Evolution of TDM: Perspectives from Industry ACT IAC TDM-Evolution... · T1/E1 Ethernet MSO/ ......

Advancing Government through Collaboration, Education and Action

ACT-IAC Network & Telecommunications Community of Interest

April 11, 2017

10:00 am – 11:30 pm

GSA HQ 18th & F

Room 1461

Data Traffic Drives New Architectures

Evolution of TDM:

Perspectives from Industry

Moderator: Bill Lewis, N&T Government Chair – GSA

Introductions: Dee Delaney, N&T COI Industry Vice Chair

Presenters: Karen Davis

Ray Herr

John Lee

Campbell Palmer

Matt Vaughn


Meeting Purpose and Outcome

Purpose

– Technology Drivers – Business Environment

– TDM Suitability

– Drivers for Fiber based services

– Fiber based services

– Adoption of newer technologies

– Migration and transition practices

Outcome

1. Scale – Enterprise and Carrier – Ethernet as the Baseline

2. Flexibility to effectively meet Mission demands over time

3. Investments are required – ROI is significant

4. Eye on the Future: Movement to Carrier On-Demand Environment

2

Presenter: Dee Delaney


Section I:

Introduction -Growth Drives Change

Dee Delaney

3


Since 2000, 52% percent of the companies in the Fortune 500 have merged, been acquired,

or have otherwise ceased to exist.

4

Sarah Cliffe, Harvard Business Review & Don Shull, Strategist at MIT and London School of Business, May 13, 2014

Pace of Business is Accelerating

Disruptive

Business

Models

Technology

Based

Innovation

Faster

Product

Cycles


Advancing Government through Collaboration, Education and Action 5

Years to reach 50 million Users

38

Years

13

Years

4

Years 3

Years1

Year .75 Year

McKinsey Global Institute, April 2015, “The four global forces breaking all the trends”

Technology Adoption



Bandwidth Drivers

6


Cloud

Augmented Reality

Virtual Reality

Streaming Video

Big Data

Machine to Machine

Medical Data


Comparing Infrastructure Costs

7

Broadband has become

Ubiquitous

Over 88% of the US Citizens have

access to 2+ Broadband Suppliers

Incredible Annual Investment in Broadband

$5.3BPer year

$73BPer year

15 Year Spend

$1.1Trillion

40 Year Spend

$213 Billion

Private Sector

Broadband Investment

Construction of the

US Highway System


Currently $80B per year is spent on all roads: City, County, State and Federal - Source: Federal Reserve


60 Mayors ask for Broadband Expansion

8

Mayors Call For Broadband Infrastructure Spending in Letter

Today, over 60 mayors and other elected community leaders sent a

letter to President Trump, Senate Majority Leader McConnell, and

House Speaker Ryan on the importance of including broadband in any

plan to improve the country’s infrastructure.

The letter was sent on the same day the United States Senate held a

hearing on “Improving Access the Infrastructure,” focusing on

transportation and information networks.

Source: CivSource March 1, 2017


The Office of American Innovation

Drive Technology Innovation and Infrastructure Expansion?

https://civsourceonline.com/2017/03/01/mayors-call-for-broadband-infrastructure-spending-in-letter/


Current Hardware-Centric Architecture

9

Cost per MB: Software Hardware

Software-centric

networks scale faster

250,000% network demand

growth 2006-2016

Projected network growth

by 2020 - 10X

Hardware architectures not

pacing with Moore’s Law

Cost

Volume



Customer Requirements Transforms Telecom

From hardware to software

From fixed to mobile

From device to cloud

From data gatherers to scientists

Customers want flexibility:Nature of traffic continues to change

• Video, M2M, and Web RTC

Services need to decouple from infrastructure

• Rapid service creation, network “programmability”

Big Data and analytics are integral component

• Operations and alternative monetization

More robust security, identity, and authentication

• All endpoints


From regulated to non-regulated


Section II:

Evolution of the Core Technology

to Support the Edge/Customer

Ethernet: Campbell Palmer & John Lee

SDN: Matt Vaughn

Cloud: Karen Davis

VoIP: Ray Herr

LTE: Ray Herr & Matt Vaughn

11


Ethernet

John Lee and Campbell Palmer

12


1984: A Year for Context

13

Presenter: Campbell Palmer and John Lee

Introduction of the Apple Computer

Interestingly, in 1984, the “T1” was

already 30 years old.

Formal breakup of AT&T.

