Exam 3
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Transcript of Exam 3
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QUANTITATIVE METHODS FOR FINANCE
Mock Exam 3 (Academic Year 2013-14)
[5 exercises; 31 points available; 90 minutes available]
1 Consider a stock that pays out the dividend 2 (X + 3)2 dt every �second� (with dX =
�k (X �m) dt+X�dz).
[8 points] Use the educated guess qX2+ uX + v (q, u, and v are constants to be determined) to
work out the equilibrium stock price S (X).
[7 points] Your initial capital is H = 2000 Euro. You retrieve an additional sum of 500 Euro by
selling short the stock and invest 2500 Euro in the riskless asset. Work out the total gain dH on your
portfolio.
2 [4 points] Consider a constrained log-utility investor whose problem is
maxw
Ehlog� fW � i
sub w � 250% , fW = 100 ( (1 + r) + w (er � r) ) ;
where
r = 0% ; er =
8><>:g > �3% with probability 1
2
�3% with probability 12
.
If the constrained optimal portfolio is w� = 2:5 and the shadow price is l� = 0, the up-state return on
the risky asset is:
a) g = 385;
b) g = 585;
c) g = 685;
d) g = 885.
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3 [4 points] A �rm produces two outputs x and y (they can be sold at the �xed prices 30
and 40, respectively). An embargo is imposed on the �rm�s average production:
1
2x+
1
2y � 30 .
Given that the production costs are C (x; y) = 12x2 + 1
2y2 � 1
3xy + 70, the constrained maximum
pro�t is:
a) 1048: 75;
b) 1248: 75;
c) 1848: 75;
d) 1448: 75.
4 [4 points] Consider the following one-period arbitrage-free market with a zero riskfree
rate (r = 0):
M =
26664�1:0 �3: 2 �4: 81 3 5
1 5 7
1 2 3
37775 .
The no-arbitrage price of a European call option written on the risky security 2 (the strike price is 3)
is:
a) 2: 70;
b) 1: 25;
c) 1:80;
d) 0:80.
5 [4 points] Consider the following one-period market with a zero riskfree rate (r = 0):
M =
26664�1:0 �1:45 �1:101 1 1
1 1 0
1 2 2
37775 .
The �nal proceed prevailing in the state !2 of the strategy #� that costs �10 cents (V#� (0) = � 10
100)
and pays o¤ nothing in the states !1 and !3 (V#� (1) (!1) = V#� (1) (!3) = 0) is:
a) V#� (1) (!2) = �27.
b) V#� (1) (!2) =27;
c) V#� (1) (!2) = �47;
d) V#� (1) (!2) =37.
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SOLUTIONS
1 The equilibrium-valuation problem is
1
dtEt [dS] + 2X2 + 12X + 18 = Sr + SXX���
with1
dtEt [dS] = SX (�k (X �m)) +
1
2SXXX
2�2 .
The educated guess
S (X) = qX2 + uX + v
has derivatives
SX = 2qX + u and SXX = 2q
and must meet the equilibrium equation
(2qX + u) (�k (X �m)) + 122qX2�2 + 2X2 + 12X + 18�
�qX2 + uX + v
�r � (2qX + u)X��� = 0
m
X2��2qk + q�2 + 2� qr � 2q���
�| {z }= 0
+X(2qkm+ 12� uk � ur � u���)| {z }= 0
+ (ukm+ 18� vr)| {z }= 0
= 0 .
Hence
q =2
2k + r � �2 + 2��� ,
u =4km
(2k + r � �2 + 2���) (k + r + ���) +12
k + r + ���,
v =km
r
�4km
(2k + r � �2 + 2���) (k + r + ���) +12
k + r + ���
�+18
r.
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The total gain on your portfolio is
dH = � 500S
�dS + 2 (X + 3)2 dt
�+ 2500rdt
= � 500 dS + 2 (X + 3)2 dt
S
!+ 2500rdt
= � 500��
r +SXX
S���
�dt +
SXX
S�dz
�+ 2500rdt
=
�Hr � 500
SXX
S���
�dt � 500
SXX
S�dz .
SXX
S(elasticity) =
2qX2 + uX
S
=
�4X2
2k+r��2+2��� +4kmX
(2k+r��2+2���)(k+r+���) +12X
k+r+���
�S
=S + 2X2
2k+r��2+2��� � kmr
�4km
(2k+r��2+2���)(k+r+���) +12
k+r+���
�� 18
r
S
=S + qX2 � v
S.
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SOLUTIONS
2 The correct answer is a).
The investor�s expected utility is
Ehlog� fW � i
= 0:5 ln (100 + w (100g � 0)) + 0:5 ln (100� 3w)
and the Lagrangian function is
L (w; l) = Ehlog� fW � i
� l ( w � 2:5 ) .
The Kuhn-Tucker First Order Conditions are:8>>>>>>>><>>>>>>>>:
L w = 0
l � 0
L l � 0
l � L l = 0 .
If l = 0 (we assume a painless constraint), the F.O.C.s become
Lw (w; l)jl=0 =1
2
100g
(100 + 100gw)+1
2
�3(100� 3w)
= � 12
�100g + 6gw + 3(100� 3w) (1 + gw)
= 0 ,
Ll (w; l)jl=0 = � (w � 2:5) � 0 ,
so that
Lw (w; l)j l=0; w=2:5 = 0 () � 100g + 15g + 3 = 0 = 0 () g =3
85= 3: 529 411 76% .
