Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

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Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

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Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort. Why a rolling 12 month cohort?. A rolling cohort will allow results from a full years cohort to be produced four times a year. Getting more timely information to the front line. A new 12 month cohort will start every quarter. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Page 1: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Page 2: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Why a rolling 12 month cohort?

• A rolling cohort will allow results from a full years cohort to be produced four times a year.

• Getting more timely information to the front line.

• A new 12 month cohort will start every quarter.

Page 3: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Jan 2009

Dec 2009

Jan 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Mar

2011

Mar 2009 Apr

2010

Offenders enter cohort A: January – December 2009

Offenders enter cohort B: April 2009-March 2010

June2010

2009 2010 2011

Reports October 2011

Reports Janaury 2012

Offenders enter cohort C: July 2009 – June 2010

Offenders enter cohort D: Oct 2009 – Sept 2010

Offenders enter cohort E: January – December 2010

Reports May 2012

Reports August 2012

Cohort A: reoffending tracked over 12m

Cohort B: reoffending tracked over 12m

Cohort C: reoffending tracked over 12m

Cohort D: reoffending tracked over 12m

Cohort E: reoffending tracked over 12m

Page 4: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

January 2009 - Meet Jonny…

Jonny is 15 and not known to the youth

justice system in January 2009 when

Cohort A starts.

Page 5: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

February 2009

In February 2009 he gets into a fight with a friend and ends up assaulting the police officer who tries to break it up. For this, Jonny receives a police reprimand and enters the reoffending cohort for 2009 (Cohort A).

Page 6: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Jan 2009

Dec 2009

Jan 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Mar

2011

Mar 2009

Apr 2010

Cohort A

Feb 2009:

Jonny assaults a police officer and enters Cohort A with a reprimand

June2010

2009 2010 2011

Index offence for Cohort A

Page 7: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

June 2009

In June 2009 Jonny wants to get his mother a

birthday present but has no money. So he steals

some flowers from a florist and gets caught. Jonny

gets a final warning. Jonny has now reoffended

and this counts as the 1st reoffence in Cohort A.

Because this offence occurs in a new quarter than the one he was first identified in, he now also enters Cohort B.

Page 8: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Jan 2009

Dec 2009

Jan 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Mar

2011

Mar 2009

Apr 2010

Cohort A

Cohort B

Feb 2009:

Jonny assaults a police officer and enters Cohort A with a reprimand

June 2009

Jonny steals from

a shop, 1st reoffences in Cohort A (gets final warning)

Jonny enters Cohort B with a final warning

June2010

2009 2010 2011

Index offence for Cohort B

Page 9: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

November 2009

In November 2009 Jonny is persuaded by some

friends to help with a burglary. The neighbours

hear a noise and call the police, Jonny is caught at

the scene. Jonny goes to court for the first time

and gets a referral order.

Jonny has now reoffended again and this counts as his 2nd reoffence in Cohort A and his 1st reoffence in Cohort B. He now also enters Cohort C.

Page 10: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Jan 2009

Dec 2009

Jan 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Mar

2011

Mar 2009

Apr 2010

Cohort A

Cohort B

Feb 2009:

Jonny assaults a police officer and enters Cohort A with a reprimand

June 2009

Jonny steals from

a shop, 1st reoffences in Cohort A (gets final warning)

Jonny enters Cohort B with a final warning

Nov 2009

Jonny is caught in a burglary, 2nd reoffences in Cohort A. Gets a referral order

1st reoffences in Cohort B

June2010

2009 2010 2011

Cohort C

Jonny enters Cohort C with a referral order

Index offence for Cohort C

Page 11: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

February 2010 – Jonny tracked for 12 months after his first offence

Jonny entered Cohort A in February 2009 with an indexoffence of assaulting a police officer. During the following 12 months Jonny had two more offences for theft andburglary.

When the reoffending results for Cohort A are calculatedJonny is included in the cohort and has two reoffences.

Page 12: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Jan 2009

Dec 2009

Jan 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Mar

2011

Mar 2009

Apr 2010

Cohort A

Feb 2009:

Jonny assaults a police officer and enters Cohort A with a reprimand

June 2009

Jonny steals from

a shop, 1st reoffences in Cohort A (gets final warning)

Nov 2009

Jonny is caught in a burglary, 2nd reoffences in Cohort A. Gets a referral order

June2010

2009 2010 2011

Results for 2009 count show Jonny has two reoffences.

12 months after index

offence

Page 13: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

June 2010 – 12 months after Jonny entered Cohort B

Jonny entered Cohort B in June 2009 with an index

offence of theft (flowers). During the following 12 months Jonny had one more offence for burglary.

When the reoffending results for Cohort B are calculated

Jonny is included in the cohort and has one reoffence.

Page 14: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Jan 2009

Dec 2009

Jan 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Mar

2011

Mar 2009

Apr 2010

Cohort B

Jonny enters Cohort B with a final warning

1st reoffence in Cohort B

June2010

2009 2010 2011

Results for 2009/10 count show Jonny has one reoffence.

Page 15: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

June 2010

In June 2010, it is Jonny’s mum’s birthday

again, this year he wants to get her perfume but

has no money so he steals from a shop and gets

caught. Jonny goes to court for the second time

and gets a YRO.

Jonny has now reoffended again and this counts as his 1st

reoffence in Cohort C. He now also enters Cohort D

Page 16: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Jan 2009

Dec 2009

Jan 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Mar

2011

Mar 2009

Apr 2010

June2010

2009 2010 2011

Cohort C

Nov 2009

Jonny commits burglary and enters Cohort C with a referral order

Jun 2010

Jonny gets a YRO for theft, 1st reoffence in Cohort C

Jonny enters Cohort D with a YRO Index offence

for Cohort D

Cohort D

Page 17: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

November 2010 – 12 months after Jonny entered cohort C

Jonny entered Cohort C in November 2009 with an index

offence of burglary. During the following 12 months Jonny had one more offence for theft (perfume).

When the reoffending results for Cohort C are calculated

Jonny is included in the cohort and has one reoffence.

Page 18: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

June 2011 – 12 months after Jonny entered cohort D

Jonny entered Cohort D in June 2010 with an index

offence of theft (perfume). During the following 12 months

Jonny had no further offences.

When the reoffending results for Cohort D are calculated

Jonny is included in the cohort but not in the reoffending

figures as he did not reoffend.

Page 19: Example of reoffending measure with a rolling 12 month cohort

Jan 2009

Dec 2009

Jan 2010

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Mar

2011

Mar 2009

Apr 2010

Cohort A

Cohort B

June2010

Results for Cohort A show Jonny has reoffended and has two reoffences in the period.

Results for Cohort B show Jonny has reoffended and has one reoffences in the period.

2009 2010 2011

Cohort C

Cohort D

Results for Cohort C show Jonny has reoffended and has one reoffences in the period.

Results for Cohort D show Jonny has not reoffended.

Jonny as a unique young person is counted differently in different cohorts. However each cohort gives figures for what happened in the 12 months since Jonny entered each cohort.

This method allows reoffending to be reported four times a year, rather than just once, reducing the lag for information.

October 2011

Janaury 2012

May 2012

August 2012