Creation of the “Regional Bell

Operating Companies, RBOCs”


The Laws of Physics

14



Classic T-1 Environment

15

Flexibility

Limited Sharing & Stranded

Bandwidth

Speed

Truck role with 60 – 90 day

Turn-up

Simplicity

Simple for Customer, Complex

and costly Network



Current Fiber Environment

16

Flexibility

fixed access, single service

Speed

30 day delivery intervals

Simplicity

Standard Integrated Services

Interface

signification termination

equipment



Ethernet Scopes

17



Attributes of Carrier Ethernet

18



Delivered Over Wide Variety of Access Media

Bonded T1/E1

Ethernet

MSO/ Cable

Ethernet User to Network Interface (UNI)Ethernet Network Network Interface (NNI)

COAX

Direct Fiber

WDM Fiber

Service Provider 2

TDM

Ethernet

Ethernet EthernetEthernet

Ethernet

Ethernet

Ethernet

Direct Fiber

100Mbps/1Gbps/10 Gbps

SONET/ SDH

PON Fiber

Ethernet

Service Provider 1

Ethernet

Ethernet

WiMax

Ethernet

Packet Wireless

DS3/E3

Reproduced with permission of the Metro Ethernet Forum.

… and across a wide variety of backhaul transport technologiesCarrier Ethernet provides consistent services delivered to users connected over the widest variety of access networks



Integrated High Capacity,

On Demand Bandwidth Network

20


Flexibility

Adds services dynamically

Speed

Almost real time cycles

Simplicity

Streamlines experience


EthernetSwitch

Use Case

21


Simplicity

streamline experience

KEY

Current Network on

Deprecated T1 sub-rate

Telecommunications technology

New Network

Based on Ethernet

Ethernet

Switch


Scale

22

SustainmentEngineering Retirement

AdvancedDevelopment

ProductDevelopment

ProductionEngineering



Planning for Transition

Mission Requirements

&

Industry Capabilities

Investments

23


Processes Contracts

New

Architecture

Current

ArchitecturePeople


SDN

Matt Vaughn

24


Software Defined Networks for Service Providers

At best, five-year master plans are referred to as the network planning policy that will be

enforced by the service provider given:

• the foreseen business development perspectives

• manually computed traffic forecasts

• market coverage (fixed/mobile and residential/ corporate)

This so-called network planning policy may very well affect the way resources are

allocated in a network, but it clearly fails to be adequately:

• responsive to highly dynamic customer requirements in an "always-on" fashion

• need for improved service delivery procedures (including the time it takes to deliver

the service once the possible negotiation phase is completed) is even more critical for

corporate customers. -Software-Defined Networking: A Perspective from

within a Service Provider Environment (RFC 7149)

25

Service Provider Equipment must be Agile - Fast - Secure

Presenter: Matt Vaughn


Software Defined Networking Architecture

Control / Mgmt Protocols

APIs

Application Layer

Business Applications

SDN CONTROL SOFTWARE

Control Layer

Network Services

Infrastructure Layer


Why SDN ?

27

New VOIPCE PE

MPLSSiSi

SBC

CLI CLI CLI CLI CLI

Control Plane


Lesson Learned from iPhone Applications with Integrated Hardware have No Future

Presenter: Matt Vaughn

Many Devices supporting distinct applications to One Device supporting many applications


Network Function Virtualization

Traditional Network Appliance Approach Network Function Virtualization Approach

Specialized, proprietary hardware

Physical install per appliance per site

Complex network management

Standard x86 hardware platform

Multiple functions on a single device

Less complexity, improved TCO

29

vRouter vFirewall

vWAN-XvWLAN

Firewall

WAN-X

WLAN

Router


Cloud

Karen Davis

30


Enterprise Needs

On-Demand

compute and

software

resource

accessibility

Enable Data

center

consolidatio

n initiatives

Grow and

transform to

an agile,

responsive

organization

Enhance end-

user

experience

In a cost-effective way

Securely enable your digital and cloud initiatives

Shift from

CapEx to

OpEx model

Presenter: Karen Davis


Topology Shift –Cloud Impact

Customer

Data

Center

Customer

Prem

Customer

Prem

Customer

Prem

CloudThe Virtual Data

Center



Cloud Deployment Models

PublicOpen to the public

Private

HybridCombination of private and

public clouds

Used by a single organization



Enterprise Multi-Cloud Strategy

2017 vs. 2016

0% 50% 100%

2016

2017

3

1

6

5

9

9

16

20

11

7

55

58

No Plans Single Private Single Public

Multiple Public Multiple Private Hybrid

Source: RightScale 2017 State of the Cloud Report

67%

Hybrid

22%

Public

Cloud

Only

5%

Private

Cloud

Only

95% of Respondents

Are Using Cloud

Industry Trends: The Cloud Atmosphere



Score

s

Branch Locations Cloud Service Providers Enterprise Data Center

Cloud-A Driving Force

• Public, Private, Hybrid Cloud

Considerations

• Multi-CSP Environments

• Data Center Consolidation

• Control over Cap Ex.