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The graphical analysis (not required) follows, with8><>:100 + w
�30085� 0�> 0
100 + w (�3� 0) > 0() w 2
��853;100
3
�.
30 25 20 15 10 5 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
1
1
2
3
4
5
allocation w
expected utility
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SOLUTIONS
3 The correct answer is d).
The problem is
maxx;yP (x; y) sub
1
2x+
1
2y � 30
with
P (x; y) = 30x+ 40y ��1
2x2 +
1
2y2 � 1
3xy + 70
�:
The First Order Conditions for constrained optimality will be su¢ cient because the constraint
function is linear (the feasible set�(x; y) 2 R2 : 1
2x+ 1
2y � 30
is convex) and the pro�t function P (x; y)
is strictly concave:
H =
264 Pxx Pxy
Pyx Pyy
375 =264 �1
13
13
�1
375 with Pxx = �1 < 0 and det (H) =8
9> 0 :
Given the Lagrangian function
L (x; y; l) = P (x; y)� l�1
2x+
1
2y � 30
�,
the Kuhn-Tucker First Order Conditions are:8>>>>>>>>>>><>>>>>>>>>>>:
Lx = 0
Ly = 0
l � 0Ll � 0
l � Ll = 0
,
8>>>>>>>>>>><>>>>>>>>>>>:
13y � x� 1
2l + 30 = 0
13x� 1
2l � y + 40 = 0
l � 030� 1
2y � 1
2x � 0
l�30� 1
2y � 1
2x�= 0 .
For l = 0 (we assume a painless constraint), we have:8><>:13y � x+ 30 = 0
13x� y + 40 = 0
,
8><>:x = 195
4= 48: 75
y = 2254= 56: 25 .
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The unconstrained maximum-pro�t point is such that P�1954; 2254
�= 7145
4= 1786: 25. It turns out to be
unfeasible as the constraint is violated:
1
248: 75 +
1
256: 25 = 52: 5 � 30 :
For l > 0 (we assume a painful constraint), we have:8>>>>>><>>>>>>:
13y � x� 1
2l + 30 = 0
13x� 1
2l � y + 40 = 0
30� 12y � 1
2x = 0 (the constraint is binding)
,
8>>>>>><>>>>>>:
x = 1054= 26: 25
y = 1354= 33: 75
l = 30 .
The constrained maximum pro�t is
P
�105
4;135
4
�=
5795
4= 1448: 75 .
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SOLUTIONS
4 The correct answer is c).
By the First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, any arbitrage opportunity is ruled out if the
market M supports a risk-neutral probability measure Q (recall that the riskfree rate is r = 0):264 1:0
3: 2
4: 8
375 =1
1 + 0
264 1 + 0 3 5
1 + 0 5 7
1 + 0 2 3
375T 264 Q (!1)Q (!2)
Q (!3)
375 .
Since
det
0B@264 1 3 5
1 5 7
1 2 3
3751CA = � 2 ,
the unique measure Q is:
264 Q (!1)Q (!2)
Q (!3)
375 =
0BB@264 1 3 5
1 5 7
1 2 3
375T1CCA�10B@(1 + 0)
264 1:0
3: 2
4: 8
3751CA =
264 0:30:30:4
375
with
0BB@264 1 3 5
1 5 7
1 2 3
375T1CCA�1
=
0B@264 1 1 1
3 5 2
5 7 3
3751CA�1
=1
�2
264 1 1 �44 �2 �2�3 1 2
375| {z }matrix of cofactors
T
.
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The payo¤ to be priced is
eX (1) = max� eS2 (1)� 3 ; 0 �
m
264 X (1) (!1)X (1) (!2)
X (1) (!3)
375 =
264 max ( 5� 3 ; 0 )max ( 7� 3 ; 0 )max ( 3� 3 ; 0 )
375 =
264 240
375 .
Its no-arbitrage price is
X (0) =1
1 + 0
264 240
375T 264 0:30:3
0:4
375 = 1: 8 .
An alternative would be the calculation of the initial cost of the unique replicating strategy #X :
264 #X0
#X1#X2
375 =
264 1 3 5
1 5 7
1 2 3
375�1 264 24
0
375 =1
�2
264 1 4 �31 �2 1
�4 �2 2
375| {z }matrix of cofactors
T 264 240
375 =
264 �301
375
and
V#X (0) =
264 �301
375T 264 1:0
3: 2
4: 8
375 = 1: 8 .
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SOLUTIONS
5 The correct answer is a).
8><>:#�0 +
2920#�1 +
1110#�2 = �0:10
#�0 + #�1 + #
�2 = 0
#�0 + 2#�1 + 2#
�2 = 0
()
264 1145100
1110
1 1 1
1 2 2
375264 #
�0
#�1#�2
375 =264 �
10100
0
0
375 .
Since
det
0B@264 1
145100
1110
1 1 1
1 2 2
3751CA = � 7
20,
we have
264 #�0
#�1#�2
375 =
264 1145100
1110
1 1 1
1 2 2
375�1 264 �
10100
0
0
375 =
264 0
�2727
375 ,
where
264 1145100
1110
1 1 1
1 2 2
375�1
=1
� 720
264 0 � 710
720
�1 910
110
1 �1120
� 920
375 =
264 0 2 �1207
�187�27
�207
117
97
375 .
Hence,
V#� (1) (!2) =h1 1 0
i264 #�0
#�1#�2
375 = � 27.
Alessandro Sbuelz - SBFA, Catholic University of Milan 11