the regression model
k
k kk ControlAUDtyDisintegriAUDtyDisintegriFraud3 13210 .
where the one-year lead dependent dummy variable Fraud is equal to one if the firm is subject to
regulatory enforcement against disclosed fraud, and zero otherwise; Disintegrity is proxied by following
two earning management measures; EM is the ratio of non-operating income relative to revenue; DEM is
a dummy variable equal to one if EM is above the median value of yearly observations, and zero
otherwise; and ANS equals one if a nonstandard opinion report is issued by the auditor, which indicates
(potential) problems with a financial statement, and zero otherwise. The variable ANS is also interacted
with EM and DEM, respectively. The other control variables are defined in the Appendix. The sample
period covers 2001 to 2008. All t-statistics are reported and adjusted for heteroskedasticity. The
superscripts *,
**, and
*** denote the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels of significance, respectively.
Panel A
Regression I Regression II Regression III
EM 3.2992 4.71 *** 2.8999 3.8 *** 3.2097 4.18 ***
ANS 2.4218 20.1 *** 2.2543 16.83 *** 2.3023 16.78 ***
EM. ANS -4.0126 -4.36 *** -3.4746 -3.63 *** -3.9042 -4.04 ***
Size -0.3137 -4.99 *** -0.2003 -2.4 ** -0.1787 -2.09 **
PB 0.0070 0.79
0.0035 0.38
0.0055 0.59 STPT -0.3112 -1.83 * -0.3353 -1.94 *
Analyst -0.5904 -4.68 *** -0.5918 -4.71 ***
Fund -2.6351 -1
-2.7656 -1.05 RTT 0.0490 0.11
-0.0214 -0.05
OwnCon -2.1577 -4.06 *** -2.1549 -3.86 ***
Duality -0.4818 -0.94
-0.3317 -0.64 Dmeet -0.4441 -4.11 *** -0.4721 -4.35 ***
Dbsize 0.0080 0.07
-0.0272 -0.24 Drind -0.0605 -0.48
-0.0381 -0.3
Dssize -0.2223 -1.34
-0.2257 -1.32 Constant 2.5190 1.96 ** 1.4006 0.77
1.5031 0.77
Industry
N
N
Y Region
N
N
Y
Pseudo-R2
0.1525
0.1776
0.1903 Obs.
10,317
10,303
10,317
36
Panel B
Regression I Regression II Regression III
DEM 0.4595 3.14 *** 0.3636 2.48 ** 0.3766 2.55 **
ANS 2.5852 14.25 *** 2.3664 12.37 *** 2.4188 12.47 ***
DEM*ANS -0.4994 -2.25 ** -0.3869 -1.7 * -0.4162 -1.8 *
Size -0.3121 -4.92 *** -0.1998 -2.4 ** -0.1804 -2.12 **
PB 0.0085 0.95
0.0050 0.55
0.0075 0.81 STPT
-0.2994 -1.8 * -0.3255 -1.92 *
Analyst
-0.5891 -4.71 *** -0.5877 -4.71 ***
Fund
-2.7468 -1.03
-2.8914 -1.09 RTT
0.0320 0.07
-0.0459 -0.1
OwnCon
-2.1310 -4.03 *** -2.1083 -3.8 ***
Duality
-0.4779 -0.93
-0.3329 -0.64 Dmeet
-0.4457 -4.14 *** -0.4707 -4.34 ***
Dbsize
0.0001 0
-0.0377 -0.33 Drind
-0.0663 -0.53
-0.0446 -0.35
Dssize
-0.2262 -1.37
-0.2259 -1.32 Constant 2.3032 1.76
1.2666 0.69
1.3816 0.71
Industry
N
N
Y Region
N
N
Y
Pseudo-R2
0.1509
0.1759
0.1881 Obs.
10,317
10,303
10,317