• Global Requirements to Cloud Service

Providers (CSPs)

• Dedicated, Predictable Transport Circuits

to CSPs to be Considered



Selecting Access to the Cloud Things to Consider

End-users demand predictable

Performance & constant uptime

Is performance important for the

workload you want to move to the

cloud?

Real-time data processing (BIG Data)

Can the data be transported through

the public internet?

Does the workload require a reliable

connection?

Storage/Disaster Recovery/

Back-up

Can the data be transported through a

public internet connection?

How much time can afford to wait to

recover a failed workload?

Application Development &

Test Environments

What would happen if your test

environment was accidentally shared

through an unsecure internet port?



Cloud Service

Provider A

Cloud Service

Provider C

Cloud Service

Provider B

Transport Options to the Cloud

Transport Options

Internet Connections

Virtual Private Networks

MPLS/IP VPN, EVPL

Dedicated Transport

Ethernet Private Line (EPL), Wavelengths



Poised for the Future – The Cloud Journey

DYNAMIC AND AGILE IT

Support for access to compute

& software resources on

demand

IMPROVED PERFORMANCE

Consider choosing private

connectivity for key applications

to migrate and optimize to the

cloud

DYNAMIC AGILITY via SDN

Prepare to use SDN to allow the

customer to take control over their

user experience in combination

with cloud

GLOBAL CONNECTIVITY

Connect offices around the world

to the local cloud and data center

resources needed to run mission

critical applications



VoIP

Ray Herr

39


Growth of VoIP in Petabytes per Month

40

VoIP Growth CAGR 9.1% 2016-2021 (IbisWorld)

224M Residential VoIP Subscribers (Infonetics Research)

180M Mobile VoIP Applications (Visiongain)

Slide content by Statista.com

Presenter: Ray Herr


VoIP – TDM to IP

Return on

Innovation

41

Return on

Investment

Presenter: Ray Herr

ROI%20-40


LTE

Ray Herr & Matt Vaughn

42


Global 4G LTE Growth

USA

2017 250 Million

2018 300 Million

2017 12 Exabytes

http://www.strategyr.com/MarketResearch/Long_Term_Evolution_LTE_infrastructure_4G_Market_Trends.asp

Forecast in 2013

And ON Track

Presenter: Ray Herr & Matt Vaughn


Growth of Internet of Things (IoT)2017 Market expected to exceed $1T Revenue (IDC)

Remember Twitter took 3 Quarters to reach 50,000,000 users

9 months


http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwj7_PXU-5rKAhVEMSYKHTABDvQQjRwIBw&url=http://www.oracle.com/webfolder/iot3/index.html&psig=AFQjCNFBtG75ZS7LfLKLlYAmJagMbMwepw&ust=1452368257598928

http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwj7_PXU-5rKAhVEMSYKHTABDvQQjRwIBw&url=http://www.oracle.com/webfolder/iot3/index.html&psig=AFQjCNFBtG75ZS7LfLKLlYAmJagMbMwepw&ust=1452368257598928


Internet of Things (IoT) e.g., Federal Govt. Applications

Smart Buildings

Supply

Chain

Condition-Based

Maintenance

Patient

Care

IoT

Federal

SolutionsFleet

Management

Asset Tracking



Faster Speeds & Lower Latency

= will enable new possibilities

Ultra Reliability

BetterCapacity & Coverage

Ultra High-Speeds

Ultra Low Latency

Massive Device

Connectivity

5G

Data Driven Capabilities

SDN & NFVAccess

Agnostic

Network Slicing

Provide New Capabilities:

New Technology Implementations:



Key Take Aways

1. Scale – Enterprise and Carrier – Ethernet as the

Baseline

2. Flexibility to effectively meet Mission demands

over time

3. Investments are required – ROI is significant

4. Eye on the Future: Movement to Carrier On-

Demand Environment

47



Questions

48

Evolution of TDM: Perspectives from Industry ACT IAC TDM-Evolution... · T1/E1 Ethernet MSO/ ......

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